A dangerous circus right next door, in the middle east

grazia.tanta@gmail.com 29/06/2019 1
A dangerous circus right next door, in the Middle East
The greatest danger is that decadent states tend to not
accept this decadence and cause disasters, without,
preferentially, opting for hara-kiri.
Contents
Introducing the clowns
An erratic, chaotic pecking
Persian Gulf - many attackers for one target
Where are the threats?
========== ##### ==========
Introducing the clowns
More than 2,000 years ago the first triumvirate was formed in Rome, with Julius
Caesar, Pompey (the Great) and a certain Crassus who had as his fixation the
conquest the Parthian empire, and ended up dying in that war. Rome never achieved
that conquest and it was the enlightened Emperor Hadrian's who, much later,
established the peace, after having made a cost-benefit analysis of that ongoing war.
In the decadent American empire of today, a triumvirate1
also dominates, a pinchbeck
one, with another Pompey (big and fat), a Bolton well suited for the role of Crassus,
due to the unwisdom that caused him to be on the shelf for many years and, saving the
worst for last, Trump, who is lightyears away from being a Julius Caesar. The danger is
that decadent states tend not to accept that decadence and cause disasters, not
opting, preferentially, for hara-kiri.
1
For the place of supplemental triumvir we bet in the interim secretary of defense, a certain
Mark Esper, a brilliant mind who announced that countries should prepare for Russian missile
attacks. Esper expects that everyone will dig a shelter in their yard.

An erratic, chaotic pecking
In the ups and downs of the already chronic political crisis in the Persian Gulf there are
several contending fields, with less or more political moderation, with various levels of
integration and contributions to that crisis. The Middle East is now in the shop-window,
after sanctions against China and an attempt to sell, at sales prices, a certain Guaidó,
in an action in which any threat will follow any threat. A bedbug, is bouncing,
bloodthirsty.
Despite its geographical and cultural distance from the Middle East’s peoples, the
United States constitute the only massive presence2
, the most relevant piece in the
political and, above all military, global chess, within a frantic performance begun in
1990.
This ensues, in historical terms, from the US perverted slant for the salvation of others,
when they found themselves free and above the European eighteenth-century
confusions. That view, however, did not include any respect for Native Americans,
which were slaughtered, or for the enslaved blacks. From it, then, follows, in part, the
fact that the US continues to this day to assume an alleged right to intervene in the
problems that exist or keep emerging in the Gulf region, as well as in the China Sea,
even preparing to create a military base in a wildlife sanctuary called the Galapagos
Islands, to prevent iguanas from damaging US interests and the "free world".
In the wake of World War II they benefited, initially, from the end of the European
colonial empires, from the strategic retreat of the major European powers, from the
establishment of the neoliberal model, from the dismemberment of the Eastern Bloc,
from the technologies that have developed the globalization of markets, mostly the
financial ones, as well as from the traditional subordination of the Latin American
"backyard", which is reconstituting itself today. As setbacks, one can mention the
defeat in Vietnam, as in the rest of Indochina, the Iranian humiliation in 1979, the
2
Russia has, since a few years, maintained two military bases in northern Syria (Tartus and
Latakia), with very limited military intervention capacity within the region known as the Near
and Middle East.

emergence in force of China as a defiant power, the greater autonomy of Asian
countries, the chaos provoked by the military interventions in the Middle East or in the
Mediterranean, in addition to Russia's return as a potentially challenging powerand,
furthermore, in a close strategic relationship with China; which, to the misfortune of US
messianic drive, came to coincide with the financial system's debacle of 2008, which
was based on Ponzi pyramids.
As adequate symbols of this decline one can considered G W Bush or Trump –
whose material wealth contrasts with the lack of intellectual preparation, as has been
seen recently in the succession of threats and smiles of Trump, regarding North Korea,
China, the EU, Venezuela, Mexico ... to iguanas, as mentioned before ... This quest for
a return to hegemony is often disastrous, increasingly difficult, and increasingly
contested, and is based on certain vectors:
 Political control of the production and distribution of hydrocarbons in the Middle
East and Venezuela whose transactions, mainly in dollars, are a way of
maintaining a high external debt on the part of the USA and provide viability to the
export of shale oil made in the USA;
 The Middle East, in particular the Arab monarchies are, along with the NATO
countries, the major purchasers of the US arms industry production; a "good" war
or a mere threat of war, encourages the sultans to order weapons3
;
 The attempt to affect or condition the supply of hydrocarbons to China, India and
the entire Far East, or of boycotting the import of Venezuelan oil, freezing that
country’s capital or boycotting its supply of essential goods to its population;
 Impotence regarding the Euro-Asian energy integration, as well as the commercial
integration channel with the same geographical scope (and including Africa),
known as the Silk Road. The fall of Latin American "left" regimes emerges as a
way for the US to compensate for difficulties in other geographies and to restore
their order in the "backyard".
Persian Gulf - many attackers for one target
Returning to the Middle East, the US display their strategic assertion difficulties, after
the flops of Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, the Yemeni stalemate, and having seen Turkey –
the second most populous NATO member – buy arms from rival Russia. In this context,
3
Very recently, the US sold $ 8,000 M (more than twice the Portuguese defense budget) of
armament to the Gulf’s sultans, even without Congressional endorsement. The businessman
Trump does not tie himself to ... bureaucracies ... On the other hand, Turkey, whenever it
wants to buy arms from Russia, is facing retaliation and threats from the United States; and
the same Trump has been threatening India with sanctions due to its $ 5000 M purchase of S-
400 missiles to Russia, thus revealing its function of salesman of the American military-
industrial complex.

and pressed by the panicked Zionist fortress, the US is trying to attack the region's
most populous country, Iran – one of the three oldest and most consolidated political
entities on the planet, together with Egypt and China.
In the Middle East scenario several sets can be considered ... even when they have
only one element:
1. The Zionist entity appears in this context as the American fortress, with a strategic
initiative mediatized and inserted into the US one, from which it’s political, financial
and military existence depends. It has, however, sufficient influence (via Jared
Kushner4
) to drive the Trump administration to insane acts – Jerusalem as a
Zionist capital and the annexation of Syrian Golan territory – with the tacit
acceptance of the Arab sultans.
It should be noted that in the Zionist-occupied Palestine a racist regime is in place
in which Jews (?) keep under sword and fire an "inferior" race, the Palestinians, in
a practice similar to that of the South African apartheid or the Nazi Germany.
It should also be noted that the Zionist entity has about 200 atomic bombs –
initially built with French support – outside the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
The latter was signed by Iran some fifty years ago, the country having no nuclear
weapons; and even its use for the production of energy is subject to control by the
International Energy Agency, after validation by nuclear powers such as Russia,
Great Britain, China, France or Germany, after the US withdrawal from that
agreement, on Trump’s initiative, to justify his current warlike drift in the Gulf.
2 – The Arab monarchies, led by Saudi Arabia of the media-savy Mohammed bin
Salman (MbS), having failed to use ISIS to change the regime in Syria and with
little influence in Iraq, play their hands in two planes. One, in Yemen, to nullify the
power of the northern tribes - the Huti - zaidites, close to Shiism; and, above all, to
control the eastern bank of the Strait of Bab el-Mandeb5
a strategic 20-km-wide
passage linking the Indian Ocean to the Red Sea, to the north of which lies the
Suez Canal ... with Europe "in sight". The other goal of MbS is to try to take down
Iran, its great rival in the region, for which it will have to forcibly rely on the United
States. Finally, let us note that there is not a total unity between the set of kings,
4
Kushner and his ideological brother Netanyahou drew up a plan to create a Palestinian state
that is, in fact, a name change for the current Bantustan, and where it is foreseen the building
of heavy infrastructures, for the pleasure of the top companies of the concrete area. The plan
is so unreal in its sectarianism that it makes one want to laugh ...
https://br.sputniknews.com/infograficos/2019052413942482-acordo-seculo-plano-eua-para-resolver-conflito-israel-
palestina/
https://www.noticiasaominuto.com/mundo/1275997/plano-dos-eua-para-economia-palestiniana-esta-divorciado-
da-realidade
5 On the other side of the Bab el Mandeb, in Djibouti, there are deployed military bases from
the USA, China, Japan and France where German and Spanish military are welcomed as guests:
on a ground where the world's highest density of military bases occurs, they fraternize.

emirs and sultans, as the Qatari monarch is ostracized by his colleagues, since it
has an old connection to Iran and, on top of it, having Turkey as an ally, he feels
safe from muscular interventions by MbS and his confreres.
Salvador Dali – El Jinete de la Muerte
3 – Iran is a "problem" that the United States have been trying to solve since the fall of
the Shah in 1979, when the country ceased to be an American vassal. US support
for the repressive monarchist regime has led to the occupation of the US embassy
by students who have taken hostage their staff, in a process that ended only in
1981. The disastrous military rescue attempt (a few years after the defeat in
Vietnam) heightened in the US a sense of humiliation that propitiated Reagan's
victory in that year's presidential election. The arrival of Reagan constituted an
essential pillar for the reinforcement of the neoliberalism, that was already being
applied in the Great Britain by the baroness Thatcher; Reagan was a sort of
announcing angel for the frets that followed him, George W Bush and Trump.
Image painted on the wall of the former US embassy in Teheran

The US placed an order with Saddam Hussein to wage a war against Iran in which
he would seize the Kuzistan oil territory as a reward, if he would be able to
overthrow the Iranian regime. This war provoked a million dead, consolidated the
regime but weakened Iraq, causing Saddam to invade the rich Kuwait to face the
debts incurred due to the war; and he did it without worrying to obtain assurance
from the American sovereignty, not to mention that the United States is the
guardian of the Gulf oil monarchies, successor to the British who invented them,
after the discovery of oil under the desert sands.
This was followed by two Western interventions in Iraq, led by the United States,
resulting in the fall and subsequent execution of Saddam, new sufferings for the
Iraqi people, and the transition of former military to Daesh/ISIS, whose mission
would be the creation of a caliphate (!) that would join together Kurdish, Syrian and
Iraqi territories. For the US, what was important in that conjuncture was the sale of
weapons (paid by Qataris and Saudis) for the fall of Assad, which, if it happened,
would later weaken Lebanon, providing the Zionist regime with a quiet border to
the north and causing joy to the Sunni monarchies for seeing Syrian Alawites and
Lebanese Shiites in disgrace and with Iran in greater isolation.
As can be seen, there is today a Shia (and related) axis that goes from Iran to the
Mediterranean, where the US and its European cadets have lost positions,
including in those losses the good graces of Turkey, a NATO partner.
Also, with regard to Iran, this country has observer status with the SCO –
Shanghai Cooperation Organization and close relations with its members, mainly
Russia and China (a strong presence of Chinese cadres is noticeable in Teheran
hotels), but also with India and Pakistan. As far as is known, Trump's step back
(pressed by Pompeo and Bolton) 15 minutes before an attack on Iran – following
the downing of the American drone (20/6) – was not due to a humanitarian impulse
from Trump, in view of the projected death of 150 people; rather, the cause would
lie in Russia communicating that they would be on Iran’s side in the event of any
aggression.
4 – Turkey, a NATO country with a unique strategic position, with influence in Europe,
and in the Black, Aegean and Mediterranean seas, the Middle East and Central
Asia, has been distancing itself from the USA and even threatened the Arab
monarchies in case of intervention in Qatar. On the other hand, Turkey, despite its
usual position against Kurdish autonomy, has been active in northern Syria with
the mediation of Russia, which has in Turkey – a NATO country – an armaments
buyer; and has a friendly relationship with Iran, unlike the Arab countries that were
included in the Ottoman Empire during four centuries.
5 - The USA are the only case, among those present in the Gulf area, of a global role
player and that, despite their own and growing weaknesses, in comparative terms
with other powers, arrogantly claims the right to threaten, intervene, issue
warnings and opinions, even about the internal affairs of other countries, as seen

recently in Britain where Trump has announced, without any detail, a gigantic plan
to support the country once Brexit materialized ... as a performance bonus.
For a simplified picture of the US decay, see the recent dynamics:
2017 2000 2017 2000
Large Exporters (
% of world total)
Large Importers ( %
of world total)
Germany, Spain, France,
the Netherlands and Italy
19.0 21.9 24.3 29.6
China 15.0 5.7 9.5 3.0
USA 7.7 12.0 13.0 19.0
External Deficit / Surplus China USA
Millions of $ 896500 391400 - 863900 - 434000
See: International trade - who wins and who loses
This is compounded by the regular issuing of sanctions and threats against
Canada, Mexico, the EU, China, Venezuela, North Korea and Iran, in addition to
the already chronic case of Cuba and others that ... nobody remembers anymore;
in addition to seeking to sow military bases a little about everywhere, the last being
the Galapagos Islands – a wildlife sanctuary – and which may have already
obtained the agreement of the Ecuadorian backyard butler, a certain Lenin
Moreno.
Salvador Dali - The Great Masturbator
Where are the threats?
We are going to present several indicators on the countries that are actors on the Gulf
crisis, so that their differences in forces can be assessed. Some will be economic
indicators and others have an eminently military content; and we have added data for
Portugal, for comparison purposes.
Economic indicators

Iran
United
Arab
Emirates
Oman Kuwait A. Saudi Israel Qatar Bahrain USA Portugal
Population (millions)
83.0 9.7 3.5 2.9 33.1 8.4 2.4 1.4 329.3 10.4
GDP per capita ($) 2017 World Bank
5470 39441 20224 41423 20747 42056 69554 25309 59172 21087
Foreign debt (% GDP)
1.8 62.1 65.4 39.3 29.9 25.1 100.5 147.2 91.9 204.7
External debt per capita ($)
96 24495 13220 16290 6196 10555 69917 37250 54388 43173
Foreign Debt / Gold and Foreign Exchange Reserves
0.1 2.5 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.8 11.2 22.2 145.3 17.2
Military expenditure per capita ($)
76 1482.0 1918.6 1793.1 2114.8 2333.3 804.2 521.4 2174.3 365.4
Source: https://www.globalfirepower.com/countries-listing.asp
In demographic terms, Iran far outnumbers the population of its antagonists from the
other side of the Gulf, including that of the Zionist entity, which includes several million
"Israeli Arabs" or Ethiopian, second-class, segregated citizens, because the Zionists
are eminently racists and fear the effects of their fellow citizens connecting with those
living outside Zionist-held borders. In the Gulf monarchies there are millions of
immigrants from Africa or Asia (with emphasis on the Philippines) conscribed to their
spaces and being denied family reunification. In the spasms that regularly pop-up in
this region, the United States is the great balance-breaker, taking into account its
military and economic power. We did not include in the above table data on Jordan
because it is only a weak monarchy, another British creation from the end of World War
I, with a strong Palestinian population and dependent upon foreign financing from
neighbouring oil monarchies.
Iran’s GDP per capita is significantly lower than that of the other antagonists that, as a
rule, have an indicator higher than that of the European Portugal, as is also the case
with the United States. The inequalities’ levels are enormous within each country.
However, anyone who knows Iran will know that Tehran has 12 million people, receives
daily 4 million workers living outside, has an intense traffic, a high degree of self-
sufficiency and people sport a dignified look, the swarms of beggars that are common
in other places of the Islamic world being nowhere to be seen. However, the regime
decided to build a luxurious, pharaonic space to contain the body of the ... founder
Khomeini.
Unlike Iran, which is one of the three oldest political entities on the planet – along with
China and Egypt – recently created entities abound among the Arab monarchies,
former possessions and British protectorates that the discovery of oil has greatly
inflated, well beyond tribal leaders, merchants, horse and camel breeders, and that the
various empires that have succeeded each other in the Middle East have never
coveted. The Saud family, for example, had to wait until the 1930s to, with Western
help, establish a kingdom, thereby abandoning the traditional practice of assaulting

caravans. Qatar was a Persian territory for centuries, Bahrain made a living off oyster
harvesting, and Oman is the only case with a presence in history because it was a
maritime power in the western Indian Ocean for a few centuries having created, for
example, Zanzibar.
Given that Portugal is on the European debt podium, all the capitation indicators are
negligible, except in Bahrain which no longer has oil reserves. The irrelevance of Iran's
external debt in the context of the GDP is noticeable, which has consequences in
capitation, Qatar and the US presenting themselves as true champions in this indicator.
The comparison of gold and foreign exchange reserves with the external debt shows
great inequalities. The external debt of the USA is equal to 145.3 times the value of the
country's monetary reserves, which, combined with its huge trade deficit, is only
admissible for political reasons, anchored in its military supremacy spread throughout
the planet, avoiding, in a completely artificial way, that the dollar be considered as
something without any value. Among the remaining countries, all with indicators
substantially lower than the US, Bahrain and Portugal stand out – for the worst reasons
in terms of solvency – and Iran as well as Saudi Arabia, for diametrically opposed
reasons.
Finally, before addressing the military indicators, the enormous expenditures of the
Gulf countries are visible, being comparatively more modest in the cases of Bahrain
and Qatar; those being clearly superior to the (already exaggerated) Portuguese
military expenditures. Military expenditures per inhabitant are particularly high in the US
and Saudi Arabia, surpassed only by the Zionist fortress; and, contrastingly, they are
comparatively much lower in Iran. The question of Portuguese military spending which,
given the geographical environment, are very high as we have already mentioned
years ago, and justified only by membership in NATO, poses itself, as a draining
channel for armament made in the USA, as an overriding reason for sending troops to
places where Portugal has no strategic or commercial interest and also, because "it is
necessary" to keep a high number of "desk generals". In this frivolous context of
military spending, understanding the reality in the Gulf will be sharpened by knowing
that Saudi Arabia's military budget is 23 times greater than Portugal’s.
Military indicators
Iran
United
Arab
Emirates
Oman Kuwait Saudi A. Israel Qatar Bahrain USA Portugal
Active military per 1000 inhabitants
6 6.6 12.1 5.3 6.9 20.2 5.0 5.9 3.9 2.9
Air Force (No.)
509 541 175 85 848 595 100 107 13398 87
Battle tanks (nº)
1634 510 117 567 1062 2760 95 180 6287 186
Armoured vehicles (No.)
2345 5936 735 715 11100 6541 465 850 39223 700
Rocket launchers (No.)

1900 72 12 27 122 150 17 17 1056 0
Warships (No.)
398 75 16 38 55 65 80 39 415 41
Source : https://www.globalfirepower.com/countries-listing.asp
Regarding the number of military personnel per thousand inhabitants there is a clear
highlight for the Zionist entity, about five times that of the United States that is intent on
being able to intervene across the globe. In the other countries of the region the
indicators have close values, excluding Oman.
In Portugal, the indicator should be lower, although it is understandably lower than
those recorded in the Gulf region. In Spain, a few years ago, there was one officer with
the rank of general for every 186 soldiers; in Portugal that number is reduced to 131.
In the air force area, without going into details about its composition and modernity,
and beyond the special case of the USA, Saudi Arabia stands out, the Zionist entity,
the Emirates and Iran emerging on a second plane. Kuwait, despite the small size of its
population and of its territory, shows an air force quantitatively similar to the
Portuguese one.
Being a global power, the US relies heavily on the air force and less on battle tanks,
needed in conventional ground combat. As wars, today, tend to be very asymmetrical,
the use of tanks against guerrilla forces or in urban settings is not the most appropriate.
In this type of weapon, its number stands out among the Zionists, fearful of
conventional attacks or, possibly, to be used in deep penetrations into the territory of
the bordering countries. Both Iran and Saudi Arabia have vast territories where tanks
can be of use. More strange is the number of these war machines in territories as small
as those of Kuwait (perhaps still fearful of a new Iraqi invasion ...) Qatar or Bahrain.
The latter is a small island state (780 km2
spread over 35 islands) and has a number of
vehicles similar to Portugal, which is much larger and has a long land border. The
sultans are very insightful; they will certainly know how to use such a fleet of tanks in
such a small island territory...
In the case of the armoured vehicles, lighter than the tanks, their number among the
Saudis (a little less than 1/3 of the Americans) but with a population almost forty times
lower is also curious; another staggering indicator is that of the Zionist fortress, with a
vehicle armed for every two square kilometres, and which cannot all be used
simultaneously so as to not generate... traffic jams. Once again, we see the
asymmetries in the appropriations of these vehicles, with similar numbers for such
unequal territories, as in the cases of Kuwait or of the insular Bahrain, when compared
with Portugal.
Regarding the rocket launchers – a highly mobile weapon used, for example, in Gaza
against Zionist targets – Iran is better equipped than the US itself, which of course do
not expect to be attacked in a conventional war. And that justifies saying that "the
Iranian air defence system is extremely powerful" and that the United States would face
"an enemy that, despite being militarily weaker (...), has a capacity for retaliation and to

cause tremendous damage "(declarations by Carlos Branco, major-general, reserve).
And this is in addition to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz6,
in the case of a war, with
incalculable implications to the global economy.
Note that the other countries in the Gulf area have comparatively few rocket launchers
for the simple reason that they do not expect to be attacked. At the light of this logic,
we can see the reason for Portugal not having rocket launchers.
As for the size of the navies – all the countries considered have a sea border – the
largest is the Iranian navy, despite Saudi Arabia and Oman also having long coastlines.
In terms of units, the Iranian navy has a size close to that of the US, but its profiles are
very different; in one case it is a fleet for coast surveillance and in the other it is a
powerful fleet, present in every ocean. Thus, for example, the United States has 24
aircraft carriers and, among the other Near and Middle East countries, only Egypt has
this type of ship, and then only 2 units.
What is the solution for the Middle East? Some general ideas:
 All conflict mediations must pass through the UN
 Removal from the region of foreign military bases and any other type of military
intervention
 Channelling the monetary reserves and wealth held by the oligarchies to vast
plans aimed at the generation of well-being for the population
 Substantial reduction of existing military assets, particularly with the
renunciation to the possession of nuclear weapons
 Enactment of a Palestinian, democratic and multi-denominational state,
following the extinction of the apartheid regime set up by the Zionists
This and other texts at:
http://grazia-tanta.blogspot.com/
http://www.slideshare.net/durgarrai/documents
https://pt.scribd.com/uploads
6
76% of the oil headed for China, Japan, South Korea, and India, and 25% of the global liquefied gas
trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz.

A dangerous circus right next door, in the middle east

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