By Frank Miletzky, Papiertechnische Stiftung. This was presented during the mid-term conference on future skills and competences in the pulp and paper industry, jointly organised by the European Paper Sector Social Partners, industriAll Europe and Confederation of European Paper Industries, in Vienna 22 February 2016. More at (link tbc).

1. Fibre-based innovations for tomorrow's high-tech products
F. Miletzky
Paper & Fibre 2030
Shaping a sustainable future

2. 25.02.2016
One sector's journey into the future
Sources http://image.slidesharecdn.com/roadmap2050-120702034623-phpapp02/95/drupa-2012-european-paper-day-road-map-2050-11-728.jpg?cb=1341201120;
http://www.paperindustryworld.com/files/2014/02/TheTwoTeamProject.jpg ; http://www.papierverarbeitung.de/wpv-wAssets/img/Cover_Faser_Papier_2030.JPG ;
http://unfoldthefuture.eu/images/download-thumb.jpg
“Breakthrough
technologies" for
reengineering production
processes and reducing
CO2 emissions
The contribution of paper
as a material to various
economic sectors
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3. 25.02.2016
Declining share prices ...
0
50
100
150
200
250
20142012201020082006200420022000
Share price index (2000 = 100)
MSCI paper
and forest
products
MSCI world
materials
 '00-'13
+ 57%
- 33%
Pre-
boom
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream; BCG analysis
Courtesy of R. Haslehner (Boston Consult Comp.)
DownturnCommodity
boom
Multi-utilities
Gas utilities
SoftwarePaper and
forest products
Tobacco
Industry classification
Unpredictability
Malleability
"Adaptive"
"Classical" "Visionary"
"Shaping"
Note: Unpredictability = market cap return volatility,
malleability = industry concentration - return to scale + revenue growth.
Rank based on industry environment matrix
Source: BCG analysis, Courtesy of R. Haslehner (BCG)
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The paper world is growing dark…

4. 25.02.2016
10 ct/kg
10 ct/kg
7,000 €/kg
4
1 €/kg
1,500 €/kg
Bridging the gap: value creation!

5. 25.02.2016
• Global growth of P&B based packaging has been forecasted to be approx.
7 % annually within next 10 years accord. to different studies (Capital Mind,
Catalyst Corp. Finance).
• Consequently, new construction of paper machines (or rebuilds of former
graphic machines) (e.g. Sappi Europe, Heinzel Group Austria, UPM/Leipa
Germany,…) for packaging and specialty P&B
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… how is the paper sector addressing this challenge?

6. 25.02.2016
One sector's journey into the future
Sources: http://image.slidesharecdn.com/roadmap2050-120702034623-phpapp02/95/drupa-2012-european-paper-day-road-map-2050-11-728.jpg?cb=1341201120;
http://www.paperindustryworld.com/files/2014/02/TheTwoTeamProject.jpg ; http://www.papierverarbeitung.de/wpv-wAssets/img/Cover_Faser_Papier_2030.JPG ;
http://unfoldthefuture.eu/images/download-thumb.jpg
“Breakthrough
technologies" for
reengineering production
processes and reducing
CO2 emissions Ideas for
“tomorrow's paper”
The contribution of
paper as a material to
various economic
sectors
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7. 25.02.2016
Motivation for the "Fibre & Paper 2030" project of the
future
 The paper sector is in a phase of
radical change
 But: even today there are discernible
innovative approaches to paper
applications in various sectors with a
considerable need for development
work
 Motivation: What are the markets,
fields of business and customer needs
of the future for fibre-based materials?
 A solid groundwork has been laid:
Within the scope of the bio-economy
concept, sustainable and bio-based
concepts for tomorrow's world are in
demand! Source: http://www.leanoffice-evenburg.de/images/zeit%20fuer%20sw.png
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8. 25.02.2016
Increase the value added of innovative products and tap into new markets
– light-weight construction materials, for example
The outcome:
Customise paper for innovative areas of application
The challenge for paper
Source: Biesalski et al. WfP 2015
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9. 25.02.2016
Project management:
PTS
FENWIS GmbH = flight controller
Core team:
Depiction of the entire paper value
chain:
suppliers, producers, converters
and researchers/developers
Duration:
01/2014 to 03/2015
Joint future project:
“Fibre & Paper 2030”
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What? – Project goals:
Shape a future with “paper”
Anticipate tomorrow‘s requirements today
Identify new markets with high value added

10. 25.02.2016
Retropolation: systematically looking ahead into the future
today 2030 2050
Future visions
of tomorrow
and beyond
Documented
premises
The current
setting
“Looking back
at tomorrow”
?
Tomorrow's
needs
• New applications?
• New materials?
• New properties?
• New business opportunities?
Source: FENWIS GmbH
10
10

11. 25.02.2016
The map of the future: looking back from the future
Retropolation
Trends
Overall picture:
• People
• Customers
• Markets
• Economy
• Technologies
• Environment
• Politics
• Society
Areas of activity
Business
models
Business
plans
Strategy
Manage-
ment
culture
Portfolio
Infra-
structure
Training
…
Communication
Business
today
Influencing variables
• Future markets
• Customer’s
requirements
• Need for
innovation
• Research
themes
• Competence
requirements
• Business
models
• Laws and
regulations
Food
Health &
hygiene
Mobility
ICTE*
Logistics
Future city &
architecture
Living &
working
General
boundary
conditions
Thematic areas
= Corporate tasks
* ICTE = Information, Communication,
Training and Expertise
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Source: FENWIS GmbH
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12. 25.02.2016
Joint activities on the path to 2030
Source: http://www.bauwelt.ch/sites/default/files/22159_1_chinmegastadt.jpg
Future city & architecture
(Sound and climate control in
homes, emergency shelters,
building material systems,
cultivation areas, energy storage
systems, …)
Mobility
(fibre-based light-weight
construction for
tomorrow‘s mobility,
fireproof equipment, …)
Health & hygiene
(Filters, smart dressing
materials, implants,
prostheses, ...
Living & Working
(modular and convertible living
room-style elements,
functionalised wall coverings
and partitions, …)
Food
(modular greenhouses, fibre
fleece as plant substrate, paper
covers for separating arable
farming areas, …)
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13. 25.02.2016
Premises 2050
 Megacities are the most efficient living
areas due to modern mobility concepts,
energy efficiency and high land use
 Buildings and infrastructure make a
decisive contribution to local
regenerative energy production (solar
energy in photovoltaic systems on
facades, wind energy, algae production
in facades)
 Self-cleaning and self-repairing
materials prolong service life
Paper-related ideas
• Fibre-based materials for thermal
insulation and soundproofing in
houses and apartments
• Functionalised fibre-based exterior
facades (e.g. with shielding
properties, heating functions, …)
• Use of fibres as a building material
in concrete, mortar, e.g. for weight
reduction and enhanced insulation
Source: https://zukunft2050.files.wordpress.com/2011/10/smart-grid-
zukunftsstadt-aus-film-pof_2_2009_34_still_megacity_turm.jpg
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Paper-related ideas in the thematic area
Future city & architecture

14. 25.02.2016
Paper as a building material? It works!
Bridge over the river Gardon, France (2007)
Cathedral, Christchurch, New Zealand (2013)
Emergency shelters,
Kobe, Japan (1995)
Emergency shelters, Byumba Refugee
Camp, Rwanda (1999)
Source: Shigeru Ban
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15. 25.02.2016
Source: Kevin Boyack, Dick Klavans, publ. 2006 W. Bradford Paley
Materials science as the
interface between
mathematics, applied
physics, physical and
organic chemistry, fluid
mechanics and analysis
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Intersectoral networks dominate technological and
scientific progress

16. 25.02.2016
Networking activities aimed at implementing the results
Source: http://www.kilory.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/sharing.jpg
Functional &
integration
networks
Key
technology
networks
Future
visions
network
System/
subsystem
networks
Solutions networks
Application
networks
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17. 25.02.2016
Source: Final Report Industrie 4.0, April 2013; Publ.. Promotor Group
Communication of the Forschungsunion Wirtschaft – Wissenschaft e.V.
Industry 4.0
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18. 25.02.2016
What lessons can we learn?
1. The large global themes provide ample opportunity for innovations with paper.
Arguments supporting this view are the advantageous material properties of
paper and similar products on the one hand. On the other hand, large market
volumes can evolve that are adapted to our industry.
2. We have to expand our materials science expertise by improved vocational
education and training and create appropriate networks. We must reflect on the
vertical range of manufacture in order to participate more from the total value
added.
3. Industry 4.0 is creating new prerequisites and regional opportunities, and it is
essential that we equip ourselves properly.
4. Our lobbying activities, in particular on behalf of small and medium-sized
enterprises, must be intensified especially in the EU Commission, in the national
ministries, in funding organisations and in new economic sectors.
5. We, with our range of products and solutions, are welcome if only we wish to be.
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19. 25.02.2016
Prof. Dr. Frank Miletzky
Papiertechnische Stiftung
Hess-Str. 134, 80797 Munich
Pirnaer Str.37, 01809 Heidenau
Germany
Tel: +49 89 12146 184
frank.miletzky@ptspaper.de
Thank you for your attention!
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