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Large Scale Developments - Lend Lease Experience
- 1. Large Scale Development - Through Different Eyes July, 2016
- 2. 2LARGE SCALE DEVELOPMENT – THROUGH DIFFERENT EYES OVERVIEW Historical Perspective Stakeholder Alignment Trigger Points
- 3. 3 Large scale development is not unprecedented in scale, but by the technological inputs and desired outcomes. Historical Perspective
- 4. 4 Stakeholder Alignment LARGE SCALE DEVELOPMENT – THROUGH DIFFERENT EYES • State / Federal Government Local Government Developer
- 5. 5 Stakeholder Alignment The key stakeholders typically needed to initiate large scale development all have vested interest in a successful outcome: • Jobs and investment • Vital infrastructure upgrades • Certainty of outcome LARGE SCALE DEVELOPMENT – THROUGH DIFFERENT EYES
- 6. 6 Trigger Points - what are they and why are they important?
- 7. 7 In an ideal world… LARGE SCALE DEVELOPMENT – THROUGH DIFFERENT EYES Construct and Deliver Detailed Design Master Planning Feasability Study Finance Approvals Contract
- 8. 8 But as we understand LARGE SCALE DEVELOPMENT – THROUGH DIFFERENT EYES Delays Curve Balls Road Blocks Ingenuity Review and Refinement Trigger Point
- 9. 9 Its up to traffic engineering professionals to educate stakeholders, so debate is informed and constructive, leading to outcomes that fulfil or exceed the original vision Why are they a problem? They seem so logical and easy to define, but; • Only as good as the input data and model they come from • Limitations not well understood • Source of tension and delay • Can actually reduce certainty • Not future proof • Changing habits (e.g. bicycles) • Uber • Driverless cars • Smart cities LARGE SCALE DEVELOPMENT – THROUGH DIFFERENT EYES
Notas do Editor
- Large scale development through the ages: Egyptian Pyramids Roman Colosseum Great Wall of China Now have the ability to model, predict and control outcomes with increasing speed Development not about empire building, but creating desirable places
- Bringing large scale development to life requires alignment of many many stakeholders However there are three keys groups that must first align
- Whilst much media hype is made of the competing interests, there is actually strong alignment with these stakeholders interests
- Development naturally entails infrastructure upgrades Some are easy to model, e.g. water and sewer Once ‘x’ number of people added, pipe of size ‘y’ required to accommodate demand Hence the ‘trigger point’ is defined Development also generates extra traffic, hence the same logic is applied Certainty of outcome defined Why is traffic so different?
- For a greenfield or ‘single plot’ development, this might be a reasonable representation As city expansion has reached critical mass, large scale development is more about infill and revitalisation of under utilised areas They are also typically delivered over very long timeframes; 10, 15 or more years This presents unique set of challenges
- Increasing complexity leads to more chance of delay Life throws us curve balls, from unexpected election results through to the GFC Road blocks therefore come in many shapes and sizes But with ingenuity we overcome all of these obstacles We review and refine to deliver the best possible outcomes But as large scale developments have a long delivery period, we don’t necessarily go out and build straight away - This just allows us to define what, and the ‘trigger point’
- Garbage in garbage out The models are sold as accurate and scientific As the model is probed and asked more questions, people become sceptical and frustrated End result can be stakeholders butting heads, when they are actually trying to achieve the same thing What about the rapidly changing future? The models don’t cope well But the answer isn’t to make the models more complex and harder to understand, it should be about education and open dialouge