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“Managers make many
decisions each day, and
a great majority of them
refers to future events”
Spyrog Makridakis
Roger Bacon
Scientific Studies, 1260
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2013
The exploration of
futures strongly
bases on the
participants abilities.
Ossip K. Flechtheim
Social Fabric
Technology Fabric
Zeitgeist describes
the interactions,
values and believes of
a society. It is the
“spirit of times” and
the “soul of society”.
It describes the period after the present.
The Future is inevitable, partial or not
known and symbolizes changes and
uncertainty.
It is a combination of new or existing
variables and their amplitudes.
Future of
the Past
Future of
the Present
Future of the
Future
We live, already lived or are really
close to the Future of the Past. That is
why we have more facts and
information that transforms it into a
pool of insights and deeper
understanding of changes.
1966
“Probe of the future”, TRW
66 forecasts
Mostly wrong
1967
“The Year 2000”, Macmillian
100 inventions
15% corrects
10% partial correct
Steven P. Schnaars
The Future of the Present generates new
realities and identifies new possible
changes, logics, risks and opportunities. It
is a combination of several variables from
trends to fictions.
The primary objective is to amplify and
create new perspectives anticipating
decisions.
Isomorphic
Cycles
Trends
New
Variables
FutureFuture
The spread of computers
and the Internet will put
jobs in two categories:
People who tell
computers what to do,
and people who are told
by computers what to
do.” Only one of these
two job categories will be
well paid.
Marc Andreessen
After Next (AN) is a vision that is explored
upon a created and selected future. It uses
Fiction and variables from scenarios as a
starting points. AN identifies new possible
realities, logics and not yet existing
opportunities. Once created it turns
atemporal, a reality, that we do not know
when it will happen.
Future
After Next
Variables of
the future
New
Variables
Social
Zeitgeist
Function
Technology
Science
Parts
It is the process of exploring,
understanding and creating new future
realities. Its objectives is to create a
new future consciousness of possible
changes, identify new opportunities,
risks and logics for the present context.
Linear/ProgressiveCyclic Open/Complex
Cognitive
(inspired by Metaverse Roadmap)
Unseen Future
VirtualMirror
ExistingNew
PhysicalCognitive
Unseen Future
VirtualMirror
ExistingNew
Physical
(Daniel Egger 2013)
Micro
Variables
Macro
Variables
Mega
Variables
Dr. Vannevar Bush “The 3rd Eye”, 1945
Core Vision Details
Google Glass, 2013
1913,TheArtofNoises,LuigiRussolo
The Cool
Hunter
The Trend
Researcher
The Futurist
The Cool
Hunter
The Trend
Researcher
The Futurist
The Cool
Hunter
The Trend
Researcher
The Futurist
Planner Futurist
(Specific Theme; 3-5 years;
may use inputs from the
Futurists)
(Multiple perspectives; more
than 5 years; constantly in the
flux)
Exploratory
Qualitative
Normative
Quantitative
Future Studies
applies multiple
tools to explore
new realities.
- Mechanical Extrapolation
- Unexplored Assumptions
- Not to imagine
- Work only with ONE future
- Search for a solution instead of opportunities
- Predict the future
- Judge the future with todays values
- Low Flexibility
- “Fashion” Tools
- Super simplified Tools
“We did not invent time travel yet
(unknonw)
too change the past.
Our only opportunity is
to create a new future.
@Daniel_Egger
daniel@foltigo.com
www.foltigo.com

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