5. 1.
“The number of higher
education students in the
world is expected to
quadruple,
from around 100 million in
2000
to 400 million in 2030”
Foto: Ulrike Reinhard Learning Stations in Khajuraho, Rural India
6. To accommodate them we need to build
9.615 universities in 30 years
That is 3 universities
For 30.000 students
per week
7. 2.
Image CC BY Phillie Casablanca
“Students expect to
choose what they
learn, how they learn
and when they
learn”
12. Disruptive innovation or Hype?
“There is a tsunami coming. I can't tell you exactly how it‟s going to
break, but my goal is to try to surf it, not to just stand there.”
John Hennesy (former president Stanford), Wall Street Journal (june, 2012)
20. Growth & use of Open Course Ware
43 million
unique visitors
per year
21. MOOC = Massive Open Online Courses (I)
A. Early pioneers (2007/2008) of connectivism & social learning (now
cMOOC)
David Wiley (Brigham Young University)
George Siemens (Athabasca University)
Stephen Downes (National Research
Councel Canada)
21
22. MOOC = Massive Open Online Courses (II)
B. Pioneers (2011-2012) of free massive open online classes
(now xMOOCs)
Salman Khan
Prof. Peter Norvig & Prof. Sebastian Thrun
(Stanford)
Prof Andrew Nge & Prof. Daphne Koller
(Stanford)
Prof. Anant Agarwal
(MIT)
22
23. xMOOC platforms (USA)
Opgericht:
Oprichter(s):
Profiel:
Budget:
Open Source:
Januari 2012
S. Thrun (Stanford)
Commercieel
$ 15 miljoen
Nee (licenties)
# Universiteiten:
# Cursussen:
# Studenten:
Disciplines:
geen
28
ca. 1 miljoen
Business, ICT, Math,
Science
Gecertificeerde diploma’s: Ja
Examens onder toezicht: Ja
(4000 locaties in 170 landen via
partnership met Pearson VUE)
Opgericht:
Oprichter(s):
Profiel:
Budget:
Open Source:
April 2012
Koller & Nge
(Stanford)
Commercieel
$ 65 miljoen
Nee (licenties)
Opgericht:
Oprichter(s):
Profiel:
Budget:
Open Source:
Mei 2012
MIT en Harvard
Not-for-profit
$ 60 miljoen
Gedeeltelijk (platform,
enkele cursussen)
# Universiteiten:
# Cursussen:
# Studenten:
Disciplines:
107
540+
4,5 miljoen
Alle
# Universiteiten:
# Cursussen:
# Studenten:
Disciplines:
29 (+ 3 landen)
90
ca. 1,5 miljoen
Alle
Gecertificeerde diploma’s:
Examens onder toezicht:
(5 geaccrediteerde cursussen en
partnership met ProctorU)
Ja
Ja
Gecertificeerde diploma’s:
Ja
Examens onder toezicht:
Ja
(1 accrediteerde cursus, identity verified
tracks)
25. MOOC = Massive Open Online Courses (II)
Evolution of MOOCs
„MOOC‟s and implications for Higher Education. A Whitepaper‟, (JISC, CETIS; March 2013). Relaties
tussen ODL, OE, OER/OCW & MOOC‟s., incl. relation between MIT OCW, Khanacademy & xMOOC
26. Revenue models?
• license model: a share of gross revenue between platform provider
and universities offering courses hosted on the platform for tuition
paid degee programs or fees for additional services to students (e.g.
coaching)
• Administrative fees: for certification on proctored exam locations
• Recruitment fees: from corporations for recruiting talented students
• Premium/Fremium model: free and upgraded paid versions of the
MOOCs and services, resembling the ‘freemium’ and ‘premium’
payment models of other internet services
• Advertisement: monetizing on the scale and social characteristics of
users of the platform.
28. Delft: Online and Campus Education
•
•
•
•
•
Learning Activities & Course Materials
Free
Enrolled students only, massive numbers
Bachelors Level
Certificate of Completion
Massive Open
Online Courses
(MOOCs)
Open
Course
Ware
(OCW)
Campus
Education
•
•
•
•
•
On-campus Education
Top-class education and research facilities
World famous university library
Active student societies
Great opportunities to participate in special
student projects
Online Distance
Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Course Materials
Free
Big Exposure, Worldwide audience
Both Bachelor and Master level
No interaction with faculty
No accredited certificate
Learning Activities & Course Materials
Paid enrollment
Enrolled students only, limited numbers
Master level
Accredited Course Certificate
Full Master Degree
34. MOOCs in NL
EdX
Delft X
•
Solar Energy
54.500
•
Water Treatment
27.500
{Next Generation Infrastructures & Introduction to aerospace engineering}
n.a.
Coursera
Leiden
•
The law of the EU
46,000
•
Terrorism and Counterterrorism
26,000
Universiteit van Amsterdam
•
Introduction into communication Science (before on Sakai)
(1)6.000
TU Eindhoven
{Sports & Building Aearodynamics}
n.a.
OpenUpEd
Open Universiteit
•
E-learning (in Nederlands)
600
40. Different perspectives II: Disruptive innovation theory
The theory of
ʺdisruptive innovationʺ
Top ranked (under) graduate
degree programs
High ranked (under)
graduate degree
programs
„A process by which a product or service
takes root initially in simple applications
at the bottom of a market and then
relentlessly moves „up market‟, eventually
displacing established competitors”
‒ Professor Clayton M. Christensen,
Harvard Business School
Author of Disrupting Class (2008) and The
Innovative University (2011)
Low ranked
(under) graduate
degree programs
41. Moody’s Investors Service, Credit Outlook Higher Education Institutions USA,
US Public Finance, Sept 2012
44. The future?
Accredited Massive Online Master Degree Program
Price: $ 6600,- for 3 years in stead of $ 40.000 per year
Number of students: 10.000 in stead of 300 per year
Number of faculty extra: 8 at Georgia Tech (for
content)
• Revenu model: 60% for Georgia Tech, 40% for
Udactity
•
•
•
•
45. Scenario’s
1. Topuniversiteiten kunnen hun reputatie op onderzoeksgebied nu
ook uitbouwen op onderwijsgebied en wereldwijd toonaangevend
worden in de productie van de inhoud van online curricula
2. Grootschalige universiteiten met onvoldoende academische
onderscheidend vermogen kunnen eigen MOOC‟s of andermans
MOOC‟s inzetten in hun onderwijsprogramma‟s en daarmee een
goede prijs-kwaliteitverhouding blijven bieden voor de blended
opleidingen die zij aanbieden aan hun betalende campus-studenten
3. Gespecialiseerde universiteit die zich richten op een
academische en daarin tot de absolute wereldtop.
1. Lokale universiteiten die een belangrijke bijdrage leveren aan de
lokale economie en in toenemende mate gebruikmaken van de
MOOC‟s die andere universiteiten ontwikkelen.
47. CC BY: katerha: http://www.flickr.com/photos/katerha/6055323149/
Thank you
Notas do Editor
Vroeger
Vroeger
Wehoevennietveelmeeruittevinden: veelelementen die bepalenwatgoedonderwijs is, zijn al opgelost online
OpenCourseWare: Course Materials available for use and re-use, for free, worldwide (700 visitors a day). No certificates, but pilot with Study Badges (informal certificates of Study Skills)Goal: Enlarge Acces to Educational Materials, empower institution’s reputationexample: publishing OCW led to Cooperation with ITB Bandung and Mozambique institutionsOnline Distance Education: Pilot starts september 2013, Students need to enroll but are not physically in Delft (everything happens online). Small numbers of enrolled studentsd (20?)Goal: provide a Masters degree via Online Education to those who want but are unable to come to Delft, enlarge audienceMOOCs: Online, MassiveGoal: strenghten reputation, enlarge access to Higher Education
En overigensdoenalle Am tpuniversiteitenhieraanmee