7. Labor Pool Trend (16-64 Yr.) Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision and World Urbanization Prospects: The 2005 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Tuesday, April 22, 2008; 2:49:57 PM.
8. Labor Pool Trend (16-64 Yr.) US 61.7 US 67.1 Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision and World Urbanization Prospects: The 2005 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Tuesday, April 22, 2008; 2:49:57 PM.
11. % of Growth Due to Each Ethnicity in Texas, 1980-1990, 1990-2000, 2000-2007, and 2000-2040* Sources: U.S. Census Counts, and State Data Center Projections, 0.5 Scenario
12. February 14, 2009 ‘For the First Time, Hispanic Children are the Majority in Texas’ First Grade Classrooms’ 130,000 fewer white children than 10 years ago Hispanic children dominate 1st grade classes (50.2%) White children now fewer than 1/3 of 1st graders Current white population of 11.5 million is near its’ peak and will begin to shrink as boomers die off Result would be the same if all undocumented were removed and no future inward migration allowed
15. Congressional Budget Office “Unless native fertility rates increase, it is likely that most of the growth in the U.S. labor force will come from immigration by the middle of the century.”
22. Over the next decade: Restaurant job growth -- 14% Native-born US workforce -- 10% Growth of 16 to 24 year-olds -- 0.3%. Restaurant Shortages National Restaurant Association 2009 Restaurant Industry Forecast December 19, 2009
28. Dr. QBrain Surgeon & Associate Professor of Neurosurgery and OncologyJohns Hopkins, Baltimore, MD
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30. Former AF Sec. Michael Wynne We have a “geriatric” fleet that has to be replaced or it will put the Air Force “out of business.”
31. January 21, 2008 ‘U.S. aerospace industry facing labor shortage’ 40%eligible to retire by 2012
32. Boomer Retirements & Local Police More than 80% of nation’s 17,000 law enforcement agencies have vacancies that can’t be filled (Police Chief Magazine, October 2006, vol 73, no 10) Law Enforcement shortages leave states without troopers Texas Sunset Advisory Commission report cites “critical manpower shortage at Texas DPS. ‘FBI drug standard lowered for hiring’ Current user vs. past drug use (USA Today 08/02/07) In order to meet recruiting goals, agencies are making exceptions for: Bad credit Poor performance on physical exams Drug history Prior gang activity Failed polygraph exams (Texas DPS)
34. Help Wanted: U.S. Border Patrol 14,000 BP agents in 2007 14,000 additional agents in appropriations bill 7 times as many grads in BP Academy in a year is a recipe for corruption
37. Trooper Shortage Cuts Training Time “The Department of Public Safety has 400 vacancies and is offering experienced law officers a chance to become troopers in just two months.” Associated Press - 02/26/2010
38. Texas Hunting Industry In 2009, Texas lost approximately $346,000when boomers turned 65 and paid reduced license fees. State Targeting Girls to Boost Ranks of Hunters Dallas Morning News June 14, 2008
39. ‘Felons helped Army meet recruitment goal’ San Antonio Express-News 10/12/2007 1,620 MORAL WAIVERS ISSUED IN 2007
40. February 14, 2009 ‘U.S. Military Will Offer Path to Citizenship’ Staff Sgt. Alejandro Campos, in Bay Ridge, Brooklyn, became a citizen after joining the Army.
41. Most Common Questions Why do immigrants come? Do they compete with natives for American jobs? Do we really need immigrants with so many unemployed Americans?
48. U. S. Joint Forces Command “Russia needs to cope with a rate of population decline that literally has no historical precedent in the absence of pandemic.”
51. U. S. Joint Forces Command “Japan’s population will fall from 128 million to approximately 117 million in the 2030’s…from the collapse of their birth rate.”
52. ‘Pickers Are Few, And Growers Blame Congress’ New York Times 10/22/2006 ‘As Farmworkers Become Scarcer, Congress Dithers’ Washington Post 12/4/2007
53. ‘Short on Labor, Farmers in U.S. Shift to Mexico’ 12 U.S. Agribusinesses Have Moved to Mexico11,000 jobs outsourced
55. Software Development Center(1,500 Jobs to Vancouver, BC, Canada) Microsoft Multiplier Effect: 4 : 1 For every job Microsoft creates, four other related jobs are created in the Washington state economy. 1,500 Microsoft jobs outsourced 6,000 additional jobs outsourced?
59. Blockade Hold-the-Line Gatekeeper Safeguard Rio Grande Triple Strike Return to Sender Jump Start Full Court Press Stonegarden Gunrunner Armas Cruzadas Southern Border Operations (Since 1993)
60. Texas Border Operations Operation Linebacker Operation Border Star Operation Wrangler Operation Texas Border Watch The Daily Show on webcams
61. Between 1986 and 2002 Increased Border Patrol’s budget by a factor of ten. Tripled the number of Border Patrol agents Spent eight times as many hours patrolling the border
62. The Results Undocumented population doubled Death rate for border crossings tripled Probability of apprehension dropped significantly Per-apprehension cost has risen 476% Circularity has stopped
67. Lines & Delays = Economic Harm Delays impact “Just-in-Time” facilities such as Toyota Assembly Plant in San Antonio
68. Trends in International TravelU.S. welcomed 2 million fewer overseas visitors in 2007 than 2000 www.poweroftravel.org Travel Industry Association of America
69. Trends in International Travel Travel around world + 28% compared to travel to USA - 8% www.poweroftravel.org Travel Industry Association of America
70. Trends in International Travel45 MillionFewer Visitors Between 2000 and 2007 www.poweroftravel.org Travel Industry Association & US Commerce Dept
71. ‘Most Popular Soccer Team in the U.S.: Mexico?’ 63,227 Charlotte, NC 75,000 Meadowlands, NJ 90,000 Pasadena, CA
73. April 6, 2007 ‘Border officials fight cover-providing weeds’ “Carrizo cane, the invasive, non-native plant grows stalks up to 18 feet tall and can get so dense it makes roads impassable.”
78. Solutions An immigration system that works Focus on human mobility Balance security with facilitation Smart borders Floating visa caps Implement US Chamber’s Infrastructure Initiative for roadways and railways Restore America’s image around the world