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Dr. Andrew McDonald
CSISA Phase II – India Country Coordinator, Objective 1 / 2 leader
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT)

Odisha Partners Meeting
Bubaneshwar
July 10, 2012
Cereal Systems Initiative for South Asia

Project Goal: To increase food and income security at scale in
South Asia through sustainable intensification of cereal-based
systems.

Metrics of success: marked crop productivity increases, income
generation for > 6 m farmers by 2019…

Four countries: India, Bangladesh, Nepal, Pakistan
Two donors: USAID, BMFG
Duration: Phase I: 2009-12; Phase II: 2012-15
The Challenge: catalyzing durable change
with millions of small and medium-scale
farmers
Agriculture can be transformed….
                                                                             Agronomic Revolution
               The rice revolution in South America                         (management gain 2 t / ha, )


               Variety revolution
               (semi-dwarfs – 2 t / ha)
                                             350 new varieties released
Yield ton/ha




                                                                          Peter Jennings, FLAR, 2005
                                                 Creation of FLAR


               .......................1968              1995                2002......................
Why aren’t improved technologies
adopted?

                                       KNOWLEDGE

                                       CAPITAL

                                       ACCES
                                          S
                                       LABOR

                                       RISK

Are technologies matched to needs of smallholders?
Are key messages reaching farmers?
Drivers of change in S. Asia Agriculture
• Cereal demand projected to: double by 2025, quadruple by
  2050?
• Land, water, energy, labor scarcity

• Increasing production costs

• Resource loss and degradation (land, water, soil)

• Risks and uncertainty
   o High temperatures, drought, inundation
   o Less predictable climate systems
CSISA-supported technical innovations

CSISA technical          Water          Labor      Soil          Climate      Yield   Profitability
                         productivity   scarcity   degradation   resilience
priorities
Conservation             ***            **         ***           ***          *       ***
agriculture (CA)
Site-specific nutrient                             **            **           **      ***
management
Scale-appropriate                       ***        **            **           **      ***
mechanization
Laser land leveling      ***            *                                     *       ***
Elite germplasm          **                                      **           ***     **
System intensification   *                                       **           ***     ***
(more crops/yr)
Post-harvest storage                                                                  ***
Improved livestock                                               **           ***     ***
feeding
Production-ecologies are distinct
in cases over small distances



 Drought , overuse of groundwater, acid soils

                                   Seasonal inundation, flash
                                   flooding
 Temperature / drought stress,
 arsenic
           Limited-source surface
           irrigation
                            Floods, cyclones, and tidal
                            surges, salinity across the
                            coastal belt
Addressing non-technological
barriers
that impede innovation
Needs-based irrigation with AWD can
reduced irrigation water use for rice.




                               BUT…


                              Business model for pump rental mus
                              favor conservation. (in BD they don’t
How do farmers make decisions?
Fundamental research gaps on conception of risk, behavioral
science, etc.

Literacy / numeracy

What information is valued, actionable, and profitable?

When must it be provided?



Matching the tactic and tool
to the audience…….
Remembering the simple things
Good agronomy pays large dividends


   More precise approaches needn’t be sophisticated to be
                        successful




          Uniform placement of fertilizers:



              10 -15% yield gain
Not by technology alone…


         Release of elite seeds


                        ?

   Wide-spread cultivation of elite seeds
CSISA: A ‘big tent’ initiative
Integrating disciplines and organizations

• Participatory development of sustainable, productive, and
  economical agricultural management technologies
• Future-oriented process-based research (e.g. net GHGs,
  NUE, WUE, models simulations)
• Development of high-yielding and stress-tolerant cereal
  varieties (wheat, rice, and maize)
• Strategic partnerships (public + private sectors) to increase
  the scale and longevity of interventions
• Strengthen markets and business development, especially
  SMEs.
• Capacity building through training and scholarship
• Policy analysis and evidence-based advocacy
Defining impact pathways: a key
element for project planning
CSISA will not succeed by acting alone…..
but partnerships have to be based on:

• Clear value proposition to motivate the participation of
  all partners
• Joint ownership and commitment to success
• Timelines for action
• Coordination of activities along common impact pathway
What’s new in Phase II?


• Shift in geographic focus to Eastern India and Bangladesh

• More $ resources to support key activities in Bihar and
  new investments in Odisha, including flexible funds to
  be managed jointly with NARES through state-level
  ‘Advisory and Investment Committees’. These funds will
  support innovation and new thinking, and close gaps
  where other investments are lacking.

• Explicit focus on forming and supporting strategic
  partnerships
Key challenges, priority geographies, strategic
entry points
• Rainfed / high-risk production systems

• Flash flooding, stagnate flooding

• Depleted / acidic soils

• Low cropping intensity

• Weak seed systems

• Poor market integration

• Limited mechanization

• Rural labor dynamics

 POTENTIAL PARTNERS + PRORITY AREAS FOR COLLABORA
INNOVATION + DURABLE PRODUCTS + SUPPORT TO CHANGE A




  OPERATIONAL MODEL FOR GOING TO SCALE IN CSISA PHASE II
Thank You

MANY ROADBLOCKS….




MANY ROADBLOCKS….   BUT PLENTY OF INGENUI

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10 July 2012 CSISA Odisha Partners Meet

  • 1. Dr. Andrew McDonald CSISA Phase II – India Country Coordinator, Objective 1 / 2 leader International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Odisha Partners Meeting Bubaneshwar July 10, 2012
  • 2. Cereal Systems Initiative for South Asia Project Goal: To increase food and income security at scale in South Asia through sustainable intensification of cereal-based systems. Metrics of success: marked crop productivity increases, income generation for > 6 m farmers by 2019… Four countries: India, Bangladesh, Nepal, Pakistan Two donors: USAID, BMFG Duration: Phase I: 2009-12; Phase II: 2012-15 The Challenge: catalyzing durable change with millions of small and medium-scale farmers
  • 3. Agriculture can be transformed…. Agronomic Revolution The rice revolution in South America (management gain 2 t / ha, ) Variety revolution (semi-dwarfs – 2 t / ha) 350 new varieties released Yield ton/ha Peter Jennings, FLAR, 2005 Creation of FLAR .......................1968 1995 2002......................
  • 4. Why aren’t improved technologies adopted? KNOWLEDGE CAPITAL ACCES S LABOR RISK Are technologies matched to needs of smallholders? Are key messages reaching farmers?
  • 5. Drivers of change in S. Asia Agriculture • Cereal demand projected to: double by 2025, quadruple by 2050? • Land, water, energy, labor scarcity • Increasing production costs • Resource loss and degradation (land, water, soil) • Risks and uncertainty o High temperatures, drought, inundation o Less predictable climate systems
  • 6. CSISA-supported technical innovations CSISA technical Water Labor Soil Climate Yield Profitability productivity scarcity degradation resilience priorities Conservation *** ** *** *** * *** agriculture (CA) Site-specific nutrient ** ** ** *** management Scale-appropriate *** ** ** ** *** mechanization Laser land leveling *** * * *** Elite germplasm ** ** *** ** System intensification * ** *** *** (more crops/yr) Post-harvest storage *** Improved livestock ** *** *** feeding
  • 7. Production-ecologies are distinct in cases over small distances Drought , overuse of groundwater, acid soils Seasonal inundation, flash flooding Temperature / drought stress, arsenic Limited-source surface irrigation Floods, cyclones, and tidal surges, salinity across the coastal belt
  • 8. Addressing non-technological barriers that impede innovation Needs-based irrigation with AWD can reduced irrigation water use for rice. BUT… Business model for pump rental mus favor conservation. (in BD they don’t
  • 9. How do farmers make decisions? Fundamental research gaps on conception of risk, behavioral science, etc. Literacy / numeracy What information is valued, actionable, and profitable? When must it be provided? Matching the tactic and tool to the audience…….
  • 10. Remembering the simple things Good agronomy pays large dividends More precise approaches needn’t be sophisticated to be successful Uniform placement of fertilizers: 10 -15% yield gain
  • 11. Not by technology alone… Release of elite seeds ? Wide-spread cultivation of elite seeds
  • 12. CSISA: A ‘big tent’ initiative Integrating disciplines and organizations • Participatory development of sustainable, productive, and economical agricultural management technologies • Future-oriented process-based research (e.g. net GHGs, NUE, WUE, models simulations) • Development of high-yielding and stress-tolerant cereal varieties (wheat, rice, and maize) • Strategic partnerships (public + private sectors) to increase the scale and longevity of interventions • Strengthen markets and business development, especially SMEs. • Capacity building through training and scholarship • Policy analysis and evidence-based advocacy
  • 13. Defining impact pathways: a key element for project planning
  • 14. CSISA will not succeed by acting alone….. but partnerships have to be based on: • Clear value proposition to motivate the participation of all partners • Joint ownership and commitment to success • Timelines for action • Coordination of activities along common impact pathway
  • 15. What’s new in Phase II? • Shift in geographic focus to Eastern India and Bangladesh • More $ resources to support key activities in Bihar and new investments in Odisha, including flexible funds to be managed jointly with NARES through state-level ‘Advisory and Investment Committees’. These funds will support innovation and new thinking, and close gaps where other investments are lacking. • Explicit focus on forming and supporting strategic partnerships
  • 16. Key challenges, priority geographies, strategic entry points • Rainfed / high-risk production systems • Flash flooding, stagnate flooding • Depleted / acidic soils • Low cropping intensity • Weak seed systems • Poor market integration • Limited mechanization • Rural labor dynamics POTENTIAL PARTNERS + PRORITY AREAS FOR COLLABORA
  • 17. INNOVATION + DURABLE PRODUCTS + SUPPORT TO CHANGE A OPERATIONAL MODEL FOR GOING TO SCALE IN CSISA PHASE II
  • 18. Thank You MANY ROADBLOCKS…. MANY ROADBLOCKS…. BUT PLENTY OF INGENUI

Notas do Editor

  1. But is
  2. And willingness to take risk…