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Playing the Long Game:
Revitalize Your Digital Marketing
by Spending on the Right Customers
1. My name is Kristen Judd
2. I'm the CEO and Co-
founder of 3 Birds Marketing.
3. I'm addicted to data.
A DIFFERENT WAY TO LOOK AT YOUR DATA
A new way to think about and communicate with your
customers and prospects
A better way to spend your marketing dollars
Your customers are not a vehicle.
Your customers are not a repair order.
Your customers are not an accessory.
Your customers are not an accessory.
Your customers are not an extended warranty.
Your customers are not an extended
warranty.
Not all customers are the same.
Your customers are people with different
interests,
Too many dealers look at their customers
as their most recent transaction or treat them
like they’re all the same.
Why?
Historically dealership
data has been
structured
transactionally…
…making it difficult to
think in terms of
customer lifetime value.
Dealers have financial and non-financial data, but
difficulty joining it all together to make decisions
Dealers know surprisingly little
about their customers
Emphasis on short term revenue goals
This Month
Emphasis on short term revenue goals
This Week
Emphasis on short term revenue goals
This Weekend
z
z
z
Emphasis on short term revenue goals
TODAY !!!!
z
z
Makes it hard to get off the hamster wheel.
Are you left to trust your gut about whether
you're investing in the right things ?
How do you know if you're tripping over dollars
to get to dimes?
Understand how much customers contribute to my bottom line
Playing the Long Game with Digital
Marketing
3 Primary Learnings
1
Identify unique behavior patterns of high value customers
Playing the Long Game with Digital
Marketing
3 Primary Learnings
2
Create, acquire and retain more high value customers with engaging
communications and digital marketing
Playing the Long Game with Digital
Marketing
3 Primary Learnings
3
20%of your customers
2/3of your dealership revenue
The top
20%of customers
Have an annual spend of
$2,090
66%of your dealership revenue
Have an annual spend of only
$258
The other
80%of customers
Taking it even further
Study Overview:
Representative set of import and domestic dealerships
All customers included had at least one vehicle purchase
Merged various data sources to create full profile of each customer
Evaluated purchase and digital activity over 5-year period
Study Overview
MARKETING
CAMPAIGNS
DMSCRM
SOCIAL
3RD PARTY
DATA
Understanding LTV
Lifetime Value (Typical Dealer Customer)
Average Gross
$3,023
Typical Customer
3.1 years
2.8 service visits
1.2 vehicle purchases
Sales
73%
Service
27%
LTV (Low Value and High Value Customers)
Low Value Customers
3.1 years
1.1 service visits
1 vehicle purchase
High Value Customers
3.1 years
5.1 service visits
1.6 vehicle purchase
Average Gross
$1,586
Average Gross
$5,599
VS
Lifetime Value is normally distributed
Lifetime Value Relative to Mean
-2000 -1750 -1500 -1250 -1000 -750 -500 -250 0 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000-2000 -1750 -1500 -1250 -1000 -750 -500 -250 0 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000-2000 -1750 -1500 -1250 -1000 -750 -500 -250 0 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000
Above Average vs. Below Average Customers
Average ValueBelow Average Above Average
Above Average vs. Below Average Customers
Above Average Customers
Average ValueBelow Average Above Average
Highest Value vs. Lowest Value Customers
Average ValueBelow Average Above Average
Lowest Value
Customers
Highest Value
Customers
Sales and Service Traits
Customers have propensities based on sales, service characteristics
Average Value
Sales and Service Traits
Customers have propensities based on sales, service characteristics
Average Value
Lease (89%) Finance (114%)
Sales and Service Traits
Customers have propensities based on sales, service characteristics
Average Value
New Vehicle (84%)
Used Vehicle (115%)
Lease (89%) Finance (114%)
Sales and Service Traits
Customers have propensities based on sales, service characteristics
Average Value
New Vehicle (84%)
Used Vehicle (115%)
0-15 Miles (105%)
21-50 Miles (86%)
Lease (89%) Finance (114%)
Sales and Service Traits
Customers have propensities based on sales, service characteristics
Average Value
No Svc Visits (83%) 6 Svc Visits over lifetime (122%)
New Vehicle (84%)
Used Vehicle (115%)
0-15 Miles (105%)
21-50 Miles (86%)
Lease (89%) Finance (114%)
Highest Value vs. Lowest Value Customers
Average ValueBelow Average Above Average
Lowest Value
Customers
Highest Value
Customers
Buy vehicles with
cash
No service visits
Make up only 10%
of total revenue
generated
More than 5 service
visits per year
34% higher email
penetration and
engagement
Live within 0-5
miles of the store
How Behavior Patterns Translate into
Activity
2.13
3.81
Below Avg Above Avg.
+79%
Above Average Customers
Have 79% More Service Visits
Highest Value Customers
Have 803% More Service Visits
803%
Increase
0.91
8.22
Highest ValueLowest Value
Above Average Customers
Have 26% More Vehicle Purchases
1.07
1.35
Below Avg Above Avg.
+26%
116%
Increase
1.01
2.18
Highest ValueLowest Value
Highest Value Customers
Have 116% More Vehicle Purchases
17.1%
18.4%
Below Avg Above Avg.
Above Average Customers
Engage With Your Email Communications More
+8%
27%
Increase8%
35%
Highest ValueLowest Value
Highest Value Customers
Engage With Your Email Communications WAY
More
How to Invest Marketing Dollars
to Create, Engage and Retain High
Value Customers
Ensure segments have meaningful differences in value potential
$ $$ $$$ $$$$
Step 1 Differentiate on Value
Focus on how customers act after you segment them not before!
Zip Code
Vehicle Type
Model Year
Income
Gender
STATIC
Time Since Last Visit
Frequency of Visits
Avg. Transaction Amount
Appointments
HISTORICAL
Likely to Get an Oil Change
Likely to Engage via Email
Likely to Buy a Vehicle
Likely to Visit Website
Likes and dislikes
PREDICTIVE/
DEMONSTRATED INTEREST
Step 2 Look Forward
Step 3 Incorporate Digital Perspective
What Segmentation Could Look Like
Data is from representation sample of over 100K customers
Segmentation Drivers
Likely to purchase
Likely to engage
Sample Approach
Elite
Potential
Average
At Risk
Disaffected
Highest Value Customers
Lowest Value Customers
Data is from representation sample of over 100K customers
92x
service purchase rate
Post Segmentation Results
0.6%
8%
14%
27%
56%
Disaffected
At Risk
Average
Potential
Elite
6-Month Service Rate
Predictive Power
Data is from representation sample of over 100K customers
0.1%
0.2%
11.2%
18.6%
23.9%
Disaffected
At Risk
Average
Potential
Elite
Digital Engagement Rate
290x
engagement rate
Digitally Relevant
Post Segmentation Results
Data is from representation sample of over 100K customers
Post Segmentation Results
$45
$57
$219
$326
$771
Disaffected
At Risk
Average
Potential
Elite
6-Month Revenue
Value Driven
Data is from representation sample of over 100K customers
16x
Higher revenue
Post Segmentation Results
2%
6%
28%
35%
29%
Disaffected
At Risk
Average
Potential
Elite
Expected Revenue Contribution
92% of Future Value Potential
INVEST MORE
Strategy Shift Your Dollars
Predicted Revenue in Next 6 Months
Taking Action
Tailor messaging to current automotive
needs
and demonstrated interest to create
better consumer experiences
Current Automotive Need Path
61
Higher value customers identified as likely having a
current automotive need
New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
62
Current automotive need
New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
63
Higher value customers identified as likely having a
current automotive need
New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
64
Current automotive need
New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
65
Higher value customers identified as likely having a
current automotive need
New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
66
Current automotive need
New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
67
Move through the stages providing relevance and
friction-free experiences
$40,851 $64,372
Tailor Messaging to Demonstrated
Interests
Strategy Customize the Experience to
Demonstrated Interests
Enrich their online experience
Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
Needs a
service loaner
Enjoys the
latest tech
Worried about
safety
Obsessed
with saving
time
Repurchase prior
to end of finance
term
Needs a
service loaner
Enjoys the
latest tech
Worried about
safety
Obsessed
with saving
time
Repurchase prior
to end of finance
term
Strategy Customize the Experience to
Demonstrated Interests
Enrich their online experience
Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
Needs a
service loaner
Enjoys the
latest tech
Worried about
safety
Obsessed
with saving
time
Repurchase prior
to end of finance
term
Strategy 3 Customize the Experience
Enrich their online experience
Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
Needs a
service loaner
Enjoys the
latest tech
Worried about
safety
Obsessed
with saving
time
Repurchase prior
to end of finance
term
Strategy Customize the Experience to
Demonstrated Interests
Enrich their online experience
Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
Needs a
service loaner
Enjoys the
latest tech
Worried about
safety
Obsessed
with saving
time
Repurchase prior
to end of finance
term
Strategy Customize the Experience to
Demonstrated Interests
Enrich their online experience
Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
Needs a
service loaner
Enjoys the
latest tech
Worried about
safety
Obsessed
with saving
time
Repurchase prior
to end of finance
term
Strategy 3 Customize the Experience
Enrich their online experience
Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
Benefits Engage, Engage, Engage
Benefits of Non-Promotional Content
+63% Clicks
+61% Service Visits
+28% Vehicle Purchases
Based on approximately 500K contacts from sample of campaigns from dealers
New Models
Store Events
Vehicle Education
Lifestyle
Examples of
Non-Promotional Content
Segment your customers into value segments
Getting Started with a Simple Approach
1
Invest more in your high value and high potential segments
Getting Started with a Simple Approach
2
Use LTV segmentation and predictive modeling to
tailor highly relevant messaging
Getting Started with a Simple Approach
3
Leverage high return digital channels to track customer intent,
fuel predictive models and develop additional data
Getting Started with a Simple Approach
4
THANK YOU!
Kristen Judd
www.3birdsmarketing.com
Kristen@3birdsmarketing.com
415-235-3902 | @kwjudd
Booth #332

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Playing the Long Game: Revitalize Your Digital Marketing by Spending on the Right Customers

  • 1. Playing the Long Game: Revitalize Your Digital Marketing by Spending on the Right Customers
  • 2. 1. My name is Kristen Judd 2. I'm the CEO and Co- founder of 3 Birds Marketing. 3. I'm addicted to data.
  • 3. A DIFFERENT WAY TO LOOK AT YOUR DATA A new way to think about and communicate with your customers and prospects A better way to spend your marketing dollars
  • 4. Your customers are not a vehicle.
  • 5. Your customers are not a repair order.
  • 6. Your customers are not an accessory. Your customers are not an accessory.
  • 7. Your customers are not an extended warranty. Your customers are not an extended warranty.
  • 8. Not all customers are the same.
  • 9. Your customers are people with different interests,
  • 10. Too many dealers look at their customers as their most recent transaction or treat them like they’re all the same. Why?
  • 11. Historically dealership data has been structured transactionally… …making it difficult to think in terms of customer lifetime value.
  • 12. Dealers have financial and non-financial data, but difficulty joining it all together to make decisions
  • 13. Dealers know surprisingly little about their customers
  • 14. Emphasis on short term revenue goals This Month
  • 15. Emphasis on short term revenue goals This Week
  • 16. Emphasis on short term revenue goals This Weekend z z z
  • 17. Emphasis on short term revenue goals TODAY !!!! z z
  • 18. Makes it hard to get off the hamster wheel.
  • 19. Are you left to trust your gut about whether you're investing in the right things ? How do you know if you're tripping over dollars to get to dimes?
  • 20. Understand how much customers contribute to my bottom line Playing the Long Game with Digital Marketing 3 Primary Learnings 1
  • 21. Identify unique behavior patterns of high value customers Playing the Long Game with Digital Marketing 3 Primary Learnings 2
  • 22. Create, acquire and retain more high value customers with engaging communications and digital marketing Playing the Long Game with Digital Marketing 3 Primary Learnings 3
  • 23. 20%of your customers 2/3of your dealership revenue
  • 24. The top 20%of customers Have an annual spend of $2,090
  • 25. 66%of your dealership revenue Have an annual spend of only $258 The other 80%of customers
  • 26. Taking it even further Study Overview: Representative set of import and domestic dealerships All customers included had at least one vehicle purchase Merged various data sources to create full profile of each customer Evaluated purchase and digital activity over 5-year period
  • 29. Lifetime Value (Typical Dealer Customer) Average Gross $3,023 Typical Customer 3.1 years 2.8 service visits 1.2 vehicle purchases Sales 73% Service 27%
  • 30. LTV (Low Value and High Value Customers) Low Value Customers 3.1 years 1.1 service visits 1 vehicle purchase High Value Customers 3.1 years 5.1 service visits 1.6 vehicle purchase Average Gross $1,586 Average Gross $5,599 VS
  • 31. Lifetime Value is normally distributed Lifetime Value Relative to Mean -2000 -1750 -1500 -1250 -1000 -750 -500 -250 0 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000-2000 -1750 -1500 -1250 -1000 -750 -500 -250 0 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000-2000 -1750 -1500 -1250 -1000 -750 -500 -250 0 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000
  • 32. Above Average vs. Below Average Customers Average ValueBelow Average Above Average
  • 33. Above Average vs. Below Average Customers Above Average Customers Average ValueBelow Average Above Average
  • 34. Highest Value vs. Lowest Value Customers Average ValueBelow Average Above Average Lowest Value Customers Highest Value Customers
  • 35. Sales and Service Traits Customers have propensities based on sales, service characteristics Average Value
  • 36. Sales and Service Traits Customers have propensities based on sales, service characteristics Average Value Lease (89%) Finance (114%)
  • 37. Sales and Service Traits Customers have propensities based on sales, service characteristics Average Value New Vehicle (84%) Used Vehicle (115%) Lease (89%) Finance (114%)
  • 38. Sales and Service Traits Customers have propensities based on sales, service characteristics Average Value New Vehicle (84%) Used Vehicle (115%) 0-15 Miles (105%) 21-50 Miles (86%) Lease (89%) Finance (114%)
  • 39. Sales and Service Traits Customers have propensities based on sales, service characteristics Average Value No Svc Visits (83%) 6 Svc Visits over lifetime (122%) New Vehicle (84%) Used Vehicle (115%) 0-15 Miles (105%) 21-50 Miles (86%) Lease (89%) Finance (114%)
  • 40. Highest Value vs. Lowest Value Customers Average ValueBelow Average Above Average Lowest Value Customers Highest Value Customers Buy vehicles with cash No service visits Make up only 10% of total revenue generated More than 5 service visits per year 34% higher email penetration and engagement Live within 0-5 miles of the store
  • 41. How Behavior Patterns Translate into Activity
  • 42. 2.13 3.81 Below Avg Above Avg. +79% Above Average Customers Have 79% More Service Visits
  • 43. Highest Value Customers Have 803% More Service Visits 803% Increase 0.91 8.22 Highest ValueLowest Value
  • 44. Above Average Customers Have 26% More Vehicle Purchases 1.07 1.35 Below Avg Above Avg. +26%
  • 45. 116% Increase 1.01 2.18 Highest ValueLowest Value Highest Value Customers Have 116% More Vehicle Purchases
  • 46. 17.1% 18.4% Below Avg Above Avg. Above Average Customers Engage With Your Email Communications More +8%
  • 47. 27% Increase8% 35% Highest ValueLowest Value Highest Value Customers Engage With Your Email Communications WAY More
  • 48. How to Invest Marketing Dollars to Create, Engage and Retain High Value Customers
  • 49. Ensure segments have meaningful differences in value potential $ $$ $$$ $$$$ Step 1 Differentiate on Value
  • 50. Focus on how customers act after you segment them not before! Zip Code Vehicle Type Model Year Income Gender STATIC Time Since Last Visit Frequency of Visits Avg. Transaction Amount Appointments HISTORICAL Likely to Get an Oil Change Likely to Engage via Email Likely to Buy a Vehicle Likely to Visit Website Likes and dislikes PREDICTIVE/ DEMONSTRATED INTEREST Step 2 Look Forward
  • 51. Step 3 Incorporate Digital Perspective
  • 53. Data is from representation sample of over 100K customers Segmentation Drivers Likely to purchase Likely to engage Sample Approach Elite Potential Average At Risk Disaffected Highest Value Customers Lowest Value Customers
  • 54. Data is from representation sample of over 100K customers 92x service purchase rate Post Segmentation Results 0.6% 8% 14% 27% 56% Disaffected At Risk Average Potential Elite 6-Month Service Rate Predictive Power
  • 55. Data is from representation sample of over 100K customers 0.1% 0.2% 11.2% 18.6% 23.9% Disaffected At Risk Average Potential Elite Digital Engagement Rate 290x engagement rate Digitally Relevant Post Segmentation Results
  • 56. Data is from representation sample of over 100K customers Post Segmentation Results $45 $57 $219 $326 $771 Disaffected At Risk Average Potential Elite 6-Month Revenue Value Driven Data is from representation sample of over 100K customers 16x Higher revenue Post Segmentation Results
  • 57. 2% 6% 28% 35% 29% Disaffected At Risk Average Potential Elite Expected Revenue Contribution 92% of Future Value Potential INVEST MORE Strategy Shift Your Dollars Predicted Revenue in Next 6 Months
  • 59. Tailor messaging to current automotive needs and demonstrated interest to create better consumer experiences
  • 61. 61 Higher value customers identified as likely having a current automotive need New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
  • 62. 62 Current automotive need New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
  • 63. 63 Higher value customers identified as likely having a current automotive need New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
  • 64. 64 Current automotive need New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
  • 65. 65 Higher value customers identified as likely having a current automotive need New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
  • 66. 66 Current automotive need New Incentives Follow-Up Trade Tool
  • 67. 67 Move through the stages providing relevance and friction-free experiences $40,851 $64,372
  • 68. Tailor Messaging to Demonstrated Interests
  • 69. Strategy Customize the Experience to Demonstrated Interests Enrich their online experience Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest Needs a service loaner Enjoys the latest tech Worried about safety Obsessed with saving time Repurchase prior to end of finance term
  • 70. Needs a service loaner Enjoys the latest tech Worried about safety Obsessed with saving time Repurchase prior to end of finance term Strategy Customize the Experience to Demonstrated Interests Enrich their online experience Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
  • 71. Needs a service loaner Enjoys the latest tech Worried about safety Obsessed with saving time Repurchase prior to end of finance term Strategy 3 Customize the Experience Enrich their online experience Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
  • 72. Needs a service loaner Enjoys the latest tech Worried about safety Obsessed with saving time Repurchase prior to end of finance term Strategy Customize the Experience to Demonstrated Interests Enrich their online experience Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
  • 73. Needs a service loaner Enjoys the latest tech Worried about safety Obsessed with saving time Repurchase prior to end of finance term Strategy Customize the Experience to Demonstrated Interests Enrich their online experience Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
  • 74. Needs a service loaner Enjoys the latest tech Worried about safety Obsessed with saving time Repurchase prior to end of finance term Strategy 3 Customize the Experience Enrich their online experience Understand a customer’s preferences and demonstrated interest
  • 75. Benefits Engage, Engage, Engage Benefits of Non-Promotional Content +63% Clicks +61% Service Visits +28% Vehicle Purchases Based on approximately 500K contacts from sample of campaigns from dealers New Models Store Events Vehicle Education Lifestyle Examples of Non-Promotional Content
  • 76. Segment your customers into value segments Getting Started with a Simple Approach 1
  • 77. Invest more in your high value and high potential segments Getting Started with a Simple Approach 2
  • 78. Use LTV segmentation and predictive modeling to tailor highly relevant messaging Getting Started with a Simple Approach 3
  • 79. Leverage high return digital channels to track customer intent, fuel predictive models and develop additional data Getting Started with a Simple Approach 4