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FINANCIAL   FORECASTING    PRESENTED BY : POOJA GUPTA AASHNA HARYANI NITIN SINGH ABHIMANYU GHAI
What is Financial Forecasting? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Need ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Techniques of Financial projections ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Proforma Financial Statements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Preparation of    Pro Forma Income Statements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2. Budgeted Expense Method. ,[object Object],[object Object]
3. Combination method ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Proforma Income Statement Actual figures for Quarter 31-3-2006 Assumptions Proforma for the qr ended 30-6-2006 1.No.of units sold 2.Net Sales  3.Cost of Goods  sold: 4.Labour 5. Materials 6.Distribution cost 7. Overhead 8. Total 9. Ratio of CGS to Sales. 10. Gross Profit 11. GP Margin 14000 140000 100% 22960 25256 4592 61992 114800 82.0% 25200 18% Sales decline 30%  due to low demand. No change in Product mix. 20% of Cost of good 22% of COG 4% of COG 54% of COG Increase by 1.5% 9800 98000 100% 16366 18002.6 3273.2 44188.2 81830 83.5% 16170 16.5%
Contd. Actuals Assumption Proforma 12. Expenses: 13. Selling Expenses 14. Admin. Expense 15. Others 16.Total 17. Operating Profit 18. Interest 19. Depreciation 20.PBT 21. Tax @ 30% 22.Net Income 23.Dividends 24.Retained  earnings. 25. Cash flow after  dividends. 8250 4450 Nil 12700 12500 2500 2000 7000 2100 4900 900 4000 6000 A drop of Rs. 750 . A drop of Rs. 850 Rs.2000 only No dividends Carried to B/s. Retained earning + Depreciation 7500 3600 Nil 11100 5070 2000 2000 1070 321 749 0 749 2749
Pro forma Balance sheet   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
B/S Contd.. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PROFORMA BALANCE SHEET . Actual  Assumptions Proforma for  June  Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],6500 4500 500 4000 11000 7500 18500 Issue of shares Rs.500 P&L account. 7000 5250 500 4750 12250 7500 19750 +500 +750 0 +750 +1250 0 +1250
Proforma Balance sheet contd.. Actuals Assumptions Proforma Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],24000 3000 21000 10000 11000 14500 10500 4000 5000 2000 7500 18500 No change Sale of 1000 Depreciation of 9500 Increase by 2000 Maintain CB of 3500 Decrease by 1000 23000 3000 20000 9500 10500 16000 12500 3500 4000 2000 10000 20500 -1000 0 -1000 -500 -500 +1500 +2000 -500 -1000 0 +2500 +2000
Other Proforma statements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sales forecasting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Techniques of sales forecasting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Growth and External Financing Requirement ,[object Object],[object Object]
External funding Requirement (EFR) is calculated as follows : EFR= A/S ( Δ S) –L/S ( Δ S) – m S1(1-d) Where, EFR= external funds requirement A/S = Current Assets and Fixed Assets as  proportion of Sales L/S=  CL and Provisions (spontaneous liabilities) as a    proportion of Sales. Δ S= Expected increase in sales. M = Net profit Margin S1= Projected sales for next year d = dividend payout ratio
THANK YOU

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Financial Forecasting Techniques Presented

  • 1. FINANCIAL FORECASTING PRESENTED BY : POOJA GUPTA AASHNA HARYANI NITIN SINGH ABHIMANYU GHAI
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Proforma Income Statement Actual figures for Quarter 31-3-2006 Assumptions Proforma for the qr ended 30-6-2006 1.No.of units sold 2.Net Sales 3.Cost of Goods sold: 4.Labour 5. Materials 6.Distribution cost 7. Overhead 8. Total 9. Ratio of CGS to Sales. 10. Gross Profit 11. GP Margin 14000 140000 100% 22960 25256 4592 61992 114800 82.0% 25200 18% Sales decline 30% due to low demand. No change in Product mix. 20% of Cost of good 22% of COG 4% of COG 54% of COG Increase by 1.5% 9800 98000 100% 16366 18002.6 3273.2 44188.2 81830 83.5% 16170 16.5%
  • 10. Contd. Actuals Assumption Proforma 12. Expenses: 13. Selling Expenses 14. Admin. Expense 15. Others 16.Total 17. Operating Profit 18. Interest 19. Depreciation 20.PBT 21. Tax @ 30% 22.Net Income 23.Dividends 24.Retained earnings. 25. Cash flow after dividends. 8250 4450 Nil 12700 12500 2500 2000 7000 2100 4900 900 4000 6000 A drop of Rs. 750 . A drop of Rs. 850 Rs.2000 only No dividends Carried to B/s. Retained earning + Depreciation 7500 3600 Nil 11100 5070 2000 2000 1070 321 749 0 749 2749
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. External funding Requirement (EFR) is calculated as follows : EFR= A/S ( Δ S) –L/S ( Δ S) – m S1(1-d) Where, EFR= external funds requirement A/S = Current Assets and Fixed Assets as proportion of Sales L/S= CL and Provisions (spontaneous liabilities) as a proportion of Sales. Δ S= Expected increase in sales. M = Net profit Margin S1= Projected sales for next year d = dividend payout ratio