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Global Warming
What is Global Warming?




An increase in the earth’s atmospheric and oceanic temperatures
  widely predicted to occur due to an increase in the greenhouse
              effect resulting especially from Pollution.
Global temperature trend
Note that these are surface temperatures and mostly overland. The temperature
                in upper levels may be different, even reversed.
“ Satellites Pictures of Earth”
How is Global Warming
             Forming?

• According to scientist, human activities is the
  major contribution to Global Warming. With
  our excessive use of Non-Renewable Energy
  we have caused Greenhouse Gases to
  produce Global Warming.
What cause the temperature of
     the atmosphere to go up?
• There are many possible mechanisms that can cause
  the warming of the atmosphere, for example:
     – Natural variation – the climate becomes warmer by internal chaotic
       dynamics of the earth-atmosphere system (that is, no external
       influence).
     – Solar activity – either direct increase of solar energy output or indirect
       “trigger” mechanisms due to solar activity (though nobody knows how)
       may cause the surface temperature to go up.
     – Greenhouse effect – increasing “greenhouse” gases such as CO2, CH4,
       NO, CFC,…etc. (actually H2O is very efficient, too, but at present it is
       assumed to be in steady state).
•   The last one is presently thought to be the most likely cause of the
    global warming and hence we will examine it here in this chapter..
The Real Greenhouse
The (Atmospheric) Greenhouse Effect




•   Examples of greenhouse gases: H2O, CO2, CH4, CFC.
•   Currently, CO2 is the main suspect of causing the global warming since the 20th
    century because combustion of fossil fuel naturally injects CO2 into the
    atmosphere and it has increased dramatically since last century.
WHO IS MORE
RESPONSIBLE ?
No DOUBT



INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES
TEN POINTS
Number Ten
• There is a scientific
  consensus that
  human activities are
  very likely to affect
  global climate
Number Nine
     • There is some chance
       that, due to the
       uncertainties of
       complex models and
       the assumptions used
       to drive them, the
       consensus is wrong.
Number Eight
• Ignoring the potential
  implications of climate
  change is taking a big
  risk with a valuable
  asset.
  – The Intergovernmental Panel
    on Climate Change (IPCC)
    recommends that we avoid
    “dangerous human
    interference” with global
    climate systems.
Number Seven
• In order to avoid
  dangerous
  interference, IPCC
  estimates that we
  need to hold global
  emissions about
  steady.
Number Six
     • Since the developing
       world would still like
       to develop, the
       developed world must
       make substantial
       emissions reductions.
       – IPCC says 70-80
         percent of current
         levels must be
         reduced by 2040-
         2050.
Important Data
8.00E+09
7.00E+09
6.00E+09
5.00E+09
4.00E+09
3.00E+09
2.00E+09
1.00E+09
0.00E+00
           World          USA        OECD          Asia

             Population   Total Carbon Emissions
More Important Data
6

5

4

3

2

1

0
    World      USA          OECD          Asia

            Per Capita Carbon Emissions
Number Five

• The Kyoto Protocol
  will result in only
  modest emission
  reductions
  – The US has not yet
    ratified this treaty
Number Four


     • We have 30-40 years
       to transform
       industrialized society
       – Reducing emissions
         by 70-80 percent is a
         substantial challenge
US Greenhouse Emissions
               HFCs, PFCs, SF6
             N2O
                     2%
             6%

       CH4
       9%




                                 CO2
                                 83%
US CO2 Emissions
   Everything Else
         3%




             Fossil Fuel
                97%
US Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions
                             Commercial
                   Residential  4%
                      7%




      Industrial                          Electricity Generation
         17%                                        40%




               Transportation
                    32%
Number Three
• We already have
  technologies that can
  help us on the way
  – Efficiency
  – Renewable Energy
  – Coal-gasification with
    carbon sequestration
Number Two


• The behavioral
  challenges are much
  more daunting than
  the technological
  ones.
Number One
• Climate change isn’t
  likely to affect our
  generation.
• We need to make
  changes for
  subsequent
  generations.
Conclusion

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Global Warming

  • 2. What is Global Warming? An increase in the earth’s atmospheric and oceanic temperatures widely predicted to occur due to an increase in the greenhouse effect resulting especially from Pollution.
  • 3. Global temperature trend Note that these are surface temperatures and mostly overland. The temperature in upper levels may be different, even reversed.
  • 5. How is Global Warming Forming? • According to scientist, human activities is the major contribution to Global Warming. With our excessive use of Non-Renewable Energy we have caused Greenhouse Gases to produce Global Warming.
  • 6. What cause the temperature of the atmosphere to go up? • There are many possible mechanisms that can cause the warming of the atmosphere, for example: – Natural variation – the climate becomes warmer by internal chaotic dynamics of the earth-atmosphere system (that is, no external influence). – Solar activity – either direct increase of solar energy output or indirect “trigger” mechanisms due to solar activity (though nobody knows how) may cause the surface temperature to go up. – Greenhouse effect – increasing “greenhouse” gases such as CO2, CH4, NO, CFC,…etc. (actually H2O is very efficient, too, but at present it is assumed to be in steady state). • The last one is presently thought to be the most likely cause of the global warming and hence we will examine it here in this chapter..
  • 8. The (Atmospheric) Greenhouse Effect • Examples of greenhouse gases: H2O, CO2, CH4, CFC. • Currently, CO2 is the main suspect of causing the global warming since the 20th century because combustion of fossil fuel naturally injects CO2 into the atmosphere and it has increased dramatically since last century.
  • 12. Number Ten • There is a scientific consensus that human activities are very likely to affect global climate
  • 13. Number Nine • There is some chance that, due to the uncertainties of complex models and the assumptions used to drive them, the consensus is wrong.
  • 14. Number Eight • Ignoring the potential implications of climate change is taking a big risk with a valuable asset. – The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) recommends that we avoid “dangerous human interference” with global climate systems.
  • 15. Number Seven • In order to avoid dangerous interference, IPCC estimates that we need to hold global emissions about steady.
  • 16. Number Six • Since the developing world would still like to develop, the developed world must make substantial emissions reductions. – IPCC says 70-80 percent of current levels must be reduced by 2040- 2050.
  • 18. More Important Data 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 World USA OECD Asia Per Capita Carbon Emissions
  • 19. Number Five • The Kyoto Protocol will result in only modest emission reductions – The US has not yet ratified this treaty
  • 20. Number Four • We have 30-40 years to transform industrialized society – Reducing emissions by 70-80 percent is a substantial challenge
  • 21. US Greenhouse Emissions HFCs, PFCs, SF6 N2O 2% 6% CH4 9% CO2 83%
  • 22. US CO2 Emissions Everything Else 3% Fossil Fuel 97%
  • 23. US Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions Commercial Residential 4% 7% Industrial Electricity Generation 17% 40% Transportation 32%
  • 24. Number Three • We already have technologies that can help us on the way – Efficiency – Renewable Energy – Coal-gasification with carbon sequestration
  • 25. Number Two • The behavioral challenges are much more daunting than the technological ones.
  • 26. Number One • Climate change isn’t likely to affect our generation. • We need to make changes for subsequent generations.