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Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e Chapter 25 Risk Management copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc. For University Use Only May be reproduced ONLY for student use at the university level when used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner's Approach. Any other reproduction or use is expressly prohibited. These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Project Risks These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 What can go wrong? What is the likelihood? What will the damage be? What can we do about it?
Reactive Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Proactive Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Seven Principles ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Risk Management Paradigm These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 RISK control identify analyze plan track
Risk Identification ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Assessing Project Risk-I ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Assessing Project Risk-II ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Risk Components ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Risk Projection ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Building a Risk Table These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 Risk Probability Impact RMMM Risk Mitigation Monitoring &  Management
Building the Risk Table ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Risk Exposure (Impact) These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 The overall  risk exposure,  RE, is determined using the following relationship [HAL98]: RE =  P  x  C where  P  is the probability of occurrence for a risk, and  C  is the cost to the project should the risk occur.
Risk Exposure Example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Risk Mitigation, Monitoring, and Management  These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
Risk Due to Product Size These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 •  estimated size of the product in LOC or FP? •  estimated size of product in number of programs,  files, transactions? •  percentage deviation in size of product from  average for previous products? •  size of database created or used by the product? •  number of users of the product? •  number of projected changes to the requirements  for the product? before delivery? after delivery? •  amount of reused software? Attributes that affect risk:
Risk Due to Business Impact These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 •  affect of this product on company revenue? •  visibility of this product by senior management? •  reasonableness of delivery deadline? •  number of customers who will use this product  •  interoperability constraints •  sophistication of end users? •  amount and quality of product documentation that  must be produced and delivered to the customer? •  governmental constraints •  costs associated with late delivery? •  costs associated with a defective product? Attributes that affect risk:
Risks Due to the Customer These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 •  Have you worked with the customer in the past? •  Does the customer have a solid idea of requirements? •  Has the customer agreed to spend time with you?  •  Is the customer willing to participate in reviews? •  Is the customer technically sophisticated? •  Is the customer willing to let your people do their  job—that is, will the customer resist looking over your  shoulder during technically detailed work? •  Does the customer understand the software  engineering process? Questions that must be answered:
Risks Due to Process Maturity These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 •  Have you established a common process framework?  •  Is it followed by project teams? •  Do you have management support  for  software engineering  •  Do you have a proactive approach to SQA?  •  Do you conduct formal technical reviews? •  Are CASE tools used for analysis, design and  testing? •  Are the tools integrated with one another? •  Have document formats been established? Questions that must be answered:
Technology Risks These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 •  Is the technology new to your organization? •  Are new algorithms, I/O technology required? •  Is new or unproven hardware involved? •  Does the application interface with new software? •  Is a specialized user interface required?  •  Is the application radically different? •  Are you using new software engineering methods? •  Are you using unconventional software development  methods, such as formal methods, AI-based approaches,  artificial neural networks? •  Are there significant performance constraints? •  Is there doubt the functionality requested is "do-able?" Questions that must be answered:
Staff/People Risks These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 •  Are the best people available? •  Does staff have the right skills? •  Are enough people available? •  Are staff committed for entire duration? •  Will some people work part time?  •  Do staff have the right expectations? •  Have staff received necessary training? •  Will turnover among staff be low? Questions that must be answered:
Recording Risk Information These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with  Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach,  6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 Project:   Embedded software for XYZ system Risk type:  schedule risk Priority (1 low ... 5 critical):   4 Risk factor:   Project completion will depend on tests which require  hardware component under development. Hardware component  delivery may be delayed Probability:   60 % Impact:  Project completion will be delayed for each day that  hardware is unavailable for use in software testing Monitoring approach:   Scheduled milestone reviews with hardware group Contingency plan: Modification of testing strategy to accommodate delay using software simulation Estimated resources:  6 additional person months beginning 7-1-96

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Risk Management by Roger Pressman

  • 1. Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e Chapter 25 Risk Management copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc. For University Use Only May be reproduced ONLY for student use at the university level when used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner's Approach. Any other reproduction or use is expressly prohibited. These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005
  • 2. Project Risks These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 What can go wrong? What is the likelihood? What will the damage be? What can we do about it?
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  • 6. Risk Management Paradigm These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 RISK control identify analyze plan track
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  • 12. Building a Risk Table These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 Risk Probability Impact RMMM Risk Mitigation Monitoring & Management
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  • 14. Risk Exposure (Impact) These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 The overall risk exposure, RE, is determined using the following relationship [HAL98]: RE = P x C where P is the probability of occurrence for a risk, and C is the cost to the project should the risk occur.
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  • 17. Risk Due to Product Size These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 • estimated size of the product in LOC or FP? • estimated size of product in number of programs, files, transactions? • percentage deviation in size of product from average for previous products? • size of database created or used by the product? • number of users of the product? • number of projected changes to the requirements for the product? before delivery? after delivery? • amount of reused software? Attributes that affect risk:
  • 18. Risk Due to Business Impact These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 • affect of this product on company revenue? • visibility of this product by senior management? • reasonableness of delivery deadline? • number of customers who will use this product • interoperability constraints • sophistication of end users? • amount and quality of product documentation that must be produced and delivered to the customer? • governmental constraints • costs associated with late delivery? • costs associated with a defective product? Attributes that affect risk:
  • 19. Risks Due to the Customer These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 • Have you worked with the customer in the past? • Does the customer have a solid idea of requirements? • Has the customer agreed to spend time with you? • Is the customer willing to participate in reviews? • Is the customer technically sophisticated? • Is the customer willing to let your people do their job—that is, will the customer resist looking over your shoulder during technically detailed work? • Does the customer understand the software engineering process? Questions that must be answered:
  • 20. Risks Due to Process Maturity These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 • Have you established a common process framework? • Is it followed by project teams? • Do you have management support for software engineering • Do you have a proactive approach to SQA? • Do you conduct formal technical reviews? • Are CASE tools used for analysis, design and testing? • Are the tools integrated with one another? • Have document formats been established? Questions that must be answered:
  • 21. Technology Risks These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 • Is the technology new to your organization? • Are new algorithms, I/O technology required? • Is new or unproven hardware involved? • Does the application interface with new software? • Is a specialized user interface required? • Is the application radically different? • Are you using new software engineering methods? • Are you using unconventional software development methods, such as formal methods, AI-based approaches, artificial neural networks? • Are there significant performance constraints? • Is there doubt the functionality requested is "do-able?" Questions that must be answered:
  • 22. Staff/People Risks These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 • Are the best people available? • Does staff have the right skills? • Are enough people available? • Are staff committed for entire duration? • Will some people work part time? • Do staff have the right expectations? • Have staff received necessary training? • Will turnover among staff be low? Questions that must be answered:
  • 23. Recording Risk Information These courseware materials are to be used in conjunction with Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach, 6/e and are provided with permission by R.S. Pressman & Associates, Inc., copyright © 1996, 2001, 2005 Project: Embedded software for XYZ system Risk type: schedule risk Priority (1 low ... 5 critical): 4 Risk factor: Project completion will depend on tests which require hardware component under development. Hardware component delivery may be delayed Probability: 60 % Impact: Project completion will be delayed for each day that hardware is unavailable for use in software testing Monitoring approach: Scheduled milestone reviews with hardware group Contingency plan: Modification of testing strategy to accommodate delay using software simulation Estimated resources: 6 additional person months beginning 7-1-96