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LP Gas and Future Market Perspectives
                            José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo
                            CEO. October, 8th 2009




1
DISCLAIMER



    The presentation may contain forecasts            CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
    about future events. Such forecasts merely        FOR US INVESTORS
    reflect the expectations of the Company's
    management. Such terms as "anticipate",           The United States Securities and Exchange
    "believe", "expect", "forecast", "intend",        Commission permits oil and gas companies,
    "plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with   in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only
    similar or analogous expressions, are used        proved reserves that a company has
    to identify such forecasts. These predictions     demonstrated by actual production or
    evidently involve risks and uncertainties,
    whether foreseen or not by the Company.           conclusive formation tests to be
    Therefore, the future results of operations       economically and legally producible under
    may differ from current expectations, and         existing economic and operating conditions.
    readers must not base their expectations          We use certain terms in this
    exclusively on the information presented          presentation, such as oil and gas
    herein. The Company is not obliged to             resources, that the SEC’s guidelines
    update the presentation/such forecasts            strictly prohibit us from including in
    in light of new information or future             filings with the SEC.
    developments.


2
MEDIUM/LONG-TERM OIL MARKET OUTLOOK
REMAINS VERY STRONG

                                         GLOBAL OIL DEMAND SCENARIOS


                                                                                                EIA/DOE High Demand
                                                                                                Scenario
                                                                                                IEA Reference Scenario

                                                          Global liquids demand scenarios
                                                                                                EIA/DOE Low Demand
                                                                                                Scenario

                                                                               Actual decline
                                                                                                    Additional Required
                                                              Natural decline                         Capacity (b/d)
            Existing production
                                                                                                     2020 | 42 – 51 mm
                                                                                                     2030 | 66 – 85 mm




• The global crisis impacted down the perspectives for demand growth, but in medium/long-term
oil market outlook remains very strong
• Global oil production capacity will be challenged to meet projected demand growth


3   Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2008, EIA International Energy Outlook 2009
WORLD LP GAS DEMAND

                80
                                                                                                                 72,3
                                              21,0%
                                                                               31,0%
                                      5,5%                                                               62
                60
                                       6,1%

                                                 12,1%                 24,3%
M illion Tons




                                              Mexico       Brazil       Venezuela
                                              Caribbean    Argentina    Others
                40
                                                                                               33,9
                                                                                       28,1

                20
                                                                       18,1
                                         11,2             10,6
                           2,1
                 0
                       Oceania          Africa            CIS          Middle        Latin    Europe    North    Asia
                                                                        East        America            America

        4            Source: Purvin & Gertz
PRE-SALT POTENTIAL

 •   Total Area: 149,000 km2
 •   Area Under Concession: 41,772 km2 (28%)
 •   Area Not Under Concession: 107,228 km² (72%)
 •   Area With Petrobras Interest: 35,739 km2 (24%)




 5
ANNOUNCED RECOVERABLE VOLUMES IN
SANTOS AND CAMPOS BASINS PRE-SALT


                Santos Pre-Salt announced recoverable volumes, can
                almost double Brazilian reserves.

    mi boe                                                                ~ 25-30 bn boe
          30,000

          25,000

          20,000

          15,000
                                                 Higher estimates
                                                    +5,400
          10,000

           5,000
                            14,093               Lower estimates
                                                    10,600
                 0
                          2008 Proven     Santos and Campos Basins               Proven Reserves* +
                           Reserves*                 Pre-Salt               Santos and Campos Basins
                                        (Tupi, Iara, Guará and Whale’s                 Pre-Salt
                                                     Park)**           (Tupi, Iara, Guará and Whale’s Park)**
*SPE Criteria
** include Petrobras and Partners




6
PRODUCTION INCREASE FOLLOWED BY HIGHER
DOMESTIC OIL PRODUCT DEMAND


                                                    RNE                           Premium I
                                                    230        UPB             (600 thous bpd) e
                              REPLAN               thous     150 thous       Premium II (300 thous
                              Revamp                bpd        bpd                    bpd)                    Others
                              33 thous.             2011     Dec/2012            1st phase: 2013
                                bpd               REPAR                          2nd phase: 2015
                                2010              Revamp                                                      Fuel Oil
                                                  25 thous                                            5,729
                                Clara               bpd
                              Camarão              2011                                                       Diesel
                              Refinery
                                2010
                                                     7,5% p.y.
 Thous. bpd




                                                                                                              Jet Fuel
                                                                                                      3,920
                                                                     3,655


                                                                                                              Naphta
                                                                         2,680                 2,876
                                                                                                   400
                               2,400
              2,301                                                                                150
                                                                          2,257
                                                                           274                                Gasoline
              1,906           1,944
                                          1,855                            112
               182              208
               119              109                                                                1224
                      1,792
                                                                           901
               738              771                                                                           LPG
                                                                           118                     179
                84               89                                                                246
               250              220                                        255
               326              332                                        367                     419
                                                                                                              Oil Production - Brazil
               208              215                                        230                     257

              2007             2008                                      2013E                2020E
                                                                                                              Oil and Natural Gas
                                                                                                              Production - Brazil &



7
LP GAS COMSUMPTION IN BRAZIL

Domestic LPG production in 2008: 6,71 million tons
LPG Brazilian market grew 5,4% from 2004 to 2008, representing an average variation of 1,08% p.y.
Present in all Brazilian municipalities
47 million homes are attended monthly.


                                                 LP Gas Consumption (Thous. M3)
                                                                           Business
   16
                                                                           Plan 2020
   14

   12

   10
 T o s.
  h u




          8

          6

          4

          2

          0
              2000      2002          2004       2006        2008   2010      2012     2014    2016    2018   2020
                                                                        Business
                                                                        Plan 2020
                                           Industrial               Residential               Others


                 After 2009 – Business Plan 2020 estimates



 8              Source: ESTRATÉGIA / EMN & ANP
LP GAS IMPORTS

                                                 Importação Brasileira de GLP
                                                  LPG IMPORTS (million ton/year)
                                     3
                                                                                                                            • From 2000 to 2005 LPG
    Importação (milhão ton / ano)



                                                                                                                            import fell due to Natural
                                    2,5                                                                                     Gas substitution and
                                                                                                                            deregulation on LPG prices
                                     2
                                                                                                                            at the end-user;
                                    1,5
                                                                                                                            • Imports started to grow
                                     1                                                                                      from 2005 to 2008 due to
                                                                                                                            higher domestic residential
                                    0,5                                                                                     and industrial demand
                                     0
                                          1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008



                                                                                                                              Imports Origins (%)

                                                                                                                                              Middle East;
                                                                                                                                                 12%
                                                                                                            Americas; 35%                                  Europe; 13%
                                      Imports coming mainly from
                                      America and Africa (2008)
                                                                                                                                             Africa; 40%


                                                                                                                      Middle East   Europe   Africa    Americas




9                                         Source: Petrobras
FUTURE IMPORT ESTIMATES

                            3
                                                                                         • From 2009 to 2016 - LPG imports will fall due to
                                                                                         PLANGAS and new refineries (Premium 1, Premium 2,
                                                                                         RNEST);
                         2,5
                                                                                         • Imports started to grow from 2017 on – no significant
                                                                                         increment in new production, despite of market
                            2                                                            increasing in a pace of 1,7% per year
M illio n T o n s p .y




                         1,5


                            1


                         0,5


                            0
                                 1999
                                        2000
                                               2001
                                                      2002
                                                             2003
                                                                    2004
                                                                           2005
                                                                                  2006
                                                                                         2007
                                                                                                2008
                                                                                                       2009
                                                                                                              2010
                                                                                                                     2011
                                                                                                                            2012
                                                                                                                                   2013
                                                                                                                                          2014
                                                                                                                                                 2015
                                                                                                                                                        2016
                                                                                                                                                               2017
                                                                                                                                                                      2018
                                                                                                                                                                             2019
                                                                                                                                                                                    2020
                         Source: Petrobras.
                         * Data does not consider LPG production comming from pre-salt projects


 10
PETROBRAS – INFRASTRUCTURE

                            10 refineries                               PETROBRAS INFRASTRUCTURE
 Petrobras Refineries      1 shale oil processing unit
                           Production:4,2 million tons/year

                                           70% Petrobras /
                                                               NORTH
                                          30% Repsol
                          REFAP S.A        Production 0,4
                                          million tons/year
Petrobras Participation
                                                                                                 NE
                                                                               MIDDLE
                                                                                WEST
                          33 % Refinery of Rio Grande

                                                                                            SE


                             5 NGPUs
Petrobras Natural Gas
                             2 In Construction*
Producing Units(NGPU)
                            Production: 0,9 million
                           tons/year                                                  S

                                                              Refinery
                                                              NGPU
                            7 onshore terminals               Off Land Terminal
                            2 offshore terminals in           Terminal in Land
                                                              3rd party off land terminal
LPG Pipelines and          construction
   Terminals                11 offshore terminals             LPG Pipeline
                                                              Ship
                            5 pipelines serving LPG,
                                                              Cabotage
                            Total extention:1.550 km
                                                              Import




 11
PETROBRAS A VERTICAL INTEGRATED
COMPANY

     Production
                                                    Final consumer
                                                       domestic


                                                A




                         Distributor


                                       Dealer
                                                B
               Storage
                                                C
                                                D


                                                    Final consumer
                                                          bulk
      Import



          Petrobras is present in the entire supply chain

12
LP GAS AND NATURAL GAS PARTICIPATION IN
RESIDENTIAL MARKET


                       LPG Residential Market                                    Natural Gas Residential Market
                           (thous. m3/y)                                                 (thous. M3/y)*

        12.000                                                       450.000
                                                                     400.000
        11.500
                                                                                         +5,4%p.y
                               +1,7% p.y                             350.000
        11.000                                                       300.000

                                                                     250.000
        10.500
                                                                     200.000
        10.000                                                       150.000

                                                                     100.000
         9.500
                                                                      50.000
         9.000                                                                 0
                                                                               2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
             08


                    10


                            12


                                   14


                                           16


                                                  18


                                                          20
           20


                  20


                          20


                                 20


                                         20


                                                20


                                                        20




        Residential Natural Gas market grows significantly more than LPG
        residential market


13   * Energetic equivalence between LPG and NG: 1,63m3 of LPG = 880m3 of NG
LP GAS INDUSTRY CONSUMPTION



 • Strong replacement of LPG for
 Natural Gas, especially in the                    Industrial LPG Consumption
 white ceramic industry in Santa            1600
 Catarina and São Paulo States                                                thousand m3
                                            1400      Other
                                                      Metallurgy
            LPG in ceramics                 1200      Ceramic
700
                          thousand m3       1000
600

500                        Others           800
                           Santa Catarina
400                        São Paulo        600
300
                                            400
200

100                                         200
 0
                                               0
          2000             2008
                                               1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007


      The strong shift of LPG in steel and ceramic segments is partially offset by a
      small increase in the consumption of chemicals and foods.


14     Sourse: ESTRATÉGIA/EMN
PERSPECTIVES FOR LP GAS DOMESTIC MARKET


                               FINAL REMARKS
     Difficulties:
     • Use of wood as a substitute product
     • Displacement by the entry of Natural Gas / LNG
     • Informality in retail sector




     Opportunities:
     • Modernization of 18 plants for bottling system (improvement of
     productivity and costs)
     • Growth of internal production with reduction of LPG imports




15
For more information:
 Investor Relations
 www.petrobras.com.br/ri
 +55 21 3224-1510
 petroinvest@petrobras.com.br




16

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apresentacao_bdIS4kgJd7

  • 1. LP Gas and Future Market Perspectives José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo CEO. October, 8th 2009 1
  • 2. DISCLAIMER The presentation may contain forecasts CAUTIONARY STATEMENT about future events. Such forecasts merely FOR US INVESTORS reflect the expectations of the Company's management. Such terms as "anticipate", The United States Securities and Exchange "believe", "expect", "forecast", "intend", Commission permits oil and gas companies, "plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only similar or analogous expressions, are used proved reserves that a company has to identify such forecasts. These predictions demonstrated by actual production or evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. conclusive formation tests to be Therefore, the future results of operations economically and legally producible under may differ from current expectations, and existing economic and operating conditions. readers must not base their expectations We use certain terms in this exclusively on the information presented presentation, such as oil and gas herein. The Company is not obliged to resources, that the SEC’s guidelines update the presentation/such forecasts strictly prohibit us from including in in light of new information or future filings with the SEC. developments. 2
  • 3. MEDIUM/LONG-TERM OIL MARKET OUTLOOK REMAINS VERY STRONG GLOBAL OIL DEMAND SCENARIOS EIA/DOE High Demand Scenario IEA Reference Scenario Global liquids demand scenarios EIA/DOE Low Demand Scenario Actual decline Additional Required Natural decline Capacity (b/d) Existing production 2020 | 42 – 51 mm 2030 | 66 – 85 mm • The global crisis impacted down the perspectives for demand growth, but in medium/long-term oil market outlook remains very strong • Global oil production capacity will be challenged to meet projected demand growth 3 Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2008, EIA International Energy Outlook 2009
  • 4. WORLD LP GAS DEMAND 80 72,3 21,0% 31,0% 5,5% 62 60 6,1% 12,1% 24,3% M illion Tons Mexico Brazil Venezuela Caribbean Argentina Others 40 33,9 28,1 20 18,1 11,2 10,6 2,1 0 Oceania Africa CIS Middle Latin Europe North Asia East America America 4 Source: Purvin & Gertz
  • 5. PRE-SALT POTENTIAL • Total Area: 149,000 km2 • Area Under Concession: 41,772 km2 (28%) • Area Not Under Concession: 107,228 km² (72%) • Area With Petrobras Interest: 35,739 km2 (24%) 5
  • 6. ANNOUNCED RECOVERABLE VOLUMES IN SANTOS AND CAMPOS BASINS PRE-SALT Santos Pre-Salt announced recoverable volumes, can almost double Brazilian reserves. mi boe ~ 25-30 bn boe 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 Higher estimates +5,400 10,000 5,000 14,093 Lower estimates 10,600 0 2008 Proven Santos and Campos Basins Proven Reserves* + Reserves* Pre-Salt Santos and Campos Basins (Tupi, Iara, Guará and Whale’s Pre-Salt Park)** (Tupi, Iara, Guará and Whale’s Park)** *SPE Criteria ** include Petrobras and Partners 6
  • 7. PRODUCTION INCREASE FOLLOWED BY HIGHER DOMESTIC OIL PRODUCT DEMAND RNE Premium I 230 UPB (600 thous bpd) e REPLAN thous 150 thous Premium II (300 thous Revamp bpd bpd bpd) Others 33 thous. 2011 Dec/2012 1st phase: 2013 bpd REPAR 2nd phase: 2015 2010 Revamp Fuel Oil 25 thous 5,729 Clara bpd Camarão 2011 Diesel Refinery 2010 7,5% p.y. Thous. bpd Jet Fuel 3,920 3,655 Naphta 2,680 2,876 400 2,400 2,301 150 2,257 274 Gasoline 1,906 1,944 1,855 112 182 208 119 109 1224 1,792 901 738 771 LPG 118 179 84 89 246 250 220 255 326 332 367 419 Oil Production - Brazil 208 215 230 257 2007 2008 2013E 2020E Oil and Natural Gas Production - Brazil & 7
  • 8. LP GAS COMSUMPTION IN BRAZIL Domestic LPG production in 2008: 6,71 million tons LPG Brazilian market grew 5,4% from 2004 to 2008, representing an average variation of 1,08% p.y. Present in all Brazilian municipalities 47 million homes are attended monthly. LP Gas Consumption (Thous. M3) Business 16 Plan 2020 14 12 10 T o s. h u 8 6 4 2 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Business Plan 2020 Industrial Residential Others After 2009 – Business Plan 2020 estimates 8 Source: ESTRATÉGIA / EMN & ANP
  • 9. LP GAS IMPORTS Importação Brasileira de GLP LPG IMPORTS (million ton/year) 3 • From 2000 to 2005 LPG Importação (milhão ton / ano) import fell due to Natural 2,5 Gas substitution and deregulation on LPG prices 2 at the end-user; 1,5 • Imports started to grow 1 from 2005 to 2008 due to higher domestic residential 0,5 and industrial demand 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Imports Origins (%) Middle East; 12% Americas; 35% Europe; 13% Imports coming mainly from America and Africa (2008) Africa; 40% Middle East Europe Africa Americas 9 Source: Petrobras
  • 10. FUTURE IMPORT ESTIMATES 3 • From 2009 to 2016 - LPG imports will fall due to PLANGAS and new refineries (Premium 1, Premium 2, RNEST); 2,5 • Imports started to grow from 2017 on – no significant increment in new production, despite of market 2 increasing in a pace of 1,7% per year M illio n T o n s p .y 1,5 1 0,5 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Petrobras. * Data does not consider LPG production comming from pre-salt projects 10
  • 11. PETROBRAS – INFRASTRUCTURE 10 refineries PETROBRAS INFRASTRUCTURE Petrobras Refineries 1 shale oil processing unit Production:4,2 million tons/year 70% Petrobras / NORTH 30% Repsol REFAP S.A Production 0,4 million tons/year Petrobras Participation NE MIDDLE WEST 33 % Refinery of Rio Grande SE 5 NGPUs Petrobras Natural Gas 2 In Construction* Producing Units(NGPU) Production: 0,9 million tons/year S Refinery NGPU 7 onshore terminals Off Land Terminal 2 offshore terminals in Terminal in Land 3rd party off land terminal LPG Pipelines and construction Terminals 11 offshore terminals LPG Pipeline Ship 5 pipelines serving LPG, Cabotage Total extention:1.550 km Import 11
  • 12. PETROBRAS A VERTICAL INTEGRATED COMPANY Production Final consumer domestic A Distributor Dealer B Storage C D Final consumer bulk Import Petrobras is present in the entire supply chain 12
  • 13. LP GAS AND NATURAL GAS PARTICIPATION IN RESIDENTIAL MARKET LPG Residential Market Natural Gas Residential Market (thous. m3/y) (thous. M3/y)* 12.000 450.000 400.000 11.500 +5,4%p.y +1,7% p.y 350.000 11.000 300.000 250.000 10.500 200.000 10.000 150.000 100.000 9.500 50.000 9.000 0 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Residential Natural Gas market grows significantly more than LPG residential market 13 * Energetic equivalence between LPG and NG: 1,63m3 of LPG = 880m3 of NG
  • 14. LP GAS INDUSTRY CONSUMPTION • Strong replacement of LPG for Natural Gas, especially in the Industrial LPG Consumption white ceramic industry in Santa 1600 Catarina and São Paulo States thousand m3 1400 Other Metallurgy LPG in ceramics 1200 Ceramic 700 thousand m3 1000 600 500 Others 800 Santa Catarina 400 São Paulo 600 300 400 200 100 200 0 0 2000 2008 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 The strong shift of LPG in steel and ceramic segments is partially offset by a small increase in the consumption of chemicals and foods. 14 Sourse: ESTRATÉGIA/EMN
  • 15. PERSPECTIVES FOR LP GAS DOMESTIC MARKET FINAL REMARKS Difficulties: • Use of wood as a substitute product • Displacement by the entry of Natural Gas / LNG • Informality in retail sector Opportunities: • Modernization of 18 plants for bottling system (improvement of productivity and costs) • Growth of internal production with reduction of LPG imports 15
  • 16. For more information: Investor Relations www.petrobras.com.br/ri +55 21 3224-1510 petroinvest@petrobras.com.br 16