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11- 1

                    Chapter Eleven
                    Two Sample Tests of Hypothesis
GOALS
When you have completed this chapter, you will be able to:

 ONE
 Understand the difference between dependent and independent samples.

TWO
Conduct a test of hypothesis about the difference between two independent
population means when both samples have 30 or more observations.

THREE
Conduct a test of hypothesis about the difference between two independent
population means when at least one sample has less than 30 observations.



McGraw-Hill/Irwin                           Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 2

                    Chapter Eleven             continued
            Two Sample Tests of Hypothesis
GOALS
When you have completed this chapter, you will be able to:


FOUR
Conduct a test of hypothesis about the mean difference between paired or
dependent observations.



FIVE
Conduct a test of hypothesis regarding the difference in two population
proportions.




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                               Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 3


         Comparing two populations
    We     wish to know whether the distribution
       of the differences in sample means has a
       mean of 0.

    If  both samples contain at least 30
       observations we use the z distribution as
       the test statistic.



McGraw-Hill/Irwin               Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 4


         Comparing two populations
 No assumptions about the shape of the
  populations are required.
 The samples are from independent populations.

 The formula for computing the value of z is:

                         X1 − X 2
                    z=
                          2   2
                         s1 s 2
                            +
                         n1 n2



McGraw-Hill/Irwin                   Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 5


         EXAMPLE 1

     Two cities, Bradford and Kane are separated only by the
     Conewango River. There is competition between the two
     cities. The local paper recently reported that the mean
     household income in Bradford is $38,000 with a standard
     deviation of $6,000 for a sample of 40 households. The same
     article reported the mean income in Kane is $35,000 with a
     standard deviation of $7,000 for a sample of 35 households.
     At the .01 significance level can we conclude the mean
     income in Bradford is more?




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                     Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 6


         EXAMPLE 1             continued

  Step      1: State the null and alternate hypotheses.
               H0: µB µK ; H1: µB > µK
Step  2: State the level of significance. The .01
significance level is stated in the problem.
Step 3: Find the appropriate test statistic. Because both

samples are more than 30, we can use z as the test statistic.




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                          Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 7


         Example 1 continued
  Step      4: State the decision rule.
               The null hypothesis is rejected if z is greater than
                2.33.

Step       5: Compute the value of z and make a decision.


                           $38,000 − $35,000
                     z=                                     = 1.98
                          ($6,000) 2 ($7,000) 2
                                    +
                              40         35

McGraw-Hill/Irwin                       Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 8


         Example 1 continued
       The decision is to not reject the null hypothesis.
       We cannot conclude that the mean household
       income in Bradford is larger.



       The p-value is:

                P(z > 1.98) = .5000 - .4761 = .0239



McGraw-Hill/Irwin                      Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 9


         Small Sample Tests of Means
         The t distribution is used as the test statistic if one
          or more of the samples have less than 30
          observations.
    The  required assumptions are:
          1.     Both populations must follow the
    normal distribution.
          2.     The populations must have equal
    standard deviations.
          3.     The samples are from independent
    populations.

McGraw-Hill/Irwin                       Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 10


         Small sample test of means continued
  Finding     the value of the test statistic requires two steps.
    1.      Pool the sample standard deviations.
                                     2              2
                           (n1 − 1) s1 + (n2 − 1) s 2
                      s2 =
                       p
                                 n1 + n2 − 2

  Determine the value of t from the following formula.



                                   X1 − X 2
                           t=
                                  2  1  1 
                                 sp
                                       +  
                                     n1 n2 
McGraw-Hill/Irwin                             Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 11


         EXAMPLE 2
       A recent EPA study compared the highway fuel
       economy of domestic and imported passenger
       cars. A sample of 15 domestic cars revealed a
       mean of 33.7 mpg with a standard deviation of
       2.4 mpg. A sample of 12 imported cars
       revealed a mean of 35.7 mpg with a standard
       deviation of 3.9. At the .05 significance level
       can the EPA conclude that the mpg is higher on
       the imported cars?



McGraw-Hill/Irwin                  Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 12


         Example 2       continued


Step         1: State the null and alternate hypotheses.
               H0: µD µI ; H1: µD < µI
  Step  2: State the level of significance.The .05
  significance level is stated in the problem.
  Step 3: Find the appropriate test statistic. Both

  samples are less than 30, so we use the t
  distribution.


McGraw-Hill/Irwin                    Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 13


         EXAMPLE 2                       continued



  Step 4: The decision rule is to reject H0 if t<-1.708.
                    There are 25 degrees of freedom.


    Step 5: We compute the pooled variance:
                                2                  2
                     (n1 − 1)( s1 ) + (n 2 − 1)( s 2 )
                s2 =
                 p
                             n1 + n 2 − 2
                      (15 − 1)(2.4) 2 + (12 − 1)(3.9) 2
                    =                                   = 9.918
                                15 + 12 − 2

McGraw-Hill/Irwin                                    Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 14


         Example 2 continued
    We compute the value of t as follows.
                           X 1 −X 2
                    t =
                             1     1 
                          s2 
                           p     +    
                              n1   n2 
                                       
                           33.7 −35.7
                     =                     =− .640
                                             1
                               1   1 
                          8.312  +   
                               15 12 


    H0 is not rejected. There is insufficient sample evidence
    to claim a higher mpg on the imported cars.



McGraw-Hill/Irwin                           Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Hypothesis Testing Involving Paired
                                                                                         11- 15



         Observations
  Independent    samples are samples that are not
    related in any way.
Dependent     samples are samples that are paired or
related in some fashion. For example:
    If you wished to buy a car you would look at the

    same car at two (or more) different dealerships and
    compare the prices.
    If you wished to measure the effectiveness of a new

    diet you would weigh the dieters at the start and at the
    finish of the program.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin                  Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Hypothesis Testing Involving Paired
                                                                                        11- 16



         Observations
 Use the following test when the samples are dependent:
                          d
                    t=
                       sd / n
  where   d is the mean of the differences
  s is the standard deviation of the differences
    d
  n is the number of pairs (differences)




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                 Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 17


         EXAMPLE 3
  An   independent testing agency is comparing the daily
    rental cost for renting a compact car from Hertz and
    Avis. A random sample of eight cities revealed the
    following information. At the .05 significance level
    can the testing agency conclude that there is a
    difference in the rental charged?




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                 Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 18


         EXAMPLE 3    continued



        City        Hertz ($)                         Avis ($)
      Atlanta         42                                40
      Chicago         56                                52
     Cleveland        45                                43
      Denver          48                                48
     Honolulu         37                                32
    Kansas City       45                                48
          Miami        41                                     39
          Seattle      46                                     50


McGraw-Hill/Irwin                 Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 19


         EXAMPLE 3             continued


 Step        1: H0 : µd = 0       H1: µd ≠ 0


Step 2: H0 is rejected if t < -2.365 or t > 2.365.
 We use the t distribution with 7 degrees of
freedom.




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                          Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 20


         Example 3 continued
 City               Hertz   Avis   d    d2
 Atlanta            42      40     2    4
 Chicago            56      52     4    16
 Cleveland          45      43     2    4
 Denver             48      48     0    0
 Honolulu           37      32     5    25
 Kansas City        45      48     -3   9
 Miami              41      39     2    4
 Seattle            46      50     -4   16




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                        Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 21


         Example 3 continued
                          Σd 8.0
                       d=    =   = 1.00
                           n   8


                           Σd 2 −
                                  ( Σd ) 2     78 −
                                                    82
                    sd =                n    =       8 = 3.1623
                                n −1            8−1


                                d              1.00
                     t=                 =                      = 0.894
                           sd       n        3.1623       8




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                                  Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 22


         Example 3 continued
 Step   3: Because 0.894 is less than the critical
    value, do not reject the null hypothesis. There is
    no difference in the mean amount charged by
    Hertz and Avis.




McGraw-Hill/Irwin              Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 23


         Two Sample Tests of Proportions
  We  investigate whether two samples came from
    populations with an equal proportion of successes.

  The      two samples are pooled using the following formula.
                             X1 + X 2
                        pc =
                             n1 + n2


    where X1 and X2 refer to the number of successes in the
    respective samples of n1 and n2.

McGraw-Hill/Irwin                       Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 24


         Two Sample Tests of Proportions continued
 The    value of the test statistic is computed from
    the following formula.

                                p1 − p 2
                    z=
                         pc (1 − pc ) pc (1 − pc )
                                     +
                              n1          n2




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                          Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 25


         Example 4
 Are    unmarried workers more likely to be absent
    from work than married workers? A sample of
    250 married workers showed 22 missed more
    than 5 days last year, while a sample of 300
    unmarried workers showed 35 missed more than
    five days. Use a .05 significance level.




McGraw-Hill/Irwin             Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 26


         Example 4       continued


 The        null and the alternate hypothesis are:

     H0: : U U      M          H1: : U > >M


  The null hypothesis is rejected if the computed
  value of z is greater than 1.65.




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                     Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 27


         Example 4 continued
 The        pooled proportion is
                                    35 + 22
                              pc =
                                   300 + 250


     The value of the teat statistic is
                                     35   22
                                        −
                    z=              300 250              = 1.10
                         .1036(1 −.1036) .1036(1 −.1036)
                                        +
                               300             250




McGraw-Hill/Irwin                            Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
11- 28


         Example 4 continued
 The   null hypothesis is not rejected. We cannot
    conclude that a higher proportion of unmarried
    workers miss more days in a year than the
    married workers.

The        p-value is:

                    P(z > 1.10) = .5000 - .3643 = .1457


McGraw-Hill/Irwin                    Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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MTH120_Chapter11

  • 1. 11- 1 Chapter Eleven Two Sample Tests of Hypothesis GOALS When you have completed this chapter, you will be able to: ONE Understand the difference between dependent and independent samples. TWO Conduct a test of hypothesis about the difference between two independent population means when both samples have 30 or more observations. THREE Conduct a test of hypothesis about the difference between two independent population means when at least one sample has less than 30 observations. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 2. 11- 2 Chapter Eleven continued Two Sample Tests of Hypothesis GOALS When you have completed this chapter, you will be able to: FOUR Conduct a test of hypothesis about the mean difference between paired or dependent observations. FIVE Conduct a test of hypothesis regarding the difference in two population proportions. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 3. 11- 3 Comparing two populations We wish to know whether the distribution of the differences in sample means has a mean of 0. If both samples contain at least 30 observations we use the z distribution as the test statistic. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 4. 11- 4 Comparing two populations No assumptions about the shape of the populations are required. The samples are from independent populations. The formula for computing the value of z is: X1 − X 2 z= 2 2 s1 s 2 + n1 n2 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 5. 11- 5 EXAMPLE 1 Two cities, Bradford and Kane are separated only by the Conewango River. There is competition between the two cities. The local paper recently reported that the mean household income in Bradford is $38,000 with a standard deviation of $6,000 for a sample of 40 households. The same article reported the mean income in Kane is $35,000 with a standard deviation of $7,000 for a sample of 35 households. At the .01 significance level can we conclude the mean income in Bradford is more? McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 6. 11- 6 EXAMPLE 1 continued  Step 1: State the null and alternate hypotheses. H0: µB µK ; H1: µB > µK Step 2: State the level of significance. The .01 significance level is stated in the problem. Step 3: Find the appropriate test statistic. Because both samples are more than 30, we can use z as the test statistic. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 7. 11- 7 Example 1 continued  Step 4: State the decision rule. The null hypothesis is rejected if z is greater than 2.33. Step 5: Compute the value of z and make a decision. $38,000 − $35,000 z= = 1.98 ($6,000) 2 ($7,000) 2 + 40 35 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 8. 11- 8 Example 1 continued The decision is to not reject the null hypothesis. We cannot conclude that the mean household income in Bradford is larger. The p-value is: P(z > 1.98) = .5000 - .4761 = .0239 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 9. 11- 9 Small Sample Tests of Means  The t distribution is used as the test statistic if one or more of the samples have less than 30 observations. The required assumptions are: 1. Both populations must follow the normal distribution. 2. The populations must have equal standard deviations. 3. The samples are from independent populations. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 10. 11- 10 Small sample test of means continued  Finding the value of the test statistic requires two steps. 1. Pool the sample standard deviations. 2 2 (n1 − 1) s1 + (n2 − 1) s 2 s2 = p n1 + n2 − 2 Determine the value of t from the following formula. X1 − X 2 t= 2 1 1  sp  +    n1 n2  McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 11. 11- 11 EXAMPLE 2 A recent EPA study compared the highway fuel economy of domestic and imported passenger cars. A sample of 15 domestic cars revealed a mean of 33.7 mpg with a standard deviation of 2.4 mpg. A sample of 12 imported cars revealed a mean of 35.7 mpg with a standard deviation of 3.9. At the .05 significance level can the EPA conclude that the mpg is higher on the imported cars? McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 12. 11- 12 Example 2 continued Step 1: State the null and alternate hypotheses. H0: µD µI ; H1: µD < µI Step 2: State the level of significance.The .05 significance level is stated in the problem. Step 3: Find the appropriate test statistic. Both samples are less than 30, so we use the t distribution. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 13. 11- 13 EXAMPLE 2 continued Step 4: The decision rule is to reject H0 if t<-1.708. There are 25 degrees of freedom. Step 5: We compute the pooled variance: 2 2 (n1 − 1)( s1 ) + (n 2 − 1)( s 2 ) s2 = p n1 + n 2 − 2 (15 − 1)(2.4) 2 + (12 − 1)(3.9) 2 = = 9.918 15 + 12 − 2 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 14. 11- 14 Example 2 continued We compute the value of t as follows. X 1 −X 2 t = 1 1  s2  p +   n1 n2   33.7 −35.7 = =− .640 1 1 1  8.312 +  15 12  H0 is not rejected. There is insufficient sample evidence to claim a higher mpg on the imported cars. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 15. Hypothesis Testing Involving Paired 11- 15 Observations  Independent samples are samples that are not related in any way. Dependent samples are samples that are paired or related in some fashion. For example: If you wished to buy a car you would look at the same car at two (or more) different dealerships and compare the prices. If you wished to measure the effectiveness of a new diet you would weigh the dieters at the start and at the finish of the program. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 16. Hypothesis Testing Involving Paired 11- 16 Observations Use the following test when the samples are dependent: d t= sd / n  where d is the mean of the differences  s is the standard deviation of the differences d  n is the number of pairs (differences) McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 17. 11- 17 EXAMPLE 3  An independent testing agency is comparing the daily rental cost for renting a compact car from Hertz and Avis. A random sample of eight cities revealed the following information. At the .05 significance level can the testing agency conclude that there is a difference in the rental charged? McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 18. 11- 18 EXAMPLE 3 continued City Hertz ($) Avis ($) Atlanta 42 40 Chicago 56 52 Cleveland 45 43 Denver 48 48 Honolulu 37 32 Kansas City 45 48 Miami 41 39 Seattle 46 50 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 19. 11- 19 EXAMPLE 3 continued Step 1: H0 : µd = 0 H1: µd ≠ 0 Step 2: H0 is rejected if t < -2.365 or t > 2.365. We use the t distribution with 7 degrees of freedom. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 20. 11- 20 Example 3 continued City Hertz Avis d d2 Atlanta 42 40 2 4 Chicago 56 52 4 16 Cleveland 45 43 2 4 Denver 48 48 0 0 Honolulu 37 32 5 25 Kansas City 45 48 -3 9 Miami 41 39 2 4 Seattle 46 50 -4 16 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 21. 11- 21 Example 3 continued Σd 8.0 d= = = 1.00 n 8 Σd 2 − ( Σd ) 2 78 − 82 sd = n = 8 = 3.1623 n −1 8−1 d 1.00 t= = = 0.894 sd n 3.1623 8 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 22. 11- 22 Example 3 continued Step 3: Because 0.894 is less than the critical value, do not reject the null hypothesis. There is no difference in the mean amount charged by Hertz and Avis. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 23. 11- 23 Two Sample Tests of Proportions  We investigate whether two samples came from populations with an equal proportion of successes.  The two samples are pooled using the following formula. X1 + X 2 pc = n1 + n2 where X1 and X2 refer to the number of successes in the respective samples of n1 and n2. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 24. 11- 24 Two Sample Tests of Proportions continued The value of the test statistic is computed from the following formula. p1 − p 2 z= pc (1 − pc ) pc (1 − pc ) + n1 n2 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 25. 11- 25 Example 4 Are unmarried workers more likely to be absent from work than married workers? A sample of 250 married workers showed 22 missed more than 5 days last year, while a sample of 300 unmarried workers showed 35 missed more than five days. Use a .05 significance level. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 26. 11- 26 Example 4 continued The null and the alternate hypothesis are: H0: : U U M H1: : U > >M The null hypothesis is rejected if the computed value of z is greater than 1.65. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 27. 11- 27 Example 4 continued The pooled proportion is 35 + 22 pc = 300 + 250 The value of the teat statistic is 35 22 − z= 300 250 = 1.10 .1036(1 −.1036) .1036(1 −.1036) + 300 250 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 28. 11- 28 Example 4 continued The null hypothesis is not rejected. We cannot conclude that a higher proportion of unmarried workers miss more days in a year than the married workers. The p-value is: P(z > 1.10) = .5000 - .3643 = .1457 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.