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Excellence in Business
The Case for VC and the
Opportunity in Europe
2018
2
Private Equity has historically proven to be the Asset Class with
the Best Risk-Adjusted Return, and within it, Top VCs have
outperformed all other PE strategies
Also, VC is the one that, considering the macroeconomic
environment ahead, remains the most attractive and has the
biggest Upside Potential
Private Equity As the Best Asset Class1
3
Private Equity Has Been, And Is Expected to Be, the Asset Class
with the Best Risk-Adjusted Return
4
 Private Equity is the asset class that has historically yielded the highest returns and is expected to retain
such position during the next 10 years, with an average of 10% annual return.
Historical and Future Expected Returns
9%
4%
6%
9%
13%
5%
1%
3%
6%
10%
Global Equities Cash Fixed Income Real Estate Private Equity
Historical Next 10 Years
(1): Average excluding Private Equity
Source: “Global Private Equity and Venture Capital 2017”, Prequin; “Horizon Q1 2017” Pictet; UBS Asset Management Bloomberg; MIT-CRE; Cambridge Associates; “Guide to Private
Equity and Venture Capital for Pension Funds”, Invest Europe.
Average(1): 7.0%
Average(1): 3.7%
Increase
48%
Maintain
46%
Reduce
6%
Consequently, Private Equity AUM Have Steadily Grown and
Investors Show Increased Interest in It
5
 Private Equity AUM have doubled in the last decade, and investors still show a considerable appetite from
towards the asset class.
Private Equity Assets Under Management Evolution
($tr)
Increasing Investor Appetite for Private Equity
2017 Investor’s Intended PE Allocation
• 94% of portfolio managers intend to maintain
or increase their exposure to PE assets
Sources: “Global Private Equity and Venture Capital 2017”, Prequin; “Horizon Q1 2017” Pictet; UBS Asset Management Bloomberg; MIT-CRE; Cambridge Associates; “Guide to Private Equity and Venture Capital for
Pension Funds”, Invest Europe.
1,2
1,4
1,7
1,9
2,2
2,5
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
• Private Equity AuM have doubled in the last
decade proving a strong appetite for this asset
class
6
Thus, Experts Recommend A 10%-20% Allocation to Private Equity
 Allocating a small portion of any portfolio to Private Equity during the past 20 years would have improved
significantly its risk-adjusted return.
40%
60%
Traditional Portfolio
40%
40%
20%
Portfolio With Private Equity
Bonds Stocks Private Equity
7,1%
5,7%
8,9%
4,8%
Return Volatility
Traditional Portfolio Portfolio with Private Equity
25% Return
Enhancement
16% Risk Reduction
Sources: “An Overview of Private Equity Investing” 2017, Voya.
20 last years Performance of a Portfolio With & Without a 20% Allocation to Private Equity
Breaking Down Private Equity Returns3
7
Sources of Value Creation by Type of Private Equity
 Buy-Out and Infrastructure obtain much of their return from the leverage embedded in their transactions.
Unlike these, VC’s main source of return is the innovative nature of the companies it invests in.
8
• Normally, VC is not exposed to debt. Other PE
strategies obtain much of their return from debt-
to-equity optimisation
• There is a good amount of management in VC
although not as important as it can be in buy-
out strategies. VC relies more on the
entrepreneur selection
• Early stages have more market imperfection
because selection is more difficult. There is a lot
to gain from it as compared to other PE
strategies

✓Source of Value Creation
Not a Source of Value Creation
Implications for VC
• VC invests in innovative companies that add
value via the increase in productivity, gaining
market share from zero or simply creating new
sectors. Much more than any other PE strategy
Leverage
Value from debt to equity
optimisation (low interest rates)
Active Ownership
Value from control and active
management
Arbitrage & Selection
Value from selection processes,
including price and terms
arbitrage
Innovation & Technology
Value from technology
breakthroughs
Lobbying & Regulation
Value from lobbying and
optimising around regulatory
frameworks
Venture
Capital
Buy-Out Infrastructure
 ✓ ✓✓
✓ ✓✓ 
✓✓ ✓ 
✓✓  
 ✓ ✓✓
• As all strategies, VC is impacted by regulation.
But the value does not come from playing with
regulation (i.e. tariff controls, etc)
Cheap Credit and Historically High Market Prices Have Fuelled Buy-
Out Returns, but ECB’s Growth Predictions Have Now Been Going
Down for +10y
 With low interest rates, buy-out funds have found cheap credit and obtained significant returns, also helped
by Market Prices, which are currently over turmoil situation levels, allowing for little room for growth. GDP
and Productivity growths are expected to shrink during the next years. By investing in traditional companies,
investors cannot expect anything much better than 1-2%.
9
Source: Thomson Reuters.
(1) CAPE Ratio or Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio: Price to earnings ratio that considers today’s price and the average inflation-adjusted earnings of the last 10 years.
(2) European Central Bank.
Low Interest Rates Vs. Buy-Out Returns & Market Prices
Rebasedto100
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
feb.-07
ago.-07
feb.-08
ago.-08
feb.-09
ago.-09
feb.-10
ago.-10
feb.-11
ago.-11
feb.-12
ago.-12
feb.-13
ago.-13
feb.-14
ago.-14
feb.-15
ago.-15
feb.-16
ago.-16
feb.-17
ago.-17
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Fed Funds Rate (RHS) Private Equity Index (LHS)
10 year CAPE Ratio (LHS)
+550%
31.3x
27.3x
Current
10y CAPE Ratio(1)
Pre-Financial
Crisis
10y CAPE Ratio(1)
ECB(2) Real GDP Growth Forecasts
(GDP Growth 5 years ahead)
ECB(2) Productivity Growth Forecasts
(Productivity Growth 10 years ahead)
0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
1,5%
2,0%
2,5%
3,0%
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
1.7%
0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
1,5%
2,0%
2,5%
3,0%
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
1.4%
The Opportunity Is to Be Invested in Companies that Profit from
Technology Breakthroughs
 Mobile Broadband Subscriptions are expected to grow by 50% during the next 6 years, creating
numerous opportunities that companies driving future technology breakthroughs can benefit from, just
like Amazon, Netflix, Airbnb or Uber are doing today.
10
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report November 2017.
Mobile Broadband Subscriptions
(bn)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
8.5bn
Blockchain
Artificial
Intelligence
Internet of
Things
Autonomous
Vehicles
3D and 4D
Printing
Technologies
• Uber disintermediated
the traditional taxi
service by putting in
contact part-time
drivers with willing
clients in a more
effective way$62bn
• Amazon changed, and
is still changing, the
retail industry with a
huge offer, low prices
and a high quality
customer service
• Netflix turned its
business model from
mailing DVD to
delivering video
content online and
eventually killed Block
Buster
• Airbnb leveraged on
hotels’ high prices to
connect prospective
guests with people
that wanted to share
their houses and make
an income out of them
$523bn $86bn
$31bn
5.8bn
c. 50%
11
VC’s Nature Allows for More Value Added and Potential Upside
 When properly executed, VC backs companies that not only have higher potential upside but also permit
to achieve more beneficious deals with regard to valuation and terms.
Skills
Direct VC Experience
Sourcing & Screening Power
Multi-Sector Know How
Due Diligence Capabilities
Valuation
Time
Venture & Growth Capital Buy-Out
Enormous
Potential
Upside
• To capitalize on the opportunity VC, the skills that
only firms with direct VC expertise can provide, are
a must-have
Company Lifecycle and Valuation Necessary Skills to Invest in VC
• VC offers a much greater upside potential but VC experience is
required, since the investment process is much more qualitative
1
2
3
4
12
All in, VC Turns Out to Be the Strategy with the Strongest and
Most Solid Fundamentals
 Venture Capital is set to benefit from strong fundamentals.
Potentiality Map
MarketTrendStrength
Value Creation Potential
Innovation
&
Technology
Leverage
Lobbying
&
Regulation
Active
Ownership
Arbitrage
&
Selection
Venture
Capital
Leveraged
Buy-Out
Infrastructure
Infrastructure Average: 14.6%
The Opportunity Is Such that, Even in a Context Most Favorable to
Buy-Out, Top VCs Have Outperformed All Other PE Strategies
13
Top Quartile IRRs from Vintage Year until 2016: VC vs. Other Private Equity Strategies
(Net IRR for Investors up to 2016)
18,00%
24,50%
27,50%
29,20% 29,60%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2008-16 2009-16 2010-16 2011-16 2012-16
Venture Capital Buyout Distressed Private Equity
Buyout Average: 22.1%
VC Average: 25.8%
Source: “Global Private Equity and Venture Capital 2016”, Prequin; Dealroom.
 Despite the cheap credit availability that has fueled Private Equity strategies like Buy-Out, Upper Quartile
VC Funds consistently outperform their upper quartile counterparts, providing greater upside potential.
Fund Vintage - 2016
32%
28%
27%
25%
26%
21%
20%
23%
31%
35%
38%
41%
33%
34%
32%
40%39%
28%27%
58%
64%
41%
35%
38%
46%
29%
34%
45%
43%
29%
44%
54%
52%
48%
63%
62%
61%
14
Backing an Evermore Bigger Number of Successful Companies
 VC has backed innovative ideas behind some of the most important companies, contributing to the
development and the improvement of the welfare status, showing no regard or preference in terms of
industry.
Percentage of VC-Backed IPOs 1980-2016
Source: Forbes, Crunchbase, CNBC, Damodaran Research.
(1) As of December 2017.
Today’s Top 5 Global Largest Companies by Market Cap(1) were all backed by VC
1980 1986 1997 2004 2011
The VC Opportunity Is in Europe4
15
16
European Society Has Shifted Towards Entrepreneurship
 Europe has acquired a strong Entrepreneurial Mindset with a great acceptance of entrepreneurship as a
career path and a high rate of repeat founders with a greater acquired experience.
Evolution of Entrepreneurs by Geography
(Percentage of Entrepreneurs over Working Age Population)
Sources: Atomico Survey.
(1) Total Entrepreneurial Activity –Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2002 - 2016
of Students think that Entrepreneurship is a valid
career path
79%
85%
of Students are optimistic or think that European
Tech Ecosystem is going to remain about the same
82%
Entrepreneurship is Taught in the Best Universities
5%
7%
10%
6% 6%
7%
5%
6% 6%
5%
5%
8%
2002 2009 2016
Eastern Nordic Southern Western
Acceptance Rate between women, 2% more than in
men
Average 5% 6% 8%
• European Entrepreneurship has almost multiplied by 2x in
the last years, reaching about 8% of working age population
1,1
9,7
0,5
4,5
Graduates Per Annum Graduates Last 10 Years
There Is an Unparalleled Engineering and Science Talent Pool in
Europe
 Europe has an unprecedented ecosystem of talent that has been backed by world-class academic
institutions, which are currently producing significantly more talented professionals, focused on the tech
industry, than the US.
17
5 of World’s Top 10 Computer Science Institutions
are European
c. 5m
Source: Atomico, Eurostat.
Developers By Hub
71.497
9.990
27.333
40.538
15.915
9.586
11.346
22.944
83.262
London
Lisbon
Madrid
Paris
Berlin
Oslo
Stockholm
Istanbul
San Francisco
Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics
(“STEM”) Graduates
c.
0.5m
Global Rank Institution Location
1 ETH Zurich
3 Oxford Oxford
7 Imperial College London
8 EPF Lausanne
9 TU Munich Munich208.429
17
19
1
2
18
Europe is the Largest Developed and Integrated Market
 Europe is the largest developed and integrated market and the best positioned for technology
development due to its impressive size in terms of GDP, Internet Users and Smartphone Users.
321
510
1
2
Population
(Millions of people)
176
228
1
2
Smartphone Users
(Millions of people)
GDP
(PPP, $tr)
Internet users
(Millions of people)
279
405
1
2
Europe is the Largest Developed Market(1)
Source: World Bank, Atomico.
(1) Europe includes EU, Switzerland and Israel.
Benefits of an Integrated Market
Free Capital Movement
Unrestricted Commerce
Unique Regulatory
Environment
Strong Investor Protection
Pan-European Financial
Institutions
Cost-Effective Advantages
1
2
3
4
5
6
European VC Industry has Been Built over the past 20 Years,
With Stable Teams Capable of Exploiting the Opportunity
 VC teams in Europe have developed a solid experience of c. 10 years proving their ability to select the
best investment opportunities given that they have been through several economic cycles and
understand the challenges involved in the sourcing and selection of the best alternatives.
19
Currently Active European VC Firms by Founding Period
European VC Funds with +10 Years of Experience(1)
5%
16%
25%
31%
22%
1990 - 1994 1995 - 1990 2000 - 2004 2005 - 2009 2010 - 2015
c. 80% of the European VC industry already
has more than 10 years of experience
Source: Invest Europe.
(1) Non-exhaustive list.
Founding Period
Results
1.311
308
265
240
229
179
134
118
78
GreenTech & Transport
Energy Efficiency
Education & Support
Agriculture & Food
HealthTech
ICT
DeepTech
General Innovation
Security & Public Services
And Public Institutions Will Continue Supporting Entrepreneurship
20
 European Union Programs represent only c. 10% of Public Investment in Europe. The Union will keep
supporting entrepreneurship in Europe, as it has done historically, fuelling many successful businesses.
Source: European Commission
Europe 2020 Initiative is Fuelling Entrepreneurship Post-2020 Europe Investment Plan
Total 2016
Allocation to SMEs
through innovation
programmes
€2.9bn
2020 2027
Horizon 2020 Funding by Topic in 2016
(In €m) High Quality
Proposals Funded
Expected Impact in
the European
Economy
Research &
Innovation
Investment Long-
Term Objective
€80bn of Public Investments €120bn in Public Investments2014
• Focused on Entrepreneurship and Innovation, Horizon 2020 is
“Europe 2020 Initiative” flagship program to support SMEs
Exemplary Program within “Europe 2020”
Achieve a 33% of proposals
funded
(vs. current 20%)
€400bn by 2030
3% of the EU’s GDP,
compared to the current 2%
1
• Mobile, Telecom,
Healthcare and Software
Not Surprisingly, Europe Is Already One of the Largest Global
Tech Hubs…
 Europe has been able to develop some of the most powerful tech hubs globally.
(1) Also includes Rhein-Main-Neckar.
(2) Taking into account Cambridge Area too.
Amsterdam & Eindhoven
The Netherlands
• Amsterdam: ICT / Life
Sciences
• Eindhoven: Green Tech and
software
Antwerp & Burssels
Belgium
• Life Sciences
Zurich
Switzerland
• Medtech and pharma / life
sciences
Paris
France
• Media, advertising, e-
commerce, sharing
economy, AI
London & Dublin(2)
UK and Ireland
• Cambridge: Biotech,
wireless
• Dublin: Medtech, hardware
• London: Consumer, finance
Stockholm
Sweden
• Telecoms, Peer to Peer,
Software
Helsinki
Finland
• Mobile telecoms, gaming,
open source
Copenhagen
Denmark
• Life sciences
21
Berlin & Munich(1)
Germany
• Berlin: ICT / Life Sciences
• Munich: Hardaware,
software
• Rhein: IT
Tel Aviv
Israel
Barcelona
Spain
• Mobile Telecom, E-
Comerce, Gaming and
Software
10
11
9
1 2 3 4 5
6
7
8
2
3
4
5
6
7
9
8
10
11
…with a Large Deep Tech Startup Ecosystem
22
 Europe is thriving with deep tech companies, closing the gap between the continental and American
startup ecosystems. However, European deep tech startups lack the funding levels strengthening US
companies.
Deep Tech Startups Founded since 2011
(Cumulative number of companies)
490
950
687
1252
2011-2013 2014-2016
Europe US
94% increase
• Between these two periods European deep tech startups have
increased at a 94% rate compared to an 82% increase in US
deep tech startups
Source: The State of European Tech 2016 – Atomico.
(1) Data for 9 months only during 2016.
Deep Tech Investment and Exits in Europe(1)
($m Capital Invested and Number of Deals)
• $2.3bn has been invested in Deep Tech since the start of
2015, a 4x increase since 2011
289
244
470
718
1.328
935
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F
82
55
160
218
296
282
Capital Invested ($m) Number of Deals
23
Able to Build Extremely Successful Precedents
 Some of the most successful startups globally have been developed within the European VC landscape
and each year a greater number of European companies achieve this condition, continuing a clear growth
trend.
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase and GP Bullhound Research.
European Extremely Successful Cases Evolution up to 2018
(Number of companies with a valuation over $1bn)
7
37
70
Up to 2010 Up to 2014 Up to 2018
mobli
+30
+33
…And a Proven VC Track Record
24
 Venture Capital Teams in Europe have developed a solid experience and have proven to give consistent
and increasing double-digit returns.
(1) Source: The Acceleration Point - Invest Europe. Data as of end of 2015.
(2) Non-exhaustive list.
1,8
4,9
5,3
4
10,2
11,6
14,9
13,3
181
273
312
363
383
529
539
418
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Exit Value # of Exits
European VC-Backed Exits
(€bn and Number of Exits)
CAGR 33%
10 18 17 11 27 22 28 32
Average Exit Value (€m/exits)
Double-Digit Net Fund Returns in EIF’s VC Portfolio
(Net Fund IRR since 2007)
33%
23%
16%
66%66%66%
46%
32%
27%
Top 10 FundsTop 20 FundsTop 30 Funds
IRR Boundary Median
3,8 3,8
5,1
5,5
6,4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
This Attractiveness is Already Being Perceived by Investors
25
 Larger European VC Funds and increased fundraising are finally giving the industry enough scale to
commit Pan-European investments and achieve higher returns.
Source: Invest Europe, EDC, Atomico, Pitchbook 1Q 2017 European Venture Report.
• Europe’s VC industry is coming off two record fundraising years
in which more than €17bn was raised. Before 2015, only in one
year (2008) fundraising had surpassed €6,5bn
• During Q1 2017 the industry raised €2.1bn setting the pace for a
>€8bn fundraising for the third consecutive year
48
66 64
108
127
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CAGR 14% CAGR 28%
• European VC Funds are now able to push for the winners
in later funding rounds and support the companies in
turnaround situations
Incremental Fundraising by European VC Funds
(€bn)
Mean Fund Size Evolution
(€m)
1.10x
0.78x
1.58x
1.89x
2005-2010 2011-2015
Conclusion: European VC’s Potential Is Being Untapped
26
 European VC Ecosystem offers significant room for growth and represents an attractive alternative
to the US VC market, being the improvement in performance of European VCs a proof of it.
Sources: “Global Private Equity and Venture Capital” 2016, Preqin; NVCA; EVCA; Northzone Ventures and IMF.
United States Europe
20,2 19,7
77
20
United States EuropeSize of the Economy (GDP in $tr)
VC Investments during 2017 (in $bn)
Roomfor
growth
2005-2010 2005-2010 2011-20152011-2015
Economy Size
Vs. Amount of
VC Investments
Venture Fund
Exit Value /
Capital
Commitments
• The economies of the US and Europe are
similar in size but VC investment differs
greatly
• There is significant room for growth in VC
investment in Europe
• From 2011 to 2015 Europe has been able
to deliver more returns on capital
commitments than the US
Excellence in Business
DELHI
Level 12, Building No. 8,
Tower C, DLF Cybercity Phase
II, Gurgaon 122002
Tel: +91 981 9704732
MADRID (HQ)
Sagasta, 18
28004, Madrid
Tel: +34 91 310 2894
BOGOTA
Calle 87 No. 10 – 93 Of 701,
Bogotá D.C.
Tel: +571 635 30 07
MEXICO D.F.
Lamartine 711, Chapultepec
Morales-Polanco-
México, D.F. 11580
Tel: +52 55 52034430
SEVILLE
Fernández de Rivera, 32
41005, Seville
Tel: +34 671548201
ISTANBUL
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Emirgan 34467
Tel: +90 212 277 70 47
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floor, 33131 Miami, Florida
Tel: +1 786 600 1462
www.axonpartnersgroup.com

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The Case for Venture Capital and the Opportunity in Europe

  • 1. Excellence in Business The Case for VC and the Opportunity in Europe 2018
  • 2. 2 Private Equity has historically proven to be the Asset Class with the Best Risk-Adjusted Return, and within it, Top VCs have outperformed all other PE strategies Also, VC is the one that, considering the macroeconomic environment ahead, remains the most attractive and has the biggest Upside Potential
  • 3. Private Equity As the Best Asset Class1 3
  • 4. Private Equity Has Been, And Is Expected to Be, the Asset Class with the Best Risk-Adjusted Return 4  Private Equity is the asset class that has historically yielded the highest returns and is expected to retain such position during the next 10 years, with an average of 10% annual return. Historical and Future Expected Returns 9% 4% 6% 9% 13% 5% 1% 3% 6% 10% Global Equities Cash Fixed Income Real Estate Private Equity Historical Next 10 Years (1): Average excluding Private Equity Source: “Global Private Equity and Venture Capital 2017”, Prequin; “Horizon Q1 2017” Pictet; UBS Asset Management Bloomberg; MIT-CRE; Cambridge Associates; “Guide to Private Equity and Venture Capital for Pension Funds”, Invest Europe. Average(1): 7.0% Average(1): 3.7%
  • 5. Increase 48% Maintain 46% Reduce 6% Consequently, Private Equity AUM Have Steadily Grown and Investors Show Increased Interest in It 5  Private Equity AUM have doubled in the last decade, and investors still show a considerable appetite from towards the asset class. Private Equity Assets Under Management Evolution ($tr) Increasing Investor Appetite for Private Equity 2017 Investor’s Intended PE Allocation • 94% of portfolio managers intend to maintain or increase their exposure to PE assets Sources: “Global Private Equity and Venture Capital 2017”, Prequin; “Horizon Q1 2017” Pictet; UBS Asset Management Bloomberg; MIT-CRE; Cambridge Associates; “Guide to Private Equity and Venture Capital for Pension Funds”, Invest Europe. 1,2 1,4 1,7 1,9 2,2 2,5 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 • Private Equity AuM have doubled in the last decade proving a strong appetite for this asset class
  • 6. 6 Thus, Experts Recommend A 10%-20% Allocation to Private Equity  Allocating a small portion of any portfolio to Private Equity during the past 20 years would have improved significantly its risk-adjusted return. 40% 60% Traditional Portfolio 40% 40% 20% Portfolio With Private Equity Bonds Stocks Private Equity 7,1% 5,7% 8,9% 4,8% Return Volatility Traditional Portfolio Portfolio with Private Equity 25% Return Enhancement 16% Risk Reduction Sources: “An Overview of Private Equity Investing” 2017, Voya. 20 last years Performance of a Portfolio With & Without a 20% Allocation to Private Equity
  • 7. Breaking Down Private Equity Returns3 7
  • 8. Sources of Value Creation by Type of Private Equity  Buy-Out and Infrastructure obtain much of their return from the leverage embedded in their transactions. Unlike these, VC’s main source of return is the innovative nature of the companies it invests in. 8 • Normally, VC is not exposed to debt. Other PE strategies obtain much of their return from debt- to-equity optimisation • There is a good amount of management in VC although not as important as it can be in buy- out strategies. VC relies more on the entrepreneur selection • Early stages have more market imperfection because selection is more difficult. There is a lot to gain from it as compared to other PE strategies  ✓Source of Value Creation Not a Source of Value Creation Implications for VC • VC invests in innovative companies that add value via the increase in productivity, gaining market share from zero or simply creating new sectors. Much more than any other PE strategy Leverage Value from debt to equity optimisation (low interest rates) Active Ownership Value from control and active management Arbitrage & Selection Value from selection processes, including price and terms arbitrage Innovation & Technology Value from technology breakthroughs Lobbying & Regulation Value from lobbying and optimising around regulatory frameworks Venture Capital Buy-Out Infrastructure  ✓ ✓✓ ✓ ✓✓  ✓✓ ✓  ✓✓    ✓ ✓✓ • As all strategies, VC is impacted by regulation. But the value does not come from playing with regulation (i.e. tariff controls, etc)
  • 9. Cheap Credit and Historically High Market Prices Have Fuelled Buy- Out Returns, but ECB’s Growth Predictions Have Now Been Going Down for +10y  With low interest rates, buy-out funds have found cheap credit and obtained significant returns, also helped by Market Prices, which are currently over turmoil situation levels, allowing for little room for growth. GDP and Productivity growths are expected to shrink during the next years. By investing in traditional companies, investors cannot expect anything much better than 1-2%. 9 Source: Thomson Reuters. (1) CAPE Ratio or Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio: Price to earnings ratio that considers today’s price and the average inflation-adjusted earnings of the last 10 years. (2) European Central Bank. Low Interest Rates Vs. Buy-Out Returns & Market Prices Rebasedto100 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 feb.-07 ago.-07 feb.-08 ago.-08 feb.-09 ago.-09 feb.-10 ago.-10 feb.-11 ago.-11 feb.-12 ago.-12 feb.-13 ago.-13 feb.-14 ago.-14 feb.-15 ago.-15 feb.-16 ago.-16 feb.-17 ago.-17 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Fed Funds Rate (RHS) Private Equity Index (LHS) 10 year CAPE Ratio (LHS) +550% 31.3x 27.3x Current 10y CAPE Ratio(1) Pre-Financial Crisis 10y CAPE Ratio(1) ECB(2) Real GDP Growth Forecasts (GDP Growth 5 years ahead) ECB(2) Productivity Growth Forecasts (Productivity Growth 10 years ahead) 0,0% 0,5% 1,0% 1,5% 2,0% 2,5% 3,0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1.7% 0,0% 0,5% 1,0% 1,5% 2,0% 2,5% 3,0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1.4%
  • 10. The Opportunity Is to Be Invested in Companies that Profit from Technology Breakthroughs  Mobile Broadband Subscriptions are expected to grow by 50% during the next 6 years, creating numerous opportunities that companies driving future technology breakthroughs can benefit from, just like Amazon, Netflix, Airbnb or Uber are doing today. 10 Source: Ericsson Mobility Report November 2017. Mobile Broadband Subscriptions (bn) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 8.5bn Blockchain Artificial Intelligence Internet of Things Autonomous Vehicles 3D and 4D Printing Technologies • Uber disintermediated the traditional taxi service by putting in contact part-time drivers with willing clients in a more effective way$62bn • Amazon changed, and is still changing, the retail industry with a huge offer, low prices and a high quality customer service • Netflix turned its business model from mailing DVD to delivering video content online and eventually killed Block Buster • Airbnb leveraged on hotels’ high prices to connect prospective guests with people that wanted to share their houses and make an income out of them $523bn $86bn $31bn 5.8bn c. 50%
  • 11. 11 VC’s Nature Allows for More Value Added and Potential Upside  When properly executed, VC backs companies that not only have higher potential upside but also permit to achieve more beneficious deals with regard to valuation and terms. Skills Direct VC Experience Sourcing & Screening Power Multi-Sector Know How Due Diligence Capabilities Valuation Time Venture & Growth Capital Buy-Out Enormous Potential Upside • To capitalize on the opportunity VC, the skills that only firms with direct VC expertise can provide, are a must-have Company Lifecycle and Valuation Necessary Skills to Invest in VC • VC offers a much greater upside potential but VC experience is required, since the investment process is much more qualitative 1 2 3 4
  • 12. 12 All in, VC Turns Out to Be the Strategy with the Strongest and Most Solid Fundamentals  Venture Capital is set to benefit from strong fundamentals. Potentiality Map MarketTrendStrength Value Creation Potential Innovation & Technology Leverage Lobbying & Regulation Active Ownership Arbitrage & Selection Venture Capital Leveraged Buy-Out Infrastructure
  • 13. Infrastructure Average: 14.6% The Opportunity Is Such that, Even in a Context Most Favorable to Buy-Out, Top VCs Have Outperformed All Other PE Strategies 13 Top Quartile IRRs from Vintage Year until 2016: VC vs. Other Private Equity Strategies (Net IRR for Investors up to 2016) 18,00% 24,50% 27,50% 29,20% 29,60% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 2008-16 2009-16 2010-16 2011-16 2012-16 Venture Capital Buyout Distressed Private Equity Buyout Average: 22.1% VC Average: 25.8% Source: “Global Private Equity and Venture Capital 2016”, Prequin; Dealroom.  Despite the cheap credit availability that has fueled Private Equity strategies like Buy-Out, Upper Quartile VC Funds consistently outperform their upper quartile counterparts, providing greater upside potential. Fund Vintage - 2016
  • 14. 32% 28% 27% 25% 26% 21% 20% 23% 31% 35% 38% 41% 33% 34% 32% 40%39% 28%27% 58% 64% 41% 35% 38% 46% 29% 34% 45% 43% 29% 44% 54% 52% 48% 63% 62% 61% 14 Backing an Evermore Bigger Number of Successful Companies  VC has backed innovative ideas behind some of the most important companies, contributing to the development and the improvement of the welfare status, showing no regard or preference in terms of industry. Percentage of VC-Backed IPOs 1980-2016 Source: Forbes, Crunchbase, CNBC, Damodaran Research. (1) As of December 2017. Today’s Top 5 Global Largest Companies by Market Cap(1) were all backed by VC 1980 1986 1997 2004 2011
  • 15. The VC Opportunity Is in Europe4 15
  • 16. 16 European Society Has Shifted Towards Entrepreneurship  Europe has acquired a strong Entrepreneurial Mindset with a great acceptance of entrepreneurship as a career path and a high rate of repeat founders with a greater acquired experience. Evolution of Entrepreneurs by Geography (Percentage of Entrepreneurs over Working Age Population) Sources: Atomico Survey. (1) Total Entrepreneurial Activity –Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2002 - 2016 of Students think that Entrepreneurship is a valid career path 79% 85% of Students are optimistic or think that European Tech Ecosystem is going to remain about the same 82% Entrepreneurship is Taught in the Best Universities 5% 7% 10% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 8% 2002 2009 2016 Eastern Nordic Southern Western Acceptance Rate between women, 2% more than in men Average 5% 6% 8% • European Entrepreneurship has almost multiplied by 2x in the last years, reaching about 8% of working age population
  • 17. 1,1 9,7 0,5 4,5 Graduates Per Annum Graduates Last 10 Years There Is an Unparalleled Engineering and Science Talent Pool in Europe  Europe has an unprecedented ecosystem of talent that has been backed by world-class academic institutions, which are currently producing significantly more talented professionals, focused on the tech industry, than the US. 17 5 of World’s Top 10 Computer Science Institutions are European c. 5m Source: Atomico, Eurostat. Developers By Hub 71.497 9.990 27.333 40.538 15.915 9.586 11.346 22.944 83.262 London Lisbon Madrid Paris Berlin Oslo Stockholm Istanbul San Francisco Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (“STEM”) Graduates c. 0.5m Global Rank Institution Location 1 ETH Zurich 3 Oxford Oxford 7 Imperial College London 8 EPF Lausanne 9 TU Munich Munich208.429
  • 18. 17 19 1 2 18 Europe is the Largest Developed and Integrated Market  Europe is the largest developed and integrated market and the best positioned for technology development due to its impressive size in terms of GDP, Internet Users and Smartphone Users. 321 510 1 2 Population (Millions of people) 176 228 1 2 Smartphone Users (Millions of people) GDP (PPP, $tr) Internet users (Millions of people) 279 405 1 2 Europe is the Largest Developed Market(1) Source: World Bank, Atomico. (1) Europe includes EU, Switzerland and Israel. Benefits of an Integrated Market Free Capital Movement Unrestricted Commerce Unique Regulatory Environment Strong Investor Protection Pan-European Financial Institutions Cost-Effective Advantages 1 2 3 4 5 6
  • 19. European VC Industry has Been Built over the past 20 Years, With Stable Teams Capable of Exploiting the Opportunity  VC teams in Europe have developed a solid experience of c. 10 years proving their ability to select the best investment opportunities given that they have been through several economic cycles and understand the challenges involved in the sourcing and selection of the best alternatives. 19 Currently Active European VC Firms by Founding Period European VC Funds with +10 Years of Experience(1) 5% 16% 25% 31% 22% 1990 - 1994 1995 - 1990 2000 - 2004 2005 - 2009 2010 - 2015 c. 80% of the European VC industry already has more than 10 years of experience Source: Invest Europe. (1) Non-exhaustive list. Founding Period
  • 20. Results 1.311 308 265 240 229 179 134 118 78 GreenTech & Transport Energy Efficiency Education & Support Agriculture & Food HealthTech ICT DeepTech General Innovation Security & Public Services And Public Institutions Will Continue Supporting Entrepreneurship 20  European Union Programs represent only c. 10% of Public Investment in Europe. The Union will keep supporting entrepreneurship in Europe, as it has done historically, fuelling many successful businesses. Source: European Commission Europe 2020 Initiative is Fuelling Entrepreneurship Post-2020 Europe Investment Plan Total 2016 Allocation to SMEs through innovation programmes €2.9bn 2020 2027 Horizon 2020 Funding by Topic in 2016 (In €m) High Quality Proposals Funded Expected Impact in the European Economy Research & Innovation Investment Long- Term Objective €80bn of Public Investments €120bn in Public Investments2014 • Focused on Entrepreneurship and Innovation, Horizon 2020 is “Europe 2020 Initiative” flagship program to support SMEs Exemplary Program within “Europe 2020” Achieve a 33% of proposals funded (vs. current 20%) €400bn by 2030 3% of the EU’s GDP, compared to the current 2%
  • 21. 1 • Mobile, Telecom, Healthcare and Software Not Surprisingly, Europe Is Already One of the Largest Global Tech Hubs…  Europe has been able to develop some of the most powerful tech hubs globally. (1) Also includes Rhein-Main-Neckar. (2) Taking into account Cambridge Area too. Amsterdam & Eindhoven The Netherlands • Amsterdam: ICT / Life Sciences • Eindhoven: Green Tech and software Antwerp & Burssels Belgium • Life Sciences Zurich Switzerland • Medtech and pharma / life sciences Paris France • Media, advertising, e- commerce, sharing economy, AI London & Dublin(2) UK and Ireland • Cambridge: Biotech, wireless • Dublin: Medtech, hardware • London: Consumer, finance Stockholm Sweden • Telecoms, Peer to Peer, Software Helsinki Finland • Mobile telecoms, gaming, open source Copenhagen Denmark • Life sciences 21 Berlin & Munich(1) Germany • Berlin: ICT / Life Sciences • Munich: Hardaware, software • Rhein: IT Tel Aviv Israel Barcelona Spain • Mobile Telecom, E- Comerce, Gaming and Software 10 11 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 8 10 11
  • 22. …with a Large Deep Tech Startup Ecosystem 22  Europe is thriving with deep tech companies, closing the gap between the continental and American startup ecosystems. However, European deep tech startups lack the funding levels strengthening US companies. Deep Tech Startups Founded since 2011 (Cumulative number of companies) 490 950 687 1252 2011-2013 2014-2016 Europe US 94% increase • Between these two periods European deep tech startups have increased at a 94% rate compared to an 82% increase in US deep tech startups Source: The State of European Tech 2016 – Atomico. (1) Data for 9 months only during 2016. Deep Tech Investment and Exits in Europe(1) ($m Capital Invested and Number of Deals) • $2.3bn has been invested in Deep Tech since the start of 2015, a 4x increase since 2011 289 244 470 718 1.328 935 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F 82 55 160 218 296 282 Capital Invested ($m) Number of Deals
  • 23. 23 Able to Build Extremely Successful Precedents  Some of the most successful startups globally have been developed within the European VC landscape and each year a greater number of European companies achieve this condition, continuing a clear growth trend. Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase and GP Bullhound Research. European Extremely Successful Cases Evolution up to 2018 (Number of companies with a valuation over $1bn) 7 37 70 Up to 2010 Up to 2014 Up to 2018 mobli +30 +33
  • 24. …And a Proven VC Track Record 24  Venture Capital Teams in Europe have developed a solid experience and have proven to give consistent and increasing double-digit returns. (1) Source: The Acceleration Point - Invest Europe. Data as of end of 2015. (2) Non-exhaustive list. 1,8 4,9 5,3 4 10,2 11,6 14,9 13,3 181 273 312 363 383 529 539 418 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Exit Value # of Exits European VC-Backed Exits (€bn and Number of Exits) CAGR 33% 10 18 17 11 27 22 28 32 Average Exit Value (€m/exits) Double-Digit Net Fund Returns in EIF’s VC Portfolio (Net Fund IRR since 2007) 33% 23% 16% 66%66%66% 46% 32% 27% Top 10 FundsTop 20 FundsTop 30 Funds IRR Boundary Median
  • 25. 3,8 3,8 5,1 5,5 6,4 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 This Attractiveness is Already Being Perceived by Investors 25  Larger European VC Funds and increased fundraising are finally giving the industry enough scale to commit Pan-European investments and achieve higher returns. Source: Invest Europe, EDC, Atomico, Pitchbook 1Q 2017 European Venture Report. • Europe’s VC industry is coming off two record fundraising years in which more than €17bn was raised. Before 2015, only in one year (2008) fundraising had surpassed €6,5bn • During Q1 2017 the industry raised €2.1bn setting the pace for a >€8bn fundraising for the third consecutive year 48 66 64 108 127 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 CAGR 14% CAGR 28% • European VC Funds are now able to push for the winners in later funding rounds and support the companies in turnaround situations Incremental Fundraising by European VC Funds (€bn) Mean Fund Size Evolution (€m)
  • 26. 1.10x 0.78x 1.58x 1.89x 2005-2010 2011-2015 Conclusion: European VC’s Potential Is Being Untapped 26  European VC Ecosystem offers significant room for growth and represents an attractive alternative to the US VC market, being the improvement in performance of European VCs a proof of it. Sources: “Global Private Equity and Venture Capital” 2016, Preqin; NVCA; EVCA; Northzone Ventures and IMF. United States Europe 20,2 19,7 77 20 United States EuropeSize of the Economy (GDP in $tr) VC Investments during 2017 (in $bn) Roomfor growth 2005-2010 2005-2010 2011-20152011-2015 Economy Size Vs. Amount of VC Investments Venture Fund Exit Value / Capital Commitments • The economies of the US and Europe are similar in size but VC investment differs greatly • There is significant room for growth in VC investment in Europe • From 2011 to 2015 Europe has been able to deliver more returns on capital commitments than the US
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