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Presentation Intro
When World Collide!

Chris Thorn & Sara Kraemer
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Value-Added Research Center
NCES MIS Conference – January 2, 2013
From Indicators to
Value-Added Learning Outcomes
• Indicator work goes back to the early 1970s
• Systemic Reform in 1980s and 1990s used cohort
  analysis. A few districts were doing testing in multiple
  grades to comply with Title I requirements
• NCLB required testing in multiple grades but focused
  only on attainment – not growth or VA
• SLDS, RttT, and TIF at the federal level began to focus on
  measures of student growth – expanding to PK-20
• TIF evaluation (round 3), I3, and Private Foundations
  begin to ask rigorous questions about what works and
  how to improve the pipeline
Source of Insights

• Value-Added modeling and reporting in Milwaukee,
  Chicago, and New York City as well as for the state of
  Wisconsin
• Rigorous program evaluation work in Milwaukee
• Technical Assistance with 33 current TIF grantees
• Work with the Bush Foundation and its 14 grantees and
  partner state SEAs
• Field work on threats to validity from IT system design
  flaws, student-teacher matching, and adult-student
  linkages
Extending the Validity and Use
of Value-Added Data
• Two areas of development
    ▪ Classroom assignment and student-teacher matching (validity
      and accuracy of VA)
        •   Implications for data linkages
   ▪ Performance management at the school level
      • Developing VA use cases across performance levels
      • Work system factors that affect data use at school level
• Sociotechnical analysis
Classroom Assignment and Matching
 • Purposive assignment
    ▪   Heterogeneous (mix ability levels, demographics, etc…)
    ▪   Homogeneous (sort on ability levels)
    ▪   Vertical and horizontal alignment
    ▪   Ability grouping
    ▪   Split classrooms, looping, team teaching
    ▪   Other cases: Mobility, special education students
 • Matching: Attributes
    ▪ Teachers - Classroom management skills, personality, etc…
    ▪ Student - Behavior, special cases, etc…
 • Social and technical considerations
    ▪ Value-added
    ▪ Linking students to teachers
    ▪ Organizational design and process of assignment and matching
Value added and
assignment/matching
• Extent of unbalanced classrooms?
   ▪ Ex: Teachers w/ strong classroom management skills
• Heterogeneous assignment perceived as more
  “fair”
• Implications for measuring “true” teacher
  effectiveness
• Some characteristics not measured in VA model
Assignment and Matching:
Linking Students to Teachers in IS
• Verification of student-teacher linkages in data
• Information systems need capture reality of
  classrooms
• Assignment and matching models for
  explanatory power in linkage data
Sociotechnical factors in
assignment/matching - 1
• Process of assignment and matching in schools
   ▪ Principal led
   ▪ Teams of teachers (within and across grades)
   ▪ School leader/teacher/principal hybrid team
   ▪ Collaborative versus non-collaborative model
   ▪ Timing: End of academic year
• Input variables
   ▪ Test scores, input from teachers/school leaders, principal
      observation, parent input
• Environmental issues
    ▪ Teacher labor issues (turnover/retention, shortages, teacher
      allocation)
Sociotechnical factors in
assignment/matching - 2
• Contextual factors
  ▪ Levels of complexity
  ▪ Size of school, number of grades served
  ▪ Breadth and depths of courses offered
  ▪ School types
     •   Elementary versus high school, charters
  ▪ Demographics of student, teacher population
  ▪ Degrees of community and parental involvement
  ▪ Mobility of students across classrooms or/and schools
Effective data use for instructional
decisions
• Race to the Top – 4 goals:
   ▪ design/implement rigorous standards
   ▪ build data systems to measure growth (value-added) and
     inform how to improve instruction
   ▪ recruit, develop, reward, and train effective teachers
   ▪ turn around lowest achieving schools via innovation
• IES (2009) panel on the use of student achievement data
   ▪ Found little scientific evidence for sound data-based
     instructional decision making
   ▪ Recommended use of data teams, collaboration
     structures, and integrated data approach
Performance Management in
Accountability-Based Education
• Performance management is one way to
 address IES panel concerns and RttT goals
  ▪ Emphasizes rigorous base of high-
    quality data
  ▪ Embodies quality management
    principles, methods, tools, and
    processes at every level of the district
    and school organizations
Performance Management:
School Level View - 1
• Schools expected to make sound data-based
  decisions for classroom improvement
• But, variance in quality of data available and
  ability to effectively use it
• Rarely use data to determine root causes of re-
  occurring problems and analyze the impact of
  initiatives and programs1
• Evaluate programs on „gut-feelings‟ with little
  formal analysis or long term planning2

                        1(Tolley&
                        Shulruf, 2009), 2(Bernhardt, 2004)
Performance Management:
School Level View - 2
• Need for sound organizational models for data analysis
• However, educational administration theory and
  research in school-staff teams lags behind current team
  models3
• Team-based work structures conflict with current work,
  training, and reward design for teachers (autonomy,
  isolation in classroom)4




                  3(Somech   & Drach-Zahavy, 2007), 4(Levine & Marcus,
                  2010)
Learning Team Design for Effective
School Improvement
• Cross-case comparison study of high- and low-
 performing schools
  ▪ All schools have a team-based structure for school
    improvement
  ▪ But, variance in design, team membership, emphasis
    on data, task allocation, and process
  ▪ Some schools emphasize growth, but others do not
    believe VA (low VA/high attainment) or blame
    students (low VA/low attainment)
  ▪ Low performing schools do not engage in effective
    team-based practices and design principles
Recommendations for team-based
school improvement design - 1
• Team composition
  ▪ Representation of essential learning functions (e.g.,
    reading specialists, math leaders), grades, and school
    leadership
  ▪ Balance of team member characteristics and strengths
     •   Gender, experience (e.g., data analysis, school process, etc…)
• Team process
  ▪ Define goals and membership roles
  ▪ Document and define school improvement planning
  ▪ Develop technical skills of the team
  ▪ Team collaboration and cohesiveness
  ▪ Establish feedback mechanisms/loops
Recommendations for team-based
school improvement design - 2
• Define team performance metrics
   ▪ Process outcomes (measuring how well
   team(s) work, team design)
     • Team satisfaction
     • Cohesiveness/collaboration
     • Meeting planning goals, team member
       responsibilities
  ▪ Output outcomes
     • Increase in student growth
     • Close achievement gaps in school
     • Execution of school initiatives, programs
Teacher Effectiveness Initiative

• Partner with higher-education institutions to transform
  teacher- preparation programs, guaranteeing teacher
  effectiveness
• Recruit high-caliber students to pursue teaching
• Engage with public officials to reform public policies
• Launch innovative support programs for school leaders
  and teachers
   ▪ 14 Teacher Preparation Institutions
   ▪ Prepare ~ 50% teachers in three states
   ▪ Guarantee teacher candidate effectiveness in VA terms
   ▪ Other 69% - testing versus assessment
Data                               Analysis                                Reporting

                          School / Grade Level
                                                                                                              Researchers
Grade / Content




                  Student Test Files         Pre-Post
                                            “Matched”
                                             Dataset
                                                                                                               SEA / REA




                                                                      Value-Added Analysis
                        Student          District / School / Grade
                                              / Content Area
                   Info, School Data




                                                                                             Output Files
                                                                                             Data, Reports
                                                                                                                 IHEs
                  Additional Needs for Classroom Level


                   Student-Teacher
Classroom




                                             Pre-Post
                        Link                                                                                    Districts
                                            “Matched”
                                             Dataset
                   Licensure, IHE,       District / School / Grade
                                             / Content Area /
                   Unemployment,                Classroom
                     Wage Data                                                                                 Teachers



                             Validation of Student-Teacher Links
What we need is a new data model

• Current extensions of the longitudinal model breaks
  down once we take differentiated instruction into account
• Notions of course are a dead end for correct attribution of
  programs and instruction
• New models need to collect assignment of services to
  students – both programs and in the person of adults
• Building measures of student growth require a student-
  centric model that deals with the student as a subscriber
  to or recipient of services
• Notions of grade, course, and classroom are still
  important for resource and contract management but are
  insufficient to track the things that interest us most
Services Data Model




                      Doing this as a
                      work around until
                      system capacity
                      comes online
Recommendations and corresponding levels
of evidence


 1. Make data part of an ongoing cycle of instructional improvement        Low


 2. Teach students to examine their own data and set learning goals        Low


 3. Establish a clear vision for schoolwide data use                       Low


 4. Provide supports that foster a data-driven culture within the school   Low


 5. Develop and maintain a districtwide data system                        Low




 Using Student Achievement Data to Support Instructional Decision Making
 What Works Clearing House Practice Guide (Hamilton, et al., 2009)
Thanks for your attention

Chris Thorn – cathorn@wisc.edu
Sara Kraemer – sbkraeme@wisc.edu
IHE Data

IHE Candidate Data (Who is enrolled)
  ▪ Names, IHE ID#, and social security numbers of current and past
     pre-service teachers and graduates. Should also include basic
     demographic information like gender, age, ethnicity, residence.
     Licensure and teacher locator IDs if possible.

IHE Candidate Attribute Data
  ▪ Incoming student data (e.g., GPA, ACT, SAT) and college
     transcript data (e.g., GPA, completed courses, for current and
     past pre-service and graduates (keyed with university ID and
     SS#).

IHE Candidate Programming Data
  ▪ Information on incoming student quality, program
     participation, course outcomes, and measures of teacher
     preparedness.
Value-Added System – The Value-Added Process
                      Value-Added System

     Pre-Post                                Observations with missing values
                              Data
    “Matched”              Preparation
                                            discarded, constructs any additional
                                                   necessary regressors
     Data Set



Correction for Test          Error           Statistical method to correct for
Measurement Error          Correction        measurement error in test scores




                                           Multivariate Regression to decompose
                                           student growth into various influences
                           Estimation
                                                (Prior ability, school effect,
                                               demographic characteristics)




                                           Take the estimation outputs and make
                            Finalized
                                               it interpretable against mean
                           Regression
                                                        performance
                            Outputs
                                              (“Beat the Average” or “Tiers”)




                                                 To Output Files

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When Worlds Collide: Extending the Validity and Use of Value-Added Data

  • 2. When World Collide! Chris Thorn & Sara Kraemer University of Wisconsin-Madison Value-Added Research Center NCES MIS Conference – January 2, 2013
  • 3. From Indicators to Value-Added Learning Outcomes • Indicator work goes back to the early 1970s • Systemic Reform in 1980s and 1990s used cohort analysis. A few districts were doing testing in multiple grades to comply with Title I requirements • NCLB required testing in multiple grades but focused only on attainment – not growth or VA • SLDS, RttT, and TIF at the federal level began to focus on measures of student growth – expanding to PK-20 • TIF evaluation (round 3), I3, and Private Foundations begin to ask rigorous questions about what works and how to improve the pipeline
  • 4. Source of Insights • Value-Added modeling and reporting in Milwaukee, Chicago, and New York City as well as for the state of Wisconsin • Rigorous program evaluation work in Milwaukee • Technical Assistance with 33 current TIF grantees • Work with the Bush Foundation and its 14 grantees and partner state SEAs • Field work on threats to validity from IT system design flaws, student-teacher matching, and adult-student linkages
  • 5. Extending the Validity and Use of Value-Added Data • Two areas of development ▪ Classroom assignment and student-teacher matching (validity and accuracy of VA) • Implications for data linkages ▪ Performance management at the school level • Developing VA use cases across performance levels • Work system factors that affect data use at school level • Sociotechnical analysis
  • 6. Classroom Assignment and Matching • Purposive assignment ▪ Heterogeneous (mix ability levels, demographics, etc…) ▪ Homogeneous (sort on ability levels) ▪ Vertical and horizontal alignment ▪ Ability grouping ▪ Split classrooms, looping, team teaching ▪ Other cases: Mobility, special education students • Matching: Attributes ▪ Teachers - Classroom management skills, personality, etc… ▪ Student - Behavior, special cases, etc… • Social and technical considerations ▪ Value-added ▪ Linking students to teachers ▪ Organizational design and process of assignment and matching
  • 7. Value added and assignment/matching • Extent of unbalanced classrooms? ▪ Ex: Teachers w/ strong classroom management skills • Heterogeneous assignment perceived as more “fair” • Implications for measuring “true” teacher effectiveness • Some characteristics not measured in VA model
  • 8. Assignment and Matching: Linking Students to Teachers in IS • Verification of student-teacher linkages in data • Information systems need capture reality of classrooms • Assignment and matching models for explanatory power in linkage data
  • 9. Sociotechnical factors in assignment/matching - 1 • Process of assignment and matching in schools ▪ Principal led ▪ Teams of teachers (within and across grades) ▪ School leader/teacher/principal hybrid team ▪ Collaborative versus non-collaborative model ▪ Timing: End of academic year • Input variables ▪ Test scores, input from teachers/school leaders, principal observation, parent input • Environmental issues ▪ Teacher labor issues (turnover/retention, shortages, teacher allocation)
  • 10. Sociotechnical factors in assignment/matching - 2 • Contextual factors ▪ Levels of complexity ▪ Size of school, number of grades served ▪ Breadth and depths of courses offered ▪ School types • Elementary versus high school, charters ▪ Demographics of student, teacher population ▪ Degrees of community and parental involvement ▪ Mobility of students across classrooms or/and schools
  • 11. Effective data use for instructional decisions • Race to the Top – 4 goals: ▪ design/implement rigorous standards ▪ build data systems to measure growth (value-added) and inform how to improve instruction ▪ recruit, develop, reward, and train effective teachers ▪ turn around lowest achieving schools via innovation • IES (2009) panel on the use of student achievement data ▪ Found little scientific evidence for sound data-based instructional decision making ▪ Recommended use of data teams, collaboration structures, and integrated data approach
  • 12. Performance Management in Accountability-Based Education • Performance management is one way to address IES panel concerns and RttT goals ▪ Emphasizes rigorous base of high- quality data ▪ Embodies quality management principles, methods, tools, and processes at every level of the district and school organizations
  • 13. Performance Management: School Level View - 1 • Schools expected to make sound data-based decisions for classroom improvement • But, variance in quality of data available and ability to effectively use it • Rarely use data to determine root causes of re- occurring problems and analyze the impact of initiatives and programs1 • Evaluate programs on „gut-feelings‟ with little formal analysis or long term planning2 1(Tolley& Shulruf, 2009), 2(Bernhardt, 2004)
  • 14. Performance Management: School Level View - 2 • Need for sound organizational models for data analysis • However, educational administration theory and research in school-staff teams lags behind current team models3 • Team-based work structures conflict with current work, training, and reward design for teachers (autonomy, isolation in classroom)4 3(Somech & Drach-Zahavy, 2007), 4(Levine & Marcus, 2010)
  • 15. Learning Team Design for Effective School Improvement • Cross-case comparison study of high- and low- performing schools ▪ All schools have a team-based structure for school improvement ▪ But, variance in design, team membership, emphasis on data, task allocation, and process ▪ Some schools emphasize growth, but others do not believe VA (low VA/high attainment) or blame students (low VA/low attainment) ▪ Low performing schools do not engage in effective team-based practices and design principles
  • 16. Recommendations for team-based school improvement design - 1 • Team composition ▪ Representation of essential learning functions (e.g., reading specialists, math leaders), grades, and school leadership ▪ Balance of team member characteristics and strengths • Gender, experience (e.g., data analysis, school process, etc…) • Team process ▪ Define goals and membership roles ▪ Document and define school improvement planning ▪ Develop technical skills of the team ▪ Team collaboration and cohesiveness ▪ Establish feedback mechanisms/loops
  • 17. Recommendations for team-based school improvement design - 2 • Define team performance metrics ▪ Process outcomes (measuring how well team(s) work, team design) • Team satisfaction • Cohesiveness/collaboration • Meeting planning goals, team member responsibilities ▪ Output outcomes • Increase in student growth • Close achievement gaps in school • Execution of school initiatives, programs
  • 18. Teacher Effectiveness Initiative • Partner with higher-education institutions to transform teacher- preparation programs, guaranteeing teacher effectiveness • Recruit high-caliber students to pursue teaching • Engage with public officials to reform public policies • Launch innovative support programs for school leaders and teachers ▪ 14 Teacher Preparation Institutions ▪ Prepare ~ 50% teachers in three states ▪ Guarantee teacher candidate effectiveness in VA terms ▪ Other 69% - testing versus assessment
  • 19. Data Analysis Reporting School / Grade Level Researchers Grade / Content Student Test Files Pre-Post “Matched” Dataset SEA / REA Value-Added Analysis Student District / School / Grade / Content Area Info, School Data Output Files Data, Reports IHEs Additional Needs for Classroom Level Student-Teacher Classroom Pre-Post Link Districts “Matched” Dataset Licensure, IHE, District / School / Grade / Content Area / Unemployment, Classroom Wage Data Teachers Validation of Student-Teacher Links
  • 20. What we need is a new data model • Current extensions of the longitudinal model breaks down once we take differentiated instruction into account • Notions of course are a dead end for correct attribution of programs and instruction • New models need to collect assignment of services to students – both programs and in the person of adults • Building measures of student growth require a student- centric model that deals with the student as a subscriber to or recipient of services • Notions of grade, course, and classroom are still important for resource and contract management but are insufficient to track the things that interest us most
  • 21. Services Data Model Doing this as a work around until system capacity comes online
  • 22. Recommendations and corresponding levels of evidence 1. Make data part of an ongoing cycle of instructional improvement Low 2. Teach students to examine their own data and set learning goals Low 3. Establish a clear vision for schoolwide data use Low 4. Provide supports that foster a data-driven culture within the school Low 5. Develop and maintain a districtwide data system Low Using Student Achievement Data to Support Instructional Decision Making What Works Clearing House Practice Guide (Hamilton, et al., 2009)
  • 23. Thanks for your attention Chris Thorn – cathorn@wisc.edu Sara Kraemer – sbkraeme@wisc.edu
  • 24. IHE Data IHE Candidate Data (Who is enrolled) ▪ Names, IHE ID#, and social security numbers of current and past pre-service teachers and graduates. Should also include basic demographic information like gender, age, ethnicity, residence. Licensure and teacher locator IDs if possible. IHE Candidate Attribute Data ▪ Incoming student data (e.g., GPA, ACT, SAT) and college transcript data (e.g., GPA, completed courses, for current and past pre-service and graduates (keyed with university ID and SS#). IHE Candidate Programming Data ▪ Information on incoming student quality, program participation, course outcomes, and measures of teacher preparedness.
  • 25. Value-Added System – The Value-Added Process Value-Added System Pre-Post Observations with missing values Data “Matched” Preparation discarded, constructs any additional necessary regressors Data Set Correction for Test Error Statistical method to correct for Measurement Error Correction measurement error in test scores Multivariate Regression to decompose student growth into various influences Estimation (Prior ability, school effect, demographic characteristics) Take the estimation outputs and make Finalized it interpretable against mean Regression performance Outputs (“Beat the Average” or “Tiers”) To Output Files