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M. CRUZ DEL BARRIO
HEAD OF HOME AND GARDEN RESEARCH
12 June 2015
HOME IMPROVEMENT:
TRENDS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN WESTERN EUROPE AND BEYOND
© Euromonitor International
2
Our Services
 Syndicated Market Research
 Custom Research and Consulting
Expansive Network
 On the ground researchers in 80 countries
 Cross-comparable data across every market
Our Expertise
 Consumer Trends & Lifestyles
 Product Categories & Distribution channels
 Economics & Forecasting
Who Is Euromonitor International?
INTRODUCTION
© Euromonitor International
3
Euromonitor International‟s Network and Coverage
INTRODUCTION
HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW
HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS
FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
KEY TAKEAWAYS
© Euromonitor International
5
The Building Blocks of the Global Home Improvement Industry
Home ImprovementFloor
Covering
HandTools
PowerTools
HomePaint
WallCovering
OtherHome
Improvement
Introduction
HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW
US$271bn
GLOBAL RETAIL SALES OF
HOME IMPROVEMENT (2014)
24%
GLOBAL GROWTH
(ANNUAL AVERAGE
2009-2014)
4.3%
OF TOTAL SALES
COME FROM THE US (2014)
© Euromonitor International
7
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Currentvalue%Growth
Home Improvement Value Growth 2014 in Key Countries in
Local Currency vs US$
Current Prices – Y-o-Y Exchange Rates
Local Currency US$
Category overview: Currency fluctuations weighs on global performance
HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW
© Euromonitor International
8
Western Europe (25%)
Australasia (1%)MEA (4%)
Asia Pacific (32%)
Eastern Europe (5%)
North America (26%)
Latin America (6%)
Category overview: Home Improvement value sales by region in 2014
HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW
Half total world sales
Per household expenditure
high vs emerging markets
© Euromonitor International
9
DIY culture versus Do-It-For-Me culture
HOME IMPROVEMENT MARKET OVERVIEW
DIY popularity related to
labour costs
Self-employment high in
emerging markets
Higher expenditure per
household in developed
markets
© Euromonitor International
10
Market drivers: Housing market recovery in largest economies
HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Index2010=100
House Price Index in the Four Largest
Home Improvement Markets (2006-14)
China US Germany France
© Euromonitor International
11
-30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20
Spain
Mexico
US
France
Brazil
Turkey
S. Korea
Russia
China
New Housing Completions Growth:
Top and Bottom Countries, 2012-2014 % CAGR
2012-2014 % CAGR
Market drivers: Homes = Home Improvement
HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW
Housing
construction
growing
fastest
Housing
construction yet
to recover to
pre-recession
levels
© Euromonitor International
12
Environmental issues (VOC levels)
Energy efficiency
Battery recycling
Legislation Socio-demographics
Mobile apps
Online tutorials
Growth of Millennials
Online media
Market drivers: Legislation, new media, socio-demographics
HOME IMPROVEMENT MARKET OVERVIEW
Household size
Household types
Grey tide
„Digital natives‟
Rising female consumers
HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW
HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS
FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
KEY TAKEAWAYS
© Euromonitor International
14
Rising female empowerment: From Old Maids to „Singlelistas‟
HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS
>50% of households
in US, Russia, Ukraine are
headed by women
US$9k average
global female disposable
income (compared to
US$14k for men)
23.2 years
average age of woman at
first childbirth (global)
© Euromonitor International
15
The female dynamic: “DIY joshi” - Japanese women get into DIY
HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS
500Y (US$4)
X
6-hour workshops
© Euromonitor International
16
The Millennials – Their squeezed new world
HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS
67% of millenials
agree they can find a
YouTube video on anything
they want to learn*
64% US rate of home-
ownership in 2014, lowest
rate in 20 years
28sqm living spaces,
spawning the “Tiny Housing”
movement - making a virtue
out of necessity
*Source: Google Consumer Survey, April 2015,
U.S. Online population aged 18-34
© Euromonitor International
17
Mobile access: Leads the way for connected consumers
HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS
2004 2014 2004 2014
Broadband
Enabled Computer
4% 36% 37% 78%
Mobile Phone 41% 89% 76% 97%
Satellite TV 3% 19% 21% 29%
Latin America North America
Possession of Selected Durables in Households 2004 vs 2014
HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW
HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS
FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
KEY TAKEAWAYS
© Euromonitor International
19
Looking to the future: Attracting the digital natives
FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
1.2 billion youth
population (15-24 year
olds) globally by 2030
US$13k average
gross income for 15-24 year
olds in 2030
<15% of the world‟s
total population will be 15-
24 year olds by 2030
© Euromonitor International
20
Looking to the future: The rising grey tide
FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
1.5 billionglobal
population of 60+ year olds
by 2030
“Grey pound”
accounts for almost 50% of
consumer spending in UK”
54.3% old age
dependency ratio in
Japan in 2030
© Euromonitor International
21
0
2
4
6
0
50
100
150
200
Western
Europe
Australasia North America Eastern Europe Latin America Asia Pacific Middle East
and Africa
2014-19CAGR%
US$percapita(2014)
Home Improvement:
2014 US$ per capita expenditure 2014-19 CAGR%
Looking to the future: Growth will come from (some) emerging economies
FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
© Euromonitor International
22
Retailers
Sharing
economy
Consumers
Market
economy
New alternatives emerge in the power tools universe
FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
Retail service:
tutorials, forums,
personal accounts
C-to-C platforms:
where owners of
unused power tools
can resell them..
Tool-sharing libraries:
free or through membership
fees; trialled in NA cities:
Toronto, Vancouver, Seattle.
Inspired by sharing
economy: Leroy Merlin
(FR) in partnership with
Techshop (US) = FabLabs
© Euromonitor International
23
Strong growth forecast
Buoyant housing market
Strong social mobility
Young population
Strong growth in
multiple retailers
Contrasting Factors Shaping the Future of the Regions
Weak growth forecast
Struggling property
market
Uncertain economic
situation
Ageing population
Distribution networks
saturated but good
growth in online sales• Asia Pacific
• Latin America
• Middle East and Africa
• North America
• Australasia
• Western
Europe
FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
© Euromonitor International
24
Key Takeaways
Markets
• Emerging vs
Developed
Retailing
Landscape
• Omni-channel
Consumers
• Attracting:
• Young
• Women
Industry
• From DIY to
Home
Improvement
FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
© Euromonitor International
25
THANK YOU FOR LISTENING
M. Cruz del Barrio
Head of Home and Garden Research
cruz.delbarrio@euromonitor.com
Euromonitor International
60-61 Britton Street
London EC1M 5UX
www.euromonitor.com

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DIY Global Summit 2015 - Euromonitor Insights

  • 1. M. CRUZ DEL BARRIO HEAD OF HOME AND GARDEN RESEARCH 12 June 2015 HOME IMPROVEMENT: TRENDS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN WESTERN EUROPE AND BEYOND
  • 2. © Euromonitor International 2 Our Services  Syndicated Market Research  Custom Research and Consulting Expansive Network  On the ground researchers in 80 countries  Cross-comparable data across every market Our Expertise  Consumer Trends & Lifestyles  Product Categories & Distribution channels  Economics & Forecasting Who Is Euromonitor International? INTRODUCTION
  • 3. © Euromonitor International 3 Euromonitor International‟s Network and Coverage INTRODUCTION
  • 4. HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES KEY TAKEAWAYS
  • 5. © Euromonitor International 5 The Building Blocks of the Global Home Improvement Industry Home ImprovementFloor Covering HandTools PowerTools HomePaint WallCovering OtherHome Improvement Introduction HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW
  • 6. US$271bn GLOBAL RETAIL SALES OF HOME IMPROVEMENT (2014) 24% GLOBAL GROWTH (ANNUAL AVERAGE 2009-2014) 4.3% OF TOTAL SALES COME FROM THE US (2014)
  • 7. © Euromonitor International 7 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Currentvalue%Growth Home Improvement Value Growth 2014 in Key Countries in Local Currency vs US$ Current Prices – Y-o-Y Exchange Rates Local Currency US$ Category overview: Currency fluctuations weighs on global performance HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW
  • 8. © Euromonitor International 8 Western Europe (25%) Australasia (1%)MEA (4%) Asia Pacific (32%) Eastern Europe (5%) North America (26%) Latin America (6%) Category overview: Home Improvement value sales by region in 2014 HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW Half total world sales Per household expenditure high vs emerging markets
  • 9. © Euromonitor International 9 DIY culture versus Do-It-For-Me culture HOME IMPROVEMENT MARKET OVERVIEW DIY popularity related to labour costs Self-employment high in emerging markets Higher expenditure per household in developed markets
  • 10. © Euromonitor International 10 Market drivers: Housing market recovery in largest economies HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Index2010=100 House Price Index in the Four Largest Home Improvement Markets (2006-14) China US Germany France
  • 11. © Euromonitor International 11 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Spain Mexico US France Brazil Turkey S. Korea Russia China New Housing Completions Growth: Top and Bottom Countries, 2012-2014 % CAGR 2012-2014 % CAGR Market drivers: Homes = Home Improvement HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW Housing construction growing fastest Housing construction yet to recover to pre-recession levels
  • 12. © Euromonitor International 12 Environmental issues (VOC levels) Energy efficiency Battery recycling Legislation Socio-demographics Mobile apps Online tutorials Growth of Millennials Online media Market drivers: Legislation, new media, socio-demographics HOME IMPROVEMENT MARKET OVERVIEW Household size Household types Grey tide „Digital natives‟ Rising female consumers
  • 13. HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES KEY TAKEAWAYS
  • 14. © Euromonitor International 14 Rising female empowerment: From Old Maids to „Singlelistas‟ HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS >50% of households in US, Russia, Ukraine are headed by women US$9k average global female disposable income (compared to US$14k for men) 23.2 years average age of woman at first childbirth (global)
  • 15. © Euromonitor International 15 The female dynamic: “DIY joshi” - Japanese women get into DIY HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS 500Y (US$4) X 6-hour workshops
  • 16. © Euromonitor International 16 The Millennials – Their squeezed new world HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS 67% of millenials agree they can find a YouTube video on anything they want to learn* 64% US rate of home- ownership in 2014, lowest rate in 20 years 28sqm living spaces, spawning the “Tiny Housing” movement - making a virtue out of necessity *Source: Google Consumer Survey, April 2015, U.S. Online population aged 18-34
  • 17. © Euromonitor International 17 Mobile access: Leads the way for connected consumers HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS 2004 2014 2004 2014 Broadband Enabled Computer 4% 36% 37% 78% Mobile Phone 41% 89% 76% 97% Satellite TV 3% 19% 21% 29% Latin America North America Possession of Selected Durables in Households 2004 vs 2014
  • 18. HOME IMPROVEMENT: MARKET OVERVIEW HOME IMPROVEMENT: SOCIO-ECONOMIC DRIVERS FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES KEY TAKEAWAYS
  • 19. © Euromonitor International 19 Looking to the future: Attracting the digital natives FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES 1.2 billion youth population (15-24 year olds) globally by 2030 US$13k average gross income for 15-24 year olds in 2030 <15% of the world‟s total population will be 15- 24 year olds by 2030
  • 20. © Euromonitor International 20 Looking to the future: The rising grey tide FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES 1.5 billionglobal population of 60+ year olds by 2030 “Grey pound” accounts for almost 50% of consumer spending in UK” 54.3% old age dependency ratio in Japan in 2030
  • 21. © Euromonitor International 21 0 2 4 6 0 50 100 150 200 Western Europe Australasia North America Eastern Europe Latin America Asia Pacific Middle East and Africa 2014-19CAGR% US$percapita(2014) Home Improvement: 2014 US$ per capita expenditure 2014-19 CAGR% Looking to the future: Growth will come from (some) emerging economies FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • 22. © Euromonitor International 22 Retailers Sharing economy Consumers Market economy New alternatives emerge in the power tools universe FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES Retail service: tutorials, forums, personal accounts C-to-C platforms: where owners of unused power tools can resell them.. Tool-sharing libraries: free or through membership fees; trialled in NA cities: Toronto, Vancouver, Seattle. Inspired by sharing economy: Leroy Merlin (FR) in partnership with Techshop (US) = FabLabs
  • 23. © Euromonitor International 23 Strong growth forecast Buoyant housing market Strong social mobility Young population Strong growth in multiple retailers Contrasting Factors Shaping the Future of the Regions Weak growth forecast Struggling property market Uncertain economic situation Ageing population Distribution networks saturated but good growth in online sales• Asia Pacific • Latin America • Middle East and Africa • North America • Australasia • Western Europe FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • 24. © Euromonitor International 24 Key Takeaways Markets • Emerging vs Developed Retailing Landscape • Omni-channel Consumers • Attracting: • Young • Women Industry • From DIY to Home Improvement FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • 25. © Euromonitor International 25 THANK YOU FOR LISTENING M. Cruz del Barrio Head of Home and Garden Research cruz.delbarrio@euromonitor.com Euromonitor International 60-61 Britton Street London EC1M 5UX www.euromonitor.com