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Adjuvant	
  chemotherapy	
  for	
  T1ab	
  
breast	
  cancer	
  in	
  2014	
  ?	
  
David	
  Coeffic	
  
Cancer	
  Ins@tute	
  of	
  Reims–	
  Polyclinique	
  
Courlancy	
  
What	
  we	
  talk	
  about	
  ?	
  
•  pT1ab	
  (≤	
  1	
  cm)	
  
•  pN1	
  and	
  pNmic	
  are	
  excluded	
  
T1abN0	
  :	
  is	
  it	
  a	
  real	
  problem	
  in	
  term	
  of	
  
prognosis?	
  
•  The	
  number	
  of	
  clinical	
  events	
  could	
  be	
  
jus@fied	
  specific	
  treatment	
  ?	
  
•  In	
  other	
  words,	
  there	
  is	
  some	
  clues	
  that	
  jus@fy	
  
to	
  select	
  predic@ve	
  sub-­‐type	
  for	
  treatment	
  ?	
  
Historic	
  considera@on	
  
We	
  started,	
  and	
  it's	
  a	
  «	
  shame	
  »,	
  to	
  
be	
  interested	
  in	
  T1abN0	
  from	
  the	
  
@me	
  there	
  was	
  a	
  talk	
  about	
  Her2	
  !!	
  
But	
  several	
  studies	
  published	
  in	
  the	
  last	
  decade	
  strongly	
  
support	
  the	
  fact	
  that	
  the	
  metasta@c	
  poten@al	
  of	
  breast	
  
tumors	
  may	
  be	
  present	
  a	
  very	
  early	
  event,	
  even	
  though	
  
the	
   primary	
   breast	
   tumor	
   is	
   not	
   detectable	
   by	
   imaging	
  
(Engel,	
   2003	
   ;	
   Van’t	
   Veer,	
   2002	
   ;	
   Schmidt-­‐Ki:ler	
   2003	
   ;	
  
Husemann	
  2008	
  et	
  Podsypanina	
  2008).	
  
	
  
Press MF. et al. JCO 1997;15(8):2894-2904 Temps jusqu’à récidive (mois)
Probabilitédesurvie
Tumor size
Events	
  exist	
  !!!	
  
§  Retrospective mulicentric study (US)
§  382 tumoral sample (from surgery)
§  N0 breast cancer
§  Diagnosis < 1990
§  No adjuvant chemotherapy
§  FISH analysis for HER2
We	
  have	
  found	
  events	
  in	
  T1ab	
  	
  !	
  
• 	
  n	
  =	
  965,	
  10	
  %	
  of	
  HER2+	
  
• 	
  More	
  T1a	
  than	
  T1b	
  are	
  HER2+	
  
• 	
  No	
  pa@ents	
  received	
  Chemotherapy	
  or	
  Trastuzumab	
  
• 	
  Median	
  follow-­‐up:	
  6.2	
  years	
  
Gonzalez-Angulo AM. et al – J Clin Oncol 2009
Time to diagnosis (months)
DFS
Time to diagnosis (months)
MetastaticDFS
Events	
  exist,	
  even	
  	
  
with	
  treatment	
  !!	
  
•  T1abc	
  pN0	
  
	
   	
  	
  
	
   	
  	
  	
  N	
  =	
  2	
  026	
  
	
   	
  -­‐	
  T1a-­‐b	
  =	
  328	
  and	
  T1c 	
   	
   	
   	
  HR	
  1.71	
  (p	
  =	
  0.01)	
  DFS	
  
	
   	
  -­‐	
  67	
  %	
  =	
  adjuvant	
  chemotherapy 	
   	
  	
   	
  HR	
  2.03	
  (p	
  =	
  0.003)	
  OS	
  
	
   	
  -­‐	
  Median	
  Follow-­‐up:	
  12.4	
  years	
  
	
  
Chia	
  S.	
  et	
  al.	
  J	
  Clin	
  Oncol	
  2008;26:5697-­‐5704	
  
All patients
Time (years)
Surviesansrécidive
(probabilité)
Patient without adjuvant chemotherapy
Time (years)
Surviesansrécidive
(probabilité)
Events	
  exist,	
  even	
  	
  
with	
  treatment,	
  even	
  for	
  HER2…	
  
	
  
	
  
Popula@on	
  T1a-­‐b	
  =	
  328,	
  HER2+	
  :	
  10	
  %	
  (n	
  =	
  32)	
  
Chia	
  S.	
  et	
  al.	
  J	
  Clin	
  Oncol	
  2008;26:5697-­‐5704	
  
T1a-b
Time (y)
DFS
OS
T1a-b
Time (y)
DFS
T1a-b,
Without adjuvant chemotherapy
Time (y)
In	
  conlusion	
  
•  The	
  number	
  of	
  event	
  according	
  to	
  the	
  
retrospec@ve	
  study	
  is	
  located	
  between	
  5	
  and	
  
10	
  %	
  in	
  no	
  pretreated	
  pa@ents	
  
•  Events	
  exist,	
  even	
  in	
  pa@ents	
  treated,	
  
confirming	
  the	
  requirement	
  for	
  op@mizing	
  
treatment	
  	
  
•  There	
  is	
  some	
  prognos@c	
  factors	
  that	
  seem	
  
obvious	
  now,	
  some	
  of	
  which	
  are	
  also	
  
predictors	
  
Summary	
  but	
  not	
  limited,	
  prognos@c	
  factors	
  highlighted	
  on	
  retrospec@ve	
  series,	
  for	
  DFS	
  
Red:	
  posi@ve	
  in	
  mul@variate	
  analysis,	
  Yellow	
  :	
  posi@ve	
  in	
  univariate	
  analysis	
  
Author
Journal
Year # Fol Feature 5-
years
Her 2 + Triple N ER - Age Grade KI 67 Embol Node
Livi
Cancer
2012 704
<35
Kwon
BMC
2010 375 61
m
Monocentric
T1Mic
3 M+
<35
1
Cut off
14 %
Cancello
Breast
2011 1691 DFS
=
92,5
%
Cut off
14 %
Theriault
JCO
2012 1012 No treated
< 35 vs
> 50
Hanrahan
JCO
2007 51246 SEER registry
<50
Grade
III
> 6
Fisher
JNCI
2001 235 Including T1c
50 ans
Wood
Ann Surg
2002 282 Monocentric
Nomogramme
2 M+
at 10
y
Grade
cIII
Colleoni
Ann Oncol
2004 425 Including T1
Mic
Cut off
20 %
Kaplan 2009 110 4,2
y
DFS
= 89
%
•  Age	
  and	
  prolifera@on	
  are	
  the	
  major	
  and	
  universal	
  	
  prognos@c	
  factors.	
  
•  Clinical	
  Triple	
  nega@ve	
  is	
  also	
  a	
  major	
  factor	
  	
  
•  Molecular	
  factors	
  that	
  are	
  predictors	
  are	
  somewhat	
  interrelated	
  	
  
à	
  To	
  go	
  further,	
  it	
  is	
  urgent	
  to	
  have	
  a	
  more	
  individualis@c	
  approach	
  based	
  on	
  molecular	
  approach	
  
«	
  Doxa	
  »	
  of	
  @me?	
  
For	
  example,	
  three	
  paths	
  :	
  
•  NCCN	
  2014	
  
•  Permanent	
  publica@on	
  screening	
  
•  Based	
  on	
  the	
  level	
  of	
  evidence	
  	
  
• Saint	
  Gallen	
  2011	
  
•  Scien@fic	
  and	
  intellectualized	
  approach	
  
•  Only	
  a	
  consensus	
  approach	
  base	
  on	
  expert	
  opinions	
  
• French	
  experts	
  consensus	
  2011	
  (F	
  Penault	
  Llorca	
  et	
  al.)	
  
•  A	
  consensus	
  based	
  on	
  a	
  exhaus@ve	
  bibliographic	
  screening	
  
HER	
  2	
  néga@ve	
  
HER2	
  posi@ve	
  
Saint	
  Gallen	
  :	
  a	
  molecular	
  approach	
  
French	
  expert	
  reviews	
  for	
  tumors	
  Her	
  2	
  +	
  
** For grade 1 tumors and expressing strongly HR: request a review of HER2 status by FISH
Treatment of patients with breast cancer without lymph node involvement,
HER2 is overexpressed
< 1 cm > 1 cm
HR + ** HR - HR + ER-
All grade
Chemotherapy +
Trastuzumab
§ < 35 ans or
§ High proliferation
(KI67, MI) or
§ and/or grade 2-3
§ and/or embols
+/- Hormonothérapie
Chemotherapy +
Trastuzumab
Hormonotherapy
Chemotherapy +
Trastuzumab
Chemotherapy
+ Trastuzumab
Penault-Llorca F et Coeffic D. Bull Cancer 2011; Jul;98(7):807-25.
A	
  synthesis	
  ?	
  
Size T1a T1b
Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH
+
Luminal A Luminal B TN Her 2+
RH -
Her 2+
RH +
Luminal
A
Luminal
B
TN
NCCN 2014 No tt * HT* HT * HT * No tt * TZ + CT HT
TZ+CT
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx
CT
Saint Gallen
2011
No tt HT HT HT CT TZ + CT HT
TZ + CT
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx and
UPA/P1
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx and
UPA/P1
CT
French
Consensus
Penault
Llorca
2011
TZ + CT HT
TZ + CT
according to
age, KI67,
MI,grade
embols
No tt TZ +CT HT
TZ + CT
according to
age, KI67,
MI,grade
embols
CT
INCA 2012 No answer No answer No answer No answer
*	
  CT	
  si	
  Mic	
  
Size T1a T1b
Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH
+
Luminal A Luminal B TN Her 2+
RH -
Her 2+
RH +
Luminal
A
Luminal
B
TN
NCCN 2014 No tt * HT* HT * HT * No tt * TZ + CT HT
TZ+CT
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx
CT
Saint Gallen
2011
No tt HT HT HT CT TZ + CT HT
TZ + CT
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx and
UPA/P1
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx and
UPA/P1
CT
French
Consensus
Penault
Llorca
2011
TZ + CT HT
TZ + CT
according to
age, KI67,
MI,grade
embols
No tt TZ +CT HT
TZ + CT
according to
age, KI67,
MI,grade
embols
CT
INCA 2012 No answer No answer No answer No answer
Area	
  of	
  consensus	
  
*	
  CT	
  si	
  Mic	
  
Size T1a T1b
Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH
+
Luminal A Luminal B TN Her 2+
RH -
Her 2+
RH +
Luminal
A
Luminal
B
TN
NCCN 2014 No tt * HT* HT * HT * No tt * TZ + CT HT
TZ+CT
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx
CT
Saint Gallen
2011
No tt HT HT HT CT TZ + CT HT
TZ + CT
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx and
UPA/P1
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx and
UPA/P1
CT
French
Consensus
Penault
Llorca
2011
TZ + CT HT
TZ + CT
according to
age, KI67,
MI,grade
embols
No tt TZ +CT HT
TZ + CT
according to
age, KI67,
MI,grade
embols
CT
INCA 2012 No answer No answer No answer No answer
Area	
  of	
  disagreement	
  
*	
  CT	
  si	
  Mic	
  
Problems	
  are	
  not	
  yet	
  solved!	
  
•  The	
  ques@ons	
  that	
  we	
  will	
  live	
  	
  
•  Her2	
  tumors:	
  should	
  we	
  take	
  into	
  account	
  the	
  size	
  and	
  /	
  or	
  
the	
  HR	
  status	
  ?	
  	
  
•  TN:	
  What	
  are	
  the	
  predictors	
  of	
  efficacy	
  to	
  chemotherapy?	
  
For	
  which	
  sub-­‐group?	
  	
  
•  Beyond	
  the	
  size,	
  which	
  predictors	
  for	
  chemotherapy	
  in	
  
luminal	
  ?	
  
Her	
  2	
  +	
  disease	
  
Decision criterias in the « real life » for
T1ab Her 2
Trastuzumab
(n=93)
No Trastuzumab
(n=112)
P value
(Fisher test)
T1a
T1b
16 (17%)
77 (83%)
36 (32%)
76 (68%)
0.016
Grade 1
Grade 2-3
3 (3%)
89 (97%)
17 (16%)
90 (84%)
0.004
HR +
HR -
40 (43%)
53 (57%)
81 (72%)
31 (38%)
<0.001
MI =1
MI =2-3
24 (40%)
36 (60%)
58 (67%)
28 (33%)
0.001
Embols
No
Yes
72 (78%)
20 (22%)
95 (88%)
13 (12%)
0.085
*	
  Log-­‐rank	
  test	
  was	
  used	
   Julien Peron. Study AERIO/UNICANCER, SABCS 2011.
HER	
  2	
  +	
  as	
  a	
  prognos@c	
  factor	
  in	
  T1ab	
  ?	
  
Retrospec@ve	
  studies,	
  Her	
  2	
  breast	
  cancer	
  T1,	
  N0,	
  M0.	
  
Study Only
T1a-b
#
T1a
T1b
HER2+
(%)
Median
follow-up
(Y)
Adjuvant
treatment
Press No 382 ? (Fish) ? No
Black No 27
47
100 5.6 ?
Joensuu No 49
264
12 9.5 No
Tavey No 230 6.9 6.5 ?
Chia No 103
225
6.4 12.4 67 %
Curigliano Yes 85
65
100 4.5 Yes
Gonzalez-Angulo Yes 323
642
10 6.2 No
Peron
San Antonio 2011
Yes 52
153
100 ? 40 %
Rouanet
San Antonio 2011
Yes 131
572
5,9 ? No
Events	
  exist!!!	
  
§  Retrospective Finnish
study.
§  852 patients with
pT1N0M0 breast cancer
between 1991 and 1992.
§  Multivariate analysis
§  Median Follow-up : 9,5
years.
§  Only 5 % received
adjuvant chemotherapy
Joensuu H. et al. Clin. Cancer Res. 2003;9:923-930
Années de suivi Années de suivi
Années de suivi Années de suivi
Surviesansmaladieà
distance
Surviesansmaladieà
distance
T1ab T1c
IHC
CISH
HER2 is a poor prognostic factor even when the tumor is small (T1ab,
T1c).
HER2	
  expression	
  is	
  the	
  major	
  risk	
  factor	
  for	
  
recurrence	
  in	
  pT1a-­‐b,	
  NO	
  breast	
  cancer:	
  
Clinical	
  implicaAons	
  from	
  a	
  French	
  regional	
  
populaAon-­‐based	
  study	
  of	
  703	
  paAents	
  
Rouanet P, Roger P, Daures JP, Rousseau E, Romieu G,
Mathieu A, Cretin J, Barneon G, Granier M, Maran-
Gonzalez A, Thibault S. Boissiere F, Bibeau F.
ONCO Languedoc-Roussillon Network
Disease Recurrence
•  5-­‐year	
  DFS	
  rates	
  were	
  74%	
  and	
  95%	
  in	
  pa@ents	
  with	
  HER2-­‐posi@ve	
  and	
  
HER2-­‐nega@ve	
  tumors,	
  respec@vely	
  (p<0.0001)	
  
•  According	
  to	
  the	
  immunohistochemical	
  phenotype	
  DFS-­‐5	
  years	
  were	
  	
  
•  95%	
  for	
  ER+/PR+/HER2-­‐	
  (n=614/87%)	
  
•  91%	
  ER-­‐/PR-­‐/HER2-­‐	
  (n=47/6.7%)	
  
•  69%	
  ER+/PR+/HER2+	
  (n=25/3.5%)	
  	
  
•  81%	
  ER-­‐/PR-­‐/HER2+	
  (n=17/2,4%)	
  
•  In	
  univariate	
  analysis,	
  HER2	
  posi@ve	
  tumors	
  (p=0.017),	
  phenotype	
  
classifica@on	
  (p=0.02)	
  and	
  adjuvant	
  treatment	
  (p=0.013)	
  were	
  significant	
  
prognos@c	
  factors	
  
•  In	
  mul@variate	
  analysis,	
  only	
  pa@ents	
  with	
  HER2+	
  tumors	
  had	
  higher	
  risks	
  
of	
  recurrence	
  (hazard	
  ra@o	
  [HR],	
  2.41;	
  95%	
  CI;	
  [1.06-­‐5.53];	
  p<0.05)	
  than	
  
those	
  with	
  HER2-­‐	
  tumors.	
  
Benefit	
  of	
  Trastuzumab	
  in	
  T1N0	
  ?	
  
Avantage
AC-TH
Avantage
AC-T
1.0	
  0.0	
   2.0	
  
Node	
  -­‐	
  
Node	
  +	
  
HR	
  -­‐	
  
HR	
  +	
  
Tumor	
  size	
  <	
  2cm	
  
Tumor size ≥ 2cm
AC-­‐TH	
  vs	
  AC-­‐T	
  
1.0	
  0.0	
   2.0	
  
Node	
  -­‐	
  
Node	
  +	
  
HR	
  -­‐	
  
HR	
  +	
  
Tumor	
  size	
  <	
  2cm	
  
Tumor size ≥ 2cm
TCH	
  vs	
  AC-­‐T	
  
Avantage	
  
TCH	
  
Avantage	
  
AC-­‐T	
  
BCIRG	
  006	
  :	
  Subgroup	
  analysis	
  (OS)	
  
Slamon	
  et	
  al.	
  SABCS	
  2006	
  
A	
  french	
  retrospec@ve	
  
pragma@cal	
  study	
  !	
  
o  Mul@centric	
  study	
  
o  96	
  T1a-­‐b,	
  N0	
  invasive	
  breast	
  cancers	
  
o  Micro	
  invasion	
  and	
  mul@focal	
  tumor	
  are	
  excluded	
  
o  Median	
  size:	
  8	
  mm	
  (2	
  –	
  10	
  mm)	
  
o  25	
  (20	
  %)	
  ≤	
  5	
  mm	
  
o  Adjuvant	
  treatment:	
  for	
  «	
  poor	
  prognosis	
  »	
  (high	
  grade	
  and/or	
  HR-­‐)	
  
o  40	
  pa@ents	
  were	
  treated	
  
o  90	
  %	
  (37/40)	
  of	
  pa@ents	
  received	
  chemotherapy	
  +	
  trastuzumab	
  
o  7	
  %	
  (3/40)	
  of	
  pa@ents	
  received	
  trastuzumab	
  alone.	
  
Rodriguez et al. – ASCO 2009
Rodriguez	
  et	
  al.	
  ASCO	
  2009	
  
40 « poor prognosis » 56 « good prognosis »
No recurrence 9 % of recurrence
Trastuzumab	
  
§ Recurrences only in the "Good prognosis" group: 9% vs 0%
§ Recurrences could probably be avoided, perhaps, by an effective treatment in
the "Good prognosis" group.
…	
  pragma@cal	
  results	
  
Systemic	
  Adjuvant	
  Treatment	
  Of	
  T1a	
  and	
  
T1b	
  N0M0	
  HER2+	
  Breast	
  Carcinomas;	
  an	
  
AERIO/UNICANCER	
  Study	
  
Julien Péron1, Jean Sebastien Frenel2, Yann Vano3, Johanna Wasserman4,5,
Laurence Albiges-Sauvin4,6, Manuel Rodrigues4,7, Anne Vincent-Salomon7, Paul
Cottu7 1Centre Léon Bérard , Lyon, France ; 2Centre René Gauducheau ,
Nantes, France ; 3Centre Antoine Lacassagne, Nice, France ;
4Association pour l’Enseignement et la Recherche des Internes en Oncologie ;
5Centre René Huguenin, Saint Cloud, France ; 6Institut Gustave Roussy, Villejuif,
France ; 7Institut Curie, Paris, France
•  Trastuzumab/CT	
  treatment	
  led	
  to	
  a	
  lower	
  risk	
  
of	
  recurrence	
  (p=0.004)	
  
•  Among	
  51	
  T1a	
  tumors,	
  16	
  pa@ents	
  received	
  
TZM/CT.	
  One	
  recurrence	
  occurred	
  among	
  
treated	
  pa@ents	
  and	
  3	
  among	
  untreated	
  
pa@ents.	
  
Californian	
  registry	
  on	
  cause-­‐specific	
  mortality	
  
Pa@ents	
  with	
  breast	
  cancer	
  N0,	
  T1a	
  or	
  T1b,	
  HER2	
  +	
  
	
  
Chew et al. J Clin Oncol 2010,28(suppl):abstract 583
All cases
n = 20 188
2000 – 2004
n = 9 409
2005 – 2007
n = 10 779
HER2
Positive
Negative
n (%)
3 196 (15.8)
16 992 (84.2)
n (%)
1 579 (16.8)
7 830 (83.2)
n (%)
1 617 (15)
9 162 (85)
Hormone	
  receptors	
  	
  
Weigh@ng	
  factor	
  in	
  the	
  management	
  ?	
  
Then	
  what	
  about	
  the	
  size	
  (T1a)	
  ?	
  
Her	
  +	
  /	
  HR	
  +,	
  good	
  prognosis	
  ?	
  
•  T1abc	
  pN0	
  
	
   	
  	
  
	
   	
  	
  	
  N	
  =	
  2	
  026	
  
	
   	
  -­‐	
  T1a-­‐b	
  =	
  328	
  and	
  T1c 	
   	
   	
   	
  HR	
  1.71	
  (p	
  =	
  0.01)	
  DFS	
  
	
   	
  -­‐	
  67	
  %	
  =	
  adjuvant	
  chemotherapy 	
   	
  	
   	
  HR	
  2.03	
  (p	
  =	
  0.003)	
  OS	
  
	
   	
  -­‐	
  Median	
  Follow-­‐up:	
  12.4	
  years	
  
Chia	
  S.	
  et	
  al.	
  J	
  Clin	
  Oncol	
  2008;26:5697-­‐5704	
  
All patients
Time (year)
DFS
No adjuvant treatment
Time (year)
T1/RH
Time (year)
DFS
Surviesansrécidive
(probabilité)
No	
  reason	
  to	
  consider	
  a	
  difference	
  between	
  T1a	
  
and	
  T1b,	
  why	
  ?	
  
•  Because	
  the	
  size	
  is	
  a	
  con@nuous	
  variable	
  	
  
•  Because	
  the	
  size	
  is	
  partly	
  a	
  subjec@ve	
  variable	
  
•  Because	
  the	
  limits	
  of	
  5	
  mm	
  or	
  10	
  mm	
  were	
  arbitrarily	
  set	
  	
  
•  Finally,	
  because	
  there	
  are	
  few	
  data	
  in	
  bibliography…	
  
Rakkhit R. et al. SABCS 2008
T1ab HER2 + DFS
1A : DFS / HER + or -
1B : DFS
HR : HR + et HER -
Triple negative
HER2 : HER2+
Mul@variate	
  analysis	
  
Gonzalez-Angulo AM. et al – J Clin Oncol 2009
Survie sans récidive Survie sans récidive à distance
HR 95 % IC p HR 95 % IC p
HER2 positif vs négatif 2.68 (1.44 – 5) 0.002 5.30 (2.23 – 12.62) 0.0002
RH positif vs négatif 0.41 (0.23 – 0.72) 0.002 0.59 (0.25 – 1.37) 0.219
Âge et diagnostic 0.96 (0.94 – 0.98) 0.001 0.73 (0.32 – 1.7) 0.467
Grade 3 vs grade 1-2 1.34 (0.78 – 2.41) 0.320 0.97 (0.94 – 1) 0.080
Stade Ib versus Ia 1.59 (0.91 – 2.78) 0.103 1.47 (0.68 – 3.18) 0.329
Benefit	
  of	
  chemotherapy	
  /	
  Risk	
  ?	
  
Cardiotoxicity
Median follow-up
Patients number
12-39 mois
> 4000
2 ans
1056
39 mois
116
1 an
1677
2 ans
718
2 ans
1068
2 ans
579
3 ans
216
Treatment No	
  
Trastu	
  
Docetaxel	
  
Carbopla@n	
  
+	
  Trastu	
  
9	
  weeks	
  
an@-­‐micro	
  
tubules	
  +	
  
trastu	
  follow	
  
by	
  FEC	
  x	
  3	
  
Anthra then Trastu AC x 4 , then Trastu +
Taxane
ICC
NYHA
Grade 3 - 4
Control	
  
arm	
  
BCIRG	
  006	
   FinHER	
   HERA	
   N-­‐9831	
   BCIRG	
  006	
   N-­‐9831	
   B31	
  
3.5	
  
4.1	
  
2.5	
  
1.6	
  
0.6	
  
0	
  
0.4	
  
0-­‐0.8	
  
0	
  
1	
  
2	
  
3	
  
4	
  
256	
  paAents	
  
StraAficaAon	
  
N+/N-­‐	
  
LVEF	
  >	
  50%	
  
	
  
Good	
  safety	
  profil,	
  no	
  grade	
  3/4	
  
	
  toxicity,	
  except	
  grade	
  IV	
  neutropeny	
  
But	
  stop	
  treatment	
  for	
  9	
  paAents	
  due	
  to	
  FEV	
  decrease	
  
HercepAn	
  
12	
  months	
  
6	
  mg/kg	
  
/3	
  w	
  
/	
  3	
  w.	
  
4	
  cycles	
  
J1	
   J8	
   J15	
  
75mg/m2	
  
600mg/m2	
  
HercepAn	
  
C	
  
T	
  
Cycle	
  1,	
  J1	
   ➔	
  4	
  mg/kg	
  90	
  min,	
  then	
  2	
  mg/kg/w	
  
C	
  
T	
  
C	
  
T	
  
C	
  
T	
  
Jones	
  SE	
  et	
  al.	
  SABCS	
  2008,	
  poster	
  2111	
  
Phase II – docétaxel cyclophosphamide
trastuzumab
Summary	
  (1)	
  
	
  	
  	
  The	
  risk	
  of	
  recurrence	
  of	
  breast	
  cancer	
  HER2	
  +	
  
for	
  small	
  tumors	
  without	
  lymph	
  node	
  
involvement	
  is	
  
	
  
•  9-­‐23	
  %	
  at	
  5	
  years	
  	
  
•  about	
  2.5	
  @mes	
  greater	
  than	
  in	
  disease-­‐HER2	
  
nega@ve	
  
Summary	
  (2)	
  
•  Her	
  2	
  predictor	
  of	
  efficacy	
  of	
  trastuzumab?	
  
	
  The	
  answer	
  is 	
  YES	
  
•  Receptor	
  status	
  and	
  size,	
  weigh@ng	
  factor	
  of	
  decision?
	
  Probably	
   	
  NO	
  
•  It	
  should	
  probably	
  take	
  into	
  account	
  the	
  risk-­‐benefit	
  ra@o	
  and	
  associated	
  
comorbidi@es	
  in	
  choosing	
  treatment,	
  but	
  that	
  does	
  not	
  prohibit	
  an@	
  Her	
  2	
  
treatment	
  (and	
  chemotherapy)	
  for	
  small	
  tumors.	
  
TN	
  tumour	
  
Preamble	
  (valid	
  for	
  the	
  remainder	
  of	
  
the	
  slides	
  in	
  forward	
  and	
  reverse)	
  
No	
  prospec@ve	
  randomized	
  clinical	
  study	
  
reports	
  the	
  benefit	
  of	
  adjuvant	
  chemotherapy	
  
for	
  tumor	
  size	
  ≤	
  10	
  mm	
  and	
  pN0	
  and	
  whatever	
  
immunohistochemical	
  subtype	
  considered	
  
About	
  TN	
  
•  All	
  tumors	
  "triple	
  nega@ve"	
  does	
  not	
  
correspond	
  to	
  the	
  "basal-­‐like"	
  phenotype	
  
defined	
  by	
  the	
  classifica@on	
  of	
  Peru	
  and	
  Sorlie	
  
•  «	
  Basal	
  Like	
  »	
  
•  SBR	
  =	
  high,	
  low	
  differen@a@on	
  
•  High	
  KI	
  67	
  
•  CK	
  5-­‐6	
  +	
  and	
  CK-­‐17+,	
  EGFR	
  +,	
  BRCA1	
  +	
  /	
  -­‐	
  	
  
•  "Basal-­‐like"	
  between	
  58	
  and	
  67	
  years	
  =	
  7%	
  of	
  
breast	
  tumors	
  (1)	
  
1.	
  Sihto	
  H,	
  2008,	
  Clin	
  
Cancer	
  Res	
  
Associations of different TNBC subtypes.
Turner N C , and Reis-Filho J S Clin Cancer Res
2013;19:6380-6388
Basal-like 1: cell cycle,
DNA repair and
proliferation genes
Basal-like 2: Growth factor
signaling (EGFR, MET, Wnt,
IGF1R)
IM: immune cell
processes (medullary
breast cancer)
M: Cell motility and
differentiation, EMT
processes
MSL: similar to M but
growth factor signaling, low
levels of proliferation genes
(metaplastic cancers)
LAR: Androgen receptor
and downstream genes,
luminal featuresLehmann et al JCI 2011
Summary	
  of	
  retrospec@ve	
  series	
  T1ab	
  
with	
  more	
  than	
  10%	
  of	
  TN	
  
Author
Year
Number of patients Follow-up Summary of data Multivariate analysis
Kaplan
2009
110 4,2 year 89 % TN	
  X	
  6.6	
  risk	
  of	
  
recurrence	
  vs	
  RH+	
  HER2-­‐	
  
ayer	
  adjustemnt	
  on	
  size,	
  
age	
  et	
  adjuvant	
  
chemotherapy	
  (Y	
  or	
  N)
Curigliano
2009
95 60 months 5 events, 0 M+ Her 2+
Kwon
2012
56 pt1ab 61 months DFS-­‐5	
  years	
  92.5%	
  
Only	
  one	
  metasta@c	
  
recurrence	
  for	
  a	
  TN
Age	
  <35	
  and	
  TN	
  are	
  the	
  
only	
  two	
  parameters	
  
impacting	
  DFS	
  (HR=	
  
4.91	
  et	
  4.96)	
  no	
  Her	
  2
Park (issue de Kwon)
2011
Only 33 TN 61 months OS-5 years= 90 %
Ho
2012
Only 194 TN, with
Tmic
113	
  adjuvant	
  
chemotherapy	
  
Often	
  CMF
73 months DFS-­‐5	
  years	
  =	
  95%
11	
  metasta@c	
  recurrence
Come-­‐back	
  to	
  consensus	
  
Size T1a T1b
Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH
+
Luminal A Luminal B TN Her 2+
RH -
Her 2+
RH +
Luminal
A
Luminal
B
TN
NCCN 2014 No tt * HT* HT * HT * No tt * TZ + CT HT
TZ+CT
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx
CT
Saint Gallen
2011
No tt HT HT HT CT TZ + CT HT
TZ + CT
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx and
UPA/P1
HT
CT
according to
Oncotype
Dx and
UPA/P1
CT
French
Consensus
Penault
Llorca
2011
TZ + CT HT
TZ + CT
according to
age, KI67,
MI,grade
embols
No tt TZ +CT HT
TZ + CT
according to
age, KI67,
MI,grade
embols
CT
INCA 2012 No answer No answer No answer No answer
In	
  summary	
  (1)	
  
•  Global	
  trend	
  to	
  provide	
  chemotherapy	
  for	
  small	
  TN	
  but	
  s@ll	
  
no	
  consensus	
  for	
  T1a	
  
•  Given	
  the	
  narrowness	
  of	
  the	
  benefit	
  of	
  chemotherapy	
  for	
  
T1ab,	
  it	
  should	
  take	
  the	
  following	
  precau@ons	
  	
  
•  Consider	
  any	
  TN	
  pT1ab	
  low	
  grade	
  as	
  suspect	
  of	
  not	
  being	
  a	
  "basal-­‐
like	
  »	
  	
  
•  Do	
  not	
  hesitate	
  to	
  ask	
  a	
  second	
  look	
  on	
  histology	
  
•  Repeat	
  IHC	
  HER2	
  and	
  HR	
  	
  
•  Repeat	
  evalua@on	
  of	
  SBR	
  and	
  growth	
  factors	
  
•  Remove	
  histological	
  subtype	
  from	
  TN	
  known	
  as	
  good	
  
prognosis	
  :	
  adenoid	
  cys@c	
  carcinoma,	
  androgene	
  receptor	
  
+,	
  apocrine	
  
In	
  summary	
  (2)	
  
•  Rela@ve	
  benefit	
  of	
  chemotherapy	
  with	
  taxanes	
  and	
  anthracyclines,	
  
whatever	
  the	
  size	
  and	
  histologic	
  subtype,	
  is	
  about	
  30%	
  according	
  to	
  
the	
  Oxford	
  meta-­‐analysis	
  updated	
  in	
  2012	
  
•  However,	
  absolute	
  benefit	
  is	
  depend	
  on	
  the	
  risk	
  of	
  relapse,	
  and	
  the	
  
risk-­‐benefit	
  
•  It	
  seems	
  reasonable	
  to	
  give	
  chemotherapy	
  only	
  for	
  following	
  
profiles	
  
•  pT1B	
  	
  
•  No	
  major	
  comorbidi@es	
  	
  
•  Grade	
  3,	
  high	
  prolifera@on	
  index	
  
•  Regimen	
  of	
  chemotherapy	
  will	
  be	
  dictated	
  according	
  to	
  the	
  
bibliography	
  (3	
  FEC	
  100-­‐3	
  Doce	
  etc…)	
  or	
  according	
  to	
  personal	
  
convic@on	
  (4	
  TC,	
  pla@num	
  compounds)	
  
Luminal	
  subtype	
  
Retrospec@ve	
  data	
  
from	
  NSABP	
  2001	
  
J	
  Natl	
  Cancer	
  Inst	
  
	
  
1024	
  pa@ents	
  pT1ab	
  
HR	
  +	
  
Tam	
  vs	
  CT-­‐TAM	
  
<	
  50	
  y,	
  HR	
  -­‐	
  
HzR	
  =	
  
0,61	
  
Benefit : 13%
0,39 x 38.8
	
  DFS-­‐8	
  years	
  =	
  trend	
  for	
  CT-­‐TAM	
  vs	
  TAM	
  alone	
  
	
  	
  
	
  Impac@ng	
  parameters	
  in	
  mul@variate	
  analysis	
  
	
   	
  Age	
  (cut-­‐off	
  =	
  50	
  years)	
  
	
   	
  Size	
  (1	
  cm	
  vs	
  <	
  1	
  cm)	
  
<	
  50	
  y,	
  N-­‐,	
  
HR	
  +	
  
HzR	
  =	
  
0,64	
  
Benefit : 10%
0,36 x 27.4
Oxford	
  meta-­‐analysis	
  
2011	
  
Prognosis	
  approach	
  does	
  not	
  allow	
  a	
  
predic@ve	
  vision	
  
•  But,	
  «	
  honestly	
  »,	
  chemotherapy	
  may	
  respond	
  
to	
  laws	
  of	
  predictability,	
  according	
  to	
  
mechanisms	
  of	
  ac@on	
  ?	
  	
  
In	
  absence	
  of	
  randomized	
  prospec@ve	
  study	
  
answering	
  to	
  our	
  ques@on,	
  is	
  there	
  a	
  path	
  to	
  
solve	
  the	
  problem..	
  
L’approche	
  de	
  la	
  sta@s@que	
  modélisée	
  
Adjuvant	
  Online	
  
•  Un site web qui permet d’évaluer le pronostic individuel
•  SG et SSR à 10 ans
•  Utilise le suivi des patientes traitées entre 1988 et 1992 et enregistrées sur
le « Surveillance Epidemiology and End-Results Registry » (SEER).
•  10% des patientes USA traitées sur cette période
•  Patientes de 36 à 59 ans avec enregistrement de la taille et du grade tumoral, du
statut hormonal et de l’atteinte ganglionnaire axillaire.
•  Evaluation statistique du bénéfice individuel des traitements
médicamenteux adjuvants
•  Utilisation du bénéfice constaté de l’HT et de la CT adjuvante par la Méta-
analyse de l‘Early Breast Cancer Trialists’ Collaborative Group
•  TAM, CMF, AC, TT séquentiel avec Taxanes
•  Utilisation du bénéfice constaté des traitements adjuvants modernes dans
les études adjuvantes randomisées récentes
AOL	
  :	
  unperfectly	
  approach	
  	
  
•  No suitable for particular histology
•  Tubular, papillar, mucinous, medullary
•  No suitable for lobular
•  No suitable for T1ab N-
•  Under-estimation for efficacy of hormonotherapy
•  AOL!	
  Ignores	
  the	
  prognosis	
  value	
  of:	
  
• Ki67,	
  Mito@c	
  Index	
  
• HER2	
  
• PR	
  and	
  Quan@ta@ve	
  expression	
  of	
  ER	
  
	
  
	
  
Je	
  vous	
  propose	
  une	
  simula@on	
  
d’AOL	
  !	
  
•  On	
  par@ra	
  du	
  concept	
  de	
  Saint	
  Paul	
  :	
  un	
  gain	
  
addi@onnel	
  de	
  5	
  %	
  pour	
  la	
  récidive	
  à	
  10	
  ans	
  en	
  plus	
  de	
  
l’hormonothérapie	
  
•  On	
  fera	
  varier	
  les	
  paramètres	
  d'âge	
  et	
  de	
  grade	
  
histologique,	
  par	
  tranche	
  d’âge	
  de	
  5	
  ans	
  
•  On	
  fera	
  3	
  simula@ons	
  différentes	
  basées	
  sur	
  l’état	
  
général	
  
•  On	
  re@endra	
  comme	
  conven@on	
  
•  Chimiothérapie	
  :	
  3	
  FEC	
  100	
  –	
  3	
  TXT	
  
•  Hormonothérapie	
  :	
  TAM	
  jusqu’à	
  45	
  ans,	
  traitement	
  
séquen@el	
  à	
  50	
  ans,	
  traitement	
  par	
  IA	
  exclusif	
  au	
  delà	
  
Addi@onal	
  benefit	
  of	
  chemotherapy	
  over	
  10	
  years	
  in	
  risk	
  of	
  recurrence	
  in	
  addi@on	
  to	
  hormone	
  therapy,	
  
according	
  to	
  age	
  and	
  histologic	
  grade	
  for	
  a	
  T1ab	
  tumor	
  with	
  Adjuvant	
  OnLine!	
  
Age 30 y.
TAM
35 y.
TAM
40 y.
TAM
45 y.
TAM
50 y.
TAM-IA
55 y.
IA
60 y.
IA
65 y.
IA
70 y.
IA
Grade 1 7,7 5,2 5,3 5,3 3,4 3,3 2,7 2,8 2,5
Grade 2 9,1 6,3 6,3 6,3 4 4 3,3 3,3 3,1
Grade 3 10,6 7,3 7,4 7,4 4,7 4,7 3,8 3,9 3,6
Good	
  health,	
  IK	
  100	
  %	
  
Age 30 y.
TAM
35 y.
TAM
40 y.
TAM
45 y.
TAM
50 y.
TAM-IA
55 y.
IA
60 y.
IA
65 y.
IA
70 y.
IA
Grade 1 7,7 5,3 5,2 5,1 3,2 2,7 2,7 2,5 2,2
Grade 2 9,1 6,2 6,2 6,1 3,8 3,1 3,1 3 3,7
Grade 3 10,6 7,3 7,4 7,3 4,6 4,6 3,7 3,5 3,2
Evolu@onnary	
  Health	
  state,	
  depending	
  on	
  the	
  age	
  
Age 30 y.
TAM
35 y.
TAM
40 y.
TAM
45 y.
TAM
50 y.
TAM-IA
55 y.
IA
60 y.
IA
65 y.
IA
70 y.
IA
Grade 1 7,5 4,9 4,9 4,5 2,2 2,3 1,4 0,7 0,4
Grade 2 8,9 6 5,7 5,5 3,1 2,8 1,7 1 0,4
Grade 3 10,3 7 6,6 6,4 3,7 3,2 1,9 1 0,4
Poor	
  general	
  condi@on,	
  2	
  significant	
  comorbidi@es	
  
Other	
  approaches,	
  other	
  
perspec@ves…	
  
•  More	
  personalized	
  sta@s@cal	
  approach:	
  
"No€ngham	
  Prognos@c	
  Index"	
  taking	
  into	
  
account	
  the	
  expression	
  of	
  HR	
  and	
  Her2	
  	
  
Oncotype	
  Dx	
  	
  
•  Hormone	
  therapy	
  signatures	
  	
  
•  UPA/P1	
  
Oncotype DX®
16 cancer genes and 5 referent genes from three study
60
Paik et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826.
Catégorie SR (0-100)
Low risk RS < 18
Intermediate risk 18 < RS < 31
High risk RS ≥ 31
PROLIFERATION
Ki-67
STK15
Survivin
Cyclin B1
MYBL2
OESTROGENES
ER
PR
Bcl2
SCUBE2
INVASION
Stromelysine 3
Cathepsine L2
HER2
GRB7
HER2
REFERENCE
Beta-actine
GAPDH
RPLPO
GUS
TFRC
GSTM1 BAG1
CD68
RS =
+ 0.47 x HER2 Group Score
- 0.34 x ER Group Score
+ 1.04 x Proliferation Group Score
+ 0.10 x Invasion Group Score
+ 0.05 x CD68
- 0.08 x GSTM1
- 0.07 x BAG1
Oncotype DX® Validation Clinique:
RS used as a continuous prognostic factor
• The recurrence score predicts the likelihood of beneficial
effects of chemotherapy and the risk of recurrence at 10
years
61
Paik et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826.
My SR is 30. What is the risk of
recurrence in 10 years?
NSABP B-20: Many Small Tumors Have
Intermediate to High Recurrence Score® Disease
Paik S, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:3726-3734.
33%
20% 19% 23% 21%
46%
N = 110 N = 318 N = 196 N = 24
RecurrenceScore
≤1 cm 1.1-2 cm 2.1-4 cm >4 cm
Clinical tumor size
0
20
40
60
80
100
P=0.001
64% 56% 46%
16% 25% 30%
WSG-­‐Plan	
  B	
  study	
  	
  (n=2551	
  )	
  
Gluz	
  O,	
  et	
  al.	
  SABCS	
  2011	
  	
   63
Risque
intermédiaire
risk (18-30)
Risque élevé
(≥31)
Risque faible
(<18)
Ki-67 <14 Ki-67 ≥14 Central grade
3%
36%
61%
19%
43%
38%
37%
63%
5%
39%
56%
30%
39%
31%
uPA/PAI-1
1 2 3 low high

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D coeffic adjuvant ct for t1ab jerusalem 2014

  • 1. Adjuvant  chemotherapy  for  T1ab   breast  cancer  in  2014  ?   David  Coeffic   Cancer  Ins@tute  of  Reims–  Polyclinique   Courlancy  
  • 2. What  we  talk  about  ?   •  pT1ab  (≤  1  cm)   •  pN1  and  pNmic  are  excluded  
  • 3. T1abN0  :  is  it  a  real  problem  in  term  of   prognosis?   •  The  number  of  clinical  events  could  be   jus@fied  specific  treatment  ?   •  In  other  words,  there  is  some  clues  that  jus@fy   to  select  predic@ve  sub-­‐type  for  treatment  ?  
  • 4. Historic  considera@on   We  started,  and  it's  a  «  shame  »,  to   be  interested  in  T1abN0  from  the   @me  there  was  a  talk  about  Her2  !!   But  several  studies  published  in  the  last  decade  strongly   support  the  fact  that  the  metasta@c  poten@al  of  breast   tumors  may  be  present  a  very  early  event,  even  though   the   primary   breast   tumor   is   not   detectable   by   imaging   (Engel,   2003   ;   Van’t   Veer,   2002   ;   Schmidt-­‐Ki:ler   2003   ;   Husemann  2008  et  Podsypanina  2008).    
  • 5. Press MF. et al. JCO 1997;15(8):2894-2904 Temps jusqu’à récidive (mois) Probabilitédesurvie Tumor size Events  exist  !!!   §  Retrospective mulicentric study (US) §  382 tumoral sample (from surgery) §  N0 breast cancer §  Diagnosis < 1990 §  No adjuvant chemotherapy §  FISH analysis for HER2
  • 6. We  have  found  events  in  T1ab    !   •   n  =  965,  10  %  of  HER2+   •   More  T1a  than  T1b  are  HER2+   •   No  pa@ents  received  Chemotherapy  or  Trastuzumab   •   Median  follow-­‐up:  6.2  years   Gonzalez-Angulo AM. et al – J Clin Oncol 2009 Time to diagnosis (months) DFS Time to diagnosis (months) MetastaticDFS
  • 7. Events  exist,  even     with  treatment  !!   •  T1abc  pN0                N  =  2  026      -­‐  T1a-­‐b  =  328  and  T1c        HR  1.71  (p  =  0.01)  DFS      -­‐  67  %  =  adjuvant  chemotherapy        HR  2.03  (p  =  0.003)  OS      -­‐  Median  Follow-­‐up:  12.4  years     Chia  S.  et  al.  J  Clin  Oncol  2008;26:5697-­‐5704   All patients Time (years) Surviesansrécidive (probabilité) Patient without adjuvant chemotherapy Time (years) Surviesansrécidive (probabilité)
  • 8. Events  exist,  even     with  treatment,  even  for  HER2…       Popula@on  T1a-­‐b  =  328,  HER2+  :  10  %  (n  =  32)   Chia  S.  et  al.  J  Clin  Oncol  2008;26:5697-­‐5704   T1a-b Time (y) DFS OS T1a-b Time (y) DFS T1a-b, Without adjuvant chemotherapy Time (y)
  • 9. In  conlusion   •  The  number  of  event  according  to  the   retrospec@ve  study  is  located  between  5  and   10  %  in  no  pretreated  pa@ents   •  Events  exist,  even  in  pa@ents  treated,   confirming  the  requirement  for  op@mizing   treatment     •  There  is  some  prognos@c  factors  that  seem   obvious  now,  some  of  which  are  also   predictors  
  • 10. Summary  but  not  limited,  prognos@c  factors  highlighted  on  retrospec@ve  series,  for  DFS   Red:  posi@ve  in  mul@variate  analysis,  Yellow  :  posi@ve  in  univariate  analysis   Author Journal Year # Fol Feature 5- years Her 2 + Triple N ER - Age Grade KI 67 Embol Node Livi Cancer 2012 704 <35 Kwon BMC 2010 375 61 m Monocentric T1Mic 3 M+ <35 1 Cut off 14 % Cancello Breast 2011 1691 DFS = 92,5 % Cut off 14 % Theriault JCO 2012 1012 No treated < 35 vs > 50 Hanrahan JCO 2007 51246 SEER registry <50 Grade III > 6 Fisher JNCI 2001 235 Including T1c 50 ans Wood Ann Surg 2002 282 Monocentric Nomogramme 2 M+ at 10 y Grade cIII Colleoni Ann Oncol 2004 425 Including T1 Mic Cut off 20 % Kaplan 2009 110 4,2 y DFS = 89 % •  Age  and  prolifera@on  are  the  major  and  universal    prognos@c  factors.   •  Clinical  Triple  nega@ve  is  also  a  major  factor     •  Molecular  factors  that  are  predictors  are  somewhat  interrelated     à  To  go  further,  it  is  urgent  to  have  a  more  individualis@c  approach  based  on  molecular  approach  
  • 11. «  Doxa  »  of  @me?   For  example,  three  paths  :   •  NCCN  2014   •  Permanent  publica@on  screening   •  Based  on  the  level  of  evidence     • Saint  Gallen  2011   •  Scien@fic  and  intellectualized  approach   •  Only  a  consensus  approach  base  on  expert  opinions   • French  experts  consensus  2011  (F  Penault  Llorca  et  al.)   •  A  consensus  based  on  a  exhaus@ve  bibliographic  screening  
  • 14. Saint  Gallen  :  a  molecular  approach  
  • 15. French  expert  reviews  for  tumors  Her  2  +   ** For grade 1 tumors and expressing strongly HR: request a review of HER2 status by FISH Treatment of patients with breast cancer without lymph node involvement, HER2 is overexpressed < 1 cm > 1 cm HR + ** HR - HR + ER- All grade Chemotherapy + Trastuzumab § < 35 ans or § High proliferation (KI67, MI) or § and/or grade 2-3 § and/or embols +/- Hormonothérapie Chemotherapy + Trastuzumab Hormonotherapy Chemotherapy + Trastuzumab Chemotherapy + Trastuzumab Penault-Llorca F et Coeffic D. Bull Cancer 2011; Jul;98(7):807-25.
  • 16. A  synthesis  ?   Size T1a T1b Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH + Luminal A Luminal B TN Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH + Luminal A Luminal B TN NCCN 2014 No tt * HT* HT * HT * No tt * TZ + CT HT TZ+CT HT CT according to Oncotype Dx HT CT according to Oncotype Dx CT Saint Gallen 2011 No tt HT HT HT CT TZ + CT HT TZ + CT HT CT according to Oncotype Dx and UPA/P1 HT CT according to Oncotype Dx and UPA/P1 CT French Consensus Penault Llorca 2011 TZ + CT HT TZ + CT according to age, KI67, MI,grade embols No tt TZ +CT HT TZ + CT according to age, KI67, MI,grade embols CT INCA 2012 No answer No answer No answer No answer *  CT  si  Mic  
  • 17. Size T1a T1b Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH + Luminal A Luminal B TN Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH + Luminal A Luminal B TN NCCN 2014 No tt * HT* HT * HT * No tt * TZ + CT HT TZ+CT HT CT according to Oncotype Dx HT CT according to Oncotype Dx CT Saint Gallen 2011 No tt HT HT HT CT TZ + CT HT TZ + CT HT CT according to Oncotype Dx and UPA/P1 HT CT according to Oncotype Dx and UPA/P1 CT French Consensus Penault Llorca 2011 TZ + CT HT TZ + CT according to age, KI67, MI,grade embols No tt TZ +CT HT TZ + CT according to age, KI67, MI,grade embols CT INCA 2012 No answer No answer No answer No answer Area  of  consensus   *  CT  si  Mic  
  • 18. Size T1a T1b Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH + Luminal A Luminal B TN Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH + Luminal A Luminal B TN NCCN 2014 No tt * HT* HT * HT * No tt * TZ + CT HT TZ+CT HT CT according to Oncotype Dx HT CT according to Oncotype Dx CT Saint Gallen 2011 No tt HT HT HT CT TZ + CT HT TZ + CT HT CT according to Oncotype Dx and UPA/P1 HT CT according to Oncotype Dx and UPA/P1 CT French Consensus Penault Llorca 2011 TZ + CT HT TZ + CT according to age, KI67, MI,grade embols No tt TZ +CT HT TZ + CT according to age, KI67, MI,grade embols CT INCA 2012 No answer No answer No answer No answer Area  of  disagreement   *  CT  si  Mic  
  • 19. Problems  are  not  yet  solved!   •  The  ques@ons  that  we  will  live     •  Her2  tumors:  should  we  take  into  account  the  size  and  /  or   the  HR  status  ?     •  TN:  What  are  the  predictors  of  efficacy  to  chemotherapy?   For  which  sub-­‐group?     •  Beyond  the  size,  which  predictors  for  chemotherapy  in   luminal  ?  
  • 20. Her  2  +  disease  
  • 21. Decision criterias in the « real life » for T1ab Her 2 Trastuzumab (n=93) No Trastuzumab (n=112) P value (Fisher test) T1a T1b 16 (17%) 77 (83%) 36 (32%) 76 (68%) 0.016 Grade 1 Grade 2-3 3 (3%) 89 (97%) 17 (16%) 90 (84%) 0.004 HR + HR - 40 (43%) 53 (57%) 81 (72%) 31 (38%) <0.001 MI =1 MI =2-3 24 (40%) 36 (60%) 58 (67%) 28 (33%) 0.001 Embols No Yes 72 (78%) 20 (22%) 95 (88%) 13 (12%) 0.085 *  Log-­‐rank  test  was  used   Julien Peron. Study AERIO/UNICANCER, SABCS 2011.
  • 22. HER  2  +  as  a  prognos@c  factor  in  T1ab  ?  
  • 23. Retrospec@ve  studies,  Her  2  breast  cancer  T1,  N0,  M0.   Study Only T1a-b # T1a T1b HER2+ (%) Median follow-up (Y) Adjuvant treatment Press No 382 ? (Fish) ? No Black No 27 47 100 5.6 ? Joensuu No 49 264 12 9.5 No Tavey No 230 6.9 6.5 ? Chia No 103 225 6.4 12.4 67 % Curigliano Yes 85 65 100 4.5 Yes Gonzalez-Angulo Yes 323 642 10 6.2 No Peron San Antonio 2011 Yes 52 153 100 ? 40 % Rouanet San Antonio 2011 Yes 131 572 5,9 ? No
  • 24. Events  exist!!!   §  Retrospective Finnish study. §  852 patients with pT1N0M0 breast cancer between 1991 and 1992. §  Multivariate analysis §  Median Follow-up : 9,5 years. §  Only 5 % received adjuvant chemotherapy Joensuu H. et al. Clin. Cancer Res. 2003;9:923-930 Années de suivi Années de suivi Années de suivi Années de suivi Surviesansmaladieà distance Surviesansmaladieà distance T1ab T1c IHC CISH HER2 is a poor prognostic factor even when the tumor is small (T1ab, T1c).
  • 25. HER2  expression  is  the  major  risk  factor  for   recurrence  in  pT1a-­‐b,  NO  breast  cancer:   Clinical  implicaAons  from  a  French  regional   populaAon-­‐based  study  of  703  paAents   Rouanet P, Roger P, Daures JP, Rousseau E, Romieu G, Mathieu A, Cretin J, Barneon G, Granier M, Maran- Gonzalez A, Thibault S. Boissiere F, Bibeau F. ONCO Languedoc-Roussillon Network
  • 26. Disease Recurrence •  5-­‐year  DFS  rates  were  74%  and  95%  in  pa@ents  with  HER2-­‐posi@ve  and   HER2-­‐nega@ve  tumors,  respec@vely  (p<0.0001)   •  According  to  the  immunohistochemical  phenotype  DFS-­‐5  years  were     •  95%  for  ER+/PR+/HER2-­‐  (n=614/87%)   •  91%  ER-­‐/PR-­‐/HER2-­‐  (n=47/6.7%)   •  69%  ER+/PR+/HER2+  (n=25/3.5%)     •  81%  ER-­‐/PR-­‐/HER2+  (n=17/2,4%)   •  In  univariate  analysis,  HER2  posi@ve  tumors  (p=0.017),  phenotype   classifica@on  (p=0.02)  and  adjuvant  treatment  (p=0.013)  were  significant   prognos@c  factors   •  In  mul@variate  analysis,  only  pa@ents  with  HER2+  tumors  had  higher  risks   of  recurrence  (hazard  ra@o  [HR],  2.41;  95%  CI;  [1.06-­‐5.53];  p<0.05)  than   those  with  HER2-­‐  tumors.  
  • 27. Benefit  of  Trastuzumab  in  T1N0  ?  
  • 28. Avantage AC-TH Avantage AC-T 1.0  0.0   2.0   Node  -­‐   Node  +   HR  -­‐   HR  +   Tumor  size  <  2cm   Tumor size ≥ 2cm AC-­‐TH  vs  AC-­‐T   1.0  0.0   2.0   Node  -­‐   Node  +   HR  -­‐   HR  +   Tumor  size  <  2cm   Tumor size ≥ 2cm TCH  vs  AC-­‐T   Avantage   TCH   Avantage   AC-­‐T   BCIRG  006  :  Subgroup  analysis  (OS)   Slamon  et  al.  SABCS  2006  
  • 29. A  french  retrospec@ve   pragma@cal  study  !   o  Mul@centric  study   o  96  T1a-­‐b,  N0  invasive  breast  cancers   o  Micro  invasion  and  mul@focal  tumor  are  excluded   o  Median  size:  8  mm  (2  –  10  mm)   o  25  (20  %)  ≤  5  mm   o  Adjuvant  treatment:  for  «  poor  prognosis  »  (high  grade  and/or  HR-­‐)   o  40  pa@ents  were  treated   o  90  %  (37/40)  of  pa@ents  received  chemotherapy  +  trastuzumab   o  7  %  (3/40)  of  pa@ents  received  trastuzumab  alone.   Rodriguez et al. – ASCO 2009
  • 30. Rodriguez  et  al.  ASCO  2009   40 « poor prognosis » 56 « good prognosis » No recurrence 9 % of recurrence Trastuzumab   § Recurrences only in the "Good prognosis" group: 9% vs 0% § Recurrences could probably be avoided, perhaps, by an effective treatment in the "Good prognosis" group. …  pragma@cal  results  
  • 31. Systemic  Adjuvant  Treatment  Of  T1a  and   T1b  N0M0  HER2+  Breast  Carcinomas;  an   AERIO/UNICANCER  Study   Julien Péron1, Jean Sebastien Frenel2, Yann Vano3, Johanna Wasserman4,5, Laurence Albiges-Sauvin4,6, Manuel Rodrigues4,7, Anne Vincent-Salomon7, Paul Cottu7 1Centre Léon Bérard , Lyon, France ; 2Centre René Gauducheau , Nantes, France ; 3Centre Antoine Lacassagne, Nice, France ; 4Association pour l’Enseignement et la Recherche des Internes en Oncologie ; 5Centre René Huguenin, Saint Cloud, France ; 6Institut Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France ; 7Institut Curie, Paris, France •  Trastuzumab/CT  treatment  led  to  a  lower  risk   of  recurrence  (p=0.004)   •  Among  51  T1a  tumors,  16  pa@ents  received   TZM/CT.  One  recurrence  occurred  among   treated  pa@ents  and  3  among  untreated   pa@ents.  
  • 32. Californian  registry  on  cause-­‐specific  mortality   Pa@ents  with  breast  cancer  N0,  T1a  or  T1b,  HER2  +     Chew et al. J Clin Oncol 2010,28(suppl):abstract 583 All cases n = 20 188 2000 – 2004 n = 9 409 2005 – 2007 n = 10 779 HER2 Positive Negative n (%) 3 196 (15.8) 16 992 (84.2) n (%) 1 579 (16.8) 7 830 (83.2) n (%) 1 617 (15) 9 162 (85)
  • 33. Hormone  receptors     Weigh@ng  factor  in  the  management  ?   Then  what  about  the  size  (T1a)  ?  
  • 34. Her  +  /  HR  +,  good  prognosis  ?   •  T1abc  pN0                N  =  2  026      -­‐  T1a-­‐b  =  328  and  T1c        HR  1.71  (p  =  0.01)  DFS      -­‐  67  %  =  adjuvant  chemotherapy        HR  2.03  (p  =  0.003)  OS      -­‐  Median  Follow-­‐up:  12.4  years   Chia  S.  et  al.  J  Clin  Oncol  2008;26:5697-­‐5704   All patients Time (year) DFS No adjuvant treatment Time (year) T1/RH Time (year) DFS Surviesansrécidive (probabilité)
  • 35. No  reason  to  consider  a  difference  between  T1a   and  T1b,  why  ?   •  Because  the  size  is  a  con@nuous  variable     •  Because  the  size  is  partly  a  subjec@ve  variable   •  Because  the  limits  of  5  mm  or  10  mm  were  arbitrarily  set     •  Finally,  because  there  are  few  data  in  bibliography…  
  • 36. Rakkhit R. et al. SABCS 2008 T1ab HER2 + DFS 1A : DFS / HER + or - 1B : DFS HR : HR + et HER - Triple negative HER2 : HER2+
  • 37. Mul@variate  analysis   Gonzalez-Angulo AM. et al – J Clin Oncol 2009 Survie sans récidive Survie sans récidive à distance HR 95 % IC p HR 95 % IC p HER2 positif vs négatif 2.68 (1.44 – 5) 0.002 5.30 (2.23 – 12.62) 0.0002 RH positif vs négatif 0.41 (0.23 – 0.72) 0.002 0.59 (0.25 – 1.37) 0.219 Âge et diagnostic 0.96 (0.94 – 0.98) 0.001 0.73 (0.32 – 1.7) 0.467 Grade 3 vs grade 1-2 1.34 (0.78 – 2.41) 0.320 0.97 (0.94 – 1) 0.080 Stade Ib versus Ia 1.59 (0.91 – 2.78) 0.103 1.47 (0.68 – 3.18) 0.329
  • 38. Benefit  of  chemotherapy  /  Risk  ?  
  • 39. Cardiotoxicity Median follow-up Patients number 12-39 mois > 4000 2 ans 1056 39 mois 116 1 an 1677 2 ans 718 2 ans 1068 2 ans 579 3 ans 216 Treatment No   Trastu   Docetaxel   Carbopla@n   +  Trastu   9  weeks   an@-­‐micro   tubules  +   trastu  follow   by  FEC  x  3   Anthra then Trastu AC x 4 , then Trastu + Taxane ICC NYHA Grade 3 - 4 Control   arm   BCIRG  006   FinHER   HERA   N-­‐9831   BCIRG  006   N-­‐9831   B31   3.5   4.1   2.5   1.6   0.6   0   0.4   0-­‐0.8   0   1   2   3   4  
  • 40. 256  paAents   StraAficaAon   N+/N-­‐   LVEF  >  50%     Good  safety  profil,  no  grade  3/4    toxicity,  except  grade  IV  neutropeny   But  stop  treatment  for  9  paAents  due  to  FEV  decrease   HercepAn   12  months   6  mg/kg   /3  w   /  3  w.   4  cycles   J1   J8   J15   75mg/m2   600mg/m2   HercepAn   C   T   Cycle  1,  J1   ➔  4  mg/kg  90  min,  then  2  mg/kg/w   C   T   C   T   C   T   Jones  SE  et  al.  SABCS  2008,  poster  2111   Phase II – docétaxel cyclophosphamide trastuzumab
  • 41. Summary  (1)        The  risk  of  recurrence  of  breast  cancer  HER2  +   for  small  tumors  without  lymph  node   involvement  is     •  9-­‐23  %  at  5  years     •  about  2.5  @mes  greater  than  in  disease-­‐HER2   nega@ve  
  • 42. Summary  (2)   •  Her  2  predictor  of  efficacy  of  trastuzumab?    The  answer  is  YES   •  Receptor  status  and  size,  weigh@ng  factor  of  decision?  Probably    NO   •  It  should  probably  take  into  account  the  risk-­‐benefit  ra@o  and  associated   comorbidi@es  in  choosing  treatment,  but  that  does  not  prohibit  an@  Her  2   treatment  (and  chemotherapy)  for  small  tumors.  
  • 44. Preamble  (valid  for  the  remainder  of   the  slides  in  forward  and  reverse)   No  prospec@ve  randomized  clinical  study   reports  the  benefit  of  adjuvant  chemotherapy   for  tumor  size  ≤  10  mm  and  pN0  and  whatever   immunohistochemical  subtype  considered  
  • 45. About  TN   •  All  tumors  "triple  nega@ve"  does  not   correspond  to  the  "basal-­‐like"  phenotype   defined  by  the  classifica@on  of  Peru  and  Sorlie   •  «  Basal  Like  »   •  SBR  =  high,  low  differen@a@on   •  High  KI  67   •  CK  5-­‐6  +  and  CK-­‐17+,  EGFR  +,  BRCA1  +  /  -­‐     •  "Basal-­‐like"  between  58  and  67  years  =  7%  of   breast  tumors  (1)   1.  Sihto  H,  2008,  Clin   Cancer  Res  
  • 46. Associations of different TNBC subtypes. Turner N C , and Reis-Filho J S Clin Cancer Res 2013;19:6380-6388
  • 47. Basal-like 1: cell cycle, DNA repair and proliferation genes Basal-like 2: Growth factor signaling (EGFR, MET, Wnt, IGF1R) IM: immune cell processes (medullary breast cancer) M: Cell motility and differentiation, EMT processes MSL: similar to M but growth factor signaling, low levels of proliferation genes (metaplastic cancers) LAR: Androgen receptor and downstream genes, luminal featuresLehmann et al JCI 2011
  • 48. Summary  of  retrospec@ve  series  T1ab   with  more  than  10%  of  TN   Author Year Number of patients Follow-up Summary of data Multivariate analysis Kaplan 2009 110 4,2 year 89 % TN  X  6.6  risk  of   recurrence  vs  RH+  HER2-­‐   ayer  adjustemnt  on  size,   age  et  adjuvant   chemotherapy  (Y  or  N) Curigliano 2009 95 60 months 5 events, 0 M+ Her 2+ Kwon 2012 56 pt1ab 61 months DFS-­‐5  years  92.5%   Only  one  metasta@c   recurrence  for  a  TN Age  <35  and  TN  are  the   only  two  parameters   impacting  DFS  (HR=   4.91  et  4.96)  no  Her  2 Park (issue de Kwon) 2011 Only 33 TN 61 months OS-5 years= 90 % Ho 2012 Only 194 TN, with Tmic 113  adjuvant   chemotherapy   Often  CMF 73 months DFS-­‐5  years  =  95% 11  metasta@c  recurrence
  • 49. Come-­‐back  to  consensus   Size T1a T1b Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH + Luminal A Luminal B TN Her 2+ RH - Her 2+ RH + Luminal A Luminal B TN NCCN 2014 No tt * HT* HT * HT * No tt * TZ + CT HT TZ+CT HT CT according to Oncotype Dx HT CT according to Oncotype Dx CT Saint Gallen 2011 No tt HT HT HT CT TZ + CT HT TZ + CT HT CT according to Oncotype Dx and UPA/P1 HT CT according to Oncotype Dx and UPA/P1 CT French Consensus Penault Llorca 2011 TZ + CT HT TZ + CT according to age, KI67, MI,grade embols No tt TZ +CT HT TZ + CT according to age, KI67, MI,grade embols CT INCA 2012 No answer No answer No answer No answer
  • 50. In  summary  (1)   •  Global  trend  to  provide  chemotherapy  for  small  TN  but  s@ll   no  consensus  for  T1a   •  Given  the  narrowness  of  the  benefit  of  chemotherapy  for   T1ab,  it  should  take  the  following  precau@ons     •  Consider  any  TN  pT1ab  low  grade  as  suspect  of  not  being  a  "basal-­‐ like  »     •  Do  not  hesitate  to  ask  a  second  look  on  histology   •  Repeat  IHC  HER2  and  HR     •  Repeat  evalua@on  of  SBR  and  growth  factors   •  Remove  histological  subtype  from  TN  known  as  good   prognosis  :  adenoid  cys@c  carcinoma,  androgene  receptor   +,  apocrine  
  • 51. In  summary  (2)   •  Rela@ve  benefit  of  chemotherapy  with  taxanes  and  anthracyclines,   whatever  the  size  and  histologic  subtype,  is  about  30%  according  to   the  Oxford  meta-­‐analysis  updated  in  2012   •  However,  absolute  benefit  is  depend  on  the  risk  of  relapse,  and  the   risk-­‐benefit   •  It  seems  reasonable  to  give  chemotherapy  only  for  following   profiles   •  pT1B     •  No  major  comorbidi@es     •  Grade  3,  high  prolifera@on  index   •  Regimen  of  chemotherapy  will  be  dictated  according  to  the   bibliography  (3  FEC  100-­‐3  Doce  etc…)  or  according  to  personal   convic@on  (4  TC,  pla@num  compounds)  
  • 53. Retrospec@ve  data   from  NSABP  2001   J  Natl  Cancer  Inst     1024  pa@ents  pT1ab   HR  +   Tam  vs  CT-­‐TAM   <  50  y,  HR  -­‐   HzR  =   0,61   Benefit : 13% 0,39 x 38.8  DFS-­‐8  years  =  trend  for  CT-­‐TAM  vs  TAM  alone        Impac@ng  parameters  in  mul@variate  analysis      Age  (cut-­‐off  =  50  years)      Size  (1  cm  vs  <  1  cm)   <  50  y,  N-­‐,   HR  +   HzR  =   0,64   Benefit : 10% 0,36 x 27.4 Oxford  meta-­‐analysis   2011  
  • 54. Prognosis  approach  does  not  allow  a   predic@ve  vision   •  But,  «  honestly  »,  chemotherapy  may  respond   to  laws  of  predictability,  according  to   mechanisms  of  ac@on  ?     In  absence  of  randomized  prospec@ve  study   answering  to  our  ques@on,  is  there  a  path  to   solve  the  problem..  
  • 55. L’approche  de  la  sta@s@que  modélisée   Adjuvant  Online   •  Un site web qui permet d’évaluer le pronostic individuel •  SG et SSR à 10 ans •  Utilise le suivi des patientes traitées entre 1988 et 1992 et enregistrées sur le « Surveillance Epidemiology and End-Results Registry » (SEER). •  10% des patientes USA traitées sur cette période •  Patientes de 36 à 59 ans avec enregistrement de la taille et du grade tumoral, du statut hormonal et de l’atteinte ganglionnaire axillaire. •  Evaluation statistique du bénéfice individuel des traitements médicamenteux adjuvants •  Utilisation du bénéfice constaté de l’HT et de la CT adjuvante par la Méta- analyse de l‘Early Breast Cancer Trialists’ Collaborative Group •  TAM, CMF, AC, TT séquentiel avec Taxanes •  Utilisation du bénéfice constaté des traitements adjuvants modernes dans les études adjuvantes randomisées récentes
  • 56. AOL  :  unperfectly  approach     •  No suitable for particular histology •  Tubular, papillar, mucinous, medullary •  No suitable for lobular •  No suitable for T1ab N- •  Under-estimation for efficacy of hormonotherapy •  AOL!  Ignores  the  prognosis  value  of:   • Ki67,  Mito@c  Index   • HER2   • PR  and  Quan@ta@ve  expression  of  ER      
  • 57. Je  vous  propose  une  simula@on   d’AOL  !   •  On  par@ra  du  concept  de  Saint  Paul  :  un  gain   addi@onnel  de  5  %  pour  la  récidive  à  10  ans  en  plus  de   l’hormonothérapie   •  On  fera  varier  les  paramètres  d'âge  et  de  grade   histologique,  par  tranche  d’âge  de  5  ans   •  On  fera  3  simula@ons  différentes  basées  sur  l’état   général   •  On  re@endra  comme  conven@on   •  Chimiothérapie  :  3  FEC  100  –  3  TXT   •  Hormonothérapie  :  TAM  jusqu’à  45  ans,  traitement   séquen@el  à  50  ans,  traitement  par  IA  exclusif  au  delà  
  • 58. Addi@onal  benefit  of  chemotherapy  over  10  years  in  risk  of  recurrence  in  addi@on  to  hormone  therapy,   according  to  age  and  histologic  grade  for  a  T1ab  tumor  with  Adjuvant  OnLine!   Age 30 y. TAM 35 y. TAM 40 y. TAM 45 y. TAM 50 y. TAM-IA 55 y. IA 60 y. IA 65 y. IA 70 y. IA Grade 1 7,7 5,2 5,3 5,3 3,4 3,3 2,7 2,8 2,5 Grade 2 9,1 6,3 6,3 6,3 4 4 3,3 3,3 3,1 Grade 3 10,6 7,3 7,4 7,4 4,7 4,7 3,8 3,9 3,6 Good  health,  IK  100  %   Age 30 y. TAM 35 y. TAM 40 y. TAM 45 y. TAM 50 y. TAM-IA 55 y. IA 60 y. IA 65 y. IA 70 y. IA Grade 1 7,7 5,3 5,2 5,1 3,2 2,7 2,7 2,5 2,2 Grade 2 9,1 6,2 6,2 6,1 3,8 3,1 3,1 3 3,7 Grade 3 10,6 7,3 7,4 7,3 4,6 4,6 3,7 3,5 3,2 Evolu@onnary  Health  state,  depending  on  the  age   Age 30 y. TAM 35 y. TAM 40 y. TAM 45 y. TAM 50 y. TAM-IA 55 y. IA 60 y. IA 65 y. IA 70 y. IA Grade 1 7,5 4,9 4,9 4,5 2,2 2,3 1,4 0,7 0,4 Grade 2 8,9 6 5,7 5,5 3,1 2,8 1,7 1 0,4 Grade 3 10,3 7 6,6 6,4 3,7 3,2 1,9 1 0,4 Poor  general  condi@on,  2  significant  comorbidi@es  
  • 59. Other  approaches,  other   perspec@ves…   •  More  personalized  sta@s@cal  approach:   "No€ngham  Prognos@c  Index"  taking  into   account  the  expression  of  HR  and  Her2     Oncotype  Dx     •  Hormone  therapy  signatures     •  UPA/P1  
  • 60. Oncotype DX® 16 cancer genes and 5 referent genes from three study 60 Paik et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. Catégorie SR (0-100) Low risk RS < 18 Intermediate risk 18 < RS < 31 High risk RS ≥ 31 PROLIFERATION Ki-67 STK15 Survivin Cyclin B1 MYBL2 OESTROGENES ER PR Bcl2 SCUBE2 INVASION Stromelysine 3 Cathepsine L2 HER2 GRB7 HER2 REFERENCE Beta-actine GAPDH RPLPO GUS TFRC GSTM1 BAG1 CD68 RS = + 0.47 x HER2 Group Score - 0.34 x ER Group Score + 1.04 x Proliferation Group Score + 0.10 x Invasion Group Score + 0.05 x CD68 - 0.08 x GSTM1 - 0.07 x BAG1
  • 61. Oncotype DX® Validation Clinique: RS used as a continuous prognostic factor • The recurrence score predicts the likelihood of beneficial effects of chemotherapy and the risk of recurrence at 10 years 61 Paik et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. My SR is 30. What is the risk of recurrence in 10 years?
  • 62. NSABP B-20: Many Small Tumors Have Intermediate to High Recurrence Score® Disease Paik S, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:3726-3734. 33% 20% 19% 23% 21% 46% N = 110 N = 318 N = 196 N = 24 RecurrenceScore ≤1 cm 1.1-2 cm 2.1-4 cm >4 cm Clinical tumor size 0 20 40 60 80 100 P=0.001 64% 56% 46% 16% 25% 30%
  • 63. WSG-­‐Plan  B  study    (n=2551  )   Gluz  O,  et  al.  SABCS  2011     63 Risque intermédiaire risk (18-30) Risque élevé (≥31) Risque faible (<18) Ki-67 <14 Ki-67 ≥14 Central grade 3% 36% 61% 19% 43% 38% 37% 63% 5% 39% 56% 30% 39% 31% uPA/PAI-1 1 2 3 low high