Palestra de Pedro de Camargo Neto apresentada no 26º Seminário da de Criadores e Pesquisadores da ANCP

1. 26 Seminário ANCP
Pedro de Camargo Neto
camargo.pedro@gmail.com

2. Desafios Regulatórios da Pecuária
Indo além da cerca da propriedade
Relação com Governos
Ontem e Hoje

4. Um, o, grande tema dos próximos anos
Questão antes de tudo da cultura, modo de vida da sociedade
Ganhadores e perdedores no curto prazo
Longo prazo, infelizmente, ainda vejo todos perdedores
Aquecimento Global
Acreditando ou não precisamos nos preparar para o debate e mudanças

5. Aquecimento Global
1. The Earth is now about 1.1°C warmer than it was in the 1800s. We are not on track to meet the Paris Agreement target to keep global temperature from
exceeding 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. That is considered the upper limit to avoid the worst fallout from climate change.
2. 2015-2019 saw the five warmest years on record while 2010-2019 was the warmest decade on record.
3. Global surface temperature has increased faster since 1970 than in any other 50- year period over at least the last 2000 years.
4. On the current path of carbon dioxide emissions, temperature could increase by as much as 4.4°C by the end of the century.
5. In 2019, greenhouse gas concentrations reached new highs. Carbon dioxide levels were 148 per cent of preindustrial levels.
6. Greenhouse gas concentrations, already at their highest levels in 2 million years, have continued to rise.
7. Since the mid-1980s, Arctic surface air temperatures have warmed at least twice as fast as the global average, while sea ice, the Greenland ice sheet and glaciers
have declined over the same period and permafrost temperatures have increased.
8. Emissions must drop 7.6 per cent per year from 2020 to 2030 to keep temperatures from exceeding 1.5°C and 2.7 per cent per year to stay below 2°C.
9. The emissions gap in 2030, or the difference between necessary carbon dioxide reduction and current trends, is estimated at 12-15 gigatons carbon dioxide
equivalent (Gt CO2e) to limit global warming to below 2°C. For the 1.5°C goal, the gap is 29-32 Gt CO2e, roughly equivalent to the combined emissions of the six
largest emitters.
10. To follow a 1.5°C-consistent pathway, the world will need to decrease fossil fuel production by roughly 6 per cent per year between 2020 and 2030. Countries are
instead planning and projecting an average annual increase of 2 per cent, which by 2030 would result in more than double the production consistent with the 1.5°C
limit.

6. COP Conferência das Partes
UNFCCC - United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Rio Eco - 1992
Acordo de Kyoto - 1997 GEE e as equivalências
Acordo de Paris - 1995 NDC compromissos de redução
Glasgow Acordo do Metano - 2021 - Redução de 30 %

7. 1992

8. Panorama das emissões de metano e implicações
do uso de diferentes métricas
Observatório de Conhecimento e Inovação em Bioeconomia
Fundação Getulio Vargas, maio 2022
Talita Priscila Pinto, Cicero Zanetti de Lima, Camila Genaro, Estevan Pavão, Eduardo Assad
https://eesp.fgv.br/centros/observatorios/bioeconomia

11. Métricas - GEE
Gases Efeito Estufa
CO2
CH4
N2O
Critérios de conversão em equivalente de CO2 para compromissos de redução

18. AFOLU
O peso da mudança de uso da terra para o Brasil é muito grande
O grande peso é o desmatamento
Estima-se que 90 % do desmatamento é ilegal

20. PARTICIPAR
LIDERAR

21. OBRIGADO