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MAVAM Brazil
                                                                     10th Edición




Grupo Convergencia | Convergencialatina | Convergencia Research
Avenida Belgrano 680 – Piso 9 (C1092AAT) - Buenos Aires, Argentina
T. + 54 11 4345-3036
info@convergencialatina.com | wwww.convergencialatina.com | research@convergencia.com
Editorial
                              As the global leader in mobile messaging with more than one   one-third of the global
                              SMS infrastructure market (as calculated by Informa Telecoms & Media in 2011),
                              Acision launches the tenth edition of MAVAM Brazil with the special theme
                              ¨Messaging”. This edition continues to demonstrate Acision’s commitment to
                              providing a tool that analysis the trends associated with the consumption of mobile
                              VAS and messaging across the Brazilian mobile market during the last quarter
                                        messaging
                              and how this impacts operators.
                              In 2011, we witnessed the Brazilian carriers launch aggressive pricing models and
                              offers around SMS to encourage the uptake of this service, while also highlightin
                                                                                                     highlighting
                              the advantages and potential of using it. However, while widely used in other
                              countries in Latin America, we still see low penetration in the Brazilian market.
                              Subscribers have started to respond positively to alternative and better pricing
                              models, and this research indicates that consumption of SMS is increasing in
                                            this
                              Brazil, with some carriers experiencing a rise in traffic by up to four times,
                              depending on the carrier.
           Oliveira Vancrei
                              Net sales of SMS and MMS during the third quarter of 2011 reached R$ 964
                              million, representing 37.1% of VAS revenues. Although SMS and messaging
                                       representing
                    Acision
                              stands for a major proportion of mobile VAS today, we have used this MAVAM
VP regional Am´wrica Latina   research to better understand the reasons that motivate or inhibit the use of text
                              and multimedia messaging, with the results represented in this report.
                                                                 results
                              We also demonstrate that opportunities based on SMS go beyond the basic
                              service as we know it today with value added, personalised messaging providing
                                                               value-added,
                              an enriched user experience through services such as group messaging, auto auto-
                              reply / auto signature and parental control. These services have the potential to
                                      auto-signature
                              increase messaging revenues by up to 15 percent and vastly improve the
                              messaging experience and relevance for the end
                                                                           end-user.
                              In addition, we expect to see widespread adoption of services like Collect SMS
                              and Prepaid SMS Reply services in 2012, which modelled on the well known
                              collect call procedure enables prepaid customers to send messages even when
                              out of credit.
                              We also expect IP Messaging services to be a priority for oper
                                                                                          operators in 2012, as
                              they seek to deliver new innovative services to compete with ‘OTT’ messaging
                              services. IP Messaging, such as is RCS e, is key to delivering services that have
                                                                 RCS-e,
                              the same user experience, reach and reliability that users have become
                              accustomed
                              accustomed to with SMS, while leveraging the capabilities of broadband IP
                              network and delivering services such as IM, group chat, file transfer and video
                              sharing. Operators will also begin to adopt cloud based services, which will
                                                                            cloud-based
                              become a prominent delivery model in 2012, also means that these innovations
                              will be brought to market faster.
                              With this in mind, this edition of MAVAM has researched the potential demand for
                              new messaging services that enrich and expand the use of messaging, how users
                              use messaging services and looks at business models for paying for each service
                                              services
                              and driving up operator revenue.
                              We hope you enjoy reading!




                                                     |2|
Index
1. Introduction....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 4
   1.1. Value Added Services worldwide ............................................................................................................................................................... 5

   1.2. Value Added services in Latin America ...................................................................................................................................................... 9

   1.3. Value Added Services in Brazil ................................................................................................................................................................ 12

2. MAVAM (Acision Monitor for Mobile VAS) ...................................................................................................................................................... 16

3. Messaging Services (Special Topic) ............................................................................................................................................................... 17
   3.1. SMS ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 18

       3.1.1. Future importance of SMS ................................................................................................................................................................ 20

       3.1.2. Barriers to SMS usage ...................................................................................................................................................................... 20
       3.1.3. New SMS and MMS-based services ................................................................................................................................................. 21
   3.2. MMS ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 25

   3.3. Instant messaging (IM) ............................................................................................................................................................................ 28
   3.4. Advantages of SMS over instant messaging ............................................................................................................................................ 33

   3.5. Advantages of instant messaging over SMS ............................................................................................................................................ 34
       3.5.1. Service preference among recipients ................................................................................................................................................ 35
       3.5.2. Service preference based on circumstances ..................................................................................................................................... 36
       3.5.3. Service speed and reliability.............................................................................................................................................................. 37

   3.6. Use of messaging during end of year festivities ....................................................................................................................................... 38
   3.7. Use of advertising to reduce SMS prices ................................................................................................................................................. 39

4. MAVAM Brazil ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 40

   4.1. Entertainment .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 40

       4.1.1. File types (images, music, games, ringtones and videos).................................................................................................................. 40
       4.1.2. Mobile TV (viewing) .......................................................................................................................................................................... 41
   4.2. E-Mail ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 41

   4.3. Mobile Internet ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 43
   4.4. Social Networks ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 45
   4.5. Mobile Marketing ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 47
   4.6. Cash and mobile banking ........................................................................................................................................................................ 49
   4.7. GPS and maps ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 50

5. Conclusions .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 51

6. Glossary ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 52

7. Technical File ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 56

8. Equipo ............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 58




                                                                                                        |3|
1. Introduction
During the third quarter of 2011, we saw mobile telephony connections pass the 100% milestone in Latin America,
although there are still countries like Mexico, Bolivia, Nicaragua, Cuba, Peru and others yet to hit this mark. Today,
there is more than one connection per person because of circumstances where people own more than two
telephones, have machine to machine (M2M) connections, mobile broadband USB modems and connections
which are almost redundant.

2011 also saw smartphone penetration increase and mobile broadband services evolve. Mobile broadband is also
driving a surge in post-paid clients for operators, especially in major markets, while pre-paid plans still account for
the larger share of the market. Social networks and apps are the drivers of this new phase for mobile broadband.

In 2012, the main markets in Latin America will have adopted portability and a number of mobile virtual network
operator (MVNO) businesses will be built. Today, Columbia has the biggest MVNO market which is principally
focused on broadband. New virtual mobile operators are expected to enter the markets in Brazil, Argentina, Mexico
and Chile, as well as other countries. These operators focus on niche markets and their potential market share is
estimated to be 2%. Virgin Mobile is expected to be the newest entrant, which is seeking to become the first
regional mobile virtual operator focusing on the 14-34 age range.

The arrival of mobile virtual operators brings a new outlook for spectrum in various countries, generally attracting
new players who will increase competition.

Based on these factors, 2012 should see more competition rise, especially in mobile broadband, with growing use
of social networks and application by pre-paid clients as well as new businesses.




                                                         |4|
1.1. Value Added Services worldwide
To understand the value added services (VAS) business worldwide, we analyzed VAS evolution for the world’s
biggest mobile carriers in various regions of the world. We compared the 3Q values for 2010 and 2011, except for
China Mobile, whose data only allows us to compare changes between 1H 2010 and 1H 2011.

The companies evaluated are:

     América Móvil – Latin America                                   Verizon – United States

     AT&T - United States                                            Vodafone

     China Mobile – China*                                                Vodafone United Kingdom

     Orange - France                                                      Vodafone Germany

     NTT Docomo - Japan                                                   Vodafone India

     Telefónica

         Telefónica Spain                                          Chart 1
                                                                   Operators analyzed
         Telefónica United Kingdom

         Telefónica Latin America




                                                   AT& T / Verizon
                                                   America Móvil + TEF Latam
                                                   China Telecom
                                                   France Telecom
                                                   NTT Docomo
                                                   Telefónica
                                                   Vodafone




*
    China Mobile 1H 2010 x 1H 2011




                                                        |5|
Chart 2
Change in share of voice service revenue vs. value added service (VAS) revenue. Between the
second and third quarter 2011. Except China Mobile, comparing 1H 2010 with 1H 2011

          20%
                                                                                                                              16%
                                   Voice Services                                              VAS Services
          15%


          10%
                                                                                                                         7%
                                                                                                                    6%
                    4%                                                                                         5%
           5%                             4%                                                           3% 3%
                                                     2%                                    2% 2% 3% 3%
                         1%                                                           1%
           0%
                                                          -1% 0% -1%-1%
                              -3%-3%-3%
           -5%                                 -4%                              -5%

          -10%
                 America Movil                             Telefónica Latin America                 AT&T United States
                 France Telecom France                     NTT Docomo                               Vodafone United Kingdom
                 Telecom Italy                             Telefónica United Kingdom                Verizon
                 Vodafone Germany                          Telefónica Spain                         Vodafone India


Source: Convergencia Research based on carriers’ published financial reports.


VAS continues to grow its share of total revenue among the carriers surveyed, independent of country. Positive
changes in voice service revenue contributions are normally explained by specific events, such as regulatory
measures (reduced interconnection fees – Se MAVAM Brazil 9th Edition), competition or seasonal effect.

In more advanced countries, the increase is mainly based on mobile Internet revenues driven by the increasing
number of smartphones. In countries where there is still room to grow the number of connections, SMS still plays a
major role in VAS growth.




                                                                    |6|
Chart 3
VAS share of total ARPU. 3Q 2011. Except China Mobile, comparing 1H 2010 with 1H 2011
                                   100%


                                          80%
                   VAS over the total %




                                          60%


                                          40%
                                                54%

                                                      46%

                                                            46%

                                                                  43%

                                                                        40%

                                                                              39%

                                                                                     35%
                                          20%




                                                                                           32%

                                                                                                 30%

                                                                                                       26%

                                                                                                             25%

                                                                                                                   25%

                                                                                                                         16%
                                          0%




Source: Convergencia Research based on carriers’ corresponding financial reports – 3Q 2011


It is interesting to compare the operations of Vodafone UK, Germany and India.

In the UK, Vodafone’s VAS represent 46% of service sales and this share is almost identical to its main competitor,
O2 UK (Telefonica).

In the UK, which has a significant number of smartphones, Vodafone’s mobile Internet service sales have grown
around 3% quarterly/per quarter, while messaging (SMS and MMS) grow around 2%. However, in Germany
messaging revenues are also growing at 2%, while mobile Internet revenues are growing at 6%.

In contrast, India, which has mobile penetration of around 70% of the population, SMS grows at around 43% and
mobile Internet at just 2%, mainly because 3G networks were only recently launched (See previous editions of
MAVAM).

In the US, both Verizon and AT&T present similar figures to Vodafone, with VAS growth of no more than 5% per
quarter and voice revenues declining by 1 to 3%, depending on the carrier, although in this market VAS
contribution (40%) is lower that the European countries where Vodafone operates. In Japan, voice and data growth
rates for NTT Docomo are similar to the USA, but the main difference is that VAS (contributing 54% of revenues) is
NTT Docomo’s main source of income, instead of voice revenues, on which other carriers depend.




                                                                               |7|
At China Mobile, whose figures only allow for a six-monthly comparison, the number of subscribers grew 11.3%
annually between the first semester of 2010 and 2011 to 617 million lines, in a country where 75% penetration still
offers room for post-paid plan growth. As new users are usually “low usage clients” and the “one client with several
chips” is becoming more commonplace, total ARPU dropped 3% in the first half of 2011, year on year.

China Mobile has 35 million 3G subscribers (5% of its customer base). At the end of the first half of 2011, VAS
represented 32.2% of carrier revenues, up 18% year on year compared with 5% for voice services, in local
currency. Of the VAS, the contribution made by SMS has dropped almost 1 percentage point, while revenue for
voice services, mobile Internet and “other VAS” rose between 0.5 and 1 percentage point.

Chart 4
Mobile penetration vs. VAS contribution to ARPU. 3Q 2011. China Mobile 1H 2010 x 1H 2011
                   160%
                                VAS % 3Q 11
                   140%         Penetration / 100 inhabitants
                   120%
                   100%
                     80%
                     60%
                     40%
                     20%
                      0%




Source: Convergencia Research based on carriers’ corresponding financial reports and penetration data from various sources.




                                                                   |8|
1.2. Value Added services in Latin America
The third quarter of 2011 ended with 607 million mobile telephone lines (including 10.5 million trunking2 lines) in
                                          1
Latin America and the Caribbean . The number of lines brings regional penetration up to 104% -taking into account
trunking lines and 102% without them-, although some countries3 have yet to achieve this level of mobile
subscriptions. South America4 and Mexico represent 89% of these lines (540.4 million). The remainder are in
Central America5 (41.7 million) and the Caribbean6 (24.6 million).

The main regional telecom holdings are America Movil, operating in 18 countries, and Telefonica, in 14. Together,
they represent 64% of lines in Latin America and the Caribbean (37% and 27% respectively).

During the quarter through September 30, 2011, total sales for mobile operators in the countries researched were
23,397 billion dollars (without trunking services revenues), up 17% year on year. Convergencia Research
estimates that 2011 should end with sales 14% up on 2010 to 91,500 billion dollars.

89% of regional revenues are generated in South America and Mexico (17,138 million dollars and 3,753 million
dollars respectively) and the remaining 11% is split between Central America (1,446 million dollars) and the
Caribbean (1,061 million dollars).

Voice revenues were up 11% between 3Q 2010 and 3Q 2011 to 15,967 billion dollars.

Revenues from device sales rose to 2,052 billion dollars, 20% up on the 1,716 billion dollars registered last year.

Value added services (VAS) continue to show the most robust growth. During the third quarter of 2011 they
generated 5,378 billion dollars, 40% up year on year. This means that VAS now represent 25% of service revenues
(voice + VAS), compared with 21% previously.




2
  Trunking or Specialized Mobile Service (SME for its initials in Portuguese) is a service of terrestrial mobile telecommunications of collective
interest that uses the radio system, mainly, to perform delivery operations or other forms of telecommunications. Sourse: Annex to resolution
No. 404 of May 5, 2005 (Anatel).
3
  Bolivia, Paraguay, Perú, Venezuela, Guyana y Guyana Francesa, México, Belice, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras y Nicaragua, Antillas
Francesas, Bonaire, Cuba, Curazao, Haití, Islas Turcas y Caicos, Montserrat, Puerto Rico, República Dominicana y Santa Lucía.
4
    Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Ecuador, Guiana, French Guiana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay and Venezuela.
5
    Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama.
6
 Anguilla, Antigua and Barbados, French Antilles, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, Bonaire, Cuba, Curacao, Dominica, Granada, Haiti,
Cayman Islands, Turks and Caicos Islands, British Virgin Islands, Jamaica, Montserrat, Porto Rico, Dominican Republic, Saint Kitts and Neves,
Saint Vicente and the Grenadines, Santa Lucia, Trinidad and Tobago.




                                                                      |9|
Chart 5
Mobile telephony revenue growth in Latin America, by service type. 3Q 2010 x 3Q 2011

                                            USD 25,000                 3Q 10               3Q 11                 Variation                                                                              45%
                                                                                                                                                    40%
                                                                                                                                                                                                        40%




                                                                                      USD 23,397
                                            USD 20,000                                                                                                                                                  35%
                 Revenues in USD Million




                                                                  USD 20,006
                                                                                                                                                                                                        30%
                                            USD 15,000




                                                                                                                       USD 15,967
                                                                                                                                                                                                        25%



                                                                                                    USD 14,439
                                                                                                                                                                                   20%




                                                                                                                                                           USD 5,378
                                                                               17%                                                                                                                      20%
                                            USD 10,000




                                                                                                                                        USD 3,851
                                                                                                                                                                                                        15%




                                                                                                                                                                                         USD 2,052
                                                                                                                                                                       USD 1,716
                                                                                                                 11%
                                                   USD 5,000                                                                                                                                            10%

                                                                                                                                                                                                        5%

                                                      USD 0                                                                                                                                             0%
                                                                  Total Mobile                     Voice Service                                    VAS                    Terminals
                                                                 Phone Service
Chart 6
Mobile telephony sales by revenue source. 3Q 2010 x 3Q 2011
                                                   USD 25,000
                                                                                                                                                    USD 144 USD 23.397
                                                                                                                                    USD 840 USD 543
                                                                         USD 1.527 USD 337
                                                                USD 20,006
                                                   USD 20,000
                         Revenues in USD Million




                                                   USD 15,000



                                                   USD 10,000



                                                    USD 5,000



                                                       USD 0
                                                                      3Q10           Voice Serv. Terminals                           Internet Messaging Other VAS                                    3Q11

                                                                   Voice Serv.                     Terminals                        Internet              Messaging                 Other VAS

Of the added value services, SMS and MMS have a 51% market share, with mobile Internet at 38% and other VAS
representing 11%. Other VAS revenue flows include, for example, mobile marketing, revenue sharing for content
and application downloads, mobile banking solutions and others.

Mobile Internet revenues have risen 69%, driven by the growth of smartphones, which now represent around 10%
of all cell phones in Latin America.




                                                                                                                   | 10 |
Brazil is the biggest mobile Internet market by revenue and users, although Central America and countries with low
levels of fixed line broadband penetration also drive significant volumes.

Text and multimedia messaging services have seen sales rise by 25%, mainly because there are still countries with
very low usage levels and there are still opportunities to increase usage through devices and other commercial
tactics.

The other VAS’s have seen revenues rise by 31%, based on new mobile businesses like mobile payments, mobile
marketing and application downloads, among others.

Chart 7
VAS Revenue Shares. Through 3Q 2011.
                      Voice Serv.       VAS         SMS + MMS          Internet      Other VAS




                                                                             USD 2,052
                                                                               38%
                         USD 15,967           USD 5,378
                           75%                  25%
                                                                     USD 2,714
                                                                       51%
                                                                                         USD 613
                                                                                          11%




                                                          | 11 |
1.3. Value Added Services in Brazil
Brazil ended the third quarter of 2011 with 231 million mobile telephone connections (including 3.9 million trunking
lines from Nextel), representing 120% penetration of the local population. Annual growth is 19% between the third
quarters of 2010 and 2011. When this study was being concluded, Anatel announced that there were 242.2 million
mobile lines at the end of December 2011, which increases penetration to 124%.

Chart 8
Mobile Telephone connections by operator. Variation between 3Q 2011 and 3Q 2011
                                                       80,000            3Q10            3Q11         Variation                                                       30%
                                                                                                                               26%
                                                       70,000
                 Mobile Phone Service Customers - In




                                                                                                                                                                      25%
                                                                                67,038




                                                       60,000




                                                                                                                                     59,210
                                                                57,714




                                                                                                             57,514

                                                                                                     18%                                                              20%
                                                       50,000
                            thousands




                                                                         16%
                                                                                            48,767




                                                                                                                      46,947

                                                                                                                                                       15%
                                                       40,000                                                                                                         15%




                                                                                                                                                             42,871
                                                                                                                                              37,387
                                                       30,000
                                                                                                                                                                      10%

                                                       20,000

                                                                                                                                                                      5%
                                                       10,000


                                                           0                                                                                                          0%
                                                                         Vivo                        Claro                     TIM                     Oi


Vivo remains in the top spot by number of connections, with 67 million connections and year on year growth of
16%. In second spot is TIM, with 59.2 million connections and 26% annual growth. In third place is Claro, which
grew by 18% and now has 57.5 million subscribers. Oi is in fourth place with 42.8 million connections and posted
the lowest annual growth (15%).




                                                                                                         | 12 |
Chart 9
Market share by number of lines. In thousands.
                                                                                                                                             Oi           CTBC
                                                                        TIM                                                                42,871          633
                                                                       59,210                                                               19%           0.28%
                                                                        26%

                                                                                                                                                                Sercomtel
                                                                                                                                                                   76
                                                                                                                                                                 0.03%




                                                                                                                                                   Vivo
                                                                        Claro                                                                     67,038
                                                                       57,514                                                                      30%
                                                                        25%


Vivo and Oi increased ARPU, which fell slightly for Claro and TIM in these quarters.

Vivo remained leader in ARPU (25.2 BRL and $ 16). In second place is TIM with ARPU of 23.5 BRL and $12.9.

Chart 10
Total ARPU for the major operators. 3Q 2010 and 3Q 2011, in BRL and US$
                  USD 18                                                             3Q10          3Q11                                   R$ 30                                                           3Q10          3Q11
                  USD 16
                                      USD 16.0




                                                                                                                                          R$ 25
                                                                                                                                                                 R$ 26.2
                                                                                                                                                      R$ 25.2




                  USD 14
                           USD 14.4




                                                                                                                                                                                                R$ 23.5




                                                                                                                                                                                                                    R$ 22.9
                                                                                                           USD 13.5
                                                                          USD 13.4




                                                                                                                                                                                                                               R$ 22.2
                                                                                                USD 13.1
                                                                                     USD 12.9




                  USD 12                                                                                                                  R$ 20
  ARPU - In USD




                                                                                                                                                                                                          R$ 21.2
                                                                                                                           ARPU - In R$




                                                                                                                                                                            R$ 19.0
                                                 USD 10.9




                  USD 10
                                                            USD 10.4




                                                                                                                                                                                      R$ 17.0




                                                                                                                                          R$ 15
                  USD 8

                  USD 6                                                                                                                   R$ 10

                  USD 4
                                                                                                                                           R$ 5
                  USD 2

                  USD 0                                                                                                                    R$ 0
                              Vivo                Claro                      TIM                      Oi                                                Vivo                 Claro                 TIM                    Oi



Gross mobile sales, including device sales in the third quarter of 2011 were 21,332 billion BRL, up 11% year on
year.




                                                                                                                      | 13 |
Chart 11
Gross and net revenues for the mobile telephone business. 3Q 2010 and 3Q 2011, in BRL and US$
                                                                                 Voice Services                                                                                    Voice Services
                  USD 20,000
                                                                                 Terminals                                R$ 25,000                  R$ 21,332                     Terminals
                                                USD 13,007                                                                            R$ 19,301      R$ 1,535
                  USD 15,000                                                                                              R$ 20,000   R$ 1,347
                                                 USD 936                                                                                                                              R$ 15,412
 In Million USD




                               USD 11,029
                                                                                     USD 9,397




                                                                                                          In Million R$
                                USD 770                                                                                                                             R$ 13,130         R$ 1,182
                                                                 USD 7,503            USD 721                             R$ 15,000                                  R$ 840
                  USD 10,000




                                                                                                                                                        R$ 19,797
                                                    USD 12,071




                                                                                                                                         R$ 17,955
                                                                 USD 480
                                   USD 10,260




                                                                                                                                                                                         R$ 14,231
                                                                                                                          R$ 10,000




                                                                                          USD 8,677




                                                                                                                                                                       R$ 12,291
                                                                     USD 7,023
                   USD 5,000
                                                                                                                           R$ 5,000

                      USD 0
                                                                                                                              R$ 0
                                 3Q10             3Q11             3Q10                 3Q11
                                                                                                                                       3Q10            3Q11           3Q10              3Q11
                               Gross revenues in USD              Net revenues in USD
                                                                                                                                      Gross revenues in R$           Net revenues in R$


Mobile services represent 92.7% of all gross sales, up 10% year on year. The remaining 7.3% is revenues from
devices, which rose 14%.

Between July and September 2011, net VAS sales reached 2,601 billion BRL, up 36% year on year. VAS revenues
represent 19.83% of Brazilian mobile operators’ service sales, similar to the contribution recorded in 2Q 2011.

In the third quarter, mobile broadband generated net sales of 1,413 billion BRL, representing 54.3% of the VAS
business. Annual growth was 64%.

Instant messaging services (SMS + MMS) rose 14% to 0,964 billion BRL. SMS represents 37.10% of VAS.

Other VAS’s grew 6% generating net sales of 0,224 billion BRL. Other VAS represented 8.6% of the value added
business.




                                                                                                      | 14 |
Chart 12
Net revenue distribution by service. 3Q 2011, in millions of BRL and US$
                      Voice Serv.         VAS          SMS + MMS            Internet          Other VAS




                                                                               USD 862
                                                                               R$ 1,413
                                                                                54%
                         USD 6,411              USD 1,586
                         R$ 10,514               R$ 2,601
                           80%                    20%
                                                                              USD 588
                                                                               R$ 964             USD 136
                                                                                37%                R$ 224
                                                                                                    9%




Vivo retains top spot in VAS as a percentage contribution to total revenues (23%). VAS represents 18% of service
sales to both TIM and Oi.

Chart 13
Net VAS sales as a percentage of service sales. Quarterly evolution 2009 – 3Q 2011.
                25%                                                                             23%       23%
                             Vivo                                              23%
                                                               22%    22%              22%
                             TIM
                                                       20%
                20%          Oi
                                                                                                          18%
                                                17%                                             17%

                                         15%                                           15%                18%
                15%     13%       13%                                          14%              16%
                                                               13%    13%              15%
                                         12%           12%
                                                11%
                                  12%
                10%                                            12%             12%
                        11%                                           11%
                                                       11%
                                         10%    10%
                        9%         9%

                 5%



                 0%
                        3Q         3Q     3Q     4Q     3Q      3Q     3Q       4Q      1Q       2Q        3Q
                       2009       2009   2009   2009   2010    2010   2010     2010    2011     2011      2011




                                                            | 15 |
2. MAVAM (Acision Monitor for Mobile VAS)
MAVAM Acision aims at analyzing the trends of value added services in Latin America. This study has been carried
out in Brazil since 2009. It started to be carried out in Mexico in 2010 and in Argentina in 2011.

This edition of MAVAM Brazil has the following methodological features:

a) It was carried out through a survey addressed to 1,493 mobile phone users across Brazil, by means of two
   different surveying techniques: the Computer-assisted Web Interviewing (CAWI) technique and Computer-
   assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI) technique. The sample consists of 193 people interviewed on the phone
   (CATI) from December 5th through December 15th, 2011, and of 1,300 people interviewed on the Internet
   (CAWI) from December 5th through December 16th, 2011.

b) The geographic area covered by the sample comprises all of Brazil’s regions. The sample considers the number
   of inhabitants, their socioeconomic status, age and gender in order to improve representativeness nationwide.

  As the number of Internet users is lower than the number of mobile users, and given that the sample represents
  a population which is very familiar with the use of technology, the values obtained in some cases bar projections
  from applying to the entire market, and they are only reference and indicative data. These cases are explained
  throughout the study.

c) The CAWI was supplemented by the CATI in order to create a group for data monitoring and comparison
   purposes.

d) The services analyzed in this edition include:

      Messaging                                                         Mobile Internet

      • SMS                                                             • Social networks

      • MMS                                                             • Payments and mobile banking

      • E-mail                                                          • Mobile Marketing

      • Instant messaging                                               • Location services (GPS)

      Entertainment                                               Brazil: Geographical areas
      • Music                                                                   Sample    Participation
                                                                  North              44           2.9%
      • Images
                                                                  North-East        266          17.8%
      • Games                                                     South-East        840          56.3%
                                                                  South             256          17.1%
      • Ringtones                                                 Center-West        87           5.8%
      • TV

      • Video




                                                         | 16 |
3. Messaging Services (Special Topic)
Widespread adoption of mobile telephony is also reflected by text messaging services. It is reasonable to say that
almost 100% of telephones worldwide can be used to send and receive messages. However, as seen in previous
editions of MAVAM, frequency of SMS usage differs by country.

The increasing number of smartphones available and instant (IM) or over the top ‘OTT’ messaging solutions for
mobile phones are challenging traditional text messaging services in the field of interpersonal communications.
This is why this tenth edition of MAVAM will look at the new products and solutions that seek to enrich traditional
SMS and generate new operator revenues.

The characteristics of the messaging services examined in this section are:

1. Automatic signature: define a signature or greeting at the end of messages (E.g.: “I’m on vacation”, “I’m busy
   right now / I’m out of office”).

2. Personal White List / Black List: create contact lists to define who can and cannot send messages to users.

3. Automatic forwarding: allows for automatic resending of messages received to another telephone number (e.g.
   your personal or work phone).

4. Automatic email forwarding: allows messages received to be automatically forwarded to an email account for
   backup or reading on a PC.

5. Distribution list: to send messages to a group of contacts whose recipients can also respond to the entire group.

6. Delivery receipt: receive a delivery confirmation for sent messages.

7. Search: ability to search saved messages

8. Reminders: Receive reminders for appointments.

9. The party called pays for sending the message: in order to be able to send a message, it is paid for by the
   recipient.

10. Cloud-based archive to save all messages in a cloud storage service provided by the operator.

11. Multiple SIM cards: the ability to send messages from any other device (tablets, dongles, USB modems, etc.).

12. Alias: configure names or nicknames for a user’s number.

13. SMS Pager: receive text messages or calls without showing a number, but showing a nickname: people send
   SMS messages to a service center (for example, 12345) starting with the nickname, followed by the message.

We also compare the features users find most important in an instant messaging and SMS services. Additionally,
we look at situations in which users prefer to use other forms of communication.




                                                        | 17 |
Although our assessment is based on message communications between persons, we should point out that
machine to machine communications and enterprise messaging through the adoption as a new B2C (business to
consumer) communication channel (e.g. mobile couponing, promotions, SMS bank services, government
procedures, etc.) will play an important role in the future of SMS.


3.1. SMS
89% of participants said they have used some sort of text messaging (SMS) service in the last three months. These
figures have remained steady over the past four quarters with positive and negative variations not exceeding one
percentage point.

Chart 14
Use of text messaging (SMS). Base: total sample (4Q 2010: 1,206 cases; 1Q 2011; 1,494 cases; 2Q 2011: 1,570 cases; 4Q
2011: 1,493 cases)

                                           100%




                                           95%
                     Percentage of cases




                                                            90%             90%
                                           90%                                            89%
                                                   88%




                                           85%




                                           80%
                                                  4Q2010   1Q2011          2Q2011        4Q2011



Among SMS users, usage frequency shows a slightly upward trend. 58% of users send more than one SMS daily,
2 percentage points up on the second quarter of 2011, while at the same time the proportion of those not using the
service has fallen (21% versus 24% in the second quarter).




                                                                  | 18 |
Chart 15
Use of text messaging (SMS). Base: total sample (1,493 cases)



                                                                                              21%

                        5%                                                            21%
                                               Yes
                                               89%
                        6%
                                                                                                 58%




                                     I have not sent any SMS over the last 3 months
                                     I do not make use of the service
                                     I send very f ew text messages. I hardly ever send text messages
                                     I send one SMS per week
                                     I send more than one SMS per week


Increased frequency can be explained as a result of the more aggressive bundles and offerings in the SMS market
during 2011. For example, when we finalized this edition, Brazilian operators were offering pre-paid SMS packages
that reduced SMS prices by between 50% (Claro) and 88% (Oi). Monthly packages of 100 SMS messages cost
around $5.




                                                            | 19 |
3.1.1. Future importance of SMS

Participants were asked to compare the importance of SMS services today and in the future. 46% said that SMS
will be more important than it is now, while 18% felt it would be less important.

Chart 16
Future importance of SMS. Base: total sample (1,493 cases)
                                               100%




                                               80%
                         Percentage of cases




                                               60%


                                                                                                                                    46%
                                               40%

                                                                                    18%                      28%                             27%
                                                                                                                            19%
                                               20%
                                                                            11%
                                                           7%                                 8%


                                                0%
                                                      I don't know /    It will be less    It will have    It will be   It will be more It will be more
                                                        no answer      important than          small      important        important    important than
                                                                            today         importance                                         today



3.1.2. Barriers to SMS usage

It is important to ask what impedes greater SMS usage. Among SMS users (89% of the sample), the main reason
they do not use the service more is that there is no need to (16%), the service is expensive (18%) and some users
prefer voice communications (18%). Other less common responses include a lack of (pre-paid) credit and
promotional messaging packages (7%) and a lack of contacts who use the service (3%).

Among non-users (11% of participants), the main reason for lack of uptake (for 66%7) is that they prefer voice
communications. This adoption barrier has remained constant throughout MAVAM’s 2011 surveys. Other reasons
include a lack of usage – where user is not familiarized with its use (24%) or no need to use the service (21%).
Price does not seem to be a significant barrier to people who have not adopted the service.




7
    Multiple response.




                                                                                                | 20 |
3.1.3. New SMS and MMS-based services
Preferred products and solutions

Interviewees were asked to look at a list of 13 services as add-ons and improvements to text messaging as we
know it today, and select the ones they would like to use. Each participant was allowed to select more than one
option from the list.

The most popular were: delivery receipt (86%), multiple SIM cards (85%), reminders (82%) and searching saved
messages (80%).

Chart 17
Which of these features would you like to see available for SMS (text messaging) Service.
Base: total sample (1,493 cases). Multiple responses.

                                                 Receipt notif ication                                                     86%

                                                        Multiple SIM                                                       85%

                                                          Reminders                                                       82%

                                                              Search                                                     80%

                                                                 Alias                                             72%

                                                     Auto-signature                                                71%

                                                     Distribuition list                                            71%

                                     Auto-send to an email account                                                70%

                                    White/black lists personalization                                             68%

                                                    Cloud message                                             66%

                                             Paid in the destination                                         63%

                                                        SMS Beeper                                           63%

                                    Auto-send to another cell phone                                         60%

                                                                          0%        20%     40%       60%           80%          100%
                                                                                      Percentage of cases



Participants were asked how difficult it was to understand each of the proposed services. Between 2% and 4% of
interviewees had difficulty understanding the value of the proposed services. The biggest percentage (4%) was
recorded for the following solutions: automatically forwarding received messages, creating discussion lists, creating
nicknames (aliases) and the SMS Pager.




                                                                           | 21 |
Most important services

Interviewees were asked how likely they were to buy each of the selected solutions. In this case, participants used
a scale of importance ranging from 1 (not important) to 5 (very important).

Of the four features with the biggest potential for adoption (delivery receipt, multiple SIM cards, reminders and
searches) users said that delivery confirmation was the most important (81%).

Chart 18
How important are each of the SMS services you said you would like to have in the future?
Base: cases in which users would like certain features. Note: to make the graph easier to read, we have only included the features with the most
potential.


                     Receipt notif ication    7%       12%                                  81%




                            Multiple SIM      6%        17%                                  77%




                              Reminders       7%       14%                                  79%




                                  Search          8%         20%                                 72%



                                             0%               20%           40%             60%             80%          100%

                                                                           Percentage of cases

                                      Not important / Somewhat important          Neutral   Important / Very important




                                                                           | 22 |
Willingness to pay for a service

The services people would be more willing to pay for include reminders (44%), automatic SMS forwarding to an
email account (43%), Multiple SIM cards (43%), cloud-based files (43%) and the SMS Pager (41%).

For these five services, the average value people would be willing to pay is between 3.4 and 3.8 BRL. The highest
and most frequently mentioned value is 5 BRL for the automatic forwarding and cloud storage service.


Willingness to pay for SMS service features. Base: 852 (Number of people who said they would like to have each of the
services). Multiple responses.

                                                % of people that      Average value
                                                                                        Most frequently
                          Feature              would be willing to   people would be
                                                                                        mentioned value
                                               pay for the service    willing to pay
Reminders                                                     44%               R$3.5               R$0.5
Auto-send to an email account                                 43%               R$3.4               R$5.0
Multiple SIM                                                  43%               R$3.7               R$1.0
Cloud message                                                 43%               R$3.8               R$5.0
SMS Beeper                                                    41%               R$4.3               R$1.0
Auto-send to another cell phone                               39%               R$3.1               R$1.0
Receipt notification                                          39%               R$3.3               R$0.5
Paid in the destination                                       38%               R$3.2               R$0.5
Distribuition list                                            37%               R$4.0               R$1.0
White/black lists personalization                             35%               R$5.1               R$5.0
Auto-signature                                                30%               R$4.6               R$5.0
Search                                                        29%               R$3.3               R$0.5
Alias                                                         27%               R$3.7               R$1.0




                                                         | 23 |
New feature configuration

33% of users who would consider using at least one of the suggested products said that the ideal method for
configuring the service would be via an application installed on their phone. In second place, 26% of participants
said that the best option would be SMS configuration and 24% said they would prefer to configure the service via
the operator’s Internet portal.

Chart 19
What would be the best way to configure the SMS services listed. Base: People who like to have at least one
feature (1,428 cases). Multiple responses.


                        Through an app installed on your cell phone                               33%


                             Sending an SMS to conf igure services                          26%


                                    Through the operator's web site                         24%


                         Through an app installed on your computer               8%


                         through a complement installed in the email
                                                                             4%
                                         manager


                                             Through a WAP portal           3%


                                                              Other         2%


                                                                       0%             20%       40%       60%       80%   100%
                                                                                              Percentage of cases




                                                                            | 24 |
3.2. MMS
MMS usage has remained stable throughout the second quarter of 2011: 12% of the sample said they sent at least
one MMS per week (active users). 77% of interviewees said that their cell phones were able to send multimedia
messages, similar to the figure in the second quarter (75%).

Chart 20
MMS (Multimedia Messaging) usage. Base: total sample (4Q 2011: 1,493 cases; 2Q 2011: 1,570 cases)
                                       100%

                                                                                                                             2Q2011
                                                                  77% of users with MMS-enabled cell phones                  4Q2011
                                       80%         75%    77%
                 Percentage of cases




                                       60%




                                       40%
                                                                    10% of users who may
                                                                    prospectively be turned
                                                                       into active users                          12% of active users

                                       20%
                                                                          12%    10%
                                                                                                 6%     7%
                                                                                                                          5%     5%

                                        0%
                                              Mobile Phones enabled I send very few MMS, I    I send one MMS in      I send more than one
                                                  to send MMS          hardly send MMS              average                  MMS




In this edition, we surveyed the occasions and situations that users send MMS messages. Our results showed that
69% of users who sent MMS messages in the last three months said they do so on special occasions like birthdays
and other celebrations. 33% send MMS messages when they are with friends, and 27% send them at the
weekends. Other situations mentioned by 11% of the sample are: when they want to send photos to relatives or as
a surprise, when they want someone’s opinion about something they are going to buy or want to show someone a
photo taken in an unusual situation.




                                                                                   | 25 |
Chart 21
In which situations do you send Multimedia Messages (MMS). Base: Users sending at least one MMS in the last
three months (325 cases). Multiple responses.

                      On special occasions (eg:
                      anniversaries, birthdays,                                                                     69%
                                etc..)


                        When hanging out with
                                                                                      33%
                              f riends



                                    On holidays                                 27%




                          For some labor issue                            19%




                                 Other situation                11%


                                                   0%     10%         20%       30%     40%      50%    60%    70%        80%
                                                                                 Percentage of cases

As the user base is so low (12% of active users), we asked why people didn’t use MMS more. 41% said that
sending MMS messages is expensive. 18% believe that the service does not work properly and 16% said that they
did not use the service more regularly because they are not sure if the messages are received. Among other
reasons not listed (13%), people said they didn’t see a need to use MMS, they preferred not to send photos in
messages and email is better for sending photos.

Chart 22
What are your reasons for not using MMS messages on your cell phone (or not using them
more)? Base: total sample (1,493 cases). Multiple responses.

                                             It is very expensive                                                   41%


                     I do not have how to conf irm if the receiver
                                                                                         16%
                                received the message


                            My cell phone is easy to send MMS                   8%


                   My cell phone is not conf igured to send MMS                 8%


                               MMS service does not work well                               18%


                       Never try sending a multimedia message                                     24%


                                                    Other reasons                     13%


                                                                     0%         10%      20%       30%        40%         50%
                                                                                       Percentage of cases




                                                                            | 26 |
Response to incentives

55% of interviewees said that one incentive for MMS usage would be lower prices. Another, similar to SMS, would
be delivery confirmation (29%).

22% believe that MMS messaging packages would also encourage usage.

Among the 5% of responses presenting other incentives, the most interesting are: faster delivery, offering support
for using the service on mobile phones and that all devices should be able to open these types of message.

Chart 23
What would encourage you to use MMS messaging more (or more frequently)? Base: total sample
(1,493 cases). Multiple responses.

                    Cost per message should be lower (f or
                                                                                                                  55%
                   example: it could cost the same as SMS)


                     Be sure that the message will reach the
                                                                                              29%
                                    destination


                        Operators would have to of f er MMS
                                                                                        22%
                                     bundle


                     Owning a cell phone able to send MMS                    13%



                                                     Others         5%



                                                 Don't know                       16%


                                                               0%    10%          20%      30%        40%   50%    60%
                                                                                    Percentage of cases




                                                                         | 27 |
3.3. Instant messaging (IM)
44% of participants have used some sort of instant messaging service from their mobile phones in the past three
months.

Chart 24
Access to instant messaging. Base: total sample (4Q 2010: 1,206 cases; 1Q 2011; 1,494 cases; 2Q 2011: 1,570 cases; 4Q
2011: 1,493 cases)

                                           100%




                                           80%
                     Percentage of cases




                                           60%


                                                                                                                    44%
                                           40%
                                                                                            33%
                                                                       28%

                                                        20%
                                           20%




                                            0%
                                                    4Q 2010           1Q 2011             2Q 2011                 4Q 2011



Chart 25
Use of instant messaging. Base: total sample (1,493 cases)




                                                                                      Yes, I made use of Instant Messaging
                                                  37%                                 services during the last three months
                                                                44%

                                                                                      No, I didn't make use of Instant Messaging
                                                                                      services during the last three months


                                                          19%                         I never made use of Instant Messaging
                                                                                      services during the last three months




IM usage increases when people switch to new devices. 56% of people who bought their device in the last six
months have used instant messaging. This percentage drops to 51% and 33% among people who have had the
same device for between 6 months and one year and for more than one year, respectively.




                                                                             | 28 |
IM usage is higher if people have smartphones (66%) compared with people who use traditional phones (27%).

Men (47%) use instant messaging more than women (40%).

Of those who use instant messaging (44%), the most frequently mentioned chat service is Facebook (29%),
followed by Twitter (20%) when used as a messenger. While Twitter is not an instant messaging service, rather
more of a social network, the immediate delivery and short message length result in users treating the service in
roughly the same way as an instant messaging service.

Chart 26
Use of instant messaging as a platform. Base: IM users (653 cases). Multiple responses.

                                Facebook Chat                                                        29%

                                        Twitter                                         20%

                                  eBuddy XMS                          10%

                                  Google Talk                         10%

                                     iMessage                    7%

                              Skype Messenger                    7%

                     BlackBerry Messenger/Ping         2%

                                    WhatsApp           2%

                                        Others              4%

                                                  0%    5%         10%        15%      20%     25%   30%   35%
                                                                           Percentage of cases


We asked people who said they used the IM services in Chart 27 how many messages they sent and received on
average every week over the past three months. The results show that some platforms are used to send messages
and others to receive them.

Twitter, BBM and Skype are preferred to send messages and GTalk, eBuddy, iMessage, Facebook Chat and
WhatsApp to receive them.

eBuddy posts the biggest difference between the average number of messages sent and received: 15 places.
Twitter (2.4 posts) and Facebook Chat (1.5 posts) are the most balanced services in terms of messages sent and
received.




                                                                  | 29 |
Chart 27
Average number of messages sent and received via instant messaging services. Base: Users who
have used each of the services.

                                                                                                            37.3
                                    Google Talk
                                                                                              29.1

                                                                                                                     48.0
                                   eBuddy XMS
                                                                                                     33.1

                                                                                          28.3
                                          Twitter
                                                                                             30.8
                                                                                                                          Average messages
                                                                                                              39.6        received per week
                                      iMessage
                                                                                                  32.8
                                                                                                                          Average messages sent
                                                                                  21.5                                    per week
                    BlackBerry Messenger/Ping
                                                                                               30.1

                                                                                                             39.0
                                  Facebook Chat
                                                                                                            37.5

                                                                                         26.7
                             Skype Messenger
                                                                                                30.8

                                                                                                           39.1
                                      WhatsApp
                                                                                                       35.5

                                                    0         10             20      30        40                    50          60
                                                                              Messanges per week


Barriers to instant messaging adoption

The main reason that people do not use instant messaging from their mobile phone is that their phone does not
allow for installation of this type of application (54%). Second ranked is the low speed and reliability of mobile
internet connections (20%). Third place is the fact that people prefer to access these services from a PC or
notebook, make voice calls or use SMS (8%).

Chart 28
What reasons keep you from using (or using more often) instant messaging services from the
cell phone you use with the greatest frequency? Base: total sample (1,493 cases). Multiple responses.

                                        My phone does not support IM                                                                      54%


                                        Internet connection is too slow                                     20%


                      I pref er to access in my computer in the of f ice /
                                                                                         8%
                           f azer chamadas de voz ou enviar SMS


                                           Not interesting / need / time                 7%

                       The internet connection f rom the cell phone is
                      expensive / i don't have credit or data bundle to             5%
                                     access the internet

                     Don't know how to use or access the application               4%


                                                                   Others          4%


                                                                             0%        10%           20%     30%      40%          50%        60%
                                                                                                      Percentage of cases




                                                                              | 30 |
Requirements for a new instant messaging service

Interviewees were asked what the main characteristics should be for a new instant messaging service.

In first place are reasons based on the type of contract. 59% of the sample said that the cost of using the service
should be included in the plan (this is the most common form of benefit).

In second place are reasons linked to guaranteed performance. 56% said it should work smoothly.

Chart 29
Features a new instant messaging service should offer. Base: total sample (1,493 cases). Multiple responses.
                    It must be without cost / included in the contract                                             59%

                       Service should always work, without troubles                                            56%

                                            Cost must be reasonable                                          52%

                 It must be sure message is received af ter seconds                                          51%

                        Service should be used also in the computer                                    40%

                  Able to share f iles, images, videos with my f riends                                39%

                Able to see when the other party is typing an answer                               38%


                                              Able to contact anyone                              35%


                                       Able to contact all SMS users                             32%

                        Able to chat with others in the contact group                       27%

                                 Able to see the latter conversations                      25%

                       Able to share status and f eelings with f riends               20%

                                            Able to share my location               14%

                                                               Others          4%

                                                                          0%        20%          40%          60%        80%
                                                                                          Percentage of cases




                                                                          | 31 |
If the new service meets the quality and feature requirements described, 76% of those interviewed said they would
use the service. Potential for instant messaging is greater among people between 18 and 24 years of age (81%)
and 25-34 (79%).

Chart 30
What would be your attitude towards using a single instant messaging service? Base: total sample
(1,493 cases)

                                           100%




                                           80%
                     Percentage of cases




                                                                                                                            76%
                                           60%
                                                                                                                        Would use it


                                                                                                                                       41%
                                           40%                                                                       35%
                                                                            4%

                                                                      Would not use it                18%
                                           20%


                                                     3%             2%              2%
                                            0%
                                                  Don't know   Certainly would Probably would     Maybe yes or Probably would Certainly would
                                                                   not use        not use             no            use             use



22% of people who said they used instant messaging reported they would only do so if it is free of charge. 9% did
not say how much they were willing to pay.

58% of people who use the service would be willing to pay between 0.25 and 2.00 BRL per month.


How much would you be willing to pay for these services? Base: total sample (1,493 cases)
     Value people would be willing to pay                                   %
Nothing or would only use if free of charge                               22%
Less than 0.25 BRL per month                                              14%
Between 0.25 and 0.50 BRL per month                                       17%
Between 0.50 and 1.00 BRL per month                                       12%
Between 1.00 and 2.00 BRL per month                                       15%
More than 2.00 BRL per month                                              12%
Don't know                                                                 9%




                                                                                         | 32 |
3.4. Advantages of SMS over instant messaging
We asked people the advantages each service had over the other.

46% of people said that SMS costs less than instant messaging. While the total amount a user pays for SMS
messages depends on usage, the view that text messaging is cheaper than instant messaging can be linked to the
position that, generally speaking, better quality phones like smartphones are needed to use instant messaging, as
well as a data plan. The importance of this response is that the user’s perceptions can be altered through product
communication proposals.

Another 33% said that unlike instant messaging, people know that when someone receives an SMS text message,
the message is important. This response reveals that instant messaging is a communication method used in more
informal situations.

In third place as a comparative advantage over instant messaging, with 32%, is the ability to communicate with
anyone. This response may indicate the users know that only more expensive devices provide IM access, while
SMS is available on almost any device on the market.

Chart 31
In your opinion, what are the advantages of SMS compared with instant messaging services
used from your mobile phone? Base: 1,322 cases. Multiple responses. Note: We have only shown the five most significant
advantages for illustrative purposes.



                                               Have low cost                                                    46%



                    When I use SMS I know that the recipient
                                                                                                    33%
                       knows it's an important message



                          I can communicate with any person                                     32%



                       I can easily send a message to a large
                                                                                        25%
                                  quantity of people


                        To know that the message is received
                                                                                      23%
                                   af ter seconds


                                                                0%    10%      20%          30%           40%    50%
                                                                              Percentage of cases



Other advantages of SMS over IM mentioned: ease of use (no additional application needed), no Internet access
required and unlimited SMS packages are available.




                                                                     | 33 |
3.5. Advantages of instant messaging over SMS
Among the advantages of instant messaging over SMS, 41% of interviewees mentioned low cost. In this case, we
can presume that when a user has chosen a more expensive device that allows for instant messaging and
subsequently pays for a data plan, they realize that in general terms, instant messaging does not incur any
additional cost. The fact that the advantage of both services are linked to a perception of lower cost for subscribers
means that operators need to pay special attention to their pricing models when expanding either service.

38% said that one advantage is IM can be used on a PC. This is important because it reveals all communication
options need to be available on several devices (voice, messaging, emails, video, etc.).

38% also said that an IM advantage over SMS is knowing the message will be received in a matter of seconds.

Chart 32
In your opinion, what are the advantages of instant messaging services (e.g.: WhatsApp, Skype
Messenger, Facebook Chat, BlackBerry Messenger, Google Talk, etc.) Compared with
SMS/MMS? Base: 1,322 cases. Multiple responses. Note: We have only shown the five most significant advantages for illustrative
purposes.


                                       Have low cost                                                   41%



                          Use the service also in the
                                                                                                     38%
                             personal computer



                        To know that the message is
                                                                                                 38%
                           received af ter seconds



                      Be sure that the answer will be
                                                                                               35%
                               received f ast



                    Be sure the receiver will read the
                                                                                               35%
                           message promptly


                                                         0%   10%         20%          30%       40%         50%
                                                                         Percentage of cases


Other benefits of IM over SMS mentioned by interviewees is that IM is free, you can speak to people whose
telephone number you do not know, it can be used over Wi-Fi and you can see the status of other contacts.




                                                                | 34 |
3.5.1. Service preference among recipients

In this edition of MAVAM, we asked whether recipients preferred to receive messages by SMS or IM, when sent by
a friend, relative, business partner, colleague or based on the message content: work vs. personal.

SMS was the preferred option in each situation, especially in the workplace. 39% of the sample said they prefer
SMS when they need to communicate with work colleagues and 40% prefer text messages when dealing with work
issues.

Chart 33
Preferred method of communication for each recipient. Base: 1,322 cases. Note: We have omitted percentages for
people who said they would not use either service to facilitate viewing. Multiple responses.
                                            100%
                                                     SMS (Text Messages)

                                                     Sometimes SMS, sometimes
                                            80%      Instant Messaging
                                                     IM sent f rom my cell phone
                                                                                                   SMS is mostly used
                      Percentage of cases




                                                                                                   within work situations
                                            60%



                                                      38%        38%                               39%             40%
                                            40%                     35%             36%36%
                                                   33%
                                                                                                       31%
                                                         25%                                                           25%
                                                                         19%              21%             20%                     20%
                                                                                                                            19%
                                            20%                                                                                      16%

                                                                                                                                       9%


                                             0%
                                                    Friends       Relatives         Boyf riend/       Work         Work issues     Others
                                                                                    Girlfriend -   colleagues
                                                                                   Husband/Wif e




                                                                                         | 35 |
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING
MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING

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MAVAM Brasil 10th edition - MESSAGING

  • 1. MAVAM Brazil 10th Edición Grupo Convergencia | Convergencialatina | Convergencia Research Avenida Belgrano 680 – Piso 9 (C1092AAT) - Buenos Aires, Argentina T. + 54 11 4345-3036 info@convergencialatina.com | wwww.convergencialatina.com | research@convergencia.com
  • 2. Editorial As the global leader in mobile messaging with more than one one-third of the global SMS infrastructure market (as calculated by Informa Telecoms & Media in 2011), Acision launches the tenth edition of MAVAM Brazil with the special theme ¨Messaging”. This edition continues to demonstrate Acision’s commitment to providing a tool that analysis the trends associated with the consumption of mobile VAS and messaging across the Brazilian mobile market during the last quarter messaging and how this impacts operators. In 2011, we witnessed the Brazilian carriers launch aggressive pricing models and offers around SMS to encourage the uptake of this service, while also highlightin highlighting the advantages and potential of using it. However, while widely used in other countries in Latin America, we still see low penetration in the Brazilian market. Subscribers have started to respond positively to alternative and better pricing models, and this research indicates that consumption of SMS is increasing in this Brazil, with some carriers experiencing a rise in traffic by up to four times, depending on the carrier. Oliveira Vancrei Net sales of SMS and MMS during the third quarter of 2011 reached R$ 964 million, representing 37.1% of VAS revenues. Although SMS and messaging representing Acision stands for a major proportion of mobile VAS today, we have used this MAVAM VP regional Am´wrica Latina research to better understand the reasons that motivate or inhibit the use of text and multimedia messaging, with the results represented in this report. results We also demonstrate that opportunities based on SMS go beyond the basic service as we know it today with value added, personalised messaging providing value-added, an enriched user experience through services such as group messaging, auto auto- reply / auto signature and parental control. These services have the potential to auto-signature increase messaging revenues by up to 15 percent and vastly improve the messaging experience and relevance for the end end-user. In addition, we expect to see widespread adoption of services like Collect SMS and Prepaid SMS Reply services in 2012, which modelled on the well known collect call procedure enables prepaid customers to send messages even when out of credit. We also expect IP Messaging services to be a priority for oper operators in 2012, as they seek to deliver new innovative services to compete with ‘OTT’ messaging services. IP Messaging, such as is RCS e, is key to delivering services that have RCS-e, the same user experience, reach and reliability that users have become accustomed accustomed to with SMS, while leveraging the capabilities of broadband IP network and delivering services such as IM, group chat, file transfer and video sharing. Operators will also begin to adopt cloud based services, which will cloud-based become a prominent delivery model in 2012, also means that these innovations will be brought to market faster. With this in mind, this edition of MAVAM has researched the potential demand for new messaging services that enrich and expand the use of messaging, how users use messaging services and looks at business models for paying for each service services and driving up operator revenue. We hope you enjoy reading! |2|
  • 3. Index 1. Introduction....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 4 1.1. Value Added Services worldwide ............................................................................................................................................................... 5 1.2. Value Added services in Latin America ...................................................................................................................................................... 9 1.3. Value Added Services in Brazil ................................................................................................................................................................ 12 2. MAVAM (Acision Monitor for Mobile VAS) ...................................................................................................................................................... 16 3. Messaging Services (Special Topic) ............................................................................................................................................................... 17 3.1. SMS ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 18 3.1.1. Future importance of SMS ................................................................................................................................................................ 20 3.1.2. Barriers to SMS usage ...................................................................................................................................................................... 20 3.1.3. New SMS and MMS-based services ................................................................................................................................................. 21 3.2. MMS ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 25 3.3. Instant messaging (IM) ............................................................................................................................................................................ 28 3.4. Advantages of SMS over instant messaging ............................................................................................................................................ 33 3.5. Advantages of instant messaging over SMS ............................................................................................................................................ 34 3.5.1. Service preference among recipients ................................................................................................................................................ 35 3.5.2. Service preference based on circumstances ..................................................................................................................................... 36 3.5.3. Service speed and reliability.............................................................................................................................................................. 37 3.6. Use of messaging during end of year festivities ....................................................................................................................................... 38 3.7. Use of advertising to reduce SMS prices ................................................................................................................................................. 39 4. MAVAM Brazil ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 40 4.1. Entertainment .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 40 4.1.1. File types (images, music, games, ringtones and videos).................................................................................................................. 40 4.1.2. Mobile TV (viewing) .......................................................................................................................................................................... 41 4.2. E-Mail ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 41 4.3. Mobile Internet ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 43 4.4. Social Networks ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 45 4.5. Mobile Marketing ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 47 4.6. Cash and mobile banking ........................................................................................................................................................................ 49 4.7. GPS and maps ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 50 5. Conclusions .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 51 6. Glossary ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 52 7. Technical File ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 56 8. Equipo ............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 58 |3|
  • 4. 1. Introduction During the third quarter of 2011, we saw mobile telephony connections pass the 100% milestone in Latin America, although there are still countries like Mexico, Bolivia, Nicaragua, Cuba, Peru and others yet to hit this mark. Today, there is more than one connection per person because of circumstances where people own more than two telephones, have machine to machine (M2M) connections, mobile broadband USB modems and connections which are almost redundant. 2011 also saw smartphone penetration increase and mobile broadband services evolve. Mobile broadband is also driving a surge in post-paid clients for operators, especially in major markets, while pre-paid plans still account for the larger share of the market. Social networks and apps are the drivers of this new phase for mobile broadband. In 2012, the main markets in Latin America will have adopted portability and a number of mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) businesses will be built. Today, Columbia has the biggest MVNO market which is principally focused on broadband. New virtual mobile operators are expected to enter the markets in Brazil, Argentina, Mexico and Chile, as well as other countries. These operators focus on niche markets and their potential market share is estimated to be 2%. Virgin Mobile is expected to be the newest entrant, which is seeking to become the first regional mobile virtual operator focusing on the 14-34 age range. The arrival of mobile virtual operators brings a new outlook for spectrum in various countries, generally attracting new players who will increase competition. Based on these factors, 2012 should see more competition rise, especially in mobile broadband, with growing use of social networks and application by pre-paid clients as well as new businesses. |4|
  • 5. 1.1. Value Added Services worldwide To understand the value added services (VAS) business worldwide, we analyzed VAS evolution for the world’s biggest mobile carriers in various regions of the world. We compared the 3Q values for 2010 and 2011, except for China Mobile, whose data only allows us to compare changes between 1H 2010 and 1H 2011. The companies evaluated are: América Móvil – Latin America Verizon – United States AT&T - United States Vodafone China Mobile – China* Vodafone United Kingdom Orange - France Vodafone Germany NTT Docomo - Japan Vodafone India Telefónica Telefónica Spain Chart 1 Operators analyzed Telefónica United Kingdom Telefónica Latin America AT& T / Verizon America Móvil + TEF Latam China Telecom France Telecom NTT Docomo Telefónica Vodafone * China Mobile 1H 2010 x 1H 2011 |5|
  • 6. Chart 2 Change in share of voice service revenue vs. value added service (VAS) revenue. Between the second and third quarter 2011. Except China Mobile, comparing 1H 2010 with 1H 2011 20% 16% Voice Services VAS Services 15% 10% 7% 6% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 0% -1% 0% -1%-1% -3%-3%-3% -5% -4% -5% -10% America Movil Telefónica Latin America AT&T United States France Telecom France NTT Docomo Vodafone United Kingdom Telecom Italy Telefónica United Kingdom Verizon Vodafone Germany Telefónica Spain Vodafone India Source: Convergencia Research based on carriers’ published financial reports. VAS continues to grow its share of total revenue among the carriers surveyed, independent of country. Positive changes in voice service revenue contributions are normally explained by specific events, such as regulatory measures (reduced interconnection fees – Se MAVAM Brazil 9th Edition), competition or seasonal effect. In more advanced countries, the increase is mainly based on mobile Internet revenues driven by the increasing number of smartphones. In countries where there is still room to grow the number of connections, SMS still plays a major role in VAS growth. |6|
  • 7. Chart 3 VAS share of total ARPU. 3Q 2011. Except China Mobile, comparing 1H 2010 with 1H 2011 100% 80% VAS over the total % 60% 40% 54% 46% 46% 43% 40% 39% 35% 20% 32% 30% 26% 25% 25% 16% 0% Source: Convergencia Research based on carriers’ corresponding financial reports – 3Q 2011 It is interesting to compare the operations of Vodafone UK, Germany and India. In the UK, Vodafone’s VAS represent 46% of service sales and this share is almost identical to its main competitor, O2 UK (Telefonica). In the UK, which has a significant number of smartphones, Vodafone’s mobile Internet service sales have grown around 3% quarterly/per quarter, while messaging (SMS and MMS) grow around 2%. However, in Germany messaging revenues are also growing at 2%, while mobile Internet revenues are growing at 6%. In contrast, India, which has mobile penetration of around 70% of the population, SMS grows at around 43% and mobile Internet at just 2%, mainly because 3G networks were only recently launched (See previous editions of MAVAM). In the US, both Verizon and AT&T present similar figures to Vodafone, with VAS growth of no more than 5% per quarter and voice revenues declining by 1 to 3%, depending on the carrier, although in this market VAS contribution (40%) is lower that the European countries where Vodafone operates. In Japan, voice and data growth rates for NTT Docomo are similar to the USA, but the main difference is that VAS (contributing 54% of revenues) is NTT Docomo’s main source of income, instead of voice revenues, on which other carriers depend. |7|
  • 8. At China Mobile, whose figures only allow for a six-monthly comparison, the number of subscribers grew 11.3% annually between the first semester of 2010 and 2011 to 617 million lines, in a country where 75% penetration still offers room for post-paid plan growth. As new users are usually “low usage clients” and the “one client with several chips” is becoming more commonplace, total ARPU dropped 3% in the first half of 2011, year on year. China Mobile has 35 million 3G subscribers (5% of its customer base). At the end of the first half of 2011, VAS represented 32.2% of carrier revenues, up 18% year on year compared with 5% for voice services, in local currency. Of the VAS, the contribution made by SMS has dropped almost 1 percentage point, while revenue for voice services, mobile Internet and “other VAS” rose between 0.5 and 1 percentage point. Chart 4 Mobile penetration vs. VAS contribution to ARPU. 3Q 2011. China Mobile 1H 2010 x 1H 2011 160% VAS % 3Q 11 140% Penetration / 100 inhabitants 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Source: Convergencia Research based on carriers’ corresponding financial reports and penetration data from various sources. |8|
  • 9. 1.2. Value Added services in Latin America The third quarter of 2011 ended with 607 million mobile telephone lines (including 10.5 million trunking2 lines) in 1 Latin America and the Caribbean . The number of lines brings regional penetration up to 104% -taking into account trunking lines and 102% without them-, although some countries3 have yet to achieve this level of mobile subscriptions. South America4 and Mexico represent 89% of these lines (540.4 million). The remainder are in Central America5 (41.7 million) and the Caribbean6 (24.6 million). The main regional telecom holdings are America Movil, operating in 18 countries, and Telefonica, in 14. Together, they represent 64% of lines in Latin America and the Caribbean (37% and 27% respectively). During the quarter through September 30, 2011, total sales for mobile operators in the countries researched were 23,397 billion dollars (without trunking services revenues), up 17% year on year. Convergencia Research estimates that 2011 should end with sales 14% up on 2010 to 91,500 billion dollars. 89% of regional revenues are generated in South America and Mexico (17,138 million dollars and 3,753 million dollars respectively) and the remaining 11% is split between Central America (1,446 million dollars) and the Caribbean (1,061 million dollars). Voice revenues were up 11% between 3Q 2010 and 3Q 2011 to 15,967 billion dollars. Revenues from device sales rose to 2,052 billion dollars, 20% up on the 1,716 billion dollars registered last year. Value added services (VAS) continue to show the most robust growth. During the third quarter of 2011 they generated 5,378 billion dollars, 40% up year on year. This means that VAS now represent 25% of service revenues (voice + VAS), compared with 21% previously. 2 Trunking or Specialized Mobile Service (SME for its initials in Portuguese) is a service of terrestrial mobile telecommunications of collective interest that uses the radio system, mainly, to perform delivery operations or other forms of telecommunications. Sourse: Annex to resolution No. 404 of May 5, 2005 (Anatel). 3 Bolivia, Paraguay, Perú, Venezuela, Guyana y Guyana Francesa, México, Belice, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras y Nicaragua, Antillas Francesas, Bonaire, Cuba, Curazao, Haití, Islas Turcas y Caicos, Montserrat, Puerto Rico, República Dominicana y Santa Lucía. 4 Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Ecuador, Guiana, French Guiana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay and Venezuela. 5 Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. 6 Anguilla, Antigua and Barbados, French Antilles, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, Bonaire, Cuba, Curacao, Dominica, Granada, Haiti, Cayman Islands, Turks and Caicos Islands, British Virgin Islands, Jamaica, Montserrat, Porto Rico, Dominican Republic, Saint Kitts and Neves, Saint Vicente and the Grenadines, Santa Lucia, Trinidad and Tobago. |9|
  • 10. Chart 5 Mobile telephony revenue growth in Latin America, by service type. 3Q 2010 x 3Q 2011 USD 25,000 3Q 10 3Q 11 Variation 45% 40% 40% USD 23,397 USD 20,000 35% Revenues in USD Million USD 20,006 30% USD 15,000 USD 15,967 25% USD 14,439 20% USD 5,378 17% 20% USD 10,000 USD 3,851 15% USD 2,052 USD 1,716 11% USD 5,000 10% 5% USD 0 0% Total Mobile Voice Service VAS Terminals Phone Service Chart 6 Mobile telephony sales by revenue source. 3Q 2010 x 3Q 2011 USD 25,000 USD 144 USD 23.397 USD 840 USD 543 USD 1.527 USD 337 USD 20,006 USD 20,000 Revenues in USD Million USD 15,000 USD 10,000 USD 5,000 USD 0 3Q10 Voice Serv. Terminals Internet Messaging Other VAS 3Q11 Voice Serv. Terminals Internet Messaging Other VAS Of the added value services, SMS and MMS have a 51% market share, with mobile Internet at 38% and other VAS representing 11%. Other VAS revenue flows include, for example, mobile marketing, revenue sharing for content and application downloads, mobile banking solutions and others. Mobile Internet revenues have risen 69%, driven by the growth of smartphones, which now represent around 10% of all cell phones in Latin America. | 10 |
  • 11. Brazil is the biggest mobile Internet market by revenue and users, although Central America and countries with low levels of fixed line broadband penetration also drive significant volumes. Text and multimedia messaging services have seen sales rise by 25%, mainly because there are still countries with very low usage levels and there are still opportunities to increase usage through devices and other commercial tactics. The other VAS’s have seen revenues rise by 31%, based on new mobile businesses like mobile payments, mobile marketing and application downloads, among others. Chart 7 VAS Revenue Shares. Through 3Q 2011. Voice Serv. VAS SMS + MMS Internet Other VAS USD 2,052 38% USD 15,967 USD 5,378 75% 25% USD 2,714 51% USD 613 11% | 11 |
  • 12. 1.3. Value Added Services in Brazil Brazil ended the third quarter of 2011 with 231 million mobile telephone connections (including 3.9 million trunking lines from Nextel), representing 120% penetration of the local population. Annual growth is 19% between the third quarters of 2010 and 2011. When this study was being concluded, Anatel announced that there were 242.2 million mobile lines at the end of December 2011, which increases penetration to 124%. Chart 8 Mobile Telephone connections by operator. Variation between 3Q 2011 and 3Q 2011 80,000 3Q10 3Q11 Variation 30% 26% 70,000 Mobile Phone Service Customers - In 25% 67,038 60,000 59,210 57,714 57,514 18% 20% 50,000 thousands 16% 48,767 46,947 15% 40,000 15% 42,871 37,387 30,000 10% 20,000 5% 10,000 0 0% Vivo Claro TIM Oi Vivo remains in the top spot by number of connections, with 67 million connections and year on year growth of 16%. In second spot is TIM, with 59.2 million connections and 26% annual growth. In third place is Claro, which grew by 18% and now has 57.5 million subscribers. Oi is in fourth place with 42.8 million connections and posted the lowest annual growth (15%). | 12 |
  • 13. Chart 9 Market share by number of lines. In thousands. Oi CTBC TIM 42,871 633 59,210 19% 0.28% 26% Sercomtel 76 0.03% Vivo Claro 67,038 57,514 30% 25% Vivo and Oi increased ARPU, which fell slightly for Claro and TIM in these quarters. Vivo remained leader in ARPU (25.2 BRL and $ 16). In second place is TIM with ARPU of 23.5 BRL and $12.9. Chart 10 Total ARPU for the major operators. 3Q 2010 and 3Q 2011, in BRL and US$ USD 18 3Q10 3Q11 R$ 30 3Q10 3Q11 USD 16 USD 16.0 R$ 25 R$ 26.2 R$ 25.2 USD 14 USD 14.4 R$ 23.5 R$ 22.9 USD 13.5 USD 13.4 R$ 22.2 USD 13.1 USD 12.9 USD 12 R$ 20 ARPU - In USD R$ 21.2 ARPU - In R$ R$ 19.0 USD 10.9 USD 10 USD 10.4 R$ 17.0 R$ 15 USD 8 USD 6 R$ 10 USD 4 R$ 5 USD 2 USD 0 R$ 0 Vivo Claro TIM Oi Vivo Claro TIM Oi Gross mobile sales, including device sales in the third quarter of 2011 were 21,332 billion BRL, up 11% year on year. | 13 |
  • 14. Chart 11 Gross and net revenues for the mobile telephone business. 3Q 2010 and 3Q 2011, in BRL and US$ Voice Services Voice Services USD 20,000 Terminals R$ 25,000 R$ 21,332 Terminals USD 13,007 R$ 19,301 R$ 1,535 USD 15,000 R$ 20,000 R$ 1,347 USD 936 R$ 15,412 In Million USD USD 11,029 USD 9,397 In Million R$ USD 770 R$ 13,130 R$ 1,182 USD 7,503 USD 721 R$ 15,000 R$ 840 USD 10,000 R$ 19,797 USD 12,071 R$ 17,955 USD 480 USD 10,260 R$ 14,231 R$ 10,000 USD 8,677 R$ 12,291 USD 7,023 USD 5,000 R$ 5,000 USD 0 R$ 0 3Q10 3Q11 3Q10 3Q11 3Q10 3Q11 3Q10 3Q11 Gross revenues in USD Net revenues in USD Gross revenues in R$ Net revenues in R$ Mobile services represent 92.7% of all gross sales, up 10% year on year. The remaining 7.3% is revenues from devices, which rose 14%. Between July and September 2011, net VAS sales reached 2,601 billion BRL, up 36% year on year. VAS revenues represent 19.83% of Brazilian mobile operators’ service sales, similar to the contribution recorded in 2Q 2011. In the third quarter, mobile broadband generated net sales of 1,413 billion BRL, representing 54.3% of the VAS business. Annual growth was 64%. Instant messaging services (SMS + MMS) rose 14% to 0,964 billion BRL. SMS represents 37.10% of VAS. Other VAS’s grew 6% generating net sales of 0,224 billion BRL. Other VAS represented 8.6% of the value added business. | 14 |
  • 15. Chart 12 Net revenue distribution by service. 3Q 2011, in millions of BRL and US$ Voice Serv. VAS SMS + MMS Internet Other VAS USD 862 R$ 1,413 54% USD 6,411 USD 1,586 R$ 10,514 R$ 2,601 80% 20% USD 588 R$ 964 USD 136 37% R$ 224 9% Vivo retains top spot in VAS as a percentage contribution to total revenues (23%). VAS represents 18% of service sales to both TIM and Oi. Chart 13 Net VAS sales as a percentage of service sales. Quarterly evolution 2009 – 3Q 2011. 25% 23% 23% Vivo 23% 22% 22% 22% TIM 20% 20% Oi 18% 17% 17% 15% 15% 18% 15% 13% 13% 14% 16% 13% 13% 15% 12% 12% 11% 12% 10% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 5% 0% 3Q 3Q 3Q 4Q 3Q 3Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 | 15 |
  • 16. 2. MAVAM (Acision Monitor for Mobile VAS) MAVAM Acision aims at analyzing the trends of value added services in Latin America. This study has been carried out in Brazil since 2009. It started to be carried out in Mexico in 2010 and in Argentina in 2011. This edition of MAVAM Brazil has the following methodological features: a) It was carried out through a survey addressed to 1,493 mobile phone users across Brazil, by means of two different surveying techniques: the Computer-assisted Web Interviewing (CAWI) technique and Computer- assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI) technique. The sample consists of 193 people interviewed on the phone (CATI) from December 5th through December 15th, 2011, and of 1,300 people interviewed on the Internet (CAWI) from December 5th through December 16th, 2011. b) The geographic area covered by the sample comprises all of Brazil’s regions. The sample considers the number of inhabitants, their socioeconomic status, age and gender in order to improve representativeness nationwide. As the number of Internet users is lower than the number of mobile users, and given that the sample represents a population which is very familiar with the use of technology, the values obtained in some cases bar projections from applying to the entire market, and they are only reference and indicative data. These cases are explained throughout the study. c) The CAWI was supplemented by the CATI in order to create a group for data monitoring and comparison purposes. d) The services analyzed in this edition include: Messaging Mobile Internet • SMS • Social networks • MMS • Payments and mobile banking • E-mail • Mobile Marketing • Instant messaging • Location services (GPS) Entertainment Brazil: Geographical areas • Music Sample Participation North 44 2.9% • Images North-East 266 17.8% • Games South-East 840 56.3% South 256 17.1% • Ringtones Center-West 87 5.8% • TV • Video | 16 |
  • 17. 3. Messaging Services (Special Topic) Widespread adoption of mobile telephony is also reflected by text messaging services. It is reasonable to say that almost 100% of telephones worldwide can be used to send and receive messages. However, as seen in previous editions of MAVAM, frequency of SMS usage differs by country. The increasing number of smartphones available and instant (IM) or over the top ‘OTT’ messaging solutions for mobile phones are challenging traditional text messaging services in the field of interpersonal communications. This is why this tenth edition of MAVAM will look at the new products and solutions that seek to enrich traditional SMS and generate new operator revenues. The characteristics of the messaging services examined in this section are: 1. Automatic signature: define a signature or greeting at the end of messages (E.g.: “I’m on vacation”, “I’m busy right now / I’m out of office”). 2. Personal White List / Black List: create contact lists to define who can and cannot send messages to users. 3. Automatic forwarding: allows for automatic resending of messages received to another telephone number (e.g. your personal or work phone). 4. Automatic email forwarding: allows messages received to be automatically forwarded to an email account for backup or reading on a PC. 5. Distribution list: to send messages to a group of contacts whose recipients can also respond to the entire group. 6. Delivery receipt: receive a delivery confirmation for sent messages. 7. Search: ability to search saved messages 8. Reminders: Receive reminders for appointments. 9. The party called pays for sending the message: in order to be able to send a message, it is paid for by the recipient. 10. Cloud-based archive to save all messages in a cloud storage service provided by the operator. 11. Multiple SIM cards: the ability to send messages from any other device (tablets, dongles, USB modems, etc.). 12. Alias: configure names or nicknames for a user’s number. 13. SMS Pager: receive text messages or calls without showing a number, but showing a nickname: people send SMS messages to a service center (for example, 12345) starting with the nickname, followed by the message. We also compare the features users find most important in an instant messaging and SMS services. Additionally, we look at situations in which users prefer to use other forms of communication. | 17 |
  • 18. Although our assessment is based on message communications between persons, we should point out that machine to machine communications and enterprise messaging through the adoption as a new B2C (business to consumer) communication channel (e.g. mobile couponing, promotions, SMS bank services, government procedures, etc.) will play an important role in the future of SMS. 3.1. SMS 89% of participants said they have used some sort of text messaging (SMS) service in the last three months. These figures have remained steady over the past four quarters with positive and negative variations not exceeding one percentage point. Chart 14 Use of text messaging (SMS). Base: total sample (4Q 2010: 1,206 cases; 1Q 2011; 1,494 cases; 2Q 2011: 1,570 cases; 4Q 2011: 1,493 cases) 100% 95% Percentage of cases 90% 90% 90% 89% 88% 85% 80% 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 4Q2011 Among SMS users, usage frequency shows a slightly upward trend. 58% of users send more than one SMS daily, 2 percentage points up on the second quarter of 2011, while at the same time the proportion of those not using the service has fallen (21% versus 24% in the second quarter). | 18 |
  • 19. Chart 15 Use of text messaging (SMS). Base: total sample (1,493 cases) 21% 5% 21% Yes 89% 6% 58% I have not sent any SMS over the last 3 months I do not make use of the service I send very f ew text messages. I hardly ever send text messages I send one SMS per week I send more than one SMS per week Increased frequency can be explained as a result of the more aggressive bundles and offerings in the SMS market during 2011. For example, when we finalized this edition, Brazilian operators were offering pre-paid SMS packages that reduced SMS prices by between 50% (Claro) and 88% (Oi). Monthly packages of 100 SMS messages cost around $5. | 19 |
  • 20. 3.1.1. Future importance of SMS Participants were asked to compare the importance of SMS services today and in the future. 46% said that SMS will be more important than it is now, while 18% felt it would be less important. Chart 16 Future importance of SMS. Base: total sample (1,493 cases) 100% 80% Percentage of cases 60% 46% 40% 18% 28% 27% 19% 20% 11% 7% 8% 0% I don't know / It will be less It will have It will be It will be more It will be more no answer important than small important important important than today importance today 3.1.2. Barriers to SMS usage It is important to ask what impedes greater SMS usage. Among SMS users (89% of the sample), the main reason they do not use the service more is that there is no need to (16%), the service is expensive (18%) and some users prefer voice communications (18%). Other less common responses include a lack of (pre-paid) credit and promotional messaging packages (7%) and a lack of contacts who use the service (3%). Among non-users (11% of participants), the main reason for lack of uptake (for 66%7) is that they prefer voice communications. This adoption barrier has remained constant throughout MAVAM’s 2011 surveys. Other reasons include a lack of usage – where user is not familiarized with its use (24%) or no need to use the service (21%). Price does not seem to be a significant barrier to people who have not adopted the service. 7 Multiple response. | 20 |
  • 21. 3.1.3. New SMS and MMS-based services Preferred products and solutions Interviewees were asked to look at a list of 13 services as add-ons and improvements to text messaging as we know it today, and select the ones they would like to use. Each participant was allowed to select more than one option from the list. The most popular were: delivery receipt (86%), multiple SIM cards (85%), reminders (82%) and searching saved messages (80%). Chart 17 Which of these features would you like to see available for SMS (text messaging) Service. Base: total sample (1,493 cases). Multiple responses. Receipt notif ication 86% Multiple SIM 85% Reminders 82% Search 80% Alias 72% Auto-signature 71% Distribuition list 71% Auto-send to an email account 70% White/black lists personalization 68% Cloud message 66% Paid in the destination 63% SMS Beeper 63% Auto-send to another cell phone 60% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Percentage of cases Participants were asked how difficult it was to understand each of the proposed services. Between 2% and 4% of interviewees had difficulty understanding the value of the proposed services. The biggest percentage (4%) was recorded for the following solutions: automatically forwarding received messages, creating discussion lists, creating nicknames (aliases) and the SMS Pager. | 21 |
  • 22. Most important services Interviewees were asked how likely they were to buy each of the selected solutions. In this case, participants used a scale of importance ranging from 1 (not important) to 5 (very important). Of the four features with the biggest potential for adoption (delivery receipt, multiple SIM cards, reminders and searches) users said that delivery confirmation was the most important (81%). Chart 18 How important are each of the SMS services you said you would like to have in the future? Base: cases in which users would like certain features. Note: to make the graph easier to read, we have only included the features with the most potential. Receipt notif ication 7% 12% 81% Multiple SIM 6% 17% 77% Reminders 7% 14% 79% Search 8% 20% 72% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Percentage of cases Not important / Somewhat important Neutral Important / Very important | 22 |
  • 23. Willingness to pay for a service The services people would be more willing to pay for include reminders (44%), automatic SMS forwarding to an email account (43%), Multiple SIM cards (43%), cloud-based files (43%) and the SMS Pager (41%). For these five services, the average value people would be willing to pay is between 3.4 and 3.8 BRL. The highest and most frequently mentioned value is 5 BRL for the automatic forwarding and cloud storage service. Willingness to pay for SMS service features. Base: 852 (Number of people who said they would like to have each of the services). Multiple responses. % of people that Average value Most frequently Feature would be willing to people would be mentioned value pay for the service willing to pay Reminders 44% R$3.5 R$0.5 Auto-send to an email account 43% R$3.4 R$5.0 Multiple SIM 43% R$3.7 R$1.0 Cloud message 43% R$3.8 R$5.0 SMS Beeper 41% R$4.3 R$1.0 Auto-send to another cell phone 39% R$3.1 R$1.0 Receipt notification 39% R$3.3 R$0.5 Paid in the destination 38% R$3.2 R$0.5 Distribuition list 37% R$4.0 R$1.0 White/black lists personalization 35% R$5.1 R$5.0 Auto-signature 30% R$4.6 R$5.0 Search 29% R$3.3 R$0.5 Alias 27% R$3.7 R$1.0 | 23 |
  • 24. New feature configuration 33% of users who would consider using at least one of the suggested products said that the ideal method for configuring the service would be via an application installed on their phone. In second place, 26% of participants said that the best option would be SMS configuration and 24% said they would prefer to configure the service via the operator’s Internet portal. Chart 19 What would be the best way to configure the SMS services listed. Base: People who like to have at least one feature (1,428 cases). Multiple responses. Through an app installed on your cell phone 33% Sending an SMS to conf igure services 26% Through the operator's web site 24% Through an app installed on your computer 8% through a complement installed in the email 4% manager Through a WAP portal 3% Other 2% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Percentage of cases | 24 |
  • 25. 3.2. MMS MMS usage has remained stable throughout the second quarter of 2011: 12% of the sample said they sent at least one MMS per week (active users). 77% of interviewees said that their cell phones were able to send multimedia messages, similar to the figure in the second quarter (75%). Chart 20 MMS (Multimedia Messaging) usage. Base: total sample (4Q 2011: 1,493 cases; 2Q 2011: 1,570 cases) 100% 2Q2011 77% of users with MMS-enabled cell phones 4Q2011 80% 75% 77% Percentage of cases 60% 40% 10% of users who may prospectively be turned into active users 12% of active users 20% 12% 10% 6% 7% 5% 5% 0% Mobile Phones enabled I send very few MMS, I I send one MMS in I send more than one to send MMS hardly send MMS average MMS In this edition, we surveyed the occasions and situations that users send MMS messages. Our results showed that 69% of users who sent MMS messages in the last three months said they do so on special occasions like birthdays and other celebrations. 33% send MMS messages when they are with friends, and 27% send them at the weekends. Other situations mentioned by 11% of the sample are: when they want to send photos to relatives or as a surprise, when they want someone’s opinion about something they are going to buy or want to show someone a photo taken in an unusual situation. | 25 |
  • 26. Chart 21 In which situations do you send Multimedia Messages (MMS). Base: Users sending at least one MMS in the last three months (325 cases). Multiple responses. On special occasions (eg: anniversaries, birthdays, 69% etc..) When hanging out with 33% f riends On holidays 27% For some labor issue 19% Other situation 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Percentage of cases As the user base is so low (12% of active users), we asked why people didn’t use MMS more. 41% said that sending MMS messages is expensive. 18% believe that the service does not work properly and 16% said that they did not use the service more regularly because they are not sure if the messages are received. Among other reasons not listed (13%), people said they didn’t see a need to use MMS, they preferred not to send photos in messages and email is better for sending photos. Chart 22 What are your reasons for not using MMS messages on your cell phone (or not using them more)? Base: total sample (1,493 cases). Multiple responses. It is very expensive 41% I do not have how to conf irm if the receiver 16% received the message My cell phone is easy to send MMS 8% My cell phone is not conf igured to send MMS 8% MMS service does not work well 18% Never try sending a multimedia message 24% Other reasons 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Percentage of cases | 26 |
  • 27. Response to incentives 55% of interviewees said that one incentive for MMS usage would be lower prices. Another, similar to SMS, would be delivery confirmation (29%). 22% believe that MMS messaging packages would also encourage usage. Among the 5% of responses presenting other incentives, the most interesting are: faster delivery, offering support for using the service on mobile phones and that all devices should be able to open these types of message. Chart 23 What would encourage you to use MMS messaging more (or more frequently)? Base: total sample (1,493 cases). Multiple responses. Cost per message should be lower (f or 55% example: it could cost the same as SMS) Be sure that the message will reach the 29% destination Operators would have to of f er MMS 22% bundle Owning a cell phone able to send MMS 13% Others 5% Don't know 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Percentage of cases | 27 |
  • 28. 3.3. Instant messaging (IM) 44% of participants have used some sort of instant messaging service from their mobile phones in the past three months. Chart 24 Access to instant messaging. Base: total sample (4Q 2010: 1,206 cases; 1Q 2011; 1,494 cases; 2Q 2011: 1,570 cases; 4Q 2011: 1,493 cases) 100% 80% Percentage of cases 60% 44% 40% 33% 28% 20% 20% 0% 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 4Q 2011 Chart 25 Use of instant messaging. Base: total sample (1,493 cases) Yes, I made use of Instant Messaging 37% services during the last three months 44% No, I didn't make use of Instant Messaging services during the last three months 19% I never made use of Instant Messaging services during the last three months IM usage increases when people switch to new devices. 56% of people who bought their device in the last six months have used instant messaging. This percentage drops to 51% and 33% among people who have had the same device for between 6 months and one year and for more than one year, respectively. | 28 |
  • 29. IM usage is higher if people have smartphones (66%) compared with people who use traditional phones (27%). Men (47%) use instant messaging more than women (40%). Of those who use instant messaging (44%), the most frequently mentioned chat service is Facebook (29%), followed by Twitter (20%) when used as a messenger. While Twitter is not an instant messaging service, rather more of a social network, the immediate delivery and short message length result in users treating the service in roughly the same way as an instant messaging service. Chart 26 Use of instant messaging as a platform. Base: IM users (653 cases). Multiple responses. Facebook Chat 29% Twitter 20% eBuddy XMS 10% Google Talk 10% iMessage 7% Skype Messenger 7% BlackBerry Messenger/Ping 2% WhatsApp 2% Others 4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Percentage of cases We asked people who said they used the IM services in Chart 27 how many messages they sent and received on average every week over the past three months. The results show that some platforms are used to send messages and others to receive them. Twitter, BBM and Skype are preferred to send messages and GTalk, eBuddy, iMessage, Facebook Chat and WhatsApp to receive them. eBuddy posts the biggest difference between the average number of messages sent and received: 15 places. Twitter (2.4 posts) and Facebook Chat (1.5 posts) are the most balanced services in terms of messages sent and received. | 29 |
  • 30. Chart 27 Average number of messages sent and received via instant messaging services. Base: Users who have used each of the services. 37.3 Google Talk 29.1 48.0 eBuddy XMS 33.1 28.3 Twitter 30.8 Average messages 39.6 received per week iMessage 32.8 Average messages sent 21.5 per week BlackBerry Messenger/Ping 30.1 39.0 Facebook Chat 37.5 26.7 Skype Messenger 30.8 39.1 WhatsApp 35.5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Messanges per week Barriers to instant messaging adoption The main reason that people do not use instant messaging from their mobile phone is that their phone does not allow for installation of this type of application (54%). Second ranked is the low speed and reliability of mobile internet connections (20%). Third place is the fact that people prefer to access these services from a PC or notebook, make voice calls or use SMS (8%). Chart 28 What reasons keep you from using (or using more often) instant messaging services from the cell phone you use with the greatest frequency? Base: total sample (1,493 cases). Multiple responses. My phone does not support IM 54% Internet connection is too slow 20% I pref er to access in my computer in the of f ice / 8% f azer chamadas de voz ou enviar SMS Not interesting / need / time 7% The internet connection f rom the cell phone is expensive / i don't have credit or data bundle to 5% access the internet Don't know how to use or access the application 4% Others 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Percentage of cases | 30 |
  • 31. Requirements for a new instant messaging service Interviewees were asked what the main characteristics should be for a new instant messaging service. In first place are reasons based on the type of contract. 59% of the sample said that the cost of using the service should be included in the plan (this is the most common form of benefit). In second place are reasons linked to guaranteed performance. 56% said it should work smoothly. Chart 29 Features a new instant messaging service should offer. Base: total sample (1,493 cases). Multiple responses. It must be without cost / included in the contract 59% Service should always work, without troubles 56% Cost must be reasonable 52% It must be sure message is received af ter seconds 51% Service should be used also in the computer 40% Able to share f iles, images, videos with my f riends 39% Able to see when the other party is typing an answer 38% Able to contact anyone 35% Able to contact all SMS users 32% Able to chat with others in the contact group 27% Able to see the latter conversations 25% Able to share status and f eelings with f riends 20% Able to share my location 14% Others 4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Percentage of cases | 31 |
  • 32. If the new service meets the quality and feature requirements described, 76% of those interviewed said they would use the service. Potential for instant messaging is greater among people between 18 and 24 years of age (81%) and 25-34 (79%). Chart 30 What would be your attitude towards using a single instant messaging service? Base: total sample (1,493 cases) 100% 80% Percentage of cases 76% 60% Would use it 41% 40% 35% 4% Would not use it 18% 20% 3% 2% 2% 0% Don't know Certainly would Probably would Maybe yes or Probably would Certainly would not use not use no use use 22% of people who said they used instant messaging reported they would only do so if it is free of charge. 9% did not say how much they were willing to pay. 58% of people who use the service would be willing to pay between 0.25 and 2.00 BRL per month. How much would you be willing to pay for these services? Base: total sample (1,493 cases) Value people would be willing to pay % Nothing or would only use if free of charge 22% Less than 0.25 BRL per month 14% Between 0.25 and 0.50 BRL per month 17% Between 0.50 and 1.00 BRL per month 12% Between 1.00 and 2.00 BRL per month 15% More than 2.00 BRL per month 12% Don't know 9% | 32 |
  • 33. 3.4. Advantages of SMS over instant messaging We asked people the advantages each service had over the other. 46% of people said that SMS costs less than instant messaging. While the total amount a user pays for SMS messages depends on usage, the view that text messaging is cheaper than instant messaging can be linked to the position that, generally speaking, better quality phones like smartphones are needed to use instant messaging, as well as a data plan. The importance of this response is that the user’s perceptions can be altered through product communication proposals. Another 33% said that unlike instant messaging, people know that when someone receives an SMS text message, the message is important. This response reveals that instant messaging is a communication method used in more informal situations. In third place as a comparative advantage over instant messaging, with 32%, is the ability to communicate with anyone. This response may indicate the users know that only more expensive devices provide IM access, while SMS is available on almost any device on the market. Chart 31 In your opinion, what are the advantages of SMS compared with instant messaging services used from your mobile phone? Base: 1,322 cases. Multiple responses. Note: We have only shown the five most significant advantages for illustrative purposes. Have low cost 46% When I use SMS I know that the recipient 33% knows it's an important message I can communicate with any person 32% I can easily send a message to a large 25% quantity of people To know that the message is received 23% af ter seconds 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Percentage of cases Other advantages of SMS over IM mentioned: ease of use (no additional application needed), no Internet access required and unlimited SMS packages are available. | 33 |
  • 34. 3.5. Advantages of instant messaging over SMS Among the advantages of instant messaging over SMS, 41% of interviewees mentioned low cost. In this case, we can presume that when a user has chosen a more expensive device that allows for instant messaging and subsequently pays for a data plan, they realize that in general terms, instant messaging does not incur any additional cost. The fact that the advantage of both services are linked to a perception of lower cost for subscribers means that operators need to pay special attention to their pricing models when expanding either service. 38% said that one advantage is IM can be used on a PC. This is important because it reveals all communication options need to be available on several devices (voice, messaging, emails, video, etc.). 38% also said that an IM advantage over SMS is knowing the message will be received in a matter of seconds. Chart 32 In your opinion, what are the advantages of instant messaging services (e.g.: WhatsApp, Skype Messenger, Facebook Chat, BlackBerry Messenger, Google Talk, etc.) Compared with SMS/MMS? Base: 1,322 cases. Multiple responses. Note: We have only shown the five most significant advantages for illustrative purposes. Have low cost 41% Use the service also in the 38% personal computer To know that the message is 38% received af ter seconds Be sure that the answer will be 35% received f ast Be sure the receiver will read the 35% message promptly 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Percentage of cases Other benefits of IM over SMS mentioned by interviewees is that IM is free, you can speak to people whose telephone number you do not know, it can be used over Wi-Fi and you can see the status of other contacts. | 34 |
  • 35. 3.5.1. Service preference among recipients In this edition of MAVAM, we asked whether recipients preferred to receive messages by SMS or IM, when sent by a friend, relative, business partner, colleague or based on the message content: work vs. personal. SMS was the preferred option in each situation, especially in the workplace. 39% of the sample said they prefer SMS when they need to communicate with work colleagues and 40% prefer text messages when dealing with work issues. Chart 33 Preferred method of communication for each recipient. Base: 1,322 cases. Note: We have omitted percentages for people who said they would not use either service to facilitate viewing. Multiple responses. 100% SMS (Text Messages) Sometimes SMS, sometimes 80% Instant Messaging IM sent f rom my cell phone SMS is mostly used Percentage of cases within work situations 60% 38% 38% 39% 40% 40% 35% 36%36% 33% 31% 25% 25% 19% 21% 20% 20% 19% 20% 16% 9% 0% Friends Relatives Boyf riend/ Work Work issues Others Girlfriend - colleagues Husband/Wif e | 35 |