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IDENTIFY RISK AND
APPLY RISK
MANAGEMENT
PROCESSES

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/cswc/6552142213/	
  
Unit Competencies
BSBRSK401A

Identify risk and apply risk management
processes

Identify risks
Analyse and evaluate risks
Treat risks
Monitor and review effectiveness of
risk treatment/s

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/sportrait/3393579769/	
  
Learning Objectives
At the conclusion of this module,
you will be better able to:
Identify risks in a diverse range of
organisational activities
Develop collaborative strategies to
evaluate and mitigate risks
Implement continuous improvement
processes to deal more effectively
with identification, analysis and
mitigation strategies for
organisational risks

h"p-­‐//www.flickr.com/photos/ter-­‐burg/8127175006/	
  
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/leehaywood/4215672566/	
  
It can be a Risky
Business Sometimes

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/geoliv/11313734716/	
  
RISK
is the possibility of events
that may impact
organisational objectives
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/elvire-­‐r/2451784799/	
  

You cannot live your life without risks
Some pay off – big time!!!!

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/geishaboy500/3994803605/	
  
Whilst others – not so well!!!!!

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/darrenkw/7728088440/	
  
LIFE

cannot be lived
without risk
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/foshydog/4780493128/	
  

We are all Risk Managers
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/ejazasi/253032421/	
  

Sometimes we understand and accept risk
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/dvids/2881216357/	
  

At other times we take large precautions
Despite our efforts
it remains impossible to

ELIMINATE
EVERY RISK
RISKS
are everywhere
Health and wellbeing
Job security and payments
Financial arrangements
Relationships
Natural disasters
Rules and regulations
Deliveries and traffic
Disease and accidents
Misadventure and crime
Infrastructure failure
…………………
…………………
…………………
Identifying Risks

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/geoliv/11313734716/	
  
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/12023825@N04/2898021822/	
  

You need to look for risks
Look for risks to your

STRATEGIC
PLANS
Look for risks to your

OPERATIONAL
PLANS
Organisational risks
generally relate to

FINANCIAL
OPERATIONAL &
ENVIRONMENTAL

External risks such as
interest rates,
commodity prices

LEGAL

Internal risks such as
customer payments,
cash flow, asset
depreciation

STRATEGIC
PRIVACY &
INFORMATION
Organisational risks
generally relate to

FINANCIAL
OPERATIONAL &
ENVIRONMENTAL
LEGAL
STRATEGIC
PRIVACY &
INFORMATION

Risks such as illness,
retirement, staff
turnover, equipment
breakdowns, systems
failures, natural
disasters
Organisational risks
generally relate to

FINANCIAL
OPERATIONAL &
ENVIRONMENTAL
LEGAL
STRATEGIC
PRIVACY &
INFORMATION

Risks such contract
disputes, non
compliance with legal
requirements (WHS
standards, FairWork
Aust, etc)
Organisational risks
generally relate to

FINANCIAL
OPERATIONAL &
ENVIRONMENTAL
LEGAL
STRATEGIC
PRIVACY &
INFORMATION

Risks such as changes
in customer demand,
increased competition,
new technologies and
business development
opportunities
Organisational risks
generally relate to

FINANCIAL
OPERATIONAL &
ENVIRONMENTAL
LEGAL
STRATEGIC
PRIVACY &
INFORMATION

Risks such as noncompliance with state
and national privacy
laws on recording,
storing and disposing
of customer
information
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/sonson/422595428/	
  

Brainstorming sessions
review your business plan
and ask as many

WHAT IF?

questions as you can
Flow charting to remove gaps and overlaps

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/jpaxonreyes/6284836564/	
  
Analyse a wide range of
possible future events
and their outcomes

SCENARIO ANALYSIS
economic, political,
legislative and operating
scenarios
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/betobaibich/206960384/	
  

Get out of the office and observe
Ask questions and
listen to people
What are they
thinking?
YOUR TEAM
CUSTOMERS
SUPPLIERS
COMPETITORS
NETWORK
When, where, why, and how
are risks likely to occur
in this organisation?
Are the risks internal,
external or random?
Who might be involved or
affected if this occurs?
ISSUES ARE
NOT RISKS
…but failing to address
them may be

VERY RISKY
Analysing Risks

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/geoliv/11313734716/	
  
What is the likelihood?

What is the predicted outcome?
1

VERY LIKELY

2

LIKELY

3

UNLIKELY

4

HIGHLY UNLIKELY

(could happen frequently)
(could happen, but not frequently)
(could happen, but only rarely)
(could happen, but probably never will)
1

CATASTROPHIC

2

MAJOR

3

MODERATE

4

MINOR

(may ruin the organisation)
(business plans may fail)
(plans may need to be modified )
(can be absorbed - inconvenient)
1

ENORMOUS

2

MAJOR

3

MODERATE

4

MINOR

(may transform the organisation)

(may transform a department)

(may exceed business planning)

(swings and roundabouts)
Risk
Number

Very Likely
(4)

Likely
(3)

Unlikely
(2)

Very Unlikely
(1)

Catastrophic
(4)

High
(16)

High
(12)

Medium
(8)

Low
(4)

11+
Urgent
Remedy

Major
(3)

High
(12)

Medium
(9)

Medium
(6)

Low
(3)

6 – 10
Needs
Action

Moderate
(2)

Medium
(8)

Medium
(6)

Low
(4)

Low
(2)

1–5
No Action

Minor
(1)

Low
(4)

Low
(3)

Low
(2)

Low
(1)
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/dtpancio/7443265772/	
  

We all have our own biases – but you must
deal with the facts and remain objective
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/bilfinger/8271241613/	
  

Who needs to to be involved?
Who needs to be consulted?
Who needs to be informed?
What stakeholders need to be
involved in assessing the risk
Interest levels
Subject matter expertise
Those involved in the activity
Those that may be
impacted downstream
Those that are upstream
that may need to adjust
Your team
Other departments
Customers
Suppliers
Consultants
Statutory bodies
Industry groups
Consultative risk analysis
Delivers far more
predictable outcomes
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/eirikso/2217301198/	
  

I hadn’t been paid for two years
of work in starting Flickr, and
we were running out of money.
The only guy getting paid on
a consistent basis was the guy
with three kids.
We mortgaged our house to put
money back into the company.
So it was both a personal and
professional risk.
It could have gone either way.
Less than six months
after mortgaging their home
Caterina Fake and her
husband Stewart Butterfield
(Flickr co-founders)

SOLD FOR $50M
Happily – they were able
to repay their mortgage
h"p-­‐//www.flickr.com/photos/osde-­‐info/5598738692/	
  

Apple have sold more than 84 million in 3 years
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/newtown_grafiO/4843514662/	
  

Tablets have become
a huge market
People have often queued for hours
Demand has, at times, outstripped supply
Many industry analysts predict
tablets to “take over” from
desktop and laptop computers

Microsoft was so confident
about the market sector that it
developed the “Surface” tablet

Risking significant damage to
relationships with it’s traditional
hardware partners
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/13815526@N02/7796228354/	
  

In July 2013, Microsoft announced a $900M
write-down for unsold stocks
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/g_jewels/4465732486/	
  

Historical information can provide great
insights into “What might go wrong”
Managing Risks

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/geoliv/11313734716/	
  
Risk
Number

Very Likely
(4)

Likely
(3)

Unlikely
(2)

Very Unlikely
(1)

Catastrophic
(4)

High
(16)

High
(12)

Medium
(8)

Low
(4)

11+
Urgent
Remedy

Major
(3)

High
(12)

Medium
(9)

Medium
(6)

Low
(3)

6 – 10
Needs
Action

Moderate
(2)

Medium
(8)

Medium
(6)

Low
(4)

Low
(2)

1–5
No Action

Minor
(1)

Low
(4)

Low
(3)

Low
(2)

Low
(1)
Organisations take steps to

MANAGE RISKS
that they assess as
requiring attention
They establish

CONTINGENCIES
for instances that the
risk may occur
They conduct regular

AUDITS
To ensure they are complying
with proper standards
FINANCIAL RISK
is often managed with
insurances or guarantees
many organisations look
to assign to or share
risk with others
WORKPLACE SAFETY
has a very strong
process following
“Hierarchy of Controls”
Adopting processes and
training & development
to ensure team members
are competent and informed
Governance processes to ensure
issues dealt with at the right level
Procurement processes that include
“rise and fall”, alternative suppliers
enforceable terms and conditions
Marketing resources keep connected
with customer needs and trends
Relationships that focus on
innovations and technology
Business systems that protect
and back-up valuable data
Disaster recovery plans
RISK REGISTERS
are designed to maintain a list of
all known risks and their
respective treatments
CONTROL MEASURES
are the measures that need to be
designed or established to validate the
effectiveness of the treatment
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/zengei/6957553864/	
  

Hard measures are the most reliable
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/jansco"nelson/3364705313/	
  

Soft measures need to be interpreted
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/look_ma_im_flying_pictures/3714888958/	
  

Without effective measures

How will you know
what to look for?
How things are
progressing?
When to make
adjustments
We need to set
measures for the

COST OF RISK
TREATMENTS
and

PREDICTED
BENEFIT
In 2010, volcanic ash from Iceland
cost the airline industry $3.6b
How could they have better managed the risk
Monitor Risk
Management

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/geoliv/11313734716/	
  
Are the risk
treatments working?
are they having the
desired effect?
are there impacts that
were not considered?
are there adjustments
that are required?
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/cuckove/3307152002/	
  

Things can change
VERY RAPIDLY
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/theaterculture/3789545290/	
  

The butterfly effect
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/theaterculture/3789545290/	
  

What impacts
may occur?
There may be downstream impacts
that you didn’t consider
	
  

THE BUTTERFLY EFFECT
Review all risks regularly
Risks not considered to be
serious enough to manage can
become high priority
when circumstances change
How are we
tracking on the
cost of the
risk controls?

Are the agreed
controls providing
the predicted result?

Do we need to make
adjustments?
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/jugrote/2296138797/	
  

WHEN THINGS ARE NOT
GOING AS PLANNED

DON’T PANIC!!!
STAY OBJECTIVE & WORK
THROUGH THE PROBLEMS –
DON’T MAKE THEM WORSE
Reviewing Effectiveness
and Learning Outcomes

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/geoliv/11313734716/	
  
DEAL WITH FACTUAL
INFORMATION FIRST
Only when you have all the facts
do you commence interpreting
Did we execute
what we planned?
What changed and why?
What did the risk treatments cost?
Did the treatment deliver the
anticipated result?
What were the unintended impacts?
Did we identify the correct risks?
Did we analyse them properly?
Did we get the right stakeholders
involved?
Were the risk treatments appropriate?
Did we manage the process
effectively?
Identification
Analysis
Treatment
Management
What have we learned?
What do we need to
do differently next time?

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