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The Future is Now
Stephen Murgatroyd, Phd
CONTACT NORTH|CONTACT NORD
The Future is NOW
Stephen Murgatroyd, PhD
Chief Innovation Officer
Contact North | Contact Nord
$6.5 TrillionCURRENT GLOBAL SPEND ON EDUCATION
$10.2 Trillion2030 SPEND ON EDUCATION WORLDWIDE
OECD 2030 – THE FUTURE WE
WANT
What Is Driving What We Need to Do?
A QUICK LOOK AT THE FUTURE..
Driver 1:
Demographic
Shifts
 Rapid growth of
populations in China, South
Asia, India
 Seniors engaged in
learning
 More life-long learning
 More “just-in-time”
learning
Driver 2:
ECONOMIC
SHIFTS
 50% of the World’s largest
HQ’s are already in Asia
Pacific – 20% more say they
will move there.
 424 major cities generate
75% of world GDP – 325 in
Asia.
 Fastest growing markets for
goods and services are all in
Asia.
 By 2030 the G7 should be
China, India, USA, Indonesia,
Turkey, Brazil and Japan.
Driver 3:
New Patterns
of Work
 30% of workers in Canada
are self-employed gig
workers – and gig work is
growing faster than full-
time employment.
 Gig work is both
demanding and precarious.
 But gig work will grow,
especially as more seniors
re-enter the workforce as
part-timers
Driver 4:
Technological
Disruption
 30-40% of all jobs world wide
will be impacted by technologies
like AI, 3D Printing, robots,
drones, stem-cells and
augmented and virtual reality.
 New skills and new partnerships
between people and machines
will be needed and some new
jobs will emerge.
 But the technology will change
not only what we do but how we
do it and who+what does it.
Driver 5:
New Kinds of
Organizations
 Uber like organizations
 New kinds of supply chains
 Growth of intangible
economy – now the
dominant economy in
many EU countries
 New public:private
partnerships
Driver 6:
Technological
Disruption
 Technology will directly
impact 30-45% of all jobs in
Canada and 40% of all jobs
worldwide.
 Some jobs will disappear,
some will be enhanced by
technology.
 Some 2.4 million new jobs
will likely be created as a
result of technological
innovation.
 We are all going to have to
learn to dance with robots!
About The Future of Education
TECHNOLOGIES FOR A DIFFERENT FUTURE
“
”
We know of no empirical evidence that
says that classroom instruction benefits
students (compared to alternatives) from a
learning achievement perspective..
Robert Bernard, Eugene Borokhovski and Richard Schmid
Centre for the Study of Learning and Performance at Concordia University
WE ALL NEED TO UNDERSTAND…
• Content is freely available
• Content is a small component of learning as a process
CONVEYING
CONTENT IS NOT
LEARNING
• Teaching and instructional design matter more than content
• Relationships matter – between students, between teacher
and student, between student and knowledge
PEDAGOGY NOT
TECHNOLOGY DRIVES
LEARNING
WE ALL NEED TO UNDERSTAND
• Technology is an enabler – is not “the answer”
• Technology represents both an opportunity and a barrier
TECHNOLOGY
SUPPORTS
LEARNING
• Of making the learner solely responsible for learning outcomes
• Reducing learning to an interaction between a student and a machine
and leaving out teaching, relationships and purpose
BEWARE OF
“LEARNIFICATION”
WE ALL NEED TO UNDERSTAND
Beware of “Datafication”
• The use of data to replace
decisions
• The use of untested algorithms to
manage organizations
Understand Cybersecurity and
Privacy
• Very little is now secure or private
• Beware of facial recognition and
abuses
So What is Emerging…?
New Approaches to
Assessment
 Competency based
assessments
 AI enabled
 On Demand
 Stackable assessments
 Marked automatically
 Captured on blockchain
Artificial
Intelligence
Enabled Learning
Systems
 Adaptive and responsive
learning systems
 Smart relationship building
chatbots
 Automated content
generation
 Quality assurance systems
for Open Education
Resources
 Analytics
Simulations
for Learning
 Complex simulations for
specific skills in health,
manufacturing, services,
hospitality, flight training..
 Robots and AI together
with instruction are
powerful ways of ensuring
competency
 Serious games enable
critical thinking
 Been in use for sometime,
getting better and
smarter..
Collaborative
Learning
 Communities of inquiry as a
basis for learning are enabled
by
 Social media (closed or
open)
 Platforms like Slack or
Mastery+
 Linking learners to
workplaces and
professionals through
RiiPEN
 Linking students worldwide
through peer to peer
learning networks
Challenge and
Design
 Engaging students in a challenge
where the ”answer” is unknown
enables high levels of learning
 Using all sources of knowledge,
networks and coaching to secure an
outcome
 Major new learning occurs for all,
whether they “find” an answer or
not..
 Project based learning is a discipline
– Engage – Investigate – Act
 Ecole42 is based on this big idea
Immersive
Learning
 Augmented and virtual reality
enabled learning – rich
immersive experiences in a
“safe” environment
 Practice for skills – enabling
mastery and competency
 Individualized support for
learners
MOOCs for
Degrees
 In 2018, 101 million
enrolled in MOOCS
 11,400+ MOOC courses
 900+ course providers
 47 degrees (or
equivalent) available by
MOOC in 2018
 100+ degrees
anticipated by 2020
New Players
 A variety of new providers of
learning
 Linked In Learning
 Squirrel uses AI and chatbot
tutors to teach across the
school curriculum and is
amongst the fastest growing
companies in China.
 Many corporations use digital
badges to recognize learning
 New public:private partnerships
 AU’s Hockey MBA
 Siemens partnerships around
Mechatronics
So What’s Next?
Modular,
stackable
learning
• Short learning
experiences
• Accumulated over time
• Self-directed or
mentor/coach enabled
• Anytime, anywhere
• Blended, in-class,
online
Anytime,
Anywhere
Assessment for
Skills
• Competency
based assessment
• AI enabled and
marked
• Video, audio, in
person or remote
• Globally assessed
WORK BASED
LEARNING FOR
CREDIT
• Blurring the lines
between work, learning
and accreditation.
• Prior and current
learning assessments
• Call assessment “on
demand”
• Assessment only
qualifications
The future
matters
AND IT IS NOT A STRAIGHT LINE FROM
THE PAST – EXPECT DISRUPTION

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Keynote at Online Learning 2019 Toronto

  • 1. The Future is Now Stephen Murgatroyd, Phd CONTACT NORTH|CONTACT NORD The Future is NOW Stephen Murgatroyd, PhD Chief Innovation Officer Contact North | Contact Nord
  • 2.
  • 3. $6.5 TrillionCURRENT GLOBAL SPEND ON EDUCATION
  • 4. $10.2 Trillion2030 SPEND ON EDUCATION WORLDWIDE
  • 5. OECD 2030 – THE FUTURE WE WANT
  • 6.
  • 7. What Is Driving What We Need to Do? A QUICK LOOK AT THE FUTURE..
  • 8. Driver 1: Demographic Shifts  Rapid growth of populations in China, South Asia, India  Seniors engaged in learning  More life-long learning  More “just-in-time” learning
  • 9. Driver 2: ECONOMIC SHIFTS  50% of the World’s largest HQ’s are already in Asia Pacific – 20% more say they will move there.  424 major cities generate 75% of world GDP – 325 in Asia.  Fastest growing markets for goods and services are all in Asia.  By 2030 the G7 should be China, India, USA, Indonesia, Turkey, Brazil and Japan.
  • 10. Driver 3: New Patterns of Work  30% of workers in Canada are self-employed gig workers – and gig work is growing faster than full- time employment.  Gig work is both demanding and precarious.  But gig work will grow, especially as more seniors re-enter the workforce as part-timers
  • 11. Driver 4: Technological Disruption  30-40% of all jobs world wide will be impacted by technologies like AI, 3D Printing, robots, drones, stem-cells and augmented and virtual reality.  New skills and new partnerships between people and machines will be needed and some new jobs will emerge.  But the technology will change not only what we do but how we do it and who+what does it.
  • 12. Driver 5: New Kinds of Organizations  Uber like organizations  New kinds of supply chains  Growth of intangible economy – now the dominant economy in many EU countries  New public:private partnerships
  • 13. Driver 6: Technological Disruption  Technology will directly impact 30-45% of all jobs in Canada and 40% of all jobs worldwide.  Some jobs will disappear, some will be enhanced by technology.  Some 2.4 million new jobs will likely be created as a result of technological innovation.  We are all going to have to learn to dance with robots!
  • 14. About The Future of Education TECHNOLOGIES FOR A DIFFERENT FUTURE
  • 15. “ ” We know of no empirical evidence that says that classroom instruction benefits students (compared to alternatives) from a learning achievement perspective.. Robert Bernard, Eugene Borokhovski and Richard Schmid Centre for the Study of Learning and Performance at Concordia University
  • 16. WE ALL NEED TO UNDERSTAND… • Content is freely available • Content is a small component of learning as a process CONVEYING CONTENT IS NOT LEARNING • Teaching and instructional design matter more than content • Relationships matter – between students, between teacher and student, between student and knowledge PEDAGOGY NOT TECHNOLOGY DRIVES LEARNING
  • 17. WE ALL NEED TO UNDERSTAND • Technology is an enabler – is not “the answer” • Technology represents both an opportunity and a barrier TECHNOLOGY SUPPORTS LEARNING • Of making the learner solely responsible for learning outcomes • Reducing learning to an interaction between a student and a machine and leaving out teaching, relationships and purpose BEWARE OF “LEARNIFICATION”
  • 18. WE ALL NEED TO UNDERSTAND Beware of “Datafication” • The use of data to replace decisions • The use of untested algorithms to manage organizations Understand Cybersecurity and Privacy • Very little is now secure or private • Beware of facial recognition and abuses
  • 19. So What is Emerging…?
  • 20. New Approaches to Assessment  Competency based assessments  AI enabled  On Demand  Stackable assessments  Marked automatically  Captured on blockchain
  • 21. Artificial Intelligence Enabled Learning Systems  Adaptive and responsive learning systems  Smart relationship building chatbots  Automated content generation  Quality assurance systems for Open Education Resources  Analytics
  • 22. Simulations for Learning  Complex simulations for specific skills in health, manufacturing, services, hospitality, flight training..  Robots and AI together with instruction are powerful ways of ensuring competency  Serious games enable critical thinking  Been in use for sometime, getting better and smarter..
  • 23. Collaborative Learning  Communities of inquiry as a basis for learning are enabled by  Social media (closed or open)  Platforms like Slack or Mastery+  Linking learners to workplaces and professionals through RiiPEN  Linking students worldwide through peer to peer learning networks
  • 24. Challenge and Design  Engaging students in a challenge where the ”answer” is unknown enables high levels of learning  Using all sources of knowledge, networks and coaching to secure an outcome  Major new learning occurs for all, whether they “find” an answer or not..  Project based learning is a discipline – Engage – Investigate – Act  Ecole42 is based on this big idea
  • 25. Immersive Learning  Augmented and virtual reality enabled learning – rich immersive experiences in a “safe” environment  Practice for skills – enabling mastery and competency  Individualized support for learners
  • 26. MOOCs for Degrees  In 2018, 101 million enrolled in MOOCS  11,400+ MOOC courses  900+ course providers  47 degrees (or equivalent) available by MOOC in 2018  100+ degrees anticipated by 2020
  • 27. New Players  A variety of new providers of learning  Linked In Learning  Squirrel uses AI and chatbot tutors to teach across the school curriculum and is amongst the fastest growing companies in China.  Many corporations use digital badges to recognize learning  New public:private partnerships  AU’s Hockey MBA  Siemens partnerships around Mechatronics
  • 29. Modular, stackable learning • Short learning experiences • Accumulated over time • Self-directed or mentor/coach enabled • Anytime, anywhere • Blended, in-class, online
  • 30. Anytime, Anywhere Assessment for Skills • Competency based assessment • AI enabled and marked • Video, audio, in person or remote • Globally assessed
  • 31. WORK BASED LEARNING FOR CREDIT • Blurring the lines between work, learning and accreditation. • Prior and current learning assessments • Call assessment “on demand” • Assessment only qualifications
  • 32. The future matters AND IT IS NOT A STRAIGHT LINE FROM THE PAST – EXPECT DISRUPTION