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Founding partners
Energy Architecture & UN Sustainable Development, Covid-19
Recoveries
- and our Responsible Leadership -
- Winter 2021- (draft version)
Adriaan Kamp
Energy For One World
Executive Programme
New Energy Realities- 2021
Adriaan Kamp
Energy For One World (2012- Present)
A consulting practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture,
UN SDG’s and Leadership.
Program Director Executive Energy (transition) & Leadership
Education
20 years Industry and Shell International Upstream ( 5
Countries and EPHQ).
Contents of Session
1. Years 2015-2020: Global Change, Energy Transition, Climate
Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 &
Year 2021 Covid-19 recovery.
2. Organising ourselves for Success: “Build Back Better- The Great
Reset and our Decade of Action”
“Energy Free Of Concerns & Societies Free of Concerns”
3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
Build Back Better- on Amazon.com
(worldwide available)
4
Question for the 21st century: Will it all fit?
5
Global Context Period 2015-Now
1. Global Change, Covid-19 and Geo-Politics of Emotions
2. New Energy Realities
- Strategic Outlook on Energy (Davos WEF 2019)
- IEA World Energy Outlook 2020
- IEA Clean Energy Summit: Towards a Sustainable Recovery/ OpecPlus Meetings
- World Energy Council/ G20- Russian Energy Minister Novak
- New Technologies, Architectures and Market Models
- Energy available, affordable and sustainable: “Free of Concerns”
- www.energyandstuff.org
3. Paris Climate Change Agreement and COP24 Katowice
4. UN Sustainable Development 2030 Âś
5, Our Collective Leadership
7
Prof. Jeffrey Sachs- Earth Institute:
The Age of Sustainable Development
5/25/2018
Clickable Video Presentation
Clickable Presentation
UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) - Paris Climate Change Agreement
Transbiblica
Pope Francis and his Encyclical(s) Laudato Si! Fratelli Tutti!
– on Poverty, People and the Environment: Care for Creation
WWF Living Planet Reports (2020)
IPBES- GLobal Assessment Biodiversity Loss (2019)
14
15
16
17
Sir David Attenborough: A Life on our Planet
18
10 years
19
Club Of Rome- 50 years: Book Launch:
Come on! Short-termism, Population
and the Destruction of the Planet
Ernst von Weizsacker/ Anders Wijkman
Age of Discovery- Navigating the
Risk and Rewards of our New Age
Renaissance.
Ian Goldin- Oxford Martin School
20
G20 Argentina:
“Holding it all Together”
BRICS2019:
“A Call to Modernize UN”
22
4 Crisis: 1. Corona, 2. Economy/Jobs, 3. Racial
Inequalities 4. Climate: “Light over Dark”
23
Restoring America Leadership (1)
24
25
26
Covid-19- Johns Hopkins
27
Opec Plus
28
Opec-Plus meeting(s)
Oil Price (“the Prize”)
29
1. Global Change
2. Climate Change
3. Covid-19
4. Sustainable Development Goals- Decade of Action
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=
Lt9NKulHTDE&t=8s
31
UN FCCC COP21 Paris : Paris Agreement
Adaptation
capacity-building
climate finance
Compliance
intended nationally determined contributions
(INDC)
loss and damage
Mitigation
National reporting
Paris Outcome
REDD/REDD+
Technology
technology mechanism
33
UNEP Emission Gap Report 2018
This year’s report shows—among other findings—that there is a
need for three to ve times higher reductions in greenhouse gas
emissions than the goals agreed by the world’s countries in the
Paris Agreement.
The distance has increased between climate commitments and
the reduction of greenhouse gases needed if we are to meet the
goals in the Paris Agreement.
“There’s thus both a large gap between what the world’s
countries have promised to do and what is needed, and another
gap between the commitments made and what’s actually being
done.”
– The IEA reports that fossil fuel production and consumption,
and thus also carbon emissions, are on the rise, our carbon
budget for a 1.5-2 Degrees Celsius scenario already consumed.
34
The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges
35
The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges
36
Climate Ambition Summit- December 2020
37
38
Schroders Investment: View on Things
39
COP21- COP24 : Organizing for delivery of the Paris
Agreement (2) : “Between Hope and Despair”
40
41
42
43
UNFCCC report(s) on Climate Risks
44
Climate Reality Updatre
45
Year 2040 Expectations vs. Goals
IEA WEO2019
(and international Oil & Gas
community)
80 : 20
UN FCCC, IRENA
(& Science Community)
20 : 80
Greta Thunberg: “Our House is on Fire & I want you to panic”
47
48
1. Global Change
2. Climate Change
3. Covid-19
4. Sustainable Development Goals- Decade of Action
Covid-19- Johns Hopkins
50
Covid-19
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
Katherine Trebeck- “Well-being” Economy
59
The Economy: Do we Build Back Better?
60
1. Global Change
2. Climate Change
3. Covid-19
4. Sustainable Development Goals- Decade of Action
62
63
64
65
UN SDGs- Global Responsibilities
67
68
69
70
71
70th year of Universal Declaration of Human Rights
(1949-2019)
72
Davos 2018- “Creating a Shared Future in a Fractured World”
•The global context today has changed dramatically: geostrategic
fractures have re-emerged on multiple fronts with wide-ranging
political, economic and social consequences.
•“Our collective inability to secure inclusive growth and preserve our
scarce resources puts multiple global systems at risk simultaneously.
Our first response must be to develop new models for cooperation
that are not based on narrow interests but on the destiny of humanity
as a whole," said Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman,
World Economic Forum.
73
SG Guterres -
74
Guterres: The world’s problems are
“more and more integrated” but the
response to them is increasingly
“fragmented” and “dysfunctional”,
at WEF Davos : “In One Sentence”
A new social contract for a new era:
: Tackling the Inequality Pandemic
Founding partners
25.05.2018
Geopolitical shifts and re-alignments
• Economic and finance system change and fundamentals
• A new technological era: 4th
Industrial Revolution.
• Global production systems & the rise of new (multinational)
corporations
• Social Changes (networked economies), and the quest for social
wealth & justice
• Planetary boundaries/ Resource Scarcities/ Loss of Biodiversity
and Nature
• Demographic change and migration/ Changing labour markets
Global Change
76
2014
2030-2050
7 Billion
People
10 Billion
People
90 trillion
USD
economy
180-210
trillion USD
225 million
oil eq/day
(15 TW)
500- 750 million
oil eq/day
(55 TW)
405 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget
consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st
century
??? ppm CO2 and
Climate Change Effects
E N E R G Y
2/1/2012 Energy For One World- All Rights Reserved
BRIC:
It’s our time. Let us grow our
Economies and take care of
our people
You’ll fix whatever you want to
fix!
The West:
“If you do as I have done
it will be
a mess.”
Let us all change- rapidly
Let’s secure our nation,
people and planet
Emerging:
Will there be enough for
us?
Can i afford it?
Who will deliver it to me?
The poor:
When will we see
electricity and get
mobility?
Opec and GasPec:
You need us!
We can deliver your needs!
What is all that fuzz about
Availability and climate change?
IEA World Energy Outlook- 2020
80
Russian Energy Minister Novak-
on the World Energy Realities we are in
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
Year 2040 Expectations vs. Goals
IEA WEO2018-2019
(and international Oil & Gas
community)
80 : 20
UN FCCC, IRENA
(& Science Community)
20 : 80
91
Over
Present
Oil & Gas Company
Jobs (8 mio)
Clean-Tech/ Renewables
Oil & Gas
We are here- so mind the gap !
Scenarios & Pathways
BP Energy Outlook - 2017
2017- BP Energy Outlook
99
BP Energy Outlook 2035
5/25/2018
101
Exxon Mobile Analytical View of the World
102
www.energyandstuff.org
103
Clickable Go to Website
Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate
105
E& P Realities of Cost Curves
106
The Present Big Elephant in the Room:
“The Prize of Oil”
The Context We see Ourselves in
109
Contents of Session
1. Years 2015-2018: Global Change, Energies Transition,
Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030
2. Organising ourselves for Success: “Energy- Economies Free
of Concerns”
3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible
Leadership
UN
Regional Blocks
Countries
Cities
Communities
Companies and Institutes
Co-alitions of the Willing
Sustainable Community Building
Our world is under construction:
The Rise of a new middle-class ( 3 Billion) – in MegaCities
and more people live in Greater Tokyo (35m) than in all of Canada
The top 10 cities by population:
1. Tokyo, (34 million)
2. Seoul (24.4 million)
3. Guangzhou (24.2 million)
4. Mexico City (23.4 million)
5. Delhi (23.2 million)
6. Mumbai (22.8 million)
7. New York (22.2 million)
8. Sao Paolo (20.9 million)
9. Manila (19.6 million)
10. Shanghai (19.4 million)
All above fit comfortably into the list
Of Top-50 nations by population
Organizing ourselves: “zippered”- in dimensions
Mainstream
• UN Re-organisation (0)
• Governments (1)
• Corporates and Global Compact (2a)
• Government- Business- Science Community (UN SDSN) (2b)
• New Entrants/ Innovators/ Game-changers (3)
• Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4)
1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system
Bottoms-up
• Community, Start-up Community (5)
Some Regional Development Examples
(as it is today)
120
Saudi Aramco IPO: the value of good reserves
960 × 540
Wall Street Journal
122
123
124
125
126
Russia Priority National Projects -
The Yuzhny Satellite Town is one of the most
ambitious multi-functional development projects in
Russia.
Source: START Development
Russian Energy Minister Novak-
on the World Energy Realities we are in
127
Click to Go To Website
Germany: An example how it works- in real
E-on and VW
130
Siemens
Dismantling an Icon
Since Kaeser took charge in 2013, there has been a flurry
of spinoffs, carveouts and joint ventures at the German
giant
● May 2014: Siemens slims its divisions to nine from
16; carves out health care and announces listing of
hearing aid business
● September 2014: Siemens sells stake in kitchen and
washing machine business to Bosch
● November 2014: Sells hearing-aid unit to EQT for
2.14 billion euros ($2.4 billion)
● June 2016: Announces merger of wind power
division to form Siemens Gamesa
● November 2016: Announces Siemens Healthineers
will be brought to market
● February 2019: Plan to form rail joint venture with
France’s Alstom is blocked by European authorities
● May 2019: Siemens announces plan to carve out
power and gas businesses
Germany Coal Commission: Phase-Out 2038
132
BERLIN (Reuters) - 26.1.2019: Germany should shut down all of its coal-fired power plants by 2038 at the latest, a
government-appointed commission said on Saturday, proposing at least 40 billion euros ($45.7 billion) in aid to regions affected by the
phase-out.
Energy in the Netherlands (1)
• Rutte III
• What to do after “Groningen Gas
(21/12 Bcm) & New Energy
Transition (Climate) Accord- II ?
• What to do with/after Pernis?
• Electrification of Homes, Cars,
Transport and Cities
• Greening of intensive energy
Industries-, Agri-, Petro-;
• Regional Energy Markets
• What new export markets are there
to create?
Energy in the Netherlands (2)
The challenge the Dutch are facing is a triple national budget and investment
challenge:
• 1. The decrease in (state) income due to the earlier closure of Groningen
Gas. The estimated economic value of the lost gas is between 50-125
Billion Euro.
• 2. Additional expenses to be able to import Gas (temporarily) and as
"bridging fuel" - in the transition and accelerated investments in (eg) Wind
Offshore, as an alternative to the loss of Groningen Gas.
• 3. Renovation of Dutch energy architecture: Investments in electrification,
the built environment and agri-, industry- to "get off gas / gasless" and to
meet Paris [1]
134
Arjan Lubach
135
A wide spectacle of innovation, initiatives
and choice
136
137
Energy in the Netherlands (3)
138
139
Change not without some popular opinions, pressures,
pains and votes
140
A New Green (Energy) Plan ?- NW Europe
“Holland”- in and between Germany, UK, France and
Scandinavia
143
EU “New Green Deal”- (1)
144
EU “New Green Deal” (2)
145
EU “New Green Deal”- (3)
146
Some Examples- from our Energy Sector
(“as it was yesterday”)
Focus Areas (Energy Sector)
(Year 2019 and beyond- example only)
Oil& Petrochemicals – Plastics in the
Oceans, Fumes in the Air, and Carbon
in the Atmosphere
Gas, Emissions vs New Power- and
Mobility- Energy Architectures
Energy Architecture Developments,
Economies and UN SDGs
GeoPolitics, Free trade and “Energy
to All” or
“Energy-Economies Free of Concerns”
Change &
Transformation
Old and New Clickable Presentations
Vs 350 Bn USD investment
Statoil: Equinor
150
Example Shell (1)
151
Example Shell (2):
“A decisive step to a cleaner energy future”
Royal Dutch Shell pledged to double its investment in
renewable fuels and to cut its carbon emissions in half by
2050.
• In comments to investors, Ben van Beurden, Shell’s chief
executive, said that from 2018 to 2020, the company’s
new-energies division would spend up to $2 billion a
year on renewable energy sources like wind, solar and
hydrogen power and on electric-car charging stations.
• Mr. van Beurden stressed that the pledge was just a
start and that the company supported the goal of
the Paris accord, which is to keep global temperatures
152
It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in
the transition to a lower-carbon world. This
is how I plan to drive change through the
company.- 8 December 2017
Example Shell (3):
“A decisive step to a cleaner energy future”
Into the 2020s, however, we plan a greater focus on
revenue streams that will be less constrained by policies
to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including
petrochemicals and electricity. Shell has made a series of
moves in recent months to strengthen its position in the
power industry, with deals to buy Texas electricity group
MP2, electric vehicle charging company NewMotion, and
UK energy retailer First Utility.
“If you fast forward with another twenty, thirty, forty,
fifty years, the power segment is going to be a very
dominant part of the total energy system,” Mr van
Beurden said. “At the moment it’s only 18 per cent but it
will be more than 50 by the time this century is over. So
we cannot pass up on that opportunity.”
153
It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in
the transition to a lower-carbon world. This
is how I plan to drive change through the
company.- 8 December 2017
Example Shell (4):
2018 European Cleantech Corporation of the Year.
• The European Cleantech Corporation of the Year award exists to recognize “a
major European enterprise whose activities, actions and consistent support over
multiple years have significantly contributed to the growth of cleantech innovation,
and/or demand for cleaner products and services, and who has made some
particularly noteworthy actions over the last 12 months.”
• The 2018 European Cleantech Corporation of the Year was awarded to Shell. The
following three reasons are why Shell stood out for this award:
• 1. The sense of a new level of commitment and action, with which Shell is
gripping the challenges of the huge and disruptive transitions ongoing in the world
of energy and transportation, and the urgency with which it has been making
strategic moves.
• 2. The range of actions it has been taking. A few examples to illustrate include:
• a. New Energy Solutions. Capital commitments of on average $1-2bn per annum
behind this relatively new initiative (launched in May 2016) represents a significant
commitment by Shell to transforming its own business model.
• b. Commitments to lower carbon. Shell announced plans in Nov 2017 to cut the
net carbon footprint of its energy products by around half by 2050, with an interim
step of 20% by 2035 in line with society.
• c. Acquisitions. There have been a number, but most striking are MP2 Energy and
First Utility, for example, that set out Shell’s clear strategic intent to become a
player in the electricity markets of the future.
• d. Shell Ventures, Springboard and other initiatives and their work with the global
innovation ecosystem and entrepreneurs, shaping the future industrial world.
• e. A global player. We have seen deals across the map,
geographically and in terms of the different dynamics on energy’s
future – from renewables to EV charging, from mobility services to
energy access.
• f. Working in partnership with peers. Shell is one of the founding
members of OGCI (Oil & Gas Climate Initiative), the cross-industry
effort to de-carbonise the oil & gas industry.
• 3. The actions and transactions levels have noticeably increased
over the last 12 months.
• a. Shell has been the most active European-based CVC across the
energy and industrial innovation themes we cover. Deals have
included Axiom Energy, Husk Power, HyET, Innowatts, Steamaco, and
Sunseap.
• b. Shell has been an active acquirer. Examples over the period
include:
• i. The significant stake acquired in the US solar developer, Silicon
Ranch Corporation (Jan 2018)
ii. The entry into the UK retail market via the acquisition of First
Utility (Dec 2017)
iii. The acquisition of the Dutch venture-backed
company, NewMotion, the pan-European network of electric vehicle
charging stations (Oct 2017)
iv. The acquisition of Texas-based MP2 Energy, a leader in Demand
Response Solutions (formally closed in September 2017)
154
155
On the Power (electricity) system and market
156
Shells van Beurden: “Re-organizing to Fit”
157
158
BP Looney New Strategy: “Integrated Energy”
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
BP integrated energy: “3 x 3”
169
New Realities- Post Covid-19 (1)
170
New Realities- Post Covid-19 (2)
171
New (institutionalised) possibilities thinking post-Covid-19:
“Build Back Better”
How do we look at our earlier options, now?
What is going well? What is “under pressure or just an illusion”?
What can we easily change- in our approach and tone of voice?
What key (sector, market, strategic possibilities) options, choices
and (integrated) decisions can we make- better, post-Covid-19?
What is (urgently) needed in order to succeed in what we are
planning and aiming to deliver- in change?
What are we planning for to deliver now and in 2030?
172
A little conceptual..
(adding it all together)
174
From WEF/ Accenture: The energy architecture is an integrated physical system of energy
sources, carriers and demand sectors shaped by government, industry and civil society.
The energy architecture on location is a reflection of the socio-political,
economic, ecological and business philosophies, leadership and interests
exercised on location.
The energy architecture in a country, region or global community is (ideally) to serve (the rise of,
establishment of) thriving sustainable societies- making energy available, affordable and
sustainable to all: balancing economic interests with that of society and nature. Here and there.
Now and in the future.
175
Energy Architecture
Re-inventing Strategies/Relationships:
“X-Factor of Integration, Transition and
Transformation”
Renewables
Energy
Efficiency
Product
Re-designs
Energy
Architectures
Re-designs
Fossil
1 2
3
4
5
Princeton Wedges
Grow and Safe Energy
Change Energy Supply Source
Change Energy Architecture
Change Products (Cars, Homes) &
Industry Designs
Change Energy- Economy and
Direction of Lifestyles
Change Leadership Paradigm
178
179
“Sweetspot”
180
Levels of Change
•Level 1
•Level 2
•Level 3
•Level 4
• Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change
(CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying
• Full Integration of Renewables (clean-tech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy
Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and
capital control structures
• Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate
business models- also in international trade
• Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness
The way it works: Country Categories and Markets (1)
•OECD- USA, Canada, Europe, Japan, Australia
•(Richer, Resource based) OPEC/ GasPec
•China Inc., India Inc.
•Developing (without Resources)
•Developing (with Resources)
•Least developed. Poor.
The way it works (2) : A New Formula in Business and Trade
Mainstream
•Governments (1)
•Energy Corporates and Incumbents (2)
•New Entrants/ Innovators/ Change-makers (3)
•Non-Energy Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4)
1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system
Bottoms-up
•Community, Start-up Community (5)
The way it works (3): New Forms of Collaborations
The way it may work (4): Finding the Rubik-Cube Combination
“Organizational Forms and Formats” - that works
“Horizontal and Vertical Integration”
185
e.g.
Country Categories,
Geographies &
Markets
Business Formula-
and
Cross-Sectors
Forms of
Collaboration
● Strengthening human well-being
and capabilities;
● Shifting towards sustainable and
just economies;
● Building sustainable food
systems and healthy nutrition
patterns;
● Achieving energy
decarbonization and universal
access to energy;
● Promoting sustainable urban and
peri-urban development; and
● Securing the global
environmental commons.
187
UN Global Compact- 20 years: It needs your HELP!
BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs
188
189
190
191
192
194
195
WEC 2022: Energy for Humanity- St Petersburg
196
197 countries need to change
“Every Energy Company and Every Energy Architecture in this
world can be improved upon in order to raise the availability,
affordability and sustainability of energy to all”.- Adriaan
Kamp, -2015
Every Country and Every Organization in this World can be
improved upon in order to raise the human, social, economic
and sustainable development to all- Adriaan Kamp- 2015
198
"The invitation we have today is to see and to blend our deep
consciousness and care for Humanity and Ecology with our more
mainstream energy economics and politics- at play"
Let us direct our work and collective efforts towards attaining
“Energy Free of Concerns & Societies Free of Concerns”
Here and There. Now and Tomorrow
Adriaan Kamp
199
Building New Bridges
Contents of Session
1. Year 2015-2018: Global Change, Energies Transition,
Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030
2. Organising ourselves for success: Energy Free of Concerns
3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible
Leadership
One World. Many Needs. Many Views
Founding partners
“In Leadership- we are all students for life”
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Leadership Levels
•Managing Yourself
•Managing Others
•Managing complex change &
•Managing communities & multi-stakeholders
change
Managing yourself
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Founding partners
“Only good can come from good”
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
How much do you know about (your) self?
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
What happy people know
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Bishop Currie
209
The answer to Hate, Greed, Social Injustice is
Dignity (Agape) and Peace
210
Founding partners
“Manage others as you would like to be
managed yourself”
(golden rule)
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Managing innovation & change-
Internal/ External
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Founding partners
“The art of making things Better”
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
214
Sources of Innovation
• Big- Bets • 1001-Nights, Kaizen/Takumi
• From Idea to Business
(Gamechangers)
Organizing people
5/25/2018
Napoleon’s Six Winning Principles, and Leading in the Front
• EXACTITUDE
awareness, research and continuous planning
• SPEED
reducing resistance, increasing urgency, and providing
focus
• FLEXIBILITY
building teams that are adaptable, empowered and
unified
• SIMPLICITY
clear, simple objectives, messages, and processes
• CHARACTER
integrity, calmness, and responsibility
• MORAL FORCE
providing order, purpose, recognition and rewards
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Kelly Johnson’s Skunk Work Rules
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Styles Differs- too. Two trillion dollar club successes
219
Gamechangers
UPSTREAM
OFFSHORE
PLATFORM
OIL
SANDS
Bitumen
DOWNSTREAM
Feedstock
Synthetic
crude oil
Fuels, lubricants and speciality products including
Bitumen and liquefied petroleum gas
UPGRADER
PLANT
Oil
REFINERY
Gas
LNG
LIQUEFICATION
PLANT
GAS TO
LIQUIDS
PLANT
BIOFUELS
PLANT
BIOFUELS
PLANT
WIND
TURBINES
Energy for industrial
and domestic use
LNG
REGASIFICATION
TERMINAL
POWER
STATION
ONSHORE
PRODUCTION FACILITY
Gas
Oil
CHEMICAL
PLANT
Petrochemicals used for plastics,
Coatings and detergents
Global Oil & Gas businesses
222
On the Power (electricity) system and market
223
224
We cannot save the Planet (Climate, Nature), if we cannot save
the People (Economy, Social Justice).
The People cannot be saved, if the Planet (Nature) is broken, at
risk or fails (e.g. pollution, resource scarcities, climate risks).
We better first solve (our problems), before we can make true
progress and change”
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
“”Resistance to change falls when the benefits are
made clear
Resistance to change falls when the Story feels Right
(“The Star” is Chosen “Right”)
We cannot “run” ourselves into Sustainability. Slow
down and walk in more beauty.
Responsible (& Situational)
Leadership
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
“Sweetspot”
227
228
229
Servant Leadership
•Compassionate love
•Authenticity
•Humbleness
•Empowerment
•Provide direction
•Stewardship
Here’s the essence of the gospel of Greenleaf. First and
foremost, truly great managers want to serve the people they
lead. They do this by supporting them rather than dictating to
them, and by assigning top priority to employee well-being.
Deceptively simple and deeply profound
Pope Francis: Dream Big
Can We Listen before Change?
Ernest Gundling: Understanding Cultures and
Relationships. The way it works
Energy For One World- 2017, All Rights Reserved
Hofstede: Cultures and Organizations. The
way it works
234
The Way it Works for a System Rethink
World View
Cultures
Institutions
Our Leadership Ways
How the World Thinks
235
Core
Values
Cultural Dimensions
Global People Skills
CONSCIOUS
UNCONSCIOUS
237
1. Sustainable Development- a new kind of
Globalization (2016)
2. Sustainable Humanity (2012)
3. We can no longer manage decency (2018)
4. Aga Khan University Special Lecture Series:
Can we find a shared global ethics for the 21st
century? (2020)
“Leading Global Decency”
238
A practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Our Leadership.
Energy For One World
Adriaan Kamp (Founder)
Skype: Adriaan.Kamp
TelCall Direct line (Netherlands):
0031-614939194
E-Mail:
adriaankamp@energyforoneworld.com
www.EnergyForOneWorld.com
APPENDIX
(“How it was yesterday”)
240
New Possibility Thinking (1)- Mission Innovation
New Possibility Thinking (2)-
Large, Larger, Largest Solar Farms (Example First Solar)
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr
5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr
3500 hectares
160,000 homes
1,5 Bn USD
550 MW
8 million panels
New Possibility Thinking (3)-
Large, Larger, Largest Offshore Wind Farm’s (Examples only)
4
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr
5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr
An offshore area of 100km2
175 wind turbines
Two offshore substations
Nearly 450km of offshore cabling
One onshore substation
630MW of electricity
Enough power for nearly half a million homes
New Possibility Thinking (4)-
Solar City, Tesla Battery and E-drive: A New Value Proposition
New Possibility Thinking (5)- Car-manufacturer, Carlos Ghosn
Electric Vehicles sales are in direct
correlation with the number and
amount of charging stations installed
in a city, region or nation.
It's a public-private partnership. It's a
matter of trust. It's a matter of
convenience. But it surely the way to
go into our Future.
(Carlos doesnot believe in fuel-celled LPV's. He
is truly committed to the electrification of
self-driving and navigating new car concepts)
Uber Google
Uber
New Possibility Thinking (6)-
Tony Seba- RethinkX (TaaS) study on personal mobility
248
TaaS= Transport as a Service
..But with a possible rare earth metal (mining) scarcity..
Cobalt
249
New Possibility Thinking(7)Smart Cities
The vision of “Smart Cities” is the urban center of the future, made safe, secure environmentally
green, and efficient because all structures - whether for power, water, transportation, etc. are
designed, constructed, and maintained making use of advanced, integrated materials, sensors,
electronics, and networks which are interfaced with computerized systems comprised of databases,
tracking, and decision-making algorithms. - U.S. Dept. of Energy, “The Vision of a Smart City”,
2000
Examples of New, Smart or Sustainable Cities:
• C40 – Vancouver, Oslo, New York, etc.
• Masdar, Abu Dhabi,
• New Songho City, South Korea,
• Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India
• King Abdullah + Economic Cities Saudi Arabia
• e.g. China Tianjin Development
•PM Modi’s 100 smart cities
•King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia
New Possibility Thinking (8)
Better Housing Architecture- Zero, Zero-Plus and more
5/25/2018
New Possibility Thinking (9):
RE-100 Group
New Possibility Thinking (10):
Energy Project Finance
New Possibility Thinking (11)
Finance, Banks and Insurers
IRENA’s 2017 Annual Renewable Capacity Statistics
255
2008
1 TW
2016
2 TW
“The way” we are and can be.
256
The Economy: Do we Build Back Better?
257
Katherine Trebeck- “Well-being” Economy
258

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EFOW Bridges to Sustainability: Year 2021 Executive Class (part 1)

  • 1. Founding partners Energy Architecture & UN Sustainable Development, Covid-19 Recoveries - and our Responsible Leadership - - Winter 2021- (draft version) Adriaan Kamp Energy For One World Executive Programme New Energy Realities- 2021
  • 2. Adriaan Kamp Energy For One World (2012- Present) A consulting practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Leadership. Program Director Executive Energy (transition) & Leadership Education 20 years Industry and Shell International Upstream ( 5 Countries and EPHQ).
  • 3. Contents of Session 1. Years 2015-2020: Global Change, Energy Transition, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 & Year 2021 Covid-19 recovery. 2. Organising ourselves for Success: “Build Back Better- The Great Reset and our Decade of Action” “Energy Free Of Concerns & Societies Free of Concerns” 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
  • 4. Build Back Better- on Amazon.com (worldwide available) 4
  • 5. Question for the 21st century: Will it all fit? 5
  • 6. Global Context Period 2015-Now 1. Global Change, Covid-19 and Geo-Politics of Emotions 2. New Energy Realities - Strategic Outlook on Energy (Davos WEF 2019) - IEA World Energy Outlook 2020 - IEA Clean Energy Summit: Towards a Sustainable Recovery/ OpecPlus Meetings - World Energy Council/ G20- Russian Energy Minister Novak - New Technologies, Architectures and Market Models - Energy available, affordable and sustainable: “Free of Concerns” - www.energyandstuff.org 3. Paris Climate Change Agreement and COP24 Katowice 4. UN Sustainable Development 2030 Âś 5, Our Collective Leadership
  • 7. 7
  • 8. Prof. Jeffrey Sachs- Earth Institute: The Age of Sustainable Development 5/25/2018 Clickable Video Presentation
  • 10. UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) - Paris Climate Change Agreement
  • 12. Pope Francis and his Encyclical(s) Laudato Si! Fratelli Tutti! – on Poverty, People and the Environment: Care for Creation
  • 13. WWF Living Planet Reports (2020)
  • 14. IPBES- GLobal Assessment Biodiversity Loss (2019) 14
  • 15. 15
  • 16. 16
  • 17. 17
  • 18. Sir David Attenborough: A Life on our Planet 18
  • 20. Club Of Rome- 50 years: Book Launch: Come on! Short-termism, Population and the Destruction of the Planet Ernst von Weizsacker/ Anders Wijkman Age of Discovery- Navigating the Risk and Rewards of our New Age Renaissance. Ian Goldin- Oxford Martin School 20
  • 21.
  • 22. G20 Argentina: “Holding it all Together” BRICS2019: “A Call to Modernize UN” 22
  • 23. 4 Crisis: 1. Corona, 2. Economy/Jobs, 3. Racial Inequalities 4. Climate: “Light over Dark” 23
  • 25. 25
  • 26. 26
  • 29. Oil Price (“the Prize”) 29
  • 30. 1. Global Change 2. Climate Change 3. Covid-19 4. Sustainable Development Goals- Decade of Action https://www.youtube.com/watch?v= Lt9NKulHTDE&t=8s
  • 31. 31
  • 32. UN FCCC COP21 Paris : Paris Agreement Adaptation capacity-building climate finance Compliance intended nationally determined contributions (INDC) loss and damage Mitigation National reporting Paris Outcome REDD/REDD+ Technology technology mechanism
  • 33. 33
  • 34. UNEP Emission Gap Report 2018 This year’s report shows—among other ndings—that there is a need for three to ve times higher reductions in greenhouse gas emissions than the goals agreed by the world’s countries in the Paris Agreement. The distance has increased between climate commitments and the reduction of greenhouse gases needed if we are to meet the goals in the Paris Agreement. “There’s thus both a large gap between what the world’s countries have promised to do and what is needed, and another gap between the commitments made and what’s actually being done.” – The IEA reports that fossil fuel production and consumption, and thus also carbon emissions, are on the rise, our carbon budget for a 1.5-2 Degrees Celsius scenario already consumed. 34
  • 35. The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges 35 The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges
  • 36. 36
  • 37. Climate Ambition Summit- December 2020 37
  • 38. 38
  • 40. COP21- COP24 : Organizing for delivery of the Paris Agreement (2) : “Between Hope and Despair” 40
  • 41. 41
  • 42. 42
  • 43. 43
  • 44. UNFCCC report(s) on Climate Risks 44
  • 46. Year 2040 Expectations vs. Goals IEA WEO2019 (and international Oil & Gas community) 80 : 20 UN FCCC, IRENA (& Science Community) 20 : 80
  • 47. Greta Thunberg: “Our House is on Fire & I want you to panic” 47
  • 48. 48
  • 49. 1. Global Change 2. Climate Change 3. Covid-19 4. Sustainable Development Goals- Decade of Action
  • 52. 52
  • 53. 53
  • 54. 54
  • 55. 55
  • 56. 56
  • 57. 57
  • 58. 58
  • 60. The Economy: Do we Build Back Better? 60
  • 61. 1. Global Change 2. Climate Change 3. Covid-19 4. Sustainable Development Goals- Decade of Action
  • 62. 62
  • 63. 63
  • 64. 64
  • 65. 65 UN SDGs- Global Responsibilities
  • 66.
  • 67. 67
  • 68. 68
  • 69. 69
  • 70. 70
  • 71. 71
  • 72. 70th year of Universal Declaration of Human Rights (1949-2019) 72
  • 73. Davos 2018- “Creating a Shared Future in a Fractured World” •The global context today has changed dramatically: geostrategic fractures have re-emerged on multiple fronts with wide-ranging political, economic and social consequences. •“Our collective inability to secure inclusive growth and preserve our scarce resources puts multiple global systems at risk simultaneously. Our first response must be to develop new models for cooperation that are not based on narrow interests but on the destiny of humanity as a whole," said Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman, World Economic Forum. 73
  • 74. SG Guterres - 74 Guterres: The world’s problems are “more and more integrated” but the response to them is increasingly “fragmented” and “dysfunctional”, at WEF Davos : “In One Sentence” A new social contract for a new era: : Tackling the Inequality Pandemic
  • 75. Founding partners 25.05.2018 Geopolitical shifts and re-alignments • Economic and finance system change and fundamentals • A new technological era: 4th Industrial Revolution. • Global production systems & the rise of new (multinational) corporations • Social Changes (networked economies), and the quest for social wealth & justice • Planetary boundaries/ Resource Scarcities/ Loss of Biodiversity and Nature • Demographic change and migration/ Changing labour markets Global Change
  • 76. 76 2014 2030-2050 7 Billion People 10 Billion People 90 trillion USD economy 180-210 trillion USD 225 million oil eq/day (15 TW) 500- 750 million oil eq/day (55 TW) 405 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century ??? ppm CO2 and Climate Change Effects
  • 77. E N E R G Y
  • 78. 2/1/2012 Energy For One World- All Rights Reserved
  • 79. BRIC: It’s our time. Let us grow our Economies and take care of our people You’ll fix whatever you want to fix! The West: “If you do as I have done it will be a mess.” Let us all change- rapidly Let’s secure our nation, people and planet Emerging: Will there be enough for us? Can i afford it? Who will deliver it to me? The poor: When will we see electricity and get mobility? Opec and GasPec: You need us! We can deliver your needs! What is all that fuzz about Availability and climate change?
  • 80. IEA World Energy Outlook- 2020 80
  • 81. Russian Energy Minister Novak- on the World Energy Realities we are in 81
  • 82. 82
  • 83. 83
  • 84. 84
  • 85. 85
  • 86. 86
  • 87. 87
  • 88. 88
  • 89. 89
  • 90. Year 2040 Expectations vs. Goals IEA WEO2018-2019 (and international Oil & Gas community) 80 : 20 UN FCCC, IRENA (& Science Community) 20 : 80
  • 91. 91
  • 92. Over Present Oil & Gas Company Jobs (8 mio)
  • 93.
  • 95.
  • 96. We are here- so mind the gap !
  • 99. 2017- BP Energy Outlook 99
  • 100. BP Energy Outlook 2035 5/25/2018
  • 101. 101
  • 102. Exxon Mobile Analytical View of the World 102
  • 105. 105
  • 106. E& P Realities of Cost Curves 106
  • 107. The Present Big Elephant in the Room: “The Prize of Oil”
  • 108. The Context We see Ourselves in
  • 109. 109
  • 110. Contents of Session 1. Years 2015-2018: Global Change, Energies Transition, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 2. Organising ourselves for Success: “Energy- Economies Free of Concerns” 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
  • 111. UN Regional Blocks Countries Cities Communities Companies and Institutes Co-alitions of the Willing
  • 113. Our world is under construction: The Rise of a new middle-class ( 3 Billion) – in MegaCities and more people live in Greater Tokyo (35m) than in all of Canada The top 10 cities by population: 1. Tokyo, (34 million) 2. Seoul (24.4 million) 3. Guangzhou (24.2 million) 4. Mexico City (23.4 million) 5. Delhi (23.2 million) 6. Mumbai (22.8 million) 7. New York (22.2 million) 8. Sao Paolo (20.9 million) 9. Manila (19.6 million) 10. Shanghai (19.4 million) All above fit comfortably into the list Of Top-50 nations by population
  • 114.
  • 115. Organizing ourselves: “zippered”- in dimensions Mainstream • UN Re-organisation (0) • Governments (1) • Corporates and Global Compact (2a) • Government- Business- Science Community (UN SDSN) (2b) • New Entrants/ Innovators/ Game-changers (3) • Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4) 1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system Bottoms-up • Community, Start-up Community (5)
  • 116. Some Regional Development Examples (as it is today)
  • 117.
  • 118.
  • 119.
  • 120. 120 Saudi Aramco IPO: the value of good reserves 960 × 540 Wall Street Journal
  • 121.
  • 122. 122
  • 123. 123
  • 124. 124
  • 125. 125
  • 126. 126 Russia Priority National Projects - The Yuzhny Satellite Town is one of the most ambitious multi-functional development projects in Russia. Source: START Development
  • 127. Russian Energy Minister Novak- on the World Energy Realities we are in 127
  • 128.
  • 129. Click to Go To Website Germany: An example how it works- in real
  • 131. Siemens Dismantling an Icon Since Kaeser took charge in 2013, there has been a flurry of spinoffs, carveouts and joint ventures at the German giant ● May 2014: Siemens slims its divisions to nine from 16; carves out health care and announces listing of hearing aid business ● September 2014: Siemens sells stake in kitchen and washing machine business to Bosch ● November 2014: Sells hearing-aid unit to EQT for 2.14 billion euros ($2.4 billion) ● June 2016: Announces merger of wind power division to form Siemens Gamesa ● November 2016: Announces Siemens Healthineers will be brought to market ● February 2019: Plan to form rail joint venture with France’s Alstom is blocked by European authorities ● May 2019: Siemens announces plan to carve out power and gas businesses
  • 132. Germany Coal Commission: Phase-Out 2038 132 BERLIN (Reuters) - 26.1.2019: Germany should shut down all of its coal-fired power plants by 2038 at the latest, a government-appointed commission said on Saturday, proposing at least 40 billion euros ($45.7 billion) in aid to regions affected by the phase-out.
  • 133. Energy in the Netherlands (1) • Rutte III • What to do after “Groningen Gas (21/12 Bcm) & New Energy Transition (Climate) Accord- II ? • What to do with/after Pernis? • Electrification of Homes, Cars, Transport and Cities • Greening of intensive energy Industries-, Agri-, Petro-; • Regional Energy Markets • What new export markets are there to create?
  • 134. Energy in the Netherlands (2) The challenge the Dutch are facing is a triple national budget and investment challenge: • 1. The decrease in (state) income due to the earlier closure of Groningen Gas. The estimated economic value of the lost gas is between 50-125 Billion Euro. • 2. Additional expenses to be able to import Gas (temporarily) and as "bridging fuel" - in the transition and accelerated investments in (eg) Wind Offshore, as an alternative to the loss of Groningen Gas. • 3. Renovation of Dutch energy architecture: Investments in electrification, the built environment and agri-, industry- to "get off gas / gasless" and to meet Paris [1] 134
  • 136. A wide spectacle of innovation, initiatives and choice 136
  • 137. 137
  • 138. Energy in the Netherlands (3) 138
  • 139. 139
  • 140. Change not without some popular opinions, pressures, pains and votes 140
  • 141. A New Green (Energy) Plan ?- NW Europe
  • 142. “Holland”- in and between Germany, UK, France and Scandinavia
  • 143. 143
  • 144. EU “New Green Deal”- (1) 144
  • 145. EU “New Green Deal” (2) 145
  • 146. EU “New Green Deal”- (3) 146
  • 147. Some Examples- from our Energy Sector (“as it was yesterday”)
  • 148. Focus Areas (Energy Sector) (Year 2019 and beyond- example only) Oil& Petrochemicals – Plastics in the Oceans, Fumes in the Air, and Carbon in the Atmosphere Gas, Emissions vs New Power- and Mobility- Energy Architectures Energy Architecture Developments, Economies and UN SDGs GeoPolitics, Free trade and “Energy to All” or “Energy-Economies Free of Concerns” Change & Transformation
  • 149. Old and New Clickable Presentations Vs 350 Bn USD investment
  • 152. Example Shell (2): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future” Royal Dutch Shell pledged to double its investment in renewable fuels and to cut its carbon emissions in half by 2050. • In comments to investors, Ben van Beurden, Shell’s chief executive, said that from 2018 to 2020, the company’s new-energies division would spend up to $2 billion a year on renewable energy sources like wind, solar and hydrogen power and on electric-car charging stations. • Mr. van Beurden stressed that the pledge was just a start and that the company supported the goal of the Paris accord, which is to keep global temperatures 152 It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in the transition to a lower-carbon world. This is how I plan to drive change through the company.- 8 December 2017
  • 153. Example Shell (3): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future” Into the 2020s, however, we plan a greater focus on revenue streams that will be less constrained by policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including petrochemicals and electricity. Shell has made a series of moves in recent months to strengthen its position in the power industry, with deals to buy Texas electricity group MP2, electric vehicle charging company NewMotion, and UK energy retailer First Utility. “If you fast forward with another twenty, thirty, forty, fifty years, the power segment is going to be a very dominant part of the total energy system,” Mr van Beurden said. “At the moment it’s only 18 per cent but it will be more than 50 by the time this century is over. So we cannot pass up on that opportunity.” 153 It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in the transition to a lower-carbon world. This is how I plan to drive change through the company.- 8 December 2017
  • 154. Example Shell (4): 2018 European Cleantech Corporation of the Year. • The European Cleantech Corporation of the Year award exists to recognize “a major European enterprise whose activities, actions and consistent support over multiple years have significantly contributed to the growth of cleantech innovation, and/or demand for cleaner products and services, and who has made some particularly noteworthy actions over the last 12 months.” • The 2018 European Cleantech Corporation of the Year was awarded to Shell. The following three reasons are why Shell stood out for this award: • 1. The sense of a new level of commitment and action, with which Shell is gripping the challenges of the huge and disruptive transitions ongoing in the world of energy and transportation, and the urgency with which it has been making strategic moves. • 2. The range of actions it has been taking. A few examples to illustrate include: • a. New Energy Solutions. Capital commitments of on average $1-2bn per annum behind this relatively new initiative (launched in May 2016) represents a significant commitment by Shell to transforming its own business model. • b. Commitments to lower carbon. Shell announced plans in Nov 2017 to cut the net carbon footprint of its energy products by around half by 2050, with an interim step of 20% by 2035 in line with society. • c. Acquisitions. There have been a number, but most striking are MP2 Energy and First Utility, for example, that set out Shell’s clear strategic intent to become a player in the electricity markets of the future. • d. Shell Ventures, Springboard and other initiatives and their work with the global innovation ecosystem and entrepreneurs, shaping the future industrial world. • e. A global player. We have seen deals across the map, geographically and in terms of the different dynamics on energy’s future – from renewables to EV charging, from mobility services to energy access. • f. Working in partnership with peers. Shell is one of the founding members of OGCI (Oil & Gas Climate Initiative), the cross-industry effort to de-carbonise the oil & gas industry. • 3. The actions and transactions levels have noticeably increased over the last 12 months. • a. Shell has been the most active European-based CVC across the energy and industrial innovation themes we cover. Deals have included Axiom Energy, Husk Power, HyET, Innowatts, Steamaco, and Sunseap. • b. Shell has been an active acquirer. Examples over the period include: • i. The significant stake acquired in the US solar developer, Silicon Ranch Corporation (Jan 2018) ii. The entry into the UK retail market via the acquisition of First Utility (Dec 2017) iii. The acquisition of the Dutch venture-backed company, NewMotion, the pan-European network of electric vehicle charging stations (Oct 2017) iv. The acquisition of Texas-based MP2 Energy, a leader in Demand Response Solutions (formally closed in September 2017) 154
  • 155. 155
  • 156. On the Power (electricity) system and market 156
  • 157. Shells van Beurden: “Re-organizing to Fit” 157
  • 158. 158
  • 159. BP Looney New Strategy: “Integrated Energy” 159
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  • 161. 161
  • 162. 162
  • 163. 163
  • 164. 164
  • 165. 165
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  • 167. 167
  • 168. 168
  • 169. BP integrated energy: “3 x 3” 169
  • 170. New Realities- Post Covid-19 (1) 170
  • 171. New Realities- Post Covid-19 (2) 171
  • 172. New (institutionalised) possibilities thinking post-Covid-19: “Build Back Better” How do we look at our earlier options, now? What is going well? What is “under pressure or just an illusion”? What can we easily change- in our approach and tone of voice? What key (sector, market, strategic possibilities) options, choices and (integrated) decisions can we make- better, post-Covid-19? What is (urgently) needed in order to succeed in what we are planning and aiming to deliver- in change? What are we planning for to deliver now and in 2030? 172
  • 173. A little conceptual.. (adding it all together)
  • 174. 174
  • 175. From WEF/ Accenture: The energy architecture is an integrated physical system of energy sources, carriers and demand sectors shaped by government, industry and civil society. The energy architecture on location is a reflection of the socio-political, economic, ecological and business philosophies, leadership and interests exercised on location. The energy architecture in a country, region or global community is (ideally) to serve (the rise of, establishment of) thriving sustainable societies- making energy available, affordable and sustainable to all: balancing economic interests with that of society and nature. Here and there. Now and in the future. 175 Energy Architecture
  • 176.
  • 177. Re-inventing Strategies/Relationships: “X-Factor of Integration, Transition and Transformation” Renewables Energy Efficiency Product Re-designs Energy Architectures Re-designs Fossil 1 2 3 4 5
  • 178. Princeton Wedges Grow and Safe Energy Change Energy Supply Source Change Energy Architecture Change Products (Cars, Homes) & Industry Designs Change Energy- Economy and Direction of Lifestyles Change Leadership Paradigm 178
  • 179. 179
  • 181. Levels of Change •Level 1 •Level 2 •Level 3 •Level 4 • Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying • Full Integration of Renewables (clean-tech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital control structures • Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate business models- also in international trade • Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness
  • 182. The way it works: Country Categories and Markets (1) •OECD- USA, Canada, Europe, Japan, Australia •(Richer, Resource based) OPEC/ GasPec •China Inc., India Inc. •Developing (without Resources) •Developing (with Resources) •Least developed. Poor.
  • 183. The way it works (2) : A New Formula in Business and Trade
  • 184. Mainstream •Governments (1) •Energy Corporates and Incumbents (2) •New Entrants/ Innovators/ Change-makers (3) •Non-Energy Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4) 1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system Bottoms-up •Community, Start-up Community (5) The way it works (3): New Forms of Collaborations
  • 185. The way it may work (4): Finding the Rubik-Cube Combination “Organizational Forms and Formats” - that works “Horizontal and Vertical Integration” 185 e.g. Country Categories, Geographies & Markets Business Formula- and Cross-Sectors Forms of Collaboration ● Strengthening human well-being and capabilities; ● Shifting towards sustainable and just economies; ● Building sustainable food systems and healthy nutrition patterns; ● Achieving energy decarbonization and universal access to energy; ● Promoting sustainable urban and peri-urban development; and ● Securing the global environmental commons.
  • 186.
  • 187. 187 UN Global Compact- 20 years: It needs your HELP!
  • 188. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs 188
  • 189. 189
  • 190. 190
  • 191. 191
  • 192. 192
  • 193.
  • 194. 194
  • 195. 195
  • 196. WEC 2022: Energy for Humanity- St Petersburg 196
  • 197. 197 countries need to change
  • 198. “Every Energy Company and Every Energy Architecture in this world can be improved upon in order to raise the availability, affordability and sustainability of energy to all”.- Adriaan Kamp, -2015 Every Country and Every Organization in this World can be improved upon in order to raise the human, social, economic and sustainable development to all- Adriaan Kamp- 2015 198
  • 199. "The invitation we have today is to see and to blend our deep consciousness and care for Humanity and Ecology with our more mainstream energy economics and politics- at play" Let us direct our work and collective efforts towards attaining “Energy Free of Concerns & Societies Free of Concerns” Here and There. Now and Tomorrow Adriaan Kamp 199
  • 201. Contents of Session 1. Year 2015-2018: Global Change, Energies Transition, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 2. Organising ourselves for success: Energy Free of Concerns 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
  • 202. One World. Many Needs. Many Views
  • 203. Founding partners “In Leadership- we are all students for life” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 204. Leadership Levels •Managing Yourself •Managing Others •Managing complex change & •Managing communities & multi-stakeholders change
  • 205. Managing yourself Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 206. Founding partners “Only good can come from good” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 207. How much do you know about (your) self? Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 208. What happy people know Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 210. The answer to Hate, Greed, Social Injustice is Dignity (Agape) and Peace 210
  • 211. Founding partners “Manage others as you would like to be managed yourself” (golden rule) Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 212. Managing innovation & change- Internal/ External Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 213. Founding partners “The art of making things Better” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 214. 214
  • 215. Sources of Innovation • Big- Bets • 1001-Nights, Kaizen/Takumi • From Idea to Business (Gamechangers)
  • 217. Napoleon’s Six Winning Principles, and Leading in the Front • EXACTITUDE awareness, research and continuous planning • SPEED reducing resistance, increasing urgency, and providing focus • FLEXIBILITY building teams that are adaptable, empowered and unified • SIMPLICITY clear, simple objectives, messages, and processes • CHARACTER integrity, calmness, and responsibility • MORAL FORCE providing order, purpose, recognition and rewards Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 218. Kelly Johnson’s Skunk Work Rules Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 219. Styles Differs- too. Two trillion dollar club successes 219
  • 221. UPSTREAM OFFSHORE PLATFORM OIL SANDS Bitumen DOWNSTREAM Feedstock Synthetic crude oil Fuels, lubricants and speciality products including Bitumen and liquefied petroleum gas UPGRADER PLANT Oil REFINERY Gas LNG LIQUEFICATION PLANT GAS TO LIQUIDS PLANT BIOFUELS PLANT BIOFUELS PLANT WIND TURBINES Energy for industrial and domestic use LNG REGASIFICATION TERMINAL POWER STATION ONSHORE PRODUCTION FACILITY Gas Oil CHEMICAL PLANT Petrochemicals used for plastics, Coatings and detergents Global Oil & Gas businesses
  • 222. 222
  • 223. On the Power (electricity) system and market 223
  • 224. 224 We cannot save the Planet (Climate, Nature), if we cannot save the People (Economy, Social Justice). The People cannot be saved, if the Planet (Nature) is broken, at risk or fails (e.g. pollution, resource scarcities, climate risks). We better first solve (our problems), before we can make true progress and change”
  • 225. Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved “”Resistance to change falls when the benefits are made clear Resistance to change falls when the Story feels Right (“The Star” is Chosen “Right”) We cannot “run” ourselves into Sustainability. Slow down and walk in more beauty.
  • 226. Responsible (& Situational) Leadership Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 228. 228
  • 229. 229
  • 230. Servant Leadership •Compassionate love •Authenticity •Humbleness •Empowerment •Provide direction •Stewardship Here’s the essence of the gospel of Greenleaf. First and foremost, truly great managers want to serve the people they lead. They do this by supporting them rather than dictating to them, and by assigning top priority to employee well-being. Deceptively simple and deeply profound
  • 232. Can We Listen before Change?
  • 233. Ernest Gundling: Understanding Cultures and Relationships. The way it works Energy For One World- 2017, All Rights Reserved
  • 234. Hofstede: Cultures and Organizations. The way it works 234 The Way it Works for a System Rethink World View Cultures Institutions Our Leadership Ways
  • 235. How the World Thinks 235
  • 236. Core Values Cultural Dimensions Global People Skills CONSCIOUS UNCONSCIOUS
  • 237. 237 1. Sustainable Development- a new kind of Globalization (2016) 2. Sustainable Humanity (2012) 3. We can no longer manage decency (2018) 4. Aga Khan University Special Lecture Series: Can we find a shared global ethics for the 21st century? (2020) “Leading Global Decency”
  • 238. 238
  • 239. A practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Our Leadership. Energy For One World Adriaan Kamp (Founder) Skype: Adriaan.Kamp TelCall Direct line (Netherlands): 0031-614939194 E-Mail: adriaankamp@energyforoneworld.com www.EnergyForOneWorld.com
  • 240. APPENDIX (“How it was yesterday”) 240
  • 241. New Possibility Thinking (1)- Mission Innovation
  • 242. New Possibility Thinking (2)- Large, Larger, Largest Solar Farms (Example First Solar) 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr 5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr 3500 hectares 160,000 homes 1,5 Bn USD 550 MW 8 million panels
  • 243. New Possibility Thinking (3)- Large, Larger, Largest Offshore Wind Farm’s (Examples only) 4 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr 5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr An offshore area of 100km2 175 wind turbines Two offshore substations Nearly 450km of offshore cabling One onshore substation 630MW of electricity Enough power for nearly half a million homes
  • 244. New Possibility Thinking (4)- Solar City, Tesla Battery and E-drive: A New Value Proposition
  • 245. New Possibility Thinking (5)- Car-manufacturer, Carlos Ghosn Electric Vehicles sales are in direct correlation with the number and amount of charging stations installed in a city, region or nation. It's a public-private partnership. It's a matter of trust. It's a matter of convenience. But it surely the way to go into our Future. (Carlos doesnot believe in fuel-celled LPV's. He is truly committed to the electrification of self-driving and navigating new car concepts)
  • 247. Uber
  • 248. New Possibility Thinking (6)- Tony Seba- RethinkX (TaaS) study on personal mobility 248 TaaS= Transport as a Service
  • 249. ..But with a possible rare earth metal (mining) scarcity.. Cobalt 249
  • 250. New Possibility Thinking(7)Smart Cities The vision of “Smart Cities” is the urban center of the future, made safe, secure environmentally green, and efficient because all structures - whether for power, water, transportation, etc. are designed, constructed, and maintained making use of advanced, integrated materials, sensors, electronics, and networks which are interfaced with computerized systems comprised of databases, tracking, and decision-making algorithms. - U.S. Dept. of Energy, “The Vision of a Smart City”, 2000 Examples of New, Smart or Sustainable Cities: • C40 – Vancouver, Oslo, New York, etc. • Masdar, Abu Dhabi, • New Songho City, South Korea, • Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India • King Abdullah + Economic Cities Saudi Arabia • e.g. China Tianjin Development •PM Modi’s 100 smart cities •King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia
  • 251. New Possibility Thinking (8) Better Housing Architecture- Zero, Zero-Plus and more 5/25/2018
  • 252. New Possibility Thinking (9): RE-100 Group
  • 253. New Possibility Thinking (10): Energy Project Finance
  • 254. New Possibility Thinking (11) Finance, Banks and Insurers
  • 255. IRENA’s 2017 Annual Renewable Capacity Statistics 255 2008 1 TW 2016 2 TW
  • 256. “The way” we are and can be. 256
  • 257. The Economy: Do we Build Back Better? 257