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Measuring and Monitoring
the Quality of Education
   Christopher Colclough
  University of Cambridge
What are we trying to measure?

 A good quality education encompasses:

• Cognitive development: reading, writing, numeracy
• Creative and emotional development and the
  promotion of attitudes and values necessary for effective
  life in the community


A good quality education carries personal and social benefits:


• better health, lower fertility, lower exposure to HIV/AIDS
• higher personal income
• stronger national growth
International learning assessments

PIRLS – reading literacy, 9-yr olds, 5 ldcs
TIMSS – maths/science, 9/13-yr olds, 9 ldcs
PISA – reading/math/sci, 15 yr-olds, OECD+
SACMEQ – reading/maths, grade 6, 14 SSA
UNESCO LLECE – lit/math, 16 LACs
PASEC – lit/maths, 6 Francophone SSA

110 countries in at least one study: 46 ldcs, but
  only at most 16 in any one assessment
Measuring Quantity is Insufficient


                                                % that has ever     % that    % that achieved   NER in primary
                                                   enrolled       survived to    minimum        for the period
Study                  Country         Cohort     (ages 6-14)       grade 5      mastery        before the test

SACMEQ                Malawi             100          91              31             7                69
(1995)                Mauritius          100          99              98            52                99
 Grade 6 Reading test Namibia            100          97              74            19                84
                      U. R.Tanzania      100          87              70            18                54

PIRLS (2001)           Colombia          100          98              60            27                87
Grade 4 Reading test   Morocco           100          99              77            59                81

 PASEC                 Burkina Faso      100          35              25            21                28
(mid 1990s)            Cameroon          100          88              45            33                73
 Grade 5 French test   Côte d’Ivoire     100          65              45            38                49
                       Guinea            100          48              32            21                36
                       Madagascar        100          78              31            20                63
                       Senegal           100          48              42            25                51
                       Togo              100          82              49            40                66

    Quantitative versus qualitative indicators of participation in primary schooling
Quality diagnosis: achievement tests

International assessments point to weak performance


 • Southern Africa: in 4 countries less than 10% and in 3
   others around one-third or less of tested grade 6
   students reach a ‘desirable level’ in reading

 • Francophone Africa: in 6 countries, between 14% and
   43% of grade 5 pupils have low achievement in French
   or mathematics

 • OECD countries: between 2% and 10% of 15-year-olds
   have serious deficiencies in literacy skills, whereas in
   middle and low-income countries, between 20% and
   50% do so
Literacy scores
                                Changes between Sacmeq 1 and 2
                          560

                                                                   Kenya
                          540
                                                                   Mauritius


                          520
Mean scores in literacy




                          500

                                                                    Average
                          480
                                                                     Zanzibar
                                                                  (U.R. Tanzania)
                          460
                                                                    Namibia
                          440                                      Zambia

                                                                   Malawi
                          420


                          400
                                    SACMEQ I 1995-1996   SACMEQ II 2000-2001
National Learning Assessments

• Subject oriented
• Assess achievement relative to intended
  curriculum
• Country studies doubled to 111, 1995-2006
• Over 90% focus on maths or language
• Results for 16 countries (mainly L.Am) mainly
  indicate improvement
Percentage of pupils meeting minimum
reading mastery levels,by highest and lowest
wealth asset score (1995/96)
National resources: finance and quality
  In low income countries, increasing spending has a
  positive impact on learners’ cognitive achievement

 • 6% of GNP recommended on education spending not
   reached in majority of countries


 • Education spending higher in rich countries (5.1% of
   GNP) than in systems where access and quality remain a
   top challenge (under 4% in Africa and East Asia/Pacific)


 • Spending increases in East Asia and Pacific and Latin
   American and Caribbean in late 1990s, but -24% in
   Philippines; -8% in Indonesia
A Paradox:
Test scores and changes in per pupil expenditures in OECD

 Country           Change in      Increase in     Increase in        Staff
                  mathematics    real spending   real GDP per    compensation
                  and science   per pupil, 1970- capita, 1970-      as % of
                    score,             94             94            current
                   1970-94                                       expenditure on
                                                                    primary
                                                                   education,
                                                                     1995

 Australia           -2.3           269.8            46.4              79
 New Zealand         -9.7           222.5            24.3             n.a.
 France              -6.6           211.6            60.7              79
 Italy                1.3           125.7            74.6              89
 Germany             -4.8           108.1            66.8              76
 Japan               -1.9           103.3           100.7              87
 United Kingdom      -8.2            76.7            58.3              70
 Belgium             -4.7            64.7             68               86
 Netherlands          1.7            36.3            52.9              78
 United States         0             33.1            70.5              80
 Sweden               4.3            28.5            35.1              56
National resources: finance and quality
                  Students in countries that invest more in education
                   tend to have better literacy skills. In high-income
                 states, the impact of additional resources is less clear

                                    600
  Average combined literacy score




                                    550
                                                                                 Rep. of Korea              JapanCanada
                                                                                               UK Finland Australia
                                                                                     Ireland                Sweden               Austria
                                    500                                  Czech Rep.                         FranceNorway
                                                                                                      Belgium                USA
                                                                         Hungary                 Germany              Denmark
                                                                     Poland              Spain                  Italy
                                                                            Greece           Portugal
                                    450


                                                  Mexico      Chile
                                    400
                                                                     Argentina
                                              Indonesia
                                                          Brazil
                                    350


                                                Peru
                                    300
                                          0        10 000          20 000    30 000    40 000    50 000     60 000    70 000    80 000     90 000

                                                                    Cumulative education expenditure per pupil (PPP US$)
Proxies for quality
 A wide range of evidence indicates that additional resources
improve education quality, particularly where they are scarce



Studies show that more resources for:
• low pupil-teacher ratios
• more and better textbooks
• time spent learning in school or at home
• teacher qualifications and experience
matter for quality
Other essentials that make the difference

• Curriculum: relevant, balanced with carefully defined aims

• Instructional time: few countries reach recommended
  850-1,000 hours/year

• Learning materials: strong impact on learning but small
  percentage of education spending goes to textbooks

• Language: Successful models start in mother tongue and
  make gradual transition to second or foreign language

• School environment: safety, health, sanitation for girls and
  boys, access for disabled
Impact of school organization and pupil
 characteristics achievement scores in five
Francophone African countries (mid-1990s)
How resources are used is
             important for quality

Research on the characteristics of effective schools highlights
          the importance of the following factors:


  • strong leadership
  • emphasis on learning basic skills
  • orderly and secure school environment
  • high expectations of pupil attainment
  • frequent assessment of progress
Quality proxies short-list

• P/T ratio – but skewness undermines mean
  value
• Repetition rate – but aut. prom policy
• % trained teachers – but definitions vary
• Expenditure variables – but incomplete data
• Learning outcomes – but cohort and
  curriculum problems and incomplete data
• Survival to grade 5 – best in short run?
Survival in school and PTR
Only one-third of students reach last grade of primary
    education where pupil/teacher ratios are high


      80

      70        Chad
                                          Mozambique
                            Malawi
      60
                                                 Ethiopia Cambodia
                                                             Bangladesh
      50                        Burkina Faso          Senegal
                 Madagascar
PTR




                                               Lesotho
      40                    Mauritania                  India Niger
                                Nicaragua         South Africa
      30                                Guatemala      Colombia
                                      Iraq                             Bolivia
      20
                                                                  Cuba
      10

       0
           30          40            50             60            70             80   90   100

                                          Survival to last grade (% )



      Primary education: pupil/teacher ratios and survival to the last grade, 2001
Survival rate and learning outcomes
Survival rate and learning outcomes at lower
               secondary level
End

Thank you

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  • 1. Measuring and Monitoring the Quality of Education Christopher Colclough University of Cambridge
  • 2. What are we trying to measure? A good quality education encompasses: • Cognitive development: reading, writing, numeracy • Creative and emotional development and the promotion of attitudes and values necessary for effective life in the community A good quality education carries personal and social benefits: • better health, lower fertility, lower exposure to HIV/AIDS • higher personal income • stronger national growth
  • 3. International learning assessments PIRLS – reading literacy, 9-yr olds, 5 ldcs TIMSS – maths/science, 9/13-yr olds, 9 ldcs PISA – reading/math/sci, 15 yr-olds, OECD+ SACMEQ – reading/maths, grade 6, 14 SSA UNESCO LLECE – lit/math, 16 LACs PASEC – lit/maths, 6 Francophone SSA 110 countries in at least one study: 46 ldcs, but only at most 16 in any one assessment
  • 4. Measuring Quantity is Insufficient % that has ever % that % that achieved NER in primary enrolled survived to minimum for the period Study Country Cohort (ages 6-14) grade 5 mastery before the test SACMEQ Malawi 100 91 31 7 69 (1995) Mauritius 100 99 98 52 99 Grade 6 Reading test Namibia 100 97 74 19 84 U. R.Tanzania 100 87 70 18 54 PIRLS (2001) Colombia 100 98 60 27 87 Grade 4 Reading test Morocco 100 99 77 59 81 PASEC Burkina Faso 100 35 25 21 28 (mid 1990s) Cameroon 100 88 45 33 73 Grade 5 French test Côte d’Ivoire 100 65 45 38 49 Guinea 100 48 32 21 36 Madagascar 100 78 31 20 63 Senegal 100 48 42 25 51 Togo 100 82 49 40 66 Quantitative versus qualitative indicators of participation in primary schooling
  • 5. Quality diagnosis: achievement tests International assessments point to weak performance • Southern Africa: in 4 countries less than 10% and in 3 others around one-third or less of tested grade 6 students reach a ‘desirable level’ in reading • Francophone Africa: in 6 countries, between 14% and 43% of grade 5 pupils have low achievement in French or mathematics • OECD countries: between 2% and 10% of 15-year-olds have serious deficiencies in literacy skills, whereas in middle and low-income countries, between 20% and 50% do so
  • 6. Literacy scores Changes between Sacmeq 1 and 2 560 Kenya 540 Mauritius 520 Mean scores in literacy 500 Average 480 Zanzibar (U.R. Tanzania) 460 Namibia 440 Zambia Malawi 420 400 SACMEQ I 1995-1996 SACMEQ II 2000-2001
  • 7. National Learning Assessments • Subject oriented • Assess achievement relative to intended curriculum • Country studies doubled to 111, 1995-2006 • Over 90% focus on maths or language • Results for 16 countries (mainly L.Am) mainly indicate improvement
  • 8. Percentage of pupils meeting minimum reading mastery levels,by highest and lowest wealth asset score (1995/96)
  • 9. National resources: finance and quality In low income countries, increasing spending has a positive impact on learners’ cognitive achievement • 6% of GNP recommended on education spending not reached in majority of countries • Education spending higher in rich countries (5.1% of GNP) than in systems where access and quality remain a top challenge (under 4% in Africa and East Asia/Pacific) • Spending increases in East Asia and Pacific and Latin American and Caribbean in late 1990s, but -24% in Philippines; -8% in Indonesia
  • 10. A Paradox: Test scores and changes in per pupil expenditures in OECD Country Change in Increase in Increase in Staff mathematics real spending real GDP per compensation and science per pupil, 1970- capita, 1970- as % of score, 94 94 current 1970-94 expenditure on primary education, 1995 Australia -2.3 269.8 46.4 79 New Zealand -9.7 222.5 24.3 n.a. France -6.6 211.6 60.7 79 Italy 1.3 125.7 74.6 89 Germany -4.8 108.1 66.8 76 Japan -1.9 103.3 100.7 87 United Kingdom -8.2 76.7 58.3 70 Belgium -4.7 64.7 68 86 Netherlands 1.7 36.3 52.9 78 United States 0 33.1 70.5 80 Sweden 4.3 28.5 35.1 56
  • 11. National resources: finance and quality Students in countries that invest more in education tend to have better literacy skills. In high-income states, the impact of additional resources is less clear 600 Average combined literacy score 550 Rep. of Korea JapanCanada UK Finland Australia Ireland Sweden Austria 500 Czech Rep. FranceNorway Belgium USA Hungary Germany Denmark Poland Spain Italy Greece Portugal 450 Mexico Chile 400 Argentina Indonesia Brazil 350 Peru 300 0 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000 70 000 80 000 90 000 Cumulative education expenditure per pupil (PPP US$)
  • 12. Proxies for quality A wide range of evidence indicates that additional resources improve education quality, particularly where they are scarce Studies show that more resources for: • low pupil-teacher ratios • more and better textbooks • time spent learning in school or at home • teacher qualifications and experience matter for quality
  • 13. Other essentials that make the difference • Curriculum: relevant, balanced with carefully defined aims • Instructional time: few countries reach recommended 850-1,000 hours/year • Learning materials: strong impact on learning but small percentage of education spending goes to textbooks • Language: Successful models start in mother tongue and make gradual transition to second or foreign language • School environment: safety, health, sanitation for girls and boys, access for disabled
  • 14. Impact of school organization and pupil characteristics achievement scores in five Francophone African countries (mid-1990s)
  • 15. How resources are used is important for quality Research on the characteristics of effective schools highlights the importance of the following factors: • strong leadership • emphasis on learning basic skills • orderly and secure school environment • high expectations of pupil attainment • frequent assessment of progress
  • 16. Quality proxies short-list • P/T ratio – but skewness undermines mean value • Repetition rate – but aut. prom policy • % trained teachers – but definitions vary • Expenditure variables – but incomplete data • Learning outcomes – but cohort and curriculum problems and incomplete data • Survival to grade 5 – best in short run?
  • 17. Survival in school and PTR Only one-third of students reach last grade of primary education where pupil/teacher ratios are high 80 70 Chad Mozambique Malawi 60 Ethiopia Cambodia Bangladesh 50 Burkina Faso Senegal Madagascar PTR Lesotho 40 Mauritania India Niger Nicaragua South Africa 30 Guatemala Colombia Iraq Bolivia 20 Cuba 10 0 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Survival to last grade (% ) Primary education: pupil/teacher ratios and survival to the last grade, 2001
  • 18. Survival rate and learning outcomes
  • 19. Survival rate and learning outcomes at lower secondary level

Notas do Editor

  1. Examples of these include respect for human rights, for the environment, for cultural diversity, equity and non discrimination
  2. International assessments (SACMEQ, PASEC AND PISA) implemented in these countries on a comparable basis and completed over the last decade. See Page 121-122 of the full report for details on these tests plus data on national achievement tests.
  3. ¨ Pupil teacher ratios : in most countries of Sub-Saharan Africa and South and West Asia, the number of pupils per teacher exceeds 40 in primary education and climbs over 60 in several cases, including Malawi, Mozambique,Central African Republic and Chad. See table 13A annex of report. In Arab States, Asia, LAC and SSA, disadvantaged areas tend to receive less trained teachers Teacher training: In some Sub-Saharan Africa countries, fewer than 60% of primary school teachers have received some pedagogical training. In Latin America, percentage of trained primary school teachers is under 78% in half the countries with data for 2001. Disadvantaged areas generally receive fewer trained teachers.
  4. Total public expenditure on education as % of GNP: 3.4% SSA, 3.3% South and West Asia; 4.6% LAC, 3.6% East Asia and the Pacific, figure not available for Arab States
  5. variation in literacy scores limited even as expenditure doubles from PPP US$40,000 to US$80,000
  6. Curriculum : Literacy is a critical tool for the mastery of other subjects and is one of the best predictors of longer-term achievement. It must be considered a priority area in efforts to improve the quality of basic education (pp. 146-149) Instructional time has decreased in Sub-Saharan Africa in grades 1-4 between 1980 in 2000 reflecting pressure to meet higher demand under tight resource constraints. Regional average in Arab States = 805 hours, 830 in Latin America, 817 in East Asia Pacific, 789 hours in South and West Asia, 866 in Sub-Saharan Africa. (pp.150-151) Language policy : 20% of world population speaks ‘local language’ as mother tongue. Zambia, Papua New Guinea, China, Cambodia among examples cited in the report (pages 155-158) Until recently, school construction projects in Sub-Saharan Africa rarely included latrines or water supply
  7. Note: Countries with a survival rate of less than 75% are labelled. See figure 3.26 in full report.