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Reflecting on the Future

Joe Matthews
November 2013
Shameless
Commerce
Section
My Road Map
• Rules of the Game
• Scenario Planning

• Library Scenarios
• Re-imagining
• Planning Horizon
Our Age of Anxiety is, in great part,
the result of trying to do today’s job
with yesterday’s tools and
yesterday’s concepts.

Marshall McLuhan
It’s not linear
Alternate futures

Now
Strategic planning is not only
looking down the road, it is …
… not just a map
… it is a plan to arrive at a
specific destination!
Scenario Planning
• Process of imagining alternative futures – and
identify their implications
• Recognizing that we do not have one
future, but many
• Allows ‘options’ to remain in ‘play’

• Seeks to consider new and different options
• Liberates us from past thinking

• Helps us move to a “preferred future”
Scenarios
• Helps us to bring new ideas into our
thinking and planning
• Helps us to think more broadly about the
forces that are impacting libraries
• Are a great tool for engaging others so
that many views and insights are explored
• Nothing is right or wrong. Scenarios
encourage us to think about things we
normally don’t think about.
Disruption is a reality
Building Scenarios
Experience
LEARNING
SPACE

INSPIRATION
SPACE

Explore

Excite

Empowerment

Innovation

MEETING
PLACE

PERFORMANCE
SPACE

Participate

Create
Involvement
Possible Dimensions
• Technology (Hi & Lo); Touch (Hi & Lo)

• Eco-framework; Values retention
• Institution-driven vs. Customer-led;
Structure (Inflexible vs. Flexible)
• State supported vs. market driven;
closed (traditional) vs. open (MOOC)
• Funding climate; adaptability
Library Scenarios
Confronting the Future
Its all about building stories & ideas
around a framework as a means
to an ongoing conversation.
It’s about what could happen,
not what will happen.
It’s about developing a preferred future!
Re-imagining Libraries
Re-imagining Services
• Search
• Discovery
• Content
• Shelving
• Librarians
Planning Horizon
• Focus on 3 to 5 years hence
• Use scenarios to explore the future with a
variety of stakeholders
• Focus on a Preferred Future that will really
respond to your customer’s needs

• Recognize that a plan does not survive the
first encounter with “reality” - adjust
Possibilities abound …

Just do not dismiss
opportunities
An Important Question

Regardless of the scenarios used in the
planning process and your choice of a

Preferred Future, how will the library
add value in the life of each customer?
Joe@JoeMatthews.Org
Joe Matthews

Joe@JoeMatthews.Org

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Reflecting on the future

Notas do Editor

  1. 2013
  2. ALA 2011