Attitudes to climate change in southern NSW - Jan Edwards
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- The document discusses a climate change adaptation project in Southern NSW that engaged local farmers through case studies and surveys to understand their attitudes towards and preparation for climate change. - Preliminary survey results found that farmers were uncertain about the impacts of climate change but many agreed that droughts would increase and temperatures would rise. - While many farmers intended to stay committed to farming, they were open to adapting their practices like using more drought-tolerant crops or increasing water conservation.
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Attitudes to climate change in southern NSW - Jan Edwards
- 1. Attitudes to climate change in Southern NSW Jan Edwards District Agronomist, Cowra
- 3. Case study farms Livestock sites Cropping & livestock sites
- 22. The projects are funded by
Notas do Editor
- This talk will focus A little on the project design, But mainly it will report on the preliminary results from the attitudinal survey.
- We have chosen to run the two projects together as we see synergies investigate the vulnerability of existing enterprises determine the effectiveness of adaptation strategies Further information on the cropping component Steve Crimp talk Alison Lange poster
- Study area mixed farms in southern NSW Both projects are working with farmer groups Individual farms have been selected to provide the system to model.
- The science and the GCMs and the models will all change and improve during the life of the project The science is also complex. In this situation, research in isolation is risky Presenting a report or a factsheet at the end of the project won’t be satisfactory extension. We believe that farmer engagement is vital. They may not believe all of the science, but they are keen to discuss the information.
- This is a space we are comfortable working in. All of the project staff are extension officers – either in livestock or agronomy. The farmer groups are people we have a working relationship with.
- One issue we are very aware of is that models give the illusion of precision. However, the added precision may make no difference to the decision. In many situations there may be less to be gained from being precisely right with detailed simulation. Especially if you factor in the risk of being precisely wrong. To the extent that we have presented the output of multiple GCMs to the groups. It gives famers confidence that they were not receiving a slanted view of the potential outcomes.
- To date, 547 people have attended climate change workshops. Between October 2009 and November 2010 Farmer attitudes to climate change are being benchmarked. I stress that these are preliminary results. We will expand the sample size over the next 6 months These are the responses before their involvement in the project. There will be follow up surveys.
- Feedback also indicated that famers view the public debate as polarised with a selective use of data. Reasons farmers give for not believing Its not climate change but multi-decadal variability Scientific conspiracy or bias Politics The scientists' don’t agree There are convincing counter arguments Lack of understanding about the science – ice cores and CO2 The future is a long way away. Croppers make decisions on an annual cycle according to seasonal conditions. They will just deal with it as it comes.
- The group who seem to be most sceptical are the 31-45 and the 60+ The 31-45 group are important as they will be managing climate change 18-30 group – fewer respondents Age grp. % 18-30 6.7 31-45 28.2 46-60 29.5 60+ 35.6 From our perspective, we would still run the project if all of them were sceptical.
- 2 other points about the future 42% believe climate change is making it harder to run a farm business 49% believe they have the tools and knowledge already to manage climate change
- The next set of slides indicate what farmers intuitively feel will about some of the adaptation options. These are a selection of the questions. I have chosen the ones that may have the most relevance to this audience.
- this response is in itself not surprising, farmers are always weighing enterprise options. but it does have implications for emissions.
- This was the only question that did not get any negative responses
- Again there are policy implications – particularly for increasing on-farm water storage – that accompany this adaptation. The fodder conservation too will have implications for pasture utilisation and if pasture production falls in the future, may be harder to achieve.
- Again, an option which has recently received CMA funding. There are long term policy issues to consider – such as animal welfare and soil conservation It also relates to the ability to increase on-farm water and fodder.
- Further modelling work Testing adaptation options Whole farm modelling Economics Further surveys Capacity workshops Project ends June 2012