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Developing a Regional Programme
    for the Improvement of Economic
     Statistics in Asia and the Pacific
                        Artur Andrysiak
         Statistics Development and Analysis Section
                            ESCAP
                   E-mail: andrysiak@un.org




1                                                      © 2008 by ESCAP
Overview
    • Background
      – Overview of current situation
      – Decision of the Committee on Statistics
    • Regional Programme
      –   Approach to the development of the programme
      –   Work completed during 2009
      –   Aim and target areas of the Programme
      –   Core Set of Economic Statistics
    • Next Steps



2                                                        © 2008 by ESCAP
Background
    • The economic statistics have not received a lot of
      attention in the Asia-Pacific region, the main focus has
      been on the MDGs
    • Many developing countries in the region lack the capacity
      to produce and disseminate basic financial and economic
      data required for compiling of a minimum set of national
      accounts and short-term economic indicators
    • Most developing Asia-Pacific countries have still not been
      able to fully implement 1993 SNA




3                                                         © 2008 by ESCAP
Milestone levels achieved by
    subregion
     Percentage of
       countries
     100



      80



      60



      40



      20



       0
                 1     2       3                     4             5          6
                                   Milestone level

               ENEA   SEA   SSWA             NCA         Pacific       ESCAP total



4                                                                                 © 2008 by ESCAP
Status of SNA implementation in
    Asia and the Pacific
     Number of ESCAP
        countries
        35

        30
                                                     6
        25

        20                                           9


        15
                                                     8
        10              5

                                                     3
         5                               2                                     1
                        8                                                      1
                                         2           5                         4
                                         2                     2
         0
                       SNA68      SNA68/ 93         SNA93    SNA2008     No SNA/ No info

                               Pacific        SEA     SSWA   NCA       ENEA



5                                                                                   © 2008 by ESCAP
Availability of selected economic
    statistics
      Statistical domains

             Merchandise Trade                                    58

    Employment/ Unemployment                                      57

               National Accounts                                  56

          Consumer Price Index                                    56

            Balance of Payments                              49

                Wages/ Earnings                              48

     Industrial Production Index                    37

           Producer Price Index                    34

          Retail Trade Turnover              26

    Volume/ Turnover in Services       16


                                   0    10              20         30          40       50
                                                  No. of ESCAP Asia-Pacific countries

6                                                                                       © 2008 by ESCAP
Availability of censuses and surveys
           Population census                              56                                             2


            Economic census        26                                         32


          Agricultural census           33                                         25




      Household Income and
                                                         53                                          5
       Expenditure Survey

         Labour force Survey                      43                                           15

    Establishment/ Enterprise
                                             39                                           19
             survey

                             0%   20%              40%             60%             80%                 100%

                                    Source data used      Source data not used/ No info



7                                                                                                   © 2008 by ESCAP
Availability of Business Registers
    by subregion and income category
              NCA                                           8                                      1

            ENEA                                  5                                            2

            Pacific                  12                                           9

              SEA                    6                                            5

            SSWA       3                                              7




      High-income                             8                                            4

     Middle-income                       19                                           13

       Low-income                7                                            7


                  0%       20%                        40%       60%               80%                  100%

                                         BR available BR not available/ No info



8                                                                                                      © 2008 by ESCAP
Committee on Statistic, 2009
    • At 1st session, in February 2009
    • Adopted a coordinating governance structure to
      guide the development, implementation and
      monitoring of an action plan (Regional
      Programme) for the development of economic
      statistics in the Asian and Pacific region
    • Established a technical advisory group to provide
      guidance to the Bureau and the ESCAP
      secretariat on the development and periodic
      revision of a regional programme for the
      development of economic statistics
9                                                 © 2008 by ESCAP
Approach to development of
      Programme
     • Agree on a core set of economic statistics that
       each country in the region should be able to
       produce
     • Assess countries’ capacity to produce economic
       statistics, and determine what main impediments
       to produce core set are
       – Initial assessment done; need for continuous (e.g.
         annual) monitoring
     • Identify what countries & agencies are doing /
       planning to do to overcome capacity constraints
       – Need for ongoing information sharing / collection
10                                                            © 2008 by ESCAP
Programme development approach
     (cont.)
     • Identify, for each country, what the remaining
       gaps in capacity are
     • Determine, for and with each country, what
       national priorities to fill the gaps are
     • Develop national work plans to address the
       priorities by:
       – Integrating capacity building requirements for economic statistics
         in National Strategies for the Development of Statistics
       – Mobilizing (advocating for the mobilization) of national and
         internationally resources (funding)
     • Implementing / monitoring the work plans

11                                                                   © 2008 by ESCAP
Work completed during 2009
     • Establishment and meetings of Technical Advisory
       Group (TAG):
       – Experts from AFG, AUS, IND, KAZ, MNG, NZL, ADB,
         ASEAN Secr., ECO Secr., Eurostat, FAO, IMF, SPC
       – Met in Sep and Dec 2009 + intensive email & phone
         communication
       – Proposed Core Set of Economic Statistics
     • Assessment of NSS’s capacity to produce
       economic statistics
       – Development of framework
       – Desk research
       – Country validation / gap filling
12                                                     © 2008 by ESCAP
Work completed during 2009(cont.)
     •   Expert Group Meeting (17-18 September 2009)
         – To discuss need for Regional Programme, how to go
           about developing it, and issues to be covered
     •   Workshop to Develop a Regional Programme (9-
         11 December 2009 )
         – to discuss and formulate recommendations on the
           proposed Regional Programme:
            •   a minimum core set of economic statistics that each country
                in the region should be able to produce
            •   the key elements, deliverables and timelines of the Regional
                Programme
            •   the implementation and periodic review of the Regional
                Programme.

13                                                                    © 2008 by ESCAP
Focus of the Programme




14                            © 2008 by ESCAP
Aim of the Regional Programme
     • The primary aim of the programme is to develop
       the capacity of ESCAP Members and Associate
       Members to produce a core set of economic
       statistics by 2020 of appropriate quality required
       for short and long term economic analyses and
       decision making by both government and non-
       government agencies / organisations.




15                                                   © 2008 by ESCAP
Target areas
     •   develop selected core human skills required to collect,
         compile, analyse and disseminate economic statistics of
         appropriate and known quality
     •   improve the capacity of countries to develop, implement
         and maintain key statistical infrastructures - quality
         assessment framework; metadata repositories; business
         register; area frame for household surveys
     •   improve methodological transparency through national
         compilation and dissemination of appropriate
         methodological information (metadata)
     •   enhance the long-term sustainability of the national
         statistical system through improvements in statistical
         advocacy within the country
16                                                        © 2008 by ESCAP
Delivery of the Programme
     •   The delivery of most aspects of the programme will be
         via the work programmes of NSOs as well as global,
         regional and sub-regional bodies funding and providing
         technical assistance and other initiatives across the
         region
     •   All players active in the region will need to sign on to the
         programme, be willing to share information on their
         activities, and if necessary modify the nature of the
         training or technical assistance and/or the timing of what
         they planned to deliver
     •   ESCAP Committee on Statistics will provide a key forum
         for discussion and decisions on Regional Programme


17                                                             © 2008 by ESCAP
Relationship of the Core Set to the
     Regional Programme
     • Purpose of the programme is to develop the
       capacity to produce a range of economic
       statistics, ie remove the constraints preventing
       their production.
     • The core set fulfils two roles:
       – Determines the scope of the programme.
       – Provides guidance on the minimum set of economic
         statistics to be produced.




18                                                    © 2008 by ESCAP
Core Set of Economic Statistics
     • A minimum set of statistics needed to monitor the
       economy and material wellbeing.
     • Includes both primary and derived statistics.
     • Flexibility in the type of statistic and its characteristics (other
       than frequency) within some statistical categories.
     • Applies to all member countries in principle.
     • In practice, some statistics may not be relevant given the nature
       of the economy of the member country – but that country will
       have the capability to produce the core set.
     • Not a set of surveys ...but source data needs and best practice
       imply the need for certain types of surveys.
     • Not a list of source data needed to compile SNA……but..




19                                                                 © 2008 by ESCAP
Core Set of Economic Statistics

     • …..the statistics are compiled within the SNA and related
       frameworks.
     • …..the statistics are key … so it can be expected that they
       will also provide most of the source data needed to
       compile the national accounts.
     • …the Regional Programme delivers capability. The
       outcome should be country capability to produce national
       accounts including obtaining source data that may not be
       explicitly listed in the core set.




20                                                          © 2008 by ESCAP
Domains of economic statistics
     included in the core set
      –   Prices and costs
      –   Demand and output
      –   Income and wealth
      –   Money and banking
      –   Government
      –   Labour market
      –   Natural assets and the environment

      – Within each of the above domains, the Core Set
        consists of key statistics, each of which is described by
        its frequency and relevant international standard
        and/or guideline
21                                                        © 2008 by ESCAP
Core Set of Economic Statistics

                              Infrastructure:
                (
            frameworks, standards, classifications, registers )




      Input data                Processing             Output statistics




22                                                                © 2008 by ESCAP
Next steps
     • The Core Set and the Regional Programme will be
       finalized during the 1st half of 2010
     • The finalized versions of the Regional Programme and the
       core set will be submitted for the consideration and
       endorsement of the Committee on Statistics during its
       second session, scheduled to take place in December
       2010
     • Given the need for strengthening national statistical
       systems (NSSs) in Asia and the Pacific through actively
       advocating for increased commitment from policymakers,
       particularly in government, both of these documents will
       be subsequently submitted to the ESCAP Commission.


23                                                       © 2008 by ESCAP
Implementation of 2008 SNA and ISIC Rev.4 – ESCAP Region
      Country                   Plans for     If yes, when do you Plans for      If yes, when do you
                                implementatio plan to implement   implementatio plan to implement
                                n of 2008 SNA SNA2008             n of ISIC Rev4 ISIC Rev4


      Armenia                   Y             2011-2012              Y                             2010
      Australia                 Y                             2009Y                                2009
      Bhutan                                                         Y           5years time
      Fiji                      Y             2009, GDP released. Y
                                              Working on all other
                                              national accounts
                                              tables eg up to
                                              lending, integrated
                                              accounts etc


      Hong Kong, China          Y             around 2012            Y                             2011
      India                     Y                             2015Y                                2015
      Indonesia                 Y                             2014

      Iran (Islamic Republic of) N                                   Y                             2011

      Japan                     Y                             2015N
      Republic of Korea         Y                             2014


24                                                                                             © 2008 by ESCAP
Implementation of 2008 SNA and ISIC Rev.4 – ESCAP Region
       Country       Plans for     If yes, when do you Plans for      If yes, when do you
                     implementatio plan to implement   implementatio plan to implement ISIC
                     n of 2008 SNA SNA2008             n of ISIC Rev4 Rev4


       Macao, China Y                                2010Y                             2011

       Malaysia      Y                               2014Y                             2014
       Maldives      Y
       Mongolia      Y                               2015Y                             2010




       New Zealand   N                                  Y                              2011
       Samoa         Y                               2010Y           2009/10
       Singapore     Y             SNA2008 will be      Y            Implemented ISIC Rev4
                                   implemented                       (draft) in 2007.
                                   progressively.                    Implementing ISIC Rev 4
                                                                     in 2011-12.
       Thailand      N                                  Y            201X
       Tonga         Y                                  N
       Viet Nam      Y                               2011Y                             2007

25                                                                                      © 2008 by ESCAP
References and useful links
     Committee on Statistics, First session
     • http://www.unescap.org/stat/cst/1/index.asp
     Towards an action plan for the development of economic statistics in the
     Asian and Pacific region
     • http://www.unescap.org/stat/cst/1/CST1-5E.pdf
     Availability and quality of short-term economic statistics in the Asian and
     the Pacific Region
     • http://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/workshops/2009/netherlands/AC
     Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Economic Statistics in the
     Asian and Pacific Region (17-18 September 2009, Bangkok)
     • http://www.unescap.org/stat/meet/egm2009/index.asp
     Workshop to Develop a Regional Programme for the Improvement of
     Economic Statistics in Asia and the Pacific (9-11 December 2009,
     Bangkok)
     • http://www.unescap.org/stat/meet/econ-dec09/index.asp


26                                                                  © 2008 by ESCAP
Regional advisory services
     The Statistics Division of ESCAP offers regional
            advisory services on statistics

           Regional Adviser on Statistics
               stat.unescap@un.org




27                                              © 2008 by ESCAP
Questions?

     Thank you




28                © 2008 by ESCAP

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D3, escap regional programme and core set of economic statistics 090310

  • 1. Developing a Regional Programme for the Improvement of Economic Statistics in Asia and the Pacific Artur Andrysiak Statistics Development and Analysis Section ESCAP E-mail: andrysiak@un.org 1 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 2. Overview • Background – Overview of current situation – Decision of the Committee on Statistics • Regional Programme – Approach to the development of the programme – Work completed during 2009 – Aim and target areas of the Programme – Core Set of Economic Statistics • Next Steps 2 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 3. Background • The economic statistics have not received a lot of attention in the Asia-Pacific region, the main focus has been on the MDGs • Many developing countries in the region lack the capacity to produce and disseminate basic financial and economic data required for compiling of a minimum set of national accounts and short-term economic indicators • Most developing Asia-Pacific countries have still not been able to fully implement 1993 SNA 3 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 4. Milestone levels achieved by subregion Percentage of countries 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Milestone level ENEA SEA SSWA NCA Pacific ESCAP total 4 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 5. Status of SNA implementation in Asia and the Pacific Number of ESCAP countries 35 30 6 25 20 9 15 8 10 5 3 5 2 1 8 1 2 5 4 2 2 0 SNA68 SNA68/ 93 SNA93 SNA2008 No SNA/ No info Pacific SEA SSWA NCA ENEA 5 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 6. Availability of selected economic statistics Statistical domains Merchandise Trade 58 Employment/ Unemployment 57 National Accounts 56 Consumer Price Index 56 Balance of Payments 49 Wages/ Earnings 48 Industrial Production Index 37 Producer Price Index 34 Retail Trade Turnover 26 Volume/ Turnover in Services 16 0 10 20 30 40 50 No. of ESCAP Asia-Pacific countries 6 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 7. Availability of censuses and surveys Population census 56 2 Economic census 26 32 Agricultural census 33 25 Household Income and 53 5 Expenditure Survey Labour force Survey 43 15 Establishment/ Enterprise 39 19 survey 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source data used Source data not used/ No info 7 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 8. Availability of Business Registers by subregion and income category NCA 8 1 ENEA 5 2 Pacific 12 9 SEA 6 5 SSWA 3 7 High-income 8 4 Middle-income 19 13 Low-income 7 7 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% BR available BR not available/ No info 8 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 9. Committee on Statistic, 2009 • At 1st session, in February 2009 • Adopted a coordinating governance structure to guide the development, implementation and monitoring of an action plan (Regional Programme) for the development of economic statistics in the Asian and Pacific region • Established a technical advisory group to provide guidance to the Bureau and the ESCAP secretariat on the development and periodic revision of a regional programme for the development of economic statistics 9 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 10. Approach to development of Programme • Agree on a core set of economic statistics that each country in the region should be able to produce • Assess countries’ capacity to produce economic statistics, and determine what main impediments to produce core set are – Initial assessment done; need for continuous (e.g. annual) monitoring • Identify what countries & agencies are doing / planning to do to overcome capacity constraints – Need for ongoing information sharing / collection 10 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 11. Programme development approach (cont.) • Identify, for each country, what the remaining gaps in capacity are • Determine, for and with each country, what national priorities to fill the gaps are • Develop national work plans to address the priorities by: – Integrating capacity building requirements for economic statistics in National Strategies for the Development of Statistics – Mobilizing (advocating for the mobilization) of national and internationally resources (funding) • Implementing / monitoring the work plans 11 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 12. Work completed during 2009 • Establishment and meetings of Technical Advisory Group (TAG): – Experts from AFG, AUS, IND, KAZ, MNG, NZL, ADB, ASEAN Secr., ECO Secr., Eurostat, FAO, IMF, SPC – Met in Sep and Dec 2009 + intensive email & phone communication – Proposed Core Set of Economic Statistics • Assessment of NSS’s capacity to produce economic statistics – Development of framework – Desk research – Country validation / gap filling 12 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 13. Work completed during 2009(cont.) • Expert Group Meeting (17-18 September 2009) – To discuss need for Regional Programme, how to go about developing it, and issues to be covered • Workshop to Develop a Regional Programme (9- 11 December 2009 ) – to discuss and formulate recommendations on the proposed Regional Programme: • a minimum core set of economic statistics that each country in the region should be able to produce • the key elements, deliverables and timelines of the Regional Programme • the implementation and periodic review of the Regional Programme. 13 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 14. Focus of the Programme 14 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 15. Aim of the Regional Programme • The primary aim of the programme is to develop the capacity of ESCAP Members and Associate Members to produce a core set of economic statistics by 2020 of appropriate quality required for short and long term economic analyses and decision making by both government and non- government agencies / organisations. 15 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 16. Target areas • develop selected core human skills required to collect, compile, analyse and disseminate economic statistics of appropriate and known quality • improve the capacity of countries to develop, implement and maintain key statistical infrastructures - quality assessment framework; metadata repositories; business register; area frame for household surveys • improve methodological transparency through national compilation and dissemination of appropriate methodological information (metadata) • enhance the long-term sustainability of the national statistical system through improvements in statistical advocacy within the country 16 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 17. Delivery of the Programme • The delivery of most aspects of the programme will be via the work programmes of NSOs as well as global, regional and sub-regional bodies funding and providing technical assistance and other initiatives across the region • All players active in the region will need to sign on to the programme, be willing to share information on their activities, and if necessary modify the nature of the training or technical assistance and/or the timing of what they planned to deliver • ESCAP Committee on Statistics will provide a key forum for discussion and decisions on Regional Programme 17 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 18. Relationship of the Core Set to the Regional Programme • Purpose of the programme is to develop the capacity to produce a range of economic statistics, ie remove the constraints preventing their production. • The core set fulfils two roles: – Determines the scope of the programme. – Provides guidance on the minimum set of economic statistics to be produced. 18 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 19. Core Set of Economic Statistics • A minimum set of statistics needed to monitor the economy and material wellbeing. • Includes both primary and derived statistics. • Flexibility in the type of statistic and its characteristics (other than frequency) within some statistical categories. • Applies to all member countries in principle. • In practice, some statistics may not be relevant given the nature of the economy of the member country – but that country will have the capability to produce the core set. • Not a set of surveys ...but source data needs and best practice imply the need for certain types of surveys. • Not a list of source data needed to compile SNA……but.. 19 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 20. Core Set of Economic Statistics • …..the statistics are compiled within the SNA and related frameworks. • …..the statistics are key … so it can be expected that they will also provide most of the source data needed to compile the national accounts. • …the Regional Programme delivers capability. The outcome should be country capability to produce national accounts including obtaining source data that may not be explicitly listed in the core set. 20 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 21. Domains of economic statistics included in the core set – Prices and costs – Demand and output – Income and wealth – Money and banking – Government – Labour market – Natural assets and the environment – Within each of the above domains, the Core Set consists of key statistics, each of which is described by its frequency and relevant international standard and/or guideline 21 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 22. Core Set of Economic Statistics Infrastructure: ( frameworks, standards, classifications, registers ) Input data Processing Output statistics 22 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 23. Next steps • The Core Set and the Regional Programme will be finalized during the 1st half of 2010 • The finalized versions of the Regional Programme and the core set will be submitted for the consideration and endorsement of the Committee on Statistics during its second session, scheduled to take place in December 2010 • Given the need for strengthening national statistical systems (NSSs) in Asia and the Pacific through actively advocating for increased commitment from policymakers, particularly in government, both of these documents will be subsequently submitted to the ESCAP Commission. 23 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 24. Implementation of 2008 SNA and ISIC Rev.4 – ESCAP Region Country Plans for If yes, when do you Plans for If yes, when do you implementatio plan to implement implementatio plan to implement n of 2008 SNA SNA2008 n of ISIC Rev4 ISIC Rev4 Armenia Y 2011-2012 Y 2010 Australia Y 2009Y 2009 Bhutan Y 5years time Fiji Y 2009, GDP released. Y Working on all other national accounts tables eg up to lending, integrated accounts etc Hong Kong, China Y around 2012 Y 2011 India Y 2015Y 2015 Indonesia Y 2014 Iran (Islamic Republic of) N Y 2011 Japan Y 2015N Republic of Korea Y 2014 24 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 25. Implementation of 2008 SNA and ISIC Rev.4 – ESCAP Region Country Plans for If yes, when do you Plans for If yes, when do you implementatio plan to implement implementatio plan to implement ISIC n of 2008 SNA SNA2008 n of ISIC Rev4 Rev4 Macao, China Y 2010Y 2011 Malaysia Y 2014Y 2014 Maldives Y Mongolia Y 2015Y 2010 New Zealand N Y 2011 Samoa Y 2010Y 2009/10 Singapore Y SNA2008 will be Y Implemented ISIC Rev4 implemented (draft) in 2007. progressively. Implementing ISIC Rev 4 in 2011-12. Thailand N Y 201X Tonga Y N Viet Nam Y 2011Y 2007 25 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 26. References and useful links Committee on Statistics, First session • http://www.unescap.org/stat/cst/1/index.asp Towards an action plan for the development of economic statistics in the Asian and Pacific region • http://www.unescap.org/stat/cst/1/CST1-5E.pdf Availability and quality of short-term economic statistics in the Asian and the Pacific Region • http://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/workshops/2009/netherlands/AC Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Economic Statistics in the Asian and Pacific Region (17-18 September 2009, Bangkok) • http://www.unescap.org/stat/meet/egm2009/index.asp Workshop to Develop a Regional Programme for the Improvement of Economic Statistics in Asia and the Pacific (9-11 December 2009, Bangkok) • http://www.unescap.org/stat/meet/econ-dec09/index.asp 26 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 27. Regional advisory services The Statistics Division of ESCAP offers regional advisory services on statistics Regional Adviser on Statistics stat.unescap@un.org 27 © 2008 by ESCAP
  • 28. Questions? Thank you 28 © 2008 by ESCAP