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11/5/12	
  

                                	
  
                                	
  
             The	
  American	
  experience	
  	
  
             of	
  living	
  with	
  large-­‐scale	
  	
  
              shale	
  gas	
  development.	
  
                                	
  
              Is	
  Poland	
  ready	
  for	
  this?	
  
                                  	
  
                   Geert	
  De	
  Cock,	
  Policy	
  officer	
  
                                     	
  
                             EVENT	
  
                              Title	
  
                 Lembork,	
  October	
  26,	
  2012	
  
                                	
                                            1	
  




               Food	
  &	
  Water	
  Europe	
  
•  European	
  programme	
  of	
  Food	
  &	
  Water	
  Watch	
  
    –  Based	
  in	
  Washington,	
  DC	
  
•  Working	
  on	
  food,	
  water	
  …	
  and	
  shale	
  gas	
  
•  12.000	
  individual	
  US	
  ciKzens	
  as	
  members	
  
    –  Financial	
  support	
  from	
  a	
  dozen	
  American	
  foundaKons	
  
•  No	
  corporate,	
  no	
  government	
  donaKons	
  
                                  	
  
            INDEPENDENCE	
  &	
  TRANSPARENCY	
  

   hTp://www.foodandwaterwatch.org/about/annual-­‐report/	
  	
  
                                                                              2	
  




                                                                                              1	
  
11/5/12	
  




                            Shale	
  gas	
  
•  Reduce	
  dependence	
  on	
  Russian	
  gas	
  
•  Help	
  move	
  Poland	
  away	
  from	
  coal	
  	
  

•  Can	
  natural	
  gas	
  –	
  and	
  domesKc	
  shale	
  gas	
  –	
  
   help	
  Poland	
  to	
  achieve	
  these	
  goals?	
  




                                                                           3	
  




                            Overview	
  
•    What	
  is	
  fracking	
  for	
  shale	
  gas?	
  
•    How	
  is	
  unconvenKonal	
  gas	
  different	
  
•    Environmental	
  impacts	
  
•    Health	
  impacts	
  
•    Economic	
  and	
  employment	
  aspects	
  
•    Conclusion	
  



                                                                           4	
  




                                                                                           2	
  
11/5/12	
  




                     Fracking	
  for	
  shale	
  gas	
  
•  2	
  technologies	
  made	
  extracKng	
  gas	
  from	
  shale	
  
   rocks	
  technologically	
  possible:	
  
     –  Hydraulic	
  fracturing	
  
     –  Horizontal	
  drilling	
  (up	
  to	
  2	
  km)	
  
•  Water	
  pumped	
  in	
  at	
  high	
  pressure	
  
     –  Mixed	
  with	
  sand	
  &	
  chemicals	
  
•  Proppant	
  (silica	
  sand)	
  keeps	
  cracks	
  open	
  
•  Water	
  and	
  gas	
  return	
  to	
  surface	
  
                                                                   5	
  




 Source:	
  Propublica	
                                           6	
  




                                                                                   3	
  
11/5/12	
  




                                                                                                                       7	
  
Source:	
  Prof.	
  Rien	
  Herber,	
  former	
  vice	
  president	
  of	
  ExploraNon	
  Europe	
  at	
  Shell.	
  




Source:	
  WorldOil.com	
  	
  
                                                                                                                       8	
  




                                                                                                                                       4	
  
11/5/12	
  




Source:	
  Florency	
  Geny,	
  Oxford	
  IES	
  -­‐	
  currently	
  business	
  analyst	
  Statoil	
  	
  
                                                                                                                9	
  




            Shale	
  gas	
  =	
  spaKally	
  intense	
  
•  IEA:	
  “Be	
  ready	
  to	
  think	
  big”	
  
      – “larger	
  number	
  of	
  wells	
  required”	
  
      – For	
  example:	
  
         • BarneT	
  shale:	
  15.000	
  wells	
  
         • Marcellus	
  shale:	
  up	
  to	
  100.000	
  wells	
  

•  1000s	
  of	
  wells	
  required	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  
   decade	
  
      – IF	
  recoverable	
  reserve	
  esKmates	
  are	
  correct	
                                          10	
  




                                                                                                                                5	
  
11/5/12	
  




    hTp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPfGoNvsqt0	
  	
  

Source:	
  EIA	
  video	
  –	
  CumulaKve	
  drilling	
  in	
  Pennsylvania	
                  11	
  




Source:	
  Pennsylvania	
  Department	
  of	
  ConservaKon	
  of	
  Natural	
  Resources	
     12	
  




                                                                                                                6	
  
11/5/12	
  




                                         texas	
  




       Source:	
  IEA	
  2012,	
  Golden	
  rules	
     13	
  




       Moving	
  to	
  environmental	
  impacts	
  
	
  
	
  

                           CumulaNve	
  impacts	
  




                                                        14	
  




                                                                         7	
  
11/5/12	
  




                      Water	
  quanKty	
  
•  Water	
  usage	
  by	
  Polish	
  shale	
  gas	
  industry	
  only	
  
   amounts	
  to	
  0,06%	
  of	
  annual	
  usage	
  in	
  Poland	
  
   (based	
  on	
  200	
  wells)	
  
•  BUT:	
  all	
  water	
  is	
  sourced	
  locally.	
  
    –  In	
  Texas’	
  counKes,	
  fracking	
  industry’s	
  water	
  
       consumpKon	
  equal	
  to	
  households	
  
•  CompeKKon	
  between	
  water	
  users	
  
•  Produced	
  water	
  used	
  cannot	
  be	
  used	
  for	
  
   other	
  purposes.	
  
                                                                             15	
  




                       Water	
  quality	
  
•  Between	
  25	
  to	
  75%	
  of	
  injected	
  water	
  returns	
  to	
  
   surface	
  (flowback)	
  à	
  huge	
  wastestream	
  
•  Ill-­‐equipped	
  water	
  treatment	
  plants	
  in	
  US	
  to	
  
   deal	
  with:	
  
    –  NORM	
  –	
  Naturally	
  Occurring	
  RadioacKve	
  Materials	
  
    –  Heavy	
  metals	
  
    –  High	
  levels	
  of	
  bromides:	
  reacts	
  with	
  chlorine	
  to	
  
       form	
  carcinogenic	
  trihalomethanes	
  
    –  Fracking	
  chemicals,	
  including	
  BTEX	
  compounds	
  
                                                                             16	
  




                                                                                              8	
  
11/5/12	
  




                         Water	
  quality	
  
•  Problems	
  with	
  well	
  integrity	
  can	
  lead	
  to	
  
   methane	
  contaminaKon	
  of	
  water	
  wells	
  
    –  Flaming	
  tap	
  phenomenon	
  
    –  Industry	
  denies:	
  lack	
  of	
  baseline	
  data	
  




                                                                          17	
  




                   Fracking	
  chemicals	
  
•  Only	
  1	
  to	
  2%	
  of	
  millions	
  of	
  liters,	
  BUT:	
  
    – Despite	
  relaKve	
  low	
  concentraKons,	
  
      absolute	
  volumes	
  are	
  huge	
  à	
  thousands	
  of	
  
      kilos	
  

    – Some	
  chemicals	
  are	
  dangerous	
  “even	
  at	
  
      concentraKons	
  near	
  or	
  below	
  their	
  chemical	
  
      detecKon	
  limits”	
  (Bishop,2011)	
  
                                                                          18	
  




                                                                                           9	
  
11/5/12	
  




                   Fracking	
  chemicals	
  
•  Examples:	
  
    –  2-­‐Butoxyethanol	
  -­‐	
  high	
  doses	
  reproducKve	
  
       problems,	
  birth	
  defects,	
  red	
  blood	
  cells,	
  high	
  
       mobility,	
  low	
  degradaKon,	
  contaminate	
  aquifers	
  
    –  Ethylene	
  Glycol	
  -­‐	
  irritate	
  eyes,	
  nose	
  &	
  throat,	
  
       respiratory	
  toxicant,	
  increased	
  risks	
  of	
  
       spontaneous	
  aborKon,	
  animal	
  teratogen	
  
    –  Methanol	
  –	
  affects	
  nervous	
  system	
  
    –  Aroma6c	
  hydrocarbons	
  like	
  benzene	
  -­‐	
  carcinogenic	
  
    –  Glutaraldehyde	
  –	
  respiratory	
  toxin,	
  mutagenic	
  
                                                                                  19	
  




                         Other	
  impacts	
  
•  Poor	
  air	
  quality	
  due	
  to	
  shale	
  gas	
  drilling	
  	
  

•  NegaKve	
  health	
  impacts	
  
    –  Higher	
  cancer	
  risks	
  for	
  those	
  living	
  within	
  800	
  
       meters	
  of	
  a	
  shale	
  gas	
  well	
  




                                                                                  20	
  




                                                                                                  10	
  
11/5/12	
  




                    Economic	
  benefits??	
  
•  PotenKal	
  job	
  numbers	
  are	
  exaggerated	
  

•  Shale	
  gas	
  will	
  not	
  lead	
  to	
  lower	
  gas	
  prices	
  

•  Boom	
  &	
  Bust	
  for	
  local	
  economy	
  

•  NegaKve	
  impact	
  on	
  other	
  sectors:	
  
       –  Real	
  estate	
  
       –  Tourism	
  
       –  Farming	
                                                          21	
  




	
                    Land	
  use:	
  	
  
           IndustrialisaNon	
  of	
  rural	
  areas	
  
•  About	
  3.6	
  hectares	
  for	
  mulK-­‐well	
  
     pad	
  installaKon	
  (AEA	
  report,	
  2012)	
  
	
  
•  Plus	
  other	
  gas	
  infrastructure:	
  
       – 	
  Compressor	
  staKons	
  
       – Pipelines	
  
       – Gas	
  storage,	
  etc.	
  
                                                                             22	
  




                                                                                             11	
  
11/5/12	
  




Source:	
  Rumbach	
  (2012)	
  
                                             23	
  




Source:	
  Food	
  &	
  Water	
  Watch	
  
                                             24	
  




                                                             12	
  
11/5/12	
  




Source:	
  Nature	
  Conservancy	
  (2011)	
  
                                                 25	
  




Source:	
  Nature	
  Conservancy	
  
                                                 26	
  




                                                                 13	
  
11/5/12	
  




   Source:	
  Rumbach	
  (2012)	
  
                                                                          27	
  




                                      Traffic	
  
•  “each	
  well	
  would	
  would	
  require	
  between	
  890	
  
   and	
  1350	
  heavy-­‐duty	
  truck	
  loads	
  per	
  
   well”	
  (Food	
  &	
  Water	
  Europe,	
  March	
  2012)	
  

•  “an	
  8-­‐well	
  pad	
  may	
  require	
  some	
  4-­‐6	
  
   thousand	
  truck	
  trips	
  over	
  some	
  six	
  months	
  
   pre-­‐extracKon”	
  (EP	
  report	
  –	
  Boguslaw	
  Sonik)	
  	
  


                                                                          28	
  




                                                                                          14	
  
11/5/12	
  




                                  29	
  




Source:	
  Rumbach,	
  2012	
     30	
  




                                                  15	
  
11/5/12	
  




                          Conclusion	
  
•  Importance	
  of	
  environmental	
  impact	
  assessment,	
  
   prior	
  to	
  drilling	
  

•  ATenKon	
  to	
  the	
  cumulaKve	
  impacts	
  of	
  large-­‐
   scale	
  shale	
  gas	
  development	
  

•  QuesKonable	
  local	
  economic	
  benefits	
  
    –  NegaKve	
  economic	
  impacts	
  
    –  Long-­‐term	
  environmental	
  damage	
  
    –  Renewable	
  energy	
  and	
  energy	
  efficiency?	
  
                                                                    31	
  




                      Djienkuje!	
  
         •  Email:	
  gdecock@fweurope.org	
  &	
  
               pbarczak@fweurope.org	
  	
  

               •  Tel:	
  0032	
  /(0)2/893.10.18	
  

hTp://www.foodandwaterwatch.org/europe/fracking/	
  	
  


                                                                    32	
  




                                                                                    16	
  

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Presentation geert de cock lembork_fracking_english_final_short

  • 1. 11/5/12       The  American  experience     of  living  with  large-­‐scale     shale  gas  development.     Is  Poland  ready  for  this?     Geert  De  Cock,  Policy  officer     EVENT   Title   Lembork,  October  26,  2012     1   Food  &  Water  Europe   •  European  programme  of  Food  &  Water  Watch   –  Based  in  Washington,  DC   •  Working  on  food,  water  …  and  shale  gas   •  12.000  individual  US  ciKzens  as  members   –  Financial  support  from  a  dozen  American  foundaKons   •  No  corporate,  no  government  donaKons     INDEPENDENCE  &  TRANSPARENCY   hTp://www.foodandwaterwatch.org/about/annual-­‐report/     2   1  
  • 2. 11/5/12   Shale  gas   •  Reduce  dependence  on  Russian  gas   •  Help  move  Poland  away  from  coal     •  Can  natural  gas  –  and  domesKc  shale  gas  –   help  Poland  to  achieve  these  goals?   3   Overview   •  What  is  fracking  for  shale  gas?   •  How  is  unconvenKonal  gas  different   •  Environmental  impacts   •  Health  impacts   •  Economic  and  employment  aspects   •  Conclusion   4   2  
  • 3. 11/5/12   Fracking  for  shale  gas   •  2  technologies  made  extracKng  gas  from  shale   rocks  technologically  possible:   –  Hydraulic  fracturing   –  Horizontal  drilling  (up  to  2  km)   •  Water  pumped  in  at  high  pressure   –  Mixed  with  sand  &  chemicals   •  Proppant  (silica  sand)  keeps  cracks  open   •  Water  and  gas  return  to  surface   5   Source:  Propublica   6   3  
  • 4. 11/5/12   7   Source:  Prof.  Rien  Herber,  former  vice  president  of  ExploraNon  Europe  at  Shell.   Source:  WorldOil.com     8   4  
  • 5. 11/5/12   Source:  Florency  Geny,  Oxford  IES  -­‐  currently  business  analyst  Statoil     9   Shale  gas  =  spaKally  intense   •  IEA:  “Be  ready  to  think  big”   – “larger  number  of  wells  required”   – For  example:   • BarneT  shale:  15.000  wells   • Marcellus  shale:  up  to  100.000  wells   •  1000s  of  wells  required  in  the  next   decade   – IF  recoverable  reserve  esKmates  are  correct   10   5  
  • 6. 11/5/12   hTp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPfGoNvsqt0     Source:  EIA  video  –  CumulaKve  drilling  in  Pennsylvania   11   Source:  Pennsylvania  Department  of  ConservaKon  of  Natural  Resources   12   6  
  • 7. 11/5/12   texas   Source:  IEA  2012,  Golden  rules   13   Moving  to  environmental  impacts       CumulaNve  impacts   14   7  
  • 8. 11/5/12   Water  quanKty   •  Water  usage  by  Polish  shale  gas  industry  only   amounts  to  0,06%  of  annual  usage  in  Poland   (based  on  200  wells)   •  BUT:  all  water  is  sourced  locally.   –  In  Texas’  counKes,  fracking  industry’s  water   consumpKon  equal  to  households   •  CompeKKon  between  water  users   •  Produced  water  used  cannot  be  used  for   other  purposes.   15   Water  quality   •  Between  25  to  75%  of  injected  water  returns  to   surface  (flowback)  à  huge  wastestream   •  Ill-­‐equipped  water  treatment  plants  in  US  to   deal  with:   –  NORM  –  Naturally  Occurring  RadioacKve  Materials   –  Heavy  metals   –  High  levels  of  bromides:  reacts  with  chlorine  to   form  carcinogenic  trihalomethanes   –  Fracking  chemicals,  including  BTEX  compounds   16   8  
  • 9. 11/5/12   Water  quality   •  Problems  with  well  integrity  can  lead  to   methane  contaminaKon  of  water  wells   –  Flaming  tap  phenomenon   –  Industry  denies:  lack  of  baseline  data   17   Fracking  chemicals   •  Only  1  to  2%  of  millions  of  liters,  BUT:   – Despite  relaKve  low  concentraKons,   absolute  volumes  are  huge  à  thousands  of   kilos   – Some  chemicals  are  dangerous  “even  at   concentraKons  near  or  below  their  chemical   detecKon  limits”  (Bishop,2011)   18   9  
  • 10. 11/5/12   Fracking  chemicals   •  Examples:   –  2-­‐Butoxyethanol  -­‐  high  doses  reproducKve   problems,  birth  defects,  red  blood  cells,  high   mobility,  low  degradaKon,  contaminate  aquifers   –  Ethylene  Glycol  -­‐  irritate  eyes,  nose  &  throat,   respiratory  toxicant,  increased  risks  of   spontaneous  aborKon,  animal  teratogen   –  Methanol  –  affects  nervous  system   –  Aroma6c  hydrocarbons  like  benzene  -­‐  carcinogenic   –  Glutaraldehyde  –  respiratory  toxin,  mutagenic   19   Other  impacts   •  Poor  air  quality  due  to  shale  gas  drilling     •  NegaKve  health  impacts   –  Higher  cancer  risks  for  those  living  within  800   meters  of  a  shale  gas  well   20   10  
  • 11. 11/5/12   Economic  benefits??   •  PotenKal  job  numbers  are  exaggerated   •  Shale  gas  will  not  lead  to  lower  gas  prices   •  Boom  &  Bust  for  local  economy   •  NegaKve  impact  on  other  sectors:   –  Real  estate   –  Tourism   –  Farming   21     Land  use:     IndustrialisaNon  of  rural  areas   •  About  3.6  hectares  for  mulK-­‐well   pad  installaKon  (AEA  report,  2012)     •  Plus  other  gas  infrastructure:   –   Compressor  staKons   – Pipelines   – Gas  storage,  etc.   22   11  
  • 12. 11/5/12   Source:  Rumbach  (2012)   23   Source:  Food  &  Water  Watch   24   12  
  • 13. 11/5/12   Source:  Nature  Conservancy  (2011)   25   Source:  Nature  Conservancy   26   13  
  • 14. 11/5/12   Source:  Rumbach  (2012)   27   Traffic   •  “each  well  would  would  require  between  890   and  1350  heavy-­‐duty  truck  loads  per   well”  (Food  &  Water  Europe,  March  2012)   •  “an  8-­‐well  pad  may  require  some  4-­‐6   thousand  truck  trips  over  some  six  months   pre-­‐extracKon”  (EP  report  –  Boguslaw  Sonik)     28   14  
  • 15. 11/5/12   29   Source:  Rumbach,  2012   30   15  
  • 16. 11/5/12   Conclusion   •  Importance  of  environmental  impact  assessment,   prior  to  drilling   •  ATenKon  to  the  cumulaKve  impacts  of  large-­‐ scale  shale  gas  development   •  QuesKonable  local  economic  benefits   –  NegaKve  economic  impacts   –  Long-­‐term  environmental  damage   –  Renewable  energy  and  energy  efficiency?   31   Djienkuje!   •  Email:  gdecock@fweurope.org  &   pbarczak@fweurope.org     •  Tel:  0032  /(0)2/893.10.18   hTp://www.foodandwaterwatch.org/europe/fracking/     32   16