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decision making
Decision
Making

Organizational
Behavior
Presentation
Model
1. The Rational Model
2. Non-rational Models




Model
1. The Rational Model

                  “Four-step sequence”

                                               Implementing
Identifying the     Generating   Selecting a
                                               and Evaluating
   Problem          Solutions     Solution
                                                the Solution




Model
2. Non-Rational Model

  “How decisions actually are made.”

   2.1. Simon’s Normative Model
        - Bounded rationality
        - Satisfying

   2.2. The Garbage Can Model



Model
Intuition
A Model of Intuition


        Expertise                   Holistic
                                    Hunch
                       Intuition

                                   Automated
        Feeling
                                   Experience




Intuition
Group Decision Making
• Efficiency
 • Confidence in judgments
 • Group size
 • Decision making accuracy

      Issues             Group    Individual
Efficiency                Less      More       Time Constraints
Confidence in             More      Less
judgments
Quality                       -       -         Depending on
                                                 Group size
Accuracy
Processes and
Performance




                               Group VS
                  Individual Performance
Brainstorming
1. Defer judgment
 - Build on the ideas of others
 - Encourage wild ideas
 - Go for quantity over quality
 - Be visual
 - Stay focused on the topic
 - One conversation at a time

2. The Nominal Group Technique
3. The Delphi Technique


                                     Group Problem
                                  Solving Technique
Tolerance for Ambiguity
                           High

                                      Analytical          Conceptual


                                      Directive            Behavioral
                           Low


                          Task and technical concerns        People and social concerns


                                                Value Orientation




                                             Decision Making Styles
Case Study : IDEO
BRIGHT
IDEAS
FOR
DARK
TIMES
we’re global design consultancy,
we create impact through design.
How do I inspired myself
    and my company?


              How do we make the
              recession work
              for us, and not
              against us?


What can we do
differently tomorrow
morning?
IDEO
IDEO
1000+            3,500
 Patents issued   Field interviews
  since 1978          in 2007


                         10,500             345+
                         Conference calls   Awards won
                            in a year       since 1991




Featured Work
the business of design thinking
ideo clients
5   steps
5        steps


• Fly on the wall
• Bodystorming
• Empathy Tool

1. Emphasize the empathy with the customer
5        steps




1. Emphasize the empathy with the customer
5    steps




2. Anything is Possible Brainstorm
5          steps

    "quick and dirty prototyping,"




3. Visualizing solutions by creating actual prototypes,
5          steps




3. Visualizing solutions by creating actual prototypes,
5         steps
          technology-enabled
           experiences (TEX)



4. Using technology to find creative solutions
5     steps




5. Doing it all with incredible speed
my mMode
AT&T mMode

mMode is launched in 2002

mMode is application to access information via
wireless



Problem :
customer were not signed-up
game plan
Game Plan
 Empathic research

 AT&T manager has a mission to find things from their own product




                                channel 3
Game Plan




 “Even teenagers didn’t get it”
Recognize their problem
Brainstorm + Prototypes
my mMode




“easy to use, but offers key innovations”
My mMode Features

- organize frequently accessed services much like a
  web browser's favorites list

- share mobile pages or sites with other mMode
  users

- find content by category, popularity, date, and
  through AT&T Wireless "personas"
assumption
Assumption
What’s your most famous product?
That’s hard to determine! The Apple Mouse
is probably the most iconic product, since it
can truly be said to have helped shape a
new industry. But the Crest Neat-Squeeze
Tube was first made 20 years ago and is
still on the market, and hundreds of millions
have been made. And then there’s the ABC
Nightline episode in which we designed a
shopping cart. It’s been shown to
classroom and industry groups all over the
world, making for a total of around 10
million viewers. Then again, lots of people
bought the Palm V when it came out in
1999.
Rickson Sun / Chief Technologist
What kind of name is IDEO?
ideo- is the combining form of the word idea,
used in words like ideogram and ideology. It’s
not an abbreviation and it’s not a foreign word.
One of our founders, Bill Moggridge,
discovered it while browsing a dictionary. We
considered spelling it lower-case with a dash,
but when Paul Rand designed our first logo
using capital letters, we liked it so much we
spelled it that way everywhere. By the way, we
pronounce it EYE-dee-oh.
Scott Underwood / Communication Design
THE END

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Organizational Decision Making Models

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 7. 1. The Rational Model 2. Non-rational Models Model
  • 8. 1. The Rational Model “Four-step sequence” Implementing Identifying the Generating Selecting a and Evaluating Problem Solutions Solution the Solution Model
  • 9. 2. Non-Rational Model “How decisions actually are made.” 2.1. Simon’s Normative Model - Bounded rationality - Satisfying 2.2. The Garbage Can Model Model
  • 11. A Model of Intuition Expertise Holistic Hunch Intuition Automated Feeling Experience Intuition
  • 13. • Efficiency • Confidence in judgments • Group size • Decision making accuracy Issues Group Individual Efficiency Less More Time Constraints Confidence in More Less judgments Quality - - Depending on Group size Accuracy Processes and Performance Group VS Individual Performance
  • 14. Brainstorming 1. Defer judgment - Build on the ideas of others - Encourage wild ideas - Go for quantity over quality - Be visual - Stay focused on the topic - One conversation at a time 2. The Nominal Group Technique 3. The Delphi Technique Group Problem Solving Technique
  • 15. Tolerance for Ambiguity High Analytical Conceptual Directive Behavioral Low Task and technical concerns People and social concerns Value Orientation Decision Making Styles
  • 16. Case Study : IDEO
  • 18. we’re global design consultancy, we create impact through design.
  • 19. How do I inspired myself and my company? How do we make the recession work for us, and not against us? What can we do differently tomorrow morning?
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. 1000+ 3,500 Patents issued Field interviews since 1978 in 2007 10,500 345+ Conference calls Awards won in a year since 1991 Featured Work
  • 25.
  • 26. the business of design thinking
  • 27.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. 5 steps
  • 33. 5 steps • Fly on the wall • Bodystorming • Empathy Tool 1. Emphasize the empathy with the customer
  • 34. 5 steps 1. Emphasize the empathy with the customer
  • 35. 5 steps 2. Anything is Possible Brainstorm
  • 36. 5 steps "quick and dirty prototyping," 3. Visualizing solutions by creating actual prototypes,
  • 37. 5 steps 3. Visualizing solutions by creating actual prototypes,
  • 38. 5 steps technology-enabled experiences (TEX) 4. Using technology to find creative solutions
  • 39. 5 steps 5. Doing it all with incredible speed
  • 41.
  • 42. AT&T mMode mMode is launched in 2002 mMode is application to access information via wireless Problem : customer were not signed-up
  • 44. Game Plan Empathic research AT&T manager has a mission to find things from their own product channel 3
  • 45. Game Plan “Even teenagers didn’t get it”
  • 47. my mMode “easy to use, but offers key innovations”
  • 48. My mMode Features - organize frequently accessed services much like a web browser's favorites list - share mobile pages or sites with other mMode users - find content by category, popularity, date, and through AT&T Wireless "personas"
  • 49.
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55. What’s your most famous product? That’s hard to determine! The Apple Mouse is probably the most iconic product, since it can truly be said to have helped shape a new industry. But the Crest Neat-Squeeze Tube was first made 20 years ago and is still on the market, and hundreds of millions have been made. And then there’s the ABC Nightline episode in which we designed a shopping cart. It’s been shown to classroom and industry groups all over the world, making for a total of around 10 million viewers. Then again, lots of people bought the Palm V when it came out in 1999. Rickson Sun / Chief Technologist
  • 56. What kind of name is IDEO? ideo- is the combining form of the word idea, used in words like ideogram and ideology. It’s not an abbreviation and it’s not a foreign word. One of our founders, Bill Moggridge, discovered it while browsing a dictionary. We considered spelling it lower-case with a dash, but when Paul Rand designed our first logo using capital letters, we liked it so much we spelled it that way everywhere. By the way, we pronounce it EYE-dee-oh. Scott Underwood / Communication Design