The document discusses the future of health and medicine. It begins by providing an overview of the history of medicine from ancient river valleys to modern times. It then examines concepts like the definition of health, current issues in global health including access to care, and challenges like rising rates of non-communicable diseases. The document suggests the future may involve continued growth, collapse, or a transformation towards more equitable, sustainable systems. Overall, it considers how studying history can inform the future of health and importance of envisioning multiple possible futures.
Best Rate (Patna ) Call Girls Patna ⟟ 8617370543 ⟟ High Class Call Girl In 5 ...
The Future of Health
1. The Future
of Health
Ramon Lorenzo Luis Rosa Guinto
President, Asian Medical Students’ Association-Philippines
Doctor of Medicine Class of 2012
University of the Philippines Manila
2. IDC History of Medicine
• Lectures, lectures, lectures!
• Papers, papers, papers!
• Visit at Co Tec Tai Museum
• Show and Tell!
• Motherly care from Doc Nina
3. History
• History – “Histoire” – Inquiry
• Kasaysayan – “Saysay” – Meaning
• Elements of History – 5W’s and 1H
• Methods of Studying History
• Perspectives in Looking at History
4. Saysay
ng Paggaling
Kasaysayan
ng Magagaling
A Brief History
of World Medicine
5. History of World Medicine
PRE-HIPPOCRATIC
(River-Valleys to Greece)
6. History of World Medicine
POST-HIPPOCRATIC
(Romans to
Middle Ages)
7. History of World Medicine
MODERN MEDICINE
(Renaissance to 21st Century)
23. Predict the future?
• Futurists cannot predict the future
• They invent preferred futures!
• Opening minds to possible futures
24. Seeing Futures – 3 Scales
• Future as it emerges
– The moment, present
– Tactics, flow
• Medium Range
– Strategy, planning
• Longer, imaginable, preferred vision
– What Could Be (Novelties)
– 50 years? 100 years?
25. Four Generic Alternative Futures
• Continued Growth
• Collapse
• Disciplined Society
• Transformational Society
34. The Constitution of WHO, 1948
“a state of complete physical, mental,
and social well-being and not merely
the absence of disease or infirmity
a fundamental human right”
35. Ottawa Charter for Health Promotion, 1986
“a resource for everyday life, not the
objective of living a positive concept
emphasizing social and personal
resources, as well as physical
capacities”
36. Alma Ata Declaration, 1978
“The Conference strongly reaffirms that
health is a fundamental human right”
“The existing gross inequality in the health
status of the people particularly between
developed and developing countries as
well as within countries is politically,
socially and economically unacceptable”
37. Rudolf Virchow
remedy for
epidemics was:
“prosperity, education
& liberty”
Doctor, Pathologist, Biologist, Politician: first to recognize
Leukemia, elucidated embolism, founded “Social Medicine”
founded discipline of Anthropology,
39. 70
Average Life
Expectancy of
Filipinos (in
years)
80,000
Filipino Babies dying
of PREVENTABLE
causes ANNUALLY
40. MATERNAL MORTALITY RATE
Per 100,000 Livebirths; 2002 UNDP Revision
Country 1985-2002
Philippines 170
Thailand 36
Malaysia 30
South Korea 20
Japan 8
Italy 7
Spain 0
More than 3,000 Filipina mothers die
UNNECESSARILY annually
41. LEB under 60 years
IMR over 90
MM over 150
LEB over 80 years
IMR less than 10
MM less than 15
42. Safe Water and Sanitation
“Sanitation generally refers to
the provision of facilities and
services for the safe disposal
of human urine and feces.”
(WHO)
43. Access to Health Care
23%
government
59%
out of
pocket
18% Shared-
Risk Schemes
Including
National Health
Insurance
(PhilHealth)
45. Provision of Essential Drugs
There are more
than 16,000
registered
medicine in the
country…
…but 70% of Filipinos have no access to
essential drugs.
WHO World Medicines Situation, 2004
57. The Future Walks
Among Us!
“Any useful idea about the future
must appear to be ridiculous!”
58. “The doctor of the future will
give no medicine, but will
interest his patients in the care
of the human frame, ind diet,
and in the cause and
prevention of disease.”
Thomas Alva Edison
60. Young People:
Partners for Health
Young People’s Recommendations for PHC
61.
62.
63.
64.
65.
66.
67.
68.
69.
70. Young People: Partners for Health
• We strongly reaffirm the definition of health as a
“complete state of physical, mental, and social
wellbeing and not merely the absence of disease
and infirmity.”
• For us, health equates to a complete state of
wellbeing through the achievement of human
rights.
• Young people need to be at the forefront of
primary health care efforts Young people [need
to] get involved as PARTNERS in primary health
care NOW and in the future.
71. The Power of Young People
“The youth are
the hope of the
Fatherland.”
Dr. Jose Rizal
National Hero of the Philippines
74. Take Home Lessons:
LU 3 and beyond
• Remember your history!
• Continue being aware of the present –
which is history a second later!
• Aim to be part of history!
75. “Vision without action is merely a dream.
Action without vision just passes time.
Vision WITH action
can change the world.”
Joel Barker