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Board Governance -
Enterprise Risk Management
Forum for Corporate Directors – Leadership in the
Board Room
UC Irvine – The Paul Merage School of Business
Executive MBA Program

July 18, 2009
Agenda


          Defining risk…
          A new risk paradigm
          ERM – a process point of view
          Drivers of ERM
          ERM roles and responsibilities
          A practical approach to ERM
            Enterprise risk assessment
            Risk management framework
             assessment


Page 2           UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
Defining risk…



          “A risk the threat that an event,
            action, or non-action could
         adversely affect an organization’s
           ability to achieve its business
             objectives and execute its
             strategies successfully.”


Page 3          UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
A new risk paradigm

Leading organizations expand their view of risks and enhance risk
management beyond the traditional compliance function.

         Keep Us Out of Trouble                                        Make Our Business Better


    Growing Number
    of Restatements
                       Bigger Fines
                      and Settlements             goal                    Coordinated
                                                                             Risk
                                                                           Activities
                                                                                           Enhanced
                                                                                           Business
                                                                                           Processes

         Expanding       Stiffer                                         Risk-Adjusted   Effective Use
         Regulation     Sanctions                                          Decisions     of Technology


      Catastrophic       Criminal                                        Improved Risk   Reduced Total
      Reputational     Indictments                                       Reporting and    Risk Spend
     Consequences                                                          Disclosure


     All too confusing and overdone…                                            Must do it…
      Except when we get in trouble                                      But how do we do it better?




Page 4                        UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) – a
process point of view
“Enterprise risk management is a




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board of directors, management,




                                                                                                         Co
                                                                                   O
                                                                          Internal Environment
and other personnel, applied in
strategy setting and across the                                              Objective Setting

enterprise, designed to identify                                           Event Identification
potential events that may affect the                                         Risk Assessment
entity, and manage risk to be
                                                                              Risk Response
within its risk appetite, to provide
reasonable assurance regarding                                               Control Activities

the achievement of entity                                           Information & Communication
objectives.”                                                                       Monitoring

Source: COSO – Enterprise Risk Management – Integrated Framework


Page 5                                UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
Drivers of ERM
Greater complexity of business environment
and decision making
Various internal and external drivers and developments require
companies to become more effective and efficient at managing risks.

                External Drivers                                         Internal Drivers
 Changing and expanding regulatory                     More dynamic / business models and
   requirements                                            changing technology requirements
 Instability of economic and market                    Greater distribution of business
   conditions                                              activities, locations, etc.
 Geo-political developments                            Increasing interdependencies on
 Increasing litigations and fines                         business relationships (alliances, JV)
                                                        Focus on preservation and leverage of
 Increasing scrutiny by rating agencies
                                                           intangible assets
   and listing exchanges
                                                        Greater sophistication and scrutiny by
 Increasing cost and/or scarcity of
                                                           board members
   resources (material and labor)
                                                        Focus on risk-adjusted decision making
 Rapidly changing competitive
   landscape                                            Others…
 Others…
Page 7                      UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
Business advantages of good risk
management
Benefits for stakeholders:                                                                  Benefits for the
Surveys point to the value the financial markets and                                        organization:
investment analysts ascribe to those companies that                                           ►   Avoid surprises
can demonstrate good risk management.                                                                – A routine process to
                                                                                                       identify and manage
       Fewer negative surprises
                                                                                                       potential issues
                                                                                              ►   Better governance
       Greater financial stability
                                                                                                     – Clear risk roles and
                                                                                                       responsibilities
 Greater certainty of profitability
                                                                                                     – Clear risk communication,
          Lower investment risk                                                                        language, reporting and
                                                                                                       escalation
    Better long-term share price
                    performance
                                                                                              ►   Better decision making
   Greater confidence to retain /                                                                    – Considering the business
                 increase stake                                                                        impact of a broader range
                                                                                                       of scenarios
           Greater transparency
                                                                                              ►   Efficiencies
     Lower share price volatility                                                                    – More effective and efficient
                                                                                                       risk functions
            Adds company value                                                                       – Less overlap and fewer
                                      0   5       10      15       20       25   30   35               gaps in risk coverage
                                                    % of respondents (N = 137)


Page 8                                        UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
Shareholder value of risk management

A survey of 137 institutional investors managing some of the worlds
largest funds concluded the following on the question if “it was worth
paying a premium for companies that can demonstrate a successful
approach to risk management.”



                                                                                             Strongly Agree (31%)
                                                                                             Agree Somewhat (51%)
                                                                                             Disagree somewhat (6%)
                                                                                             Strongly disagree (7%)
                                                                                             Not specified (5%)




Source: Global Risk Survey of 137 Institutional Investors managing the worlds largest funds, November 2005


Page 9                                   UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
ERM consideration in the S&P debt rating
evaluation
Scoring ERM in the debt rating process:
   S&P indicates that assessing a
    company’s risk management capabilities
    is the most subjective of all areas when
    assigning a credit rating
   The process started to roll out in Q3 of
    2008 with the introduction of the
    framework model and a focus on building
    specific industry benchmarks
   Rating adjustments expected in Q1/Q2
    2009
   Ultimately, the evaluation of risk
    management may directly impact an
    organization’s cost of capital


Page 10                  UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
ERM roles and responsibilities
ERM roles and responsibilities (examples)

               Board of Directors                                        ERM Steering Committee
  Is ultimately responsible for ERM program                    Assembles executive from key functional areas
  Approves risk appetite and risk tolerances                    and risk management functions
                                                                Contributes knowledge on risks specific to
  Approves risk catalog and assessment methods
                                                                 particular business functions
  Sets standards regarding risk policies and                   Communicates directly with business unit
   programs                                                      managers to promote ERM and obtain relevant
  Monitors the quality of the program                           information
                                                                Shares experiences regarding risk strategies and
                         CEO                                     risk mitigation tactics
  Coordinates design, implementation, and                      Coordinates ERM training and reporting
   monitoring of the ERM program
  Contributes to the definition of risk policy,                                   Risk Owner
   appetite, and tolerance                                      Assumes responsibility for the implementation,
  Assigns roles and responsibilities for design,                use, and monitoring of risk management
   implementation, and monitoring                                techniques
  Decides on resource allocations for risk                     Contributes to risk assessment and ensures that
   management strategies                                         risk response strategies remain pertinent and
                                                                 effective
  Decides on risk indicators, thresholds, and
   implementation of risk response strategies                   Documents implemented ERM efforts and reports
                                                                 on relevant risk issues / developments
  Reports to the board on risk issues

Page 12                            UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
The role of Internal Audit




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                                                                                evalu                                                                                                                                              g risk
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                                                                 t pr                    ocess                                                                                                                                              Accountability




              Core internal audit roles                                                                                Legitimate internal audit                                                                                                  Roles internal audit
                 in regard to ERM                                                                                       roles with safeguards                                                                                                    should not undertake

 Source: IIA UK – The Role of Internal Auditing in Enterprise-wide Risk Management


Page 13                                                                         UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
A practical approach to ERM
High-level risk management lifecycle

            Establish Risk                               Identify Value                           Develop consistent risk
              Context &                                     Drivers                               taxonomy and risk
             Governance                                                                           repository and align
                                                                                                  relevant risks with value
                                                                                                  drivers (strategies,
                                                                                                  objectives, initiatives)

                        Monitor &
                         Report
                                                  Risk Management                  Identify Risks
                                                     Components
                                                          Risk Culture
     Frequently monitor                                                                           Define consistent
    effectiveness of risk                              Policy & Mandate                           assessment criteria
response (e.g., controls)                            Infrastructure & People                      based on risk appetite
   and report on results                                                                          and tolerances and
                                                      Methods & Practices                         assess relevant risks
                                                   Information & Technology
                            Assess Risk
                                                                                   Assess Risks
                             Response

  Conclude on preliminary                                                           Define appropriate risk
       effectiveness of risk                                                        response strategy (i.e.,
    response and develop                                 Develop Risk               acceptance, mitigation,
 action plan for monitoring
                                                          Response                  sharing, transfer, etc.)

  Page 15                                 Avery – Risk assessment / ERM workshop
A practical approach to ERM


          Enterprise Risk Assessment                                   Risk Management
          (ERA)                                                        Transformation
 1        Identify, assess and prioritize the key
          risks to achieving the organization’s
                                                                         ► Define  improve and monitor
                                                                           efforts for the most significant
          business objectives
                                                                           risks to business objectives
                                                                         ► Embed   and sustain ongoing risk
                                                                           assessment and monitoring into
                                                                3          existing management processes
                                                                         ► Alignand coordinate risk and
                                                                           control groups across the
          Risk Management Framework                                        breadth of the organization
          Assessment (RMFA)

 2
                                                                         ► Define focus areas for framework
          Evaluate the maturity of design and                              enhancements aligned to
          consistency in application of the risk                           industry risks and leading
          management and internal control                                  practice benchmarks
          framework


Page 16                       UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
A practical approach to ERM (overview)


                                       1                                               2
                                                 Enterprise
                                                 Risk                                                Risk Management Framework Assessment
                                                 Assessment
                                          Ke y
                                       b u s in e s                                                  C o m p r e h e n s i v e r is k c o v e r a g e
                                             s
                                                       K e y b u s in e s s        R is k a n d
                                       o b je c t iv         r is k s       c o n t r o l a c t iv it ie s
                                                                                                                                         C o o r d i n a t i o n a c r o s s t h e “ li n e s o f d e f e n s e ”
                                           e s
                                                                                                                                         New Product
                                        Revenue and                                                                                                                          Treasury                                         Internal                     Executive
                                                                                                                                         Development
                                        market share        Strate gic              As s e s s                                                                                                                                 Audit                      management




                                                                                                                                                                                        Monitoring and control functions
      y g e t a r t s s s e ni s u B




                                                                                                         Operations and business units
                                                                                                                                          Marketing &
                                                                                                                                                                                IT
                                                                                                                                          Advertising
                                         Reputation




                                                                                                                                                         Support functions
                                         and brand        Operations                                                                      Sourcing &                                                                        Compliance                      Board
                                                                                                                                                                               Tax




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Oversight
                                                                                                                                         Procurement
                                                                                   Im p r o v e
                                           Asset                                                                                         Manufacturing
                                                                                                                                                                             Finance                                                                         Audit
                                                            Financial                                                                    & Production                                                                      Internal control
                                         and capital                                                                                                                                                                                                       committee
                                        management
                                                                                                                                          Distribution
                                                                                                                                                                              Legal
                                                                                                                                          & Logistics
                                        Earnings and                                                                                                                                                                          Risk                          Other
                                         operating       Complianc e                M o n it o r
                                                                                                                                           Customer                                                                        Management                     committees
                                                                                                                                                                               HR
                                          margins                                                                                           Support


                                                                                      A li g n m e n t t o b u s i n e s s o b je c t iv e s




Page 17                                                                     UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
ERA – identifying risks in the context of the
business drivers
             Changes to Strategy,                                                       Merger and
               People, Process,                                                       Acquisition Activity
                 Technology               Reputation and Brand
                                              Do the stakeholders
                                             have a favorable view?




   Revenue and                                                                                   Asset and
   Market Share                                                                              Capital Management
    How does the                        Business Drivers                                            How efficient
  organization grow?                                                                            is the organization?




                                              Earnings and
                                            Operating Margins
          New Product and Service              How profitable is                      External Events or
                                               the organization?
               Developments                                                             Developments




Page 18                        UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
ERA – a common categorization and
understanding of risks
A common risk taxonomy and risk assessment method is the
cornerstone of an effective ERA process.
RiskUniverse™ Categories                                              Key Questions
                            Planning and Resource Allocation
                                                                     What are our key risks and how do we
                            Major Initiatives
           Strategic        Mergers, Acquisition and Divestures      measure the relevance of those risks?
                            Market Dynamics
                            Communication and Investor Relations    Are we focused on the risks that matter?
                            Sales & Marketing
                            Supply Chain
          Operations        People                                  Who is accountable for the key risks?
                            Information Technology
                            Hazards                                 Are resources aligned to our risk profile?
                            Physical Assets

                            Market

           Financial        Liquidity and Credit
                                                                     Are we accepting the right level of risk?
                            Accounting and Reporting
                            Tax
                                                                     Are we receiving a fair return on that risk?
                            Capital Structure

                            Governance

          Compliance        Code of Conduct                         Who is monitoring the significant risks?
                            Legal
                            Regulatory                              How are we improving key controls?



Page 19                            UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
ERA – common techniques to assess and
prioritize risks
A company may employ quantitative or qualitative risk assessment
models, which need to be understood and accepted by the respective
risk owners and executive management:

                        Quantitative Models                             Qualitative Models
Methods /        Value at Risk (VaR)                          Risk map
Techniques       Cash Flow at Risk (CaR)                      Self-assessments, interviews,
                 Earnings at Risk (EaR)                        or facilitated workshops
                 Monte Carlo Simulation                       SWOT analysis

                 Others                                       Scenario analysis
                                                               Others

Assessment       Target or industry                           Risk Assessment Criteria (RAC) with
Criteria          benchmarks                                    impact and likelihood thresholds

Important        Requires availability of sufficient          Knowledge and judgment of
Consideration     amount of data or                             individuals involved is critical
                  understanding of models                      Well suited where risks don’t lend
                 Well suited for financial risks               themselves for quantification

Page 20                     UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
ERA – relating risk appetite, risk tolerance
and risk limits to prioritize risks
        Risk      The broad based amount of risk a company is able to accept in pursuit of its
      Capacity    mission, vision, business objectives and overall strategic goals - directly related to
                  an entity’s capital, liquidity and external stakeholder influence

                  The broad-based aggregate amount of risk a company is willing to accept in
       Risk       pursuit of its mission, vision, business objectives and strategic goals - directly
      Appetite    related to an entity’s risk capacity as well as its culture, desired level of risk, risk
                  management capability and business strategy
                  The specific maximum applicable to each category of risk regarding the
        Risk      magnitude of risks that the organization is willing to take to achieve its strategy
                  and objectives - set such that the aggregation of risk tolerances ensures the
      Tolerance   organization operates within the risk appetite
                  The optimal level of risk that the organization desires to take to achieve
                  specific business objectives and operate within its appetite/tolerance for risk –
    Risk Target   defines the balance between risk and reward - risk target is based on the
                  management’s desired returns, the role of risk to achieve those returns and
                  capability to manage the risk/reward profile
                  Thresholds to ensure that variation from expected outcome will be consistent
                  with the risk target, but will not exceed the risk appetite/tolerance – defines
    Risk Limits   process level controls and management authorities and should reflect risk
                  limits

Page 21                UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
ERA – risk map / assessment outputs (example)
                                                                                                                             Risk
                                                                                                                              No    Tier 1 risks

High                                    25.0                                                                                  1
                                                                                                                                    Emerging Markets –
                                                                                                                                    Growth
                                                                                    1                                               Liquidity — Cash
                                                     Improve                                              Monitor             2
                                                                                                                                    Management
                                        20.0
                                                                                                 6         Controls           3     Key Supplier Dependence
                                                                                3
                (Impact x likelihood)




                                                                   2                5                12                       4     Debt – Cost of Capital
Risk exposure




                                        15.0                                                 9
                                                                                                                              5     IT – Security and Privacy
                                                               4
                                                                            7
                                                                                        11                                    6
                                                                                                                                    Sourcing - Global
                                        10.0                                                                                        Competition
                                                          8
                                                                       10                                                           IT - Infrastructure
                                                                                                                              7
                                                                                                                                    Efficiency
                                                     Monitor                                              Accept                    Joint Venture
                                         5.0                                                                                  8
                                                                                                                                    Relationships
                                                      Risks                                               Optimize
                                                                                                                                    Ineffective Financial
                                                                                                                              9
                                                                                                                                    Planning and Forecasting

                                         0.0                                                                                        Competitive Recruitment
   Low                                                                                                                       10
                                                                                                                                    and Retention
                                               1.0       2.0                        3.0                    4.0         5.0
                                                                                                                                    Focus and alignment of
                                               Low                 Management preparedness                            High   11     Acquisitions and
                                                                                                                                    Integration
                                                                                                                                    Evolving Regulatory
                                                                                                                             12     Changes – United States
                                                                                                                                    Markets



Page 22                                                            UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
RMFA – a view of required competencies

Leveraging the information obtained through the ERA, the company
evaluates the design and application of the risk management
competencies to define improvement opportunities.
                                                            Do we have the proper oversight on
                                                             risk and control?
                                                            Are risk decisions made with proper
                                                             guidance?
                       Strategy
                     Governance
                      & Mandate

                                                            Does the culture encourage taking the
                                                             appropriate risks?
             s




                                         Im
            es




                                            pro


                       People                               Are efforts effectively aligned and
             s
          As




                                               v



                                                             coordinated to manage risk?
                                             e




                                                            Are risk and control activities efficient
                 Methods and Practices                       and effective?
                                                            How are risks and controls assessed,
                                                             monitored and improved?
                      Monitor


Page 23                    UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
RMFA – key focus areas to be assessed

The evaluation of an organization’s risk management capabilities should
be focused on a variety of key components and identify opportunities for
enhancements across the organization.

          Governance                        People                        Methods and Practices
Tone At The Top               Culture and Performance                  Risk Identification and
                                                                          Assessment
Strategies and                Alignment and
 Objectives                     Coordination                             Risk Management
                                                                          Design and
Policy and Procedures         Competence and
                                                                          Effectiveness
                                Capabilities
Organizational
                                                                         Process Improvement
 Structure                     Roles and
                                                                          and Efficiency
                                Responsibilities
Compliance
                                                                         Monitoring and
                               Communication
                                                                          Reporting
                                                                         Technology

Page 24                  UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
Wrap-up
P rinciple s of Effe of successful ERM programs
 6 key elements ctive Ris k Ma na ge me nt

•   Agreed risk strategy The Board and management
    must provide guidance on the appropriate strategy and                   E&Y’s ERM point of view
    approach to Risk Management aligned to the
    organizational strategy.

•   Clear governance framework The Board will
    usually delegate day-to-day governance through an
    oversight structure that includes an enterprise risk
    committee and/or a chief risk officer.

•   Efficient Risk Management processes The
    organization needs defined procedures for assessing and
    continuously monitoring risks on an enterprise wide basis.

•   Appropriate technology Effective systems providing
    access to information about risk identification, assessment
    and solutions to support the Risk Management processes.

•   Coordination of Risk Management functions
    Integrated risk functions embedded within the business to
    leverage expertise across the entire organization.

•   The right culture and capability Everyone in the
    organization must be attuned to the risk culture and
    performance measurements must be risk based.




Page 26                            UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
Parting comments…


“A ship in harbor is safe -- but that is not
 what ships are built for.”                           John A. Shedd, Salt from My Attic, 1928




                   …Questions?




Page 27       UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
Speaker’s bio

                                          Peter Rosenzweig has more than 17 years experience in the assessment,
                                              design, and implementation of complex risk management and internal
                                           control frameworks, including IT risk and control structures. Peter serves
                                            as regional subject matter resource in the application of Ernst & Young’s
                                             Enterprise Risk Management methodology and he has assisted various
                                                     large organizations with the implementation or transformation of
                                                                      enterprise-wide risk management capabilities.



                                                                                                                        Contact Information
                                                                                                                        Peter Rosenzweig
                                                                                                                        Ernst & Young LLP
                                                                                                                        Risk Advisory Services
                                                                                                                        Direct: 213.977.5849
                                                                                                                        peter.rosenzweig@ey.com


   About Ernst & Young

   Ernst & Young is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction
   and advisory services. Worldwide, our 130,000 people are united
   by our shared values and an unwavering commitment to quality.
   We make a difference by helping our people, our clients and our
   wider communities achieve potential.

   For more information, please visit www.ey.com.

   Ernst & Young refers to the global organization of member firms
   of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate
   legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited
   by guarantee, does not provide services to clients.

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UCI Exec. MBA & Forum for Corp. Directors July 2009 - Board Governance: Enterprise Risk Management (ERM)

  • 1. Board Governance - Enterprise Risk Management Forum for Corporate Directors – Leadership in the Board Room UC Irvine – The Paul Merage School of Business Executive MBA Program July 18, 2009
  • 2. Agenda  Defining risk…  A new risk paradigm  ERM – a process point of view  Drivers of ERM  ERM roles and responsibilities  A practical approach to ERM Enterprise risk assessment Risk management framework assessment Page 2 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 3. Defining risk… “A risk the threat that an event, action, or non-action could adversely affect an organization’s ability to achieve its business objectives and execute its strategies successfully.” Page 3 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 4. A new risk paradigm Leading organizations expand their view of risks and enhance risk management beyond the traditional compliance function. Keep Us Out of Trouble Make Our Business Better Growing Number of Restatements Bigger Fines and Settlements goal Coordinated Risk Activities Enhanced Business Processes Expanding Stiffer Risk-Adjusted Effective Use Regulation Sanctions Decisions of Technology Catastrophic Criminal Improved Risk Reduced Total Reputational Indictments Reporting and Risk Spend Consequences Disclosure All too confusing and overdone… Must do it… Except when we get in trouble But how do we do it better? Page 4 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 5. Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) – a process point of view “Enterprise risk management is a e ns ng c nc gi t io process, effected by an entity’s rti ia te ra pl po ra pe m St Re board of directors, management, Co O Internal Environment and other personnel, applied in strategy setting and across the Objective Setting enterprise, designed to identify Event Identification potential events that may affect the Risk Assessment entity, and manage risk to be Risk Response within its risk appetite, to provide reasonable assurance regarding Control Activities the achievement of entity Information & Communication objectives.” Monitoring Source: COSO – Enterprise Risk Management – Integrated Framework Page 5 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 7. Greater complexity of business environment and decision making Various internal and external drivers and developments require companies to become more effective and efficient at managing risks. External Drivers Internal Drivers Changing and expanding regulatory More dynamic / business models and requirements changing technology requirements Instability of economic and market Greater distribution of business conditions activities, locations, etc. Geo-political developments Increasing interdependencies on Increasing litigations and fines business relationships (alliances, JV) Focus on preservation and leverage of Increasing scrutiny by rating agencies intangible assets and listing exchanges Greater sophistication and scrutiny by Increasing cost and/or scarcity of board members resources (material and labor) Focus on risk-adjusted decision making Rapidly changing competitive landscape Others… Others… Page 7 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 8. Business advantages of good risk management Benefits for stakeholders: Benefits for the Surveys point to the value the financial markets and organization: investment analysts ascribe to those companies that ► Avoid surprises can demonstrate good risk management. – A routine process to identify and manage Fewer negative surprises potential issues ► Better governance Greater financial stability – Clear risk roles and responsibilities Greater certainty of profitability – Clear risk communication, Lower investment risk language, reporting and escalation Better long-term share price performance ► Better decision making Greater confidence to retain / – Considering the business increase stake impact of a broader range of scenarios Greater transparency ► Efficiencies Lower share price volatility – More effective and efficient risk functions Adds company value – Less overlap and fewer 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 gaps in risk coverage % of respondents (N = 137) Page 8 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 9. Shareholder value of risk management A survey of 137 institutional investors managing some of the worlds largest funds concluded the following on the question if “it was worth paying a premium for companies that can demonstrate a successful approach to risk management.” Strongly Agree (31%) Agree Somewhat (51%) Disagree somewhat (6%) Strongly disagree (7%) Not specified (5%) Source: Global Risk Survey of 137 Institutional Investors managing the worlds largest funds, November 2005 Page 9 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 10. ERM consideration in the S&P debt rating evaluation Scoring ERM in the debt rating process:  S&P indicates that assessing a company’s risk management capabilities is the most subjective of all areas when assigning a credit rating  The process started to roll out in Q3 of 2008 with the introduction of the framework model and a focus on building specific industry benchmarks  Rating adjustments expected in Q1/Q2 2009  Ultimately, the evaluation of risk management may directly impact an organization’s cost of capital Page 10 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 11. ERM roles and responsibilities
  • 12. ERM roles and responsibilities (examples) Board of Directors ERM Steering Committee  Is ultimately responsible for ERM program  Assembles executive from key functional areas  Approves risk appetite and risk tolerances and risk management functions  Contributes knowledge on risks specific to  Approves risk catalog and assessment methods particular business functions  Sets standards regarding risk policies and  Communicates directly with business unit programs managers to promote ERM and obtain relevant  Monitors the quality of the program information  Shares experiences regarding risk strategies and CEO risk mitigation tactics  Coordinates design, implementation, and  Coordinates ERM training and reporting monitoring of the ERM program  Contributes to the definition of risk policy, Risk Owner appetite, and tolerance  Assumes responsibility for the implementation,  Assigns roles and responsibilities for design, use, and monitoring of risk management implementation, and monitoring techniques  Decides on resource allocations for risk  Contributes to risk assessment and ensures that management strategies risk response strategies remain pertinent and effective  Decides on risk indicators, thresholds, and implementation of risk response strategies  Documents implemented ERM efforts and reports on relevant risk issues / developments  Reports to the board on risk issues Page 12 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 13. The role of Internal Audit Coordinating of k Cons RM framewor RM Co t of E oli al a ch dated ov hmen ing ppr Fa te repo rd a ERM activities cil ma veloping the E e ti ablis ita nag pp boa tin rting R ka ev gi g est e es for ie me ris de w ss o n ri s in nti he egy nt i ce g n fic gt ro pioni th n re e ati t ra t tp ttin ks Ev m de en s on alu an isk Ms spo Se Cham em ati ag r & Maintaining & ng on ag em ER ev ndi th e e nc an alu en ra ng re m ng po to u ss ati k rtin fk opi to r ris Ev a a on lua go ey nt es ons ng e v el isk of ting fk ris em sp si ey ag k re po risk ks De ris s ris n ris Im ma Ma ks nag ks s on em ent is ion Givin pro dec lf g ass ces kin g beha uran ses Ma ent’s ce th agem at ris man ks ar e cor ons e on rectly resp evalu g risk Giving assura ated m entin nc e on the risk Imple for risk manag ement managemen t pr ocess Accountability Core internal audit roles Legitimate internal audit Roles internal audit in regard to ERM roles with safeguards should not undertake Source: IIA UK – The Role of Internal Auditing in Enterprise-wide Risk Management Page 13 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 15. High-level risk management lifecycle Establish Risk Identify Value Develop consistent risk Context & Drivers taxonomy and risk Governance repository and align relevant risks with value drivers (strategies, objectives, initiatives) Monitor & Report Risk Management Identify Risks Components Risk Culture Frequently monitor Define consistent effectiveness of risk Policy & Mandate assessment criteria response (e.g., controls) Infrastructure & People based on risk appetite and report on results and tolerances and Methods & Practices assess relevant risks Information & Technology Assess Risk Assess Risks Response Conclude on preliminary Define appropriate risk effectiveness of risk response strategy (i.e., response and develop Develop Risk acceptance, mitigation, action plan for monitoring Response sharing, transfer, etc.) Page 15 Avery – Risk assessment / ERM workshop
  • 16. A practical approach to ERM Enterprise Risk Assessment Risk Management (ERA) Transformation 1 Identify, assess and prioritize the key risks to achieving the organization’s ► Define improve and monitor efforts for the most significant business objectives risks to business objectives ► Embed and sustain ongoing risk assessment and monitoring into 3 existing management processes ► Alignand coordinate risk and control groups across the Risk Management Framework breadth of the organization Assessment (RMFA) 2 ► Define focus areas for framework Evaluate the maturity of design and enhancements aligned to consistency in application of the risk industry risks and leading management and internal control practice benchmarks framework Page 16 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 17. A practical approach to ERM (overview) 1 2 Enterprise Risk Risk Management Framework Assessment Assessment Ke y b u s in e s C o m p r e h e n s i v e r is k c o v e r a g e s K e y b u s in e s s R is k a n d o b je c t iv r is k s c o n t r o l a c t iv it ie s C o o r d i n a t i o n a c r o s s t h e “ li n e s o f d e f e n s e ” e s New Product Revenue and Treasury Internal Executive Development market share Strate gic As s e s s Audit management Monitoring and control functions y g e t a r t s s s e ni s u B Operations and business units Marketing & IT Advertising Reputation Support functions and brand Operations Sourcing & Compliance Board Tax Oversight Procurement Im p r o v e Asset Manufacturing Finance Audit Financial & Production Internal control and capital committee management Distribution Legal & Logistics Earnings and Risk Other operating Complianc e M o n it o r Customer Management committees HR margins Support A li g n m e n t t o b u s i n e s s o b je c t iv e s Page 17 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 18. ERA – identifying risks in the context of the business drivers Changes to Strategy, Merger and People, Process, Acquisition Activity Technology Reputation and Brand Do the stakeholders have a favorable view? Revenue and Asset and Market Share Capital Management How does the Business Drivers How efficient organization grow? is the organization? Earnings and Operating Margins New Product and Service How profitable is External Events or the organization? Developments Developments Page 18 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 19. ERA – a common categorization and understanding of risks A common risk taxonomy and risk assessment method is the cornerstone of an effective ERA process. RiskUniverse™ Categories Key Questions  Planning and Resource Allocation  What are our key risks and how do we  Major Initiatives Strategic  Mergers, Acquisition and Divestures measure the relevance of those risks?  Market Dynamics  Communication and Investor Relations  Are we focused on the risks that matter?  Sales & Marketing  Supply Chain Operations  People  Who is accountable for the key risks?  Information Technology  Hazards  Are resources aligned to our risk profile?  Physical Assets  Market Financial  Liquidity and Credit  Are we accepting the right level of risk?  Accounting and Reporting  Tax  Are we receiving a fair return on that risk?  Capital Structure  Governance Compliance  Code of Conduct  Who is monitoring the significant risks?  Legal  Regulatory  How are we improving key controls? Page 19 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 20. ERA – common techniques to assess and prioritize risks A company may employ quantitative or qualitative risk assessment models, which need to be understood and accepted by the respective risk owners and executive management: Quantitative Models Qualitative Models Methods /  Value at Risk (VaR)  Risk map Techniques  Cash Flow at Risk (CaR)  Self-assessments, interviews,  Earnings at Risk (EaR) or facilitated workshops  Monte Carlo Simulation  SWOT analysis  Others  Scenario analysis  Others Assessment  Target or industry  Risk Assessment Criteria (RAC) with Criteria benchmarks impact and likelihood thresholds Important  Requires availability of sufficient  Knowledge and judgment of Consideration amount of data or individuals involved is critical understanding of models  Well suited where risks don’t lend  Well suited for financial risks themselves for quantification Page 20 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 21. ERA – relating risk appetite, risk tolerance and risk limits to prioritize risks Risk The broad based amount of risk a company is able to accept in pursuit of its Capacity mission, vision, business objectives and overall strategic goals - directly related to an entity’s capital, liquidity and external stakeholder influence The broad-based aggregate amount of risk a company is willing to accept in Risk pursuit of its mission, vision, business objectives and strategic goals - directly Appetite related to an entity’s risk capacity as well as its culture, desired level of risk, risk management capability and business strategy The specific maximum applicable to each category of risk regarding the Risk magnitude of risks that the organization is willing to take to achieve its strategy and objectives - set such that the aggregation of risk tolerances ensures the Tolerance organization operates within the risk appetite The optimal level of risk that the organization desires to take to achieve specific business objectives and operate within its appetite/tolerance for risk – Risk Target defines the balance between risk and reward - risk target is based on the management’s desired returns, the role of risk to achieve those returns and capability to manage the risk/reward profile Thresholds to ensure that variation from expected outcome will be consistent with the risk target, but will not exceed the risk appetite/tolerance – defines Risk Limits process level controls and management authorities and should reflect risk limits Page 21 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 22. ERA – risk map / assessment outputs (example) Risk No Tier 1 risks High 25.0 1 Emerging Markets – Growth 1 Liquidity — Cash Improve Monitor 2 Management 20.0 6 Controls 3 Key Supplier Dependence 3 (Impact x likelihood) 2 5 12 4 Debt – Cost of Capital Risk exposure 15.0 9 5 IT – Security and Privacy 4 7 11 6 Sourcing - Global 10.0 Competition 8 10 IT - Infrastructure 7 Efficiency Monitor Accept Joint Venture 5.0 8 Relationships Risks Optimize Ineffective Financial 9 Planning and Forecasting 0.0 Competitive Recruitment Low 10 and Retention 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Focus and alignment of Low Management preparedness High 11 Acquisitions and Integration Evolving Regulatory 12 Changes – United States Markets Page 22 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 23. RMFA – a view of required competencies Leveraging the information obtained through the ERA, the company evaluates the design and application of the risk management competencies to define improvement opportunities.  Do we have the proper oversight on risk and control?  Are risk decisions made with proper guidance? Strategy Governance & Mandate  Does the culture encourage taking the appropriate risks? s Im es pro People  Are efforts effectively aligned and s As v coordinated to manage risk? e  Are risk and control activities efficient Methods and Practices and effective?  How are risks and controls assessed, monitored and improved? Monitor Page 23 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 24. RMFA – key focus areas to be assessed The evaluation of an organization’s risk management capabilities should be focused on a variety of key components and identify opportunities for enhancements across the organization. Governance People Methods and Practices Tone At The Top Culture and Performance Risk Identification and Assessment Strategies and Alignment and Objectives Coordination Risk Management Design and Policy and Procedures Competence and Effectiveness Capabilities Organizational Process Improvement Structure Roles and and Efficiency Responsibilities Compliance Monitoring and Communication Reporting Technology Page 24 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 26. P rinciple s of Effe of successful ERM programs 6 key elements ctive Ris k Ma na ge me nt • Agreed risk strategy The Board and management must provide guidance on the appropriate strategy and E&Y’s ERM point of view approach to Risk Management aligned to the organizational strategy. • Clear governance framework The Board will usually delegate day-to-day governance through an oversight structure that includes an enterprise risk committee and/or a chief risk officer. • Efficient Risk Management processes The organization needs defined procedures for assessing and continuously monitoring risks on an enterprise wide basis. • Appropriate technology Effective systems providing access to information about risk identification, assessment and solutions to support the Risk Management processes. • Coordination of Risk Management functions Integrated risk functions embedded within the business to leverage expertise across the entire organization. • The right culture and capability Everyone in the organization must be attuned to the risk culture and performance measurements must be risk based. Page 26 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 27. Parting comments… “A ship in harbor is safe -- but that is not what ships are built for.” John A. Shedd, Salt from My Attic, 1928 …Questions? Page 27 UC irvine Executive MBA – Enterprise Risk Management
  • 28. Speaker’s bio Peter Rosenzweig has more than 17 years experience in the assessment, design, and implementation of complex risk management and internal control frameworks, including IT risk and control structures. Peter serves as regional subject matter resource in the application of Ernst & Young’s Enterprise Risk Management methodology and he has assisted various large organizations with the implementation or transformation of enterprise-wide risk management capabilities. Contact Information Peter Rosenzweig Ernst & Young LLP Risk Advisory Services Direct: 213.977.5849 peter.rosenzweig@ey.com About Ernst & Young Ernst & Young is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. Worldwide, our 130,000 people are united by our shared values and an unwavering commitment to quality. We make a difference by helping our people, our clients and our wider communities achieve potential. For more information, please visit www.ey.com. Ernst & Young refers to the global organization of member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients.