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Our future world.
1.
2. • More from less
• Going, going ... gone?
• The silk highway
• Forever young
• Virtually here
• Great expectations
3. • More people
• A bigger world economy
• Global water scarcity
• Increasing domestic water demand
• Increasing energy consumption
• Increasing global energy demand
• Energy investment
4. • Increasing carbon emissions & new
markets
• Global food demand & supply
challenges
• Higher & more volatile food prices
• Increased biofuel production
• Resource conflicts
• Declining mineral ore grades & the rise
of recycling
6. • Biodiversity decline
• No signs of slowing
• Habitat fragmentation
• Deforestation
• Increasing the number of protected areas
7. • Efforts towards the protection of critical
biodiversity sites are increasing
• Climate change impact
• Extent of climate change impacts
• Emissions & climate change forecast
• Impact of climate change on biodiversity
10. • The shifting hotspot of world economic activity
• Near term growth forecasts for world regions
• The rise of China
• Building a new world economy with BRICS
• A growing middle class
• Strong economic ties with Asia
• Investment into Australia
• Tourism as a growth export industry for
Australia
11. • Highs & possible future lows of global
commodity prices
• Economic growth in China forecast to slow –
but a soft landing likely
• Rise of industrialisation & steel use to slow in
China
• Will India pick up the slack?
• Increasing commodity supply from developing
countries
• The Switzerland of Asia?
14. • A new demographic profile
• The situation in Japan
• The whole world is getting older
• Longer life spans
• Retirement savings gap
• Changed retirement models
15. • Lifestyle related illnesses
• Diabetes on the rise
• Fitness trend
• Healthcare expenditure
• Staying active
18. • The rise of the digital world can change
business models
• Structural change in the retail sector fuelled by
online competition
• The rise of internet enabled micro-transaction
• A consumer trend – collaborative consumption
19. • The potential demand for teleworking
• The “Anywhere Working City”
• From offices to open plan, to activity based
to...?
• Background operations
• Freelancing models
• Offshoring
• Virtual crime & cyber security threats
22. • Moving upwards through Maslow’s hierarchy
• Declining relative material consumption
• Education spending is on the rise
• Australians have increased spending on culture &
entertainment
• Innovative personalisation
• Tourism bounced back from the global financial downturn
• Retail turnover is growing in the experience oriented sectors &
contracting in the products oriented sectors
• Rising importance of moral and ethical dimensions for
consumers
23. • Humans are complex and income growth & class ascendancy
can be associated with negative behaviours
• Loneliness & single person households
• The expectation for face-to-face interaction
• The expectation for fewer but stronger social relations
• Basic (not great) expectations for billions of people
• The millennium development goals
• Heading in the right direction, but still so far to go
27. • Large levels of government debt internationally
Reduced policy options
Currency wars, inflationary pressures
• Shifting government priorities – consumer
directed care, mutual obligation, decline of the
welfare society
• Shifting global power & centres of influence, oil
& energy
30. • Tribalism – more connected to tighter groups (not
necessarily geographic) social media, nationalism
• Relative decline of the middle class
• Younger for longer – baby boomers last generation to
die? Refuse to act old, high baby boomers, ageing,
• Gen Y, centennials have different attitudes –
immediacy, short termism, entitlement, lacking the
scarcity fears of immediate post war boomers
• More pressured society – depression, drug & alcohol
dependency on the rise