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Geography Awareness Week 2009




                                                      
                                 Comments on 
                     ‘GIS and GeoSkills: New Ways to Achieve  
                        New Evidence for Better Decisions’  
                                                      
                 
                                                     
                                                     
                                            Dr. Barry Wellar  
                                     Professor Emeritus of Geography and  
                                       Distinguished Geomatics Scientist,  
                                  Lab for Applied Geomatics and GIS Science  
                                             University of Ottawa, 
                                Program Director, Geography Awareness Week,  
                                     Canadian Association of Geographers 
                                              wellarb@uottawa.ca 
                                         http://www.wellarconsulting.com/ 
                                                           
                                                      
                 
                 
                                                      
                                  Comments on the PowerPoint Slides   
                                    GIS Day 2009 Keynote Address 
                                         University of Ottawa 
                                                    
                 
                                                       
                                                      
                                           November 18, 2009 
                                                   


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Barry Wellar                                                                    A   0
GIS Day 2009                                                                    W   9
Geography Awareness Week 2009
                                    Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS :
                                    New Ways to Achieve New Evidence
                                         for Better Decisions’


                SLIDE 1. Background. The PowerPoint slides prepared for the GIS Day presentation can 
                be  used  in  various  ways,  and  are  subject  to  various  interpretations.  The  intent  of  his 
                paper  is  to  outline  the  reasons  for  each  slide,  and  to  briefly  expand  the  texts  for  the 
                benefit of those unable to attend the presentation. 
                                                                        
                SLIDE  2.    Need  for  new  ways  to  achieve  new  evidence.  The  central  thesis  of  the 
                presentation is that Canada is in need of better decisions on a variety of fronts, and that 
                new  ways  of  obtaining  new  evidence  to  support  better  decisions  are  a  critical  key  to 
                achieving  improved  decision  making.  The  associated,  companion  thesis  is  that  better 
                decisions are the product of rational thought processes imbedded in one's brain, and on 
                knowledge of the various methodologies used in decision making. Casual reliance on the  
                “anatomical sourcing” approach, on the other hand, may be cause for grief. 
                 
                SLIDES  3,  4,  5,  6,  7,  8,  and  9.  Are  better  decisions  required  on  a  variety  of  fronts?  28 
                topics  covering  all  the  theme  days  are  listed  in  slides  3‐9;  each  of  the  topics  has  been 
                around for a decade or more and in some cases for many decades, all of them have been 
                identified as Problematic with a capital “P”, none of them appears to be moving closer to 
                resolution with the passage of time, and the list could easily be expanded to 50, 60, 70, 
                or  more  entries.  Throw  in  the  interdependent  infrastructures  aspect  with  its  cascading 
                effect,  and  the  need  for  better  decisions  involving  many  decision  points  goes  way 
                beyond overwhelming. 
                 
                SLIDES 10, 11, and 12. Why new ways to achieve new evidence? The topics listed in slides 
                3‐9,  and  many  others  identified  in  daily  and  weekly  newspapers  and  other  media, 
                involve  orders  of  complexity  that  call  for  answers  derived  from    rational  thought 
                processes  imbedded  in  one's  brain,  and  on  knowledge  of  the  various  methodologies 
                used in decision making.  
                 
                Unfortunately, analysis of media reports, and news releases and reports by governments 
                and  businesses,  for  example,  indicates  that  while  some  opinions  and  decisions  of 
                individuals and entities appear to be based on rational thought processes imbedded in 
                one's brain, and on knowledge of the various methodologies used in decision making, it 
                appears  clear  that  many  more  choices,  selections,  priorities,  etc.,  are  seemingly  the 
                result of opting for the other kinds of anatomical sourcing noted in slides 10 and 11.  
                 
                SLIDE 12. Whose brains? There are many contributors to the respective problem domains 
                identified  in  slides  3‐9,  and  there  is  not  even  one  likely  case  in  which  a  sole  decision 
                maker,  including  powerhouses  such  as  the  United  Nations  and  the  World  Bank,  can 
                effectively and fully deal with the situation. 
                 
                The fact that there is a spatial aspect to every one of the domains underlines both: 1) the 
                need  to  include  geographic  considerations  in  the  decision  process  and  in  the  preferred 
                outcome; and 2) the need to express those geographic considerations in ways that can 


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                                     Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS :
                                     New Ways to Achieve New Evidence
                                          for Better Decisions’


                 be  understood  by  all  the  contributors  to  the  problems  and  their  respective  solutions. 
                 Geography Awareness Week has due regard for that two‐part premise. 
                   
                 SLIDE 14.  New ways to achieve new evidence? As shown by slide 14, there are at least 
                 20 separate ways that GIS and geoskills contribute to deriving evidence about the past, 
                 present,  and  future  states  of  affairs  involving  the  topics  listed  in  slides  3‐9.  And,  there 
                 are many more ways when combinations of ways are used.  
                  
                 Further,  as  the  alert  reader  will  have  already  ascertained,  GIS  and  geoskills  are  major 
                 contributors  to  the  bodies  of  evidence  presented  in  or  referred  to  in  the  150  websites 
                 that  have  been  identified  for  inclusion  in  the  Theme  Days  component  of  Geography 
                 Awareness Week. 
                  
                 It  has  already  been  established  that  GIS  and  geoskills  are  “new  ways  of  achieving  new 
                 evidence”, but there is more, much more that could be  done and should be done. The 
                 next 12 slides provide the basis for such an assertion. 
                  
                 SLIDE 15. An example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence? Check out 
                 the Applied Geography Showcase at: 
                 http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/Applied_Geography_Showcase.pdf 
                  
                 It  is  reasonable  to  expect  that  a  concerted  effort  would  readily  increase  the  Applied 
                 Showcase to 100 entries. In view of the high rate of return that is likely to flow to the 
                 sponsor(s) of such an effort, it appears reasonable to expect that federal, provincial, and 
                 municipal  governments,  as  well  as  firms  in  the  GIS  and  geoskills  industries,  will  turn 
                 increased  attention  to  creating  or  embracing  opportunities  to  expand  the  array  of 
                 materials contained in the CAG’s Applied Geography Showcase, or a variation thereof.  
                  
                 SLIDE 16. Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence? Check 
                 out the Guide to Applied Geography Resources at 
                 http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/GAW_2009_Guide_Applied_Resources.pdf 
                  
                 The  body  of  applied  geography  resources  in  Canada  far  exceeds  those  which  are  listed 
                 here for illustrative purposes. In view of the high rate of return that is likely to flow to 
                 the sponsor(s) of such an effort, it appears reasonable to expect that federal, provincial, 
                 and  municipal  governments,  as well  as  firms  in  the  GIS  and  geoskills  industries,  and  of 
                 course  university  and  college  departments,  as  well  as  professional  and  technical 
                 associations, will turn increased attention to marketing or promoting the opportunities 
                 which  they  provide  to  the  users,  consumers,  etc.,  of  applied  geography  products  and 
                 services. 
                       
                  
                  


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                                    Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS :
                                    New Ways to Achieve New Evidence
                                         for Better Decisions’


                 SLIDE 17. Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence? Check 
                 out the GeoSkills Showcase at 
                  http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/GAW2009_GeoSkills.pdf 
                  
                 It  is  reasonable  to  expect  that  a  concerted  effort  would  readily  increase  the  GeoSkills 
                 Showcase to many hundreds of entries. 
                  
                 One very useful avenue to pursue is for professional and technical associations to survey 
                 their members, or to pull the materials from files if a survey has already been done, and 
                 assemble Internet‐based compilations of work, perhaps along the lines of the GeoSkills 
                 Showcase model, that can be readily examined by anyone with access to a computer. 
                  
                 SLIDE 18. Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence?  
                 Check out the Guide to GeoSkills Resources at 
                 http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/GAW_2009_Guide_GeoSkills_Resources.pdf 
                  
                 The body of geoskills resources in Canada far, far exceeds those which are listed here for 
                 illustrative purposes. It is expected that as time goes on, a more comprehensive listing 
                 will be compiled by an organization which has the most to gain from such an initiative. 
                  
                 SLIDE 19.  Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence?  
                 Check out the Theme Day websites at 
                 http://www.cag‐acg.ca/en/geography_week_2009.html 
                  
                 The focus of Theme Days is on non‐academic websites, and the 150 websites selected to 
                 date demonstrate a strong, national capability to obtain evidence of a spatial nature in a 
                 variety ways for a wide range of exploratory and confirmatory types of studies. 
                  
                 I hasten to add here that although the theme day topics are of considerable scope, the 
                 consideration of other topics would no doubt substantially increase the ways that non‐
                 academic  websites  inform  us  about  how  GIS  and  geoskills  enable  us  to  achieve  new 
                 evidence. Further, explicit regard for the materials on websites of academic institutions, 
                 including  course  outlines,  research  reports,  and  dissertations  and  theses,  would  no 
                 doubt introduce even more new and different ways of achieving new spatial evidence.  
                  
                 SLIDE 20.  Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence?  
                 Check out the GIS Day websites at 
                 http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/GIS_Day.pdf, and 
                 http://www.esricanada.com/english/7301.asp 
                  
                 GIS  Day  is  an  event  held  at  many  universities  and  colleges  across  Canada,  and  is  also 
                 “celebrated” by municipal, provincial, and federal departments, as well as by firms and 
                 other  organizations.  The  websites  accessible  through  the  links  in  this  presentation 


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                                   Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS :
                                   New Ways to Achieve New Evidence
                                        for Better Decisions’


                provide  an  important  but  limited  picture  of  the  many  and  varied  ways  that  GIS 
                contributes to achieving new evidence of a spatial nature.  
                 
                SLIDE 21.  Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence?  
                Check out professional organizations such as the Urban and  
                Regional Information Systems Association at http://www.urisa.org/.  
                 
                This organization has been around for more than 45 years, and is probably the leading 
                source  of  documentation  on  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  contribute  to  deriving 
                evidence about the urban and regional aspects of many of the topics listed in slides 3‐9, 
                and dozens of other topics as well.  
                 
                In  addition  to  URISA,  there  are  a  number  of  other  professional  and  technical 
                organizations, including those of geographers, engineers, surveyors, cartographers, and 
                geomaticians which also make valuable contributions to the ways that GIS and geoskills 
                assist in achieving new evidence of a spatial nature.  
                 
                SLIDE 22.  Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence?  
                Check  out  GIS  Day  poster  events  at  universities  and  colleges.  By  way  of  illustration, 
                posters  have  been  a  popular  GIS  Day  event  at  the  University  of  Ottawa  and  Carleton 
                University for many years, and a particularly important feature of this activity is that it 
                requires students to think about why and how they are going to obtain the data needed 
                for a spatial project. The only way to succeed at the highest level in such a mission is to 
                call on the   rational thought processes imbedded in one's brain, and on knowledge of 
                the various methodologies used in decision making. More on this when I get to slide 26.  
                 
                SLIDE 23.  On the path to better decisions. Former U. S. Senator Everett Dirksen (Illinois) 
                is credited with the admission, “When I feel the heat I see the light”. In my experience a 
                first  step  on  the  path  to  more  enlightened  decision  making  is  by  applying  some  heat 
                through  questions  that  leave  no  wriggle  room.  One  such  question  that  I  have  used  to 
                considerable effect, and commend to others without reservation is:  
                 
                        What are the names of the decision‐making methodologies that you use when 
                        making decisions?  
                 
                It is my associated experience that this question often leaves the recipients looking like 
                ‘deer caught in the headlights’. However, if your question‐answer sessions are invariably 
                good  ones,  that  is,  the  persons  to  whom  your  questions  are  addressed  are 
                knowledgeable about decision methodologies, then jump to slide 27.  
                 
                SLIDE 24.  Plodding along the path to better decisions. I have asked the methodologies 
                question many times, and rarely have I had a reply on the first go‐around. Be prepared to 
                hear “What was the question again”, and be prepared to re‐pose the question,  


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Barry Wellar                                                    5                                                     A   0
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GIS Day 2009                                                                                                          W   9
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                                       Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS :
                                       New Ways to Achieve New Evidence
                                            for Better Decisions’


                         What are the names of the decision‐making methodologies that you use when 
                         making decisions? 
                
                   SLIDE 25.  Sometimes one encounters a little “music” along the path to better decisions. 
                   Be  prepared  to  hear  strains  of  the  Humma,  Humma,  Humma  chorus  instead  of  an 
                   informed answer, and be prepared to shift gears. It is quite possible that your would‐be 
                   respondent has little or no clue about the methodologies used in decision making, and it 
                   is appropriate to move on. One approach that may help to stimulate brain cells is to give 
                   him  or  her  some  names  of  decision  methods  and  techniques  to  raise  the  level  of  the 
                   discussion, and see what happens.  
                    
                   The names of methods and techniques listed in Slide 26 may serve as ice breakers, but it 
                   is useful to bear in mind that several hundred names of methods and techniques could 
                   be brought into the discussion. Heads up! 
                    
                   SLIDE  26.  Getting  a  handle  on  decision  methods  and  techniques.  This  slide  contains  a 
                   selection of the names of methods and techniques that were included in a report that I 
                   prepared  for  Transport  Canada  on  decisions  to  identify,  adopt,  and  implement 
                   sustainable  transport  practices.  The  2008  report  is  titled  Methods  and  Techniques  that 
                   Could  be  Used  in  Making  Decisions  about  Identifying,  Adopting,  or  Implementing 
                   Sustainable  Transport  Practices.  (Research  Report  1,  Transport  Canada  Project, 
                   Methodologies  for  Identifying  and  Ranking  Sustainable  Transport  Practices  in  Urban 
                   Regions). It can be viewed at http://www.wellarconsulting.com/. 
                    
                   The  list  of  34  methods  and  techniques  is  indicative,  that  is,  an  expanded  version  is 
                   needed  to  cover  all  the  aspects  of  the  transport  sector,  and  a  much‐expanded  list  is 
                   needed  to  serve  the  topics  embraced  by  the  other  four  themes  (weather  and  climate; 
                   water;  energy;  and  food  and  health)  which  are  core  components  of  the  Geography 
                   Awareness Week design prepared for the CAG.  
                    
                   Following  from  slides  23,  24,  and  25,  it  might  be  highly  instructive  to  ask  municipal 
                   councillors and mayors, members of provincial and federal governments, and all manner 
                   of people who make  decisions in the public interest,  for their lists of the names of the 
                   methods and techniques that they use when making decisions about specific issues. And, 
                   for  a  variety  of  reasons  it  could  be  highly  instructive  for  investors  and  shareholders  to 
                   ask  corporations  in  the  mining,  manufacturing,  construction,  retailing,  wholesaling, 
                   investment,  banking,  forestry,  building,  trucking,  communications,  resource,  and  other 
                   sectors  to  list  the  names  of  the  methods  and  techniques  that  they  use  when  making 
                   decisions of any kind, and especially those of a spatial nature.   
                    
                   SLIDE  27.  The  big  pay‐off  combines  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  provide  evidence 
                   (Slide 14) with the methods and techniques of rational decision making (Slide 26). Many 
                   of the ways of obtaining evidence via GIS and geoskills have been around for decades, as 


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Barry Wellar                                                         6                                                        A   0
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GIS Day 2009                                                                                                                  W   9
Geography Awareness Week 2009
                                    Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS :
                                    New Ways to Achieve New Evidence
                                         for Better Decisions’


                have many of the decision methods and techniques. However, we are in the very early 
                stages  of  figuring  out  how  to  best  combine  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  provide 
                evidence with the methods and techniques of rational decision making. 
                 
                It  is  clear  that  this  making  connections  mission  is  a  formidable  task.  However,  it  is 
                equally  clear  that  if  we  do  not  pursue  this  avenue  with  imagination,  diligence,  and 
                resolve,  the  issues  associated  with  slides  3‐9  will  be  a  drop  in  the  bucket  compared  to 
                what awaits us in a decade or so. 
                 
                SLIDE 28. The big pay‐off is all wrapped up in a neat little graphic. The graphic in slide 28 
                warrants repeating because it summarizes the key point of this presentation.  
                 
                 
                 
                                      
                                                    GIS and GeoSkills 
                                                            X 
                                           Decision Methods and Techniques 
                                                              
                                                  = BETTER DECISIONS 
                 
                 
                 
                Moreover,  I  suggest,  this  neat  little  graphic  serves  the  larger  purpose  of  explicitly 
                connecting  GIS  and  geoskills  with  decision  methods  and  techniques  to  obtain  better 
                decisions.  As  a  result,  it  can  be  used  as  a  design  instrument  in  operations,  evaluation, 
                performance measurement, and other functions of governments, businesses, etc. 
                                                                       
                SLIDES  29,  30,  31.  Background  to  the  are,  could,  should  distinction  and  relationship. 
                Significant,  fundamental  differences  exist  between  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  are 
                used, could be used, and should be used to obtain evidence, and significant, fundamental 
                differences exist between the methods and techniques that are used, could be used, and 
                should  be  used  to  assist  in  making  decisions.  And,  by  extension,  therefore,  significant, 
                fundamental  differences  also  exist  between  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  are 
                combined,  could  be  combined,  and  should  be  combined  with  decision  methods  and 
                techniques to achieve better decisions.  
                 
                For  further  discussion  of  this  research  design  issue,  see  Methods  and  Techniques  that 
                Could  be  Used  in  Making  Decisions  about  Identifying,  Adopting,  or  Implementing 
                Sustainable  Transport  Practices.  (Research  Report  1,  Transport  Canada  Project, 



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Barry Wellar                                                      7                                                       A   0
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GIS Day 2009                                                                                                              W   9
Geography Awareness Week 2009
                                        Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS :
                                        New Ways to Achieve New Evidence
                                             for Better Decisions’


                    Methodologies  for  Identifying  and  Ranking  Sustainable  Transport  Practices  in  Urban 
                    Regions) at: http://www.wellarconsulting.com/ 
                     
                    SLIDE 29. Building Casebook 1 to demonstrate how GIS and geoskills are combined with 
                    decision methods and techniques to produce better decisions. Professional organizations 
                    such as the Urban and Regional Information Systems Association already have entries on 
                    file  in  their  proceedings  and  journals  to  contribute  to  Casebook  1,  as  do  government 
                    agencies and business firms. 
                     
                    I  believe  it  is  important  for  economic,  good  governance,  research  and  development, 
                    quality of life, and other reasons, for Canada’s GIS and geoskiils communities to lead the 
                    way  in  designing  and  contributing  to  Casebook  1.  That  said,  members  of  the  GIS  and 
                    geoskills communities can take as a condition of success that the degree to which they 
                    succeed  with  Casebook  1  is  directly  affected  by  the  extent  that  they  build  thoughtful, 
                    interactive  bridges  with  the  methods  and  techniques  communities  in  government, 
                    business, and academia. 
                 
                    SLIDE 30. Building Casebook 2 to demonstrate how GIS and geoskills could be combined 
                    with decision methods and techniques to produce better decisions. Arguments similar to 
                    those  made  for  slide  28  are  applicable  here,  but  the  scope  of  the  story  has  changed 
                    considerably  because  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  could  be  combined  with  decision 
                    methods  and  techniques  far  exceed  those  that  are  in  place.  It  follows,  therefore,  that 
                    Casebook  2  must  be  very  carefully  designed  in  order  to  not  collapse  under  its  own 
                    weight! 
                     
                    SLIDE 31. Building Casebook 3 to demonstrate how GIS and geoskills should be combined 
                    with  decision  methods  and  techniques  to  produce  better  decisions.  Casebook  3  is  the 
                    challenge  of  challenges  for  three  reasons  in  particular.  First,  relatively  little 
                    methodological  effort  has  gone  into  ascertaining  which  of  the    ways  of  obtaining 
                    evidence  via  GIS  and  geoskills  are  best  for  which  kinds  of  decisions.  Second,  relatively 
                    little  methodological  effort  has  gone  into  ascertaining  which  decision  methods  and 
                    techniques are best for making which kinds of decisions. Third, by extension, even less 
                    methodological effort has gone into ascertaining how to best combine GIS and geoskills 
                    with decision methods and techniques in order to achieve better decisions. 
                     
                    I  expect  that  Casebook  3  will  be  a  work‐in‐progress  for  many  years,  but  if  anyone  is 
                    discouraged by this prospect take another look at slides 3‐9.  
                     
                    As  noted  above,  the  28  topics  could  easily  be  increased  to  50,  60  or  70  or  more,  all  of 
                    which are as problematic as those listed. And, for numerous examples of decisions made 
                    via the non‐brain, anatomical sourcing route, review just three or four daily newspapers 
                    for a week. Yes, work on Casebook 3 will be a tough slog, but it will be a walk in the park 
                    compared  to  the  challenge  of  coping  with  further  deterioration  of  the  things  already 


                                                                                                                                 G   2
Barry Wellar                                                           8                                                         A   0
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GIS Day 2009                                                                                                                     W   9
Geography Awareness Week 2009
                                    Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS :
                                    New Ways to Achieve New Evidence
                                         for Better Decisions’


                gone    wrong  and  going  wrong,  compounded  by  the  continuing  inability  of    failed 
                decision‐making processes to produce needed, better decisions. 
                 
                SLIDE  32.  Let’s  get  it  done.  As  illustrated  by  slides  3‐9,  the  bad  news  is  that  Earth  and 
                Canada face a number of major social, economic, environmental, governance, and other 
                challenges of a spatial nature, and few if any of them are self‐correcting. The good news 
                is  that  the  GIS  and  geoskills  communities  have  a  distinguished  record  of  devising  new 
                ways to achieve new evidence for better decision making. 
                 
                However, if the good news is to effectively contribute to dealing with the bad news, then 
                two outreach efforts must be instituted. First, while the ways of obtaining new evidence 
                continue to improve, much more must be done to effectively connect with the methods 
                and techniques communities.  
                 
                And,  second,    much,  much  more  must  be  done  to  persuade  and  enable  all  the  parties 
                listed  in  slide  12  to  take  anatomical  sourcing  to  a  higher  level,  that  is,  to  make  better 
                decisions  by  relying  to  the  fullest  degree  on  rational  thought  processes  imbedded  in 
                one's brain, and on knowledge of the various methodologies used in decision making.   
                                                                      
                SLIDES  33  and  34.  Background  references  and  sources.  This  presentation  draws  on 
                previous presentations and published reports. It is appropriate to identify some of those 
                materials for illustrative purposes, and for the convenience of readers who may wish to 
                examine the original materials. 
                 
                Acknowledgement. Thanks are given to Sam Herold for the graphics work. 
                 
                 
                                                                      
                 




                                                                                                                              G   2
Barry Wellar                                                        9                                                         A   0
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Comments on ‘GIS and GeoSkills: New Ways to Achieve New Evidence for Better Decisions’ Sl

  • 1. Geography Awareness Week 2009   Comments on   ‘GIS and GeoSkills: New Ways to Achieve   New Evidence for Better Decisions’           Dr. Barry Wellar   Professor Emeritus of Geography and    Distinguished Geomatics Scientist,   Lab for Applied Geomatics and GIS Science   University of Ottawa,  Program Director, Geography Awareness Week,   Canadian Association of Geographers  wellarb@uottawa.ca  http://www.wellarconsulting.com/            Comments on the PowerPoint Slides    GIS Day 2009 Keynote Address  University of Ottawa          November 18, 2009    G 2 0 Barry Wellar A 0 GIS Day 2009 W 9
  • 2. Geography Awareness Week 2009 Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS : New Ways to Achieve New Evidence for Better Decisions’ SLIDE 1. Background. The PowerPoint slides prepared for the GIS Day presentation can  be  used  in  various  ways,  and  are  subject  to  various  interpretations.  The  intent  of  his  paper  is  to  outline  the  reasons  for  each  slide,  and  to  briefly  expand  the  texts  for  the  benefit of those unable to attend the presentation.    SLIDE  2.    Need  for  new  ways  to  achieve  new  evidence.  The  central  thesis  of  the  presentation is that Canada is in need of better decisions on a variety of fronts, and that  new  ways  of  obtaining  new  evidence  to  support  better  decisions  are  a  critical  key  to  achieving  improved  decision  making.  The  associated,  companion  thesis  is  that  better  decisions are the product of rational thought processes imbedded in one's brain, and on  knowledge of the various methodologies used in decision making. Casual reliance on the   “anatomical sourcing” approach, on the other hand, may be cause for grief.    SLIDES  3,  4,  5,  6,  7,  8,  and  9.  Are  better  decisions  required  on  a  variety  of  fronts?  28  topics  covering  all  the  theme  days  are  listed  in  slides  3‐9;  each  of  the  topics  has  been  around for a decade or more and in some cases for many decades, all of them have been  identified as Problematic with a capital “P”, none of them appears to be moving closer to  resolution with the passage of time, and the list could easily be expanded to 50, 60, 70,  or  more  entries.  Throw  in  the  interdependent  infrastructures  aspect  with  its  cascading  effect,  and  the  need  for  better  decisions  involving  many  decision  points  goes  way  beyond overwhelming.    SLIDES 10, 11, and 12. Why new ways to achieve new evidence? The topics listed in slides  3‐9,  and  many  others  identified  in  daily  and  weekly  newspapers  and  other  media,  involve  orders  of  complexity  that  call  for  answers  derived  from    rational  thought  processes  imbedded  in  one's  brain,  and  on  knowledge  of  the  various  methodologies  used in decision making.     Unfortunately, analysis of media reports, and news releases and reports by governments  and  businesses,  for  example,  indicates  that  while  some  opinions  and  decisions  of  individuals and entities appear to be based on rational thought processes imbedded in  one's brain, and on knowledge of the various methodologies used in decision making, it  appears  clear  that  many  more  choices,  selections,  priorities,  etc.,  are  seemingly  the  result of opting for the other kinds of anatomical sourcing noted in slides 10 and 11.     SLIDE 12. Whose brains? There are many contributors to the respective problem domains  identified  in  slides  3‐9,  and  there  is  not  even  one  likely  case  in  which  a  sole  decision  maker,  including  powerhouses  such  as  the  United  Nations  and  the  World  Bank,  can  effectively and fully deal with the situation.    The fact that there is a spatial aspect to every one of the domains underlines both: 1) the  need  to  include  geographic  considerations  in  the  decision  process  and  in  the  preferred  outcome; and 2) the need to express those geographic considerations in ways that can  G 2 Barry Wellar 2  A 0 0 GIS Day 2009 W 9
  • 3. Geography Awareness Week 2009 Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS : New Ways to Achieve New Evidence for Better Decisions’ be  understood  by  all  the  contributors  to  the  problems  and  their  respective  solutions.  Geography Awareness Week has due regard for that two‐part premise.     SLIDE 14.  New ways to achieve new evidence? As shown by slide 14, there are at least  20 separate ways that GIS and geoskills contribute to deriving evidence about the past,  present,  and  future  states  of  affairs  involving  the  topics  listed  in  slides  3‐9.  And,  there  are many more ways when combinations of ways are used.     Further,  as  the  alert  reader  will  have  already  ascertained,  GIS  and  geoskills  are  major  contributors  to  the  bodies  of  evidence  presented  in  or  referred  to  in  the  150  websites  that  have  been  identified  for  inclusion  in  the  Theme  Days  component  of  Geography  Awareness Week.    It  has  already  been  established  that  GIS  and  geoskills  are  “new  ways  of  achieving  new  evidence”, but there is more, much more that could be  done and should be done. The  next 12 slides provide the basis for such an assertion.    SLIDE 15. An example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence? Check out  the Applied Geography Showcase at:    http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/Applied_Geography_Showcase.pdf    It  is  reasonable  to  expect  that  a  concerted  effort  would  readily  increase  the  Applied  Showcase to 100 entries. In view of the high rate of return that is likely to flow to the  sponsor(s) of such an effort, it appears reasonable to expect that federal, provincial, and  municipal  governments,  as  well  as  firms  in  the  GIS  and  geoskills  industries,  will  turn  increased  attention  to  creating  or  embracing  opportunities  to  expand  the  array  of  materials contained in the CAG’s Applied Geography Showcase, or a variation thereof.     SLIDE 16. Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence? Check  out the Guide to Applied Geography Resources at  http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/GAW_2009_Guide_Applied_Resources.pdf    The  body  of  applied  geography  resources  in  Canada  far  exceeds  those  which  are  listed  here for illustrative purposes. In view of the high rate of return that is likely to flow to  the sponsor(s) of such an effort, it appears reasonable to expect that federal, provincial,  and  municipal  governments,  as well  as  firms  in  the  GIS  and  geoskills  industries,  and  of  course  university  and  college  departments,  as  well  as  professional  and  technical  associations, will turn increased attention to marketing or promoting the opportunities  which  they  provide  to  the  users,  consumers,  etc.,  of  applied  geography  products  and  services.             G 2 Barry Wellar 3  A 0 0 GIS Day 2009 W 9
  • 4. Geography Awareness Week 2009 Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS : New Ways to Achieve New Evidence for Better Decisions’ SLIDE 17. Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence? Check  out the GeoSkills Showcase at     http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/GAW2009_GeoSkills.pdf    It  is  reasonable  to  expect  that  a  concerted  effort  would  readily  increase  the  GeoSkills  Showcase to many hundreds of entries.    One very useful avenue to pursue is for professional and technical associations to survey  their members, or to pull the materials from files if a survey has already been done, and  assemble Internet‐based compilations of work, perhaps along the lines of the GeoSkills  Showcase model, that can be readily examined by anyone with access to a computer.    SLIDE 18. Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence?   Check out the Guide to GeoSkills Resources at    http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/GAW_2009_Guide_GeoSkills_Resources.pdf    The body of geoskills resources in Canada far, far exceeds those which are listed here for  illustrative purposes. It is expected that as time goes on, a more comprehensive listing  will be compiled by an organization which has the most to gain from such an initiative.    SLIDE 19.  Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence?   Check out the Theme Day websites at  http://www.cag‐acg.ca/en/geography_week_2009.html    The focus of Theme Days is on non‐academic websites, and the 150 websites selected to  date demonstrate a strong, national capability to obtain evidence of a spatial nature in a  variety ways for a wide range of exploratory and confirmatory types of studies.    I hasten to add here that although the theme day topics are of considerable scope, the  consideration of other topics would no doubt substantially increase the ways that non‐ academic  websites  inform  us  about  how  GIS  and  geoskills  enable  us  to  achieve  new  evidence. Further, explicit regard for the materials on websites of academic institutions,  including  course  outlines,  research  reports,  and  dissertations  and  theses,  would  no  doubt introduce even more new and different ways of achieving new spatial evidence.     SLIDE 20.  Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence?   Check out the GIS Day websites at    http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/GIS_Day.pdf, and    http://www.esricanada.com/english/7301.asp    GIS  Day  is  an  event  held  at  many  universities  and  colleges  across  Canada,  and  is  also  “celebrated” by municipal, provincial, and federal departments, as well as by firms and  other  organizations.  The  websites  accessible  through  the  links  in  this  presentation  G 2 Barry Wellar 4  A 0 0 GIS Day 2009 W 9
  • 5. Geography Awareness Week 2009 Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS : New Ways to Achieve New Evidence for Better Decisions’ provide  an  important  but  limited  picture  of  the  many  and  varied  ways  that  GIS  contributes to achieving new evidence of a spatial nature.     SLIDE 21.  Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence?   Check out professional organizations such as the Urban and   Regional Information Systems Association at http://www.urisa.org/.     This organization has been around for more than 45 years, and is probably the leading  source  of  documentation  on  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  contribute  to  deriving  evidence about the urban and regional aspects of many of the topics listed in slides 3‐9,  and dozens of other topics as well.     In  addition  to  URISA,  there  are  a  number  of  other  professional  and  technical  organizations, including those of geographers, engineers, surveyors, cartographers, and  geomaticians which also make valuable contributions to the ways that GIS and geoskills  assist in achieving new evidence of a spatial nature.     SLIDE 22.  Another example of where to find new ways of achieving new evidence?   Check  out  GIS  Day  poster  events  at  universities  and  colleges.  By  way  of  illustration,  posters  have  been  a  popular  GIS  Day  event  at  the  University  of  Ottawa  and  Carleton  University for many years, and a particularly important feature of this activity is that it  requires students to think about why and how they are going to obtain the data needed  for a spatial project. The only way to succeed at the highest level in such a mission is to  call on the   rational thought processes imbedded in one's brain, and on knowledge of  the various methodologies used in decision making. More on this when I get to slide 26.     SLIDE 23.  On the path to better decisions. Former U. S. Senator Everett Dirksen (Illinois)  is credited with the admission, “When I feel the heat I see the light”. In my experience a  first  step  on  the  path  to  more  enlightened  decision  making  is  by  applying  some  heat  through  questions  that  leave  no  wriggle  room.  One  such  question  that  I  have  used  to  considerable effect, and commend to others without reservation is:     What are the names of the decision‐making methodologies that you use when  making decisions?     It is my associated experience that this question often leaves the recipients looking like  ‘deer caught in the headlights’. However, if your question‐answer sessions are invariably  good  ones,  that  is,  the  persons  to  whom  your  questions  are  addressed  are  knowledgeable about decision methodologies, then jump to slide 27.     SLIDE 24.  Plodding along the path to better decisions. I have asked the methodologies  question many times, and rarely have I had a reply on the first go‐around. Be prepared to  hear “What was the question again”, and be prepared to re‐pose the question,   G 2 Barry Wellar 5  A 0 0 GIS Day 2009 W 9
  • 6. Geography Awareness Week 2009 Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS : New Ways to Achieve New Evidence for Better Decisions’ What are the names of the decision‐making methodologies that you use when  making decisions?    SLIDE 25.  Sometimes one encounters a little “music” along the path to better decisions.  Be  prepared  to  hear  strains  of  the  Humma,  Humma,  Humma  chorus  instead  of  an  informed answer, and be prepared to shift gears. It is quite possible that your would‐be  respondent has little or no clue about the methodologies used in decision making, and it  is appropriate to move on. One approach that may help to stimulate brain cells is to give  him  or  her  some  names  of  decision  methods  and  techniques  to  raise  the  level  of  the  discussion, and see what happens.     The names of methods and techniques listed in Slide 26 may serve as ice breakers, but it  is useful to bear in mind that several hundred names of methods and techniques could  be brought into the discussion. Heads up!    SLIDE  26.  Getting  a  handle  on  decision  methods  and  techniques.  This  slide  contains  a  selection of the names of methods and techniques that were included in a report that I  prepared  for  Transport  Canada  on  decisions  to  identify,  adopt,  and  implement  sustainable  transport  practices.  The  2008  report  is  titled  Methods  and  Techniques  that  Could  be  Used  in  Making  Decisions  about  Identifying,  Adopting,  or  Implementing  Sustainable  Transport  Practices.  (Research  Report  1,  Transport  Canada  Project,  Methodologies  for  Identifying  and  Ranking  Sustainable  Transport  Practices  in  Urban  Regions). It can be viewed at http://www.wellarconsulting.com/.    The  list  of  34  methods  and  techniques  is  indicative,  that  is,  an  expanded  version  is  needed  to  cover  all  the  aspects  of  the  transport  sector,  and  a  much‐expanded  list  is  needed  to  serve  the  topics  embraced  by  the  other  four  themes  (weather  and  climate;  water;  energy;  and  food  and  health)  which  are  core  components  of  the  Geography  Awareness Week design prepared for the CAG.     Following  from  slides  23,  24,  and  25,  it  might  be  highly  instructive  to  ask  municipal  councillors and mayors, members of provincial and federal governments, and all manner  of people who make  decisions in the public interest,  for their lists of the names of the  methods and techniques that they use when making decisions about specific issues. And,  for  a  variety  of  reasons  it  could  be  highly  instructive  for  investors  and  shareholders  to  ask  corporations  in  the  mining,  manufacturing,  construction,  retailing,  wholesaling,  investment,  banking,  forestry,  building,  trucking,  communications,  resource,  and  other  sectors  to  list  the  names  of  the  methods  and  techniques  that  they  use  when  making  decisions of any kind, and especially those of a spatial nature.      SLIDE  27.  The  big  pay‐off  combines  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  provide  evidence  (Slide 14) with the methods and techniques of rational decision making (Slide 26). Many  of the ways of obtaining evidence via GIS and geoskills have been around for decades, as  G 2 Barry Wellar 6  A 0 0 GIS Day 2009 W 9
  • 7. Geography Awareness Week 2009 Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS : New Ways to Achieve New Evidence for Better Decisions’ have many of the decision methods and techniques. However, we are in the very early  stages  of  figuring  out  how  to  best  combine  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  provide  evidence with the methods and techniques of rational decision making.    It  is  clear  that  this  making  connections  mission  is  a  formidable  task.  However,  it  is  equally  clear  that  if  we  do  not  pursue  this  avenue  with  imagination,  diligence,  and  resolve,  the  issues  associated  with  slides  3‐9  will  be  a  drop  in  the  bucket  compared  to  what awaits us in a decade or so.    SLIDE 28. The big pay‐off is all wrapped up in a neat little graphic. The graphic in slide 28  warrants repeating because it summarizes the key point of this presentation.           GIS and GeoSkills  X  Decision Methods and Techniques    = BETTER DECISIONS        Moreover,  I  suggest,  this  neat  little  graphic  serves  the  larger  purpose  of  explicitly  connecting  GIS  and  geoskills  with  decision  methods  and  techniques  to  obtain  better  decisions.  As  a  result,  it  can  be  used  as  a  design  instrument  in  operations,  evaluation,  performance measurement, and other functions of governments, businesses, etc.    SLIDES  29,  30,  31.  Background  to  the  are,  could,  should  distinction  and  relationship.  Significant,  fundamental  differences  exist  between  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  are  used, could be used, and should be used to obtain evidence, and significant, fundamental  differences exist between the methods and techniques that are used, could be used, and  should  be  used  to  assist  in  making  decisions.  And,  by  extension,  therefore,  significant,  fundamental  differences  also  exist  between  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  are  combined,  could  be  combined,  and  should  be  combined  with  decision  methods  and  techniques to achieve better decisions.     For  further  discussion  of  this  research  design  issue,  see  Methods  and  Techniques  that  Could  be  Used  in  Making  Decisions  about  Identifying,  Adopting,  or  Implementing  Sustainable  Transport  Practices.  (Research  Report  1,  Transport  Canada  Project,  G 2 Barry Wellar 7  A 0 0 GIS Day 2009 W 9
  • 8. Geography Awareness Week 2009 Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS : New Ways to Achieve New Evidence for Better Decisions’ Methodologies  for  Identifying  and  Ranking  Sustainable  Transport  Practices  in  Urban  Regions) at: http://www.wellarconsulting.com/    SLIDE 29. Building Casebook 1 to demonstrate how GIS and geoskills are combined with  decision methods and techniques to produce better decisions. Professional organizations  such as the Urban and Regional Information Systems Association already have entries on  file  in  their  proceedings  and  journals  to  contribute  to  Casebook  1,  as  do  government  agencies and business firms.    I  believe  it  is  important  for  economic,  good  governance,  research  and  development,  quality of life, and other reasons, for Canada’s GIS and geoskiils communities to lead the  way  in  designing  and  contributing  to  Casebook  1.  That  said,  members  of  the  GIS  and  geoskills communities can take as a condition of success that the degree to which they  succeed  with  Casebook  1  is  directly  affected  by  the  extent  that  they  build  thoughtful,  interactive  bridges  with  the  methods  and  techniques  communities  in  government,  business, and academia.     SLIDE 30. Building Casebook 2 to demonstrate how GIS and geoskills could be combined  with decision methods and techniques to produce better decisions. Arguments similar to  those  made  for  slide  28  are  applicable  here,  but  the  scope  of  the  story  has  changed  considerably  because  the  ways  that  GIS  and  geoskills  could  be  combined  with  decision  methods  and  techniques  far  exceed  those  that  are  in  place.  It  follows,  therefore,  that  Casebook  2  must  be  very  carefully  designed  in  order  to  not  collapse  under  its  own  weight!    SLIDE 31. Building Casebook 3 to demonstrate how GIS and geoskills should be combined  with  decision  methods  and  techniques  to  produce  better  decisions.  Casebook  3  is  the  challenge  of  challenges  for  three  reasons  in  particular.  First,  relatively  little  methodological  effort  has  gone  into  ascertaining  which  of  the    ways  of  obtaining  evidence  via  GIS  and  geoskills  are  best  for  which  kinds  of  decisions.  Second,  relatively  little  methodological  effort  has  gone  into  ascertaining  which  decision  methods  and  techniques are best for making which kinds of decisions. Third, by extension, even less  methodological effort has gone into ascertaining how to best combine GIS and geoskills  with decision methods and techniques in order to achieve better decisions.    I  expect  that  Casebook  3  will  be  a  work‐in‐progress  for  many  years,  but  if  anyone  is  discouraged by this prospect take another look at slides 3‐9.     As  noted  above,  the  28  topics  could  easily  be  increased  to  50,  60  or  70  or  more,  all  of  which are as problematic as those listed. And, for numerous examples of decisions made  via the non‐brain, anatomical sourcing route, review just three or four daily newspapers  for a week. Yes, work on Casebook 3 will be a tough slog, but it will be a walk in the park  compared  to  the  challenge  of  coping  with  further  deterioration  of  the  things  already  G 2 Barry Wellar 8  A 0 0 GIS Day 2009 W 9
  • 9. Geography Awareness Week 2009 Comments on ‘GIS and GEOSKILLS : New Ways to Achieve New Evidence for Better Decisions’ gone    wrong  and  going  wrong,  compounded  by  the  continuing  inability  of    failed  decision‐making processes to produce needed, better decisions.    SLIDE  32.  Let’s  get  it  done.  As  illustrated  by  slides  3‐9,  the  bad  news  is  that  Earth  and  Canada face a number of major social, economic, environmental, governance, and other  challenges of a spatial nature, and few if any of them are self‐correcting. The good news  is  that  the  GIS  and  geoskills  communities  have  a  distinguished  record  of  devising  new  ways to achieve new evidence for better decision making.    However, if the good news is to effectively contribute to dealing with the bad news, then  two outreach efforts must be instituted. First, while the ways of obtaining new evidence  continue to improve, much more must be done to effectively connect with the methods  and techniques communities.     And,  second,    much,  much  more  must  be  done  to  persuade  and  enable  all  the  parties  listed  in  slide  12  to  take  anatomical  sourcing  to  a  higher  level,  that  is,  to  make  better  decisions  by  relying  to  the  fullest  degree  on  rational  thought  processes  imbedded  in  one's brain, and on knowledge of the various methodologies used in decision making.      SLIDES  33  and  34.  Background  references  and  sources.  This  presentation  draws  on  previous presentations and published reports. It is appropriate to identify some of those  materials for illustrative purposes, and for the convenience of readers who may wish to  examine the original materials.    Acknowledgement. Thanks are given to Sam Herold for the graphics work.          G 2 Barry Wellar 9  A 0 0 GIS Day 2009 W 9