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StormGeo: Control in a changing enviromentStorm offshore Forecasts.

TecnologiaNotícias e política
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Offshore experience Storm offshore Forecasts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OBSERVATIONS WEATHER- MODEL PHYSICS MATHEMATICS DYNAMICS ++ FORECAST
 
 
 
Offshore web portal 24/7
 
ECMWF products – global 0.125 deg (16km) resolution Documented high skill
Complex systems - complex modelling StormDrift
 
 
 
Wind and waves - Operational: ECMWF (10-25 km) and WRF (1-9 km). Ocean current - Princeton Ocean Model (MI-POM) - Operational: 1.5 km (blue)/4 km (green), hourly fields. . StormDrift
StormDrift 2 km model resolution 3-6 vertical layers Eularian code 1. Advection with surface current 2. Dispersion by molecular diffusion/surface effects 3. Evaporation 4. Chemical dissolution 5. Aggregation 6. Break-up and dispersion by waves 7. Sedimentation
Electronic Numerical Integrator And Computer: 40 FLOPS 1946 Roadrunner: 1.026 peta FLOPS ~1000 trillion FLOPS 2008 First real time NWP September 1954 Modelling and computer power Operasjonell mode 3 dager/minutt StormDrift
Offshore web portal 24/7
 

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Storm geo beredskap_hilde

  • 1.  
  • 2.
  • 3. OBSERVATIONS WEATHER- MODEL PHYSICS MATHEMATICS DYNAMICS ++ FORECAST
  • 4.  
  • 5.  
  • 6.  
  • 8.  
  • 9. ECMWF products – global 0.125 deg (16km) resolution Documented high skill
  • 10. Complex systems - complex modelling StormDrift
  • 11.  
  • 12.  
  • 13.  
  • 14. Wind and waves - Operational: ECMWF (10-25 km) and WRF (1-9 km). Ocean current - Princeton Ocean Model (MI-POM) - Operational: 1.5 km (blue)/4 km (green), hourly fields. . StormDrift
  • 15. StormDrift 2 km model resolution 3-6 vertical layers Eularian code 1. Advection with surface current 2. Dispersion by molecular diffusion/surface effects 3. Evaporation 4. Chemical dissolution 5. Aggregation 6. Break-up and dispersion by waves 7. Sedimentation
  • 16. Electronic Numerical Integrator And Computer: 40 FLOPS 1946 Roadrunner: 1.026 peta FLOPS ~1000 trillion FLOPS 2008 First real time NWP September 1954 Modelling and computer power Operasjonell mode 3 dager/minutt StormDrift
  • 18.  

Notas do Editor

  1. Break/intro-slide 1
  2. (Her fåe en være kjapp siden denne foilen ble omtalt i forrige foredrag..) Vet ikke hva alle i forsamlingen kan om moderne værvarsling. Tradisjonelt så har setting vært identisk med den i medisin; Først diagnose, så prognose.. Samme prinsippet er gyldig i dag.. Hovedbasis i all værvarsling er gode observasjoner av hvordan været er nå (diagnosen). Deretter kan man tenke framover, den tradisjonelle meteorologien kunne gi info på en skala på 3-12 timer, men vha numeriske værmodeller kan man nå gi pålitelig værinfo opp til en uke fram i tid.. Prinsippet som vist her er 1 observasjoner= slik er atmosfæren/havet nå. 2 Modell=slik ”virker” atmosfæren/havet 3=> dermed kan vi regne ut hvordan det vil være om 1 time 2 timer 200 timer… Men kvaliteten på det vi får ut avhenger av det vi putter inn, og spesielt i nordområdene er observasjonsnettet sparsommelig
  3. Onshore or offshore GUI, all parameter,
  4. Onshore or offshore GUI, all parameter,