Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2007-2009

1. Mobile Internet,
Broadband & Data
Services
Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and
Numbers: Charts & Tables
2007-2009
[HR.CTD011.V1U1-2009]
Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research
11/21/2009
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos

2. 2
Mobile Internet, Broadband & Data Services
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Contents
List of Figures & Tables........................................................................................................ 3
Subscriber Model................................................................................................................... 5
Subscriber Base ..................................................................................................................... 6
Market Share......................................................................................................................... 9
Growth ................................................................................................................................. 13
Telkomsel............................................................................................................................. 16
Indosat ................................................................................................................................. 20
Excelcomindo ....................................................................................................................... 24
Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 28

3. 3
Mobile Internet, Broadband & Data Services
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
List of Figures & Tables
Figure 1 A Model for Mobile Data/Internet Subscribers Adressed in this Document....... 5
Figure 2 Mobile Internet – Intensive (MI-I) Subscribers 2007-2009.................................. 6
Figure 3 Mobile Internet (MI) Subscribers 2007-2009........................................................ 7
Figure 4 Mobile Data (MD) Subscribers 2007-2009 ............................................................ 8
Figure 5 Market Share of MI-I Subscribers 2009................................................................ 9
Figure 6 Market Shares of MI-I Subscribers 2007-2009 (Four Major Operators)........... 10
Figure 7 Market Share of MI Subscribers 2009 ................................................................ 11
Figure 8 Market Shares of MI Subscribers 2007-2009 (Four Major Operators).............. 12
Table 1 MI-I Subscribers of Each Operator (Operators’ Publication & Estimates)........... 6
Table 2 MI Subscribers of Each Operator (Operators’ Publication & Estimates) ............. 7
Table 3 MD Subscribers of Each Operator (Operators’ Publication & Estimates)............ 8
Table 4 Market Shares of MI-I Subscribers 2007-2009....................................................... 9
Table 5 Market Shares of MI Subscribers 2007-2009 ....................................................... 11

4. 4
Mobile Internet, Broadband & Data Services
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Figure Table 1 Growth of MI-I Subscribers....................................................................... 13
Figure Table 2 Growth of MI-I Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) ............................................ 13
Figure Table 3 Growth of MI Subscribers.......................................................................... 14
Figure Table 4 Growth of MI Subscribers (AGR & CAGR)............................................... 14
Figure Table 5 Growth of MD Subscribers ........................................................................ 15
Figure Table 6 Growth of MD Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) ............................................. 15
Figure Table 7 TSEL’s Mobile Internet & Data Subscribers 2007-2009.......................... 16
Figure Table 8 TSEL’s MI-I Subscribers 2007-2009 ......................................................... 17
Figure Table 9 TSEL’s MI-I Subscriber Growth (AGR & CAGR)..................................... 17
Figure Table 10 TSEL’s MI Subscribers 2007-2009.......................................................... 18
Figure Table 11 TSEL’s MI Subscriber Growth (AGR & CAGR) ..................................... 18
Figure Table 12 TSEL’s MD Subscribers 2007-2009......................................................... 19
Figure Table 13 TSEL’s MD Subscriber Growth (AGR & CAGR) .................................... 19
Figure Table 14 ISAT’s Mobile Internet & Data Subscribers 2007-2009......................... 20
Figure Table 15 ISAT’s MI-I Subscribers 2007-2009 ........................................................ 21
Figure Table 16 ISAT’s MI-I Subscriber Growth (AGR & CAGR).................................... 21
Figure Table 17 ISAT’s MI Subscribers 2007-2009........................................................... 22
Figure Table 18 ISAT’s MI Subscriber Growth (AGR & CAGR) ...................................... 22
Figure Table 19 ISAT’s MD Subscribers 2007-2009.......................................................... 23
Figure Table 20 ISAT’s MD Subscriber Growth (AGR & CAGR)..................................... 23
Figure Table 21 XL’s Mobile Internet & Data Subscribers 2007-2009 ............................ 24
Figure Table 22 XL’s MI-I Subscribers 2007-2009 ............................................................ 25
Figure Table 23 XL’s MI-I Subscriber Growth (AGR & CAGR) ....................................... 25
Figure Table 24 XL’s MI Subscribers 2007-2009............................................................... 26
Figure Table 25 XL’s MI Subscriber Growth (AGR & CAGR) .......................................... 26
Figure Table 26 XL’s MD Subscribers 2007-2009 ............................................................. 27
Figure Table 27 XL’s MD Subscriber Growth (AGR & CAGR)......................................... 27

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Mobile
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2,000
7,500
2,202
1,490
4,650
bers of Ea
E
07E
20
scriber
Mobil
S
ntensive
ach Opera
Estimates
008E
20
rs 2007
le Internet
Subs
(MI-I) Su
2008E
205,000
305,000
88,000
20,000
8,558
25,160
18,083
71,139
10,000
ator (Ope
s)
009Nov
7-2009
, Broadban
scrib
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erators’ P
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ISA
TL
NT
HC
Sm
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ISA
TS
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er B
rs 2007-20
2009No
1,400,00
980,000
500,000
80,000
200,000
173,031
142,217
700,000
120,000
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)
AT FWA
LKM FWA
TS
CPT
mart
8
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AT
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ase
009
ov
00
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0
0
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0
0
on &

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WA
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ble 2 MI S
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000,
12,000,
rch
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ure 3 Mob
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1,3
70
44
8
5
9
1
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0
0,000
0,000
0,000
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20
#Sub
m/harewos
bile Inter
2007E
368,290
01,298
41,971
6,080
0
8,269
0
0,898
7,941
ers of Eac
E
007E
20
scribe
Mobil
rnet (MI)
ch Opera
Estimates
008E
20
ers 200
le Internet
Subscrib
2008E
2,612,000
1,460,410
1,040,621
106,876
61,233
180,024
129,392
254,509
30,464
ator (Oper
s)
009Nov
07-2009
, Broadban
bers 2007-
rators’ Pu
9 (MI)
ISA
TL
NT
HC
Sm
M8
XL
ISA
TS
nd & Data S
-2009
2009No
5,333,33
1,933,33
1,800,00
213,333
133,333
486,667
400,000
496,667
40,000
ublicatio
AT FWA
LKM FWA
TS
CPT
mart
8
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AT
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7
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33
33
00
3
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0
7
on &

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Fig
WA
WA
ble 3 MD S
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000,
35,000,
rch
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gure 4 Mo
2
9,5
4,9
3,0
60
40
63
12
Subscrib
0
0,000
0,000
0,000
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,000
,000
000
20
#Subs
m/harewos
obile Dat
2007E
578,028
909,084
093,800
02,560
07,881
36,284
25,587
ers of Ea
E
007E
20
scribe
Mobil
a (MD) Su
1
ach Opera
Estimates
008E
20
rs 200
le Internet
ubscribe
2008E
13,059,998
7,302,049
5,203,103
534,380
306,165
900,122
646,960
1,272,543
152,318
ator (Ope
s)
009Nov
7-2009
, Broadban
rs 2007-2
erators’ P
9 (MD)
ISA
TL
NT
HC
Sm
M8
XL
ISA
TS
nd & Data S
009
2009No
16,000,00
5,800,00
5,400,00
640,000
400,000
1,460,00
1,200,00
1,490,00
120,000
Publicatio
)
AT FWA
LKM FWA
TS
CPT
mart
8
L
AT
SEL
8
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ov
00
00
00
0
0
00
00
00
0
on &

9. Harew
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Fi
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Tabl
HCP
4%
N
3
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igure 5 M
2
2
5
1
le 4 Mark
M8
2%
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5%
PT
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NTS
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TL
Mar
m/harewos
Market Sh
2007E
28.49
50.47
14.25
1.79
0.00
1.21
0.00
3.79
0.00
ket Share
XL
12%
LKM FWA
16%
IS
rket Sh
Mobil
hare of MI
s of MI-I
SAT FWA
3%
hare 2
le Internet
M
I-I Subsc
2008E
27.30
40.62
11.72
2.66
1.14
3.35
2.41
9.47
1.33
Subscrib
T
3
ISAT
23%
2009 (M
, Broadban
arke
cribers 20
bers 2007-
TSEL
32%
MI-I)
nd & Data S
et Sha
009
2009No
32.59
22.82
11.64
1.86
4.66
4.03
3.31
16.30
2.79
-2009
9
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are
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10. Harew
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0.00
10.00
20.00
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50.00
60.00
Percentage
M
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arket Sha
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2007
Market
m/harewos
ares of M
O
7E 2
t Shar
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2008E
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2009Nov
07-2009
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007-2009 (
9 (MI-I
TS
IS
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SEL
AT
L
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10
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ajor

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m/harewos
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2007E
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es of MI S
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MI Subscr
2008E
44.46
24.86
17.71
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1.04
3.06
2.20
4.33
0.52
Subscribe
2009 (M
, Broadban
ribers 200
ers 2007-2
TSEL
49%
MI)
nd & Data S
09
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49.22
17.84
16.61
1.97
1.23
4.49
3.69
4.58
0.37
2009
11
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ov

12. Harew
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10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
Percentage
M
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0
0
0
0
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2007
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13. Harew
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1
1
2
2
3,
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4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
Percentage
rch
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Figure T
Table 2 G
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
,000,000
,500,000
,000,000
,500,000
000,000
500,000
ubs. 1
#
AGR
CAGR
440.0
450.0
460.0
470.0
480.0
490.0
500.0
510.0
520.0
#
m/harewos
Table 1 G
Growth o
2007
2007
22,843
#Subsc
4
2008
511.
511.
#Subsc
Mobil
Growth of
f MI-I Su
2008
200
750,9
criber
490%
8
3
3
cribers
le Internet
f MI-I Sub
ubscribers
8
2
08
939
s - MI-
s - MI-
, Broadban
G
bscribers
s (AGR &
2009
2009
4,273,91
-I
2009
469.1
489.8
-I
nd & Data S
Grow
& CAGR)
6
13
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wth

14. Harew
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4
6,
8,
10,0
12,0
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1
1
Percentage
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Figure
e Table 4
0
2,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
2
bs. 2,7
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
m/harewos
Table 3 G
Growth o
2007
2007
764,746
#Subs
2008
112.
112.
#Subs
Mobil
Growth o
of MI Sub
2008
200
5,875
scriber
98%
8
5
5
scriber
le Internet
f MI Subs
bscribers
8
08
5,528
rs - MI
rs - MI
, Broadban
scribers
(AGR &
2009
2009
10,836,6
I
2009
84.4
98.0
I
nd & Data S
CAGR)
667
14
Services

15. Harew
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Figure
5
10
15,
20,
25,
30,0
35,0
#Sub
A
Percentage
rch
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Figure T
Table 6 G
0
5,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
2
bs. 19,3
#
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
#
m/harewos
Table 5 G
Growth o
2007
2007
353,225
#Subs
2008
51.8
51.8
#Subsc
Mobil
Growth of
of MD Sub
2008
200
29,377
criber
30%
8
8
8
criber
le Internet
f MD Sub
bscribers
8
08
7,638
rs - MD
rs - MD
, Broadban
bscribers
s (AGR &
2009
2009
32,510,0
D
2009
10.7
29.6
D
nd & Data S
CAGR)
000
15
Services

16. Harew
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ure Table
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,00
16,00
MBB/MI
MI
MD
rch
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e 7 TSEL’
0
000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
00,000
00,000
00,000
2
I-I 3
1,3
9,5
#S
m/harewos
’s Mobile
2007E
2007E
5,000
368,290
578,028
Subsc
Mobil
Internet
2008
20
20
2,61
13,0
ribers
le Internet
t & Data S
E
2
008E
5,000
12,000
059,998
s - TSE
, Broadban
Tel
Subscribe
2009Nov
2009
1,40
5,33
16,00
EL
nd & Data S
lkom
ers 2007-2
9Nov
0,000
3,333
00,000
16
Services
msel
2009

17. Harew
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Fig
Figure Ta
2
4
6
8
1,0
1,2
1,40
#Sub
A
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Percentage
rch
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gure Tabl
able 9 TS
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
000,000
00,000
00,000
2
bs. 35
#Sub
AGR
CAGR
0.0
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
600.0
700.0
#Sub
m/harewos
le 8 TSEL
EL’s MI-I
2007
2007
5,000
bscrib
2008
485.
485.
bscribe
Mobil
L’s MI-I S
I Subscri
2008
200
205,
bers - T
532%
8
7
7
ers - T
le Internet
ubscribe
ber Grow
2
08
000
TSEL(M
TSEL (M
, Broadban
rs 2007-2
wth (AGR
2009
2009
1,400,00
MI-I)
2009
582.9
532.5
MI-I)
nd & Data S
009
R & CAGR
00
17
Services
R)

18. Harew
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Fig
Figure Ta
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,00
#Sub
A
1
1
1
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
gure Tabl
able 11 T
0
000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
00,000
00,000
2
bs. 1,3
#Su
AGR
CAGR
80.0
85.0
90.0
95.0
100.0
105.0
110.0
#Su
m/harewos
le 10 TSE
SEL’s MI
2007
2007
368,290
ubscrib
2008
90.9
90.9
bscrib
Mobil
EL’s MI Su
I Subscrib
2008
200
2,612
bers - T
97%
8
9
9
bers - T
le Internet
ubscriber
ber Grow
2
08
2,000
TSEL
TSEL
, Broadban
rs 2007-2
wth (AGR
2009
2009
5,333,33
(MI)
2009
104.2
97.4
(MI)
nd & Data S
009
& CAGR
33
18
Services
R)

19. Harew
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Fig
Figure Ta
2
4
6
8,
10,
12,
14,0
16,0
#Sub
A
Percentage
rch
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gure Tabl
able 13 TS
0
2,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
2
bs. 9,5
#Sub
AGR
CAGR
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
#Sub
m/harewos
le 12 TSE
SEL’s MD
2007
2007
578,028
bscrib
2
2008
36.4
36.4
bscrib
Mobil
L’s MD S
D Subscri
2008
200
13,059
bers - T
29%
8
4
4
bers - T
le Internet
Subscribe
iber Grow
8
08
9,998
TSEL (
TSEL (
, Broadban
ers 2007-2
wth (AGR
2009
2009
16,000,0
(MD)
2009
22.5
29.2
(MD)
nd & Data S
2009
R & CAGR
000
19
Services
R)

20. Harew
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/www.ligar
ure Table
1,00
2,00
3,00
4,00
5,00
6,00
7,00
8,000
MBB/MI
MI
MD
rch
rvirtual.com
e 14 ISAT
0
00,000
00,000
00,000
00,000
00,000
00,000
0,000
0,000
2
I-I 6
70
4,9
#
m/harewos
’s Mobile
2007E
2007E
62,000
01,298
909,084
#Subsc
Mobil
e Internet
2008E
20
30
1,46
7,30
cribers
le Internet
t & Data S
E
2
008E
5,000
60,410
02,049
s - ISA
, Broadban
I
Subscrib
2009Nov
2009
980
1,93
5,80
AT
nd & Data S
Indo
ers 2007-
9Nov
0,000
3,333
0,000
20
Services
osat
-2009

21. Harew
http://
F
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/www.ligar
Fig
Figure Ta
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
90
1,00
#Sub
A
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
gure Tabl
able 16 IS
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
00,000
00,000
00,000
2
bs. 62
#Sub
AGR
CAGR
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
400.0
450.0
#Sub
m/harewos
le 15 ISAT
SAT’s MI-I
2007
2007
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08
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21
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22. Harew
http://
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Percentage
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able 18 IS
0
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AGR
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m/harewos
ble 17 ISA
SAT’s MI
2007
2007
01,298
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6
2008
108.2
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AT’s MI Su
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2008
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wth (AGR
2009
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22
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23. Harew
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le 19 ISAT
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2008
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24. Harew
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MI
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le 21 XL’s
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20
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25. Harew
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rch
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Table 23 X
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m/harewos
ble 22 XL’
XL’s MI-I
2007
2007
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2008
402.9
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2008
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2009
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26. Harew
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4
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1
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800,000
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AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
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160.0
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m/harewos
ble 24 XL
XL’s MI S
2007
2007
41,971
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2008
135.4
135.4
ubscr
Mobil
L’s MI Sub
Subscribe
2008
200
1,040
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8
4
4
ibers -
le Internet
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er Growt
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08
0,621
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%
- XL (M
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s 2007-200
h (AGR &
2009
2009
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2009
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26
Services

27. Harew
http://
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Fi
Figure T
1,0
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rch
rvirtual.com
igure Tab
Table 27 X
0
000,000
000,000
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00,000
2
bs. 3,0
#Su
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
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m/harewos
ble 26 XL
XL’s MD S
2007
2007
093,800
ubscri
32
2008
68.2
68.2
ubscri
Mobil
L’s MD Su
Subscrib
2008
200
5,203
ibers -
2%
8
2
2
ibers -
le Internet
ubscribers
er Growt
2
08
3,103
- XL (M
XL (M
, Broadban
s 2007-20
th (AGR &
2009
2009
5,400,00
MD)
2009
3.8
32.1
MD)
nd & Data S
09
& CAGR)
00
27
Services

28. 28
Mobile Internet, Broadband & Data Services
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Abbreviations & Notes
AGR Annual Growth Rate
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
2008E End of 2008
2009Nov As of November 2009
MI Mobile Internet
i.e. Internet access via cellular & FWA networks
MI-I Mobile Internet - Intensive
MBB Mobile Broadband
MD Mobile Data
FWA Fixed Wireless Access
TSEL PT. Telekomunikasi Selular (PT. Telkomsel)
TLKM PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (PT. Telkom)
ISAT PT. Indosat
XL PT. Excelcomindo Pratama (XL Axiata)
NTS PT. Natrindo Telepon Selular
Smart PT. Smart Telecom
HCPT PT. Hutchison CP Telecommunication
M-8 PT. Mobile-8