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An introduction to the geology behind Carbon
 Capture & Storage and Enhanced Geothermal




                          Logan West
                          Beijing Energy Network
                          6 Jan. 2010
   Three types of rocks
    ◦ 1. Sedimentary – sandstone, limestone, shale

    ◦ 2. Igneous – granite, basalt

    ◦ 3. Metamorphic – marble, quartzite
The Earth’s Layers   Plate Tectonics
Source: IPCC, 2005
   What do with the CO2?
    ◦ Not up
    ◦ Not in the oceans
    ◦ How about the subsurface
   So what does the subsurface look like?




                        ?
Realistically, sometimes
Idealized Subsurface
                       complicated
   For the purposes of CCS, we are interested
    sedimentary basins, depressions in the earth’s crust
    into which sediments accumulate. They often have a
    bowl shape.
   Three main zones for CO2 injection:
    ◦ Oil and Gas Reservoirs
    ◦ Deep Saline Aquifers
    ◦ Coal Beds
   CO2 is injected in a supercritical state (31.1° degrees C, >7.39MPa) so
                                                   C
    it behaves like a gas but with a density of a liquid
    ◦   Doesn’t float away as quickly or easily
   Subsurface accumulations of oil and gas that are contained in
    porous rock layers and trapped by an impermeable formation above
    (caprock)
   Common Reservoir Rock: sandstone, limestone, and dolomite
   Common Caprock: shale, evaporite, or mudstone
   With respect to CCS, they can be used for Enhanced Oil Recovery
    (EOR) and Enhanced Gas Recovery




                                                  Source: IPCC, 2005
   An aquifer is a body of permeable rock in which considerable amounts of
    water can be stored and through which groundwater flows
   Geologically, it is essentially the same as an oil or gas reservoir. The greatest
    difference is that the fluid contained in aquifers is majority water rather than
    hydrocarbons.
   Shallow aquifers are often used for drinking, the depth and high salinity of
    these aquifers make them undesirable for drinking, agriculture or industry




                                                                     Source: CO2 capture project
   More unknown option
   Due to the nature of the coal, CO2 will typically adsorb onto external
    pockets along coal deposits and overtime is absorbed into the coal
   A driving factor for Coal bed storage is the opportunity for Enhanced
    Coal Bed Methane recovery (ECBM) in which CO2 replaces Methane
    (CH4) on the
   1. Stratigraphic Trapping
    ◦ A good caprock should be:
       Laterally extensive
       Will prevent vertical migration (low permeability, high capillary entry pressure,
        hydrocarbon trapping)
       Expectations that present faults and fractures will seal
       Adequate Rheological Properties




                                                 Info Source: WRI CCS Guidelines, 2008
                                                 Images Source: http://www.co2captureproject.org/
   Stratigraphic Trapping
   Structural Trapping
    ◦ Heterogeneities
    ◦ Not only caprock blocks CO2




                                    Source: http://www.co2captureproject.org/(left);
   Stratigraphic Trapping
   Structural Trapping
   Residual Trapping
    ◦ Stuck in the pore space




                                Source: http://www.co2captureproject.org/
   Stratigraphic Trapping
   Structural Trapping
   Residual Trapping
   Solubility Trapping
    ◦ CO2 dissolves into water
    ◦ No longer buoyant
      Hydraulic Trapping




          CO2 (g) + H20  H2CO3  HCO3- + H+  CO32- + 2H+




                                                    Source: http://www.co2captureproject.org
   Stratigraphic Trapping
   Structural Trapping
   Residual Trapping
   Solubility Trapping
   Mineralization
    ◦ Bicarbonate (HCO3) formation
    ◦ Once it’s in mineral (i.e. solid) form, it’s stuck for
      millions of years
       3  KAlSi3O8   2H 2O  2CO2  KAl2  OH 2  AlSi3O10   6SiO2  2K   2HCO3
                                                                                      




       3  NaAlSi3O8  +2H 2O+2CO2  NaAl2  OH 2  AlSi3O10  +6SiO2 + 2Na + + 2HCO3
                                                                                     -




         3  CaAl2Si 2O8  +4H 2O+4CO2  CaAl4  OH 4  AlSi3O10 2 + 2Ca(HCO3 ) 2
Storage Mechanisms   Storage Risks

Source: WRI, 2008
   Key Parameters:
    ◦ Capacity  Can it hold all the CO2?
       Factors: size of reservoir, volume of pore space, CO2 density
    ◦ Containment  Will it stay there?
       Factors: Caprock Integrity, effect of other storage mechanisms
    ◦ Injectivity  Can we pump it in as fast as it’s piped to the site?
       Factors:Permeability


   Basin Depth between 800–3000m – for supercritical state
    ◦ Behaves like a gas but dense like a fluid (keeps it from “floating” away
      quickly)
   Economics
   Conflict of interest (minerals, petroleum, water)
   Protected areas
   Population
   Etc.




                                   Image Source: The World Bank, The cost of pollution in China, 2007
   Thorough Site Selection and Characterization

   Monitoring plan
    ◦ Start prior to injection
    ◦ Continue decades after injection

   Reservoir Models
    ◦ Create as you learn about the geology
    ◦ Update with monitoring data
    ◦ Use to predict how CO2 will move overtime


   Risk Analysis
    ◦ Identify known storage risks
    ◦ Create plans for how to protect against them
    ◦ Be prepared with plans if leakage does occur       Seismic Monitoring


                                                     Source: IPCC, 2005
   Similar anthropogenic projects or natural formations
       ◦ Acid gas (H2S) underground injection
       ◦ Liquid waste underground injection
       ◦ Natural CO2 reservoir
      Thus far proven in CO2 Storage demonstrations




In Salah, Algeria
                                                              Sleipner, Norway

                           Weyburn, Canada

      IPCC Quote:           “Observations from engineered and natural analogues
                             as well as models suggest that the fraction retained
                             in appropriately selected and managed geological
                             reservoirs is very likely25 to exceed 99% over 100 years
                             and is likely20 to exceed 99% over 1,000 years.”
                                                               Source: IPCC, 2005
   CO2 in heavy concentrations (>7-10% air
    composition can lead to human death)
    ◦ Is denser than air so can accumulate in low lying areas until
      is dispersed by wind

   Forms carbonic acid in water
    ◦ Render water non-potable, bad for agriculture
    ◦ Can leach heavy metals

   Can lead to acidification of soil
    ◦ Bad for organisms
    ◦ Can leach heavy metals – worse for organisms

   There are means of remediation to plug leaks and
    minimize impacts

                                                              Source: IPCC, 2005
Emissions for Storage
Storage Prospectivity
                        Regions

                                           Source: APEC 2005
   NRDC:


              Source: http://www.nrdc.org/international/chinaccs/default.asp




 PNNL:  China may have 2,300 Gt (>100yr demand)
 of onshore CO2 storage capacity:
   • 2,290 Gt in deep saline formations
   • 12 Gt in coal seams
   • 4.6 Gt in oil fields
   • 4.3 Gt in gas fields
            Source: PNNL, Establishing China’s Potential for Large Scale, Cost Effective Deployment of
            Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage, October 2009, PNNL-SA-68786
     Storage in China faces several challenges
        ◦    Geological Complexity
        ◦    Local Capacity Issues for EOR
        ◦    Unmarked, poor quality wells – potential leakage sources
        ◦    Data Accessibility – overall lack of data, data that exists often proprietary to oil,
             gas, and mining companies

                                               Capacity
                                              Envelope -
                                  Data                     Geological                                                 Reservoir      Pipeline   Conflicts of
                                              Volume and                Containment    Injectivity   Well Integrity
                               Availability                Complexity                                                 Availability   Distance    Interest
                                               Reservoir
                                                Quality
Dagang Oilfield Province

Shengli Oilfield Province

Huimin Sag Saline Formations

Kailuan Mining Area


                                                                            Low risk
                                                                         Medium risk
                                                                           High risk




         Image showing relative risk in possible storage fields in China’s Bohai Basin

                                                                        Source: Espie, T. COACH WP4: Recommendations and Guidelines for Implementation
                                                                                         COACH-NZEC Conference, 28 Oct. 2009
• Further analysis doesn’t necessarily support theoretical estimates

     Storage capacity
      ◦ oil fields: from 10 to
        500MtCO2

      ◦ Deep saline aquifers: ~
        20GtCO2

      ◦ Coal mines: 500GtCO2
        BUT availability and
        injectivity questionned
        due to extremely low
        permeability



                                         Source: Kalaydjian, F. Key findings from NZEC Phase I: COACH Overview
                                         Presented at NZEC-COACH Conference, Oct. 28, 2009
   Continue In-depth investigation to achieve
    more realistic capacity estimates and identify
    exact storage sites
   Improve access to data
   Begin storage demonstration projects
   Continue to improve reservoir modeling and
    characterization technology
   Define tools and best-practice for site
    characterization and monitoring
ENHANCED GEOTHERMAL
SYSTEMS (EGS)
WHAT DOES GEOTHERMAL MEAN?
   The Earth’s core is ~5,500C.
      Convection, Conduction, and Radiation transport
       heat to the crust

   Geothermal Gradient
     Average surface temperature is 15C
     Temperature increases with depth at a rate ranging
      from 15 C/km to 50 C/km
HOW DO WE USE GEOTHERMAL ENERGY?
      Direct Use: Heat Pumps, Bathing, Space
       Heating, etc
            2000  75,000+ GWh worldwide usage

      Electric Power Generation: via steam powered
       turbines
            2003  56,000+ GWh worldwide usage




Source:Glitner US Geothermal Energy Market Report 2007
WHAT ARE ENHANCED GEOTHERMAL
SYSTEMS (EGS)?
   Hydrothermal Energy: natural hot springs
     Shallow: < 3km depth
     In situ, High Temp Water: > 150C
     Limited Resources


   Enhanced Geothermal
     Deep: 3 – 10km depth
     Hot Rocks: Temperatures ranging 150 to 400+C
     No Natural Reservoir: Reservoir must be created and
      water pumped in
     Vast Resources
BEST EGS REGIONS
   Looking for High Heat Flow and/or High
    Temperature Gradients
     Plate Boundaries – Geologically Active
     Sedimentary Basins
USA GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES




Source: MIT Future of Geothermal Energy, 2006
Simplified cartoon rendering of EGS plant (left) and schematic of Geothermal Binary Power Plant (right): http://www.geothermal-energy.org/geo/geoenergy.php
KEYS FOR SUCCESS
   Most important factor is Flow Rate
     Combination of permeability, volume of fractured
      rock, surface area of fractured rock
     Need to have as little loss of water as possible
POTENTIAL FOR EGS
           USA Recoverable Resource :                                         1



               In the USA alone, 28.95 million Terrawatt hours
               Could power the world for 590 years at 2007
                consumption levels
               Other countries beginning to do analyses

           Predicted USA Development of EGS through the
            year 2050 (MWe) :                         2




                  2015                                2025                               2050
                  1,000                               10,000                             130,000




1: Values from MIT Future of Geothermal Energy (2006) and BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2007 2: NREL Geothermal Resources Estimates for the US 2006
ADVANTAGES OF EGS
 Renewable
 Energy Security
     Limits demand for fossil fuels
     Every Nation possesses some geothermal resource

   Baseload Power Source
     Constant, non-fluctuating energy
     Hydrothermal Plants operate at 95% capacity

   Economically competitive
     Cost currently estimated 8-14 cents/hr
     Tremendous incentive for natural technology growth

   Minimal Environmental Impact
ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS OF EGS
          Near Zero Emissions*
Environmental                           Carbon Dioxide                          Sulfur Dioxide (SO2)   Nitrogen Oxide
Emissions for U.S.                      (CO2)                                   (Lbs/MWh)              (NOx)
Power Plants                            (Lbs/MWh)                                                      (Lbs/MWh)
     New Coal Plant**                                  2068                              3.6                   2.96
      Old Coal Plant                                   2191                             10.39                  4.31
 New Natural Gas Plant                                  850                             0.018                  0.31
   Geothermal Flash
                                                         60                            .35***                   0
        Plant
  Geothermal Binary
                                                          0                              0                      0
        Plant


          Limited Plant Surface Area*
                 7x less than Nuclear; 35x less than Coal
          Induced Seismicity comparable to oil, gas, and
           mining operations
* Data from NREL Geothermal Report
** New = Coal Plants built in 1990s; natural gas combined cycle plants built in 2002
*** This is indirectly
POTENTIAL PROBLEMS
         Induced Seismicity
           Hydrofracturing rocks by nature sets of micro-
            earthquakes
           Recorded magnitude 3.2 earthquake in Basel,
            Switzerland argued to be caused by local EGS plant
           There are over 130,000 Magnitude 3-3.9 earthquakes
            in the world each year with minimal damage at most1
           A magnitude 4.9 (almost 100x greater than Basel)
            occurred in Yunnan New Year’s Day 2010. It received
            no press.
         Technological Difficulties


1: USGS
WHAT STAGE IS EGS DEVELOPMENT AT?
      Successes :            1




          Pilot projects can create reservoirs, generate power on the
           scale of a few megawatts
          Power plants already capable of converting supercritical
           water (temp of 400 C) into electricity
      Technological Obstacles:
          Better control of reservoir creation
          Drilling equipment withstand > 5km depth and 200C
           environment
          Maintaining a commercially viable, production flow rate

      Economic Obstacles :                        2




          Capital Intensive (drilling and plant construction)
          Overcoming initial “Valley of Death” investment (est.
           US$3.5 million per MW)
1: Source – MIT Future of Geothermal Energy 2006       2: Glitner US Geothermal Energy Market Report 2007
GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES OF CHINA:
HEAT FLOW




 Source: Hu et. al., 2001
GEOTHERMAL REGIONS OF CHINA

   High Grade                                                           Medium to Low Grade




Source: Pang, 2009 http://english.iggcas.ac.cn/pangzhonghe/index.html
CHINA, GEOTHERMAL, & EGS
        China is the world leader in total Direct Use
         geothermal energy                           1




        China only utilizes 5% of hydrothermal resources it
         deems economically exploitable                                            2




        Southwest China (Tibet, Sichuan, and Yunnan) and
         the Southeast Pacific coast possess large high-grade
         geothermal resources                              2




        Sedimentary Basins (also a key source) cover 36% of
         China         3




        Currently China has only one hydrothermal power
         plant in operation at Yangbajain (28 MW) providing
         ½ of Lhasa’s electricity                              2




        If China were to possess only 1/10th of the recoverable
         resources of the USA, it could still meet its 2008
         primary energy demand for 333 years                                                      4




1: Glitnir US Geothermal Energy Market Report 2007; 2: Ministry of Land and Resources; 3: Pang, Z. 2009; 4: Calculations from Data of MIT & BP Reports
POTENTIAL NEXT STEPS FOR CHINA
   Conduct full Geothermal resource assessment
       Already has plans for new hydrothermal resource
        assessment
 Promote investment of deep drilling technology
  investment and other Geothermal Technologies
 Further develop its hydrothermal resources

 Plan for EGS pilot plants based on finding of
  geothermal resource assessment
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
 Tsinghua-BP Center
 World Resources Institute

 National Resources Defense Council

 Princeton In Asia

 Zhang Dongjie

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LW BEER 1.6.10

  • 1. An introduction to the geology behind Carbon Capture & Storage and Enhanced Geothermal Logan West Beijing Energy Network 6 Jan. 2010
  • 2. Three types of rocks ◦ 1. Sedimentary – sandstone, limestone, shale ◦ 2. Igneous – granite, basalt ◦ 3. Metamorphic – marble, quartzite
  • 3. The Earth’s Layers Plate Tectonics
  • 5. What do with the CO2? ◦ Not up ◦ Not in the oceans ◦ How about the subsurface
  • 6. So what does the subsurface look like? ?
  • 8. For the purposes of CCS, we are interested sedimentary basins, depressions in the earth’s crust into which sediments accumulate. They often have a bowl shape.
  • 9. Three main zones for CO2 injection: ◦ Oil and Gas Reservoirs ◦ Deep Saline Aquifers ◦ Coal Beds  CO2 is injected in a supercritical state (31.1° degrees C, >7.39MPa) so C it behaves like a gas but with a density of a liquid ◦ Doesn’t float away as quickly or easily
  • 10. Subsurface accumulations of oil and gas that are contained in porous rock layers and trapped by an impermeable formation above (caprock)  Common Reservoir Rock: sandstone, limestone, and dolomite  Common Caprock: shale, evaporite, or mudstone  With respect to CCS, they can be used for Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) and Enhanced Gas Recovery Source: IPCC, 2005
  • 11. An aquifer is a body of permeable rock in which considerable amounts of water can be stored and through which groundwater flows  Geologically, it is essentially the same as an oil or gas reservoir. The greatest difference is that the fluid contained in aquifers is majority water rather than hydrocarbons.  Shallow aquifers are often used for drinking, the depth and high salinity of these aquifers make them undesirable for drinking, agriculture or industry Source: CO2 capture project
  • 12. More unknown option  Due to the nature of the coal, CO2 will typically adsorb onto external pockets along coal deposits and overtime is absorbed into the coal  A driving factor for Coal bed storage is the opportunity for Enhanced Coal Bed Methane recovery (ECBM) in which CO2 replaces Methane (CH4) on the
  • 13. 1. Stratigraphic Trapping ◦ A good caprock should be:  Laterally extensive  Will prevent vertical migration (low permeability, high capillary entry pressure, hydrocarbon trapping)  Expectations that present faults and fractures will seal  Adequate Rheological Properties Info Source: WRI CCS Guidelines, 2008 Images Source: http://www.co2captureproject.org/
  • 14. Stratigraphic Trapping  Structural Trapping ◦ Heterogeneities ◦ Not only caprock blocks CO2 Source: http://www.co2captureproject.org/(left);
  • 15. Stratigraphic Trapping  Structural Trapping  Residual Trapping ◦ Stuck in the pore space Source: http://www.co2captureproject.org/
  • 16. Stratigraphic Trapping  Structural Trapping  Residual Trapping  Solubility Trapping ◦ CO2 dissolves into water ◦ No longer buoyant  Hydraulic Trapping CO2 (g) + H20  H2CO3  HCO3- + H+  CO32- + 2H+ Source: http://www.co2captureproject.org
  • 17. Stratigraphic Trapping  Structural Trapping  Residual Trapping  Solubility Trapping  Mineralization ◦ Bicarbonate (HCO3) formation ◦ Once it’s in mineral (i.e. solid) form, it’s stuck for millions of years 3  KAlSi3O8   2H 2O  2CO2  KAl2  OH 2  AlSi3O10   6SiO2  2K   2HCO3  3  NaAlSi3O8  +2H 2O+2CO2  NaAl2  OH 2  AlSi3O10  +6SiO2 + 2Na + + 2HCO3 - 3  CaAl2Si 2O8  +4H 2O+4CO2  CaAl4  OH 4  AlSi3O10 2 + 2Ca(HCO3 ) 2
  • 18. Storage Mechanisms Storage Risks Source: WRI, 2008
  • 19. Key Parameters: ◦ Capacity  Can it hold all the CO2?  Factors: size of reservoir, volume of pore space, CO2 density ◦ Containment  Will it stay there?  Factors: Caprock Integrity, effect of other storage mechanisms ◦ Injectivity  Can we pump it in as fast as it’s piped to the site?  Factors:Permeability  Basin Depth between 800–3000m – for supercritical state ◦ Behaves like a gas but dense like a fluid (keeps it from “floating” away quickly)
  • 20. Economics  Conflict of interest (minerals, petroleum, water)  Protected areas  Population  Etc. Image Source: The World Bank, The cost of pollution in China, 2007
  • 21. Thorough Site Selection and Characterization  Monitoring plan ◦ Start prior to injection ◦ Continue decades after injection  Reservoir Models ◦ Create as you learn about the geology ◦ Update with monitoring data ◦ Use to predict how CO2 will move overtime  Risk Analysis ◦ Identify known storage risks ◦ Create plans for how to protect against them ◦ Be prepared with plans if leakage does occur Seismic Monitoring Source: IPCC, 2005
  • 22. Similar anthropogenic projects or natural formations ◦ Acid gas (H2S) underground injection ◦ Liquid waste underground injection ◦ Natural CO2 reservoir  Thus far proven in CO2 Storage demonstrations In Salah, Algeria Sleipner, Norway Weyburn, Canada  IPCC Quote: “Observations from engineered and natural analogues as well as models suggest that the fraction retained in appropriately selected and managed geological reservoirs is very likely25 to exceed 99% over 100 years and is likely20 to exceed 99% over 1,000 years.” Source: IPCC, 2005
  • 23. CO2 in heavy concentrations (>7-10% air composition can lead to human death) ◦ Is denser than air so can accumulate in low lying areas until is dispersed by wind  Forms carbonic acid in water ◦ Render water non-potable, bad for agriculture ◦ Can leach heavy metals  Can lead to acidification of soil ◦ Bad for organisms ◦ Can leach heavy metals – worse for organisms  There are means of remediation to plug leaks and minimize impacts Source: IPCC, 2005
  • 24. Emissions for Storage Storage Prospectivity Regions Source: APEC 2005
  • 25. NRDC: Source: http://www.nrdc.org/international/chinaccs/default.asp  PNNL: China may have 2,300 Gt (>100yr demand) of onshore CO2 storage capacity: • 2,290 Gt in deep saline formations • 12 Gt in coal seams • 4.6 Gt in oil fields • 4.3 Gt in gas fields Source: PNNL, Establishing China’s Potential for Large Scale, Cost Effective Deployment of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage, October 2009, PNNL-SA-68786
  • 26. Storage in China faces several challenges ◦ Geological Complexity ◦ Local Capacity Issues for EOR ◦ Unmarked, poor quality wells – potential leakage sources ◦ Data Accessibility – overall lack of data, data that exists often proprietary to oil, gas, and mining companies Capacity Envelope - Data Geological Reservoir Pipeline Conflicts of Volume and Containment Injectivity Well Integrity Availability Complexity Availability Distance Interest Reservoir Quality Dagang Oilfield Province Shengli Oilfield Province Huimin Sag Saline Formations Kailuan Mining Area Low risk Medium risk High risk Image showing relative risk in possible storage fields in China’s Bohai Basin Source: Espie, T. COACH WP4: Recommendations and Guidelines for Implementation COACH-NZEC Conference, 28 Oct. 2009
  • 27. • Further analysis doesn’t necessarily support theoretical estimates  Storage capacity ◦ oil fields: from 10 to 500MtCO2 ◦ Deep saline aquifers: ~ 20GtCO2 ◦ Coal mines: 500GtCO2 BUT availability and injectivity questionned due to extremely low permeability Source: Kalaydjian, F. Key findings from NZEC Phase I: COACH Overview Presented at NZEC-COACH Conference, Oct. 28, 2009
  • 28. Continue In-depth investigation to achieve more realistic capacity estimates and identify exact storage sites  Improve access to data  Begin storage demonstration projects  Continue to improve reservoir modeling and characterization technology  Define tools and best-practice for site characterization and monitoring
  • 30. WHAT DOES GEOTHERMAL MEAN?  The Earth’s core is ~5,500C.  Convection, Conduction, and Radiation transport heat to the crust  Geothermal Gradient  Average surface temperature is 15C  Temperature increases with depth at a rate ranging from 15 C/km to 50 C/km
  • 31. HOW DO WE USE GEOTHERMAL ENERGY?  Direct Use: Heat Pumps, Bathing, Space Heating, etc  2000  75,000+ GWh worldwide usage  Electric Power Generation: via steam powered turbines  2003  56,000+ GWh worldwide usage Source:Glitner US Geothermal Energy Market Report 2007
  • 32. WHAT ARE ENHANCED GEOTHERMAL SYSTEMS (EGS)?  Hydrothermal Energy: natural hot springs  Shallow: < 3km depth  In situ, High Temp Water: > 150C  Limited Resources  Enhanced Geothermal  Deep: 3 – 10km depth  Hot Rocks: Temperatures ranging 150 to 400+C  No Natural Reservoir: Reservoir must be created and water pumped in  Vast Resources
  • 33. BEST EGS REGIONS  Looking for High Heat Flow and/or High Temperature Gradients  Plate Boundaries – Geologically Active  Sedimentary Basins
  • 34. USA GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES Source: MIT Future of Geothermal Energy, 2006
  • 35. Simplified cartoon rendering of EGS plant (left) and schematic of Geothermal Binary Power Plant (right): http://www.geothermal-energy.org/geo/geoenergy.php
  • 36. KEYS FOR SUCCESS  Most important factor is Flow Rate  Combination of permeability, volume of fractured rock, surface area of fractured rock  Need to have as little loss of water as possible
  • 37. POTENTIAL FOR EGS  USA Recoverable Resource : 1  In the USA alone, 28.95 million Terrawatt hours  Could power the world for 590 years at 2007 consumption levels  Other countries beginning to do analyses  Predicted USA Development of EGS through the year 2050 (MWe) : 2 2015 2025 2050 1,000 10,000 130,000 1: Values from MIT Future of Geothermal Energy (2006) and BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2007 2: NREL Geothermal Resources Estimates for the US 2006
  • 38. ADVANTAGES OF EGS  Renewable  Energy Security  Limits demand for fossil fuels  Every Nation possesses some geothermal resource  Baseload Power Source  Constant, non-fluctuating energy  Hydrothermal Plants operate at 95% capacity  Economically competitive  Cost currently estimated 8-14 cents/hr  Tremendous incentive for natural technology growth  Minimal Environmental Impact
  • 39. ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS OF EGS  Near Zero Emissions* Environmental Carbon Dioxide Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) Nitrogen Oxide Emissions for U.S. (CO2) (Lbs/MWh) (NOx) Power Plants (Lbs/MWh) (Lbs/MWh) New Coal Plant** 2068 3.6 2.96 Old Coal Plant 2191 10.39 4.31 New Natural Gas Plant 850 0.018 0.31 Geothermal Flash 60 .35*** 0 Plant Geothermal Binary 0 0 0 Plant  Limited Plant Surface Area*  7x less than Nuclear; 35x less than Coal  Induced Seismicity comparable to oil, gas, and mining operations * Data from NREL Geothermal Report ** New = Coal Plants built in 1990s; natural gas combined cycle plants built in 2002 *** This is indirectly
  • 40. POTENTIAL PROBLEMS  Induced Seismicity  Hydrofracturing rocks by nature sets of micro- earthquakes  Recorded magnitude 3.2 earthquake in Basel, Switzerland argued to be caused by local EGS plant  There are over 130,000 Magnitude 3-3.9 earthquakes in the world each year with minimal damage at most1  A magnitude 4.9 (almost 100x greater than Basel) occurred in Yunnan New Year’s Day 2010. It received no press.  Technological Difficulties 1: USGS
  • 41. WHAT STAGE IS EGS DEVELOPMENT AT?  Successes : 1  Pilot projects can create reservoirs, generate power on the scale of a few megawatts  Power plants already capable of converting supercritical water (temp of 400 C) into electricity  Technological Obstacles:  Better control of reservoir creation  Drilling equipment withstand > 5km depth and 200C environment  Maintaining a commercially viable, production flow rate  Economic Obstacles : 2  Capital Intensive (drilling and plant construction)  Overcoming initial “Valley of Death” investment (est. US$3.5 million per MW) 1: Source – MIT Future of Geothermal Energy 2006 2: Glitner US Geothermal Energy Market Report 2007
  • 42. GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES OF CHINA: HEAT FLOW Source: Hu et. al., 2001
  • 43. GEOTHERMAL REGIONS OF CHINA High Grade Medium to Low Grade Source: Pang, 2009 http://english.iggcas.ac.cn/pangzhonghe/index.html
  • 44. CHINA, GEOTHERMAL, & EGS  China is the world leader in total Direct Use geothermal energy 1  China only utilizes 5% of hydrothermal resources it deems economically exploitable 2  Southwest China (Tibet, Sichuan, and Yunnan) and the Southeast Pacific coast possess large high-grade geothermal resources 2  Sedimentary Basins (also a key source) cover 36% of China 3  Currently China has only one hydrothermal power plant in operation at Yangbajain (28 MW) providing ½ of Lhasa’s electricity 2  If China were to possess only 1/10th of the recoverable resources of the USA, it could still meet its 2008 primary energy demand for 333 years 4 1: Glitnir US Geothermal Energy Market Report 2007; 2: Ministry of Land and Resources; 3: Pang, Z. 2009; 4: Calculations from Data of MIT & BP Reports
  • 45. POTENTIAL NEXT STEPS FOR CHINA  Conduct full Geothermal resource assessment  Already has plans for new hydrothermal resource assessment  Promote investment of deep drilling technology investment and other Geothermal Technologies  Further develop its hydrothermal resources  Plan for EGS pilot plants based on finding of geothermal resource assessment
  • 46. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS  Tsinghua-BP Center  World Resources Institute  National Resources Defense Council  Princeton In Asia  Zhang Dongjie