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Emerging
  Cityscapes
A Foresight Framework of Emerging Trends and Issues in Design, Technology,
            and Social Evolution Impacting the Future of the City


                               Kedge
                          www.kedgelabs.com
Foresight Tools

•   Emerging Driver and Trend Identification, Clustering, and
    Implications

•   Backcasting

•   Futures Wheels

•   Impact/Probability Matrix

•   Natural Growth Curve Mapping

•   Scenario Development (Narrative Building and Alternative
    Storytelling for Robust Strategy)
Eight (Connected) Emerging Trends
           That Will Shape the Future of the City

1. Social Architecture & Social Innovation
2. Local Economies
3. City, Citizen, and Place 2.0

4. Sustainable Transportation

5. Disruptive Technology
6. Reframing the Concept of
     Education & Work
7. Holistic Infrastructures:Human and Bio-Centric Architecture

8. Cities as the Savior of Humanity
What Makes a
       Creative City?
   Its Social Architecture!
Brand Identity: Authenticity and Clarity?
    Civic & Corporate Institutions?
    Resilience & Adaptive Change?
        Integration & Inclusion?
           Transdisciplinarity?

                   http://
     architectureboston.wordpress.com/
        2009/08/19/comparecontrast/
To Do This, We Must Understand
       Large-Scale Adaptive Systems


     Chaos
Complexity/Change
    Growth
  Consolidation
Intentional Evolution & Intentional Cities
     Intentional
  (biomimicry &
    biodiversity)
     design for
        better
  communities -
     while also
  converting our
  “consumptive
 landscapes” to
    “productive
   landscapes.”
Integral Evolution and Integral Cities
Place 2.0: The Convergent and Networked City
FoodPrintNYC
BK FarmYards
   EcoCities
 Informatics...

  “Cities As
 Answer to
   Grand
 Challenges”
The Importance of “Place”: http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?
command=printArticleBasic&taxonomyName=Government&articleId=9133040&taxonomyId=13
Local Economics: http://www.fastcompany.com/blog/jamais-cascio/open-future/resilience; http://www.openthefuture.com/2009/03/
one_model_for_a_new_world_econ.html; http://evangineer.agoraworx.com/blog/2009-02-17-local-community-economics-for-security-in-an-unstable-world.html
Social Capital and Collaborative Networks: http://orgnet.com/IHJour_XII_No5_p38_42.pdf; http://socialentrepreneurship.change.org/blog/view/
web_30_and_the_emergence_of_creative_community_hubs
Adaptive Change Over Resilience: http://vinay.howtolivewiki.com/blog/global/beyond-resilience-visionary-adaptation-137
Building “Place” Through Public Dialogue and Conversation: http://www.cooltownstudios.com/site/how-facebook-can-help-build-better-places/;
http://creativesdc.ning.com
Geography of Buzz: http://www.nytimes.com/glogin?URI=http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/07/arts/design/
07buzz.html&OQ=_rQ3D3Q26hp&OP=581ea877Q2F,Q60Q51E,4Q7EGNQ5BQ7EQ7EQ20i,iQ5DQ5DQ2A,Q5D-,Q5DD,Q26Q5BQ20N,
4Q51NQ5EYw,Q5DDEl33qPQ20xH
Local and Resilient Futures: http://www.chelseagreen.com/bookstore/item/the_transition_timeline:paperback#

Open Source Education: http://www.futureofed.org

Disruptive Technologies: http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/City-Of-San-Jose-California-1024732.htm; http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/
9133040/City_2.0_Using_tech_building_blocks_in_tomorrow_s_urban_centers

Data Shadows: http://radar.oreilly.com/2009/04/the-future-of-our-cities-open.html

Transportation 2.0: http://www.economist.com/science/tq/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13725743

Is Your City Good For Your Physical and Emotional Health? http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009949.html; http://www.sciencedaily.com/
releases/2009/04/090414153538.htm

Informatics - Meshing Software: http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009707.html; http://www.situatedtechnologies.net
Redundancy and Ecocities: http://thewhereblog.blogspot.com/2009/04/black-swans-and-redundant-cities.html; http://www.pembaservesblog.com/2009/05/
ecocities-cities-can-save-earth.html

Reframing: http://creativelythriving.com/?p=432; http://blog.wirearchy.com/2009/04/23/revisiting-on-the-ongoing-emergence-of-new-organizational-structure-and-
dynamics/; http://www.wired.com/culture/design/magazine/17-04/pl_design#

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Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

  • 1. Emerging Cityscapes A Foresight Framework of Emerging Trends and Issues in Design, Technology, and Social Evolution Impacting the Future of the City Kedge www.kedgelabs.com
  • 2. Foresight Tools • Emerging Driver and Trend Identification, Clustering, and Implications • Backcasting • Futures Wheels • Impact/Probability Matrix • Natural Growth Curve Mapping • Scenario Development (Narrative Building and Alternative Storytelling for Robust Strategy)
  • 3. Eight (Connected) Emerging Trends That Will Shape the Future of the City 1. Social Architecture & Social Innovation 2. Local Economies 3. City, Citizen, and Place 2.0 4. Sustainable Transportation 5. Disruptive Technology 6. Reframing the Concept of Education & Work 7. Holistic Infrastructures:Human and Bio-Centric Architecture 8. Cities as the Savior of Humanity
  • 4. What Makes a Creative City? Its Social Architecture! Brand Identity: Authenticity and Clarity? Civic & Corporate Institutions? Resilience & Adaptive Change? Integration & Inclusion? Transdisciplinarity? http:// architectureboston.wordpress.com/ 2009/08/19/comparecontrast/
  • 5. To Do This, We Must Understand Large-Scale Adaptive Systems Chaos Complexity/Change Growth Consolidation
  • 6. Intentional Evolution & Intentional Cities Intentional (biomimicry & biodiversity) design for better communities - while also converting our “consumptive landscapes” to “productive landscapes.”
  • 7. Integral Evolution and Integral Cities
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  • 14. Place 2.0: The Convergent and Networked City
  • 15. FoodPrintNYC BK FarmYards EcoCities Informatics... “Cities As Answer to Grand Challenges”
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  • 17. The Importance of “Place”: http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do? command=printArticleBasic&taxonomyName=Government&articleId=9133040&taxonomyId=13 Local Economics: http://www.fastcompany.com/blog/jamais-cascio/open-future/resilience; http://www.openthefuture.com/2009/03/ one_model_for_a_new_world_econ.html; http://evangineer.agoraworx.com/blog/2009-02-17-local-community-economics-for-security-in-an-unstable-world.html Social Capital and Collaborative Networks: http://orgnet.com/IHJour_XII_No5_p38_42.pdf; http://socialentrepreneurship.change.org/blog/view/ web_30_and_the_emergence_of_creative_community_hubs Adaptive Change Over Resilience: http://vinay.howtolivewiki.com/blog/global/beyond-resilience-visionary-adaptation-137 Building “Place” Through Public Dialogue and Conversation: http://www.cooltownstudios.com/site/how-facebook-can-help-build-better-places/; http://creativesdc.ning.com Geography of Buzz: http://www.nytimes.com/glogin?URI=http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/07/arts/design/ 07buzz.html&OQ=_rQ3D3Q26hp&OP=581ea877Q2F,Q60Q51E,4Q7EGNQ5BQ7EQ7EQ20i,iQ5DQ5DQ2A,Q5D-,Q5DD,Q26Q5BQ20N, 4Q51NQ5EYw,Q5DDEl33qPQ20xH Local and Resilient Futures: http://www.chelseagreen.com/bookstore/item/the_transition_timeline:paperback# Open Source Education: http://www.futureofed.org Disruptive Technologies: http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/City-Of-San-Jose-California-1024732.htm; http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/ 9133040/City_2.0_Using_tech_building_blocks_in_tomorrow_s_urban_centers Data Shadows: http://radar.oreilly.com/2009/04/the-future-of-our-cities-open.html Transportation 2.0: http://www.economist.com/science/tq/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13725743 Is Your City Good For Your Physical and Emotional Health? http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009949.html; http://www.sciencedaily.com/ releases/2009/04/090414153538.htm Informatics - Meshing Software: http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009707.html; http://www.situatedtechnologies.net Redundancy and Ecocities: http://thewhereblog.blogspot.com/2009/04/black-swans-and-redundant-cities.html; http://www.pembaservesblog.com/2009/05/ ecocities-cities-can-save-earth.html Reframing: http://creativelythriving.com/?p=432; http://blog.wirearchy.com/2009/04/23/revisiting-on-the-ongoing-emergence-of-new-organizational-structure-and- dynamics/; http://www.wired.com/culture/design/magazine/17-04/pl_design#