Opportunities of AI for Western-Balkan public sector by Colin. SIGMA Webinars on service design and delivery in the WB

Support for Improvement in Governance and Management  SIGMA
Support for Improvement in Governance and Management SIGMA Senior Adviser, Strategy and Reform em Support for Improvement in Governance and Management SIGMA
Opportunities of AI for Western-
Balkan public sector
Overview and Potential of AI for Government
Colin van Noordt
Programme Director AI - Digital Nation
PhD Researcher - TalTech
colin.vannoordt@digitalnation.eu
06-06-2023
Who am I?
• Programme Director for AI – Digital Nation
• PhD Researcher at Ragnar Nurkse Department of Innovation and
Governance at TalTech
• Former External Expert to the European Commission’s AI Watch research
team on AI in the public sector
• Project and research assistant IntouchAI.EU Project
• Co-Editor of the Research Handbook on Artificial Intelligence for Public
Management published by Edward Elgar Publishing
• Upcoming Researcher Digitalisation at the Dutch Court of Audit
(September 2023)
Opportunities of AI for Western-Balkan public sector by Colin. SIGMA Webinars on service design and delivery in the WB
The roles of government in AI
As Facilitator As Regulator As User
We still know very little on AI in government
1 2 1 1 2
22 23
56
47
77
1999 2002 2005 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Research on Artificial Intelligence in
Digital Government Research
5 million AI publications in 2021 Almost none in digital government (0.00464%)
But what is AI? Futuristic robots…
“the hardware capacity for human-equivalent artificial
intelligence will likely exist before the end of the first
quarter of the next century, and may be reached as early
as 2004.” – Bostrom 1998
Or current applications?
• Da Vinci Surgical System
Developments in self-driving cars
Precision farming
Large-scale language models
Technical perspectives
Supervised learning
Unsupervised learning
Reinforcement learning
The humans behind AI
AI for policymaking
SATIKAS to detect mowed grass of
farmers, Estonia
The Dublin Beat
analyses citizen
tweets
Object Detection, Amsterdam
CitizenLab to analyse
citizen input
AI to improve various stages of policy
making
- Detecting social issues more quickly
- Estimate potential effects of policy
options
- Improve and fasten decision making
- Monitor ongoing implementation of
policy
- Evaluate existing policy
- Include citizens in policymaking
AI for public service delivery
BüroKratt AI, Estonian
Government
Misty II to assist the elderly in
Barcelona
JobBereik to assist in reskilling, VDAB,
Belgium
AI could be used to deliver public services to
businesses and citizens
- Enhance information delivery about government
services
- Improve public services to citizens and
businesses, through personalization
- Automate redundant processes and reducing on-
site meetings
- Develop completely new services through AI
- Reduce corruption and improve trust in public
service delivery
- Empower civil servants through decision support
tools
AI for internal management purposes
Tengai interviewing job
applicants, Sweden
AI to detect anomalies
in X-Road, Estonia
VeriPol to detect false police
reports, Spain
AI to improve internal management
operations
- Improve recruitment services
- More efficient allocation of human
resources
- Improved financial management
- Strengthen cybersecurity
- Predictive maintenance
- Modernize public procurement
processes
- Improve detection of fraud
The gap between technological progress and practice
AI in government = digital transformation
"The technology community in government is often expected to
drive transformation on behalf of business leaders. However,
most digital change decisions are made by the business leaders –
such as permanent secretaries, chief executives, chief operating
officers and directors general.(…) The success of these decisions is
dependent on these leaders having the digital fluency to make the
best choices and fully understand the consequences of their
decisions for digital transformation.“ – UK National Audit Office,
March 2023
Success factors
Public sector context
Avoiding technosolutionism
Importance of internal expertise and
competences
Ethical and legal guidelines
Do not forget the end-users
“We don’t only need to be good at predicting but
also at explaining to the consultants. If you do not
have the domain knowledge, you do not know the
business process at well. Then you can create a
perfectly accurate model at prediction that
provides completely useless information.”
Minding the gap between a pilot and
implementation
Scope of the project
Funding and expertise
Responsibility and risk
Development and maintenance
Looking for the best practices
Think big, but start small
Partners, not clients of the private sector
Collaboration from the start
AI project management practices
Demystify expectations of AI – both good and bad
Ethical and legal risks tackled from the start
Take into account the bigger picture of implementation
We are still at the beginning of the
AI-journey in government. Let’s
explore it together.
Digital Nation
digitalnation.eu
info@digitalnation.eu
LinkedIn
57 Telliskivi, Tallinn
Harju maakond, 10412
Estonia
Colin van Noordt
Programme Director AI - Digital Nation
PhD Researcher - TalTech
colin.vannoordt@digitalnation.eu
Opportunities of AI for Western-
Balkan public sector
Use cases from European public administrations
Colin van Noordt
Programme Director AI - Digital Nation
PhD Researcher - TalTech
colin.vannoordt@digitalnation.eu
06-06-2023
AI Watch research
AI Strategies in EU
AI strategies in the European Union (by Feb 2022, source JRC)
Key strategic actions to boost AI in government
Improving data access and management
Ethical AI design principles
Facilitating partnerships with the private sector
Improving internal competences
Improving knowledge and awareness of AI
Introduction and review of legislation
New teams or institutions for AI in the government
AI strategy initiatives
Improving data access
and management
Czechia
Developing a binding public
administration data
availability plan for AI use,
including data standards.
Ethical AI guidelines
Austria
For this purpose, framework
conditions
are created that ensure compliance
with human rights and security of the
use of AI during the entire technical
life cycle
AI strategy initiatives
Partnerships with private
sector
Ireland
Instruments such as dialogues, hackathons
and pre-commercial procurement of
innovative solutions will enable suppliers to
respond better to public procurement
requests and also assist public authorities to
understand the market better and formulate
targeted procurements.
Improving internal
expertise
France
Public authorities must therefore
equip themselves with the skills required
to better understand, identify and fight
against forms of algorithmic
discrimination, particularly when it
affects access to basic services
AI strategy initiatives
Awareness campaigns
Estonia
Organizing the spread of
knowledge and exchange of
experience - to introduce the
possibilities and examples of
AI in different networks and
formats
New legislation for AI
The Netherlands
Companies and governments
have a (legal) responsibility to
provide adequate insight into
the (procedure surrounding) AI
applications they use.
What AI strategies are missing
Limited focus on AI in government
Excessive focus on data
Internal capacity overlooked
Funding often missing
Organisational AI strategies
High variety of AI adoption rates
Enterprises using AI technologies by size class, EU, 2021 (Eurostat)
Digitalisation in Europe 2021-2022, European Investment Bank (2022)
Digital Innovation in Governance and Public Service Provision (DIGISER), 2022
Gartner CIO Survey 2021
Core findings
9%
10%
27%
54%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Multinational
Regional
Local
National
Public services
and
engagement
35%
Enforcement
25%
Analysis,
monitoring and
regulatory
research
22%
Internal
management
16%
Adjudication
2%
PURPOSE OF AI
3%
4%
25%
30%
38%
Planned
Not in use anymore
In development
Pilot
Implemented
Are government organisations ready for AI?
Key adoption challenges
The use of new innovations, such as ICT, is not
straightforward in government
- Technological challenges
- Laws and regulation
- Ethics
- Society
- Other factors such as funding, perceived value…
- Cultural
Some governments still need to invest massively in
‘basic’ digital government
Learning from examples
Agricultural Registers and
Information Board (ARIB)
Estonia
SATIKAS
Detection of the mowing of grasslands with COPERNICUS
Description
The AI system combines machine learning methods to
analyse satellite data together with other data sources. Used
to optimize inspection capacity of ARIB and enforcement of
subsidy requirements.
Lessons learned
Collaboration and sharing of resources crucial to ensure
adoption and implementation. There can be a significant
amount of time between research and actual implementation.
Kind en Gezin agency
Flemish State, Belgium
Description
Aim of the system is to optimize inspection capacity
and enhance inspection practices using a variety of
data sources. Enables more targeted interventions.
Lesson learned
Civil servants need to see the system as an
empowerment, rather than a replacement of their
knowledge.
Predictive system day-care services
Predictive model to detect day-care services in need of
further inspections
Learning from examples
Danish Business Authority
Denmark
Description:
The Danish Business Authority has been using a variety
of AI models to detect fraud and tackle financial crimes,
coming together in the Intelligent Control Platform.
Unique insight:
XRAI Methodology has been used to ensure that a
precise description of the needs and expectations of the
business is available. Strong data governance practices
ensure quality and trust in system.
Intelligent Control Platform
Combating business fraud
Greek Government
Greece
Description:
During the COVID-19 Crisis, the Greek government has
been using an AI system in all border control points
which helps the selection of which travellers to test upon
arrival at the border.
Unique insight:
Eva was not developed in a mathematically optimal way
but was designed to be practical, effective, transparent
and explainable. Black-box algorithms were avoided to
avoid opacity.
Eva
Targeted COVID-19 Border Checking
Learning from examples
Amsterdam
the Netherlands
Description:
The city of Amsterdam used the Object Detection Kit to
detect identify thrash in the cities, such as graffiti, trash,
broken traffic lights and other day-to-day issues which
plague livelihood of the city.
Lessons learned:
The Amsterdam Object Detection Kit was not put in use
following the pilot as the focus of the initiative was the
develop rather than implement it. Funding was not
available for implementation.
Object Detection Kit
Detecting garbage and other objects in the city
Estonian Unemployment Insurance
Fund
Estonia
Description:
An AI system to assist new staff with predicting chances
of citizens to get a new job after unemployment.
Lessons learned:
There is a close collaborative culture where new
innovations are openly shared and discussed. Staff
members to understand what AI is and come up with
suggestions to improve their work.
OTT
Speech recognition tool in the Estonian Parliament
Learning from examples
Register for Enterprises
Latvia
UNA
Chatbot supporting citizens
Description
UNA is a Chatbot able to answer frequently asked
questions about the registration of their businesses as well
as the liquidation, merchants, companies and organizations
and their application processes.
Lessons learned
It is said that 44% of the questions asked can easily taken
care of by the Chatbot. Other non-standard issues are still
handled by the support staff, who now have more time for
complex requests
Spanish National Police
Spain
Description
The AI helps tackle the police in wasting resources on
false police reports. Has been regarded as useful by the
staff, leaving them with more time to focus on other tasks
Lessons learned
Successful pilot projects need to be scaled up to ensure
adoption throughout multiple administrations
VeriPol
AI system to detect false police reports
Crucial take-aways
• Factors contributing to the adoption of AI are not the same as those
improving performance/public value
• Grow the government with the ambitions for AI
Adoption =/= improvement
• It is simpler to do data analysis than it is to change the organisation
• Transformation comes from public sector leaders, not tech vendors
Use of ML models =/= Use of AI
system in organisational context
• Initial adoption may be successful yet AI adoptions may end nonetheless
• Think strategically about the use of AI – no gimmick technology
Consider lifecycle and long-term
adoption as well
• Those who are likely to benefit the most from AI suffer from the most barriers
• Different AI systems may be relatively easier to adopt than others
Maturity / readiness of public
organisations may differ
substantially
We are still at the beginning of the
AI-journey in government. Let’s
explore it together.
Digital Nation
digitalnation.eu
info@digitalnation.eu
LinkedIn
57 Telliskivi, Tallinn
Harju maakond, 10412
Estonia
Colin van Noordt
Programme Director AI - Digital Nation
PhD Researcher - TalTech
colin.vannoordt@digitalnation.eu
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Opportunities of AI for Western-Balkan public sector by Colin. SIGMA Webinars on service design and delivery in the WB

  • 1. Opportunities of AI for Western- Balkan public sector Overview and Potential of AI for Government Colin van Noordt Programme Director AI - Digital Nation PhD Researcher - TalTech colin.vannoordt@digitalnation.eu 06-06-2023
  • 2. Who am I? • Programme Director for AI – Digital Nation • PhD Researcher at Ragnar Nurkse Department of Innovation and Governance at TalTech • Former External Expert to the European Commission’s AI Watch research team on AI in the public sector • Project and research assistant IntouchAI.EU Project • Co-Editor of the Research Handbook on Artificial Intelligence for Public Management published by Edward Elgar Publishing • Upcoming Researcher Digitalisation at the Dutch Court of Audit (September 2023)
  • 4. The roles of government in AI As Facilitator As Regulator As User
  • 5. We still know very little on AI in government 1 2 1 1 2 22 23 56 47 77 1999 2002 2005 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Research on Artificial Intelligence in Digital Government Research 5 million AI publications in 2021 Almost none in digital government (0.00464%)
  • 6. But what is AI? Futuristic robots… “the hardware capacity for human-equivalent artificial intelligence will likely exist before the end of the first quarter of the next century, and may be reached as early as 2004.” – Bostrom 1998
  • 7. Or current applications? • Da Vinci Surgical System Developments in self-driving cars Precision farming Large-scale language models
  • 13. AI for policymaking SATIKAS to detect mowed grass of farmers, Estonia The Dublin Beat analyses citizen tweets Object Detection, Amsterdam CitizenLab to analyse citizen input AI to improve various stages of policy making - Detecting social issues more quickly - Estimate potential effects of policy options - Improve and fasten decision making - Monitor ongoing implementation of policy - Evaluate existing policy - Include citizens in policymaking
  • 14. AI for public service delivery BüroKratt AI, Estonian Government Misty II to assist the elderly in Barcelona JobBereik to assist in reskilling, VDAB, Belgium AI could be used to deliver public services to businesses and citizens - Enhance information delivery about government services - Improve public services to citizens and businesses, through personalization - Automate redundant processes and reducing on- site meetings - Develop completely new services through AI - Reduce corruption and improve trust in public service delivery - Empower civil servants through decision support tools
  • 15. AI for internal management purposes Tengai interviewing job applicants, Sweden AI to detect anomalies in X-Road, Estonia VeriPol to detect false police reports, Spain AI to improve internal management operations - Improve recruitment services - More efficient allocation of human resources - Improved financial management - Strengthen cybersecurity - Predictive maintenance - Modernize public procurement processes - Improve detection of fraud
  • 16. The gap between technological progress and practice
  • 17. AI in government = digital transformation "The technology community in government is often expected to drive transformation on behalf of business leaders. However, most digital change decisions are made by the business leaders – such as permanent secretaries, chief executives, chief operating officers and directors general.(…) The success of these decisions is dependent on these leaders having the digital fluency to make the best choices and fully understand the consequences of their decisions for digital transformation.“ – UK National Audit Office, March 2023
  • 21. Importance of internal expertise and competences
  • 22. Ethical and legal guidelines
  • 23. Do not forget the end-users “We don’t only need to be good at predicting but also at explaining to the consultants. If you do not have the domain knowledge, you do not know the business process at well. Then you can create a perfectly accurate model at prediction that provides completely useless information.”
  • 24. Minding the gap between a pilot and implementation Scope of the project Funding and expertise Responsibility and risk Development and maintenance
  • 25. Looking for the best practices Think big, but start small Partners, not clients of the private sector Collaboration from the start AI project management practices Demystify expectations of AI – both good and bad Ethical and legal risks tackled from the start Take into account the bigger picture of implementation
  • 26. We are still at the beginning of the AI-journey in government. Let’s explore it together. Digital Nation digitalnation.eu info@digitalnation.eu LinkedIn 57 Telliskivi, Tallinn Harju maakond, 10412 Estonia Colin van Noordt Programme Director AI - Digital Nation PhD Researcher - TalTech colin.vannoordt@digitalnation.eu
  • 27. Opportunities of AI for Western- Balkan public sector Use cases from European public administrations Colin van Noordt Programme Director AI - Digital Nation PhD Researcher - TalTech colin.vannoordt@digitalnation.eu 06-06-2023
  • 29. AI Strategies in EU AI strategies in the European Union (by Feb 2022, source JRC)
  • 30. Key strategic actions to boost AI in government Improving data access and management Ethical AI design principles Facilitating partnerships with the private sector Improving internal competences Improving knowledge and awareness of AI Introduction and review of legislation New teams or institutions for AI in the government
  • 31. AI strategy initiatives Improving data access and management Czechia Developing a binding public administration data availability plan for AI use, including data standards. Ethical AI guidelines Austria For this purpose, framework conditions are created that ensure compliance with human rights and security of the use of AI during the entire technical life cycle
  • 32. AI strategy initiatives Partnerships with private sector Ireland Instruments such as dialogues, hackathons and pre-commercial procurement of innovative solutions will enable suppliers to respond better to public procurement requests and also assist public authorities to understand the market better and formulate targeted procurements. Improving internal expertise France Public authorities must therefore equip themselves with the skills required to better understand, identify and fight against forms of algorithmic discrimination, particularly when it affects access to basic services
  • 33. AI strategy initiatives Awareness campaigns Estonia Organizing the spread of knowledge and exchange of experience - to introduce the possibilities and examples of AI in different networks and formats New legislation for AI The Netherlands Companies and governments have a (legal) responsibility to provide adequate insight into the (procedure surrounding) AI applications they use.
  • 34. What AI strategies are missing Limited focus on AI in government Excessive focus on data Internal capacity overlooked Funding often missing Organisational AI strategies
  • 35. High variety of AI adoption rates Enterprises using AI technologies by size class, EU, 2021 (Eurostat) Digitalisation in Europe 2021-2022, European Investment Bank (2022) Digital Innovation in Governance and Public Service Provision (DIGISER), 2022 Gartner CIO Survey 2021
  • 36. Core findings 9% 10% 27% 54% 0% 20% 40% 60% Multinational Regional Local National Public services and engagement 35% Enforcement 25% Analysis, monitoring and regulatory research 22% Internal management 16% Adjudication 2% PURPOSE OF AI 3% 4% 25% 30% 38% Planned Not in use anymore In development Pilot Implemented
  • 38. Key adoption challenges The use of new innovations, such as ICT, is not straightforward in government - Technological challenges - Laws and regulation - Ethics - Society - Other factors such as funding, perceived value… - Cultural Some governments still need to invest massively in ‘basic’ digital government
  • 39. Learning from examples Agricultural Registers and Information Board (ARIB) Estonia SATIKAS Detection of the mowing of grasslands with COPERNICUS Description The AI system combines machine learning methods to analyse satellite data together with other data sources. Used to optimize inspection capacity of ARIB and enforcement of subsidy requirements. Lessons learned Collaboration and sharing of resources crucial to ensure adoption and implementation. There can be a significant amount of time between research and actual implementation. Kind en Gezin agency Flemish State, Belgium Description Aim of the system is to optimize inspection capacity and enhance inspection practices using a variety of data sources. Enables more targeted interventions. Lesson learned Civil servants need to see the system as an empowerment, rather than a replacement of their knowledge. Predictive system day-care services Predictive model to detect day-care services in need of further inspections
  • 40. Learning from examples Danish Business Authority Denmark Description: The Danish Business Authority has been using a variety of AI models to detect fraud and tackle financial crimes, coming together in the Intelligent Control Platform. Unique insight: XRAI Methodology has been used to ensure that a precise description of the needs and expectations of the business is available. Strong data governance practices ensure quality and trust in system. Intelligent Control Platform Combating business fraud Greek Government Greece Description: During the COVID-19 Crisis, the Greek government has been using an AI system in all border control points which helps the selection of which travellers to test upon arrival at the border. Unique insight: Eva was not developed in a mathematically optimal way but was designed to be practical, effective, transparent and explainable. Black-box algorithms were avoided to avoid opacity. Eva Targeted COVID-19 Border Checking
  • 41. Learning from examples Amsterdam the Netherlands Description: The city of Amsterdam used the Object Detection Kit to detect identify thrash in the cities, such as graffiti, trash, broken traffic lights and other day-to-day issues which plague livelihood of the city. Lessons learned: The Amsterdam Object Detection Kit was not put in use following the pilot as the focus of the initiative was the develop rather than implement it. Funding was not available for implementation. Object Detection Kit Detecting garbage and other objects in the city Estonian Unemployment Insurance Fund Estonia Description: An AI system to assist new staff with predicting chances of citizens to get a new job after unemployment. Lessons learned: There is a close collaborative culture where new innovations are openly shared and discussed. Staff members to understand what AI is and come up with suggestions to improve their work. OTT Speech recognition tool in the Estonian Parliament
  • 42. Learning from examples Register for Enterprises Latvia UNA Chatbot supporting citizens Description UNA is a Chatbot able to answer frequently asked questions about the registration of their businesses as well as the liquidation, merchants, companies and organizations and their application processes. Lessons learned It is said that 44% of the questions asked can easily taken care of by the Chatbot. Other non-standard issues are still handled by the support staff, who now have more time for complex requests Spanish National Police Spain Description The AI helps tackle the police in wasting resources on false police reports. Has been regarded as useful by the staff, leaving them with more time to focus on other tasks Lessons learned Successful pilot projects need to be scaled up to ensure adoption throughout multiple administrations VeriPol AI system to detect false police reports
  • 43. Crucial take-aways • Factors contributing to the adoption of AI are not the same as those improving performance/public value • Grow the government with the ambitions for AI Adoption =/= improvement • It is simpler to do data analysis than it is to change the organisation • Transformation comes from public sector leaders, not tech vendors Use of ML models =/= Use of AI system in organisational context • Initial adoption may be successful yet AI adoptions may end nonetheless • Think strategically about the use of AI – no gimmick technology Consider lifecycle and long-term adoption as well • Those who are likely to benefit the most from AI suffer from the most barriers • Different AI systems may be relatively easier to adopt than others Maturity / readiness of public organisations may differ substantially
  • 44. We are still at the beginning of the AI-journey in government. Let’s explore it together. Digital Nation digitalnation.eu info@digitalnation.eu LinkedIn 57 Telliskivi, Tallinn Harju maakond, 10412 Estonia Colin van Noordt Programme Director AI - Digital Nation PhD Researcher - TalTech colin.vannoordt@digitalnation.eu