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APPLYING
 QUANTITATIVE
     METHODS
    AND RISKS
SIMULATORS IN
    PROJECTS
          CONSULTING
CONSULTING




                                ABOUT
             From 0 to 100% in 3 weeks! Understand why our
             Accelerated Benefits® methodology will provide
             visibility to your project results in a record time.


             Macrosolutions is a pioneer in the implementation of practices
             and techniques of risks and uncertainties analysis simulation
             in projects such as Monte Carlo Simulation, the Decision Tree,
             Sensitivity Analysis and Event Chain Methodology.
             The Macrosolutions’ team is highly skilled in technical concepts as
             well as at the most important risk simulation software available.
             Macrosolutions uses in all works the state of the art of tools
             and processes for managing risks including the market ultimate
             mathematical simulators, vanguard data modeling and reliability
             analysis methods.

                                               © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved.   2/9
CONSULTING




              KEY ISSUES
             ADDRESSED
              »»Insufficient knowledge of the real project uncertainties/
               operation

              »»Imminent risk perception with no control planning
              »»Lack of confidence in the results of qualitative analysis
              »»Lack of predictability on projects with high financial
               investment

              »»Low success rate in meeting the deadlines
              »»Late and ineffective decision making

                                               © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved.   3/9
CONSULTING




              SCOPE OF
                 WORK
             ✓✓Project data modeling
             ✓✓Simulation software implementation
             ✓✓Data Planning and structuring
             ✓✓Scenarios Planning
             ✓✓Simulations execution on the defined scenarios
             ✓✓Statistical treatment of results
             ✓✓Mathematical modeling and estimates of the financial and
               time reserves

             ✓✓Coaching of the Data Update Team

                                                  © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved.   4/9
CONSULTING




                     FACT SHEET
                                                                     DESCRIPTION

                                                Approximate period required for completion of the
        ESTIMATED DURATION OF THE WORK
                                                consultancy work
        2 months.

                                                Level of complexity of work to be performed either
        WORK COMPLEXITY
                                                by Macrosolutions or by the client. Involves internal
        Medium.                                 cultural, technical and technological challenges of the
                                                project to be implemented.

                                                Minimum team the client must provide for the work.
        CLIENT’S TEAM (MINIMUM REQUIRED)
                                                The workload of the client’s team depends on the
        1 Project/Risks Analyst.                structure of the visits and the work to be performed.

                                                It is estimated that the client’s team engages at least
                                                80 to 100 hours / month for the project (individually).

                                                Determines the percentage of participation of the two
        CLIENT’S TEAM ALLOCATION X
                                                teams on the project. For example, allocating a 25%
        MACROSOLUTIONS TEAM ALLOCATION          / 75% indicates that 25% of the project work will be
        25% Client’s Team.                      performed by the client’s team while 75% of the work
        75% Macrosolutions’ Team.               will be conducted by Macrosolutions.

                                                Estimated number of monthly visits of the team
        PROJECT ESTIMATED NUMBER OF VISITS
                                                Macrosolutions at the client’s installations for
        3 visits.                               diagnostic, process validation, meetings, delivery of
                                                results and other work.

                                                Minimum level of project management maturity that
        MATURITY LEVEL     (MINIMUM REQUIRED)
                                                the organization needs to have to accomplish the work.
        Medium to high.                         In more complex jobs the required minimum maturity
                                                is a factor determining the success of the work of
                                                Macrosolutions.

                                                Highlights the work’s comprehensiveness within the
        ORGANIZATIONAL LEVEL OF COVERAGE
                                                organization.
        Corporate:
        Departmental:                           Some types of Macrosolutions’ consulting services can
        Project:                                be specific and located in the project or department
                                                while other works will involve/impact the various
                                                sectors of the organization.

                                                Languages in which the work of Macrosolutions are
        LANGUAGE(S)
                                                developed.
        Portuguese, English, Spanish.



                                                                © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved.   5/9
CONSULTING




      SUPPORTED
  STANDARDS AND
  METHODOLOGIES
                                            Project management standards and methodologies discussed
                                            and addressed in this consulting service.


             Project Management Institute (PMI)                   UK Office of Government Commerce (OGC)

  PMBOK Guide                                          —   PRINCE2 (Projects in Controlled Environments)             —

  PMI Practice Standard for Estimating                     MSP (Managing Successful Programmes)                      —

  PMI Practice Standard for Earned Value Management    —   M_O_R (Management of Risks)

  PMI Practice Standard for Configuration                  P3M3 (Portfolio, Programme, and Project
                                                       —                                                             —
  Management                                               Management Maturity Model)

  PMI Practice Standard for Risk Management                P3O (Portfolio, Programme and Project Offices)            —

  PMI Practice Standard for Work Breakdown Structure   —   MoP (Management of Portfolios)                            —

  PMI Practice Standard for Scheduling                     MoV (Management of Value)                                 —

  PMI Standard for Portfolio Management                —
                                                                                Scrum Alliance
  PMI Standard for Program Management                  —
                                                           Scrum Methodology                                         —
  PMI Project Manager Development Competency
                                                       —
  Framework
                                                             International Project Management Association (IPMA)
  Organizational Project Management Maturity Model
                                                       —   ICB® IPMA Competence Baseline
  (OPM3®)                                                                                                            —



                                                                               © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved.   6/9
CONSULTING




  AREAS: APPROACH
COMPREHENSIVENESS
 AREA             COMPREHENSIVENESS   DESCRIPTION

 Integration                          Includes the processes required to ensure that the various elements of the project
                                      are properly coordinated.

 Scope                                Includes the processes required to ensure that the project includes all the work
                                      required, and only the work required, to complete the project successfully.

 Time                                 Includes the processes required to ensure timely completion of the project.

 Cost                                 Includes the processes required to ensure that the project is completed within the
                                      approved budget.

 Quality                              Includes the processes required to ensure that the project will satisfy the needs for
                                      which it was undertaken.

 Human Resource                       Includes the processes required to make the most effective use of the people
                                      involved with the project.

 Communications                       Includes the processes required to ensure timely and appropriate generation,
                                      collection, dissemination, storage, and ultimate disposition of project information.

 Risk                                 Systematic process of identifying, analyzing, and responding to project risks.
                                      It includes maximizing the probability and consequences of positive events
                                      and minimizing the probability and consequences of adverse events to project
                                      objectives.

 Procurement                          Includes the processes required to acquire goods and services from outside the
                                      performing organization to attain project scope.

 EHS                                  Involves processes related to work safety, health and environment, including specific
                                      regulations.

 Strategic                            Involves the processes which link projects with corporate strategy through the
 Planning                             indicators of the Balanced Scorecard's goals.

                                                                                   © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved.   7/9
CONSULTING




             13 REASONS
             WHY YOUR COMPANY SHOULD
              CHOOSE MACROSOLUTIONS
              Clients and Projects History                Internationally Recognized Experience
              Macrosolutions structured models and        Macrosolutions was the first Brazilian
              processes that support now more than        organization to be accredited by PMI in
              US$18 billion.                              their Registered Consultant Program,
                                                          one of the most comprehensive and
              Return on Investment Calculated             rigorous accreditation programs in
              Mathematically                              project and portfolio management
              Mathematical model based on statistical     consulting.
              processes and simulators which
              allows the determination of return on       Worldwide Operations
              investment for the consultancy work.        Macrosolutions has already done work
                                                          in 29 countries on all continents and in
              Assessment of Future Results                all stages of economic development.
              To ensure the effectiveness of the work
              and also the application, by the client,    Mission Critical
              of the process and structure developed.     The experience of Ricardo Vargas and
                                                          his team, makes Macrosolutions capable
              Methodology and Work Plan                   of acting in various projects that are
              All the work has detailed schedules,        considered mission critical.
              scope clearly defined, project risks
              management mechanisms and other             Ethics, Confidentiality and
              best practices.                             Professionalism
                                                          Everything that we do for our clients
              Knowledge Transfer and                      is considered to be confidential and is
              Documentation                               thus treated with the highest level of
              Each piece of information produced          professional rigor and security.
              is cataloged and structured to be
              physically and digitally delivered to the   Accessibility
              client at the end of the project phases.    Our clients have 24x7 access to the
                                                          team of consultants via telephone, email
              Ricardo Vargas’ Methodology                 and video conferencing mechanisms.
              All Macrosolutions work is based on         This ensures immediate response to
              the experience and the methodology          requests and improves the chances of
              created by Ricardo Vargas, one of           project success.
              the most influential experts in project
              management in the world.                    Simulations and Mathematical Models
                                                          One of the most important service that
              Excellent Team of Consultantss              Macrosolutions provides is the use of
              The team of consultants Macrosolutions      mathematical models and simulations,
              gathers a select group of professionals     which are developed and customized
              with exceptional skills and proven          for our clients.
              international experience.


                                                             © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved.   8/9
CONSULTING




         FURTHER
     INFORMATION
             For further information about this consulting service, please
             contact:

             Phone: +55 31 3024-3003
             Fax: +55 31 3024-3005
             e-mail: info@macrosolutions.com.br

                                            © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved.   9/9

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Macrosolutions Consulting Service: Applying Quantitative Methods and Risks Simulators in Projects

  • 1. APPLYING QUANTITATIVE METHODS AND RISKS SIMULATORS IN PROJECTS CONSULTING
  • 2. CONSULTING ABOUT From 0 to 100% in 3 weeks! Understand why our Accelerated Benefits® methodology will provide visibility to your project results in a record time. Macrosolutions is a pioneer in the implementation of practices and techniques of risks and uncertainties analysis simulation in projects such as Monte Carlo Simulation, the Decision Tree, Sensitivity Analysis and Event Chain Methodology. The Macrosolutions’ team is highly skilled in technical concepts as well as at the most important risk simulation software available. Macrosolutions uses in all works the state of the art of tools and processes for managing risks including the market ultimate mathematical simulators, vanguard data modeling and reliability analysis methods. © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved. 2/9
  • 3. CONSULTING KEY ISSUES ADDRESSED »»Insufficient knowledge of the real project uncertainties/ operation »»Imminent risk perception with no control planning »»Lack of confidence in the results of qualitative analysis »»Lack of predictability on projects with high financial investment »»Low success rate in meeting the deadlines »»Late and ineffective decision making © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved. 3/9
  • 4. CONSULTING SCOPE OF WORK ✓✓Project data modeling ✓✓Simulation software implementation ✓✓Data Planning and structuring ✓✓Scenarios Planning ✓✓Simulations execution on the defined scenarios ✓✓Statistical treatment of results ✓✓Mathematical modeling and estimates of the financial and time reserves ✓✓Coaching of the Data Update Team © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved. 4/9
  • 5. CONSULTING FACT SHEET DESCRIPTION Approximate period required for completion of the ESTIMATED DURATION OF THE WORK consultancy work 2 months. Level of complexity of work to be performed either WORK COMPLEXITY by Macrosolutions or by the client. Involves internal Medium. cultural, technical and technological challenges of the project to be implemented. Minimum team the client must provide for the work. CLIENT’S TEAM (MINIMUM REQUIRED) The workload of the client’s team depends on the 1 Project/Risks Analyst. structure of the visits and the work to be performed. It is estimated that the client’s team engages at least 80 to 100 hours / month for the project (individually). Determines the percentage of participation of the two CLIENT’S TEAM ALLOCATION X teams on the project. For example, allocating a 25% MACROSOLUTIONS TEAM ALLOCATION / 75% indicates that 25% of the project work will be 25% Client’s Team. performed by the client’s team while 75% of the work 75% Macrosolutions’ Team. will be conducted by Macrosolutions. Estimated number of monthly visits of the team PROJECT ESTIMATED NUMBER OF VISITS Macrosolutions at the client’s installations for 3 visits. diagnostic, process validation, meetings, delivery of results and other work. Minimum level of project management maturity that MATURITY LEVEL (MINIMUM REQUIRED) the organization needs to have to accomplish the work. Medium to high. In more complex jobs the required minimum maturity is a factor determining the success of the work of Macrosolutions. Highlights the work’s comprehensiveness within the ORGANIZATIONAL LEVEL OF COVERAGE organization. Corporate: Departmental: Some types of Macrosolutions’ consulting services can Project: be specific and located in the project or department while other works will involve/impact the various sectors of the organization. Languages in which the work of Macrosolutions are LANGUAGE(S) developed. Portuguese, English, Spanish. © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved. 5/9
  • 6. CONSULTING SUPPORTED STANDARDS AND METHODOLOGIES Project management standards and methodologies discussed and addressed in this consulting service. Project Management Institute (PMI) UK Office of Government Commerce (OGC) PMBOK Guide — PRINCE2 (Projects in Controlled Environments) — PMI Practice Standard for Estimating MSP (Managing Successful Programmes) — PMI Practice Standard for Earned Value Management — M_O_R (Management of Risks) PMI Practice Standard for Configuration P3M3 (Portfolio, Programme, and Project — — Management Management Maturity Model) PMI Practice Standard for Risk Management P3O (Portfolio, Programme and Project Offices) — PMI Practice Standard for Work Breakdown Structure — MoP (Management of Portfolios) — PMI Practice Standard for Scheduling MoV (Management of Value) — PMI Standard for Portfolio Management — Scrum Alliance PMI Standard for Program Management — Scrum Methodology — PMI Project Manager Development Competency — Framework International Project Management Association (IPMA) Organizational Project Management Maturity Model — ICB® IPMA Competence Baseline (OPM3®) — © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved. 6/9
  • 7. CONSULTING AREAS: APPROACH COMPREHENSIVENESS AREA COMPREHENSIVENESS DESCRIPTION Integration Includes the processes required to ensure that the various elements of the project are properly coordinated. Scope Includes the processes required to ensure that the project includes all the work required, and only the work required, to complete the project successfully. Time Includes the processes required to ensure timely completion of the project. Cost Includes the processes required to ensure that the project is completed within the approved budget. Quality Includes the processes required to ensure that the project will satisfy the needs for which it was undertaken. Human Resource Includes the processes required to make the most effective use of the people involved with the project. Communications Includes the processes required to ensure timely and appropriate generation, collection, dissemination, storage, and ultimate disposition of project information. Risk Systematic process of identifying, analyzing, and responding to project risks. It includes maximizing the probability and consequences of positive events and minimizing the probability and consequences of adverse events to project objectives. Procurement Includes the processes required to acquire goods and services from outside the performing organization to attain project scope. EHS Involves processes related to work safety, health and environment, including specific regulations. Strategic Involves the processes which link projects with corporate strategy through the Planning indicators of the Balanced Scorecard's goals. © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved. 7/9
  • 8. CONSULTING 13 REASONS WHY YOUR COMPANY SHOULD CHOOSE MACROSOLUTIONS Clients and Projects History Internationally Recognized Experience Macrosolutions structured models and Macrosolutions was the first Brazilian processes that support now more than organization to be accredited by PMI in US$18 billion. their Registered Consultant Program, one of the most comprehensive and Return on Investment Calculated rigorous accreditation programs in Mathematically project and portfolio management Mathematical model based on statistical consulting. processes and simulators which allows the determination of return on Worldwide Operations investment for the consultancy work. Macrosolutions has already done work in 29 countries on all continents and in Assessment of Future Results all stages of economic development. To ensure the effectiveness of the work and also the application, by the client, Mission Critical of the process and structure developed. The experience of Ricardo Vargas and his team, makes Macrosolutions capable Methodology and Work Plan of acting in various projects that are All the work has detailed schedules, considered mission critical. scope clearly defined, project risks management mechanisms and other Ethics, Confidentiality and best practices. Professionalism Everything that we do for our clients Knowledge Transfer and is considered to be confidential and is Documentation thus treated with the highest level of Each piece of information produced professional rigor and security. is cataloged and structured to be physically and digitally delivered to the Accessibility client at the end of the project phases. Our clients have 24x7 access to the team of consultants via telephone, email Ricardo Vargas’ Methodology and video conferencing mechanisms. All Macrosolutions work is based on This ensures immediate response to the experience and the methodology requests and improves the chances of created by Ricardo Vargas, one of project success. the most influential experts in project management in the world. Simulations and Mathematical Models One of the most important service that Excellent Team of Consultantss Macrosolutions provides is the use of The team of consultants Macrosolutions mathematical models and simulations, gathers a select group of professionals which are developed and customized with exceptional skills and proven for our clients. international experience. © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved. 8/9
  • 9. CONSULTING FURTHER INFORMATION For further information about this consulting service, please contact: Phone: +55 31 3024-3003 Fax: +55 31 3024-3005 e-mail: info@macrosolutions.com.br © Macrosolutions SA. All rights reserved. 9/9