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November 2010

Non-Financial Risks
A focus on Operational Risk



Ben Gunnee – European Director, Mercer Sentinel


                        Mercer Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority
      Registered in England No. 984275 Registered Office: 1 Tower Place West, Tower Place, London
                                                                                           EC3R 5BU
2008 - The Year that put Non-Financial Risks on the Map
                     7 Sep ’08: US Government bails out Fannie
                     Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage                                                            15 Sep ’08: Bank of America buys
                     financiers. Agreeing to inject up to
                     US$100bn per company                                                                         Merrill Lynch inUS$50bn
                                                                                                                  emergency acquisition




                                                                                                                                                                          18 Sep’08:
17 Mar’ 08: Bear Stearns                                                  14 Sep ’08: Lehman, the 158                                                                     LloydsUS$22bn
collapses sold to JPMorgan for        Jul ’08: Alliance &                 year-old investment bank                                                                        Rescue take over of HBOS.
                                                                          files for bankruptcy after
US$20bn per share                     Leicester, was bought by
                                      Spanish bank Banco                  failing to attract Fed help,
                                                                                                                                                                          Government waives
                                                                                                                                                                          antitrust provision to
                                      Santander.                          or a buyer
                                                                                                                                                                          allow merger
                                                                                                                                                                                       21 Sep ’08: Governments of the
                                                       17 Jul ’07: Two Bear                                                                                                            Netherlands, Belgium and Luxembourg
                                                                                                                                                                                       agree to a partial nationalisation deal worth
                                                       Stearns hedge funds
                                                       investing in sub-prime                                                                                                          US$15.5bn
                                                       investment collapse                                                                                                             to stabilise Fortis. Subsequently, Fortis’
                                                                                                                                                                                       operations in Belgium and Luxembourg
                                                                                                                                                                                       were purchased by BNP Paribas for
                                                  2 Apr ’07: Bankruptcy
                                                  filing of New Century                                                                                                                US$20.1bn
                                                  Financial, one of the                          16 Aug ’07: Countrywide Financial, the
                                                  biggest sub-prime                              largest mortgage in the US run into liquidity
                                                  lenders in the US                              problems. Fed responded by a    50 bps
                                                                                                 cut of the discount rate
                                                                                                                                                 30 Sep ’08: Dexia
                                                                                                                                                 Partly Nationalised by
                                                                                                                                                 Governments of
                                                                                                                                                 Belgium, Luxemburg                                                           8 Oct ’08: UK Government
     10 Mar ’08: Further US$236bn                                                                                                                and the Netherlands in                                                       announces a scheme to provide
                                                                                        14–17 Sep ’07: Northern                                  a deal worth
     Boost from Treasury security loans                                                                                                                                                                                       £400bn of support to the
     and cash loans to banks in Europe
                                                   7 Mar’ 08:
                                                                                        Rock experienced a bank run
                                                                                        until a government blanket
                                                                                                                                                 US$9bn                                                                       banking sector including a capital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              injection and guarantees for banks’
                                                                                        guarantee was issued on 17
                                                   US$20bn                              Sep 07.                                    13 Oct ’08:                                                                                borrowings. Co-ordinated   50bps
                                                   Cash loan Fed                                                                   European Governments unveil                                                                benchmark rates cuts by all major
                                                   intervention to                                                                                                                                                            central banks. Nationalisation of all
                                                   banks and bond                                                                  €1.85tn co-ordinated plan to                                                               three major Icelandic banks
                                                   market dealers                                                                  recapitalise banks and guarantee
                                                                                                                                   banks’ borrowing. UK Government
                                                                                                                                   announces     £37bninvestments in
                                                                  16 Oct ’08:                                                      RBS, HBOS and Lloyds TSB. UAE
                                                                  UBS agrees “bad bank” deal with
                                                                  the central bank to take                                         Ministry offers US$19bn
                                                                                                                                   liquidity injection to banks
                                                                  US$60bn in toxic assets off
                                                                  its balance sheet inaddtion to a
                                                                  SFr6bn capital injection
                                                                                                 14 Oct ’08:
                                                                                                 US government guarantees
                                                                                                 new debt issued by banks for
                                                                                                 3 years and announces plans
                                                                                                 to injectUS$250bn
                                                                                                 in banks



         Mercer                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1
Non-Financial Risks versus Financial Risks



           Financial Risks
            Market                   Non-Financial Risks
            Credit                    Implementation
            Interest rate
                                      Operational
            Liquidity
                                      Reputation




         Non-financial risks can have a financial impact


Mercer                                                     2
Putting non-financial risk in context
Defining the key elements of operational risk

  Operational risk is the probability of a loss/cost resulting from inadequate or
    failed internal processes, people and systems, or from external events,
    including legal losses but excluding systemic and reputational losses1.

Key elements:                                      Loss classifications:
   Compliance & oversight framework                  those that occur frequently and entail
                                                     modest losses;
   Management & staff competence
                                                     those that occur infrequently but may
   Investment processes & controls
                                                     entail substantial losses
   Portfolio administration processes & controls
   Technology infrastructure support & controls
   Third-party contracts and outsourced
   relationships management & controls
   Security of physical and virtual assets


1. The Bank for International Settlements, 2004

Mercer                                                                                        3
Areas where Operational Risk exist




                                   Transition managers
                                                                       Dealers, market makers
                                                                       ECNs and dark pools

                     Investor




                                            Custodian, administrator
                                               & affiliated bank                      Depository &
                                                                                    Payment systems
                 Investment
                   Manager




    Lending agents
                                      Brokers &                        Clearing agents
                                commission arrangements




                                                                                                Direct or contract relationship
                                                                                                Relationship because of investor

Mercer                                                                                                                      4
Translating Operational and Implementation Risk into Costs
       A paradigm for evaluation



         Illustration using a
         global equity core
         example                                                                   Inefficient
                                                                  9 bps          administration


                                                                 50 bps          Unreclaimed
                                                                                    taxes
                                                                                                                   125 bps

                                        Excess return                              Excess
Median 5-year                            net explicit            38 bps            trading
global equity                              costs                                    costs                                        80 bps
                  80 bps
   alpha
                                            28 bps               28 bps

                Investment
                manager fee                                      Add back                                            Potential
                               45 bps                             implicit &                                       excess return
                                                                 opportunity                                        net explicit
                 Custody,                                           costs                                             costs
               accy. & admin   7 bps                    •All numbers are median, range data available on request
                   fees                                 ** Resources: Mercer MPA, Mercer Global Custody Database, Inalytics, Elkins McSherry,& Globe tax

      Mercer                                                                                                                                               5
Work still to be done


   Increased attention on operational activities, but still can do more


 80%
                      %
                   70
                                              %
 70%                                       67

 60%           %                   6%             56
                                                     %
            55                  % 5
                             52
                                                                                  %
 50%                                                                           46
                                                                                                                 %
                                                                  %                                           41
 40%                                                         % 38
                                                          36                                    %
                                                                                             33
 30%                                                                                     %
                                                                           %          23
                                                                        21
 20%                                                                                                      %
                                                                                                       13
 10%

  0%
          Stock lending?       Cash       Counterparty    Collateral   Transaction    Custodian     Review the back
                            management?    exposure?     management?     costs?       efficiency?   office controls at
                                                                                                     the investment
Red = 2008, Yellow = 2009                                                                               managers




Mercer                                                                                                                   6
Operational Risk
Investment Managers and Custodians
Many investors do not look beyond the shop window


Oh dear, yes; I know him extremely well," replied Mrs. Palmer;--"Not that
 I ever spoke to him, indeed; but I have seen him for ever in town."




Mercer                                                                      8
Investment manager operations are complex….


    Front office activities         Back office activities                            Middle office activities
   Investment     Transaction     Transaction      Core custody            Asset              Reporting        Service and
   management      initiation      processing        services           administration         and risk        relationship
                                 and settlement                         and reporting        management        management
                 Transaction     Counterparty       Safekeeping                              Cash and           Third party
    Portfolio                                                            Valuation                             relationship
                  order and                            and               reporting           currency
    modelling     execution      confirmations                                                                 management
                                                    registration                            management
                   Transaction                                                              Admin. functions    Securities
                                                   Corporate actions
    Research      Support cash
                                  Transaction     & income collection        Tax             (restructures     lending and FX
                   & currency                                             reporting                             execution
                  management)    authentication    & administration
                                                                                             & transitions)    management
                                                      management

                     Risk                                                                                        Research
   Investment    management       Transacting                                               Management         house surveys
                                                     Proxy              Performance
     decision    and pre-trade                                            reporting          reporting         & consultant
                  compliance      processing       notification                                                   liaison

    Strategic                                                            Admin. functions       expense
                                    Trade              Tax                 hedge and           Fee rebate,
     advice                                        withholding             alternative
                                  settlement                                                verification and
                                                                                                payments
                                                   and reclaim            investments

   Portfolio                                                                                   Post trade
 constructions                                      Cash and                                compliance and
                                                     liquidity          Unit pricing             risk
                                                    reporting                                 management

   Product                                                                                  Systems and
 developments                                        Asset              Unit registry        technology
                                                    valuation                                  support

   Sales and
   marketing                                        Securities           Cash flow
                                                     lending            management

Mercer                                                                                                                          9
Inefficiency Erodes Alpha! - What Gets Measured gets Managed



                                   Custodian       Commission
             Fund Manager                                               Securities
                                                    Recapture
                 Fees                Fees                             Lending Share
                                                      Share

     ently
Appar d
      e
 Manag
   but…




                      FUND MANAGERS // CUSTODIANS
                      FUND MANAGERS CUSTODIANS

             Manager/custodian interface         Securities lending
             Trading costs                       Interest rates
     ge
Leaka        Custodian’s process                 Income collection
      s
 occur
             Foreign exchange                    Commission recapture



                                   Opportunity                            Opportunity
   Mercer                            Costs                                  Costs       10
A model for assessing operational risks


   Pre-onsite                           Onsite work                      Assessment                     On-going

Build knowledge                                                  Documentation                   Focus on the
                               Trust but verify
      base                                                       & perspective                      issues

Due diligence questionnaire   Comprehensive work               Work papers completed on-       Assign follow-up priority
                              program                          site                            based on overall assessment
General research
                              Behind-the-scenes, desk-side     Two levels of peer review and   Critical feedback forms basis
Questionnaire analysis                                         technical checking              of on-going dialogue
                              review and process
leading to report pre-write
                              confirmation with staff          Assign ratings
Work program review
                              Controls demonstration and       Adjust expectations for firm
On-site responsibilities      validation                       size and institutionalization
assigned
                              On-site at operations centers,   Provide manager with critical
                              including 3rd parties and        feedback & verify on-site
                              multiple geographical            observations
                              locations
                                                               Validate ratings and opinions
                              Observations of “the life of a
                              trade/investment” in practice    Issue summary report with
                                                               detail report available upon
                              Validate pre-write and           request
                              evaluate control culture



                                From paper to practice

 Mercer                                                                                                                        11
Summary Points



                 Understand your potential operational and
                 implementation risk sources
                 Identify clearly who is responsible for what and ensure
                 your contracts and service level agreements reflect
                 these arrangements
                 Evaluate your custodian’s/administrator’s systems,
                 history, capabilities and controls
                 Assess your managers and key service providers,
                 including services, operations, execution and internal
                 controls
                 Establish mechanisms to assess the reasonability
                 of your explicit and implicit costs




Mercer                                                                    12
Mercer Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority
Registered in England No. 984275 Registered Office: 1 Tower Place West, Tower Place, London
                                                                                     EC3R 5BU

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Non-Financial Risks: A focus on Operational Risk

  • 1. November 2010 Non-Financial Risks A focus on Operational Risk Ben Gunnee – European Director, Mercer Sentinel Mercer Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Registered in England No. 984275 Registered Office: 1 Tower Place West, Tower Place, London EC3R 5BU
  • 2. 2008 - The Year that put Non-Financial Risks on the Map 7 Sep ’08: US Government bails out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage 15 Sep ’08: Bank of America buys financiers. Agreeing to inject up to US$100bn per company Merrill Lynch inUS$50bn emergency acquisition 18 Sep’08: 17 Mar’ 08: Bear Stearns 14 Sep ’08: Lehman, the 158 LloydsUS$22bn collapses sold to JPMorgan for Jul ’08: Alliance & year-old investment bank Rescue take over of HBOS. files for bankruptcy after US$20bn per share Leicester, was bought by Spanish bank Banco failing to attract Fed help, Government waives antitrust provision to Santander. or a buyer allow merger 21 Sep ’08: Governments of the 17 Jul ’07: Two Bear Netherlands, Belgium and Luxembourg agree to a partial nationalisation deal worth Stearns hedge funds investing in sub-prime US$15.5bn investment collapse to stabilise Fortis. Subsequently, Fortis’ operations in Belgium and Luxembourg were purchased by BNP Paribas for 2 Apr ’07: Bankruptcy filing of New Century US$20.1bn Financial, one of the 16 Aug ’07: Countrywide Financial, the biggest sub-prime largest mortgage in the US run into liquidity lenders in the US problems. Fed responded by a 50 bps cut of the discount rate 30 Sep ’08: Dexia Partly Nationalised by Governments of Belgium, Luxemburg 8 Oct ’08: UK Government 10 Mar ’08: Further US$236bn and the Netherlands in announces a scheme to provide 14–17 Sep ’07: Northern a deal worth Boost from Treasury security loans £400bn of support to the and cash loans to banks in Europe 7 Mar’ 08: Rock experienced a bank run until a government blanket US$9bn banking sector including a capital injection and guarantees for banks’ guarantee was issued on 17 US$20bn Sep 07. 13 Oct ’08: borrowings. Co-ordinated 50bps Cash loan Fed European Governments unveil benchmark rates cuts by all major intervention to central banks. Nationalisation of all banks and bond €1.85tn co-ordinated plan to three major Icelandic banks market dealers recapitalise banks and guarantee banks’ borrowing. UK Government announces £37bninvestments in 16 Oct ’08: RBS, HBOS and Lloyds TSB. UAE UBS agrees “bad bank” deal with the central bank to take Ministry offers US$19bn liquidity injection to banks US$60bn in toxic assets off its balance sheet inaddtion to a SFr6bn capital injection 14 Oct ’08: US government guarantees new debt issued by banks for 3 years and announces plans to injectUS$250bn in banks Mercer 1
  • 3. Non-Financial Risks versus Financial Risks Financial Risks Market Non-Financial Risks Credit Implementation Interest rate Operational Liquidity Reputation Non-financial risks can have a financial impact Mercer 2
  • 4. Putting non-financial risk in context Defining the key elements of operational risk Operational risk is the probability of a loss/cost resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems, or from external events, including legal losses but excluding systemic and reputational losses1. Key elements: Loss classifications: Compliance & oversight framework those that occur frequently and entail modest losses; Management & staff competence those that occur infrequently but may Investment processes & controls entail substantial losses Portfolio administration processes & controls Technology infrastructure support & controls Third-party contracts and outsourced relationships management & controls Security of physical and virtual assets 1. The Bank for International Settlements, 2004 Mercer 3
  • 5. Areas where Operational Risk exist Transition managers Dealers, market makers ECNs and dark pools Investor Custodian, administrator & affiliated bank Depository & Payment systems Investment Manager Lending agents Brokers & Clearing agents commission arrangements Direct or contract relationship Relationship because of investor Mercer 4
  • 6. Translating Operational and Implementation Risk into Costs A paradigm for evaluation Illustration using a global equity core example Inefficient 9 bps administration 50 bps Unreclaimed taxes 125 bps Excess return Excess Median 5-year net explicit 38 bps trading global equity costs costs 80 bps 80 bps alpha 28 bps 28 bps Investment manager fee Add back Potential 45 bps implicit & excess return opportunity net explicit Custody, costs costs accy. & admin 7 bps •All numbers are median, range data available on request fees ** Resources: Mercer MPA, Mercer Global Custody Database, Inalytics, Elkins McSherry,& Globe tax Mercer 5
  • 7. Work still to be done Increased attention on operational activities, but still can do more 80% % 70 % 70% 67 60% % 6% 56 % 55 % 5 52 % 50% 46 % % 41 40% % 38 36 % 33 30% % % 23 21 20% % 13 10% 0% Stock lending? Cash Counterparty Collateral Transaction Custodian Review the back management? exposure? management? costs? efficiency? office controls at the investment Red = 2008, Yellow = 2009 managers Mercer 6
  • 9. Many investors do not look beyond the shop window Oh dear, yes; I know him extremely well," replied Mrs. Palmer;--"Not that I ever spoke to him, indeed; but I have seen him for ever in town." Mercer 8
  • 10. Investment manager operations are complex…. Front office activities Back office activities Middle office activities Investment Transaction Transaction Core custody Asset Reporting Service and management initiation processing services administration and risk relationship and settlement and reporting management management Transaction Counterparty Safekeeping Cash and Third party Portfolio Valuation relationship order and and reporting currency modelling execution confirmations management registration management Transaction Admin. functions Securities Corporate actions Research Support cash Transaction & income collection Tax (restructures lending and FX & currency reporting execution management) authentication & administration & transitions) management management Risk Research Investment management Transacting Management house surveys Proxy Performance decision and pre-trade reporting reporting & consultant compliance processing notification liaison Strategic Admin. functions expense Trade Tax hedge and Fee rebate, advice withholding alternative settlement verification and payments and reclaim investments Portfolio Post trade constructions Cash and compliance and liquidity Unit pricing risk reporting management Product Systems and developments Asset Unit registry technology valuation support Sales and marketing Securities Cash flow lending management Mercer 9
  • 11. Inefficiency Erodes Alpha! - What Gets Measured gets Managed Custodian Commission Fund Manager Securities Recapture Fees Fees Lending Share Share ently Appar d e Manag but… FUND MANAGERS // CUSTODIANS FUND MANAGERS CUSTODIANS Manager/custodian interface Securities lending Trading costs Interest rates ge Leaka Custodian’s process Income collection s occur Foreign exchange Commission recapture Opportunity Opportunity Mercer Costs Costs 10
  • 12. A model for assessing operational risks Pre-onsite Onsite work Assessment On-going Build knowledge Documentation Focus on the Trust but verify base & perspective issues Due diligence questionnaire Comprehensive work Work papers completed on- Assign follow-up priority program site based on overall assessment General research Behind-the-scenes, desk-side Two levels of peer review and Critical feedback forms basis Questionnaire analysis technical checking of on-going dialogue review and process leading to report pre-write confirmation with staff Assign ratings Work program review Controls demonstration and Adjust expectations for firm On-site responsibilities validation size and institutionalization assigned On-site at operations centers, Provide manager with critical including 3rd parties and feedback & verify on-site multiple geographical observations locations Validate ratings and opinions Observations of “the life of a trade/investment” in practice Issue summary report with detail report available upon Validate pre-write and request evaluate control culture From paper to practice Mercer 11
  • 13. Summary Points Understand your potential operational and implementation risk sources Identify clearly who is responsible for what and ensure your contracts and service level agreements reflect these arrangements Evaluate your custodian’s/administrator’s systems, history, capabilities and controls Assess your managers and key service providers, including services, operations, execution and internal controls Establish mechanisms to assess the reasonability of your explicit and implicit costs Mercer 12
  • 14. Mercer Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Registered in England No. 984275 Registered Office: 1 Tower Place West, Tower Place, London EC3R 5BU