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Currency Derivatives
What are Derivatives
• Derivatives are financial contracts whose cash flows and
value derives from some underlying financial asset or
commodity or indicator. For example, stock options
provided to managers.
• Underlying assets may be financial assets, commodities,
currencies, etc.
• Counterparties are typically known as buyer (long) and
seller (short).
• Forwards and Options are the most contract type
20-Apr-13
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2
Currency Forwards
• The exchange of one currency for another at a future
date using a pre-determined exchange rate
• At inception, the two parties—long and short—simply agree
on the forward price.
• At maturity, the short delivers the contracted units of the
base currency and in return the long makes payment
using the terms currency.
• Certain currency forwards do not entail actual delivery of
the foreign currency and are known as non-deliverable
forwards (NDF).
20-Apr-13
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3
Currency Forwards
• Example 3.2… page 54 – 55
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Currency Forwards
Terms to remember
• Underlying asset
– Units of base currency
• Maturity
– Delivery date for the currency
• Forward price
– Units of the terms/payment currency per unit of base currency
20-Apr-13
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5
Currency Forwards
Market structure
• Currency forwards are traded in the interbank markets
• Outright forwards are different from foreign exchange
swaps (to discuss later)
• Forward markets are private and normally parties of
transactions are known to each other
• Banks are the key players in such market, MNCs
participate through banks
• Most transactions are large, exceeding USD 10 million.
• Often, online systems are used to help speedier and
synchronized trades
20-Apr-13
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6
Currency Forwards
Forward price
• Notations
– Price of the base currency in the spot market, 𝑆
– Forward price of the base currency, 𝐹
– Domestic interest rate, 𝑟
– Foreign interest rate, 𝑟∗
– Maturity of the forward contract, 𝑡
• Suppose you want to obtain one unit of base currency
20-Apr-13
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7
Currency Forwards
Forward price
• Suppose you want to obtain one unit of base currency at
time 𝑡.
• You have two alternatives:
• Alternative A: buy the currency using forward contract
– Pay the forward price, 𝐹, at time 𝑡.
• Alternative B: borrow money to buy the currency today,
deposit in bank until time 𝑡.
– Borrow 𝑆 at interest rate 𝑟, use it to buy the base currency
– Deposit the base currency and earn at 𝑟∗ until time 𝑡.
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
8
Currency Forwards
Forward price
• In equilibrium, alternative A and B should cost the same
and following relationship must be satisfied:
𝐹 = 𝑆 ×
1 + 𝑟
1 + 𝑟∗
𝑡
• Rearranging the equation:
𝐹
𝑆
=
1 + 𝑟
1 + 𝑟∗
𝑡
• If 𝑟∗
> 𝑟, then
𝐹
𝑆
< 1, and 𝐹 < 𝑆; in this case, forward
premium, 𝐹𝑃 =
𝐹
𝑆
− 1 =
1+𝑟
1+𝑟∗
𝑡
− 1
• Thus, if 𝑟∗
> 𝑟, forward premium is negative (forward
discount) and if 𝑟 > 𝑟∗
, forward premium is positive.
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
9
Currency Forwards
Forward price
• Example 3.3… page 56 – 57.
• Problem 5… page 77.
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
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10
Currency Forwards
Counterparty risk in forward contracts
• Nonperformance by any of the two parties in the forward
contract results in the presence of counterparty risk or
default risk.
• MNCs conduct due diligence on their counterparties
prior to engaging in forward contracts.
• Despite the presence of such risk, forward contracts are
attractive because of its advantage of customization in
terms of currency, size, and maturity.
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
11
Currency Forwards
Counterparty risk in forward contracts
• Example 3.4… page 57
• Problem 2… page 77
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
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12
Currency Futures
• Participants of forward market is limited to large institutions
and MNCs due to the problem of counterparty risk
associated with forward contracts.
• Futures markets satisfy the demand for similar derivative
contracts of the parties left outside the forward market.
• A futures contract
– is an exchange traded version of the forward contract
– is standardized with specific maturity and size
– allows wider range of players for its relatively small size compared
to forward contracts
– offers anonymity
20-Apr-13
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Currency Futures
Market structure
• Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is the market
leader in currency futures.
• These exchanges provide
– infrastructure
– clearing functions
• Trading may occur
– on the trading floor of the exchange
– electronically or virtually around the clock
• Settlement procedure may vary
– actual delivery
– cash settlement
20-Apr-13
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Currency Futures
Daily settlement
• Futures are traded anonymously
• Hence, some sort of collateral, or third party guarantee is
necessary for trading to take place
• Consequently, both the long and the short in the futures
transaction must set up margin accounts (also called
performance bonds) at their brokerages
• Margin accounts are cash accounts to protect concerned
parties against default.
• These margin accounts serve as collateral
20-Apr-13
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15
Currency Futures
Daily settlement
• The margin account balances must be more than sufficient
to cover any changes in contract value
• It is difficult to cover against default arising out of a
large change in the price of underlying currency over a
longer period
• However, price changes in any given day would be
significantly less compared to that over the contract life
• This is why futures exchanges require accounts to be
settled every day.
20-Apr-13
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16
Currency Futures
Daily settlement
• Initial deposit in the margin account is called initial margin
• At the end of each trading day, change in value of the
futures contract is calculated by
(current day’s close – previous day’s close)
• If the contract value increases
– fund is transferred from short’s account to long’s account
• If the contract value decreases
– fund is transferred from long’s account to short’s account
• The clearing house of the exchange facilitates these transfers
• An alternative term used to denote such daily settlement
– mark to market
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
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17
Currency Futures
Daily settlement
• If the margin accounts are allowed to contain too low balance,
it may fail to provide protection when price declines sharply
• A minimum balance of the account is required to maintain
– maintenance margin
• Maintenance margin is lower than the initial margin
• If the balance of a margin account falls below the
maintenance margin, it triggers additional funds are
requested to deposit
– margin call
• If the margin call is ignored, the remaining funds are used
to close out the futures position
20-Apr-13
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18
Currency Futures
Daily settlement
• Futures are similar to forward contracts
• Cash flows in futures are also quite similar to forward
contracts with only one difference
– cash flows of futures are settled every day, whereas that of
forward contract is settled only once at maturity
• The sum total of daily settlements in futures should be
equal to the final settlement of an equivalent forward
contract
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
19
Currency Futures
Daily settlement
• Example 3.5…page 60
• An MNC enters into futures contract to buy CAD @
USD 0.90
• Initial margin is USD 0.60
• Maintenance margin is USD 0.03
• Days remaining before contract maturity, 4 days
• Calculate cash flows per unit of foreign currency.
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
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20
Currency Futures
Daily settlement
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Day Price
Long Short
RemarksChange Balance CF Change Balance CF
0 0.90 0.06 -0.06 0.06 -0.06 Initial margin
1 0.92 +0.02 0.08 -0.02 0.04
2 0.94 +0.02 0.10 -0.02 0.02 Margin call
0.06 -0.04 Call met
3 0.91 -0.03 0.07 +0.03 0.09
4 0.89 -0.02 0.05 +0.05 +0.02 0.11 +0.11 Close
-0.89 +0.89 Delivery
-0.90 +0.90 Total
Currency Futures
Daily settlement
• Problem 4… page 77 (assignment)
20-Apr-13
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22
Currency Futures
Daily settlement
• Actual futures prices are widely disseminated
• Futures contracts are essentially similar to forward
contracts
• We can use currency forward pricing formula to calculate
futures price, using annual compounding convention
𝐹 = 𝑆 ×
1 + 𝑟
1 + 𝑟∗
𝑡
or using LIBOR convention
𝐹 = 𝑆 ×
1 + 𝑟𝑡
1 + 𝑟∗ 𝑡
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
23
Currency Futures
Daily settlement
• Example 3.6… page 61
• Problem 6… page 77
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
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24
Futures vs. Forward Prices
in the Currency Markets
• Currency markets offer simultaneous trading of forward and
futures
• Forwards are traded in interbank market
• Futures are traded in exchanges like CME
• Difference of forward and futures price of the same
currency often brings the opportunity to exploit such price
discrepancy
• Electronic trading systems such as BARX and Globex as
well as computerized program trading help many institutions
to make profit in this way
• However, in equilibrium, futures price should be equal to
forward price
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
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25
Currency Options
• An instrument that provides the long the right to purchase or
sell the underlying/base currency
– at a prespecified strike price denominated in the terms currency
– at a future date
• only at maturity (European style options)
• at or prior to maturity (American style options)
• Right to purchase is provided by call options
• Right to sell is provided by put options
• Unlike forward/futures, options are more flexible because
– future purchase/sale of the underlying asset is optional
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
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26
Currency Options
Options parameters and terminology
• Options give the holder the flexibility of taking one of two
actions as appropriate
• Financial options: the underlying asset is any financial
asset like a foreign currency
• Real options: business situations that provide flexibility
that brings the ability of increasing cash flows by making
proper choice
• Underlying asset: commodity, instrument, index, or
currency that is bought or sold using the option
20-Apr-13
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27
Currency Options
Options parameters and terminology
• Strike price/exercise price: contractual price at which the
underlying asset is bought or sold using the option
• Maturity is finite, majority expiring in 6 months
– option’s value diminishes with each passing day
– this is why options are often called ‘wasting assets’
– ‘American options’ can be exercised at any point in time prior
to maturity
– ‘European options’ can be exercised only at maturity
20-Apr-13
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28
Currency Options
Options parameters and terminology
• Option premium: at the time of making the contract, option
holder pays a premium to the option seller.
• A rational option holder will exercise the option only if it
is profitable
• Hence, option holder cannot lose money from the option
• However, the counterparty or the option seller loses money
whenever the option is exercised
• The option premium is the compensation for such loss of
the option seller
20-Apr-13
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29
Currency Options
Market structure
• The Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX) pioneered
trading in foreign currency options
• At present, PHLX and CME are the main
exchanges
• Popularity of exchange traded currency options is less
than that of currency futures
20-Apr-13
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30
Currency Options
Option exercise and cash flows
• Payoff equals cash flow at maturity, also called gross
profit, or maturity cash flow
• Profit equals payoff net of premium, also called net profit
or net cash flow.
• Steps:
– Determine the cash flow at inception, based on premium
– Estimate the payoff, which is the difference between spot price
and exercise price
– Calculate the profit, by deducting premium from the payoff
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31
Currency Options
Option exercise and cash flows: call option
• A purchases a European style currency call option from
B by paying a premium of USD0.06. The underlying
asset is EUR 1. The option expires in 3 months, and has
a strike price of USD1.25.
• Calculate the payoff and profit to the long, if the currency
value at maturity is USD 1.34.
• Answer:
– payoff is 0.09 to the long
– profit is 0.03 to the long
20-Apr-13
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32
Currency Options
Option exercise and cash flows: call option
• Calculate payoff and profit to the long for different values of the currency at
maturity.
20-Apr-13
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33
Call Option: Payoff & Profit to Long (Buyer)
Call Parameters: C = 0.06, X =1.25
All Values in USD
At Contract
Inception Cash Flows At Maturity
Overall
Result
Currency
Value at
Maturity Premium Paid Exercise Price Paid Value Received Payoff Profit
1.16 0.06 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.06
1.19 0.06 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.06
1.22 0.06 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.06
1.25 0.06 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.06
1.28 0.06 1.25 1.28 0.03 -0.03
1.31 0.06 1.25 1.31 0.06 0.00
1.34 0.06 1.25 1.34 0.09 0.03
1.37 0.06 1.25 1.37 0.12 0.06
Note: Payoff & Profit to Short (Seller) is the exact opposite (that is, positive values are
negative and negative values are positive)
Currency Options
Option exercise and cash flows: call option
• Graphically show the payoff and profit to the long for different values of the currency at maturity.
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
34
Currency Options
Option exercise and cash flows: put option
• P purchases a European style currency put option from
Q by paying a premium of USD0.03. The underlying
asset is EUR 1. The option expires in 3 months, and has
a strike price of USD1.25.
• Calculate the payoff and profit to the long, if the currency
value at maturity is USD 1.16.
• Answer:
– payoff is 0.09 to the long
– profit is 0.06 to the long
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
35
Currency Options
Option exercise and cash flows: put option
• Calculate payoff and profit to the long for different values of the currency at maturity.
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
36
Put Option: Payoff & Profit to Long (Buyer)
Call Parameters: P = 0.03, X =1.25
All Values in USD
At Contract
Inception Cash Flows At Maturity
Overall
Result
Currency
Value at
Maturity Premium Paid
Exercise Price
Received Value Given Up Payoff Profit
1.16 0.03 1.25 1.16 0.09 0.06
1.19 0.03 1.25 1.19 0.06 0.03
1.22 0.03 1.25 1.22 0.03 0.00
1.25 0.03 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.03
1.28 0.03 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.03
1.31 0.03 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.03
1.34 0.03 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.03
1.37 0.03 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.03
Note: Payoff & Profit to Short (Seller) is the exact opposite (that is, positive values
are negative and negative values are positive)
Currency Options
Option exercise and cash flows: put option
• Graphically show the payoff and profit to the long for different values of the currency at maturity.
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
37
Currency Options
Option exercise and cash flows: call vs. put option
20-Apr-13
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38
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
• Notations:
𝑆𝑡 = price of underlying asset at maturity
𝑋 = option strike or exercise price
𝐶 = call premium
𝑃 = put premium
• Call options are exercised when
𝑆𝑡 > 𝑋
• Put options are exercised when
𝑆𝑡 < 𝑋
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
39
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
40
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
41
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
42
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
43
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
44
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
45
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
46
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
47
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
48
Currency Options
Summary of option payoffs and profits
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
http://lnkd.in/vvppcr
49
Currency Options
Factors affecting call option prices
20-Apr-13
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50
• Value of underlying asset, (𝑺)
• Strike price (𝑿)
• Maturity (𝒕)
– Time value
– both for call and put
• Volatility (𝝈)
– Both for call and put
• Domestic currency interest rate (𝒓)
• Foreign currency interest rate (𝒓∗
)
Currency Options
Pricing call and put options
20-Apr-13
Dr. Md Mohan Uddin
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51
• Value of underlying asset, (𝑆)
• Strike price (𝑋)
• Maturity (𝑡)
• Volatility (𝜎)
• Domestic currency interest rate (𝑟)
• Foreign currency interest rate (𝑟∗
)
• 𝑒 = 2.7182818283
• 𝑁(. ) is the cumulative distribution
function of the standard normal
distribution
.
,
2
*ln
,
),()(
12
2
1
21
*
tdd
and
T
trr
X
S
d
where
dNXedNSeC rttr

















 
rttr
SeXeCP 
 *

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Currency derivatives

  • 2. What are Derivatives • Derivatives are financial contracts whose cash flows and value derives from some underlying financial asset or commodity or indicator. For example, stock options provided to managers. • Underlying assets may be financial assets, commodities, currencies, etc. • Counterparties are typically known as buyer (long) and seller (short). • Forwards and Options are the most contract type 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 2
  • 3. Currency Forwards • The exchange of one currency for another at a future date using a pre-determined exchange rate • At inception, the two parties—long and short—simply agree on the forward price. • At maturity, the short delivers the contracted units of the base currency and in return the long makes payment using the terms currency. • Certain currency forwards do not entail actual delivery of the foreign currency and are known as non-deliverable forwards (NDF). 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 3
  • 4. Currency Forwards • Example 3.2… page 54 – 55 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 4
  • 5. Currency Forwards Terms to remember • Underlying asset – Units of base currency • Maturity – Delivery date for the currency • Forward price – Units of the terms/payment currency per unit of base currency 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 5
  • 6. Currency Forwards Market structure • Currency forwards are traded in the interbank markets • Outright forwards are different from foreign exchange swaps (to discuss later) • Forward markets are private and normally parties of transactions are known to each other • Banks are the key players in such market, MNCs participate through banks • Most transactions are large, exceeding USD 10 million. • Often, online systems are used to help speedier and synchronized trades 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 6
  • 7. Currency Forwards Forward price • Notations – Price of the base currency in the spot market, 𝑆 – Forward price of the base currency, 𝐹 – Domestic interest rate, 𝑟 – Foreign interest rate, 𝑟∗ – Maturity of the forward contract, 𝑡 • Suppose you want to obtain one unit of base currency 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 7
  • 8. Currency Forwards Forward price • Suppose you want to obtain one unit of base currency at time 𝑡. • You have two alternatives: • Alternative A: buy the currency using forward contract – Pay the forward price, 𝐹, at time 𝑡. • Alternative B: borrow money to buy the currency today, deposit in bank until time 𝑡. – Borrow 𝑆 at interest rate 𝑟, use it to buy the base currency – Deposit the base currency and earn at 𝑟∗ until time 𝑡. 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 8
  • 9. Currency Forwards Forward price • In equilibrium, alternative A and B should cost the same and following relationship must be satisfied: 𝐹 = 𝑆 × 1 + 𝑟 1 + 𝑟∗ 𝑡 • Rearranging the equation: 𝐹 𝑆 = 1 + 𝑟 1 + 𝑟∗ 𝑡 • If 𝑟∗ > 𝑟, then 𝐹 𝑆 < 1, and 𝐹 < 𝑆; in this case, forward premium, 𝐹𝑃 = 𝐹 𝑆 − 1 = 1+𝑟 1+𝑟∗ 𝑡 − 1 • Thus, if 𝑟∗ > 𝑟, forward premium is negative (forward discount) and if 𝑟 > 𝑟∗ , forward premium is positive. 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 9
  • 10. Currency Forwards Forward price • Example 3.3… page 56 – 57. • Problem 5… page 77. 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 10
  • 11. Currency Forwards Counterparty risk in forward contracts • Nonperformance by any of the two parties in the forward contract results in the presence of counterparty risk or default risk. • MNCs conduct due diligence on their counterparties prior to engaging in forward contracts. • Despite the presence of such risk, forward contracts are attractive because of its advantage of customization in terms of currency, size, and maturity. 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 11
  • 12. Currency Forwards Counterparty risk in forward contracts • Example 3.4… page 57 • Problem 2… page 77 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 12
  • 13. Currency Futures • Participants of forward market is limited to large institutions and MNCs due to the problem of counterparty risk associated with forward contracts. • Futures markets satisfy the demand for similar derivative contracts of the parties left outside the forward market. • A futures contract – is an exchange traded version of the forward contract – is standardized with specific maturity and size – allows wider range of players for its relatively small size compared to forward contracts – offers anonymity 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 13
  • 14. Currency Futures Market structure • Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is the market leader in currency futures. • These exchanges provide – infrastructure – clearing functions • Trading may occur – on the trading floor of the exchange – electronically or virtually around the clock • Settlement procedure may vary – actual delivery – cash settlement 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 14
  • 15. Currency Futures Daily settlement • Futures are traded anonymously • Hence, some sort of collateral, or third party guarantee is necessary for trading to take place • Consequently, both the long and the short in the futures transaction must set up margin accounts (also called performance bonds) at their brokerages • Margin accounts are cash accounts to protect concerned parties against default. • These margin accounts serve as collateral 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 15
  • 16. Currency Futures Daily settlement • The margin account balances must be more than sufficient to cover any changes in contract value • It is difficult to cover against default arising out of a large change in the price of underlying currency over a longer period • However, price changes in any given day would be significantly less compared to that over the contract life • This is why futures exchanges require accounts to be settled every day. 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 16
  • 17. Currency Futures Daily settlement • Initial deposit in the margin account is called initial margin • At the end of each trading day, change in value of the futures contract is calculated by (current day’s close – previous day’s close) • If the contract value increases – fund is transferred from short’s account to long’s account • If the contract value decreases – fund is transferred from long’s account to short’s account • The clearing house of the exchange facilitates these transfers • An alternative term used to denote such daily settlement – mark to market 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 17
  • 18. Currency Futures Daily settlement • If the margin accounts are allowed to contain too low balance, it may fail to provide protection when price declines sharply • A minimum balance of the account is required to maintain – maintenance margin • Maintenance margin is lower than the initial margin • If the balance of a margin account falls below the maintenance margin, it triggers additional funds are requested to deposit – margin call • If the margin call is ignored, the remaining funds are used to close out the futures position 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 18
  • 19. Currency Futures Daily settlement • Futures are similar to forward contracts • Cash flows in futures are also quite similar to forward contracts with only one difference – cash flows of futures are settled every day, whereas that of forward contract is settled only once at maturity • The sum total of daily settlements in futures should be equal to the final settlement of an equivalent forward contract 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 19
  • 20. Currency Futures Daily settlement • Example 3.5…page 60 • An MNC enters into futures contract to buy CAD @ USD 0.90 • Initial margin is USD 0.60 • Maintenance margin is USD 0.03 • Days remaining before contract maturity, 4 days • Calculate cash flows per unit of foreign currency. 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 20
  • 21. Currency Futures Daily settlement 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 21 Day Price Long Short RemarksChange Balance CF Change Balance CF 0 0.90 0.06 -0.06 0.06 -0.06 Initial margin 1 0.92 +0.02 0.08 -0.02 0.04 2 0.94 +0.02 0.10 -0.02 0.02 Margin call 0.06 -0.04 Call met 3 0.91 -0.03 0.07 +0.03 0.09 4 0.89 -0.02 0.05 +0.05 +0.02 0.11 +0.11 Close -0.89 +0.89 Delivery -0.90 +0.90 Total
  • 22. Currency Futures Daily settlement • Problem 4… page 77 (assignment) 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 22
  • 23. Currency Futures Daily settlement • Actual futures prices are widely disseminated • Futures contracts are essentially similar to forward contracts • We can use currency forward pricing formula to calculate futures price, using annual compounding convention 𝐹 = 𝑆 × 1 + 𝑟 1 + 𝑟∗ 𝑡 or using LIBOR convention 𝐹 = 𝑆 × 1 + 𝑟𝑡 1 + 𝑟∗ 𝑡 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 23
  • 24. Currency Futures Daily settlement • Example 3.6… page 61 • Problem 6… page 77 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 24
  • 25. Futures vs. Forward Prices in the Currency Markets • Currency markets offer simultaneous trading of forward and futures • Forwards are traded in interbank market • Futures are traded in exchanges like CME • Difference of forward and futures price of the same currency often brings the opportunity to exploit such price discrepancy • Electronic trading systems such as BARX and Globex as well as computerized program trading help many institutions to make profit in this way • However, in equilibrium, futures price should be equal to forward price 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 25
  • 26. Currency Options • An instrument that provides the long the right to purchase or sell the underlying/base currency – at a prespecified strike price denominated in the terms currency – at a future date • only at maturity (European style options) • at or prior to maturity (American style options) • Right to purchase is provided by call options • Right to sell is provided by put options • Unlike forward/futures, options are more flexible because – future purchase/sale of the underlying asset is optional 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 26
  • 27. Currency Options Options parameters and terminology • Options give the holder the flexibility of taking one of two actions as appropriate • Financial options: the underlying asset is any financial asset like a foreign currency • Real options: business situations that provide flexibility that brings the ability of increasing cash flows by making proper choice • Underlying asset: commodity, instrument, index, or currency that is bought or sold using the option 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 27
  • 28. Currency Options Options parameters and terminology • Strike price/exercise price: contractual price at which the underlying asset is bought or sold using the option • Maturity is finite, majority expiring in 6 months – option’s value diminishes with each passing day – this is why options are often called ‘wasting assets’ – ‘American options’ can be exercised at any point in time prior to maturity – ‘European options’ can be exercised only at maturity 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 28
  • 29. Currency Options Options parameters and terminology • Option premium: at the time of making the contract, option holder pays a premium to the option seller. • A rational option holder will exercise the option only if it is profitable • Hence, option holder cannot lose money from the option • However, the counterparty or the option seller loses money whenever the option is exercised • The option premium is the compensation for such loss of the option seller 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 29
  • 30. Currency Options Market structure • The Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX) pioneered trading in foreign currency options • At present, PHLX and CME are the main exchanges • Popularity of exchange traded currency options is less than that of currency futures 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 30
  • 31. Currency Options Option exercise and cash flows • Payoff equals cash flow at maturity, also called gross profit, or maturity cash flow • Profit equals payoff net of premium, also called net profit or net cash flow. • Steps: – Determine the cash flow at inception, based on premium – Estimate the payoff, which is the difference between spot price and exercise price – Calculate the profit, by deducting premium from the payoff 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 31
  • 32. Currency Options Option exercise and cash flows: call option • A purchases a European style currency call option from B by paying a premium of USD0.06. The underlying asset is EUR 1. The option expires in 3 months, and has a strike price of USD1.25. • Calculate the payoff and profit to the long, if the currency value at maturity is USD 1.34. • Answer: – payoff is 0.09 to the long – profit is 0.03 to the long 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 32
  • 33. Currency Options Option exercise and cash flows: call option • Calculate payoff and profit to the long for different values of the currency at maturity. 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 33 Call Option: Payoff & Profit to Long (Buyer) Call Parameters: C = 0.06, X =1.25 All Values in USD At Contract Inception Cash Flows At Maturity Overall Result Currency Value at Maturity Premium Paid Exercise Price Paid Value Received Payoff Profit 1.16 0.06 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.06 1.19 0.06 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.06 1.22 0.06 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.06 1.25 0.06 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.06 1.28 0.06 1.25 1.28 0.03 -0.03 1.31 0.06 1.25 1.31 0.06 0.00 1.34 0.06 1.25 1.34 0.09 0.03 1.37 0.06 1.25 1.37 0.12 0.06 Note: Payoff & Profit to Short (Seller) is the exact opposite (that is, positive values are negative and negative values are positive)
  • 34. Currency Options Option exercise and cash flows: call option • Graphically show the payoff and profit to the long for different values of the currency at maturity. 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 34
  • 35. Currency Options Option exercise and cash flows: put option • P purchases a European style currency put option from Q by paying a premium of USD0.03. The underlying asset is EUR 1. The option expires in 3 months, and has a strike price of USD1.25. • Calculate the payoff and profit to the long, if the currency value at maturity is USD 1.16. • Answer: – payoff is 0.09 to the long – profit is 0.06 to the long 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 35
  • 36. Currency Options Option exercise and cash flows: put option • Calculate payoff and profit to the long for different values of the currency at maturity. 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 36 Put Option: Payoff & Profit to Long (Buyer) Call Parameters: P = 0.03, X =1.25 All Values in USD At Contract Inception Cash Flows At Maturity Overall Result Currency Value at Maturity Premium Paid Exercise Price Received Value Given Up Payoff Profit 1.16 0.03 1.25 1.16 0.09 0.06 1.19 0.03 1.25 1.19 0.06 0.03 1.22 0.03 1.25 1.22 0.03 0.00 1.25 0.03 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.03 1.28 0.03 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.03 1.31 0.03 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.03 1.34 0.03 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.03 1.37 0.03 No Exercise No Exercise 0 -0.03 Note: Payoff & Profit to Short (Seller) is the exact opposite (that is, positive values are negative and negative values are positive)
  • 37. Currency Options Option exercise and cash flows: put option • Graphically show the payoff and profit to the long for different values of the currency at maturity. 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 37
  • 38. Currency Options Option exercise and cash flows: call vs. put option 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 38
  • 39. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits • Notations: 𝑆𝑡 = price of underlying asset at maturity 𝑋 = option strike or exercise price 𝐶 = call premium 𝑃 = put premium • Call options are exercised when 𝑆𝑡 > 𝑋 • Put options are exercised when 𝑆𝑡 < 𝑋 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 39
  • 40. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 40
  • 41. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 41
  • 42. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 42
  • 43. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 43
  • 44. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 44
  • 45. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 45
  • 46. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 46
  • 47. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 47
  • 48. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 48
  • 49. Currency Options Summary of option payoffs and profits 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 49
  • 50. Currency Options Factors affecting call option prices 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 50 • Value of underlying asset, (𝑺) • Strike price (𝑿) • Maturity (𝒕) – Time value – both for call and put • Volatility (𝝈) – Both for call and put • Domestic currency interest rate (𝒓) • Foreign currency interest rate (𝒓∗ )
  • 51. Currency Options Pricing call and put options 20-Apr-13 Dr. Md Mohan Uddin http://lnkd.in/vvppcr 51 • Value of underlying asset, (𝑆) • Strike price (𝑋) • Maturity (𝑡) • Volatility (𝜎) • Domestic currency interest rate (𝑟) • Foreign currency interest rate (𝑟∗ ) • 𝑒 = 2.7182818283 • 𝑁(. ) is the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution . , 2 *ln , ),()( 12 2 1 21 * tdd and T trr X S d where dNXedNSeC rttr                    rttr SeXeCP   *