1) Prognostic factors provide information about a patient's outcome without treatment, while predictive factors provide information about how a patient may respond to a specific treatment.
2) Many clinical factors, pathological features, tissue markers, and genomic expression profiles can provide prognostic and predictive information for breast cancer patients.
3) Key prognostic factors include age, tumor stage, tumor size, nodal involvement, histological grade, hormone receptor status, and intrinsic subtypes. Predictive factors include hormone receptor and HER2 status.
2. Definition
Prognostic factor
Parameter X Without
Treatment
Breast Cancer
Population
(Without X)
(With X)
Outcome
50% with Unfavorable
outcome
50% with Favorable
outcome
20% with Unfavorable
outcome
80% with Favorable
outcome
(Positive or Negative prognostic factor)
3. Definition
Predictive factor
Parameter X TreatmentBreast Cancer
Population
(Without X)
(With X)
Response
90% with response
10% without response
10% with response
90% without response
(Positive or negative predictive factor)
4. Definition
Prognostic & Predictive factor
Parameter X Receive or not Receive treatmentBreast Cancer Population
(Without X)
(With X)
Response
90% with response
10% without response
10% with response
50% with Unfavorable
outcome
50% with Favorable
outcome
20% with Unfavorable
outcome
80% with Favorable
outcome
90% without response
5. Newly Diagnosed Non-Metastatic Breast Cancer
Prognostics
Clinical Factors Gene Expression Profile
Patient
Pathology Tissue
Markers
6. Patient features
Age
Net Survival (%)
Age Range Women
15–39 84.9
40–49 90.0
50–59 91.2
60–69 92.4
70–79 83.0
80–99 70.3
Five-Year Net Survival by Age, Women,
England
Breast Cancer (C50): 2009-2013
1 out of 5
71. Express ER
Most common.
Luminal A possess a higher expression of the ER and
oestrogen-associated genes ESR1, GATA3 and FOXA1
Do not express HER2/neu
Ki-67 proliferation index- low
Luminal A tumours are associated with a better prognosis
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Luminal A
72. Express ER
Variable HER2/neu expression
Increased frequency of TP53 mutations
Ki-67 proliferation index- high
Luminal B tumours are associated with worse
prognosis compared to Luminal A
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Luminal B
73. Increased expression of genes located in the same region on
chromosome 17q: human epidermal growth factor receptor 2
(ERBB2) and growth factor receptor bound protein 7 (GRB7).
Associated with a high histological grade, low expression of ER
and PR.
Poor clinical outcome.
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
HER2 Enriched
74. Hormone receptor (ER and PR) and HER2/neu receptor negative.
Expression of genes associated with myoepithelial cells: KRT5
(keratin 5), KRT17 (keratin 17), CNN1 (calponin 1), CAV1 (caveolin)
and LAMB1 (laminin).
Aggressive with a poorer disease-free and overall survival than
the other breast cancer subtypes.
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
ER-negative subtypes