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Basic 8D Problem Solving:
Tools & Methods
A.R. Alvarez
ARA TRAINING
ARA (Dec 2015)- © 2015 -
ARA TRAINING
Basic Problem Solving
ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 2
ARA TRAINING
Problem Solving Outline
 Part 1: Overview of Methods (Plan)
 Problem Solving Principles
 Contrasting Different Approaches
 PDCA / 4D & 8D Framework
 D1 – D2: Form Team & Define Problem
 Part 2: Step-By-Step Problem Solving (Do)
 D3: Implement Containment
 D4: Identify Possible Root Causes
 D5: Identify Root Cause Corrective Actions
 Part 3: Problem Solving Wrap-Up (Check & Act)
 D6 – D8: Verify Corrective Actions, Prevent Recurrence,
Document Results & Recognize Team
 Appendix
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
No One Way to Problem Solving
Success
But Some Are Better Than Others
Good Ones Have Many Common
Elements
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
Integrate Different Perspective
Data
Driven
Knowledge
Driven
Question
Driven
Integrate
Basic Problem Solving
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Utilize Simple Tools
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
Ask & Answer Simple Questions
 What is The Problem?
 Why is it a Problem?
 What Are The Goals?
 How Long Will it Take to Solve?
 How Much Will it Cost to Solve?
Get Tracked & Managed Like a Project
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
Avoid Artificial Constraints
 Constraints Will Always Exist
 Real Constraints Need to Be Respected, But Also
Challenged
 Where Can Constraints Appear During Problem
Solving?
 How Do You Become Aware & Overcome Constraints?
Sub-Conscious Assumed Very Real
Constraints
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
Fit Method to Problem
Different Problems May Require Different
Approaches
Use as Simple an Approach as Possible
Be
Adaptive
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
PDCA: Problem Solving
Plan
(Define Problem, Pick Factors, …)
Do
(Design / Execute Experiments)
Check
(Analysis / Implementation / Verification)
Act
(Make Conclusion, Define Next Step)
Basic Problem Solving
ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 10
ARA TRAINING
(3)
Implement
Containment
(2)
Define
Problem
(1)
Form Team
(5)
Identify Root
Cause Corrective
Actions
8D
Process
8D Problem Solving Method
(4)
Identify
Possible Root
Causes
(6)
Verify
Corrective
Actions
(7)
Prevent
Recurrence
(8)
Document
Results &
Recognize
Team
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
III. Containment (If Any)
 Stop-Gap Measure - Triage; Not Root-Cause Fix
 Purpose: Minimize / Control / Isolate Problem; For Both
Customers & Company
 Screen/Purge/Sequester Inventory/WIP?
 Similar Devices/Flows?
 Specify Anything That Has to Change to Make “Fix”
 Timeline: “Fast”
 Implementation: “Quick and Easy”
 When is No Containment Required?
 Most of The Basic Tools Used in Subsequent Sections
Applicable at This Step Too; Pick & Choose
Basic Problem Solving
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Containment Exercise
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
(4)
Identify Possible
Root Causes
(2)
Define
Problem
(1)
Form Team
(5)
Identify Root
Cause Corrective
Actions
8D
Process
8D Problem Solving Method
(3)
Implement
Containment
(6)
Verify
Corrective
Actions
(7)
Prevent
Recurrence
(8)
Document
Results &
Recognize
Team
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
IV. Identify Root Cause(s)
 Hypothesis Generation (Brainstorming/Fishbone)
 Prioritize Which Hypotheses to Pursue (Heuristic
or Prioritization Tools)
 Passive & Active Data Gathering (Statistical Tools)
 Can Root Cause Be Duplicated?
 What Allowed Failure? (System, Spec, Procedure)
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Problem Bug Matrix
 Example of Work Breakdown
 Simple Way of:
 Assigning Ownership
 Defining Issue
 Clarifying Hypothesis
 Tracking Schedule
 Efficient Communication
 How to Generate Hypothesis?
 How to Prioritize Which to Pursue?
Responsible: Name Fix Schedule
Problem Type
(E / M / H)
Hypothesis COL
(Act/Fcst)
Confirm Contain
Root
Cause
Doc
1
2
3
4
5
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“Why”, “What If”, “How” Progression
 “Why” Questions
 Catalyst in This Progression
 Could Drive Potential Game Changers
 “Why is This Happening?”, Why are We Doing This?”, “Why is This the
Right Approach”, ...
 “What If” Questions
 Signals Beginning of The Search For Solutions
 Prompts Unconstrained, Blue-sky Thinking
 “What if We Could ....”
 “How” Questions
 Get Down to Brass Tacks
 “How Do We Get This Done?”
http://www.strategy-business.com/blog/Innovation-Begins-with-Three-Questions?gko=50d8a
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Affinity Diagram
 Optional, But Useful Step That Aids Brainstorming
 Often Used as Input to Fishbone or Tree Diagram
 Creative Thinking:
 Gathers Large Amounts of Language Data
 Organizes it Into Groupings Based on Relations, and Defines Groups
 Encourages True Participation.
 When To Use:
 Maps Geography: Facts/Thought Chaotic; Complex Issues To Grasp
 Breakthroughs in Traditional Concepts Needed
 Support For a Solution is Essential For Success
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Construction of Affinity Diagram
I. Assemble Right Team: Interdisciplinary & Fresh
II. Problem Statement to Be Considered: Make Specific
 Problem Statement  Hypothesis of Cause? – Done in Step D4
 Problem Statement  Hypothesis of Fix? – Done in Step D5
III. Generate & Record Ideas: Everyone Participates
 No Criticism, Emphasize Large Quantity in Short Time
 Be Concise, Use Noun and Verb, Record Exactly, Post-It Notes
IV. Display Completed Cards: Mix Cards / Spread Randomly
V. Arrange Cards Into Related (6 – 10) Groups
 React (don't contemplate), Ok to disagree,
 Silent process, high energy
VI. Create Header Cards For Each Group
 Identify Card That Captures Central Idea; Ties Group Cards Together
 If No Such Card Exists, Create It (Be Concise)
VII. Draw Finished Affinity Diagram
 Draw Lines Around Each Grouping, Connecting All Items With Header Card
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Affinity Diagram Example
 Example:
 Pitfalls & Issues:
 Will Yield Both Jewels & Junk; Refine Latter
 Doesn't Show Interrelationships
 Organizes New Thoughts For Further Elaboration
 Works Best in Conjunction With Fishbone or Tree Diagram
 Can Be Overdone as Tries to Get Group to React From Gut Level
 Encourages True Participation in Group Setting; Don’t Judge
 Also Works as Individual Exercise
Basic Problem Solving
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Fishbone Diagram
(Cause & Effect or Ishikawa Diagram)
 Categories:
 People: Anyone Involved With Process
 Methods: How Process is Performed & Specific Requirements For Doing It; Policies,
Procedures, Rules, Regulations and Laws
 Machines: Any Equipment, Computers, Tools, Etc. Required to Accomplish Job
 Materials: Raw Materials, Parts, Pens, Paper, Etc. Used to Produce Final Product
 Measurements: Data Generated From Process Used to Evaluate Quality
 Environment: Conditions Such as Location, Plant, Time, Temperature, and Culture
Problem
or
Defect
Wikipedia
 Tool For Organizing Possible Root Causes of Problem
Two Possible Fishbones:
1) What Contributes to Problem?
2) How Did Defect Get Out?
Basic Problem Solving
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Fishbone Diagram
(Cause & Effect or Ishikawa Diagram)
 Other Types:
 4Ps (Generic): People, Procedures, Plant/Technology, Policies
 6Ms (Manufacturing): Machine (technology), Method, Material, Manpower,
Measurement/Metrics, Mother Nature (Environment)
 7Ps (Marketing); Product/Service, Price, Place, Promotion, People, Process,
Physical Evidence (or 4Ps – Underlined)
 5Ss (Service): Surroundings, Suppliers, Systems, Skills, Safety
 When To Use:
 Organize Result of Brainstorming or Affinity Diagram
 Need to Keep Track of Complex System of Input-Outputs
 Documentation of Organizational Learning Critical
 Pitfalls:
 Doesn't Tell Where to Devote Resources
 Doesn't Show Interrelationships
 Can Be Overdone (Down to Atoms); Show Possible, Not Necessarily Actual
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Fishbone Diagram Construction
I. Choose Goal or Problem Statement
 From D2; Insure Closed Loop With Original Problem Statement
II. Assemble Right Team
 Specialized Knowledge Required; Action Plan
III. Generate Major Fishbone Headings (Choose Template)
IV. Complete Fishbone Diagram
 Brainstorming or Affinity Diagram Details
 Focus is on Causes of / Contributors to Problem
V. Review Completed Fishbone for Completeness
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
Tree Diagram
 Alternative to Fishbone Diagram
 Can Help Structure “Five Whys” Analysis
 Linear Thinking:
 Systematically Maps Detail For Paths & Tasks Needed
 Key Questions Answered:
 What is Sequence of Tasks ?
 What are Problem Components ?
 What are Possible Hypotheses?
 Does the Logic Hang Together?
 How Complex Will Solution Be?
 What are Assignable Tasks/Options ?
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Tree Diagram Construction
I. Choose Goal or Problem Statement
 From D2; Insure Closed Loop With Original Problem Statement
 Original Issues
II. Assemble Right Team
 Specialized Knowledge Required; Action Plan
III. Generate Major Tree Headings
 First Level Can Often Be Alternative Hypotheses
 Second Level Can Then Be Ways to Test Hypotheses (Or Data to Get)
IV. Complete Tree Under Major Paths
 Continue Breaking Down Paths Until Have Actionable Items
 Direct Cause & Effect from Level to Level
V. Review Completed Tree For Logical Flow
 Works Only if Doing Each Level is Internally Consistent with Next Higher Level
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Tree Diagram Example
 Example:
 When To Use:
 "Simple" Task Runs Into Repeated Roadblocks
 Complex Implementation
 Large Consequences for Missing Key Tasks
 Pitfalls:
 Doesn't Tell Where To Devote Resources
 Doesn't Show Interrelationships
 Can Be Overdone (Down To Atoms)
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 Visual, Schematic Representation That
Illustrates Key Concepts & Relationships
Between Those Concepts
 Consists of Nodes & Labeled Lines
 Hierarchically Arranged: Inclusive to
Less Inclusive / General to Specific
 Useful in Organizing Different Types
of Knowledge:
 Structural (Types & Numbers of Links)
 Conceptual (Links &Concepts)
 Declarative (Missing Nodes or Links)
 Possible Follow-up Step After
Affinity Diagram or Brainstorming
 Can Help Convey Broad Outline
To Group
Concept Map
http://tccl.rit.albany.edu/knilt/images/0/09/ConceptMapExample.gif
Optional
Topic
Basic Problem Solving
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Electricity Concept Map
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c3/Electricity_Concept_Map.gif
Optional
Topic
Basic Problem Solving
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Concept Map Construction
I. Assemble Right Team (Same as Before, Adjust as Necessary)
II. Problem Statement to Be Considered
 Problem Statement  Hypothesis of Cause? – Done in Step D4 (Tie to D2)
 Problem Statement  Hypothesis of Fix? – Done in Step D5
III. Generate & Record Ideas: Everyone Participates
 If Previously Created an Affinity Diagram, That is A Good Starting Point
 If Not Brainstorm to Generate Ideas & Group
IV. With Cards/Notes Arranged In Related (6 – 10) Groups
 Draw Lines Between Terms That are Related
 Most General/Inclusive Concepts Come First, The Links to More Specific Concepts
 On Lines Write Nature of Relationship Between Terms
 Once Basic Links Created, Add Cross-Links Which Connect Concepts in Different Areas
V. Review “Finished” Concept Map
 Examine Diagram to Look For Missing Terms and/or New Relationships;
 Adds as Appropriate Optional
Topic
Basic Problem Solving
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Prioritization Matrices
 Decision Making Tool:
 Rationally Narrow Down Focus or Hypothesis to Pursue Before
Detailed Implementation Planning
 Prioritize Possible Solutions, Tasks, Issues, Product/Service
Characteristics Based On Known Weighted Criteria
 Three Types:
 Simplified Matrix
 Full Analytical Criteria Method
 Consensus Method (Appendix)
1 2 3 4 5
1. Salary
2. Cost of Living
3. No Raise Policy
4. Stock
5. Quality of Life
6. Earthquakes
7. Cypress Rep
8. Pressure
9. Heavy workload
10. Intensity
Total
Criteria
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Prioritizing Hypotheses to Pursue:
Simplest Approach – Data vs. Assumptions
Supporting Data
Assumptions
Required
Low High
Few
Many
Suggested by
Chris Silsby
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Quantified Prioritization
 Assign "Value" to Parts of Problem or Solutions
 Step 1: Decide Criteria & Category (Pick Scale)
 Big 3: Impact, Cost, Time
 Use Log/Power (10X or 2x …), Not Linear Scale
 Separate Solution & Problem Source
 Step 2: Complete Matrix & Calcs
 Fast Triage
 Expose Bias (History, Data)
 Resolve Conflict
1. Method
2. Manpower
3. Materials
4. Machinery
Total
Criteria
1
4
2
16
4
2
1
16
16
2
4
8
8
2
1
16
29
10
8
56
Optional
Topic
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Prioritization Matrix Example
 Example:
 When To Use:
 Prioritization is Going to Happen By Design or Default - Hunch, Vote,
Mandate, etc.
 Implicit vs. Explicit Prioritization
 Key Issues Identified; Must Narrow
 Identified Key Relations; Not Strengths
 Agreed Criteria for "Good" Solution; Need Consensus on Relative
Importance (Boss/Team or Within Team Alignment)
Basic Problem Solving
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Prioritization Matrices Guidelines
 Takes Time, Fit Tool to Problem; Doesn’t
Have to Be Used That Often (1 in 10?)
 Separate Possible Hypotheses / Problems to
Evaluate vs. Possible Solutions to
Implement (Clear Goals/Definitions)
 Value is in The Process, Not in Final Number
 Using Linear Instead of Log/Power Scale (No
Differentiation)
Basic Problem Solving
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Prioritization is Critical
Why are There So Many Slides on Prioritization?
 Team Member Time Efficiency is Critical Resource to
Rapid and Effective Problem Resolution
 Spending Time on The Right Hypothesis is Required to
Know Root Cause; Don’t Just Run Out and “Do”
Don’t Confuse Motion With Progress
Don’t Have a Fast Trigger, But a Slow Bullet
 Saves Company Time & Money (People, Yield, Customer
Relationship, Etc.)
Do The Right Things, Not Just Do Things Right!
Basic Problem Solving
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Root Cause Identification: Data
 What Data Do You Need at This Stage?
 How Much Data Do You Need?
 How are You Going to Get It?
 How Long is It Going to Take You to Get It?
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 “Experts’ & Peers
 Vendors
 Literature
 Experimentation: Machine / Si
 Rifleshot Experiments vs. Statistical DOEs
Acquiring Knowledge
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Active
Data
Gathering
Passive
Data
Gathering
Process Flow Diagram
Identify Key Product
Characteristics
Identify Key Process
Parameters
Step/Machine
Isolated?
Prioritize (Pareto),
Fishbone, Etc.
Convergence to Factor
Decision Tree
DOEs
Process Capable? Solution?Yes
Simple Correlation
Analysis
Process Flow,
Etest Parameters,
Best vs. Worst,
Failure Analysis
Structured/Stratified
Sampling
Time, Equipment
Shift, Lot -Lot,
Within Run/Lot,
Within Wfr, Etc,
Control Charts
No
Yes
Convergence To Step
Decision Tree
Randomized Sequence
Split Lots @ N Steps
No
Is Step Isolated?
No
Yes
No
No
Yes Yes
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 Picking Them
 How Many?
 Control & Noise Factors
 Continuous & Categorical
 Whenever Have Zero % of a Variable, a ‘Continuous’ Variable is
Effectively Discontinuous; i.e. No vs. Yes (Jake)
 Picking the Range
 Visual Hypothesis (Jake)
 Equivalent Impacts
 As You Open the Space, the Risk of Variables Going From Continuous
to Categorical Increases
 How Many Measurements (Memory)?
 Sources of Variation
 Hierarchical & Directed Sampling
Experimental Factors
Basic Problem Solving
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Low Knowledge
Level
High Knowledge
Level
Screening Factorials RSM
Statistical DOE Framework
Experimental Design:
The Knowledge Line
Dupont
Basic Problem Solving
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COL Problem Solving Flowchart
Low Solar Cell
Efficiency
Photon Loss
Carrier Loss
Electrical Loss
Front Texture
Problem (2 COL)
ARC Problem
(3 COL)
Back Contact
Problem (4 COL)
Junction
Problem (5 COL)
Front Electrode
Passivation (4 COL)
Gridline
Problem (2 COL)
Lifetime
Problem (3 COL)
Contributes?
Contributes?
Focus is on Identification
of
Root Cause of Problem
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(2)
Define
Problem
(1)
Form Team
(5)
Identify Root Cause
Corrective Actions (Fix)
8D
Process
8D Problem Solving Method
(3)
Implement
Containment
(4)
Identify
Possible Root
Causes
(6)
Verify
Corrective
Actions
(7)
Prevent
Recurrence
(8)
Document
Results &
Recognize
Team
Basic Problem Solving
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V. Corrective Action(s) Plan
 Once (Possible) Root Cause(s) of a Problem Are Identified
– Need to Determine Solution(s)
 Plan:
 Best Solution Path(s) and Why: Root Cause Fix
 Line Between Hypothesis Testing (Identifying Root Cause of Problem)
and Determining Solution (Root Cause) Distinct But Blurs
 Who Will Implement?
 When Will It Be Done?
 Verification of Fix
 Can Problem Be Turned Off & On?
 Is Root Cause Controllable?
 Will Not Cause Undesirable Effects (Unintended Consequences)
 Verification is Proof BEFORE Implementation
 Validation is Proof AFTER Implementation
Basic Problem Solving
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Generating Possible Solutions
 In General Preferable to Start With Broad List of Possible
Solutions; Seek Diversity of Options (Divergence)
 Can Use Same Brainstorming Tools Employed for Hypothesis
Generation For Generating Possible Solutions
 Once Reasonable Set of Possible Solutions Generated, Same
Prioritization Techniques Can Be Employed to Determine
Which Solution(s) to Pursue (Convergence)
 Many of The Tools (In Particular Statistical Methods) Used to
Identify Root Cause of Problem Can Be Reused to Determine
Root Cause Fix
 As Before, Keep an Eye on Assumptions & Watch Out for
False Constraints
Basic Problem Solving
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Measures of Performance
 In Any Problem Solving Methodology, Need Criteria to
Which The Solution’s Performance Can Be Measured:
 Efficacy (E1):
 Indicates, Whether The Solution or Process Provides The Intended Outcome
 That Intended Outcome May, However, Not Be What is Required for a Complete Soln
 Efficiency (E2):
 Resources: Indicates Whether The Least Possible Amount of Resources Are Being
Used to Implement The Solution
 Outcome: Indicates Whether the Simplest / Lowest Cost / Quickest (Pick Appropriate
Criteria) is Being Used to Implement The Solution
 Effectiveness (E3):
 Indicates, Whether The Solution Provides a Root-Cause-Fix
 And/Or Helps Realize a More Long-term Goal
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CATWOE#CATWOE
Basic Problem Solving
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 Previously Tools Employed to Find Root Cause of Problem
 Now Tools Employed to Determine Root Cause Fix
 Re-Focused Affinity Diagram
 Re-Focused and Expanded Tree (or Fishbone) Diagram
 Need to Prioritize Possible Solution Paths
 Choice of Factors & Ranges Re-Set; Experimental
Techniques Less Exploratory, More Directive
 Need to to Estimate Cycles of Learning/Schedule for
Solution(s)
 Flowchart Solution Paths to Track Convergence
Re-Purpose Problem Solving Tools
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
Prioritizing Actions to Take:
Simplest Approach - Impact vs. Difficulty
Difficulty
(Time, People, $s, . . .)
Impact
Easy Hard
High
Low
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Flow Charts
 Implementation Planning Tool:
 Maps Out Conceivable Events & Contingencies. Identifies Counter-
Measures to Problems
 When To Use:
 Compare Actual & Ideal Paths in Order to Identify Deviations
 Task is New, Unique, or Complex
 High Stakes & Efficient Implementation Critical
 Contingencies are Plausible
Basic Problem Solving
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Baseline Process
1990/91 Fab Litho
Equipment
ASM G Line - 0.8µ
195Å Gox
0.8µ ± 0.15µ
None Considered
Seriously
CEM0.65µ
GOX = 165Å|5V Vcc
 Gox
Quick To Market:
Samples in Q3
Large Overlap For
Drive & Reliability
Poly Doping? Shallow LDDs Low S/D Resistance
Better SCE, Poorer
Drive & Rel
N+/P+ or P+
Higher Performance
N+
Deeper Tips, Higher
DIBL
LATI ($, Retrofit),
Low Temp FDOX &
Post Silicide NSDI
Post N+/P+ S/D Tips
Disposable Spacer
AlternativesMarket Inputs
Medium Doped
LDD
Conventional S/D
Salicide - Yield, 4T
Cell Compatibility
25ns 1M SRAM -
400 mil Package
Use Existing
Design
A
Basic Problem Solving
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ARA TRAINING
Flowchart Example
 Example:
 Flowchart Themes:
 Implementation Path With Fewest or Least Serious "What Ifs" is Best
Alternative
 Weigh Risk vs. Reward
 Define Boundaries of Process Clearly
 Every Feedback Loop Needs an Escape
 Clearly Shows Holes in Plans
 Good Communication Tool
 Can Also Be Extremely Useful in Analyzing Past History
Basic Problem Solving
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Flowchart Construction
I. Assemble Right Team (Must Know Details of Problem)
II. Determine Basic Flow of Proposed Activities
 Start Broad, Add Detail in Layers Later
 Think Straight Line
III. Choose Chart Format (Graphical or Outline)
IV. Construct PDPC
 Place Branches in Sequential Order of Implementation
 Layers:
 Implementation Steps
 "What Ifs"
 Countermeasures
 "What Could Go Wrong?", "What Are Options?"
 Pick Countermeasure And/Or Alternatives
 Evaluate Feasibility/Necessity (Label)
V. Review: Sanity Check Flow, Compare to Ideal; Check Completeness
Basic Problem Solving
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Gantt Diagrams
Pert Charts
Spreadsheet W3s
Other
But….
… These are All “Linear” Tools That
Breakdown in a “Non-Deterministic” World
Scheduling Problem Solving
Basic Problem Solving
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The Knowledge “Gap”
Baseline vs. Goal:
The Larger The Gap, The Less You Know
Goal “Gap” = Knowledge “Gap”
To Close the Knowledge “Gap” Need Cycles of Learning (COL)
Beware of Overconfidence
(How Much Do You Really Know?)
Baseline
Goal 1
Goal 2
Knowledge
Gap
Time
Goal
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Knowledge Gap & Cycles of Learning
Easy
# COLs ?
Time/Cycle
Medium
# COLs ?
Time/Cycle
Hard
# COLs ?
Time/Cycle
Define Your Problem
Which Bucket ?
What’s Your Batting Average ?
What Did You Learn ?
Basic Problem Solving
ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 54
ARA TRAINING
What is a Cycle of Learning?
Deming’s PDCA Cycle
1. Problem Identification/Hypothesis
2. Specify Desired Outcome
3. Prioritized Input / Output
4. Data Collection & Analysis
5. Perform Work/Experiment
6. Confirmation of Effects
7. Process Standardization (if Done)
8. Planning Next Step (Learning Cycle)
Plan
Do
Check
Act
Basic Problem Solving
ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 55
ARA TRAINING
Scheduling Problem Solving
 Point 1: Complexity is Not Your Friend
 Save Invention For Where it Adds Value
 Eliminate it Everywhere Else
 “Buy” Knowledge
 Point 2: What Are You Doing?
 Two Parts:
 How Many (PDCA) Cycles?
 Time Per Cycle
 What Impacts # of Cycles?
 What Impacts Time Per Cycle?
Basic Problem Solving
ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 56
ARA TRAINING
Solution
 Use COL Methodology to Forecast Non-Deterministic
Steps
 Use PERT (or Favorite Method) to Keep Track of Tasks
 Apply Best Practices (Scrubbing, Schedule Monitoring,
etc.) to Minimize Deviations
 Suggest Separately Estimating COL/Time For
Determining Root Cause vs. Root Cause Fix (Overlap)
Combine COL Forecasting
With Conventional Scheduling Methods
Basic Problem Solving
ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 57
ARA TRAINING
COL Problem Solving Flowchart
Low Solar Cell
Efficiency
Photon Loss
Carrier Loss
Electrical Loss
Front Texture
Problem (2 COL)
ARC Problem
(3 COL)
Back Contact
Problem (4 COL)
Junction
Problem (5 COL)
Front Electrode
Passivation (4 COL)
Gridline
Problem (2 COL)
Lifetime
Problem (3 COL)
Contributes?
Contributes?
If ARC ~ 3 Mth
If FT ~5 Mth
If BC ~ 2 Mth
Start: T = 0 T = ~7 Weeks T = ~12 Weeks
Focus is on Driving
to a
Root Cause Fix
Basic Problem Solving
ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 58
ARA TRAINING
Ultimate Test: Right Direction?
 Progress or Motion ?
 Entropy vs. Convergent
 Consistent
 Kill or Move Forward?
 Repeated Slips ?
 Step Back and Diagnose Issue(s)
 Typical: Excess AIPs, Capability, Subject Matter Knowledge,
Team Dynamics, Outside Interference, …
Its OK (Good) to Get Help if Project is In Trouble
Basic Problem Solving
ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 59
ARA TRAINING
Problem Solving Outline
 Part 1: Overview of Methods (Plan)
 Problem Solving Principles
 Contrasting Different Approaches
 PDCA / 4D & 8D Framework
 D1 – D2: Form Team & Define Problem
 Part 2: Step-By-Step Problem Solving (Do)
 D3: Implement Containment
 D4: Identify Possible Root Causes
 D5: Identify Root Cause Corrective Actions
 Part 3: Problem Solving Wrap-Up (Check & Act)
 D6 – D8: Verify Corrective Actions, Prevent Recurrence,
Document Results & Recognize Team
 Appendix
Part 3
Next
Basic Problem Solving
ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 60
ARA TRAINING
(4)
Identify
Possible Root
Causes
(3)
Implement
Containment
(2)
Define
Problem
(1)
Form Team
(7)
Prevent
Recurrence
(8)
Document
Results &
Recognize
Team
(5)
Identify Root
Cause Corrective
Actions
(6)
Verify
Corrective
Actions
8D
Process
8D Problem Solving Method

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Basic 8D Problem Solving Tools & Methods - Part 2

  • 1. Basic 8D Problem Solving: Tools & Methods A.R. Alvarez ARA TRAINING ARA (Dec 2015)- © 2015 - ARA TRAINING
  • 2. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 2 ARA TRAINING Problem Solving Outline  Part 1: Overview of Methods (Plan)  Problem Solving Principles  Contrasting Different Approaches  PDCA / 4D & 8D Framework  D1 – D2: Form Team & Define Problem  Part 2: Step-By-Step Problem Solving (Do)  D3: Implement Containment  D4: Identify Possible Root Causes  D5: Identify Root Cause Corrective Actions  Part 3: Problem Solving Wrap-Up (Check & Act)  D6 – D8: Verify Corrective Actions, Prevent Recurrence, Document Results & Recognize Team  Appendix
  • 3. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 3 ARA TRAINING No One Way to Problem Solving Success But Some Are Better Than Others Good Ones Have Many Common Elements
  • 4. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 4 ARA TRAINING Integrate Different Perspective Data Driven Knowledge Driven Question Driven Integrate
  • 5. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 5 ARA TRAINING Utilize Simple Tools
  • 6. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 6 ARA TRAINING Ask & Answer Simple Questions  What is The Problem?  Why is it a Problem?  What Are The Goals?  How Long Will it Take to Solve?  How Much Will it Cost to Solve? Get Tracked & Managed Like a Project
  • 7. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 7 ARA TRAINING Avoid Artificial Constraints  Constraints Will Always Exist  Real Constraints Need to Be Respected, But Also Challenged  Where Can Constraints Appear During Problem Solving?  How Do You Become Aware & Overcome Constraints? Sub-Conscious Assumed Very Real Constraints
  • 8. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 8 ARA TRAINING Fit Method to Problem Different Problems May Require Different Approaches Use as Simple an Approach as Possible Be Adaptive
  • 9. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 9 ARA TRAINING PDCA: Problem Solving Plan (Define Problem, Pick Factors, …) Do (Design / Execute Experiments) Check (Analysis / Implementation / Verification) Act (Make Conclusion, Define Next Step)
  • 10. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 10 ARA TRAINING (3) Implement Containment (2) Define Problem (1) Form Team (5) Identify Root Cause Corrective Actions 8D Process 8D Problem Solving Method (4) Identify Possible Root Causes (6) Verify Corrective Actions (7) Prevent Recurrence (8) Document Results & Recognize Team
  • 11. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 11 ARA TRAINING III. Containment (If Any)  Stop-Gap Measure - Triage; Not Root-Cause Fix  Purpose: Minimize / Control / Isolate Problem; For Both Customers & Company  Screen/Purge/Sequester Inventory/WIP?  Similar Devices/Flows?  Specify Anything That Has to Change to Make “Fix”  Timeline: “Fast”  Implementation: “Quick and Easy”  When is No Containment Required?  Most of The Basic Tools Used in Subsequent Sections Applicable at This Step Too; Pick & Choose
  • 12. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 12 ARA TRAINING Containment Exercise
  • 13. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 13 ARA TRAINING (4) Identify Possible Root Causes (2) Define Problem (1) Form Team (5) Identify Root Cause Corrective Actions 8D Process 8D Problem Solving Method (3) Implement Containment (6) Verify Corrective Actions (7) Prevent Recurrence (8) Document Results & Recognize Team
  • 14. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 14 ARA TRAINING IV. Identify Root Cause(s)  Hypothesis Generation (Brainstorming/Fishbone)  Prioritize Which Hypotheses to Pursue (Heuristic or Prioritization Tools)  Passive & Active Data Gathering (Statistical Tools)  Can Root Cause Be Duplicated?  What Allowed Failure? (System, Spec, Procedure)
  • 15. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 15 ARA TRAINING Problem Bug Matrix  Example of Work Breakdown  Simple Way of:  Assigning Ownership  Defining Issue  Clarifying Hypothesis  Tracking Schedule  Efficient Communication  How to Generate Hypothesis?  How to Prioritize Which to Pursue? Responsible: Name Fix Schedule Problem Type (E / M / H) Hypothesis COL (Act/Fcst) Confirm Contain Root Cause Doc 1 2 3 4 5
  • 16. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 16 ARA TRAINING “Why”, “What If”, “How” Progression  “Why” Questions  Catalyst in This Progression  Could Drive Potential Game Changers  “Why is This Happening?”, Why are We Doing This?”, “Why is This the Right Approach”, ...  “What If” Questions  Signals Beginning of The Search For Solutions  Prompts Unconstrained, Blue-sky Thinking  “What if We Could ....”  “How” Questions  Get Down to Brass Tacks  “How Do We Get This Done?” http://www.strategy-business.com/blog/Innovation-Begins-with-Three-Questions?gko=50d8a
  • 17. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 17 ARA TRAINING Affinity Diagram  Optional, But Useful Step That Aids Brainstorming  Often Used as Input to Fishbone or Tree Diagram  Creative Thinking:  Gathers Large Amounts of Language Data  Organizes it Into Groupings Based on Relations, and Defines Groups  Encourages True Participation.  When To Use:  Maps Geography: Facts/Thought Chaotic; Complex Issues To Grasp  Breakthroughs in Traditional Concepts Needed  Support For a Solution is Essential For Success
  • 18. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 18 ARA TRAINING Construction of Affinity Diagram I. Assemble Right Team: Interdisciplinary & Fresh II. Problem Statement to Be Considered: Make Specific  Problem Statement  Hypothesis of Cause? – Done in Step D4  Problem Statement  Hypothesis of Fix? – Done in Step D5 III. Generate & Record Ideas: Everyone Participates  No Criticism, Emphasize Large Quantity in Short Time  Be Concise, Use Noun and Verb, Record Exactly, Post-It Notes IV. Display Completed Cards: Mix Cards / Spread Randomly V. Arrange Cards Into Related (6 – 10) Groups  React (don't contemplate), Ok to disagree,  Silent process, high energy VI. Create Header Cards For Each Group  Identify Card That Captures Central Idea; Ties Group Cards Together  If No Such Card Exists, Create It (Be Concise) VII. Draw Finished Affinity Diagram  Draw Lines Around Each Grouping, Connecting All Items With Header Card
  • 19. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 19 ARA TRAINING Affinity Diagram Example  Example:  Pitfalls & Issues:  Will Yield Both Jewels & Junk; Refine Latter  Doesn't Show Interrelationships  Organizes New Thoughts For Further Elaboration  Works Best in Conjunction With Fishbone or Tree Diagram  Can Be Overdone as Tries to Get Group to React From Gut Level  Encourages True Participation in Group Setting; Don’t Judge  Also Works as Individual Exercise
  • 20. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 20 ARA TRAINING Fishbone Diagram (Cause & Effect or Ishikawa Diagram)  Categories:  People: Anyone Involved With Process  Methods: How Process is Performed & Specific Requirements For Doing It; Policies, Procedures, Rules, Regulations and Laws  Machines: Any Equipment, Computers, Tools, Etc. Required to Accomplish Job  Materials: Raw Materials, Parts, Pens, Paper, Etc. Used to Produce Final Product  Measurements: Data Generated From Process Used to Evaluate Quality  Environment: Conditions Such as Location, Plant, Time, Temperature, and Culture Problem or Defect Wikipedia  Tool For Organizing Possible Root Causes of Problem Two Possible Fishbones: 1) What Contributes to Problem? 2) How Did Defect Get Out?
  • 21. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 21 ARA TRAINING Fishbone Diagram (Cause & Effect or Ishikawa Diagram)  Other Types:  4Ps (Generic): People, Procedures, Plant/Technology, Policies  6Ms (Manufacturing): Machine (technology), Method, Material, Manpower, Measurement/Metrics, Mother Nature (Environment)  7Ps (Marketing); Product/Service, Price, Place, Promotion, People, Process, Physical Evidence (or 4Ps – Underlined)  5Ss (Service): Surroundings, Suppliers, Systems, Skills, Safety  When To Use:  Organize Result of Brainstorming or Affinity Diagram  Need to Keep Track of Complex System of Input-Outputs  Documentation of Organizational Learning Critical  Pitfalls:  Doesn't Tell Where to Devote Resources  Doesn't Show Interrelationships  Can Be Overdone (Down to Atoms); Show Possible, Not Necessarily Actual
  • 22. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 22 ARA TRAINING Fishbone Diagram Construction I. Choose Goal or Problem Statement  From D2; Insure Closed Loop With Original Problem Statement II. Assemble Right Team  Specialized Knowledge Required; Action Plan III. Generate Major Fishbone Headings (Choose Template) IV. Complete Fishbone Diagram  Brainstorming or Affinity Diagram Details  Focus is on Causes of / Contributors to Problem V. Review Completed Fishbone for Completeness
  • 23. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 23 ARA TRAINING Tree Diagram  Alternative to Fishbone Diagram  Can Help Structure “Five Whys” Analysis  Linear Thinking:  Systematically Maps Detail For Paths & Tasks Needed  Key Questions Answered:  What is Sequence of Tasks ?  What are Problem Components ?  What are Possible Hypotheses?  Does the Logic Hang Together?  How Complex Will Solution Be?  What are Assignable Tasks/Options ?
  • 24. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 24 ARA TRAINING Tree Diagram Construction I. Choose Goal or Problem Statement  From D2; Insure Closed Loop With Original Problem Statement  Original Issues II. Assemble Right Team  Specialized Knowledge Required; Action Plan III. Generate Major Tree Headings  First Level Can Often Be Alternative Hypotheses  Second Level Can Then Be Ways to Test Hypotheses (Or Data to Get) IV. Complete Tree Under Major Paths  Continue Breaking Down Paths Until Have Actionable Items  Direct Cause & Effect from Level to Level V. Review Completed Tree For Logical Flow  Works Only if Doing Each Level is Internally Consistent with Next Higher Level
  • 25. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 25 ARA TRAINING Tree Diagram Example  Example:  When To Use:  "Simple" Task Runs Into Repeated Roadblocks  Complex Implementation  Large Consequences for Missing Key Tasks  Pitfalls:  Doesn't Tell Where To Devote Resources  Doesn't Show Interrelationships  Can Be Overdone (Down To Atoms)
  • 26. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 26 ARA TRAINING  Visual, Schematic Representation That Illustrates Key Concepts & Relationships Between Those Concepts  Consists of Nodes & Labeled Lines  Hierarchically Arranged: Inclusive to Less Inclusive / General to Specific  Useful in Organizing Different Types of Knowledge:  Structural (Types & Numbers of Links)  Conceptual (Links &Concepts)  Declarative (Missing Nodes or Links)  Possible Follow-up Step After Affinity Diagram or Brainstorming  Can Help Convey Broad Outline To Group Concept Map http://tccl.rit.albany.edu/knilt/images/0/09/ConceptMapExample.gif Optional Topic
  • 27. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 27 ARA TRAINING Electricity Concept Map https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c3/Electricity_Concept_Map.gif Optional Topic
  • 28. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 28 ARA TRAINING Concept Map Construction I. Assemble Right Team (Same as Before, Adjust as Necessary) II. Problem Statement to Be Considered  Problem Statement  Hypothesis of Cause? – Done in Step D4 (Tie to D2)  Problem Statement  Hypothesis of Fix? – Done in Step D5 III. Generate & Record Ideas: Everyone Participates  If Previously Created an Affinity Diagram, That is A Good Starting Point  If Not Brainstorm to Generate Ideas & Group IV. With Cards/Notes Arranged In Related (6 – 10) Groups  Draw Lines Between Terms That are Related  Most General/Inclusive Concepts Come First, The Links to More Specific Concepts  On Lines Write Nature of Relationship Between Terms  Once Basic Links Created, Add Cross-Links Which Connect Concepts in Different Areas V. Review “Finished” Concept Map  Examine Diagram to Look For Missing Terms and/or New Relationships;  Adds as Appropriate Optional Topic
  • 29. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 29 ARA TRAINING Prioritization Matrices  Decision Making Tool:  Rationally Narrow Down Focus or Hypothesis to Pursue Before Detailed Implementation Planning  Prioritize Possible Solutions, Tasks, Issues, Product/Service Characteristics Based On Known Weighted Criteria  Three Types:  Simplified Matrix  Full Analytical Criteria Method  Consensus Method (Appendix) 1 2 3 4 5 1. Salary 2. Cost of Living 3. No Raise Policy 4. Stock 5. Quality of Life 6. Earthquakes 7. Cypress Rep 8. Pressure 9. Heavy workload 10. Intensity Total Criteria
  • 30. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 30 ARA TRAINING Prioritizing Hypotheses to Pursue: Simplest Approach – Data vs. Assumptions Supporting Data Assumptions Required Low High Few Many Suggested by Chris Silsby
  • 31. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 31 ARA TRAINING Quantified Prioritization  Assign "Value" to Parts of Problem or Solutions  Step 1: Decide Criteria & Category (Pick Scale)  Big 3: Impact, Cost, Time  Use Log/Power (10X or 2x …), Not Linear Scale  Separate Solution & Problem Source  Step 2: Complete Matrix & Calcs  Fast Triage  Expose Bias (History, Data)  Resolve Conflict 1. Method 2. Manpower 3. Materials 4. Machinery Total Criteria 1 4 2 16 4 2 1 16 16 2 4 8 8 2 1 16 29 10 8 56 Optional Topic
  • 32. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 32 ARA TRAINING Prioritization Matrix Example  Example:  When To Use:  Prioritization is Going to Happen By Design or Default - Hunch, Vote, Mandate, etc.  Implicit vs. Explicit Prioritization  Key Issues Identified; Must Narrow  Identified Key Relations; Not Strengths  Agreed Criteria for "Good" Solution; Need Consensus on Relative Importance (Boss/Team or Within Team Alignment)
  • 33. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 33 ARA TRAINING Prioritization Matrices Guidelines  Takes Time, Fit Tool to Problem; Doesn’t Have to Be Used That Often (1 in 10?)  Separate Possible Hypotheses / Problems to Evaluate vs. Possible Solutions to Implement (Clear Goals/Definitions)  Value is in The Process, Not in Final Number  Using Linear Instead of Log/Power Scale (No Differentiation)
  • 34. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 34 ARA TRAINING Prioritization is Critical Why are There So Many Slides on Prioritization?  Team Member Time Efficiency is Critical Resource to Rapid and Effective Problem Resolution  Spending Time on The Right Hypothesis is Required to Know Root Cause; Don’t Just Run Out and “Do” Don’t Confuse Motion With Progress Don’t Have a Fast Trigger, But a Slow Bullet  Saves Company Time & Money (People, Yield, Customer Relationship, Etc.) Do The Right Things, Not Just Do Things Right!
  • 35. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 35 ARA TRAINING Root Cause Identification: Data  What Data Do You Need at This Stage?  How Much Data Do You Need?  How are You Going to Get It?  How Long is It Going to Take You to Get It?
  • 36. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 36 ARA TRAINING  “Experts’ & Peers  Vendors  Literature  Experimentation: Machine / Si  Rifleshot Experiments vs. Statistical DOEs Acquiring Knowledge
  • 37. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 37 ARA TRAINING Active Data Gathering Passive Data Gathering Process Flow Diagram Identify Key Product Characteristics Identify Key Process Parameters Step/Machine Isolated? Prioritize (Pareto), Fishbone, Etc. Convergence to Factor Decision Tree DOEs Process Capable? Solution?Yes Simple Correlation Analysis Process Flow, Etest Parameters, Best vs. Worst, Failure Analysis Structured/Stratified Sampling Time, Equipment Shift, Lot -Lot, Within Run/Lot, Within Wfr, Etc, Control Charts No Yes Convergence To Step Decision Tree Randomized Sequence Split Lots @ N Steps No Is Step Isolated? No Yes No No Yes Yes
  • 38. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 38 ARA TRAINING  Picking Them  How Many?  Control & Noise Factors  Continuous & Categorical  Whenever Have Zero % of a Variable, a ‘Continuous’ Variable is Effectively Discontinuous; i.e. No vs. Yes (Jake)  Picking the Range  Visual Hypothesis (Jake)  Equivalent Impacts  As You Open the Space, the Risk of Variables Going From Continuous to Categorical Increases  How Many Measurements (Memory)?  Sources of Variation  Hierarchical & Directed Sampling Experimental Factors
  • 39. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 39 ARA TRAINING Low Knowledge Level High Knowledge Level Screening Factorials RSM Statistical DOE Framework Experimental Design: The Knowledge Line Dupont
  • 40. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 40 ARA TRAINING COL Problem Solving Flowchart Low Solar Cell Efficiency Photon Loss Carrier Loss Electrical Loss Front Texture Problem (2 COL) ARC Problem (3 COL) Back Contact Problem (4 COL) Junction Problem (5 COL) Front Electrode Passivation (4 COL) Gridline Problem (2 COL) Lifetime Problem (3 COL) Contributes? Contributes? Focus is on Identification of Root Cause of Problem
  • 41. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 41 ARA TRAINING (2) Define Problem (1) Form Team (5) Identify Root Cause Corrective Actions (Fix) 8D Process 8D Problem Solving Method (3) Implement Containment (4) Identify Possible Root Causes (6) Verify Corrective Actions (7) Prevent Recurrence (8) Document Results & Recognize Team
  • 42. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 42 ARA TRAINING V. Corrective Action(s) Plan  Once (Possible) Root Cause(s) of a Problem Are Identified – Need to Determine Solution(s)  Plan:  Best Solution Path(s) and Why: Root Cause Fix  Line Between Hypothesis Testing (Identifying Root Cause of Problem) and Determining Solution (Root Cause) Distinct But Blurs  Who Will Implement?  When Will It Be Done?  Verification of Fix  Can Problem Be Turned Off & On?  Is Root Cause Controllable?  Will Not Cause Undesirable Effects (Unintended Consequences)  Verification is Proof BEFORE Implementation  Validation is Proof AFTER Implementation
  • 43. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 43 ARA TRAINING Generating Possible Solutions  In General Preferable to Start With Broad List of Possible Solutions; Seek Diversity of Options (Divergence)  Can Use Same Brainstorming Tools Employed for Hypothesis Generation For Generating Possible Solutions  Once Reasonable Set of Possible Solutions Generated, Same Prioritization Techniques Can Be Employed to Determine Which Solution(s) to Pursue (Convergence)  Many of The Tools (In Particular Statistical Methods) Used to Identify Root Cause of Problem Can Be Reused to Determine Root Cause Fix  As Before, Keep an Eye on Assumptions & Watch Out for False Constraints
  • 44. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 44 ARA TRAINING Measures of Performance  In Any Problem Solving Methodology, Need Criteria to Which The Solution’s Performance Can Be Measured:  Efficacy (E1):  Indicates, Whether The Solution or Process Provides The Intended Outcome  That Intended Outcome May, However, Not Be What is Required for a Complete Soln  Efficiency (E2):  Resources: Indicates Whether The Least Possible Amount of Resources Are Being Used to Implement The Solution  Outcome: Indicates Whether the Simplest / Lowest Cost / Quickest (Pick Appropriate Criteria) is Being Used to Implement The Solution  Effectiveness (E3):  Indicates, Whether The Solution Provides a Root-Cause-Fix  And/Or Helps Realize a More Long-term Goal http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CATWOE#CATWOE
  • 45. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 45 ARA TRAINING  Previously Tools Employed to Find Root Cause of Problem  Now Tools Employed to Determine Root Cause Fix  Re-Focused Affinity Diagram  Re-Focused and Expanded Tree (or Fishbone) Diagram  Need to Prioritize Possible Solution Paths  Choice of Factors & Ranges Re-Set; Experimental Techniques Less Exploratory, More Directive  Need to to Estimate Cycles of Learning/Schedule for Solution(s)  Flowchart Solution Paths to Track Convergence Re-Purpose Problem Solving Tools
  • 46. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 46 ARA TRAINING Prioritizing Actions to Take: Simplest Approach - Impact vs. Difficulty Difficulty (Time, People, $s, . . .) Impact Easy Hard High Low
  • 47. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 47 ARA TRAINING Flow Charts  Implementation Planning Tool:  Maps Out Conceivable Events & Contingencies. Identifies Counter- Measures to Problems  When To Use:  Compare Actual & Ideal Paths in Order to Identify Deviations  Task is New, Unique, or Complex  High Stakes & Efficient Implementation Critical  Contingencies are Plausible
  • 48. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 48 ARA TRAINING Baseline Process 1990/91 Fab Litho Equipment ASM G Line - 0.8µ 195Å Gox 0.8µ ± 0.15µ None Considered Seriously CEM0.65µ GOX = 165Å|5V Vcc  Gox Quick To Market: Samples in Q3 Large Overlap For Drive & Reliability Poly Doping? Shallow LDDs Low S/D Resistance Better SCE, Poorer Drive & Rel N+/P+ or P+ Higher Performance N+ Deeper Tips, Higher DIBL LATI ($, Retrofit), Low Temp FDOX & Post Silicide NSDI Post N+/P+ S/D Tips Disposable Spacer AlternativesMarket Inputs Medium Doped LDD Conventional S/D Salicide - Yield, 4T Cell Compatibility 25ns 1M SRAM - 400 mil Package Use Existing Design A
  • 49. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 49 ARA TRAINING Flowchart Example  Example:  Flowchart Themes:  Implementation Path With Fewest or Least Serious "What Ifs" is Best Alternative  Weigh Risk vs. Reward  Define Boundaries of Process Clearly  Every Feedback Loop Needs an Escape  Clearly Shows Holes in Plans  Good Communication Tool  Can Also Be Extremely Useful in Analyzing Past History
  • 50. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 50 ARA TRAINING Flowchart Construction I. Assemble Right Team (Must Know Details of Problem) II. Determine Basic Flow of Proposed Activities  Start Broad, Add Detail in Layers Later  Think Straight Line III. Choose Chart Format (Graphical or Outline) IV. Construct PDPC  Place Branches in Sequential Order of Implementation  Layers:  Implementation Steps  "What Ifs"  Countermeasures  "What Could Go Wrong?", "What Are Options?"  Pick Countermeasure And/Or Alternatives  Evaluate Feasibility/Necessity (Label) V. Review: Sanity Check Flow, Compare to Ideal; Check Completeness
  • 51. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 51 ARA TRAINING Gantt Diagrams Pert Charts Spreadsheet W3s Other But…. … These are All “Linear” Tools That Breakdown in a “Non-Deterministic” World Scheduling Problem Solving
  • 52. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 52 ARA TRAINING The Knowledge “Gap” Baseline vs. Goal: The Larger The Gap, The Less You Know Goal “Gap” = Knowledge “Gap” To Close the Knowledge “Gap” Need Cycles of Learning (COL) Beware of Overconfidence (How Much Do You Really Know?) Baseline Goal 1 Goal 2 Knowledge Gap Time Goal
  • 53. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 53 ARA TRAINING Knowledge Gap & Cycles of Learning Easy # COLs ? Time/Cycle Medium # COLs ? Time/Cycle Hard # COLs ? Time/Cycle Define Your Problem Which Bucket ? What’s Your Batting Average ? What Did You Learn ?
  • 54. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 54 ARA TRAINING What is a Cycle of Learning? Deming’s PDCA Cycle 1. Problem Identification/Hypothesis 2. Specify Desired Outcome 3. Prioritized Input / Output 4. Data Collection & Analysis 5. Perform Work/Experiment 6. Confirmation of Effects 7. Process Standardization (if Done) 8. Planning Next Step (Learning Cycle) Plan Do Check Act
  • 55. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 55 ARA TRAINING Scheduling Problem Solving  Point 1: Complexity is Not Your Friend  Save Invention For Where it Adds Value  Eliminate it Everywhere Else  “Buy” Knowledge  Point 2: What Are You Doing?  Two Parts:  How Many (PDCA) Cycles?  Time Per Cycle  What Impacts # of Cycles?  What Impacts Time Per Cycle?
  • 56. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 56 ARA TRAINING Solution  Use COL Methodology to Forecast Non-Deterministic Steps  Use PERT (or Favorite Method) to Keep Track of Tasks  Apply Best Practices (Scrubbing, Schedule Monitoring, etc.) to Minimize Deviations  Suggest Separately Estimating COL/Time For Determining Root Cause vs. Root Cause Fix (Overlap) Combine COL Forecasting With Conventional Scheduling Methods
  • 57. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 57 ARA TRAINING COL Problem Solving Flowchart Low Solar Cell Efficiency Photon Loss Carrier Loss Electrical Loss Front Texture Problem (2 COL) ARC Problem (3 COL) Back Contact Problem (4 COL) Junction Problem (5 COL) Front Electrode Passivation (4 COL) Gridline Problem (2 COL) Lifetime Problem (3 COL) Contributes? Contributes? If ARC ~ 3 Mth If FT ~5 Mth If BC ~ 2 Mth Start: T = 0 T = ~7 Weeks T = ~12 Weeks Focus is on Driving to a Root Cause Fix
  • 58. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 58 ARA TRAINING Ultimate Test: Right Direction?  Progress or Motion ?  Entropy vs. Convergent  Consistent  Kill or Move Forward?  Repeated Slips ?  Step Back and Diagnose Issue(s)  Typical: Excess AIPs, Capability, Subject Matter Knowledge, Team Dynamics, Outside Interference, … Its OK (Good) to Get Help if Project is In Trouble
  • 59. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 59 ARA TRAINING Problem Solving Outline  Part 1: Overview of Methods (Plan)  Problem Solving Principles  Contrasting Different Approaches  PDCA / 4D & 8D Framework  D1 – D2: Form Team & Define Problem  Part 2: Step-By-Step Problem Solving (Do)  D3: Implement Containment  D4: Identify Possible Root Causes  D5: Identify Root Cause Corrective Actions  Part 3: Problem Solving Wrap-Up (Check & Act)  D6 – D8: Verify Corrective Actions, Prevent Recurrence, Document Results & Recognize Team  Appendix Part 3 Next
  • 60. Basic Problem Solving ARA (Dec 15)- © 2015 - 60 ARA TRAINING (4) Identify Possible Root Causes (3) Implement Containment (2) Define Problem (1) Form Team (7) Prevent Recurrence (8) Document Results & Recognize Team (5) Identify Root Cause Corrective Actions (6) Verify Corrective Actions 8D Process 8D Problem Solving Method