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MERGERS AND MORE
The Changing Tertiary Education Landscape in the 21st Century

Leo Goedegebuure
Hedda 10th Anniversary Conference, Oslo November 4, 2011
Contents

•   Introduction

•   Typologies of institutional mergers

•   The rise of international competition
     – World Class?

•   Competition and collaboration

•   Diversification and branching out
     – A brief case study of Australia

•   Some conclusions and points for discussion
                                                 2
Introduction to mergers
•   Fairly underresearched in higher education in the 1980s
•   Dutch polytechnic restructuring through mergers one of Cheps‟ first major
    research projects
•   Australia copied the policy architecture
•   And I wrote a thesis (1992) …

•   Mergers remained quite prominent until the early 2000s and then sort of
    faded away a bit
•   Recent resurgence, but clearly ‟things have changed‟

•   Central argument for today: our old frameworks and conceptualisations only
    help us to a certain extent and we need to expand on those to allow us to
    bring in the full complexity of tertiary education over the years to come


                                                                                3
Typologies

•   Classic frameworks
     – Traditional theory of the firm (Coase): mergers are
     undertaken to maximise profits            shareholder
     value

     – Alternative theories of the firm (Williamson): mergers
     are undertaken to further managers‟ interests
     salaries, bonuses, power

•   Empirical literature is inconclusive
     – Realizing economies of scale, increased profits, shareholder welfare:
       little explanatory power …


                                                                               4
Typologies (cont)

•   Mergers in higher education (1980s)
     – research not very theory-based
     – not empirically robust
•   Govermental policies based on questionable assumptions:
     – economies of scale (efficiency)
     – economies of scope (effectiveness)

•   HOWEVER
     – In retrospect they have not been a total disaster, so: did they get it right?




                                                                                   5
Typologies (cont)

Mergers do nor deliver … unless
they are based on a sound
strategic rationale, are
thoroughly planned, and well
executed…

 Merely adding together two
 entities with their respective
 attributes, weaknesses and
 challenges, creates a larger
 entity with the same underlying
 structure


                                   6
Two propositions about complexity

•   Proposition: large-scale systems restructures through merger are so
    complex that any clear-cut cost-benefit analysis is doomed to fail
     – Time-scale distorts cause-effect
     – As much politial processes as socio-economic
     – And policy development and implementation is messy:
         • Semi-rational
         • Semi-structured
         • Semi-planned


•   Proposition: large-scale system restructures through merger by their very
    nature are adaptive processes that develop a logic of their own and
    generate substantive unanticipated actions and effects



                                                                                7
Typologies (cont)

• Policy-induced mergers                  • Incidental mergers
   – NL, AUS, NOR, CHIN, HUNG, SA,           – Far more ideosyncratic in terms of
     FLA                                       drivers
   – Policy responses to perceived           – HK UGC (2004) identifies 16
     deficiencies were larger size was         different rationales based on lit
     perceived to be the answer                review
   – Size a policy proxy for stronger,       – But: can probably be reduced to
     more capable, more professional           three:
   – Basic assumption: bigger is                 •   Securing cost eficiency
                                                 •   Optimising scale of operation
     necessary and ultimately bigger is
                                                 •   Brand leverage
     better
                                             – Have been part of system
                                               developments in the past and will
   – TAKING MATURING SYSTEMS                   continue at an increasing pace
     TO THE NEXT LEVEL                         because of increasing competitive
                                               pressures

                                                                                     8
Typologies (cont)

•   Policy-induced mergers Type I and II
     – Type I       ‟to the next level‟, system-wide
     – Type II      ‟to the top‟, selective and prestige-inspired




                                                                    9
International competition and
World Class
•   Within the tertiary education system, research
    universities play a critical role in training the
    professionals, scientists and researchers needed
    by the economy and generating new knowledge in
    support of the national innovation system (World
    Bank, 2002). In this context, an increasing pressing
    priority of many governments is to make sure that their
    top universities are actually operating at the cutting edge
    of intellectual and scientific development (2009: 2-3)




                                                                  10
Type II Mergers: some examples
•   Finland
     – Helsinki University of Technology +
     Helsinki School of Economics + University of Art and Design

•   France
     – Paris-Saclay Campus
         • 22 unis, research institutes &
         Grande Ecoles
         20,000 staff and 30.000+ students by 2020 – technically not a merger


•   Germany
     – Excellence Initiative
         • Karlsruhe Institute of Technology: University of Karlsruhe + Forschungszentrum
           Karlsruhe Gmbh

                                                                                            11
Incidental mergers: strategic
repositioning – some examples
•   The University of Manchester: Victoria University
    of Manchester + Manchester University of Science
    and Technology (2004)
     – Top 25 by 2015 (currently 38 from 53 in 2005)

•   The University of Duisberg – Essen (2003)
     – Pooling academic strengths, sharpening
     Profile, efficiencies in T&R, ready for competition

•   SKEMA Business School: CERAM Business School
    + Groupe ESC Lille
     – To become the largest business school in France
       to face international competition
                                                           12
But what are the conditions to be part of „the top‟?

(i) a high concentration of talent (faculty and
students),
(ii) abundant resources to offer a rich learning
environment and to conduct advanced
research, and
 (iii) favourable governance features that
encourage strategic vision, innovation and
flexibility „that enable institutions to make
decisions and to manage resources without
being encumbered by bureaucracy‟ (pp19-20).


       And perhaps strong leadership??

                                                       13
And how does that compare?

      Concentration of Abundant        Favourable
      talent           resources       governance




                                           X
                             ?             ?
                                   ?       ?



                                                    14
Competition brings more than just
mergers




                                    Source: PWC, 2010




                                              15
Examples of „stimulated collaboration‟

• France: Poles (PRES: Pôles de Recherche et de l'Enseignement
  Supérieur) between universities and research institutes
   – Started in 2006, 21 Poles created by 2011
   – Aim: prominence at the international level
• Germany: Excellence Initiative
   – Started 2006, 30 Centres of Excellence created and 9
     Universities of Excellence selected
   – Aim: prominence at the international level
• Australia: Collaborative Research Networks
   – Started 2011, 12 networks established
   – Aim: building research capacity in less research intensive
     institutions through hubs-and-spoke model
                                                                  16
The ultimate bottom up example

 The University of Catalonia:

 8 public universities

 250,000 students
 18,000 staff

 EUR 1.5 Billion




                                 17
The rationale for collaboration
Most businesses succeed only if others also
Succeed.

Business is cooperation when it comes to
creating a pie and competition when it comes
to dividing it up. In other words, business is
War and Peace. But it’s not Tolstoy – endless
cycles of war followed by peace followed by
war. It’s simultaneously war and peace. .. The
combination makes for a more dynamic
relationship than the words ‘competition’ and
‘cooperation’ suggest individually.



                                                 18
Table 2: The ‘best’ university systems in the world
Note: ratio is: #universities in ranking / #universities in system




         There‟s more than just top…
                              Country                                JiaoTong 2010   THES 2010
                              The Netherlands                        1    (.92)      1    (.77)
                              Israel                                 2    (.88)          --
                              Sweden                                 3    (.69)      4   (.38)
                              New Zealand                            4    (.63)      12 (.13)
                              Switzerland                            5    (.58)      2   (.50)
                              Norway                                 5    (.57)      11 (.14)
                              Denmark                                7    (.50)      4   (.38)
                              Hong Kong                              7    (.50)      3   (.40)
                              Belgium                                9    (.47)      12 (.13)
                              Australia                              10   (.44)      9   (.18)
                              Ireland                                11   (.43)      7   (.29)
                              Germany                                12   (.38)      6   (.36)
                              Finland                                12   (.38)      16 (.07)
                              UK                                     14   (.33)      8   (.25)
                              Canada                                 15   (.32)      12 (.13)




                                                                                                  19
A brief example of dynamic relationships that have
evolved because of strong competitive pressures




                                                     20
Final Observations

• Merger is but one response to a complex set of drivers forcing
  institutions to act: strategic partnerships, loosely of highly
  formalised, collaborations of all sorts and kinds, consortia and
  various forms of networked „interchanges‟.
• “Sorting the System” and “Raising the Stakes” (Types I and II)
• The Action-Reaction Dynamic
   – Action – merger, alliance, partnership
   – Reaction – the balance of power has changed and triggers
      responses
   – Reaction – and the spiral is started
• Very profound leadership challenges: system and institutional
• To map this the HE research community needs to collaborate

                                                                     21

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Dr. Leo Goedegebuure - Mergers and More: The Changing Tertiary Education Architecture in the 21st Century

  • 1. MERGERS AND MORE The Changing Tertiary Education Landscape in the 21st Century Leo Goedegebuure Hedda 10th Anniversary Conference, Oslo November 4, 2011
  • 2. Contents • Introduction • Typologies of institutional mergers • The rise of international competition – World Class? • Competition and collaboration • Diversification and branching out – A brief case study of Australia • Some conclusions and points for discussion 2
  • 3. Introduction to mergers • Fairly underresearched in higher education in the 1980s • Dutch polytechnic restructuring through mergers one of Cheps‟ first major research projects • Australia copied the policy architecture • And I wrote a thesis (1992) … • Mergers remained quite prominent until the early 2000s and then sort of faded away a bit • Recent resurgence, but clearly ‟things have changed‟ • Central argument for today: our old frameworks and conceptualisations only help us to a certain extent and we need to expand on those to allow us to bring in the full complexity of tertiary education over the years to come 3
  • 4. Typologies • Classic frameworks – Traditional theory of the firm (Coase): mergers are undertaken to maximise profits shareholder value – Alternative theories of the firm (Williamson): mergers are undertaken to further managers‟ interests salaries, bonuses, power • Empirical literature is inconclusive – Realizing economies of scale, increased profits, shareholder welfare: little explanatory power … 4
  • 5. Typologies (cont) • Mergers in higher education (1980s) – research not very theory-based – not empirically robust • Govermental policies based on questionable assumptions: – economies of scale (efficiency) – economies of scope (effectiveness) • HOWEVER – In retrospect they have not been a total disaster, so: did they get it right? 5
  • 6. Typologies (cont) Mergers do nor deliver … unless they are based on a sound strategic rationale, are thoroughly planned, and well executed… Merely adding together two entities with their respective attributes, weaknesses and challenges, creates a larger entity with the same underlying structure 6
  • 7. Two propositions about complexity • Proposition: large-scale systems restructures through merger are so complex that any clear-cut cost-benefit analysis is doomed to fail – Time-scale distorts cause-effect – As much politial processes as socio-economic – And policy development and implementation is messy: • Semi-rational • Semi-structured • Semi-planned • Proposition: large-scale system restructures through merger by their very nature are adaptive processes that develop a logic of their own and generate substantive unanticipated actions and effects 7
  • 8. Typologies (cont) • Policy-induced mergers • Incidental mergers – NL, AUS, NOR, CHIN, HUNG, SA, – Far more ideosyncratic in terms of FLA drivers – Policy responses to perceived – HK UGC (2004) identifies 16 deficiencies were larger size was different rationales based on lit perceived to be the answer review – Size a policy proxy for stronger, – But: can probably be reduced to more capable, more professional three: – Basic assumption: bigger is • Securing cost eficiency • Optimising scale of operation necessary and ultimately bigger is • Brand leverage better – Have been part of system developments in the past and will – TAKING MATURING SYSTEMS continue at an increasing pace TO THE NEXT LEVEL because of increasing competitive pressures 8
  • 9. Typologies (cont) • Policy-induced mergers Type I and II – Type I ‟to the next level‟, system-wide – Type II ‟to the top‟, selective and prestige-inspired 9
  • 10. International competition and World Class • Within the tertiary education system, research universities play a critical role in training the professionals, scientists and researchers needed by the economy and generating new knowledge in support of the national innovation system (World Bank, 2002). In this context, an increasing pressing priority of many governments is to make sure that their top universities are actually operating at the cutting edge of intellectual and scientific development (2009: 2-3) 10
  • 11. Type II Mergers: some examples • Finland – Helsinki University of Technology + Helsinki School of Economics + University of Art and Design • France – Paris-Saclay Campus • 22 unis, research institutes & Grande Ecoles 20,000 staff and 30.000+ students by 2020 – technically not a merger • Germany – Excellence Initiative • Karlsruhe Institute of Technology: University of Karlsruhe + Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe Gmbh 11
  • 12. Incidental mergers: strategic repositioning – some examples • The University of Manchester: Victoria University of Manchester + Manchester University of Science and Technology (2004) – Top 25 by 2015 (currently 38 from 53 in 2005) • The University of Duisberg – Essen (2003) – Pooling academic strengths, sharpening Profile, efficiencies in T&R, ready for competition • SKEMA Business School: CERAM Business School + Groupe ESC Lille – To become the largest business school in France to face international competition 12
  • 13. But what are the conditions to be part of „the top‟? (i) a high concentration of talent (faculty and students), (ii) abundant resources to offer a rich learning environment and to conduct advanced research, and (iii) favourable governance features that encourage strategic vision, innovation and flexibility „that enable institutions to make decisions and to manage resources without being encumbered by bureaucracy‟ (pp19-20). And perhaps strong leadership?? 13
  • 14. And how does that compare? Concentration of Abundant Favourable talent resources governance X ? ? ? ? 14
  • 15. Competition brings more than just mergers Source: PWC, 2010 15
  • 16. Examples of „stimulated collaboration‟ • France: Poles (PRES: Pôles de Recherche et de l'Enseignement Supérieur) between universities and research institutes – Started in 2006, 21 Poles created by 2011 – Aim: prominence at the international level • Germany: Excellence Initiative – Started 2006, 30 Centres of Excellence created and 9 Universities of Excellence selected – Aim: prominence at the international level • Australia: Collaborative Research Networks – Started 2011, 12 networks established – Aim: building research capacity in less research intensive institutions through hubs-and-spoke model 16
  • 17. The ultimate bottom up example The University of Catalonia: 8 public universities 250,000 students 18,000 staff EUR 1.5 Billion 17
  • 18. The rationale for collaboration Most businesses succeed only if others also Succeed. Business is cooperation when it comes to creating a pie and competition when it comes to dividing it up. In other words, business is War and Peace. But it’s not Tolstoy – endless cycles of war followed by peace followed by war. It’s simultaneously war and peace. .. The combination makes for a more dynamic relationship than the words ‘competition’ and ‘cooperation’ suggest individually. 18
  • 19. Table 2: The ‘best’ university systems in the world Note: ratio is: #universities in ranking / #universities in system There‟s more than just top… Country JiaoTong 2010 THES 2010 The Netherlands 1 (.92) 1 (.77) Israel 2 (.88) -- Sweden 3 (.69) 4 (.38) New Zealand 4 (.63) 12 (.13) Switzerland 5 (.58) 2 (.50) Norway 5 (.57) 11 (.14) Denmark 7 (.50) 4 (.38) Hong Kong 7 (.50) 3 (.40) Belgium 9 (.47) 12 (.13) Australia 10 (.44) 9 (.18) Ireland 11 (.43) 7 (.29) Germany 12 (.38) 6 (.36) Finland 12 (.38) 16 (.07) UK 14 (.33) 8 (.25) Canada 15 (.32) 12 (.13) 19
  • 20. A brief example of dynamic relationships that have evolved because of strong competitive pressures 20
  • 21. Final Observations • Merger is but one response to a complex set of drivers forcing institutions to act: strategic partnerships, loosely of highly formalised, collaborations of all sorts and kinds, consortia and various forms of networked „interchanges‟. • “Sorting the System” and “Raising the Stakes” (Types I and II) • The Action-Reaction Dynamic – Action – merger, alliance, partnership – Reaction – the balance of power has changed and triggers responses – Reaction – and the spiral is started • Very profound leadership challenges: system and institutional • To map this the HE research community needs to collaborate 21