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Inflation

Definition, types and causes of
             inflation
Areas to focus on
What Is Inflation?
• Inflation is an increase in the average level of prices, not
  a change in any specific price.
• Inflation is a phenomenon whereby general price level
  rises persistently.
• According to Prof. Crowther,
• “Inflation is a state in which the value of the money falls
  and price level persistently rises.”
• Prof. Ackly, “inflation is a persistent and appreciable rise
  in the general value of average prices”.
• Prof. Piguo, “inflation takes place when price level
  expands more proportion to output”.
Types of inflation on the basis of
               inflation rate
• Creeping inflation
• A situation in which the rise in general price level is at
  a very slow rate over a period of time. Under creeping
  inflation, the price level rises up to a rate of 2 percent
  per annum. A mild inflation is generally considered a
  necessary condition of economic growth.

• Walking inflation. Walking inflation is a marked
  increase in the rate of inflation as compared to creeping
  inflation. The price rise is around 5 percent annually.
Continued….

• Running inflation. Under running inflation, the
  price increase is about 8 to 10 percent per annum.


• Galloping or Hyper Inflation. Galloping
  inflation is a full inflation. Keynes calls it as the
  final stage of inflation. It is a stage of inflation
  which starts after the level of full employment is
  reached. Here price level rises very rapidly within
  a short period.
Social Tensions
• Tensions between labor and
  management, between government and the
  people, and among consumers may overwhelm
  a society and its institutions.
Money Illusion
• The use of nominal Rupee rather than real to
  gauge changes in one’s income or wealth is
  called the money illusion.
Macro Consequences
• Inflation can alter the rate and mixes of output
  by changing
  consumption, work, saving, investment, and
  trade behavior.
Uncertainty
• People tend to shorten their time horizons in
  the face of inflation uncertainties.
• Time horizons are shortened as people attempt
  to spend money before it loses further value.
Speculation
• Few people will engage in production if it is
  easy to make speculative profits.
• Such speculation may fuel hyperinflation.
  – Hyperinflation is an inflation rate in excess of 200
    percent, lasting at least one year.
Bracket Creep
• Bracket creep is the movement of taxpayers
  into higher tax brackets (rates) as nominal
  incomes grow.
Deflation Dangers
• Deflation — a falling price level — might not
  make people happy either.
• Deflation reverses the redistributions caused
  by inflation.
• Lenders win and creditors lose.
Measuring Inflation
• Measuring inflation serves two purposes:
  – Gauges the average rate of inflation.
  – Identifies its principal victims.
Causes of Inflation
• The cause of inflation is rooted in supply and
  demand.
Demand-Pull Inflation
• Demand-pull inflation results from excessive
  pressure on the demand side of the economy.
• “Too much money chases too few goods”
  enabling producers to raise prices.
Cost-Push Inflation
• The pressure on price could also originate on
  the supply side.
• Higher production costs put upward pressure
  on product prices.

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Inflation

  • 1. Inflation Definition, types and causes of inflation
  • 3. What Is Inflation? • Inflation is an increase in the average level of prices, not a change in any specific price. • Inflation is a phenomenon whereby general price level rises persistently. • According to Prof. Crowther, • “Inflation is a state in which the value of the money falls and price level persistently rises.” • Prof. Ackly, “inflation is a persistent and appreciable rise in the general value of average prices”. • Prof. Piguo, “inflation takes place when price level expands more proportion to output”.
  • 4. Types of inflation on the basis of inflation rate • Creeping inflation • A situation in which the rise in general price level is at a very slow rate over a period of time. Under creeping inflation, the price level rises up to a rate of 2 percent per annum. A mild inflation is generally considered a necessary condition of economic growth. • Walking inflation. Walking inflation is a marked increase in the rate of inflation as compared to creeping inflation. The price rise is around 5 percent annually.
  • 5. Continued…. • Running inflation. Under running inflation, the price increase is about 8 to 10 percent per annum. • Galloping or Hyper Inflation. Galloping inflation is a full inflation. Keynes calls it as the final stage of inflation. It is a stage of inflation which starts after the level of full employment is reached. Here price level rises very rapidly within a short period.
  • 6. Social Tensions • Tensions between labor and management, between government and the people, and among consumers may overwhelm a society and its institutions.
  • 7. Money Illusion • The use of nominal Rupee rather than real to gauge changes in one’s income or wealth is called the money illusion.
  • 8. Macro Consequences • Inflation can alter the rate and mixes of output by changing consumption, work, saving, investment, and trade behavior.
  • 9. Uncertainty • People tend to shorten their time horizons in the face of inflation uncertainties. • Time horizons are shortened as people attempt to spend money before it loses further value.
  • 10. Speculation • Few people will engage in production if it is easy to make speculative profits. • Such speculation may fuel hyperinflation. – Hyperinflation is an inflation rate in excess of 200 percent, lasting at least one year.
  • 11. Bracket Creep • Bracket creep is the movement of taxpayers into higher tax brackets (rates) as nominal incomes grow.
  • 12. Deflation Dangers • Deflation — a falling price level — might not make people happy either. • Deflation reverses the redistributions caused by inflation. • Lenders win and creditors lose.
  • 13. Measuring Inflation • Measuring inflation serves two purposes: – Gauges the average rate of inflation. – Identifies its principal victims.
  • 14. Causes of Inflation • The cause of inflation is rooted in supply and demand.
  • 15. Demand-Pull Inflation • Demand-pull inflation results from excessive pressure on the demand side of the economy. • “Too much money chases too few goods” enabling producers to raise prices.
  • 16. Cost-Push Inflation • The pressure on price could also originate on the supply side. • Higher production costs put upward pressure on product prices.