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Chapter
2 Introduction to
Valuation: The Time
Value of Money
Key Concepts and Skills
 Be able to compute the future value of an
investment made today
 Be able to compute the present value of cash to
be received at some future date
 Be able to compute the return on an investment
Chapter Outline
 Future Value and Compounding
 Present Value and Discounting
 More on Present and Future Values
Basic Definitions
 Present Value – earlier money on a time line
 Future Value – later money on a time line
 Interest rate – “exchange rate” between earlier
money and later money
 Discount rate
 Cost of capital
 Opportunity cost of capital
 Required return
Future Values– Example 1
 Suppose you invest $1000 for one year at 5%
per year. What is the future value in one year?
 Interest = 1000(.05) = 50
 Value in one year = principal + interest = 1000 + 50
= 1050
 Future Value (FV) = 1000(1 + .05) = 1050
 Suppose you leave the money in for another
year. How much will you have two years from
now?
 FV = 1000(1.05)(1.05) = 1000(1.05)2 = 1102.50
Future Values: General Formula
 FV = PV(1 + r)t
 FV = future value
 PV = present value
 r = period interest rate, expressed as a decimal
 T = number of periods
 Future value interest factor = (1 + r)t
Effects of Compounding
 Simple interest
 Compound interest
 Consider the previous example
 FV with simple interest = 1000 + 50 + 50 = 1100
 FV with compound interest = 1102.50
 The extra 2.50 comes from the interest of .05(50) =
2.50 earned on the first interest payment
Calculator Keys
 Texas Instruments BA-II Plus
 FV = future value
 PV = present value
 I/Y = period interest rate
 P/Y must equal 1 for the I/Y to be the period rate
 Interest is entered as a percent, not a decimal
 N = number of periods
 Remember to clear the registers (CLR TVM) after
each problem
 Other calculators are similar in format
Future Values – Example 2
 Suppose you invest the $1000 from the previous
example for 5 years. How much would you have?
 5 N
 5 I/Y
 1000 PV
 CPT FV = -1276.28
 The effect of compounding is small for a small
number of periods, but increases as the number of
periods increases. (Simple interest would have a
future value of $1250, for a difference of $26.28.)
Future Values – Example 3
 Suppose you had a relative deposit $10 at 5.5%
interest 200 years ago. How much would the
investment be worth today?
 200 N
 5.5 I/Y
 10 PV
 CPT FV = -447,189.84
 What is the effect of compounding?
 Simple interest = 10 + 200(10)(.055) = 210.55
 Compounding added $446,979.29 to the value of the
investment
Future Value as a General Growth
Formula
 Suppose your company expects to increase unit
sales of widgets by 15% per year for the next 5
years. If you currently sell 3 million widgets in
one year, how many widgets do you expect to
sell in 5 years?
 5 N
 15 I/Y
 3,000,000 PV
 CPT FV = -6,034,072 units (remember the sign
convention)
Quick Quiz – Part 1
 What is the difference between simple interest
and compound interest?
 Suppose you have $500 to invest and you
believe that you can earn 8% per year over the
next 15 years.
 How much would you have at the end of 15 years
using compound interest?
 How much would you have using simple interest?
Present Values
 How much do I have to invest today to have some
amount in the future?
 FV = PV(1 + r)t
 Rearrange to solve for PV = FV / (1 + r)t
 When we talk about discounting, we mean finding the
present value of some future amount.
 When we talk about the “value” of something, we are
talking about the present value unless we specifically
indicate that we want the future value.
Present Value – One Period
Example 1
 Suppose you need $10,000 in one year for the down
payment on a new car. If you can earn 7% annually,
how much do you need to invest today?
 PV = 10,000 / (1.07)1 = 9345.79
 Calculator
 1 N
 7 I/Y
 10,000 FV
 CPT PV = -9345.79
Present Values – Example 2
 You want to begin saving for you daughter’s
college education and you estimate that she
will need $150,000 in 17 years. If you feel
confident that you can earn 8% per year, how
much do you need to invest today?
 N = 17
 I/Y = 8
 FV = 150,000
 CPT PV = -40,540.34 (remember the sign
convention)
Present Values – Example 3
 Your parents set up a trust fund for you 10
years ago that is now worth $19,671.51. If the
fund earned 7% per year, how much did your
parents invest?
 N = 10
 I/Y = 7
 FV = 19,671.51
 CPT PV = -10,000
Present Value – Important
Relationship I
 For a given interest rate – the longer the time
period, the lower the present value
 What is the present value of $500 to be received in 5
years? 10 years? The discount rate is 10%
 5 years: N = 5; I/Y = 10; FV = 500
CPT PV = -310.46
 10 years: N = 10; I/Y = 10; FV = 500
CPT PV = -192.77
Present Value – Important
Relationship II
 For a given time period – the higher the interest
rate, the smaller the present value
 What is the present value of $500 received in 5 years
if the interest rate is 10%? 15%?
 Rate = 10%: N = 5; I/Y = 10; FV = 500
CPT PV = -310.46
 Rate = 15%; N = 5; I/Y = 15; FV = 500
CPT PV = -248.58
Quick Quiz – Part 2
 What is the relationship between present value
and future value?
 Suppose you need $15,000 in 3 years. If you
can earn 6% annually, how much do you need
to invest today?
 If you could invest the money at 8%, would
you have to invest more or less than at 6%?
How much?
The Basic PV Equation - Refresher
 PV = FV / (1 + r)t
 There are four parts to this equation
 PV, FV, r and t
 If we know any three, we can solve for the fourth
 If you are using a financial calculator, be sure
and remember the sign convention or you will
receive an error when solving for r or t
Discount Rate
 Often we will want to know what the implied
interest rate is in an investment
 Rearrange the basic PV equation and solve for
r
 FV = PV(1 + r)t
 r = (FV / PV)1/t – 1
 If you are using formulas, you will want to
make use of both the yx and the 1/x keys
Discount Rate – Example 1
 You are looking at an investment that will pay
$1200 in 5 years if you invest $1000 today.
What is the implied rate of interest?
 r = (1200 / 1000)1/5 – 1 = .03714 = 3.714%
 Calculator – the sign convention matters!!!
 N = 5
 PV = -1000 (you pay 1000 today)
 FV = 1200 (you receive 1200 in 5 years)
 CPT I/Y = 3.714%
Discount Rate – Example 2
 Suppose you are offered an investment that
will allow you to double your money in 6
years. You have $10,000 to invest. What is the
implied rate of interest?
 N = 6
 PV = -10,000
 FV = 20,000
 CPT I/Y = 12.25%
Discount Rate – Example 3
 Suppose you have a 1-year old son and you
want to provide $75,000 in 17 years towards
his college education. You currently have
$5000 to invest. What interest rate must you
earn to have the $75,000 when you need it?
 N = 17
 PV = -5000
 FV = 75,000
 CPT I/Y = 17.27%
Quick Quiz – Part 3
 What are some situations where you might
want to compute the implied interest rate?
 Suppose you are offered the following
investment choices:
 You can invest $500 today and receive $600 in 5
years. The investment is considered low risk.
 You can invest the $500 in a bank account paying
4%.
 What is the implied interest rate for the first choice
and which investment should you choose?
Finding the Number of Periods
 Start with basic equation and solve for t
(remember you logs)
 FV = PV(1 + r)t
 t = ln(FV / PV) / ln(1 + r)
 You can use the financial keys on the
calculator as well, just remember the sign
convention.
Number of Periods – Example 1
 You want to purchase a new car and you are
willing to pay $20,000. If you can invest at
10% per year and you currently have $15,000,
how long will it be before you have enough
money to pay cash for the car?
 I/Y = 10
 PV = -15,000
 FV = 20,000
 CPT N = 3.02 years
Number of Periods – Example 2
 Suppose you want to buy a new house. You
currently have $15,000 and you figure you
need to have a 10% down payment plus an
additional 5% in closing costs. If the type of
house you want costs about $150,000 and you
can earn 7.5% per year, how long will it be
before you have enough money for the down
payment and closing costs?
Number of Periods – Example 2
Continued
 How much do you need to have in the future?
 Down payment = .1(150,000) = 15,000
 Closing costs = .05(150,000 – 15,000) = 6,750
 Total needed = 15,000 + 6,750 = 21,750
 Compute the number of periods
 PV = -15,000
 FV = 21,750
 I/Y = 7.5
 CPT N = 5.14 years
 Using the formula
 t = ln(21,750 / 15,000) / ln(1.075) = 5.14 years
Table 2.4
I. Symbols
PV = Present value, what future cash flows are worth today
FVt = Future value, what cash flows are worht in the future
r = Interest rate, rate of return, or discount rate per period–typically, but not always
one year
t = Number of periods–typically, but not always, the number of years
C = Cash amount
II. Future value of C invested at r percent per period for t periods
FVt = C X (1 + r)t
The term (1 + r)t
is called the future value factor.
III. Present value of C to be received in t periods at r percent per period
PV = C/(1 + r)t
The term 1/(1 + r)t
is called the present value factor.
IV. The basic present value equation giving the relationship between present and future
value is
PV = FVt /(1 + r)t
Quick Quiz – Part 4
 When might you want to compute the number
of periods?
 Suppose you want to buy some new furniture
for your family room. You currently have $500
and the furniture you want costs $600. If you
can earn 6%, how long will you have to wait if
you don’t add any additional money?

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Chapter 2 introduction to valuation - the time value of money

  • 1. Chapter 2 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money
  • 2. Key Concepts and Skills  Be able to compute the future value of an investment made today  Be able to compute the present value of cash to be received at some future date  Be able to compute the return on an investment
  • 3. Chapter Outline  Future Value and Compounding  Present Value and Discounting  More on Present and Future Values
  • 4. Basic Definitions  Present Value – earlier money on a time line  Future Value – later money on a time line  Interest rate – “exchange rate” between earlier money and later money  Discount rate  Cost of capital  Opportunity cost of capital  Required return
  • 5. Future Values– Example 1  Suppose you invest $1000 for one year at 5% per year. What is the future value in one year?  Interest = 1000(.05) = 50  Value in one year = principal + interest = 1000 + 50 = 1050  Future Value (FV) = 1000(1 + .05) = 1050  Suppose you leave the money in for another year. How much will you have two years from now?  FV = 1000(1.05)(1.05) = 1000(1.05)2 = 1102.50
  • 6. Future Values: General Formula  FV = PV(1 + r)t  FV = future value  PV = present value  r = period interest rate, expressed as a decimal  T = number of periods  Future value interest factor = (1 + r)t
  • 7. Effects of Compounding  Simple interest  Compound interest  Consider the previous example  FV with simple interest = 1000 + 50 + 50 = 1100  FV with compound interest = 1102.50  The extra 2.50 comes from the interest of .05(50) = 2.50 earned on the first interest payment
  • 8. Calculator Keys  Texas Instruments BA-II Plus  FV = future value  PV = present value  I/Y = period interest rate  P/Y must equal 1 for the I/Y to be the period rate  Interest is entered as a percent, not a decimal  N = number of periods  Remember to clear the registers (CLR TVM) after each problem  Other calculators are similar in format
  • 9. Future Values – Example 2  Suppose you invest the $1000 from the previous example for 5 years. How much would you have?  5 N  5 I/Y  1000 PV  CPT FV = -1276.28  The effect of compounding is small for a small number of periods, but increases as the number of periods increases. (Simple interest would have a future value of $1250, for a difference of $26.28.)
  • 10. Future Values – Example 3  Suppose you had a relative deposit $10 at 5.5% interest 200 years ago. How much would the investment be worth today?  200 N  5.5 I/Y  10 PV  CPT FV = -447,189.84  What is the effect of compounding?  Simple interest = 10 + 200(10)(.055) = 210.55  Compounding added $446,979.29 to the value of the investment
  • 11. Future Value as a General Growth Formula  Suppose your company expects to increase unit sales of widgets by 15% per year for the next 5 years. If you currently sell 3 million widgets in one year, how many widgets do you expect to sell in 5 years?  5 N  15 I/Y  3,000,000 PV  CPT FV = -6,034,072 units (remember the sign convention)
  • 12. Quick Quiz – Part 1  What is the difference between simple interest and compound interest?  Suppose you have $500 to invest and you believe that you can earn 8% per year over the next 15 years.  How much would you have at the end of 15 years using compound interest?  How much would you have using simple interest?
  • 13. Present Values  How much do I have to invest today to have some amount in the future?  FV = PV(1 + r)t  Rearrange to solve for PV = FV / (1 + r)t  When we talk about discounting, we mean finding the present value of some future amount.  When we talk about the “value” of something, we are talking about the present value unless we specifically indicate that we want the future value.
  • 14. Present Value – One Period Example 1  Suppose you need $10,000 in one year for the down payment on a new car. If you can earn 7% annually, how much do you need to invest today?  PV = 10,000 / (1.07)1 = 9345.79  Calculator  1 N  7 I/Y  10,000 FV  CPT PV = -9345.79
  • 15. Present Values – Example 2  You want to begin saving for you daughter’s college education and you estimate that she will need $150,000 in 17 years. If you feel confident that you can earn 8% per year, how much do you need to invest today?  N = 17  I/Y = 8  FV = 150,000  CPT PV = -40,540.34 (remember the sign convention)
  • 16. Present Values – Example 3  Your parents set up a trust fund for you 10 years ago that is now worth $19,671.51. If the fund earned 7% per year, how much did your parents invest?  N = 10  I/Y = 7  FV = 19,671.51  CPT PV = -10,000
  • 17. Present Value – Important Relationship I  For a given interest rate – the longer the time period, the lower the present value  What is the present value of $500 to be received in 5 years? 10 years? The discount rate is 10%  5 years: N = 5; I/Y = 10; FV = 500 CPT PV = -310.46  10 years: N = 10; I/Y = 10; FV = 500 CPT PV = -192.77
  • 18. Present Value – Important Relationship II  For a given time period – the higher the interest rate, the smaller the present value  What is the present value of $500 received in 5 years if the interest rate is 10%? 15%?  Rate = 10%: N = 5; I/Y = 10; FV = 500 CPT PV = -310.46  Rate = 15%; N = 5; I/Y = 15; FV = 500 CPT PV = -248.58
  • 19. Quick Quiz – Part 2  What is the relationship between present value and future value?  Suppose you need $15,000 in 3 years. If you can earn 6% annually, how much do you need to invest today?  If you could invest the money at 8%, would you have to invest more or less than at 6%? How much?
  • 20. The Basic PV Equation - Refresher  PV = FV / (1 + r)t  There are four parts to this equation  PV, FV, r and t  If we know any three, we can solve for the fourth  If you are using a financial calculator, be sure and remember the sign convention or you will receive an error when solving for r or t
  • 21. Discount Rate  Often we will want to know what the implied interest rate is in an investment  Rearrange the basic PV equation and solve for r  FV = PV(1 + r)t  r = (FV / PV)1/t – 1  If you are using formulas, you will want to make use of both the yx and the 1/x keys
  • 22. Discount Rate – Example 1  You are looking at an investment that will pay $1200 in 5 years if you invest $1000 today. What is the implied rate of interest?  r = (1200 / 1000)1/5 – 1 = .03714 = 3.714%  Calculator – the sign convention matters!!!  N = 5  PV = -1000 (you pay 1000 today)  FV = 1200 (you receive 1200 in 5 years)  CPT I/Y = 3.714%
  • 23. Discount Rate – Example 2  Suppose you are offered an investment that will allow you to double your money in 6 years. You have $10,000 to invest. What is the implied rate of interest?  N = 6  PV = -10,000  FV = 20,000  CPT I/Y = 12.25%
  • 24. Discount Rate – Example 3  Suppose you have a 1-year old son and you want to provide $75,000 in 17 years towards his college education. You currently have $5000 to invest. What interest rate must you earn to have the $75,000 when you need it?  N = 17  PV = -5000  FV = 75,000  CPT I/Y = 17.27%
  • 25. Quick Quiz – Part 3  What are some situations where you might want to compute the implied interest rate?  Suppose you are offered the following investment choices:  You can invest $500 today and receive $600 in 5 years. The investment is considered low risk.  You can invest the $500 in a bank account paying 4%.  What is the implied interest rate for the first choice and which investment should you choose?
  • 26. Finding the Number of Periods  Start with basic equation and solve for t (remember you logs)  FV = PV(1 + r)t  t = ln(FV / PV) / ln(1 + r)  You can use the financial keys on the calculator as well, just remember the sign convention.
  • 27. Number of Periods – Example 1  You want to purchase a new car and you are willing to pay $20,000. If you can invest at 10% per year and you currently have $15,000, how long will it be before you have enough money to pay cash for the car?  I/Y = 10  PV = -15,000  FV = 20,000  CPT N = 3.02 years
  • 28. Number of Periods – Example 2  Suppose you want to buy a new house. You currently have $15,000 and you figure you need to have a 10% down payment plus an additional 5% in closing costs. If the type of house you want costs about $150,000 and you can earn 7.5% per year, how long will it be before you have enough money for the down payment and closing costs?
  • 29. Number of Periods – Example 2 Continued  How much do you need to have in the future?  Down payment = .1(150,000) = 15,000  Closing costs = .05(150,000 – 15,000) = 6,750  Total needed = 15,000 + 6,750 = 21,750  Compute the number of periods  PV = -15,000  FV = 21,750  I/Y = 7.5  CPT N = 5.14 years  Using the formula  t = ln(21,750 / 15,000) / ln(1.075) = 5.14 years
  • 30. Table 2.4 I. Symbols PV = Present value, what future cash flows are worth today FVt = Future value, what cash flows are worht in the future r = Interest rate, rate of return, or discount rate per period–typically, but not always one year t = Number of periods–typically, but not always, the number of years C = Cash amount II. Future value of C invested at r percent per period for t periods FVt = C X (1 + r)t The term (1 + r)t is called the future value factor. III. Present value of C to be received in t periods at r percent per period PV = C/(1 + r)t The term 1/(1 + r)t is called the present value factor. IV. The basic present value equation giving the relationship between present and future value is PV = FVt /(1 + r)t
  • 31. Quick Quiz – Part 4  When might you want to compute the number of periods?  Suppose you want to buy some new furniture for your family room. You currently have $500 and the furniture you want costs $600. If you can earn 6%, how long will you have to wait if you don’t add any additional money?