In US presidential elections are confronted Hillary Clinton who defends globalization and maintaining the balance of power between the great powers in the international and Donald Trump who opposes globalization and seeks recovery of world hegemony by the United States. Donald Trump, which is a reaction aimed at reversing the global decline of the United States shows political behavior marked by obsessive preoccupation against the economic decline, humiliation and victimization of the country and the defense of compensatory cult of national unity and power, in which seek through the redemptive violence and without ethical controls or legal objectives of external expansion. The Trump action could lead to the risk of international instability and hence world conflagration.

1. 1
TRUMP: THREAT TO WORLD PEACE
Fernando Alcoforado *
Since the Republican convention that won as the White House candidate, Donald
Trump is doing a campaign based on fear. Donald Trump promised to build a huge wall
on the border with Mexico to stop illegal immigration, stop the gangs and violence and
prevent drugs from entering North American communities. Like all populist politician
of fascist tendency, Trump calls for the hopelessness that many American voters say
they feel. Trump encourages his voters to feel fear. In his speech at the Republican
convention, Trump presented a chaos scenario and darkness, as if the United States
were in a land devastated situation, to present itself as the solution to this disorder. He
said that "bleakly, the American dream is dead" and that only he can restore it.
The Trump theses rely on surveys that indicate that two-thirds of the US population
does not trust in the government and believe that the country is on the wrong track.
Nearly 70% of Americans say in surveys to fear terrorism or crime, or both. It was
based on this fact that Trump campaign coined the idea that he was "a new morning in
America," that is, it was the solution to the US problems. Donald Trump says that when
making his presidential oath next year, will restore law and order. To position itself as
the candidate of law and order, Trump presents horror stories and encourages his voters
to feel fear.
Eminently political reasons also help to explain the Trump phenomenon. For the first
time in the bicentennial history of bipartisanship in the United States, alike Republicans
and Democrats face an unprecedented scenario: the frustration of Americans with the
political class that led to the rise of populists. In 2014, a survey of Rasmussen Institute
showed that 65% of Americans say that none of the two main parties "represents the
American people" and who are dissatisfied "with the government system and its
effectiveness". The current situation in the United States is similar to that experienced
by Germany from 1933 during the Weimar Republic. The struggle for survival and fear
accompanying the vacillating actions of German society that decomposes paving the
way for Nazism.
Trump is the most visible face of a worldwide phenomenon: the rise of nationalist and
xenophobic populism. In Europe, far-right parties have advanced in important countries
such as Austria, Poland and Sweden. In the countries of Western Europe, which
historically live in an alternation of power between two parties, a number of nationalist
movements became the third political force: the case of the Alternative for Germany,
the National Front of France and the Five Star Movement in Italy. Not to mention the
parties and left populist movements that gained strength in European countries and even
in the United States, as shown by the rise of Bernie Sanders in the Democratic Party.
The growth of inequality in Western societies with the process of globalization is at the
core of this insurgency, as shown by the result of the referendum on the kingdom's
about output Kingdom of the European Union, Brexit. The Brexit is a symptom of a
nationalist and populist reactions in the industrialized West against globalization, free
trade, migration of labor, the market-oriented policies, the supranational authorities and
even technological change because globalization has reduced wage and eliminated jobs
in richer economies, such as Britain and the United States.

2. 2
The rise of nationalist and xenophobic populism is the result of this impoverishment of
the middle class in developed countries. Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Laureate in Economics
predicted that the economic stagnation of the middle class would have serious political
consequences. That day has now come. The families of the working classes and the
middle classes don´t have benefited from economic growth. They know that the banks
caused the 2008 crisis, but see billions of Dollars and Euros go from governments for
the banks and little to save their homes and their jobs. With the average real income for
a male worker full time in the United States less than four decades ago, an angry
electorate cannot be a surprise.
In this situation described above, it is no longer possible to despise the chances of
Donald Trump win the race against Democrat Hillary Clinton and become the next
president of the United States. The electoral map can follow the route of the last
elections. States most Democrats, such as California and New York, will vote for
Hillary Clinton. Republicans and more conservative states, such as Wyoming, Texas
and Tennessee, will vote for Trump. States with historical lack of party preference will
be decisive, so-called pendulum-states (states swing). This is the case of North Carolina,
Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin,
which account for 111 of the 538 electoral votes. To win, Trump needs to win in
Florida, Indiana, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
In our article The fascism renaissance in the United States with Donald Trump
published on July 25, 2016 we stated that all Donald Trump messages pointed in the
direction that, if elected US president could revive fascism in the contemporary era. Our
opinion is reinforced by the German Vice Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel who said that
Donald Trump is a threat to peace, social cohesion and prosperity. Sigmar Gabriel
ranked Donald Trump's as "right-wing populist" who, like Marine Le Pen in France and
Geert Wilders in the Netherlands, promise to voters that oppose to globalization the
return to a protected domestic market where economic activity would only happen
within its borders. "Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen and Geert Wilders - all right-wing
populists - are not only a threat to peace and social cohesion, but also economic
development," said Sigmar Gabriel, told in the newspaper Welt am Sonntag.
It is in this context that applies to the US presidential elections in confronting Hillary
Clinton who defends globalization and maintaining the balance of power between the
great powers internationally and Donald Trump who opposes globalization and seeks
recovery of world hegemony by the United States. Donald Trump, which is a reaction
aimed at reversing the global decline of the United States would adopt a political
behavior marked by obsessive preoccupation against the economic decline, humiliation
and victimization of the country and the defense of compensatory cult of national unity
and power, in which seek through the redemptive violence and without ethical controls
or legal objectives of external expansion. The Trump action could lead to the risk of
international instability and hence world conflagration.
* Fernando Alcoforado, member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor of Territorial
Planning and Regional Development from the University of Barcelona, a university professor and
consultant in strategic planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is
the author of Globalização (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova
(Des)ordem Mundial (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, São
Paulo, 2000), Os condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado.
Universidade de Barcelona, http://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globalização e
Desenvolvimento (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX
e Objetivos Estratégicos na Era Contemporânea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of

3. 3
the Economic and Social Development-The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Muller
Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG, Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe
Planetária (P&A Gráfica e Editora, Salvador, 2010), Amazônia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e
combate ao aquecimento global (Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2011),
Os Fatores Condicionantes do Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012),
Energia no Mundo e no Brasil- Energia e Mudança Climática Catastrófica no Século XXI (Editora CRV,
Curitiba, 2015) and As Grandes Revoluções Científicas, Econômicas e Sociais que Mudaram o Mundo
(Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2016) .