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The Quiet Revolution of Visual Communications in
the Western Enterprise
Izmailovo Alpha
Moscow
April 6th, 2012
Richard Norris
Program Manager
Wainhouse Research
© 2011 Wainhouse 2
Agenda
•
Some History
•
The Millenium Age of Conferencing (2000-now)
•
What’s happening in the Enterprise today and what’s
driving the changes
•
The Services driven future
•
Summary
3
Wainhouse Research Overview
•
Market research & consulting firm
–
Founded 1999
•
Focus
–
Videoconferencing, collaboration, & unified communications
•
Clients
–
End Users
–
Manufacturers
–
Channel Partners
–
Financial Community
FREE Newsletter
Wainhouse.com/bulletin
© 2011 Wainhouse
Andrew Davis
Videoconferencing
Boston
Richard Norris
Videoconferencing
Paris
Stacy Austin-Li
Chinese UC&C
Specialist
Madison, WI
Scott Walters
Hosted Collaboration
Services
Pittsburgh
Ira Weinstein
Videoconferencing
Ft Lauderdale
Marc Beattie
Hosted Collaboration Services
Boston
Make Smarter Decisions
Stefan Karapetkov
Videoconferencing
San Jose
Bill Haskins
Unified
Communications
Denver
Andy Nilssen
Personal Web-Based Collaboration
Tampa
Alan Greenberg
Distance Ed &
eLearning
Austin
11 Analysts
Dedicated to UC&C
Steve Vonder Haar
Streaming &
Webcasting
Dallas
© 2011 Wainhouse 5
My Credentials
Then...
•
Global Conferencing Manager – Mars Inc.
•
Responsible for:
–
400 video end-points (26 countries)
–
6 bridges (3 x video, 3 x audio)
–
Developing/managing internal, self-service VC booking system
Now.....
• End-User focus Consultancy
• WR Events Director
• Point9 Executive Director
̶
End-User collaboration industry association
Some History
A Brief History of Videoconferencing Time
© 2011 Wainhouse 7
Earth
cools
Mobility
& social
Alex G. Bell
ISDN
intro
Cisco TP
New-normal
economics &
technology
UC & SIP
H323
IP video
LifeSize intros
HD
© 2011 Wainhouse 8
The Dark Ages: 80’s-90’s
•
Rooms were VC enabled, not people
•
Inter-operability was a distant dream
•
TDM networks – copper pipes, some
ISDN
•
EXPENSE! - $100,000+ per room
•
Nightmare to for users to understand
•
A technology only adopted by the very
determined, or the completely insane
© 2011 Wainhouse 9
Why did we bother?
•
Business’ were beginning to go global
•
Visionary CEO’s could understand the
competitive edge that greater collaboration
could bring
•
Pharmaceuticals could perhaps shave 6
months off the development cycles for new
drugs – worth many millions $$$
•
Always justified on travel savings but not the
real prize
© 2011 Wainhouse 10
The (first) New Dawn – 1996
•
Industry standards – H.320 and then H.323
changed the game
•
B2B visual communications became a
possibility
•
PictureTel Swiftsite changed the game – 1996
•
Set-top appliances brought costs down to
$10,000 per room
•
Mars
•
1989-1996: 22 units
•
1996-2000: 250 units
The post-IP Era
© 2011 Wainhouse 12
The (second) New Dawn – 2000 to today
•
IP networks removed the uncertainty of calling
•
You dial and the call goes through
•
‘No-Cost’ calling
•
IP brought videconferencing into the IT
mainstream
•
Network Managers didn’t like it
•
The videoconferencing world was now all
about set-top room systems sitting on IP
networks
•
Costs were down, reliability up.... The future
looks very good!
© 2011 Wainhouse 13
High Definition
•
HD gave another major boost to visual
communications
•
It made VC be what people always expected
it to look like
•
Would not be possible unless underpinned by
high speed IP networks
Lower costs
Improved
quality
HD
Improved
reliability
© 2011 Wainhouse 14
Cisco & Telepresence
•
2006 - Cisco introduces ‘immersive visual
communications’ called telepresence
•
Massive impact on the visual communications
industry – mostly because of Cisco’s
marketing
•
Telepresence started to appear in people’s
homes via TV series
© 2011 Wainhouse 15
Cisco & Telepresence ... Why?
The Enterprise Today
© 2011 Wainhouse 17
VC in the Enterprise Today
•
Visual Communications are now becoming
prevalent, mainstream and mission critical
•
Becoming a feature in other (UC) applications
•
Ownership of collaboration in the enterprise is
not clear
•
VC is part of IT
•
The need for greater collaboration is now
accepted but there’s great fear, uncertainty
and doubt
•
Video is now the new voice
© 2011 Wainhouse 18
VC in the Enterprise Today
•
Visual Communications are now becoming
prevalent, mainstream and mission critical
•
Becoming a feature in other (UC) applications
•
Ownership of collaboration in the enterprise is
not clear
•
VC is part of IT
•
The need for greater collaboration is now
accepted but there’s great fear, uncertainty
and doubt
•
Video is now the new voice
© 2011 Wainhouse 19
Collaboration & Mobility
•
Senior Management now accept that
collaboration and conferencing are important
to their business efficiency and effectiveness
•
The messaging from major players (their
existing partners) – MS, IBM, Avaya, Cisco
etc have reached the boardroom
•
UC & Mobility are the hottest buzzwords
•
Use of Visual Communications embedded
within other collaborative applications is
becoming widespread
© 2011 Wainhouse 20
Collaboration & Mobility
Source: WR Rich Media Metrics – Dec 2011
530 respondents/298 end-users
© 2011 Wainhouse 21
Collaboration & Mobility
Source: WR Rich Media Metrics – Dec 2011
530 respondents/298 end-users
© 2011 Wainhouse 22
Collaboration & Mobility
•
People are now being empowered
and NOT rooms – B I G change!
•
Collaboration is being driven down
to the user
•
Users are dictating how and where
they work
–
BYOD
–
High growth in home workers
•
Tablet PC’s with collaboration
applications are becoming common
•
Cloud services are the future
© 2011 Wainhouse 23
Collaboration & Mobility
2,250,000,000
Tooth brushes
in use
© 2011 Wainhouse 24
Collaboration & Mobility
6,900,000,000
World population
© 2011 Wainhouse 25
Collaboration & Mobility
... So 4.6B people
don’t own toothbrushes!!
© 2011 Wainhouse 26
Collaboration & Mobility
>5,000,000,000
mobile phone subscriptions
© 2011 Wainhouse 27
Collaboration & Mobility
>double the people own
mobile phones than own
toothbrushes!
Mobility in the Enterprise
© 2011 Wainhouse 29
Where do you usually work from?
Options
Home office
Branch office
HQ
Travel & work on road
Source: WR 2011 User Survey
© 2012 Wainhouse 30
Old-Style Corporate Office
§ Bored workers
§ Poor motivation
§ Poor productivity
§ No creativity
§ No individuality
§ NO COLLABORATION
© 2012 Wainhouse 31
Times are changing
§ 20-30m US people work from
home at least 1 day/week
§ 74% increase since 2005 in US
workers working from home at
least 1 day/month
§ 61% of federal employees are
considered eligible for telework
Ø
5.2% do so on a regular
basis
Source: Telework Research Network
© 2012 Wainhouse 32
Source: AT&T 2010 Calculations
© 2011 Wainhouse 33
What increases / decreases your use of
conferencing services?
Source: WR 2011 User Survey
Options
Travel restrictions
Encouragement by management
Increased productivity
Budgetary reasons
Climate
Other
© 2011 Wainhouse 34
Has your use of conferencing services
changed this year versus last year?
Source: WR 2011 User Survey
Options
Much more
Somewhat more
About the same
Less
Audio, Web, Video} >50%
© 2011 Wainhouse 35
So……
•
Users are spending less time in the corporate office
•
More time on the road or home offices .......
•
Using more conferencing/collaborative services
•
Using their own devices
–
iPads
–
Androids
–
Smart Phones
•
Cloud services are a natural choice
–
no Capex
Summary
© 2011 Wainhouse 37
In Summary....
-
More people, with more services, by 2014
-
>40M UCaaS users
-
>139M audio users
-
>131M web users
-
>176M video users
-
More services become cloud-based
-
More cloud-based services provide intelligent
integration
-
More intelligent integration provides a “preference
for use” and drives greater demand
Richard Norris
Tel: +44 207 023 9347
Email: richard@wainhouse.com
www.wainhouse.com
Thank You
Make Smarter Decisions

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The Quiet Revolution of Visual Communications in the Western Enterprise. Richard Norris, Wainhouse Research

  • 1. The Quiet Revolution of Visual Communications in the Western Enterprise Izmailovo Alpha Moscow April 6th, 2012 Richard Norris Program Manager Wainhouse Research
  • 2. © 2011 Wainhouse 2 Agenda • Some History • The Millenium Age of Conferencing (2000-now) • What’s happening in the Enterprise today and what’s driving the changes • The Services driven future • Summary
  • 3. 3 Wainhouse Research Overview • Market research & consulting firm – Founded 1999 • Focus – Videoconferencing, collaboration, & unified communications • Clients – End Users – Manufacturers – Channel Partners – Financial Community FREE Newsletter Wainhouse.com/bulletin © 2011 Wainhouse
  • 4. Andrew Davis Videoconferencing Boston Richard Norris Videoconferencing Paris Stacy Austin-Li Chinese UC&C Specialist Madison, WI Scott Walters Hosted Collaboration Services Pittsburgh Ira Weinstein Videoconferencing Ft Lauderdale Marc Beattie Hosted Collaboration Services Boston Make Smarter Decisions Stefan Karapetkov Videoconferencing San Jose Bill Haskins Unified Communications Denver Andy Nilssen Personal Web-Based Collaboration Tampa Alan Greenberg Distance Ed & eLearning Austin 11 Analysts Dedicated to UC&C Steve Vonder Haar Streaming & Webcasting Dallas
  • 5. © 2011 Wainhouse 5 My Credentials Then... • Global Conferencing Manager – Mars Inc. • Responsible for: – 400 video end-points (26 countries) – 6 bridges (3 x video, 3 x audio) – Developing/managing internal, self-service VC booking system Now..... • End-User focus Consultancy • WR Events Director • Point9 Executive Director ̶ End-User collaboration industry association
  • 7. A Brief History of Videoconferencing Time © 2011 Wainhouse 7 Earth cools Mobility & social Alex G. Bell ISDN intro Cisco TP New-normal economics & technology UC & SIP H323 IP video LifeSize intros HD
  • 8. © 2011 Wainhouse 8 The Dark Ages: 80’s-90’s • Rooms were VC enabled, not people • Inter-operability was a distant dream • TDM networks – copper pipes, some ISDN • EXPENSE! - $100,000+ per room • Nightmare to for users to understand • A technology only adopted by the very determined, or the completely insane
  • 9. © 2011 Wainhouse 9 Why did we bother? • Business’ were beginning to go global • Visionary CEO’s could understand the competitive edge that greater collaboration could bring • Pharmaceuticals could perhaps shave 6 months off the development cycles for new drugs – worth many millions $$$ • Always justified on travel savings but not the real prize
  • 10. © 2011 Wainhouse 10 The (first) New Dawn – 1996 • Industry standards – H.320 and then H.323 changed the game • B2B visual communications became a possibility • PictureTel Swiftsite changed the game – 1996 • Set-top appliances brought costs down to $10,000 per room • Mars • 1989-1996: 22 units • 1996-2000: 250 units
  • 12. © 2011 Wainhouse 12 The (second) New Dawn – 2000 to today • IP networks removed the uncertainty of calling • You dial and the call goes through • ‘No-Cost’ calling • IP brought videconferencing into the IT mainstream • Network Managers didn’t like it • The videoconferencing world was now all about set-top room systems sitting on IP networks • Costs were down, reliability up.... The future looks very good!
  • 13. © 2011 Wainhouse 13 High Definition • HD gave another major boost to visual communications • It made VC be what people always expected it to look like • Would not be possible unless underpinned by high speed IP networks Lower costs Improved quality HD Improved reliability
  • 14. © 2011 Wainhouse 14 Cisco & Telepresence • 2006 - Cisco introduces ‘immersive visual communications’ called telepresence • Massive impact on the visual communications industry – mostly because of Cisco’s marketing • Telepresence started to appear in people’s homes via TV series
  • 15. © 2011 Wainhouse 15 Cisco & Telepresence ... Why?
  • 17. © 2011 Wainhouse 17 VC in the Enterprise Today • Visual Communications are now becoming prevalent, mainstream and mission critical • Becoming a feature in other (UC) applications • Ownership of collaboration in the enterprise is not clear • VC is part of IT • The need for greater collaboration is now accepted but there’s great fear, uncertainty and doubt • Video is now the new voice
  • 18. © 2011 Wainhouse 18 VC in the Enterprise Today • Visual Communications are now becoming prevalent, mainstream and mission critical • Becoming a feature in other (UC) applications • Ownership of collaboration in the enterprise is not clear • VC is part of IT • The need for greater collaboration is now accepted but there’s great fear, uncertainty and doubt • Video is now the new voice
  • 19. © 2011 Wainhouse 19 Collaboration & Mobility • Senior Management now accept that collaboration and conferencing are important to their business efficiency and effectiveness • The messaging from major players (their existing partners) – MS, IBM, Avaya, Cisco etc have reached the boardroom • UC & Mobility are the hottest buzzwords • Use of Visual Communications embedded within other collaborative applications is becoming widespread
  • 20. © 2011 Wainhouse 20 Collaboration & Mobility Source: WR Rich Media Metrics – Dec 2011 530 respondents/298 end-users
  • 21. © 2011 Wainhouse 21 Collaboration & Mobility Source: WR Rich Media Metrics – Dec 2011 530 respondents/298 end-users
  • 22. © 2011 Wainhouse 22 Collaboration & Mobility • People are now being empowered and NOT rooms – B I G change! • Collaboration is being driven down to the user • Users are dictating how and where they work – BYOD – High growth in home workers • Tablet PC’s with collaboration applications are becoming common • Cloud services are the future
  • 23. © 2011 Wainhouse 23 Collaboration & Mobility 2,250,000,000 Tooth brushes in use
  • 24. © 2011 Wainhouse 24 Collaboration & Mobility 6,900,000,000 World population
  • 25. © 2011 Wainhouse 25 Collaboration & Mobility ... So 4.6B people don’t own toothbrushes!!
  • 26. © 2011 Wainhouse 26 Collaboration & Mobility >5,000,000,000 mobile phone subscriptions
  • 27. © 2011 Wainhouse 27 Collaboration & Mobility >double the people own mobile phones than own toothbrushes!
  • 28. Mobility in the Enterprise
  • 29. © 2011 Wainhouse 29 Where do you usually work from? Options Home office Branch office HQ Travel & work on road Source: WR 2011 User Survey
  • 30. © 2012 Wainhouse 30 Old-Style Corporate Office § Bored workers § Poor motivation § Poor productivity § No creativity § No individuality § NO COLLABORATION
  • 31. © 2012 Wainhouse 31 Times are changing § 20-30m US people work from home at least 1 day/week § 74% increase since 2005 in US workers working from home at least 1 day/month § 61% of federal employees are considered eligible for telework Ø 5.2% do so on a regular basis Source: Telework Research Network
  • 32. © 2012 Wainhouse 32 Source: AT&T 2010 Calculations
  • 33. © 2011 Wainhouse 33 What increases / decreases your use of conferencing services? Source: WR 2011 User Survey Options Travel restrictions Encouragement by management Increased productivity Budgetary reasons Climate Other
  • 34. © 2011 Wainhouse 34 Has your use of conferencing services changed this year versus last year? Source: WR 2011 User Survey Options Much more Somewhat more About the same Less Audio, Web, Video} >50%
  • 35. © 2011 Wainhouse 35 So…… • Users are spending less time in the corporate office • More time on the road or home offices ....... • Using more conferencing/collaborative services • Using their own devices – iPads – Androids – Smart Phones • Cloud services are a natural choice – no Capex
  • 37. © 2011 Wainhouse 37 In Summary.... - More people, with more services, by 2014 - >40M UCaaS users - >139M audio users - >131M web users - >176M video users - More services become cloud-based - More cloud-based services provide intelligent integration - More intelligent integration provides a “preference for use” and drives greater demand
  • 38. Richard Norris Tel: +44 207 023 9347 Email: richard@wainhouse.com www.wainhouse.com Thank You Make Smarter Decisions