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Hydro-­‐poli*cal	
  Baseline	
  of	
  the	
  	
  
Upper	
  Jordan	
  River	
  




              The	
  Associa+on	
  of	
  the	
  Friends	
  of	
  Ibrahim	
  Abd	
  el	
  Al	
  

                                                                                                            www.uea.ac.uk/
                                                                                                             watersecurity/
          Mark	
  Zeitoun,	
  Karim	
  Eid-­‐Sabbagh,	
  Muna	
  Dajani,	
  and	
  Michael	
  Talhami	
  
                                                                                                               publica2ons	
  
Why	
  a	
  hydropoli2cal	
  baseline?	
  
                1.	
  Tensions	
  that	
  could	
  start	
  a	
  war	
  
                2.	
  Sustainable	
  water	
  and	
  economic	
  development	
  of	
  the	
  South	
  
                3.	
  Gaps	
  in	
  basic	
  data	
  
                4.	
  To	
  clarify	
  confusion	
  over	
  perceived	
  and	
  actual	
  issues	
  




                                                                                          	
  
                                                                     om	
  a	
  diversion
                                           een     	
  diverted	
  fr
                   Has	
   a9en*on	
  b ever	
  realised?	
  
                                            s	
  n
                   sche     me	
  that	
  wa




                             an-­‐Nahar	
  21	
  Feb	
  1995,	
  in	
  Amery	
  (2000:	
  Figure	
  5.2)	
  
Focus	
  (instead)	
  on	
  the	
  Upper	
  Jordan	
  


                                                         Upper	
  	
  
                                                         Jordan	
  River	
  




                                                     Lake	
  of	
  Tiberias	
  
                                                                    Yarmouk	
  River	
  

                                                     Lower	
  	
  
                                                     Jordan	
  River	
  




                                                 Dead	
  Sea	
  
Upper	
  Jordan	
  River	
  Hydropoli2cal	
  Baseline	
  Study	
  

   Goal	
  
   	
  
    to	
  understand	
  the	
  hydro-­‐poli2cal	
  landscape	
  with	
  a	
  view	
  to	
  legal	
  re-­‐
           distribu2on	
  of	
  the	
  UJR	
  


   Ques+ons	
  
   	
  
   •      The	
  UJR	
  Flows:	
  loca2on,	
  quan2ty	
  and	
  quality?	
  
   •      How	
  asymmetric	
  is	
  the	
  distribu2on?	
  
   •      How	
  was	
  the	
  asymmetry	
  achieived,	
  and	
  how	
  is	
  it	
  maintained?	
  
   •      How	
  important	
  is	
  water	
  in	
  the	
  Lebanon-­‐Israel	
  conflict?	
  

     Method	
  
   •      partners	
  –	
  AFIAL,	
  and	
  Ibrahim	
  Abd	
  el	
  Al	
  
   •      research	
  team	
  –	
  Eid-­‐Sabbagh,	
  Dajani,	
  Talhami	
  
   •      historical	
  record,	
  interviews,	
  hydrological	
  records,	
  official	
  statements,	
  etc	
  
   •      mul2-­‐disciplinary	
  approach:	
  	
  hydrology,	
  poli2cal	
  science,	
  interna2onal	
  
          rela2ons,	
  law,	
  hydro-­‐geology,	
  hydro-­‐hegemony,	
  discourses	
  etc	
  
   	
  
THE	
  	
  
             WATER	
                    POWER/	
  
                         FLOWS	
  
              USE	
                     BORDERS	
       OCCUPIED	
  
                                                         LANDS	
  
THEORY	
  
                                                                  2006	
  
                                                                Summer	
  
               HYDROPOLITICAL	
  BASELINE                         War	
  

                                                               THE	
  RECORD	
  

                                                      DISCUSSION	
  
                                  CONCLUSIONS	
  
THEORY	
  


             HYDROPOLITICAL	
  BASELINE
Interna2onal	
  Transboundary	
  Water-­‐sharing	
  norms	
  


       Interna*onal	
  Water	
  Law	
  
      	
  1997	
  UN	
  Watercourses	
  Conven3on:	
  3	
  principles	
  
            •  	
  ‘prior	
  no2fica2on’ 	
             	
  	
  
            •  	
  ‘no	
  significant	
  harm’ 	
  	
  
            •  	
  ‘equitable	
  and	
  reasonable	
  use’	
  
      	
  
      +	
  2008	
  Dra=	
  Aquifer	
  Ar3cles	
  	
  


       Others	
  
          •  ‘prior	
  use’	
  

          •  state	
  sovereignty	
  (‘Harmon	
  Doctrine’)	
  
Other	
  interna2onal	
  norms	
  relevant	
  to	
  water:	
  IHL	
  and	
  HR	
  to	
  water	
  

 Interna*onal	
  Humanitarian	
  Law	
  
 Ar2cle	
  52	
  (1)	
  of	
  the	
  Geneva	
  Conven2on’s	
  Addi2onal	
  Protocol	
  1:	
  
       	
  ‘protec2on	
  of	
  civilian	
  objects	
  which	
  are	
  not	
  military	
  objec2ves’	
  
 	
  
 Ar2cle	
  54	
  (Para.	
  2)	
  and	
  Ar2cle	
  55	
  of	
  Addi2onal	
  Protocol	
  1:	
  	
  
      	
  protec2on	
  of	
  the	
  “Natural	
  Environment”	
  and	
  “Objects	
  indispensable	
  to	
  the	
  
          survival	
  of	
  the	
  civilian	
  popula2on”	
  
 	
  
 Interna2onal	
  Conven2on	
  on	
  Economic,	
  Social	
  and	
  Cultural	
  Rights	
  (Ar2cle	
  11(1)):	
  
           Destruc2on	
  of	
  civilian	
  water	
  infrastructure	
  is	
  a	
  viola2on	
  of	
  the	
  right	
  to	
  an	
  
           adequate	
  standard	
  of	
  living.	
  	
  
  Human	
  Right	
  to	
  Water	
  
   UN	
  Commifee	
  on	
  Economic,	
  Social	
  and	
  Cultural	
  Rights:	
  General	
  Comment	
  15	
  
  UN	
  General	
  Assembly	
  2010	
  Human	
  Right	
  to	
  Water:	
  
        “declares	
  the	
  right	
  to	
  safe	
  and	
  clean	
  drinking	
  water	
  and	
  sanita2on	
  as	
  a	
  
        human	
  right	
  that	
  is	
  essen2al	
  for	
  the	
  full	
  enjoyment	
  of	
  life	
  and	
  all	
  human	
  
        rights”	
  
                                                                                                                   see	
  Tignino	
  2010	
  
WATER	
  
 USE	
  




  HYDROPOLITICAL	
  BASELINE
Current	
  Water	
  Use	
  

    Use	
  in	
  2011	
  from	
  surface	
  water	
  and	
  groundwater	
  in	
  the	
  Upper	
  Jordan	
  River	
  
    Basin	
  and	
  related	
  aquifers:	
  
    	
  
    Country 	
                	
  Flow 	
            	
              	
  Use	
  
    	
                                                                                       	
  [million	
  cubic	
  metres	
  per	
  year]	
  
    Syria 	
  	
                0    	
       	
            	
        	
  n/a	
  
         	
   	
  	
  
    Lebanon 	
                	
  ~11
                                  	
                               	
  local	
  irriga2on	
  and	
  domes2c	
  [via	
  Wazzani	
  PS	
  +]	
  
    	
  
    Israel                    	
  	
  
                              360	
  –	
  520                      	
  Irriga2on	
  locally	
  and	
  in	
  Negev	
  desert	
  (+	
  through	
  
                                                                      wastewater	
  reuse),	
  and	
  domes2c	
  (1/3	
  of	
  total	
  
                                                                      freshwater	
  consump2on	
  comes	
  from	
  Lake	
  of	
  
                                                                      Tiberias)	
  [via	
  Na2onal	
  Water	
  Carrier]	
  

     Lebanon	
  claim:	
  	
  35-­‐55	
                            [‘Johnston	
  alloca2on’	
  -­‐	
  equitable	
  and	
  reasonble	
  share]	
  
Prior	
  Water	
  Use	
  in	
  Lebanon	
  
                                                                                                                                  (1921)	
  
                The	
  1921	
  French	
  report	
  counted:	
  	
  
                	
  
                •  Six	
  water	
  mills,	
  located	
  on	
  the	
  Hasbani	
  mainstream	
  (named	
  or	
  located:	
  
                     near	
  Souk	
  al	
  Khan;	
  Maria	
  -­‐	
  just	
  upstream	
  of	
  Ghajar;	
  Moutran;	
  Hadj	
  Khalil;	
  
                     and	
  Souk,	
  near	
  the	
  canal	
  of	
  the	
  Emir);	
  	
  

                •  Three	
  irriga*ons	
  canals	
  (one	
  downstream	
  of	
  Ghajar,	
  and	
  two	
  upstream	
  
                   –	
  one	
  of	
  which	
  was	
  es2mated	
  at	
  5km	
  long	
  and	
  irriga2ng	
  an	
  es2mated	
  
                   600	
  dunums	
  with	
  3,000	
  m3	
  per	
  day	
  in	
  summer	
  [~1.1	
  MCM/y]	
  on	
  the	
  
                   “right	
  side	
  of	
  the	
  Hasbani”);	
  and	
  

                •  Associated	
  dams	
  and	
  impoundments	
  for	
  the	
  above.	
  
                                                                                              4)	
                   8)	
  
                                                                             cess  ion	
  (191 	
  Fakhoury 	
  (192
                                                         +	
  Sursock	
  con Nassif	
  and	
  Dr
                                                                            ey	
  
                                                         +	
  Sul eiman	
  B



   FNA	
  (1921d)	
  ETUDE	
  GENERALE	
  DE	
  LA	
  FRONTIERE	
  PROBABLE	
  vers	
  METELLI	
  et	
  du	
  pays	
  au	
  N.	
  et	
  au	
  SUD,	
  immédiatement	
  des	
  deux	
  côtés	
  
   de	
  (la)	
  fron+ère.	
  De	
  l'Inspecteur	
  des	
  Travaux	
  Publics	
  de	
  l'Etate	
  du	
  Grand	
  Liban.	
  French	
  Na2onal	
  Archives	
  in	
  Nantes,	
  Archives	
  des	
  
   postes	
  diploma2ques,	
  consulaires,	
  culturels	
  et	
  de	
  coopera2on:	
  Caisse	
  450;	
  Fonds	
  -­‐	
  "Beyrouth"/2e	
  versement;	
  Serie	
  -­‐	
  Service	
  
   Techniques	
  «	
  Hydraulique	
  ».	
  
THE	
  	
  
      FLOWS	
  




HYDROPOLITICAL	
  BASELINE
rjay un”
Main	
  sources	
  of	
  the	
  Upper	
  Jordan	
  



                                   )
                               oun
                       (Ma rdj Ayo
                                                                                                              Hasbani	
  Hasbani




                                                             r)
                                                         ive
                                                sba ni”
                                                                                                                         Springs                Hasbaya



                        “Me




                                                    ni R
                                             (Ha asba
                                                  H
                                                                                                                                                     Liddan	
  



                                              “N.
                 “Metelli”
                 (Metulla)                                                                                    Metulla
                                                                                                                                                   Liddan
                                          “El Ghadjar”                                                                    Wazzani                  Springs
                               Hasbani	
                                                                                  Springs Ghajar
                                          (Ghajar)

                                                                                                                                      Liddan              Banias
                                                                                                                                        River          Banias
                                                                                                                          Hasbani




                                                                                 m)
                                                                                                                             River          Banias     Springs




                                                                              rea
                                                                       As l”
                                        Liddan	
  

                                                                    (El . Assa
                                                                                                                                            River




                                                                          l st
                                                                                       Banias

                                                                                                                                                     Banias	
  

                                                                      “N
                                                                               ”  r)
                                                       )

                                                                             as e
                                               n River


                                                                           ni Riv
                                       (Lidda n”



                                                                         a
                                                                      . B ias
                                                da




                                                                    “N an
                                        “N. Led




                                                                       (B

                                                                  Banias	
                                                         UPPER
                                                                                                                                   JORDAN RIVER              Kuneitra



                                                                                                                             Huleh
                                                                                                                             Lake


                                                                                          +Groundwater	
  


   (FNA	
  1921)	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                           a) Pre-1916
                                                                                                                        Lake of
                                                                                                                                           Ottoman Empire
                                                                                                                        Tiberias

                                                                                                     LOWER
                                                                                                     JORDAN RIVER
                                       “Lac du Houlé”
                                       (Huleh Lake)
Source	
  of	
  the	
  Hasbani	
  –	
  at	
  Hasbaya	
  
                                                           (MacGregor	
  2002	
  [1870]:	
  175)	
  
Source	
  of	
  the	
  Hasbani	
  –	
  at	
  Hasbaya	
  
Main	
  sources	
  of	
  the	
  Upper	
  Jordan	
  
                                                  LEBANON

                     Mediterranean
                          Sea
                                                                         SYRIA




                                                 Lake Tiberias
                                                    Basin

                                     ISRAEL


                                                                 JORDAN




                                                     LEBANON



                             Hasbani
                                                                                                                     Mt
                              Basin                                                Hasbaya                        Hermon
                                                                er
                                                             Riv
                                                           ani
                                                          Hasb




                                     Ajoun
                                   catchment
                                      area
                                                                                                                Banias Basin
                       Metulla
                                                                                        s     ea
                                                                                                m              Liddan Basin
                                                                          arm
                                                                      ’a F
                                        El Wazzani
                                                                                        Str




                                             Ghajar
                                                                   eba
                                                                                       sl
                                                                                       A




                                                                 Ch
                                                                                    el
                           Aj o




                                                                                     Banias
                              n
                            u




                                                             r
                                                      an Rive
                                  St r e a




                                                                             er




                                                                             Riv
                                                                        nias
                                                                      Ba
                                                      dd                                            Occupied    UNDOF SYRIA
                                     m




                                                     Li




                       ISRAEL                                                                       SYRIAN     Administered
                                                                                                    GOLAN         Zone
LEBANON                                                                              [million	
  cubic	
  metre	
  per	
  year,	
  
1949	
  –	
  2004	
  annual	
  river	
  flows	
                                                                                          measured	
  upstream	
  of	
  their	
  
                      Mediterranean
                           Sea
                                                                          SYRIA                                                         confluence	
  point]	
  
     143	
  (+/-­‐	
  43%)	
                                            Hasbani	
  
                                                  Lake Tiberias                                                              most	
  of	
  the	
  base	
  flow	
  
                                                                                                                             provided	
  by	
  the	
  Wazzani	
  Springs	
  
                                                     Basin

                                      ISRAEL


                                                                  JORDAN




                                                      LEBANON
                                                                                                     !              114	
  (+/-­‐	
  30%)	
                                     Banias	
  

                              Hasbani
                                                                                                                                  Mt
                               Basin                                                Hasbaya                                    Hermon
                                                                 er
                                                              Riv
                                                            ani
                                                           Hasb




                241	
  (+/-­‐	
  10%)	
  
                                       Ajoun

                                                                             Liddan	
  
                                     catchment
                                        area
                                                                                                                           Banias Basin
                                                                                                                                                                                                   !
                        Metulla
                                                                                         s     ea
                                                                                                 m                      Liddan Basin
                                                                           arm
                                                                       ’a F
                                         El Wazzani
                                                                                         Str




                                              Ghajar
                                                                    eba                                                       base	
  flow	
  much	
  larger	
  +	
  
                                                                                        sl
                                                                                        A




                                                                  Ch
                                                                                     el




                                                                                                                              more	
  secure	
  	
  
                            Aj o




                                                                                      Banias
                                 n
                             u




                                                              r
                                                       an Rive
                                   St r e a




                                                                              er




                                                                              Riv
                                                                         nias
                                                                       Ba
                                                       dd                                                Occupied       UNDOF SYRIA
                                      m




                                                      Li




                        ISRAEL                                                                           SYRIAN        AdministeredYearbooks	
  1949-­‐1977,	
  1959-­‐2004,	
  and	
  
                                                                                                                                HSI	
  
                                                                                                         GOLAN            Zone 1992-­‐2004,	
  and	
  Klein	
  (1998)	
  for	
  1977-­‐1992.	
  	
  
                                                                                                     !
Transboundary	
  groundwater	
  flows	
  –	
  rough	
  es2mate	
                                250	
  –	
  350	
  
                                                                                     [million	
  cubic	
  metre	
  per	
  year]	
  




                                                 (Kafri	
  and	
  Lang	
  1979,	
  from	
  Brielmann	
  2008:	
  Fig.	
  10)	
  (labels	
  added).	
  	
  
Summary	
  of	
  the	
  Upper	
  Jordan	
  River	
  Flows	
  
                                                                                              [million	
  cubic	
  metres	
  per	
  year]	
  


          Banias	
                     114           	
     	
     	
  (variable,	
  vulnerable	
  to	
  pollu2on)	
  
          Hasbani	
                    143           	
     	
     	
  (variable,	
  vulnerable	
  to	
  pollu2on) 	
  	
  
          Liddan	
                     241           	
     	
     	
  (stable,	
  somewhat	
  vulnerable	
  to	
  pollu2on)
          Ajoun	
                      	
  (?)	
  
          Groundwater	
                250	
  –	
  350 	
          	
  (stable,	
  less	
  vulnerable)	
  
POWER/	
  
              BORDERS	
  




HYDROPOLITICAL	
  BASELINE
So[	
  Power:	
  1920	
  Hydropoli2cal	
  Border	
  Shiv	
  –	
  lobbied	
  for	
  
                                                                       “Mtelle”         B anias
                     demandée par the G’t anglais ”                    (Metulla)


                    (Border adjustment requested
                      by the English Goverment)
                                                                                 ”Lac de Houlé ”
                                                                                 (Hula Marshes)    “Koneirtra”
                                                                                                    (Kuneitra)




                  par l’accord Sykes-Picot”



                  Sykes-Picot Agreement)
So[	
  Power:	
  1923	
  Hydropoli2cal	
  Border	
  Shiv	
  –	
  obtained	
  

                                                                       Hasbani
                                     FRENCH MANDATE                    Springs      Hasbaya
                                        LEBANON
                                                                                                   Border	
  1923	
  -­‐	
  1967	
  
                                                Metulla
                                                                                       Liddan
                                                            Wazzani                    Springs
                                                            Springs Ghajar
                                                                          Liddan              Banias
                                                                            River          Banias
                                                            Hasbani
                                                               River             Banias    Springs
                                                                                 River


                                                                             FRENCH MANDATE
                                                                                  SYRIA
                                                                     UPPER
                                                                     JORDAN RIVER                Kuneitra



                                                               Huleh
                                                               Lake



                                     BRITISH MANDATE
                                        PALESTINE




                                                          Lake of                d) 1923 border
                                                          Tiberias

                                       LOWER
                                       JORDAN RIVER
Hard	
  Power:	
  military	
  ac2on	
  over	
  water	
  1950s	
  &	
  1960s	
  

                                                                            1965	
  	
  
                                                                            Israel	
  army	
  thwarts	
  
                                                    1953	
                  diversion	
  afempt	
  
            Syria	
  army	
  thwarts	
  Israeli	
  afempt	
                 (successful)	
  
                                           (successful)	
  
                                                                                1965	
  
                                                                              Syria	
  afempts	
  to	
  divert	
  Hasbani	
  
                                                            1965	
  	
        away	
  from	
  NWC	
  
                                                            PLO	
  afacks	
  NWC	
  
                                1953	
                      (unsuccessful)	
  
              Israel	
  afempts	
  	
  
     construc2on	
  of	
  NWC	
  
 from	
  B’nat	
  Yacoub	
  Bridge	
  

                           1964	
  
        Israel	
  completes	
  
          NWC	
  at	
  Tiberias	
  
(status	
  quo	
  ‘2l	
  present)	
  
Hard	
  Power:	
  Military	
  acquisi2on	
  and	
  relinquishing	
  of	
  territory:	
  a	
  water	
  impera2ve?	
  

 1967	
  Israeli	
  occupa*on	
                                                1982	
  –	
  2000	
  	
                                                2000:	
  (near)	
  return	
  to	
  
          of	
  Golan	
  +	
                                              (maximum	
  occupa*on)	
                                                       1967	
  borders	
  
     (1920	
  borders	
  achieved)	
  

                                  Hasbani
                                  Springs                                                                Hasbani                                                               Hasbani
          LEBANON                              Hasbaya
                                                       ’a
                                                                                 LEBANON                 Springs      Hasbaya                        LEBANON                   Springs      Hasbaya
                                                    eba
                                                  Ch ms                                                                       ’a                                                                     ’a
                                                     r                                                                     eba                                                                   eba
                                                   Fa                                                                    Ch ms                                                                 Ch ms
                                                                                                                                                                                                Fa r
           Metulla                                                                                                        Far
                                                  Liddan                          Metulla                                                               Metulla
                       Wazzani                    Springs                                                                Liddan                                                                Liddan
                       Springs Ghajar                                                         Wazzani                                                               Wazzani                    Springs
                                                                                                                         Springs
                                                                                              Springs Ghajar                                                        Springs Ghajar
                                     Liddan                 Banias
                                                                                                            Liddan                 Banias                                         Liddan                  Banias
                                       River          Banias
                       Hasbani                                                                                River                                                                 River           Banias
                                                      Springs                                 Hasbani                        Banias                                 Hasbani
                          River             Banias                                                                                                                                                  Springs
                                                                                                 River             Banias    Springs                                   River             Banias
                                            River              SYRIA
                                                                                                                   River              SYRIA                                              River               SYRIA




                                UPPER
                                                                           Was	
  WATER	
  an	
                                                                              UPPER
                                                                                                       UPPER
                                                                            interest	
  in	
  the	
  
                                JORDAN RIVER                 Kuneitra                                                                                                                                      Kuneitra
                                                                                                       JORDAN RIVER                 Kuneitra                                 JORDAN RIVER


                          Huleh
                          Lake                                          territorial	
  conquests	
  
                                                                                                 Huleh
                                                                                                 Lake
                                                                                                                                                                       Huleh
                                                                                                                                                                       Lake

                                                                          (as	
  in	
  the	
  1950s)	
  ??	
  
 ISRAEL                                                                 ISRAEL                                                              ISRAEL




                                            e) post 1948 border                                                    f) Maximum Israel                                                     e) post 1948 border
                     Lake of                + 1967 Israeli                                  Lake of                occupation border                              Lake of                + 1967 Israeli
                     Tiberias               occupation of Golan                             Tiberias               (<2000)                                        Tiberias               occupation of Golan
  LOWER                                                                 LOWER                                                                  LOWER
  JORDAN RIVER                                                          JORDAN RIVER                                                           JORDAN RIVER
OCCUPIED	
  
                        LANDS	
  



HYDROPOLITICAL	
  BASELINE
Interests	
  in	
  CHEBA’A	
  
Water,	
  Ski-­‐ing,	
  and	
  military	
  in	
  Cheba’a	
  




                                                                               2.	
  Ski	
  Resorts	
  




1.	
  Water	
  
            3.	
  Military-­‐strategic	
  




[all	
  images	
  taken	
  from	
  Google	
  Earth,	
  February	
  2012]	
  
Religious	
  sites	
  in	
  Cheba’a	
  




                            Lebanon	
  


                                                                                       4.	
  site	
  of	
  Abraham’s	
  	
  
                     Occupied	
  	
                                                   Covenant	
  of	
  the	
  Pieces	
  
                   Cheba’a	
  Farms	
  




       [all	
  images	
  taken	
  from	
  Google	
  Earth,	
  February	
  2012]	
  
Summary	
  of	
  the	
  interests	
  in	
  occupa2on	
  of	
  Cheba’a	
  




                                                        Priority	
  ?	
  
                      Water	
                           1.	
  	
  -­‐	
  	
  ?	
  
                      Military	
                        2.	
  	
  -­‐	
  	
  ?	
  	
  
                      Ski-­‐ing	
                       3.	
  	
  -­‐	
  	
  ?	
  
                                                        4.	
  	
  -­‐	
  	
  Ski-­‐ing	
  
                      Religious	
  

         Water	
  is	
  a	
  component,	
  alongside	
  other	
  components	
  (not	
  a	
  primary	
  driver).	
  
         	
  
         Especially	
  Liddan	
  recharge	
  area;	
  But	
  the	
  volumes	
  involved	
  are	
  not	
  cri2cal	
  …	
  
              	
    	
  à	
  Israel	
  ‘water-­‐security’	
  discourse	
  (discussed	
  in	
  the	
  UJR	
  Study)	
  
Interests	
  in	
  GHAJAR	
  
Occupa2on	
  of	
  Ghajar	
  /	
  Wazzani	
  Springs	
  




                       Lebanon                                          Syria	
  -­‐	
  Golan
                                                                     (occupied	
  by	
  Israel)
                                                                                                Cheba’a	
  
                                Ghajar	
  -­‐	
  north     Ghajar	
  -­‐	
  south
                                                                                                (Lebanon)	
  
                              (occupied	
  by	
  Israel)




             Hasbani	
  River


                                                  Wazzani	
  Springs                        Lebanon
                                                                                                           ©	
  Sébas2en	
  Pellissier	
  	
  
Wazzani	
  Springs	
  Pumping	
  Sta2on	
  –	
  War	
  of	
  Words	
  in	
  2002	
                    [see	
  Maternowski	
  2006,	
  Alles	
  2010]	
  




                      unofficial	
  Israeli	
  response:	
  
                      Shimon	
  Peres	
  -­‐	
  “We	
  do	
  not	
  want	
  a	
  flare-­‐up,	
  
                      but	
  we	
  will	
  not	
  give	
  up	
  water”	
  (Sedan	
  2002)	
  
                                                                       official	
  Israeli	
  response:	
  	
  
                                                                       “	
  …unilateral	
  ac2on	
  by	
  Lebanon	
  would	
  be	
  
      Lebanese	
  response:	
  	
                                      unacceptable	
  to	
  Israel.”	
  
      ‘Lebanon	
  has	
  right	
  to	
  a	
  legal	
  share’	
  
      è	
  US,	
  UN	
  and	
  EU	
  
      media2on`	
    	
  
                       +	
  heavy	
  winter	
  rains:	
  
                       	
  
                       •  Lebanon	
  built	
  Wazzani	
  PS,	
  but:	
  
                       •  right	
  to	
  abstract	
  lev	
  unresolved...	
  
Wazzani	
  Springs	
  Pumping	
  Sta2on	
     on	
  Hasbani	
  River	
  (completed	
  2002)	
  

               Design	
  Capacity:	
  4.4	
  MCM/y	
  	
  (<14%	
  of	
  Lebanese	
  claim,	
  
                                  <1%	
  of	
  Israel	
  abstrac2ons	
  from	
  Tiberias)	
  
               Actual	
  Abstrac+ons:	
  less	
  (lack	
  of	
  diesel,	
  maintenance)	
  	
  




Hasbani River +!




                                                                                                  Ralf	
  Klingbeil,	
  2010	
  
Summary	
  of	
  the	
  interests	
  in	
  Wazzani	
  Springs	
  /	
  occupying	
  Ghajar	
  



                                                                       Priority	
  ?	
  
                         Water	
                                        1.	
  	
  -­‐	
  	
  ?	
  
                         Military	
                                     2.	
  	
  -­‐	
  	
  ?	
  	
  
                         Ski-­‐ing	
                                    3.	
  	
  -­‐	
  	
  ?	
  
                         Religious?	
                                   4.	
  	
  -­‐	
  	
  ?	
  	
  
                         Will	
  of	
  the	
  residents?	
  


         Water	
  is	
  a	
  component,	
  alongside	
  other	
  components	
  (not	
  a	
  primary	
  driver)	
  
         	
  
         Flows	
  of	
  Wazzani	
  more	
  imporant	
  than	
  Hasbani…	
  but	
  s2ll	
  not	
  cri2cal….	
  	
  
              	
    	
  à	
  Israel	
  ‘water-­‐security’	
  discourse	
  (discussed	
  in	
  the	
  UJR	
  Study)	
  
2006	
  
                             Summer	
  
HYDROPOLITICAL	
  BASELINE     War	
  
Jbaa
                                                                                                   Baissariye

Some	
  damages	
  to	
  water	
  infrastructure	
  in	
  Lebanon	
  and	
  Israel	
            Sarafand                Merouaniye
                                                                                                                                                          Sarba      Jarjouaa
                                                                                                                                                                                Mlikh Aaramta

                                                                                                                                                  Aazze
                                                                                              Saksakiye                           Zefta

 Israel	
  
                                                                                                                      Toufahta                                                     Rihane
                                                                                            Insariye                                                                 Habbouch                             Dlafy
                                                                                                            Babliye                       Kfour
                                                                                                                                                                                       Louaiziye
 Direct	
  damage:	
                                                                    Aadloun
                                                                                                                      Khartoum
                                                                                                                                                                    Kfar Roummane
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Kaoukaba Hasbaiya

                                                                                                                                 Doueir
 •  Safad	
  WWTP	
                                                                             Kharayeb
                                                                                                                Insar    Aabba                     Harouf                       Marjayoun
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Blat
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Fardis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ain Jerfa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Hebbari
 Indirect	
  damage:	
                                                                 Qasmiye
                                                                                                   Arzay
                                                                                                            Zrariye
                                                                                                                         Braiqaa
                                                                                                                                               Jibchit
                                                                                                                                                              Yohmor
                                                                                                                                                                                 Qlaiaa
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Ebel es Saqi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Kfar H


 •  3	
  WWTP	
  (e.g.	
  Haifa)	
                                        Bourghliye              Bedias     Maaroub
                                                                                                                               Kfar Sir
                                                                                                                                                           Aalmane                           Khiam
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mari Kfar Chouba

                                                                                 Aabbassiye                                                                                           Kfar Kila

 Lebanon	
  
                                                               Borj ech Chmali                                                                                                                              El Majidiye
                                                                                                             Barich
                                                                                                                           Ghandourieh
                                                                                                                                                           Qantara        Taibe             Wazzani
 Direct	
  damage:	
                                                          Tyre
                                                                                                 Jouaya                                             Tallousa                     Aadaisse


 •  20	
  pumping	
  sta2ons	
                                   Deir Qanoun
                                                                                                  Aitit
                                                                                                            Majdel                                                       Markaba


 •  thousands	
  of	
  roovop	
  tanks	
  
                                                                                                                                                       Majdel Selm
                                                                                                                        Soultanieh
                                                                                               Siddiqine                                                                      Houla
                                                               Mansouri
 •  100s	
  of	
  km	
  distrib’n	
  pipes	
         El Biyada
                                                                                                                  Aita El-Jabel           Baraachit
                                                                                                                                                         Chaqra
                                                                                                           Sribbine                                                   Mheibib
 •  200-­‐700	
  transformers	
                  Naqoura
                                                           Chama’a
                                                                  Tair Harfa
                                                                                       Zabqine
                                                                                              Chihine             Beit Lif
                                                                                                                             Beit Yahoun
                                                                                                                                                                       Blida

 •  55	
  public	
  reservoirs	
                    Aalma ech Chaab
                                                                        Jebbain

                                                                                                Ramiya
                                                                                                                      Qaouzah             Bent Jbail
                                                                                                                                                                  Aaitaroun
                                                                              Yarine
 etc	
                                                                                          Aita Ech Chaab
                                                                                                                      Rmaich
                                                                                                                                     Yaroun
                                                                                                                                                Maroun er Ras



 +	
  indirect	
  damage	
                                 0              5            10          15  km
                                                                                                                                                       ISRAEL

                                                     Destruction of Housing Units                                                                                                  S T A T E              B O U N D
                                                                                                  Totally destroyed
                                                                                                                                                                                   Caza
                                                                                                   Partially Destroyed
                                                                                                   Severly damaged                                                                 Boundaries of occupied Cheba’a
                                                      equivalent to 1,800 units

                                                     Damages to Public Water Reservoirs
                                                                 1 Reservoir             Damaged Reservoir
                                                                 2 Reservoirs            Destroyed Reservoir                     Damages to housing units: UNHCR 2006 and GOL 2006; Damages to
                                                                 3 Reservoirs                                                    SLWE (2006), Water and Sanitation Cluster 2006 (UNICEF). Administ
                                                                 4 Reservoirs                                                    Database of the National Master Plan for Lebanon, 2005. Mapping: Do
Typical	
  drinking	
  water	
  system	
  in	
  southern	
  Lebanon	
  
2006	
  Summer	
  War	
  




                                                                                  Zeitoun	
  




    Water	
  reservoirs	
  in	
  Lebanon	
  damaged	
  during	
  the	
  2006	
  Summer	
  War,	
  showing	
  a	
  range	
  of	
  the	
  nature	
  of	
  the	
  damages.	
  Siddiquine:	
  no	
  direct	
  
    damage	
  to	
  reservoir;	
  Chama'a:	
  ‘indiscriminate’	
  and	
  ‘deliberate’;	
  Ramiya:	
  ‘deliberate’.	
                      Zeitoun	
                                                          Zeitoun	
  
Jbaa
                                                                                                   Baissariye

2006	
  Summer	
  War	
                                                                         Sarafand                Merouaniye
                                                                                                                                                          Sarba      Jarjouaa
                                                                                                                                                                                Mlikh Aaramta

                                                                                                                                                  Aazze
                                                                                              Saksakiye                           Zefta

 Israel	
  
                                                                                                                      Toufahta                                                     Rihane
                                                                                            Insariye                                                                 Habbouch                             Dlafy
                                                                                                            Babliye                       Kfour
                                                                                                                                                                                       Louaiziye
 Direct	
  damage:	
                                                                    Aadloun
                                                                                                                      Khartoum
                                                                                                                                                                    Kfar Roummane
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Kaoukaba Hasbaiya

                                                                                                                                 Doueir
 •  Safad	
  WWTP	
                                                                             Kharayeb
                                                                                                                Insar    Aabba                     Harouf                       Marjayoun
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Blat
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Fardis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ain Jerfa

                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Hebbari
 Indirect	
  damage:	
                                                                 Qasmiye
                                                                                                   Arzay
                                                                                                            Zrariye
                                                                                                                         Braiqaa
                                                                                                                                               Jibchit
                                                                                                                                                              Yohmor
                                                                                                                                                                                 Qlaiaa
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Ebel es Saqi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Kfar H


 •  3	
  WWTP	
  (e.g.	
  Haifa)	
                                        Bourghliye              Bedias     Maaroub
                                                                                                                               Kfar Sir
                                                                                                                                                           Aalmane                           Khiam
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mari Kfar Chouba

                                                                                 Aabbassiye                                                                                           Kfar Kila

 Lebanon	
  
                                                               Borj ech Chmali                                                                                                                              El Majidiye
                                                                                                             Barich
                                                                                                                           Ghandourieh
                                                                                                                                                           Qantara        Taibe             Wazzani
 Direct	
  damage:	
                                                          Tyre
                                                                                                 Jouaya                                             Tallousa                     Aadaisse


 •  20	
  pumping	
  sta2ons	
                                   Deir Qanoun
                                                                                                  Aitit
                                                                                                            Majdel                                                       Markaba


 •  thousands	
  of	
  roovop	
  tanks	
  
                                                                                                                                                       Majdel Selm
                                                                                                                        Soultanieh
                                                                                               Siddiqine                                                                      Houla
                                                               Mansouri
 •  100s	
  of	
  km	
  distrib’n	
  pipes	
         El Biyada
                                                                                                                  Aita El-Jabel           Baraachit
                                                                                                                                                         Chaqra
                                                                                                           Sribbine                                                   Mheibib
 •  200-­‐700	
  transformers	
                  Naqoura
                                                           Chama’a
                                                                  Tair Harfa
                                                                                       Zabqine
                                                                                              Chihine             Beit Lif
                                                                                                                             Beit Yahoun
                                                                                                                                                                       Blida

 •  55	
  public	
  reservoirs	
                    Aalma ech Chaab
                                                                        Jebbain

                                                                                                Ramiya
                                                                                                                      Qaouzah             Bent Jbail
                                                                                                                                                                  Aaitaroun
                                                                              Yarine
 etc	
                                                                                          Aita Ech Chaab
                                                                                                                      Rmaich
                                                                                                                                     Yaroun
                                                                                                                                                Maroun er Ras



 +	
  indirect	
  damage	
                                 0              5            10          15  km
                                                                                                                                                       ISRAEL

                                                     Destruction of Housing Units                                                                                                  S T A T E              B O U N D
                                                                                                  Totally destroyed
                                                                                                                                                                                   Caza
                                                                                                   Partially Destroyed
                                                                                                   Severly damaged                                                                 Boundaries of occupied Cheba’a
                                                      equivalent to 1,800 units

                                                     Damages to Public Water Reservoirs
                                                                 1 Reservoir             Damaged Reservoir
                                                                 2 Reservoirs            Destroyed Reservoir                     Damages to housing units: UNHCR 2006 and GOL 2006; Damages to
                                                                 3 Reservoirs                                                    SLWE (2006), Water and Sanitation Cluster 2006 (UNICEF). Administ
                                                                 4 Reservoirs                                                    Database of the National Master Plan for Lebanon, 2005. Mapping: Do
2006	
  Summer	
  War	
                                                        Reservoir	
  part	
  of	
  Wazzani	
  Springs	
  project	
  




                     South	
  Lebanon	
  Water	
  Establishment	
  (SLWE	
  2006).	
  
Summary	
  of	
  water	
  and	
  2006	
  Summer	
  War	
  




          Water	
  was	
  target	
  of	
  war	
  
          Water	
  as	
  tool	
  of	
  war	
  
          Viola*ons	
  of	
  Interna2onal	
  Humanitarian	
  Law	
  
          Viola*on	
  of	
  Human	
  Right	
  to	
  Water	
  
          	
  
          à	
  erosion	
  of	
  interna2onal	
  norms	
  [sov	
  power]	
  
          	
  
          Hydropoli2cal	
  mo2ve	
  (Wazzani	
  PS):	
  	
  indirect	
  	
  [sov	
  power]	
  
HYDROPOLITICAL	
  BASELINE
                             THE	
  RECORD	
  
1916	
  -­‐	
  1948                  1948-­‐	
  1967            1967	
  -­‐	
  1978       1978	
  -­‐	
  2000               2000	
  -­‐-­‐>
                   1916                                             1948                                1967                1978                          2000 2002

Control	
  over	
  Territory	
                                                                                                                                                          100%

                                       French Mandate Syria / Lebanon
                          1923               British Mandate Palestine                                                             Israel
                                                                                                                                   Lebanon
                                                                                                                                   Syria



                                                                                                                                                                                         0%
                                                                                                                                                                                        100%
 Control	
  over	
  Water	
  
                                                                                                 1965




                                                                                                                                                                                         0%
                                                                                                                                                                                        100%
  Use	
  of	
  Water	
  
                                                                                                 1964




                                                                                                                                                                                         0%

                           1920 1921                                           1954-­‐56                                                  1993

TREATIES    1916


                                                                         1948	
  Nakba,
MILITARY/
POLITICAL                                                                                                                           1978	
  -­‐	
  2000        2002             2006
EVENTS
HYDROPOLITICAL	
  BASELINE



          CONCLUSIONS	
  
Some	
  conclusions	
  
    Biophysical	
  
    	
   Significant	
  data	
  gaps	
  in	
  surface	
  and	
  groundwater	
  flows,	
  quality	
  and	
  use	
  
    • 
    	
   Groundwater	
  flows	
  are	
  more	
  important	
  than	
  river	
  flows	
  
    • 
    	
  
    Academic	
  
    	
  
    •  Control	
  is	
  achieved	
  through	
  sov	
  then	
  hard	
  power,	
  and	
  maintained	
  by	
  sov	
  
    	
   (deterrent)	
  power	
  (‘remote	
  control’)	
  
    	
  
    •  Control	
  of	
  water	
  without	
  control	
  of	
  territory	
  (à	
  de-­‐territorialisa2on	
  
    	
   debates)	
  
    	
  
    •  Israel’s	
  hegemonic	
  posi2on	
  in	
  the	
  basin	
  has	
  limits	
  (a	
  hegemon	
  without	
  
    	
   hegemony?)	
  
    	
  
    Poli*cal	
  
        •  Control	
  of	
  the	
  Hasbani	
  is	
  centred	
  on	
  the	
  Wazzani	
  Springs/Ghajar	
  
        •  Control	
  of	
  the	
  Upper	
  Jordan	
  is	
  centred	
  on	
  the	
  Liddan	
  and	
  Banias/Cheba’a	
  	
  
        •  There	
  is	
  a	
  ‘historic	
  debt’	
  /	
  grounds	
  or	
  a	
  ‘prior	
  use’	
  argument	
  for	
  re-­‐distribu2on	
  
             (on	
  top	
  of	
  the	
  legal	
  argument)	
  
        •  Water	
  re-­‐distribu2on	
  prevented	
  by	
  Israeli	
  ‘water-­‐security’	
  discourse	
  
        	
  
Some	
  conclusions	
  (con’t.)	
  	
  -­‐	
  last	
  slide!	
  


        Future	
  
        •  Israeli	
  interests	
  /	
  dependance	
  on	
  UJR	
  is	
  changing	
  (desalina2on);	
  

        •  Water	
  conflict	
  will	
  shiv	
  with	
  shiving	
  poli2cal	
  context;	
  

        •  Poten2al	
  flashpoints	
  of	
  armed	
  conflict:	
  groundwater	
  development;	
  
           water	
  quality	
  issues	
  (olive	
  oil	
  residue);	
  

        •  re-­‐ac2ve	
  diplomacy	
  at	
  such	
  2mes	
  will	
  constrain	
  issues,	
  not	
  resolve	
  them;	
  

        •  Asymmetry	
  can	
  be	
  entrenched,	
  if	
  basin-­‐wide	
  approach	
  not	
  taken.	
  
Thank-­‐you	
  !	
  




     For	
  more	
  analysis	
  and	
  references:	
  download	
  the	
  Upper	
  Jordan	
  River	
  
     Hydropoli2cal	
  Baseline	
  from	
  the	
  Publica2ons	
  page	
  of	
  the	
  UEA	
  Water	
  Security	
  
     Research	
  Centre:	
  www.uea.ac.uk/watersecurity/publica2ons	
  



Mark	
  Zeitoun,	
  Karim	
  Eid-­‐Sabbagh,	
  Muna	
  Dajani,	
  and	
  Michael	
  Talhami	
  m.zeitoun@uea.ac.uk	
  
References	
  
  Amery,	
  Hussein	
  (2000).	
  A	
  Popular	
  Theory	
  of	
  Water	
  Diversion	
  from	
  Lebanon:	
  Toward	
  Public	
  Par2cipa2on	
  for	
  Peace.	
  
           Water	
  in	
  the	
  Middle	
  East:	
  A	
  Geography	
  of	
  Peace.	
  Wolf,	
  A.	
  and	
  H.	
  Amery.	
  Aus2n,	
  USA,	
  University	
  of	
  Texas	
  Press.	
  
  Brielmann,	
  Heike	
  (2008).	
  Recharge	
  and	
  discharge	
  mechanism	
  and	
  dynamics	
  in	
  the	
  mountainous	
  northern	
  Upper	
  
           Jordan	
  River	
  Catcment,	
  Israel,	
  LMU	
  Muenchen:	
  Faculty	
  of	
  Goesciences.	
  	
  
  FNA	
  (1921).	
  ETUDE	
  GENERALE	
  DE	
  LA	
  FRONTIERE	
  PROBABLE	
  vers	
  METELLI	
  et	
  du	
  pays	
  au	
  N.	
  et	
  au	
  SUD,	
  immédiatement	
  
           des	
  deux	
  côtés	
  de	
  (la)	
  fron+ère.	
  De	
  l'Inspecteur	
  des	
  Travaux	
  Publics	
  de	
  l'Etate	
  du	
  Grand	
  Liban.	
  French	
  Na2onal	
  
           Archives	
  in	
  Nantes,	
  Archives	
  des	
  postes	
  diploma2ques,	
  consulaires,	
  culturels	
  et	
  de	
  coopera2on:	
  Caisse	
  450;	
  
           Fonds	
  -­‐	
  "Beyrouth"/2e	
  versement;	
  Serie	
  -­‐	
  Service	
  Techniques	
  "Hydraulique";	
  Sujet	
  -­‐	
  U2lisa2on	
  de	
  la	
  rivière	
  
           Yarmouk	
  et	
  du	
  bassin	
  supérieur	
  du	
  Jourdain	
  Sta2on	
  de	
  jaugeage	
  de	
  Wadi-­‐Khaled,	
  1921	
  -­‐	
  1942.	
  	
  
  HSI	
  (1977).	
  Hydrological	
  Yearbook	
  1949	
  -­‐	
  1977.	
  (Hebrew),	
  Jerusalem,	
  Hydrological	
  Service	
  of	
  Israel.	
  	
  
  HSI	
  (2004).	
  Hydrological	
  Yearbook	
  1959	
  -­‐	
  2004.	
  (Hebrew),	
  Jerusalem,	
  Hydrological	
  Service	
  of	
  Israel.	
  	
  
  Klein,	
  Michael	
  (1998).	
  "Water	
  Balance	
  of	
  the	
  Upper	
  Jordan	
  River	
  Basin."	
  Water	
  Interna+onal	
  23(4):	
  244	
  -­‐	
  248.	
  	
  
  Lukes,	
  Steven	
  (2005	
  [1974]).	
  Power:	
  A	
  Radical	
  View	
  -­‐	
  2nd	
  edi2on.	
  Hampshire,	
  UK,	
  Palgrave	
  MacMillan.	
  
  MacGregor,	
  John	
  (2002	
  [1870]).	
  The	
  Rob	
  Roy	
  on	
  the	
  Jordan	
  -­‐	
  The	
  extraordinary	
  19th	
  Century	
  tale	
  of	
  the	
  first	
  canoeist	
  
           to	
  explore	
  the	
  Middle	
  East	
  and	
  Africa.	
  London,	
  UK,	
  republished	
  by	
  The	
  Long	
  Riders'	
  Guild	
  Press,	
  2002.	
  Also	
  
           published	
  by	
  Harper&Brothers,	
  Publishers,	
  New	
  York	
  in	
  1870,	
  under	
  the	
  2tle:	
  The	
  Rob	
  Roy	
  on	
  the	
  Jordan,	
  Nile,	
  
           Red	
  Sea,	
  and	
  Gennesareth,	
  &c:	
  	
  A	
  Canoe	
  Cruise	
  in	
  Pales2ne	
  and	
  Egypt,	
  and	
  the	
  Waters	
  of	
  Damascus.	
  
  Sedan,	
  Gil	
  (2002).	
  U.S.,	
  Israel	
  seek	
  to	
  defuse	
  tense	
  Lebanese	
  water	
  plan.	
  J	
  Weekly.com,	
  Jewish	
  Telegraphic	
  Agency.	
  	
  
  SLWE	
  (2006).	
  Damages	
  to	
  the	
  Water	
  Sector	
  in	
  the	
  South	
  of	
  Lebanon	
  from	
  the	
  2006	
  War.	
  Saida,	
  South	
  Lebanon	
  Water	
  
           Establishment.	
  	
  
  Tignino,	
  Mara	
  (2010).	
  "Water,	
  interna2onal	
  peace,	
  and	
  security."	
  Interna+onal	
  Review	
  of	
  the	
  Red	
  Cross	
  -­‐	
  
           Humanitarian	
  debate:	
  law,	
  policy,	
  ac+on	
  92(September	
  2010).	
  	
  
  Zeitoun,	
  Mark	
  (2007).	
  Viola2ons,	
  Opportuni2es	
  and	
  Power	
  along	
  the	
  Jordan	
  River:	
  	
  Security	
  Studies	
  Theory	
  Applied	
  
           to	
  Water	
  Conflict.	
  Water	
  Resources	
  in	
  the	
  Middle	
  East:	
  Israeli-­‐Pales+nian	
  Water	
  Issues	
  -­‐	
  From	
  Conflict	
  to	
  
           Coopera+on.	
  Shuval,	
  H.	
  and	
  H.	
  Dweik.	
  Heidelberg,	
  Germany,	
  Springer	
  Verlag.	
  213	
  -­‐	
  224.	
  
  Zeitoun,	
  Mark,	
  Karim	
  Eid-­‐Sabbagh,	
  Muna	
  Dajani	
  and	
  Michael	
  Talhami	
  (2012).	
  Hydro-­‐poli+cal	
  Baseline	
  of	
  the	
  Upper	
  
           Jordan	
  River.	
  Beirut,	
  Associa2on	
  of	
  the	
  Friends	
  of	
  Ibrahim	
  Abd	
  el	
  Al.	
  	
  
  	
  	
  

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Upper Jordan River Hyropolitical Baseline (ZeitounEidSabbaghDajaniTalhami)

  • 1. Hydro-­‐poli*cal  Baseline  of  the     Upper  Jordan  River   The  Associa+on  of  the  Friends  of  Ibrahim  Abd  el  Al   www.uea.ac.uk/ watersecurity/ Mark  Zeitoun,  Karim  Eid-­‐Sabbagh,  Muna  Dajani,  and  Michael  Talhami   publica2ons  
  • 2. Why  a  hydropoli2cal  baseline?   1.  Tensions  that  could  start  a  war   2.  Sustainable  water  and  economic  development  of  the  South   3.  Gaps  in  basic  data   4.  To  clarify  confusion  over  perceived  and  actual  issues     om  a  diversion een  diverted  fr Has   a9en*on  b ever  realised?   s  n sche me  that  wa an-­‐Nahar  21  Feb  1995,  in  Amery  (2000:  Figure  5.2)  
  • 3. Focus  (instead)  on  the  Upper  Jordan   Upper     Jordan  River   Lake  of  Tiberias   Yarmouk  River   Lower     Jordan  River   Dead  Sea  
  • 4. Upper  Jordan  River  Hydropoli2cal  Baseline  Study   Goal     to  understand  the  hydro-­‐poli2cal  landscape  with  a  view  to  legal  re-­‐ distribu2on  of  the  UJR   Ques+ons     •  The  UJR  Flows:  loca2on,  quan2ty  and  quality?   •  How  asymmetric  is  the  distribu2on?   •  How  was  the  asymmetry  achieived,  and  how  is  it  maintained?   •  How  important  is  water  in  the  Lebanon-­‐Israel  conflict?   Method   •  partners  –  AFIAL,  and  Ibrahim  Abd  el  Al   •  research  team  –  Eid-­‐Sabbagh,  Dajani,  Talhami   •  historical  record,  interviews,  hydrological  records,  official  statements,  etc   •  mul2-­‐disciplinary  approach:    hydrology,  poli2cal  science,  interna2onal   rela2ons,  law,  hydro-­‐geology,  hydro-­‐hegemony,  discourses  etc    
  • 5. THE     WATER   POWER/   FLOWS   USE   BORDERS   OCCUPIED   LANDS   THEORY   2006   Summer   HYDROPOLITICAL  BASELINE War   THE  RECORD   DISCUSSION   CONCLUSIONS  
  • 6. THEORY   HYDROPOLITICAL  BASELINE
  • 7. Interna2onal  Transboundary  Water-­‐sharing  norms   Interna*onal  Water  Law    1997  UN  Watercourses  Conven3on:  3  principles   •   ‘prior  no2fica2on’       •   ‘no  significant  harm’     •   ‘equitable  and  reasonable  use’     +  2008  Dra=  Aquifer  Ar3cles     Others   •  ‘prior  use’   •  state  sovereignty  (‘Harmon  Doctrine’)  
  • 8. Other  interna2onal  norms  relevant  to  water:  IHL  and  HR  to  water   Interna*onal  Humanitarian  Law   Ar2cle  52  (1)  of  the  Geneva  Conven2on’s  Addi2onal  Protocol  1:    ‘protec2on  of  civilian  objects  which  are  not  military  objec2ves’     Ar2cle  54  (Para.  2)  and  Ar2cle  55  of  Addi2onal  Protocol  1:      protec2on  of  the  “Natural  Environment”  and  “Objects  indispensable  to  the   survival  of  the  civilian  popula2on”     Interna2onal  Conven2on  on  Economic,  Social  and  Cultural  Rights  (Ar2cle  11(1)):   Destruc2on  of  civilian  water  infrastructure  is  a  viola2on  of  the  right  to  an   adequate  standard  of  living.     Human  Right  to  Water   UN  Commifee  on  Economic,  Social  and  Cultural  Rights:  General  Comment  15   UN  General  Assembly  2010  Human  Right  to  Water:   “declares  the  right  to  safe  and  clean  drinking  water  and  sanita2on  as  a   human  right  that  is  essen2al  for  the  full  enjoyment  of  life  and  all  human   rights”   see  Tignino  2010  
  • 9. WATER   USE   HYDROPOLITICAL  BASELINE
  • 10. Current  Water  Use   Use  in  2011  from  surface  water  and  groundwater  in  the  Upper  Jordan  River   Basin  and  related  aquifers:     Country    Flow      Use      [million  cubic  metres  per  year]   Syria     0        n/a         Lebanon    ~11    local  irriga2on  and  domes2c  [via  Wazzani  PS  +]     Israel     360  –  520  Irriga2on  locally  and  in  Negev  desert  (+  through   wastewater  reuse),  and  domes2c  (1/3  of  total   freshwater  consump2on  comes  from  Lake  of   Tiberias)  [via  Na2onal  Water  Carrier]   Lebanon  claim:    35-­‐55   [‘Johnston  alloca2on’  -­‐  equitable  and  reasonble  share]  
  • 11. Prior  Water  Use  in  Lebanon   (1921)   The  1921  French  report  counted:       •  Six  water  mills,  located  on  the  Hasbani  mainstream  (named  or  located:   near  Souk  al  Khan;  Maria  -­‐  just  upstream  of  Ghajar;  Moutran;  Hadj  Khalil;   and  Souk,  near  the  canal  of  the  Emir);     •  Three  irriga*ons  canals  (one  downstream  of  Ghajar,  and  two  upstream   –  one  of  which  was  es2mated  at  5km  long  and  irriga2ng  an  es2mated   600  dunums  with  3,000  m3  per  day  in  summer  [~1.1  MCM/y]  on  the   “right  side  of  the  Hasbani”);  and   •  Associated  dams  and  impoundments  for  the  above.   4)   8)   cess ion  (191  Fakhoury  (192 +  Sursock  con Nassif  and  Dr ey   +  Sul eiman  B FNA  (1921d)  ETUDE  GENERALE  DE  LA  FRONTIERE  PROBABLE  vers  METELLI  et  du  pays  au  N.  et  au  SUD,  immédiatement  des  deux  côtés   de  (la)  fron+ère.  De  l'Inspecteur  des  Travaux  Publics  de  l'Etate  du  Grand  Liban.  French  Na2onal  Archives  in  Nantes,  Archives  des   postes  diploma2ques,  consulaires,  culturels  et  de  coopera2on:  Caisse  450;  Fonds  -­‐  "Beyrouth"/2e  versement;  Serie  -­‐  Service   Techniques  «  Hydraulique  ».  
  • 12. THE     FLOWS   HYDROPOLITICAL  BASELINE
  • 13. rjay un” Main  sources  of  the  Upper  Jordan   ) oun (Ma rdj Ayo Hasbani  Hasbani r) ive sba ni” Springs Hasbaya “Me ni R (Ha asba H Liddan   “N. “Metelli” (Metulla) Metulla Liddan “El Ghadjar” Wazzani Springs Hasbani   Springs Ghajar (Ghajar) Liddan Banias River Banias Hasbani m) River Banias Springs rea As l” Liddan   (El . Assa River l st Banias Banias   “N ” r) ) as e n River ni Riv (Lidda n” a . B ias da “N an “N. Led (B Banias   UPPER JORDAN RIVER Kuneitra Huleh Lake +Groundwater   (FNA  1921)     a) Pre-1916 Lake of Ottoman Empire Tiberias LOWER JORDAN RIVER “Lac du Houlé” (Huleh Lake)
  • 14. Source  of  the  Hasbani  –  at  Hasbaya   (MacGregor  2002  [1870]:  175)  
  • 15. Source  of  the  Hasbani  –  at  Hasbaya  
  • 16. Main  sources  of  the  Upper  Jordan   LEBANON Mediterranean Sea SYRIA Lake Tiberias Basin ISRAEL JORDAN LEBANON Hasbani Mt Basin Hasbaya Hermon er Riv ani Hasb Ajoun catchment area Banias Basin Metulla s ea m Liddan Basin arm ’a F El Wazzani Str Ghajar eba sl A Ch el Aj o Banias n u r an Rive St r e a er Riv nias Ba dd Occupied UNDOF SYRIA m Li ISRAEL SYRIAN Administered GOLAN Zone
  • 17. LEBANON [million  cubic  metre  per  year,   1949  –  2004  annual  river  flows   measured  upstream  of  their   Mediterranean Sea SYRIA confluence  point]   143  (+/-­‐  43%)   Hasbani   Lake Tiberias most  of  the  base  flow   provided  by  the  Wazzani  Springs   Basin ISRAEL JORDAN LEBANON ! 114  (+/-­‐  30%)   Banias   Hasbani Mt Basin Hasbaya Hermon er Riv ani Hasb 241  (+/-­‐  10%)   Ajoun Liddan   catchment area Banias Basin ! Metulla s ea m Liddan Basin arm ’a F El Wazzani Str Ghajar eba base  flow  much  larger  +   sl A Ch el more  secure     Aj o Banias n u r an Rive St r e a er Riv nias Ba dd Occupied UNDOF SYRIA m Li ISRAEL SYRIAN AdministeredYearbooks  1949-­‐1977,  1959-­‐2004,  and   HSI   GOLAN Zone 1992-­‐2004,  and  Klein  (1998)  for  1977-­‐1992.     !
  • 18. Transboundary  groundwater  flows  –  rough  es2mate   250  –  350   [million  cubic  metre  per  year]   (Kafri  and  Lang  1979,  from  Brielmann  2008:  Fig.  10)  (labels  added).    
  • 19. Summary  of  the  Upper  Jordan  River  Flows   [million  cubic  metres  per  year]   Banias   114      (variable,  vulnerable  to  pollu2on)   Hasbani   143      (variable,  vulnerable  to  pollu2on)     Liddan   241      (stable,  somewhat  vulnerable  to  pollu2on) Ajoun    (?)   Groundwater   250  –  350    (stable,  less  vulnerable)  
  • 20. POWER/   BORDERS   HYDROPOLITICAL  BASELINE
  • 21. So[  Power:  1920  Hydropoli2cal  Border  Shiv  –  lobbied  for   “Mtelle” B anias demandée par the G’t anglais ” (Metulla) (Border adjustment requested by the English Goverment) ”Lac de Houlé ” (Hula Marshes) “Koneirtra” (Kuneitra) par l’accord Sykes-Picot” Sykes-Picot Agreement)
  • 22. So[  Power:  1923  Hydropoli2cal  Border  Shiv  –  obtained   Hasbani FRENCH MANDATE Springs Hasbaya LEBANON Border  1923  -­‐  1967   Metulla Liddan Wazzani Springs Springs Ghajar Liddan Banias River Banias Hasbani River Banias Springs River FRENCH MANDATE SYRIA UPPER JORDAN RIVER Kuneitra Huleh Lake BRITISH MANDATE PALESTINE Lake of d) 1923 border Tiberias LOWER JORDAN RIVER
  • 23. Hard  Power:  military  ac2on  over  water  1950s  &  1960s   1965     Israel  army  thwarts   1953   diversion  afempt   Syria  army  thwarts  Israeli  afempt   (successful)   (successful)   1965   Syria  afempts  to  divert  Hasbani   1965     away  from  NWC   PLO  afacks  NWC   1953   (unsuccessful)   Israel  afempts     construc2on  of  NWC   from  B’nat  Yacoub  Bridge   1964   Israel  completes   NWC  at  Tiberias   (status  quo  ‘2l  present)  
  • 24. Hard  Power:  Military  acquisi2on  and  relinquishing  of  territory:  a  water  impera2ve?   1967  Israeli  occupa*on   1982  –  2000     2000:  (near)  return  to   of  Golan  +   (maximum  occupa*on)   1967  borders   (1920  borders  achieved)   Hasbani Springs Hasbani Hasbani LEBANON Hasbaya ’a LEBANON Springs Hasbaya LEBANON Springs Hasbaya eba Ch ms ’a ’a r eba eba Fa Ch ms Ch ms Fa r Metulla Far Liddan Metulla Metulla Wazzani Springs Liddan Liddan Springs Ghajar Wazzani Wazzani Springs Springs Springs Ghajar Springs Ghajar Liddan Banias Liddan Banias Liddan Banias River Banias Hasbani River River Banias Springs Hasbani Banias Hasbani River Banias Springs River Banias Springs River Banias River SYRIA River SYRIA River SYRIA UPPER Was  WATER  an   UPPER UPPER interest  in  the   JORDAN RIVER Kuneitra Kuneitra JORDAN RIVER Kuneitra JORDAN RIVER Huleh Lake territorial  conquests   Huleh Lake Huleh Lake (as  in  the  1950s)  ??   ISRAEL ISRAEL ISRAEL e) post 1948 border f) Maximum Israel e) post 1948 border Lake of + 1967 Israeli Lake of occupation border Lake of + 1967 Israeli Tiberias occupation of Golan Tiberias (<2000) Tiberias occupation of Golan LOWER LOWER LOWER JORDAN RIVER JORDAN RIVER JORDAN RIVER
  • 25. OCCUPIED   LANDS   HYDROPOLITICAL  BASELINE
  • 27. Water,  Ski-­‐ing,  and  military  in  Cheba’a   2.  Ski  Resorts   1.  Water   3.  Military-­‐strategic   [all  images  taken  from  Google  Earth,  February  2012]  
  • 28. Religious  sites  in  Cheba’a   Lebanon   4.  site  of  Abraham’s     Occupied     Covenant  of  the  Pieces   Cheba’a  Farms   [all  images  taken  from  Google  Earth,  February  2012]  
  • 29. Summary  of  the  interests  in  occupa2on  of  Cheba’a   Priority  ?   Water   1.    -­‐    ?   Military   2.    -­‐    ?     Ski-­‐ing   3.    -­‐    ?   4.    -­‐    Ski-­‐ing   Religious   Water  is  a  component,  alongside  other  components  (not  a  primary  driver).     Especially  Liddan  recharge  area;  But  the  volumes  involved  are  not  cri2cal  …      à  Israel  ‘water-­‐security’  discourse  (discussed  in  the  UJR  Study)  
  • 31. Occupa2on  of  Ghajar  /  Wazzani  Springs   Lebanon Syria  -­‐  Golan (occupied  by  Israel) Cheba’a   Ghajar  -­‐  north Ghajar  -­‐  south (Lebanon)   (occupied  by  Israel) Hasbani  River Wazzani  Springs Lebanon ©  Sébas2en  Pellissier    
  • 32. Wazzani  Springs  Pumping  Sta2on  –  War  of  Words  in  2002   [see  Maternowski  2006,  Alles  2010]   unofficial  Israeli  response:   Shimon  Peres  -­‐  “We  do  not  want  a  flare-­‐up,   but  we  will  not  give  up  water”  (Sedan  2002)   official  Israeli  response:     “  …unilateral  ac2on  by  Lebanon  would  be   Lebanese  response:     unacceptable  to  Israel.”   ‘Lebanon  has  right  to  a  legal  share’   è  US,  UN  and  EU   media2on`     +  heavy  winter  rains:     •  Lebanon  built  Wazzani  PS,  but:   •  right  to  abstract  lev  unresolved...  
  • 33. Wazzani  Springs  Pumping  Sta2on   on  Hasbani  River  (completed  2002)   Design  Capacity:  4.4  MCM/y    (<14%  of  Lebanese  claim,   <1%  of  Israel  abstrac2ons  from  Tiberias)   Actual  Abstrac+ons:  less  (lack  of  diesel,  maintenance)     Hasbani River +! Ralf  Klingbeil,  2010  
  • 34. Summary  of  the  interests  in  Wazzani  Springs  /  occupying  Ghajar   Priority  ?   Water   1.    -­‐    ?   Military   2.    -­‐    ?     Ski-­‐ing   3.    -­‐    ?   Religious?   4.    -­‐    ?     Will  of  the  residents?   Water  is  a  component,  alongside  other  components  (not  a  primary  driver)     Flows  of  Wazzani  more  imporant  than  Hasbani…  but  s2ll  not  cri2cal….        à  Israel  ‘water-­‐security’  discourse  (discussed  in  the  UJR  Study)  
  • 35. 2006   Summer   HYDROPOLITICAL  BASELINE War  
  • 36. Jbaa Baissariye Some  damages  to  water  infrastructure  in  Lebanon  and  Israel   Sarafand Merouaniye Sarba Jarjouaa Mlikh Aaramta Aazze Saksakiye Zefta Israel   Toufahta Rihane Insariye Habbouch Dlafy Babliye Kfour Louaiziye Direct  damage:   Aadloun Khartoum Kfar Roummane Kaoukaba Hasbaiya Doueir •  Safad  WWTP   Kharayeb Insar Aabba Harouf Marjayoun Blat Fardis Ain Jerfa Hebbari Indirect  damage:   Qasmiye Arzay Zrariye Braiqaa Jibchit Yohmor Qlaiaa Ebel es Saqi Kfar H •  3  WWTP  (e.g.  Haifa)   Bourghliye Bedias Maaroub Kfar Sir Aalmane Khiam Mari Kfar Chouba Aabbassiye Kfar Kila Lebanon   Borj ech Chmali El Majidiye Barich Ghandourieh Qantara Taibe Wazzani Direct  damage:   Tyre Jouaya Tallousa Aadaisse •  20  pumping  sta2ons   Deir Qanoun Aitit Majdel Markaba •  thousands  of  roovop  tanks   Majdel Selm Soultanieh Siddiqine Houla Mansouri •  100s  of  km  distrib’n  pipes   El Biyada Aita El-Jabel Baraachit Chaqra Sribbine Mheibib •  200-­‐700  transformers   Naqoura Chama’a Tair Harfa Zabqine Chihine Beit Lif Beit Yahoun Blida •  55  public  reservoirs   Aalma ech Chaab Jebbain Ramiya Qaouzah Bent Jbail Aaitaroun Yarine etc   Aita Ech Chaab Rmaich Yaroun Maroun er Ras +  indirect  damage   0 5 10 15  km ISRAEL Destruction of Housing Units S T A T E B O U N D Totally destroyed Caza Partially Destroyed Severly damaged Boundaries of occupied Cheba’a equivalent to 1,800 units Damages to Public Water Reservoirs 1 Reservoir Damaged Reservoir 2 Reservoirs Destroyed Reservoir Damages to housing units: UNHCR 2006 and GOL 2006; Damages to 3 Reservoirs SLWE (2006), Water and Sanitation Cluster 2006 (UNICEF). Administ 4 Reservoirs Database of the National Master Plan for Lebanon, 2005. Mapping: Do
  • 37. Typical  drinking  water  system  in  southern  Lebanon  
  • 38. 2006  Summer  War   Zeitoun   Water  reservoirs  in  Lebanon  damaged  during  the  2006  Summer  War,  showing  a  range  of  the  nature  of  the  damages.  Siddiquine:  no  direct   damage  to  reservoir;  Chama'a:  ‘indiscriminate’  and  ‘deliberate’;  Ramiya:  ‘deliberate’.   Zeitoun   Zeitoun  
  • 39. Jbaa Baissariye 2006  Summer  War   Sarafand Merouaniye Sarba Jarjouaa Mlikh Aaramta Aazze Saksakiye Zefta Israel   Toufahta Rihane Insariye Habbouch Dlafy Babliye Kfour Louaiziye Direct  damage:   Aadloun Khartoum Kfar Roummane Kaoukaba Hasbaiya Doueir •  Safad  WWTP   Kharayeb Insar Aabba Harouf Marjayoun Blat Fardis Ain Jerfa Hebbari Indirect  damage:   Qasmiye Arzay Zrariye Braiqaa Jibchit Yohmor Qlaiaa Ebel es Saqi Kfar H •  3  WWTP  (e.g.  Haifa)   Bourghliye Bedias Maaroub Kfar Sir Aalmane Khiam Mari Kfar Chouba Aabbassiye Kfar Kila Lebanon   Borj ech Chmali El Majidiye Barich Ghandourieh Qantara Taibe Wazzani Direct  damage:   Tyre Jouaya Tallousa Aadaisse •  20  pumping  sta2ons   Deir Qanoun Aitit Majdel Markaba •  thousands  of  roovop  tanks   Majdel Selm Soultanieh Siddiqine Houla Mansouri •  100s  of  km  distrib’n  pipes   El Biyada Aita El-Jabel Baraachit Chaqra Sribbine Mheibib •  200-­‐700  transformers   Naqoura Chama’a Tair Harfa Zabqine Chihine Beit Lif Beit Yahoun Blida •  55  public  reservoirs   Aalma ech Chaab Jebbain Ramiya Qaouzah Bent Jbail Aaitaroun Yarine etc   Aita Ech Chaab Rmaich Yaroun Maroun er Ras +  indirect  damage   0 5 10 15  km ISRAEL Destruction of Housing Units S T A T E B O U N D Totally destroyed Caza Partially Destroyed Severly damaged Boundaries of occupied Cheba’a equivalent to 1,800 units Damages to Public Water Reservoirs 1 Reservoir Damaged Reservoir 2 Reservoirs Destroyed Reservoir Damages to housing units: UNHCR 2006 and GOL 2006; Damages to 3 Reservoirs SLWE (2006), Water and Sanitation Cluster 2006 (UNICEF). Administ 4 Reservoirs Database of the National Master Plan for Lebanon, 2005. Mapping: Do
  • 40. 2006  Summer  War   Reservoir  part  of  Wazzani  Springs  project   South  Lebanon  Water  Establishment  (SLWE  2006).  
  • 41. Summary  of  water  and  2006  Summer  War   Water  was  target  of  war   Water  as  tool  of  war   Viola*ons  of  Interna2onal  Humanitarian  Law   Viola*on  of  Human  Right  to  Water     à  erosion  of  interna2onal  norms  [sov  power]     Hydropoli2cal  mo2ve  (Wazzani  PS):    indirect    [sov  power]  
  • 42. HYDROPOLITICAL  BASELINE THE  RECORD  
  • 43. 1916  -­‐  1948 1948-­‐  1967 1967  -­‐  1978 1978  -­‐  2000 2000  -­‐-­‐> 1916 1948 1967 1978 2000 2002 Control  over  Territory   100% French Mandate Syria / Lebanon 1923 British Mandate Palestine Israel Lebanon Syria 0% 100% Control  over  Water   1965 0% 100% Use  of  Water   1964 0% 1920 1921 1954-­‐56 1993 TREATIES 1916 1948  Nakba, MILITARY/ POLITICAL 1978  -­‐  2000 2002 2006 EVENTS
  • 44. HYDROPOLITICAL  BASELINE CONCLUSIONS  
  • 45. Some  conclusions   Biophysical     Significant  data  gaps  in  surface  and  groundwater  flows,  quality  and  use   •    Groundwater  flows  are  more  important  than  river  flows   •    Academic     •  Control  is  achieved  through  sov  then  hard  power,  and  maintained  by  sov     (deterrent)  power  (‘remote  control’)     •  Control  of  water  without  control  of  territory  (à  de-­‐territorialisa2on     debates)     •  Israel’s  hegemonic  posi2on  in  the  basin  has  limits  (a  hegemon  without     hegemony?)     Poli*cal   •  Control  of  the  Hasbani  is  centred  on  the  Wazzani  Springs/Ghajar   •  Control  of  the  Upper  Jordan  is  centred  on  the  Liddan  and  Banias/Cheba’a     •  There  is  a  ‘historic  debt’  /  grounds  or  a  ‘prior  use’  argument  for  re-­‐distribu2on   (on  top  of  the  legal  argument)   •  Water  re-­‐distribu2on  prevented  by  Israeli  ‘water-­‐security’  discourse    
  • 46. Some  conclusions  (con’t.)    -­‐  last  slide!   Future   •  Israeli  interests  /  dependance  on  UJR  is  changing  (desalina2on);   •  Water  conflict  will  shiv  with  shiving  poli2cal  context;   •  Poten2al  flashpoints  of  armed  conflict:  groundwater  development;   water  quality  issues  (olive  oil  residue);   •  re-­‐ac2ve  diplomacy  at  such  2mes  will  constrain  issues,  not  resolve  them;   •  Asymmetry  can  be  entrenched,  if  basin-­‐wide  approach  not  taken.  
  • 47. Thank-­‐you  !   For  more  analysis  and  references:  download  the  Upper  Jordan  River   Hydropoli2cal  Baseline  from  the  Publica2ons  page  of  the  UEA  Water  Security   Research  Centre:  www.uea.ac.uk/watersecurity/publica2ons   Mark  Zeitoun,  Karim  Eid-­‐Sabbagh,  Muna  Dajani,  and  Michael  Talhami  m.zeitoun@uea.ac.uk  
  • 48. References   Amery,  Hussein  (2000).  A  Popular  Theory  of  Water  Diversion  from  Lebanon:  Toward  Public  Par2cipa2on  for  Peace.   Water  in  the  Middle  East:  A  Geography  of  Peace.  Wolf,  A.  and  H.  Amery.  Aus2n,  USA,  University  of  Texas  Press.   Brielmann,  Heike  (2008).  Recharge  and  discharge  mechanism  and  dynamics  in  the  mountainous  northern  Upper   Jordan  River  Catcment,  Israel,  LMU  Muenchen:  Faculty  of  Goesciences.     FNA  (1921).  ETUDE  GENERALE  DE  LA  FRONTIERE  PROBABLE  vers  METELLI  et  du  pays  au  N.  et  au  SUD,  immédiatement   des  deux  côtés  de  (la)  fron+ère.  De  l'Inspecteur  des  Travaux  Publics  de  l'Etate  du  Grand  Liban.  French  Na2onal   Archives  in  Nantes,  Archives  des  postes  diploma2ques,  consulaires,  culturels  et  de  coopera2on:  Caisse  450;   Fonds  -­‐  "Beyrouth"/2e  versement;  Serie  -­‐  Service  Techniques  "Hydraulique";  Sujet  -­‐  U2lisa2on  de  la  rivière   Yarmouk  et  du  bassin  supérieur  du  Jourdain  Sta2on  de  jaugeage  de  Wadi-­‐Khaled,  1921  -­‐  1942.     HSI  (1977).  Hydrological  Yearbook  1949  -­‐  1977.  (Hebrew),  Jerusalem,  Hydrological  Service  of  Israel.     HSI  (2004).  Hydrological  Yearbook  1959  -­‐  2004.  (Hebrew),  Jerusalem,  Hydrological  Service  of  Israel.     Klein,  Michael  (1998).  "Water  Balance  of  the  Upper  Jordan  River  Basin."  Water  Interna+onal  23(4):  244  -­‐  248.     Lukes,  Steven  (2005  [1974]).  Power:  A  Radical  View  -­‐  2nd  edi2on.  Hampshire,  UK,  Palgrave  MacMillan.   MacGregor,  John  (2002  [1870]).  The  Rob  Roy  on  the  Jordan  -­‐  The  extraordinary  19th  Century  tale  of  the  first  canoeist   to  explore  the  Middle  East  and  Africa.  London,  UK,  republished  by  The  Long  Riders'  Guild  Press,  2002.  Also   published  by  Harper&Brothers,  Publishers,  New  York  in  1870,  under  the  2tle:  The  Rob  Roy  on  the  Jordan,  Nile,   Red  Sea,  and  Gennesareth,  &c:    A  Canoe  Cruise  in  Pales2ne  and  Egypt,  and  the  Waters  of  Damascus.   Sedan,  Gil  (2002).  U.S.,  Israel  seek  to  defuse  tense  Lebanese  water  plan.  J  Weekly.com,  Jewish  Telegraphic  Agency.     SLWE  (2006).  Damages  to  the  Water  Sector  in  the  South  of  Lebanon  from  the  2006  War.  Saida,  South  Lebanon  Water   Establishment.     Tignino,  Mara  (2010).  "Water,  interna2onal  peace,  and  security."  Interna+onal  Review  of  the  Red  Cross  -­‐   Humanitarian  debate:  law,  policy,  ac+on  92(September  2010).     Zeitoun,  Mark  (2007).  Viola2ons,  Opportuni2es  and  Power  along  the  Jordan  River:    Security  Studies  Theory  Applied   to  Water  Conflict.  Water  Resources  in  the  Middle  East:  Israeli-­‐Pales+nian  Water  Issues  -­‐  From  Conflict  to   Coopera+on.  Shuval,  H.  and  H.  Dweik.  Heidelberg,  Germany,  Springer  Verlag.  213  -­‐  224.   Zeitoun,  Mark,  Karim  Eid-­‐Sabbagh,  Muna  Dajani  and  Michael  Talhami  (2012).  Hydro-­‐poli+cal  Baseline  of  the  Upper   Jordan  River.  Beirut,  Associa2on  of  the  Friends  of  Ibrahim  Abd  el  Al.