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Initiatives regarding sustainability
of biofuels in Europe and their potential
             impacts on trade

  Martin Junginger, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University
           (Netherlands) & IEA Bioenergy Task 40
   With contributions from Jinke van Dam and Andre Faaij

   2nd workshop on the impact of new technologies on the
 sustainability of the sugarcane / bioethanol production cycle
             Campinas, Brazil, 11 November 2009

Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Presentation overview
1.  Background: the need for sustainability
    criteria and certification of (liquid) biofuels
2.  Comparison of current certification
    systems
3.  Barriers and boundary conditions of
    certification systems for biomass, impact
    on trade & market perspectives
4.  What research agenda is needed for the
    future?
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Current bioenergy trade




Annual int. traded volumes of ethanol, biodiesel and wood
pellets > 4 million tonnes in 2009 and increasing rapidly
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
A future vision on global
                bioenergy…




Copernicus Institute                                [GIRACT/Faaij, 2008]
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Brazilian ethanol trade
                                    1970-2009




              Data for 2009 is estimated




Copernicus Institute                                [Walter et al. 2009, T40 CR]
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Why to guarantee the sustainability of
                biofuels?
  •  Strong increase in production and trade

  •  Criticism in the last years:

  “GHG balances not OK”
                   “Endless subsidies needed”.
  “Increases food prices”
                   “Contributes to deforestation”
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
How can sustainability of biofuels be
               guaranteed?

  Various approaches are possible:
           Voluntary
           certification                    (Combined      Regula-
                                            with) policy   tions
           systems *


                                                                 National
             Market                   NGOs          Government
             parties
                                                            International
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Key characteristics certification systems (1):

  Sustainability requirements translated into:

                             “The GHG balance of the production chain and use of
  Principles:                biomass is positive”


  Criteria:                  “There is a net GHG emission reduction over the whole
                             biomass chain. This reduction is calculated with as
                             reference system fossil fuels”.


  Indicators:                “The GHG emission reduction is at least 30% for
                             biofuels”.

  Verifiers:                 Calculation results based on defined GHG
                             methodology
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Key characteristics certification systems (2)
   Three options traceability trade chains:

   •  Track and trace
       The certified product is segregated from other products during
       processing and transport. Its origin can be traced from the end
       to the start of the value chain.
   •  Mass Balance
       The certified product can be mixed with other, non-certified
       products. The certificate indicates the ratio of the sustainable
       product based on mass balance
   •  Book and Claim
       The product traded is completely separate from the certificate. A
       certain amount of certified produce can be booked and sold to
       the market. The buyer can claim sustainability independently of
       the final product received.
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Summary regulation European Commission (1):
 Derived from the Provisional edition of the text adopted by the Parliament on 17-12-2008:

Article        Criterion
17.2           Full-chain GHG emission reduction >35% (increasing
                 over time)
17.3           Exclusion of lands with high biodiversity value
17.4           Exclusion of lands with high carbon stock that have
                 recently been converted into e.g. cropland
17.5           Exclusion of peat land unless proven that drainage of
                 previously un drained soil is not involved
17.6           Condition of good agricultural practice (EU)
17.7           Obligation to the Commission to report on soil, water and
                 air impacts and social impacts in regions that are a
                 significant source of feedstock
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
European Commission and Meta-standard
                Approach (2):

  •  European Commission (and also Netherlands,
     others) will follow meta-standard approach
  •  Benchmarking of systems that meet
     requirements
                   Regulation European Commission
 Forestry                         Agricultural                Bioenergy systems
 systems                          systems

                                    RTRS             RSPO    NTA-8080
      FSC
                      PEFC                     BSI          ICSS
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management                    Etc.
THUS…..

  •  Wide range of ongoing initiatives
                                                                       Proliferation of
                           Initiative A                 B              Schemes and
                                                                       Differences in scope
                           F                  C
                                                    Initiative D
                           Initiative E
                                                                                    Criteria,
        Organizational structure                                                   indicators,
                                                                                  methodologies
                         Criteria,
                        indicators,                    Organizational structure
                       methodologies


         Every scheme is developing principles, criteria…
               and organizational structure…
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
overview and comparison
           of sustainability certification schemes (1)
    Preliminary results: 59 initiatives (regulation +
    systems) included
    •  All relevant for (some) sustainability issues and/or
    •  Various parts of the bioenergy value chain




                * Substantially more forestry certification systems exist
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Bioenergy initiatives on government level on different continents.




Notes:
Initiatives to make agriculture / forestry in general more sustainable not included in
     figure (e.g. sugar cane production Brazil)
   Copernicus Institute                                Source: van Dam, Faaij, Junginger, forthcoming
   Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Some of the Principles included in initiatives:

       Initiative                                      Human and        Biodiversity    Soil carbon
                                                        labour rights    conservation

       European Commission*                                 -               X               X
       IDB                                                 X                X                -
       GBEP                                                X                X               X
       BSI                                                 X                X               -
       FSC                                                 X                X                -
       Renewable Fuel Standard                              -                -               -
       NTA-8080                                            X                X               X
       SWAN label                                          X                X               -
       ISCC                                                X                X                -
       SEKAB                                               X                X               -
       CO2 star label                                       -                -              -
       Greenergy                                           X                X               X
   Copernicus Institute
   Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Proposals GHG reduction requirements:
Initiative                              Proposal
European Commission*                    35% GHG reduction (to 60% over time)
RSPO                                    In preparation
Better Sugarcane Initiative             < 0.4 t CO2 / t sugar

RSB                                     Significantly reduce GHG emissions
Renewable Fuel Standard                 20% GHG reduction renewable fuels
LCFS California                         10% GHG reduction in 2020 compared to
                                          baseline
SEKAB label                             85% GHG reduction
CO2 label                               60% GHG reduction biodiesel rapeseed
SWAN label                              1/3 volume fuel gives < 50 g CO2eq/MJ fuel
  Proposals Netherlands, Germany and UK
Copernicus Institute                                for biofuels in line with EC
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Measuring the indicators:
               Initiatives in development GHG methodologies for bioenergy in
               Europe (as of December 2008)
Initiative           Biomass included       Allocation matters   ILUC                  LUC                   Calculated N2O      Default values
                                                                                                             emissions
EC                   Biofuels and           By energy content    ILUC penalty under    Formula soil          (JEC 2007) in EU,   Conservative
                     bioliquids             for regulation       discussion            carbon / default      IPCC outside EU

UK-RTFO              Biofuels               Subtraction is 1st   Conversion forest     Calculated,           IPCC approach       Conservative
                                            choice               only                  monitoring
Germany              Biofuels, Bioenergy    Allocation by        In discussion, risk   Formula soil          Included, IPCC      Conservative
                     for heating and        energy content       adder approach?       carbon, IPCC          when data limited
                     power to be            (LHV)
                     included
Netherlands          Two tools: a)          Allocation by        Methodology           Methodology based     Included, IPCC      Conservative /
                     Biofuels and b) Bio-   energy content       proposed              on IPCC               when data limited   typical / best
                     energy for heating                          (monitoring)                                                    practice
                     and power
Wallonia (Belgium)   Main biomass           Not included         Not included          Not included          Not included        Provided by
                     sources for                                                                                                 Wallonia
                     bioenergy for power                                                                                         government
Electrabel /         Bioenergy for          Not included         Not included          Not included          Not included        Some data
Laborelec            heating and power                                                                                           provided
Swan label (Nordic   Biofuels               Subtraction is 1st   Not mentioned         No negative           Included            Yes. Not for
countries)                                  choice                                     balance is required                       production
RSB (based on
          CopernicusBiofuels
                     Institute        Guidelines are    ILUC to be                     Based on IPCC         To be addressed     Criteria for
draft standard                        under development minimized. Under
          Sustainable Development and Innovation Management                            methodology and                           acceptable default
2008)                                                   discussion.                    values                                    values under
                                                                                                                                 development
Proposals Chain of Custody:
    Initiative                                      Book and   Track and   Mass balance
                                                       Claim       trace
    European Commission*                                                       X
    RSPO                                               X          X            X
    FSC                                                           X             X
    PEFC                                                          X            X
    SEKAB label                                                   X
    ICSS                                               X          X             X
    NTA-8080 Netherlands                               X          X             X



Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
overview and comparison
        of sustainability certification schemes (2)

•  28 initiatives cover the sustainability of biofuels
•  From which 17 are developing principles




      * In some cases both development of principles and regulation in process
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
overview and comparison
            of sustainability certification schemes (3)
                 Initiatives in USA (preliminary)
                                          Principles   Biofuels   Biodiesel   Bioethanol
     Renewable Fuel Standard                           X
     LCFS California                                   X
     Regulation State                                  X
     Massachusetts
     Sustainable Biodiesel                X                       X
     Alliance
     Council on Sustainable               Planned      X*
     Biomass Production
     National Biodiesel Board             X                       x
      * Focus on cellulosic bioenergy facilities




Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
overview and comparison
            of sustainability certification schemes (3)
                       Initiatives in Europe
                                         Principles   Biofuels   Biodiesel   Bioethanol
     European Commission                 X            X
     CEN TC 383                          X            X
     Netherlands – governm.              X            X
     Germany – government                X            X
     UK-RTFO – governm.                  X            X
     Switzerland – governm.                           X
     SEKAB - label                       X            X
     Greenergy – label                   X                                   X (resource)
     SWAN label                          X                                   X (resource)
     CO2 star label                                              X
     CEO report (NGO)                                 X
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Example initiatives
              Greenergy and SEKAB label (1):
  Greenergy:
  •  Scope: sugar cane production for bioethanol
  •  Coverage: biomass from Brazil, to be used in UK (by company
     Greenergy)
  •  Intention: adaptation for the RTFO standard (will follow
     principles Better Sugarcane Initiative)

  SEKAB:
  •  Scope: ethanol from sugar cane in Brazil
  •  Coverage: biomass from Brazil, to be used in Sweden
  •  Intention: developed for Swedish market

  Note: Principles for sugar cane are also in development by the
    Better Sugar Cane Initiative!
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Example initiatives
                Greenergy and SEKAB label (2):
  PRINCIPLES GREENERGY LABEL
  1.  Carbon Conservation
  2.  Biodiversity Conservation     Includes: compliance national laws and regulations + various good
  3.  Soil Conservation             agricultural practices (soil management plan)
  4.  Sustainable Water Use
  5.  Air Quality
  6.  Workers Rights and Working Relationships
  7.  Land Rights and Community Relations
                                     Only in SEKAB label
  PRINCIPLES SEKAB LABEL
  1.  GHG emissions: At least 85% GHG reduction compared with petrol
  2.  Efficiency harvest: At least 30% mechanization of the harvest now, plus a planned increase
      in the decree of mechanization to 100%
  3.  Biodiversity: Zero tolerance for felling of rain forest
  4.  Workers rights: Zero tolerance for child labor
  5.  Rights and safety measures for all employees
  6.  Environment: Ecological consideration in accordance with UNICA environmental initiative
  7.  Continuous monitoring that the criteria are being met

             Soil includes: implementation plan for soil conservation

                                                                                                      ing!
     In general: criteria Greenergy label more specified                                        h opp
                                                                                         fo   rs
                                                                                  h risk
Copernicus Institute                                                          Hig
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Potential barriers and boundary conditions

    •  Sense of urgency – international production &
       trade is growing fast
    •  But, with too many initiatives on various
       levels, a danger of fragmentation and
       incompatible certification systems exists –
       prevent proliferation of standards
    •  Stakeholder involvement in producing
       countries often neglected, especially
       smallholders
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Potential barriers and boundary conditions
    •  Compliance with WTO rules and international treaties
    •  Some sustainability criteria may actually conflict with
       each other
    •  Additional costs of meeting the sustainability criteria
       (and cost of certification) will have to be evaluated
    •  Inclusion of not enough/soft criteria will result in
       “greenwashing” (fear of NGO’s)
    •  Inclusion of too many criteria will may in fact create
       new market barriers (fear of industry and producers)
    •  Monitoring of compliance crucial, otherwise the
       “cheaters” may win (fear of both NGO’s and industry)


Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Mandatory certification not the only option
  Several policy tools/strategies to pursue the sustainability:
  •  Certification: Only biomass that is certified according to
       criteria derived from sustainability principles is allowed to
       be imported
  •  Product-Land Combinations: Only biomass from regions
       that comply with sustainability principles allowed for import
       Government decides which products/regions are eligible
       for government support
  •  Regionalization: In this strategy, Europe utilizes its own
       biomass resources before importing biomass from
       developing countries
  •  Self-regulation: code-of practice defined by parties
       involved in production and trade
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Fundamentals of the criteria (I)
  •  It is a process; developing, deploying and
     optimising the required procedures takes time
        –  Deployment of monitoring
        –  Increasing share in total market
        –  Spillover to conventional agriculture
  •  Dynamics (land-use, economic &
     technological development, infrastructure
     build-up) change over time.
        –  Increasing scale of production
        –  Improvement in agriculture and livestock (!)
        –  Improving quality of governance and oversight (!)

Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Fundamentals of the criteria (II)
•  Merging the field level to macro-level; changes
   in land-use affect about all other impacts
      –  Scenario (thus strategy/policy-) dependent.
      –  Good field level performance may be overruled by
         macro-developments
      –  Water and biodiversity ‘somewhere in between’
•  From safeguard to stabilisation to positive side
   effects (e.g. Environmental Goods & Services
   and contributing to development):
      –  Soil preservation & restoration
      –  Opportunities for biodiverstiy
      –  Water retention functions

Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Concluding…
Good insight in sustainability performance of bioenergy
  chains is highly needed to guide development
  pathways. This requires:

 Unification of methodologies.
 Harmonization of systems.
 Development of methodologies, indicators and
  related performance norms
 Development of local and regional databases
 Sound methodology to weigh individual criteria
 Global convergence, dialogue and deployment
  priority (leadership needed).

Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Barriers and Opportunities for
   International Bioenergy / Ethanol trade


            Martin Junginger & Andre Faaij (UU),
 Simonetta Zarrilli (UNCTAD), Fatin Ali Mohamed (UNIDO),
Peter-Paul Schouwenberg (Nidera) (task leaders) and all T40
                         members




         Copernicus Institute
         Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Rationale: bioenergy trade is growing rapidly – many
        opportunities and barriers arising all the time

  Aim: get an up-to-date overview of what market actors
currently perceive as major opportunities and trade barriers
    for the current and future development international
 bioenergy trade for three internationally-traded bioenergy
  commodities: 1) bioethanol 2) biodiesel 3) wood pellets.

                       Method: Online questionnaire at
                        http://task40.questionpro.com

 Approach stakeholder through Task 40 & UNIDO network


 Copernicus Institute
 Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Results
Questionnaire: 105 fully completed + 87 partially completed
                      questionnaires



                                                     Argentina: 9 &
                                                     Brazil 4
                                                     responses




Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Results




Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Overview of barriers
           and opportunities for ethanol trade

                                                    Major opportunities




                            (Major) barriers




Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Some comments from the industry
   on sustainability criteria for liquid biofuels
•  Argentinian respondent: “..must be established by
   working jointly with the Emerging Market countries. Until
   now, most of it is being imposed on them…”
•  Australian respondent: “Complexity. Sustainability
   Standards required of Biofuels not required of other trade
   commodities with environmental, social and GHG
   impacts. Continuing future uncertainty due to ongoing
   review provisions of EU Renewable Energy Directive.
   Unclear which Standards, Certification and Chain of
   Custody procedures will be applied. Will be used as non-
   tariff barriers.”
•  Swedish respondent: Depending on how the criteria is
   constructed there is a risk that the criteria is used to
   protect domestic markets. We prefer definition of no-go
   areas and the same rules both for food and bioenergy
   production
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Some comments from the industry
     on sustainability criteria for liquid biofuels

•  “sustainability criteria should be designed in a way that is
   workable for operators, especially considering that biofuels
   are commodities traded on a world-wide basis… efforts
   should be focused on drawing clear rules for the chain of
   custody and balances reporting requirements for individual
   operators (producers, traders, end-users…)”
•  “Discriminating against specific crops/producing regions: this
   would strongly contradict WTO principles and would not
   deliver the expected outcome of sustainability criteria, which
   is to protect biodiversity”
•  “… applying sustainability criteria to biofuels or bioenergy only
   can be considered as a first step. However, on a longer-term
   perspective, the certification of all biomass regardless of the
   final use should be considered…
  Copernicus Institute
  Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Our wish list (I): improve key
           insights and data:
  •  Embed technological learning of
     bioenergy systems properly in models
     (production, supply and conversion
     systems). [Bottom-up]
  •  Learning of agricultural and livestock
     management (in relation to prices,
     settings and policies). [Bottom-up]
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Our wish list (II): Biophysical
       models ~ environment:
  •  Water [regional level; bottom-up]
  •  Biodiversity (resolve methodological
     issues; management options and
     reference situations).
  •  Proper incorporation of residues and
     wastes.
  •  Marginal and degraded lands [data!!!]

Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Our wish list (III): modeling
               frameworks:
  •  Integrate biophysical and macro-economic
     models (partly tackled: OECD, FAO, UU/LEI-
     IMAGE/GTAP, IFPRI-Stanford).
  •  2nd (+) generation options
  •  Biomaterials
  •  Non-agricultural lands (forest, marginal,
     degraded, etc.)
  •  Feedbacks prices (and policies) on learning
     and intensification.
  •  Backed by concrete examples; model
     verification.
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Argentina; example                                Different scenario’s
  full impact analysis                              for land-use and
                                                    agricultural
                                                    management

                                                    Compares soybean
                                                    (biodiesel) to
                                                    switchgrass (pellets)

                                                    Focus on more
                                                    marginal area in one
                                                    province (La Pampa)

                                                    Follows main
                                                    principles of Cramer
     Van Dam et al., 2009
                                                    framework
Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Net GHG balance in kg CO2 eq /
 tdm per year from Switchgrass
   cultivation for bioenergy for
        different scenario’s




  Copernicus Institute                            Van Dam et al., 2009
  Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Soil erosion rates in t soil/
  ha/yr for Switchgrass and
           Soybean




Copernicus Institute                            Van Dam et al., 2009
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Model framework
 Baseline
 situation
                                                                              Split model
                                                                             specialty/bulk
 Projections of                                                                chemicals
 final energy
 demand                                             Biomass blending
                                 Bottom-up                                    Top-down
                                                        shares
                                  modeling                                    Economic
                                (Excel based)        Feedstock types           modeling
 Technology                                                                   (LEITAP)
                                                    Productivity factors
 database


 Cost and supply
 of biomass                   Bottom-up results                            Top-down results




Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
Thank you for your attention!
•  Much of this material will become
   available at:
   www.bioenergytrade.org

Questions / further work:
H.M.Junginger@uu.nl


Copernicus Institute
Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

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Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

  • 1. Initiatives regarding sustainability of biofuels in Europe and their potential impacts on trade Martin Junginger, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University (Netherlands) & IEA Bioenergy Task 40 With contributions from Jinke van Dam and Andre Faaij 2nd workshop on the impact of new technologies on the sustainability of the sugarcane / bioethanol production cycle Campinas, Brazil, 11 November 2009 Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 2. Presentation overview 1.  Background: the need for sustainability criteria and certification of (liquid) biofuels 2.  Comparison of current certification systems 3.  Barriers and boundary conditions of certification systems for biomass, impact on trade & market perspectives 4.  What research agenda is needed for the future? Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 3. Current bioenergy trade Annual int. traded volumes of ethanol, biodiesel and wood pellets > 4 million tonnes in 2009 and increasing rapidly Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 4. A future vision on global bioenergy… Copernicus Institute [GIRACT/Faaij, 2008] Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 5. Brazilian ethanol trade 1970-2009 Data for 2009 is estimated Copernicus Institute [Walter et al. 2009, T40 CR] Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 6. Why to guarantee the sustainability of biofuels? •  Strong increase in production and trade •  Criticism in the last years: “GHG balances not OK” “Endless subsidies needed”. “Increases food prices” “Contributes to deforestation” Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 7. How can sustainability of biofuels be guaranteed? Various approaches are possible: Voluntary certification (Combined Regula- with) policy tions systems * National Market NGOs Government parties International Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 8. Key characteristics certification systems (1): Sustainability requirements translated into: “The GHG balance of the production chain and use of Principles: biomass is positive” Criteria: “There is a net GHG emission reduction over the whole biomass chain. This reduction is calculated with as reference system fossil fuels”. Indicators: “The GHG emission reduction is at least 30% for biofuels”. Verifiers: Calculation results based on defined GHG methodology Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 9. Key characteristics certification systems (2) Three options traceability trade chains: •  Track and trace The certified product is segregated from other products during processing and transport. Its origin can be traced from the end to the start of the value chain. •  Mass Balance The certified product can be mixed with other, non-certified products. The certificate indicates the ratio of the sustainable product based on mass balance •  Book and Claim The product traded is completely separate from the certificate. A certain amount of certified produce can be booked and sold to the market. The buyer can claim sustainability independently of the final product received. Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 10. Summary regulation European Commission (1): Derived from the Provisional edition of the text adopted by the Parliament on 17-12-2008: Article Criterion 17.2 Full-chain GHG emission reduction >35% (increasing over time) 17.3 Exclusion of lands with high biodiversity value 17.4 Exclusion of lands with high carbon stock that have recently been converted into e.g. cropland 17.5 Exclusion of peat land unless proven that drainage of previously un drained soil is not involved 17.6 Condition of good agricultural practice (EU) 17.7 Obligation to the Commission to report on soil, water and air impacts and social impacts in regions that are a significant source of feedstock Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 11. European Commission and Meta-standard Approach (2): •  European Commission (and also Netherlands, others) will follow meta-standard approach •  Benchmarking of systems that meet requirements Regulation European Commission Forestry Agricultural Bioenergy systems systems systems RTRS RSPO NTA-8080 FSC PEFC BSI ICSS Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management Etc.
  • 12. THUS….. •  Wide range of ongoing initiatives Proliferation of Initiative A B Schemes and Differences in scope F C Initiative D Initiative E Criteria, Organizational structure indicators, methodologies Criteria, indicators, Organizational structure methodologies Every scheme is developing principles, criteria… and organizational structure… Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 13. overview and comparison of sustainability certification schemes (1) Preliminary results: 59 initiatives (regulation + systems) included •  All relevant for (some) sustainability issues and/or •  Various parts of the bioenergy value chain * Substantially more forestry certification systems exist Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 14. Bioenergy initiatives on government level on different continents. Notes: Initiatives to make agriculture / forestry in general more sustainable not included in figure (e.g. sugar cane production Brazil) Copernicus Institute Source: van Dam, Faaij, Junginger, forthcoming Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 15. Some of the Principles included in initiatives: Initiative Human and Biodiversity Soil carbon labour rights conservation European Commission* - X X IDB X X - GBEP X X X BSI X X - FSC X X - Renewable Fuel Standard - - - NTA-8080 X X X SWAN label X X - ISCC X X - SEKAB X X - CO2 star label - - - Greenergy X X X Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 16. Proposals GHG reduction requirements: Initiative Proposal European Commission* 35% GHG reduction (to 60% over time) RSPO In preparation Better Sugarcane Initiative < 0.4 t CO2 / t sugar RSB Significantly reduce GHG emissions Renewable Fuel Standard 20% GHG reduction renewable fuels LCFS California 10% GHG reduction in 2020 compared to baseline SEKAB label 85% GHG reduction CO2 label 60% GHG reduction biodiesel rapeseed SWAN label 1/3 volume fuel gives < 50 g CO2eq/MJ fuel Proposals Netherlands, Germany and UK Copernicus Institute for biofuels in line with EC Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 17. Measuring the indicators: Initiatives in development GHG methodologies for bioenergy in Europe (as of December 2008) Initiative Biomass included Allocation matters ILUC LUC Calculated N2O Default values emissions EC Biofuels and By energy content ILUC penalty under Formula soil (JEC 2007) in EU, Conservative bioliquids for regulation discussion carbon / default IPCC outside EU UK-RTFO Biofuels Subtraction is 1st Conversion forest Calculated, IPCC approach Conservative choice only monitoring Germany Biofuels, Bioenergy Allocation by In discussion, risk Formula soil Included, IPCC Conservative for heating and energy content adder approach? carbon, IPCC when data limited power to be (LHV) included Netherlands Two tools: a) Allocation by Methodology Methodology based Included, IPCC Conservative / Biofuels and b) Bio- energy content proposed on IPCC when data limited typical / best energy for heating (monitoring) practice and power Wallonia (Belgium) Main biomass Not included Not included Not included Not included Provided by sources for Wallonia bioenergy for power government Electrabel / Bioenergy for Not included Not included Not included Not included Some data Laborelec heating and power provided Swan label (Nordic Biofuels Subtraction is 1st Not mentioned No negative Included Yes. Not for countries) choice balance is required production RSB (based on CopernicusBiofuels Institute Guidelines are ILUC to be Based on IPCC To be addressed Criteria for draft standard under development minimized. Under Sustainable Development and Innovation Management methodology and acceptable default 2008) discussion. values values under development
  • 18. Proposals Chain of Custody: Initiative Book and Track and Mass balance Claim trace European Commission* X RSPO X X X FSC X X PEFC X X SEKAB label X ICSS X X X NTA-8080 Netherlands X X X Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 19. overview and comparison of sustainability certification schemes (2) •  28 initiatives cover the sustainability of biofuels •  From which 17 are developing principles * In some cases both development of principles and regulation in process Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 20. overview and comparison of sustainability certification schemes (3) Initiatives in USA (preliminary) Principles Biofuels Biodiesel Bioethanol Renewable Fuel Standard X LCFS California X Regulation State X Massachusetts Sustainable Biodiesel X X Alliance Council on Sustainable Planned X* Biomass Production National Biodiesel Board X x * Focus on cellulosic bioenergy facilities Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 21. overview and comparison of sustainability certification schemes (3) Initiatives in Europe Principles Biofuels Biodiesel Bioethanol European Commission X X CEN TC 383 X X Netherlands – governm. X X Germany – government X X UK-RTFO – governm. X X Switzerland – governm. X SEKAB - label X X Greenergy – label X X (resource) SWAN label X X (resource) CO2 star label X CEO report (NGO) X Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 22. Example initiatives Greenergy and SEKAB label (1): Greenergy: •  Scope: sugar cane production for bioethanol •  Coverage: biomass from Brazil, to be used in UK (by company Greenergy) •  Intention: adaptation for the RTFO standard (will follow principles Better Sugarcane Initiative) SEKAB: •  Scope: ethanol from sugar cane in Brazil •  Coverage: biomass from Brazil, to be used in Sweden •  Intention: developed for Swedish market Note: Principles for sugar cane are also in development by the Better Sugar Cane Initiative! Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 23. Example initiatives Greenergy and SEKAB label (2): PRINCIPLES GREENERGY LABEL 1.  Carbon Conservation 2.  Biodiversity Conservation Includes: compliance national laws and regulations + various good 3.  Soil Conservation agricultural practices (soil management plan) 4.  Sustainable Water Use 5.  Air Quality 6.  Workers Rights and Working Relationships 7.  Land Rights and Community Relations Only in SEKAB label PRINCIPLES SEKAB LABEL 1.  GHG emissions: At least 85% GHG reduction compared with petrol 2.  Efficiency harvest: At least 30% mechanization of the harvest now, plus a planned increase in the decree of mechanization to 100% 3.  Biodiversity: Zero tolerance for felling of rain forest 4.  Workers rights: Zero tolerance for child labor 5.  Rights and safety measures for all employees 6.  Environment: Ecological consideration in accordance with UNICA environmental initiative 7.  Continuous monitoring that the criteria are being met Soil includes: implementation plan for soil conservation ing! In general: criteria Greenergy label more specified h opp fo rs h risk Copernicus Institute Hig Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 24. Potential barriers and boundary conditions •  Sense of urgency – international production & trade is growing fast •  But, with too many initiatives on various levels, a danger of fragmentation and incompatible certification systems exists – prevent proliferation of standards •  Stakeholder involvement in producing countries often neglected, especially smallholders Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 25. Potential barriers and boundary conditions •  Compliance with WTO rules and international treaties •  Some sustainability criteria may actually conflict with each other •  Additional costs of meeting the sustainability criteria (and cost of certification) will have to be evaluated •  Inclusion of not enough/soft criteria will result in “greenwashing” (fear of NGO’s) •  Inclusion of too many criteria will may in fact create new market barriers (fear of industry and producers) •  Monitoring of compliance crucial, otherwise the “cheaters” may win (fear of both NGO’s and industry) Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 26. Mandatory certification not the only option Several policy tools/strategies to pursue the sustainability: •  Certification: Only biomass that is certified according to criteria derived from sustainability principles is allowed to be imported •  Product-Land Combinations: Only biomass from regions that comply with sustainability principles allowed for import Government decides which products/regions are eligible for government support •  Regionalization: In this strategy, Europe utilizes its own biomass resources before importing biomass from developing countries •  Self-regulation: code-of practice defined by parties involved in production and trade Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 27. Fundamentals of the criteria (I) •  It is a process; developing, deploying and optimising the required procedures takes time –  Deployment of monitoring –  Increasing share in total market –  Spillover to conventional agriculture •  Dynamics (land-use, economic & technological development, infrastructure build-up) change over time. –  Increasing scale of production –  Improvement in agriculture and livestock (!) –  Improving quality of governance and oversight (!) Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 28. Fundamentals of the criteria (II) •  Merging the field level to macro-level; changes in land-use affect about all other impacts –  Scenario (thus strategy/policy-) dependent. –  Good field level performance may be overruled by macro-developments –  Water and biodiversity ‘somewhere in between’ •  From safeguard to stabilisation to positive side effects (e.g. Environmental Goods & Services and contributing to development): –  Soil preservation & restoration –  Opportunities for biodiverstiy –  Water retention functions Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 29. Concluding… Good insight in sustainability performance of bioenergy chains is highly needed to guide development pathways. This requires:  Unification of methodologies.  Harmonization of systems.  Development of methodologies, indicators and related performance norms  Development of local and regional databases  Sound methodology to weigh individual criteria  Global convergence, dialogue and deployment priority (leadership needed). Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 30. Barriers and Opportunities for International Bioenergy / Ethanol trade Martin Junginger & Andre Faaij (UU), Simonetta Zarrilli (UNCTAD), Fatin Ali Mohamed (UNIDO), Peter-Paul Schouwenberg (Nidera) (task leaders) and all T40 members Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 31. Rationale: bioenergy trade is growing rapidly – many opportunities and barriers arising all the time Aim: get an up-to-date overview of what market actors currently perceive as major opportunities and trade barriers for the current and future development international bioenergy trade for three internationally-traded bioenergy commodities: 1) bioethanol 2) biodiesel 3) wood pellets. Method: Online questionnaire at http://task40.questionpro.com Approach stakeholder through Task 40 & UNIDO network Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 32. Results Questionnaire: 105 fully completed + 87 partially completed questionnaires Argentina: 9 & Brazil 4 responses Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 34. Overview of barriers and opportunities for ethanol trade Major opportunities (Major) barriers Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 35. Some comments from the industry on sustainability criteria for liquid biofuels •  Argentinian respondent: “..must be established by working jointly with the Emerging Market countries. Until now, most of it is being imposed on them…” •  Australian respondent: “Complexity. Sustainability Standards required of Biofuels not required of other trade commodities with environmental, social and GHG impacts. Continuing future uncertainty due to ongoing review provisions of EU Renewable Energy Directive. Unclear which Standards, Certification and Chain of Custody procedures will be applied. Will be used as non- tariff barriers.” •  Swedish respondent: Depending on how the criteria is constructed there is a risk that the criteria is used to protect domestic markets. We prefer definition of no-go areas and the same rules both for food and bioenergy production Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 36. Some comments from the industry on sustainability criteria for liquid biofuels •  “sustainability criteria should be designed in a way that is workable for operators, especially considering that biofuels are commodities traded on a world-wide basis… efforts should be focused on drawing clear rules for the chain of custody and balances reporting requirements for individual operators (producers, traders, end-users…)” •  “Discriminating against specific crops/producing regions: this would strongly contradict WTO principles and would not deliver the expected outcome of sustainability criteria, which is to protect biodiversity” •  “… applying sustainability criteria to biofuels or bioenergy only can be considered as a first step. However, on a longer-term perspective, the certification of all biomass regardless of the final use should be considered… Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 37. Our wish list (I): improve key insights and data: •  Embed technological learning of bioenergy systems properly in models (production, supply and conversion systems). [Bottom-up] •  Learning of agricultural and livestock management (in relation to prices, settings and policies). [Bottom-up] Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 38. Our wish list (II): Biophysical models ~ environment: •  Water [regional level; bottom-up] •  Biodiversity (resolve methodological issues; management options and reference situations). •  Proper incorporation of residues and wastes. •  Marginal and degraded lands [data!!!] Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 39. Our wish list (III): modeling frameworks: •  Integrate biophysical and macro-economic models (partly tackled: OECD, FAO, UU/LEI- IMAGE/GTAP, IFPRI-Stanford). •  2nd (+) generation options •  Biomaterials •  Non-agricultural lands (forest, marginal, degraded, etc.) •  Feedbacks prices (and policies) on learning and intensification. •  Backed by concrete examples; model verification. Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 40. Argentina; example Different scenario’s full impact analysis for land-use and agricultural management Compares soybean (biodiesel) to switchgrass (pellets) Focus on more marginal area in one province (La Pampa) Follows main principles of Cramer Van Dam et al., 2009 framework Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 41. Net GHG balance in kg CO2 eq / tdm per year from Switchgrass cultivation for bioenergy for different scenario’s Copernicus Institute Van Dam et al., 2009 Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 42. Soil erosion rates in t soil/ ha/yr for Switchgrass and Soybean Copernicus Institute Van Dam et al., 2009 Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 43. Model framework Baseline situation Split model specialty/bulk Projections of chemicals final energy demand Biomass blending Bottom-up Top-down shares modeling Economic (Excel based) Feedstock types modeling Technology (LEITAP) Productivity factors database Cost and supply of biomass Bottom-up results Top-down results Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management
  • 44. Thank you for your attention! •  Much of this material will become available at: www.bioenergytrade.org Questions / further work: H.M.Junginger@uu.nl Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management