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Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

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Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

  1. 1. Emerging CityscapesA Foresight Framework of Emerging Trends and Issues in Design, Technology, and Social Evolution Impacting the Future of the City Kedge www.kedgelabs.com
  2. 2. Foresight Tools• Emerging Driver and Trend Identification, Clustering, and Implications• Backcasting• Futures Wheels• Impact/Probability Matrix• Natural Growth Curve Mapping• Scenario Development (Narrative Building and Alternative Storytelling for Robust Strategy)
  3. 3. Eight (Connected) Emerging Trends That Will Shape the Future of the City1. Social Architecture & Social Innovation2. Local Economies3. City, Citizen, and Place 2.04. Sustainable Transportation5. Disruptive Technology6. Reframing the Concept of Education & Work7. Holistic Infrastructures:Human and Bio-Centric Architecture8. Cities as the Savior of Humanity
  4. 4. What Makes a Creative City? Its Social Architecture!Brand Identity: Authenticity and Clarity? Civic & Corporate Institutions? Resilience & Adaptive Change? Integration & Inclusion? Transdisciplinarity? http:// architectureboston.wordpress.com/ 2009/08/19/comparecontrast/
  5. 5. To Do This, We Must Understand Large-Scale Adaptive Systems ChaosComplexity/Change Growth Consolidation
  6. 6. Intentional Evolution & Intentional Cities Intentional (biomimicry & biodiversity) design for better communities - while also converting our “consumptive landscapes” to “productive landscapes.”
  7. 7. Integral Evolution and Integral Cities
  8. 8. Place 2.0: The Convergent and Networked City
  9. 9. FoodPrintNYCBK FarmYards EcoCities Informatics... “Cities As Answer to Grand Challenges”
  10. 10. The Importance of “Place”: http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=printArticleBasic&taxonomyName=Government&articleId=9133040&taxonomyId=13Local Economics: http://www.fastcompany.com/blog/jamais-cascio/open-future/resilience; http://www.openthefuture.com/2009/03/one_model_for_a_new_world_econ.html; http://evangineer.agoraworx.com/blog/2009-02-17-local-community-economics-for-security-in-an-unstable-world.htmlSocial Capital and Collaborative Networks: http://orgnet.com/IHJour_XII_No5_p38_42.pdf; http://socialentrepreneurship.change.org/blog/view/web_30_and_the_emergence_of_creative_community_hubsAdaptive Change Over Resilience: http://vinay.howtolivewiki.com/blog/global/beyond-resilience-visionary-adaptation-137Building “Place” Through Public Dialogue and Conversation: http://www.cooltownstudios.com/site/how-facebook-can-help-build-better-places/;http://creativesdc.ning.comGeography of Buzz: http://www.nytimes.com/glogin?URI=http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/07/arts/design/07buzz.html&OQ=_rQ3D3Q26hp&OP=581ea877Q2F,Q60Q51E,4Q7EGNQ5BQ7EQ7EQ20i,iQ5DQ5DQ2A,Q5D-,Q5DD,Q26Q5BQ20N,4Q51NQ5EYw,Q5DDEl33qPQ20xHLocal and Resilient Futures: http://www.chelseagreen.com/bookstore/item/the_transition_timeline:paperback#Open Source Education: http://www.futureofed.orgDisruptive Technologies: http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/City-Of-San-Jose-California-1024732.htm; http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9133040/City_2.0_Using_tech_building_blocks_in_tomorrow_s_urban_centersData Shadows: http://radar.oreilly.com/2009/04/the-future-of-our-cities-open.htmlTransportation 2.0: http://www.economist.com/science/tq/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13725743Is Your City Good For Your Physical and Emotional Health? http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009949.html; http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/04/090414153538.htmInformatics - Meshing Software: http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009707.html; http://www.situatedtechnologies.netRedundancy and Ecocities: http://thewhereblog.blogspot.com/2009/04/black-swans-and-redundant-cities.html; http://www.pembaservesblog.com/2009/05/ecocities-cities-can-save-earth.htmlReframing: http://creativelythriving.com/?p=432; http://blog.wirearchy.com/2009/04/23/revisiting-on-the-ongoing-emergence-of-new-organizational-structure-and-dynamics/; http://www.wired.com/culture/design/magazine/17-04/pl_design#

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