1. GEORGE C. MARSHALL CENTER
College of International Security Studies
Garmisch – Partenkirchen, Germany
LTC ULRICH M. JANSSEN
Email: ulrich.janssen@marshallcenter.org
LinkedIn: Ulrich Janßen
Twitter: @UliJanOgau
Phone: +49-8821-750-2658
2. Lieutenant Colonel Ulrich (“Uli”) M. JANSSEN (DEU Army)
18-Mar-22 2
Operating Environment
53 winters
1 daughter (23)
Engaged
Rhineland Oberammergau
Education
Hamburg University, Masters in Economics
Graduate of George C. Marshall European
Center for Security Studies, PASS 08-7
Information Operations Post-Graduate
Course in GBR
Strategic Communications Master Class,
University of Cambridge
> 32 years of military service
Command functions
Staff functions
Training & Education
Next to Military
Sports
Reading
Good food, red wine
Last appointments:
5 years Arms Control & Verification
CFE-Treaty, Vienna Document, Dayton Peace
Agreement
4 years JFC Brunssum
J5/9 Joint Plans - Force Planning
J2/CI - INFOSEC
2 years structure / PE review
4 years Joint Info Ops Branch
Concept Development, Plans, Requirements,
Education, Training & Exercise
1993-2007 supporting speaker
various courses
2008-2013 Course Director / Instructor
CD EW, INFO OPS, PSYOPS, STRATCOM
Instructor OPC, EW, PAO, CIMIC, CM, Orientation
Courses
Lecturer BDCOL, DEU General Staff College, UK NDA
/ Cranfield University, AUT NDA, SWE NDC, BGR
NDA, George C. Marshall Center
International conferences
June 2013 George C. Marshall Center
3. Applied Strategic Communications and Military
Information Operations
Introduction to Senior NCO Orientation Course M5-33-C
Oberammergau, 1-5 Jul 2013
TURNING VISION INTO IMPACT
4. Turning Vision Into Impact
What Vision?
Challenges in Behavioural Conflict
Strategic Communications – the proposed solution
NATO’s StratCom Framework
The desired effect … impact
Conclusion
18-Mar-22 4
5. NATO’s Vision
The Washington Treaty
“Keep the Germans down, the Americans in, and the Russians
out.” (Lord Ismay, 4 Apr 1949)
Collective Defence
Shared responsibility for security
Burden sharing
Strengthen the transatlantic link
Strategic Concept 2010
Active Engagement, Modern Defence
NATO Summit, Chicago, May 2012
5 declarations
Partnership
Smart Defence & Defence Capabilities
Countering Terrorism
Commitment in AFG post 2014
Mission specific
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6. C2W
“Military Facts”
Peace Crisis/Conflict War Transition Post War Peace
“War is merely the continuation of politics by other means.”
Center of Gravity: enemy / enemy capabilities
Human Assistance
Civil Engagement
Reconstruction
(Marshall Plan)
IW(1970)
IO(1990)
Military Intervention in the Clausewitz’ian sense
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8. Revolution in Technology and Enhanced Connectivity
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"The extent, depth, and
speed of the new global
media have created a
new species of effects...
The military must understand, anticipate, and
plan for this new dynamic."
(Margaret H. Belknap, 2001)
10. “Military Facts”
Media
Social structures
Political / Civil
structures
Key Players/
Actors
Economy
Transportation
Finance
Culture
Communication
Grids
Peace Crisis/Conflict War Transition Post War Peace
People Tradition
Religion
Law
Emotions
Education
“War is merely the failure of communications by other means.” (Clausewitz adapted by UJ)
Center of Gravity: people’s perception
Info Ops(2000)
StratCom(2009)
Military Intervention in Operations other than War
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11. People in the Focus
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"An endless struggle will be
pursued between violence and
friendly persuasion...
And henceforth, the only
honourable course will be to stake
everything on a formidable
gamble - that WORDS are more
powerful than MUNITIONS."
Albert Camus (1913-1960)
15. Deterrence in the Social Age
18-Mar-22 15
UNCLASSIFIED
“For to win one hundred
victories in one hundred
battles is not the acme of
skill. To subdue the
enemy without fighting is
the acme of skill.”
16. Messaging and understanding right
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…is all about getting out right messages right,
listen carefully and learn … understand!
– What’s a message?
– What’s a right message?
– What’s getting them out (and in) right ?
• Exchange of information by any
format and means
• One cannot NOT communicate!
• Translation: Whatever you do, and
how you do sends out messages.
• Understanding Perception of
your messages.
• Legality
• Legitimacy
• People’s perception of us
performing a legitimate mission.
• Right actor (sender / receiver)
• Right time
• Right place
• Right route / channel of
communication
• Right means to communicate
• Right purpose
Analysis
(Knowledge
Development)
Planning
Execution
Assessment
Comprehensive
Operations
Cycle
17. The Challenge
Did you ever try to explain to your best friend
how to play chess on your behalf?
We must replace the delusion of control by
reality of influence. (Mark Laity, CSC ACO)
Commanders, Planners, Units crash too often.
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UNCLASSIFIED
18. The brutal simplicity of thought
Six fundamental principles for SUCCESs-ful
Communications
Simple
Unexpected
Concrete
Credible
Emotional
Stories
Building a better NATO School,
not just a bigger one.
Communication demands
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Fit the purpose (vision / end-state)
Help … to crash less often
By better considering people’s perceptions, motivations and behaviour
They’ve got the watches, we’ve got the time!
You’re out – we’re in!
22. Managing Perception
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Influencing (deceiving) the perception of
information by all senses
…by better considering people’s perceptions, motivations
and behaviour in planning.
23. Communication by “other” means
SUCCESs
f (getting out right messages right, listen carefully and learn)
f(Ensuring Consistency and Credibility of Communications by ALL
means through Comprehensive Coordination)
f(Ensuring C powered by 5)
Military Actions speak louder than words.
… by other - potentially lethal - arguments.
Greater impact on people’s
perceptions, attitudes, behaviour.
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23
23
23
23
24. Talking to Audiences (and Listening?)
Enemy, Conflicting Parties
Own Population,
International Community
Population
Theatre of Operations
PSYOPS
Corporate
Communication
Public
Affairs
Information
&
Persuasion
Own Troops
New Media
New Media
26. Transformation of C2 … doing our homework
Command & Control
Consult & Correct
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27. Transformation of C.. continuous improvement
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Command &
Control
Command, Control &
Communications
Command, Control, Communications,
Computers & Intelligence Surveillance
and Reconnaissance
Consistency and
Credibility of
Communications by ALL means
through Comprehensive
Coordination
30. NATO UNCLASSIFIED
The Product powered by the Power of Information
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P
Political
C
Civil
M
Military
E
Economic
UNCLASSIFIED
i = 0 1 i = 1 MPEC i > 1 exponentially adding value
32. Strategic Communications
Reference Documentation
NATO Strategic Communications Policy (Sep 09)
Military Concept for Strategic Communications (Aug 10)
Military Capabilities Implementation Plan (Jun 11)
Directive 95-1 on Public Affairs (May 08)
Directive 95-2 on Strategic Communications (May 12)
Directive 95-3 on Social Media (Dec 09)
ACO Comprehensive Operations Planning Directive (Dec 10)
MC 133 NATO’s Operations Planning Policy (Jan 11)
MC 402 Military Policy on Psychological Operations (Sep 12)
AJP 3.10.1 Joint Doctrine for Psychological Operations (under review)
MC 422 Military Policy on Information Operations (MD Jul 12)
AJP 3.10 Joint Doctrine for Information Operations (under review)
MC 457 Military Policy on Public Affairs (Jan 11)
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33. Strategic Communications
Definition
The coordinated and appropriate use of NATO
communications activities and capabilities
• Public Diplomacy,
• Public Affairs,
• Military Public Affairs,
• Information Operations and
• Psychological Operations, as appropriate
in support of Alliance policies, operations and activities, and
in order to advance NATO’s aims.
PO(2009)0141, dated 29 Sep ‘09
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34. The Vision – the Challenge
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Public Affairs
Media Ops
Consistency and Credibility of
Communications by ALL means
through Comprehensive
Coordination.
35. Military Public
Affairs
Political
Public Diplomacy
Public Affairs
PSYOPS
EW
Operation
Security
Military
Deception
CIMIC
Computer
Network
Operations
Military
Key Leader
Engagement
Military
Information
Operations
Other
military
activities
Coordinated and appropriate use of NATO‘s
communications activities and capabilities
18-Mar-22 35
Economic
Civil
StratCom
Framework
All communication (activities) affecting people‘s perceptions, motivations, behavior.
Physical
Destruction
36. Two names, same aim
Information Operations
A staff function to
analyze,
plan,
assess and
integrate
Information Activities to create
desired effects on will,
understanding and capability of
adversaries, potential adversaries
and NAC approved audiences in
support of Alliance mission
objectives.
MC 422/4 (MD, Jun 2012)
18-Mar-22 40
M P E C
Strategic Communications
The coordinated and appropriate
use of NATO communications
activities and capabilities
Public Diplomacy,
Public Affairs,
Military Public Affairs,
Information Operations and
Psychological Operations, as
appropriate
in support of Alliance policies,
operations and activities, and in
order to advance NATO’s aims.
PO(2009)0141, dated 29 Sep ‘09
37. Strategic Communications
Aims
Implementation as a process
To ensure Consistency and Credibility of
Communications by ALL means through
Comprehensive Coordination
Linking policy with action
Avoid “Say-Do-Gap”
Perception Management at its best!
18-Mar-22 41
.gnikniht fo yaw tnereffid A
38. Mission specific strategic political guidance on information activities
NATO’s Military Approach to C5
… in just 1 graph
18-Mar-22 42
StratCom
Guidance
44. Summary
C5 in all phases of comprehensive operations
Analysis first … action last!
Understanding the Environment is a MUST!
Human Terrain Analysis and Assessment
Language of engagement
Planning for effects
Speed up own planning and decision-making
CoG is people’s perception of the legitimacy of our mission
Synchronization of effects
Execution - making the difference
Greater impact of military communications by ALL means
Target vulnerable relationships (+/-)
Assessment – are we doing right things … right?
Did actors change undesired behavior?
… because we did right things right?
Do we better understand unknown unknowns?
18-Mar-22 48
Talking on Turning Vision Into Impact the first question that comes into mind is, what vision? Why do we have NATO, and what is NATO aiming at? When NATO was founded in 1949 the vision, mission and values were pretty simple and clear.
Over more than 60 years of its existence the Alliance amended the military strategy from Deter Aggression via Massive Retaliation and Flexible Response to Active Engagement – Modern Defence. Please notice that beginning in 1949 up until 2010 the strategic concept could always be recognized and explained by just 2, now 4 simple words.
Last recent update on NATO’s vision and mission for the upcoming years has been agreed by the heads of state and governments at the Chicago Summit in May this year.
Beyond this kind of political agenda and overall strategy NATO had a vision also for a particular mission that went into people’s mind by just 4 words: Protecting Civilians in Libya.
So the vision is clear.
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Key to successful messaging, or successful communications, according to the Heath brothers in Made to Stick are these principles for SUCCESs
Simplicity
Unexpectedness
Concreteness
Credibility
Emotions
Stories
Following the principles of success will help
people pay attention,
They understand our messages right and understand why we do what we do the way we do.
They trust us being a right, i.e. authorized and legitimate messenger and agree with our motivations to act.
They care about the existing unsatisfactory situation, and agree on the need to change.
The people understand our approach to assist them in resolving the conflict.
Example from Delta Airlines adopted to NATO School… YES – it has to do with marketing, with selling our ideas! And you’ll remember the Taleban using the analogy of watches and time. – But I missed our response to it, like …
Implementing StratCom and Military Information Operations in comprehensive operations planning is challenging us, is challenging our planners, because
Our messages and the way we communicate them must fit the purpose!
So in StratCom and Military Info Ops we don't tell planners how to plan,
but we provide them with advice how to crash less often …
by considering psychological implications of what we do
on people’s perceptions, attitudes and behavior.
The ability to anticipate behavior.
The ability to anticipate what’s likely to happen next!
How does deception relate to ensuring message consistency, to StratCom and Military Info Ops? Well … it’s all about anticipating and influencing someone’s behavior by sending out right messages at the right time and place to the right people to take a desired decision, or to behave in an anticipated way.
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Now “clear” guidnace from political level, namly Public diplomacy division.
But still confusion on military level.
Note military puplic affairs, what did not excist before the policy
I don’t have much hope that this solves the problems, especially, because in current practice they added an additional layer
18-Mar-22
A process …
Linking the power of words with the power of military action (the military way of communicating our messages)
Ensuring message consistency from political – strategic levels, i.e. x-governmental as well as transnational through military – strategic and joint force or operational levels to the tactical level and beyond to the individual communicator.
Avoid the Say do Gap … not the gap between what we say and what we do, but between what NATO says and does vs. what AUDIENCES perceive we’re saying and doing.
A different way of thinking … a mental challenge … from planning an operation to kill (or capture) the enemy to planning for managing the risk to fail in messaging. From a situation when decisions for the future were made based on what we learned in the past, to decisions for the future made on what we don’t know, or what’s likely to happen next.
Simply speaking we’re still afraid of loosing control… and what’s needed is perception management at its best.